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Editorial

Statistical ruse backfires

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Monday 16th August, 2021

Sri Lanka’s Covid-19 case-fatality rate (about 5%) has exceeded the global average (1.4%), according to media reports. This rate may look accurate, given the officially confirmed cases, but there is reason to believe that it is misleading; many cases have gone undetected, and if testing is stepped up, the morbidity rate will increase exponentially, bringing the case-fatality rate down. The fatality figures, however, remain undisputed, and, therefore, could be considered reliable.

The Health Ministry stands accused of trying to hide the severity of the pandemic from the public, for political reasons, by not increasing the number of PCR tests conducted a day so as to keep the number of daily cases low, but its action has made the world consider Sri Lanka an extremely dangerous place.

The process of collecting Covid-19 data and tabulating them is not that complex, though somewhat difficult, due to the geographical distribution of the pandemic and the inefficiency of the state service. Doctors and other health workers have pointed out that the number of tests conducted daily is woefully inadequate for them to get a clear picture of the spread of the pandemic; they have called for aggressive testing, which is a prerequisite for controlling Covid-19. But these calls have gone unheeded.

President of the College of Medical Laboratory Science (CMLS) Ravi Kumudesh has told this newspaper that the number of PCR tests conducted daily is insufficient, and it can be increased to 50,000 a day easily. Pointing out that the state sector labs have about 36 Rapid PCR machines capable of giving test results in less than two hours, and detecting viruses other than SARS-CoV-2, he has said the members of his association are awaiting the government’s nod to go into overdrive. The Health Ministry ought to explain why the full potential of the state sector laboratories has not been tapped to fight the pandemic effectively. Is it that some health bigwigs are colluding with their private sector cronies notorious for various rackets? They also made the government-run Covid-19 testing facility at the Bandaranaike International Airport idle so that the samples collected from foreigners and others could be sent to some private labs.

Thousands of Covid-19 patients receiving homecare are encouraged to purchase pulse oximeters to check their blood oxygen levels themselves, and the question is why the Rapid Antigen Test kits are not made available freely for the people to test themselves at home. Self-testing should have preceded homecare for pandemic patients. This will help increase the number of daily tests so that more cases could be detected, isolated and treated to curb the rapid transmission of the Delta variant. Countries such as the UK, the US, Singapore and India are promoting self-testing by making available Rapid Antigen Test kits, which cost about INR 200 a piece in India. The government can import them and sell them through the Osusala outlets to prevent the private health mudalalis from fleecing the pandemic-hit public. It should be able to do so if its leaders are not in league with the unscrupulous businessmen who thrive on the misery of the sick.

If the exiting PRC and Rapid PCR machines in the state sector are fully utilised with the people being provided with Rapid Antigen Test kits, about 100,000 persons could be tested daily, the CMLS informs us. Will the government care to do so promptly and save lives?

The task of bringing down Covid-19 deaths as well as the case-fatality rate also requires the acceleration of the vaccination drive, imposing strict movement restrictions and ensuring that the people abide by the health regulations. The government is expected to bring in new laws to enforce the existing health regulations more virtuously, we are told. The need for such stringent action cannot be overemphasised because not many people follow Covid-19 protocol voluntarily.

Ideally, the country should be closed. This is what the World Health Organization, and Sri Lankan medical experts have recommended. The government is under pressure to impose lockdowns and a quarantine curfew at least for two weeks, and vaccinate as many people as possible during that period. But one should not lose sight of the huge socio-economic costs of lockdowns.

Developed nations can afford lockdowns and therefore impose them at the first sign of trouble. If this country is closed again, there will be more job losses besides economic hardships. Many private sector institutions are already on the brink of going belly up. Having chosen to control the pandemic while keeping the country open, the government finds itself in an unenviable position. There should be funds, especially foreign exchange, for pandemic control, and what the situation would be like if the economy collapsed at this juncture is not difficult to imagine. In a worst-case scenario, the public sector employees will also face pay cuts; they may not even get paid, at all; hospitals will be without drugs and there will be shortages of all essential commodities. Such a situation will be inevitable unless everyone realises the gravity of the health crisis and fully co-operates to stop the spread of the destructive virus.

Head of the Public Health Inspectors’ Association Upul Rohana, who is au fait with the ground situation, has called upon the public to restrict their movements for their own sake. There is no reason why the people cannot do so to save their own lives as well as those of their dear ones, without waiting till the government imposes lockdowns.



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Editorial

Emergency without emergency

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It is said that when the people fear the government, there is tyranny, and when the government fears the people there is liberty. However, in a bid to retain its hold on power, a government that fears the people, tends to resort to draconian measures that are deleterious to civil liberties and democracy and could lead to tyranny. Among them is the misuse of Emergency regulations on some pretext or another. Sri Lanka has spent most of its post-Independence years under a state of Emergency.

