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The elections in Maldives

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By Aavin Abeydeera

Within the next few weeks, Maldives will be going into a general election to elect their next president. One would assume that political intrigue and king-making would not afflict such an idyllic nation, but such assumptions quickly erode delving into the palace games surrounding the Maldivian general elections.

At the 2013 presidential elections, Abdulla Yameen was elected to power. He wasted no time imprisoning his opponents. Mirroring other leaders in South Asia, his term’s foreign policy was marked by a clear and definite shift from India to China.

His opponents taken care of, his government seemed ready for stable rule. Yet despite lavish Chinese-funded projects, Yameen’s rule was criticized for corruption and human rights abuses. If that reminds you of another South Asian president, that is as it should.

When the Maldivian Democratic Party’s (MDP) Ibrahim Solih, the joint opposition candidate, won presidential elections in 2018 by a margin of 16% in the first round itself, it was a twist the incumbent president did not see coming. History tends to follow patterns. Five years later, Yameen is behind bars and disqualified from contesting elections. However, much like Yameen did in 2018, Solih faces an uncertain future regarding this upcoming election.

With eight candidates in the fray, this is the largest pool of candidates ever taking part in a presidential election in Maldives’ history. However, only a few key names seem to matter.

Ibrahim Solih

On paper, President Solih should have an easy run – his tenure has been largely unproblematic, and his biggest achievement lies in the fact that he successfully steered the island nation through the Covid pandemic without suffering a national collapse.

Furthermore, his diplomatic skills have afforded Maldives a chance to repair their relationship with India without alienating their newfound Chinese allies.

However, his electoral outlook is not as clear cut as theory would indicate. Two parties of his own ruling coalition are fielding their candidates in the elections, meaning that it is almost a certainty that the incumbent Solih will lose support from his own base of power.

Solih remains the frontrunner, but it is uncertain whether he can secure an outright win without the elections going into the second round. If Solih fails to win a majority, he will face considerable challenges going up against a sole opponent in the second round.

Mohamed Muizzu

Mohammed Muizzu is another player of the palatial intrigue this season. Endorsed by former president Yameen, Muizzu presents a novel challenge.Muizzu is essentially a spiritual successor to President Yameen. Both hail from the same party. However, Yameen’s endorsement of Muizzu is fraught with complications of its own. Muizzu has spoken before about converting the presidential form of governance to a parliamentary system, which sits at odds with Yameen’s vision.

Furthermore, Yameen would prefer to endorse a candidate who would hold as little real power as possible. Unfortunately for Yameen, Muizzu is one of the most powerful politicians in the country.

A former Housing Minister during the Yameen presidency, Muizzu has the advantage of having held one of the most influential political positions in the country. Maldives is a small country, and the need for affordable housing is immense. A Housing Minister that can rise to the challenge will almost certainly have a huge voter base.

In addition, he was Mayor of Male, the capital of the country, where almost 40% of the country live. Muizzu has numbers backing him, but theory can only take you so far, and only time will tell if the arithmetical advantage Muizzu holds will translate into tangible results.

Qasim Ibrahim

One of the wealthiest businessmen in Maldives, Qasim Ibrahim of the Jumhooree Party (JP) has always been seen to be a kingmaker, due to his ability to influence Maldivian politics, and more specifically, his power to swing elections.

Ibrahim will be contesting elections for the third time, after standing in the 2008 and 2013 polls. He may not have the numbers to win an election outright, but he has a captive vote bank that is envied by all parties. As the owner of one of the biggest companies in the Maldives, it is the opinion of many analysts that Qasim can count on his extensive workforce to boost his votes.

At the first multi-party presidential elections in 2008, he was eliminated in the first round and thereafter, announced support for the MDP’s Mohamed Nasheed, who eventually defeated long-term dictator Maumoon Gayoom in the second round. While he initially joined Nasheed’s cabinet, Qasim soon left after a fallout.

In the 2013 elections, his elimination in the first round led to him to endorse Abdullah Yameen, who secured victory over Nasheed in the second round. Qasim did not participate in the 2018 elections due to a conviction but supported Solih as joint opposition candidate.

A trend can probably be seen here. Whoever Ibrahim supports ends up winning the presidency. This year, it remains to be seen which candidate Ibrahim will support in the second round- something that other candidates will keep a keen eye on.

One may be justified in asking what the significance of this election is in terms of international realpolitik. After all, Maldives is a small island nation, best known for its idyllic beaches, not its political significance in the world stage. Here lies the answer.