The JVP-NPP government keeps on extending emergency regulations even though several months have passed since the landfall of Cyclone Ditwah, which warranted their imposition. It drew severe criticism for an initial delay in declaring a state of Emergency, which it now cannot do without for all intents and purposes. A staunch critic of Emergency and the Prevention of Terrorism Act (PTA), the JVP/NPP came to power, promising to abolish the PTA and use the Emergency regulations responsibly, but it has reneged on that pledge.

On Thursday, Parliament voted to extend the State of Emergency under the Public Security Ordinance. There were 137 ayes and 27 nays. Members of the SJB, the ITAK, the NDF, the SLPP and Jaffna District Independent MP Dr. Ramanathan Archchuna opposed the government motion seeking the extension of Emergency. A vote was held after ITAK MP Shanakiyan Rasamanickam called for division. Worryingly, only 165 MPs, including the Speaker, were present in the 225-member House at the time of voting. Where were the other 60 MPs? Among the absentees were 21 government MPs and 33 Opposition members, according to media reports. At least the Opposition, which called for a division on the motion, should have ensured that all its MPs were present in the House. So much for the commitment of the MPs to their legislative duties and functions. They often haul state employees over the coals for dereliction of duty. First of all, they should put their own house in order.

A state of Emergency is no doubt a legitimate constitutional tool, but it must be used responsibly and sparingly strictly in response to genuine crises. Its extension for political reasons risks undermining democratic institutions, civil liberties and, most of all, public trust in democratic governance.

The deplorable practice of keeping a country under Emergency regulations for extended periods leads to the weakening of democratic culture, public distrust in government, corruption, lack of transparency, the debilitation of civil society and media freedom, an authoritarian drift, and economic and social uncertainty. The misuse of Emergency regulations could create a climate of instability, driving investors away at a time when Sri Lanka is emerging from its worst-ever economic crisis and desperately seeking foreign direct investment to build its forex reserves.

Political leaders currently in the Opposition wax eloquent in Parliament on the ill-effects of a prolonged state of Emergency. But their parties cannot absolve themselves of the blame for the culture of Emergency; the UNP, the SLFP and the JVP are prominent among them. There have been numerous instances where Emergency regulations were invoked in this country. In 1953, a UNP government imposed an emergency rule to restore order during a countrywide hartal. The SLFP did so in 1958 to suppress communal riots. Thereafter, the UNP used Emergency regulations to suppress a Tamil civil disobedience campaign. The SLFP and its leftist allies started the practice of extending Emergency regulations to consolidate its power after crushing the JVP’s first uprising in 1971. The situation took a turn for the worse under the UNP governments after 1977, and the country was under a state of Emergency during the Eelam war, which ended in 2009. The main Tamil political parties backed the LTTE both in and outside Parliament. In the post-war period, an anti-Muslim riot, the Easter Sunday terror attacks, the beginning of the current economic crisis, a mass uprising and natural disasters also led to the imposition of Emergency regulations.

Emergency has been more abused than used in this country. The incumbent government is now emulating the SLFP, the UNP and the coalitions led by them where all bad practices are concerned, while pontificating on the virtues of good governance.

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Editorial

Govt. drops fig leaf

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Saturday 11th April, 2026

The JVP-NPP government has dropped the fig leaf of good governance and defended Energy Minister Kumara Jayakody allegedly involved in a coal procurement scam, which has cost the state coffers billions of rupees and caused a huge drop in the national power supply. It went so far as to defeat a no-faith motion against him in Parliament yesterday. In 2023, the JVP/NPP vehemently condemned the then SLPP-UNP government for defending Minister Keheliya Rambukwella allegedly involved in a pharmaceutical procurement scandal. It has just done what it vilified its predecessor for.

The SLPP-UNP government at least allowed legal action to be taken against Rambukwella, who was arrested, remanded and prosecuted, but the incumbent administration has ensured that Jayakody remains above the law.

The no-faith motion was a smart move by the Opposition. It caused the government to make a mockery of its commitment to upholding the rule of law and accountability. President Anura Kumara Dissanayake himself defended his friend, Jayakody, in Parliament on Tuesday, sending a clear signal to the NPP parliamentary group; they had to vote en bloc against the no-faith motion on Friday. It is now clear that the JVP-NPP government has no qualms about defending tainted politicians.

The coal scam will not go away simply because the no-faith motion against Jayakody has been defeated. Governments abuse their parliamentary majorities to defend their members and protect their interests. Now, the Opposition will take the coal issue to the streets and flog it hard to gain political mileage. It held a demonstration near Parliament yesterday. It has got hold of something to beat the government with.

There is no way the government can prove its claim that there has been no wrongdoing on its part where the low-grade coal imports are concerned. The National Audit Office itself has pointed out serious procurement irregularities related to coal imports. Power tariffs will have to be increased again to meet the additional cost of operating oil-fired power plants to make up for the generation shortfall at Norochcholai. It has been reported that Sri Lanka’s household electricity tariffs are among the highest in South Asia, and further power tariff hikes will make the situation far worse, and Sri Lanka will have its work cut out to attract foreign investors who factor in power prices before parking their money in any investment destination. Ordinary Sri Lankans are struggling to make ends meet, and their patience is wearing thin, and this will make the task of mobilising popular support easier for the Opposition. It was people’s economic hardships and public protests that made the JVP’s meteoric rise to power possible in 2024.

Governments with supermajorities succumb to the arrogance of power and ruin things for themselves. The best way out of the current coal imbroglio would have been for the JVP-NPP government to ask Minister Jayakody to step down and let the national anti-graft commission and the police institute legal action against him. Such a course of action would have helped the government convince the public that it was serious about fulfilling its pledge to eliminate bribery and corruption and send a clear message to the corrupt elements in its ranks that they would not be protected.

The JVP/NPP is now without any moral right to be critical of former Presidents who defended their cronies involved in corrupt deals. A fish is said to rot from the head down.

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Editorial

Corrupt vs Corrupt

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Friday 10th April, 2026

A motion of no confidence against Energy Minister Kumara Jayakody is scheduled to be taken up in Parliament, today. The JVP-NPP government, which came to power promising to eliminate bribery and corruption and cleanse Parliament, finds itself in an unenviable position. It assured the public that its members would be above suspicion, but it is now in the dock over a corrupt deal. It has chosen to defend Minister Jayakody indicted of corruption and allegedly involved in a corrupt coal procurement deal. The only way the JVP/NPP can extricate itself from the current imbroglio is to ask Minister Jayakody to step down.

President Anura Kumara Dissanayake badly dented his good governance credentials on Tuesday by claiming in Parliament that the low-quality of coal imports had caused a drop in electricity generation at the Norochcholai power plant, but there had been no irregularities in the coal procurement process. He sought to fix the blame squarely on the coal supplier. He was obviously defending his friend, Jayakody, caught in a cleft stick. Interestingly, no sooner had he made that claim than the National Audit Office released its report on the coal procurement process revealing very serious irregularities therein. This official document has helped knock the bottom out of the government’s argument in defence of Minister Jayakody.

Keheliya Rambukwella and several Health Ministry panjandrums who served under him were arrested, remanded and prosecuted for their involvement in the procurement of substandard medicines which caused huge losses to the state coffers. So, why Minister Jayakody and his officials have not been dealt with in a similar manner over the coal scam defies comprehension. There is a prima facie case against them. The JVP-NPP government has made a mockery of its commitment to upholding the rule of law and accountability. The SLPP-UNP government ruined its chances of winning elections by defending Rambukwella and defeating a no-faith motion against him in 2023. The JVP-NPP administration is doing something similar.

The worst is yet to come where the adverse impact of the coal scam is concerned. Electricity tariffs will have to be increased again to recover the additional cost of burning diesel to produce more than 150 MW of electricity a day to make up for the Norochcholai generation shortfall caused by low-grade coal imports, independent experts have pointed out, warning of power cuts in a few months. The Opposition has stated that unofficial load shedding is already on. It has produced documentary proof in support of its claim.

More information about the Health Ministry procurement rackets came to light after the defeat of the no-faith motion against Rambukwella. Similarly, the magnitude of the coal procurement scam is yet to be determined. JVP/NPP politicians are known for their glib tongue, but they will not be able to pull the wool over the eyes of the resentful public battered by the soaring cost of living.

Two-thirds parliamentary majorities are apparently accursed in this country. Governments with such steamroller majorities indulge in corruption, succumb to the arrogance of power, which blinds them to reality, and dig their own political graves. They remind us of Lord Acton’s words of wisdom about the corruptive nature of power. One may recall that the SLFP-led United Front government, which abused its two-thirds majority, had a Humpty-Dumpty-style fall in 1977.

The Mahinda Rajapaksa government, which had a razor-thin majority, defeated the LTTE, developed the economy, implemented many development projects and lived up to the people’s expectation, but it failed pathetically after securing a second term and mustering a two-thirds majority in 2010. It became a metaphor for corruption, and suffered a catastrophic fall. The Gotabaya Rajapaksa government also became a victim of its two-thirds majority, so to speak. The JVP-NPP government is moving in the same direction, defending corrupt politicians and covering up crooked deals.

Ironically, many key Opposition figures who are flaying the JVP-NPP government for corruption and trying to engineer its ouster are themselves facing allegations of corruption. The people seem to have little option but to set thieves to catch thieves.

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