Maldives is a state that enjoys the luxury of playing kingmaker in the Indo-Pacific. In a region that is becoming increasingly important in terms of economic and political power, multilateral powers such as the QUAD alliance, as well as individual nations such as India, China, and even the US will keep a sharp eye on which side the Maldives will take.

In short, the upcoming elections might well herald which side the dice falls on.

Aavin Abeydeera is a student at the Bandaranaike Center for International Studies (BCIS). He is interested in writing about the world and how it operates. His interests range from geopolitics, economics, and foreign policy to culture and sports.



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New US sanctions on ICC, a fillip to worldwide political repression

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The International Criminal Court in session. UN Photo/Eskinder Debebe

US Secretary of State Marco Rubio’s warning to the International Criminal Court (ICC) was stark: ‘Either the ICC will end its threats, or we will end the ICC.’ It followed US central administration accusations that the court was unfairly targeting Americans on the basis of trumped-up war crimes charges.

However, a new plethora of sanctions has been clamped on the ICC by the US, which in turn has spurred accusations by sections of the world that the latter has unleashed an ‘assault’ on the international legal order.

What some of the sanctions would mean for the ICC was outlined by Rubio: ‘We will ban transactions with this rogue court, cutting off their resources and crippling their ability to operate against us.’

The ICC has shown consistency of purpose over the years. Despite some operational constraints it has indicted a large number of political strongmen from around the world, accused of war crimes and other governance excesses that come under its purview. Two such recent figures are: Russian President Vladimir Putin and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.

Rather than enjoy a mere nominal presence in the world community, the ICC has proved its effectiveness by detaining and bringing to justice scores of VIP politicians and others of their ilk who have been found guilty of human rights abuses and kindred excesses that come within the terms of reference of the ICC.

Accordingly, the international justice system would be stymied considerably as a result of the ICC being dis-empowered, particularly financially. Needless to say, potential and real perpetrators of the species of crime coming under the jurisdiction of the ICC would stand to gain most from such anarchic tendencies. That is, political repression globally would be enabled to enjoy a new lease of life.

A detailing of the types of crime coming under the purview of the ICC provides an idea of what it would cost the international community if the ICC’s operations are gravely hampered. They are mainly: genocide, war crimes, crimes against humanity and the crime of aggression.

That is, the part of the world to be worst affected would be the global South, since the latter is awash with the mentioned crimes. Needless to say, a chronically-disaffected South will sooner rather than later undermine the well being of the world dangerously. The world is already being put through these paces.

At the time of writing, ‘illegal migrants’ from the South, for example, are aggravating many a Western economy’s woes, besides creating for them acute law and order issues. The fact that these migrants’ presence goes on to become a virtual test of the migrant receiving states’ ability to forge domestic social inclusion in the face of jingoistic protests by mainly white supremacist groups is evidence of the latter. As is known, the US, to take just one example, has been up against this crisis for quite a while.

Accordingly, it will be in the best interests of the West if ‘illegal’ migrant arrivals on their shores are stemmed. If the socio-political and economic problems assailing the South are effectively managed through North-South collaborative, ‘trouble-shooting’ efforts the causes leading to ‘illegal’ migration and connected issues could be resolved at source as it were. For, it is the aggravation of the South’s material questions that lays the basis for the emergence of repressive and anti-democratic regimes in the hemisphere.

Until such time that the aforementioned issues in North-South relations are visited afresh and addressed urgently, a vibrantly functioning ICC would be needed. For, the latter would prove a deterrent to Southern political and military strongmen, highly prone to power abuse and like excesses, from coming into being in the wake of the South’s chronic material woes and the wars and conflicts that result from them.

It stands to reason then that the US would be acting in its own interests by enabling the ICC to perpetuate its mandate without hindrance. For a crop of issues that impinges negatively on internal law and order would be defused.

Meanwhile, there needs to be a meeting of minds among the rest of the West to put back in place a North-South dialogue process aimed at reducing some of the economic pressures that are weighing on the South.

Since economics usually drives politics it will be in the interests of the world community to scrutinizingly re-visit North-South issues of the past and put in place economic relief packages for Southern publics that would enable them to tide over their material hardships rather than permit the latter to aggravate into social disaffection and eventually armed militancy. It is the latter juncture that paves the way for the emergence of authoritarian rulers in the South who then go on to be a blight on their publics.

Accordingly, the Southern-based global development thinking of the past that envisaged a more equitable world economic order needs to be seen as an urgent need. That is, NAM’s international development paradigms need to be resuscitated to the extent possible.

It is unlikely that rightist governments of the West, such as the current Republican administration in the US, would find these projects feasible, but democratic states of Europe, led by perhaps the UK, are likely to think otherwise. For it would not be beneficial for the democratic world to be having on their hands repressive governments in the South who would be gravitating towards the major military and economic actors of the South, such as Iran and North Korea, who tend to be in constant power struggles with the West.

However, until such time that the mentioned, pro-people initiatives are given serious thought the ICC would need to be enabled by the international community to be in place comfortably and carry on with its mandate of bringing repressive rulers to book. Besides the ICC should pave the way for the peoples of the developing world to enjoy some substantial respite from the political repression and even terror which tend to be their lot.

Meanwhile, the wars of West Asia are relentlessly aggravating the economic hardships of people everywhere, driving the point home to enlightened sections that there is no alternative to peacemaking. A challenge is to convert the US under President Trump to this line of thinking.

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Clear, soft and shine-free skin

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This week, I give you five simple, time-tested homemade remedies that help reduce the appearance of blemishes, control excess shine and leave your skin feeling softer and smoother.

The Honey and Lemon Brightening Dab:

For stubborn blemish marks, this is a classic. Mix one teaspoon of pure bee honey with three to four drops of fresh lemon juice. Apply gently, only on the affected spots, and leave for 10 minutes before rinsing with lukewarm water. While honey soothes and softens, lemon helps to brighten naturally. Use twice a week in the evening.

Besan and Rose Water Oil-Control Pack:

An ideal remedy to combat shine, especially on the T-zone. Take two teaspoons of besan (gram flour) and mix with sufficient rose water to form a smooth paste. Add a pinch of turmeric for its antiseptic goodness. Apply evenly, keep for 15 minutes and wash off. It absorbs excess oil without over-drying, leaving a beautiful matte finish.

Aloe Vera and Cucumber Ice Soother:

Blend fresh aloe vera gel with the juice of a grated cucumber and freeze the mixture in an ice tray. Each morning, wrap one cube in a soft muslin cloth and gently rub over a cleansed face for 30 seconds. It calms, tightens pores and imparts a baby-soft smoothness.

Oatmeal and Curd Gentle Polish:

Roughness and old blemish marks need gentle exfoliation. Combine one tablespoon of finely powdered oatmeal with one tablespoon of fresh curd (yoghurt). Massage very gently, in circular motions, for one minute, leave for five minutes and rinse. It removes dead cells and unveils softer, clearer skin.

 Multani Mitti and Green Tea Magic Mask:

Brew some green tea and allow it to cool completely. Mix one and a half teaspoons of Multani Mitti (Fuller’s Earth) with the tea water to make a fine paste. Apply for 10 to 12 minutes – do not let it dry and crack completely – and wash off. It draws out impurities, fades blemishes and bestows a fresh, shine-free glow.

A Gentle Reminder:

As with any natural remedy, always do a patch test on your inner arm first. For those with oily or combination skin, avoid heavy coconut oil application and harsh scrubbing, as they tend to aggravate shine and blemishes.

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Compete, shine and be discovered at WCOPA 2027

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Dream of performing on a world stage? Well, here is your unique, golden opportunity!

The World Championships of Performing Arts (WCOPA) — the one and only official “Talent Olympics” — is the world’s premier global platform for aspiring singers, dancers, actors, models, instrumentalists, etc., to compete, shine and be discovered!

And, yes, this world stage is open to YOU, Sri Lankans living in Sri Lanka and overseas!

Held annually in glittering Las Vegas, WCOPA brings together over 70 countries, all competing for Gold, Silver and Bronze Medals, just like the traditional Olympics.

Lakisha Bernard: Will represent Team Sri Lanka at WCOPA 2027

Outstanding performers vie for the coveted titles of Junior and Senior Grand Champion Performer of the World, with winners and standout participants awarded over $500,000 in scholarships, cash awards and prizes to catapult their education and careers!

Sri Lanka is already making waves! At WCOPA 2026, Natharie Wickramasinghe, representing Team Sri Lanka, made the nation proud by winning a Bronze Medal in the Ethnic/Folklore Dance category!

Lakisha: Accomplished freelance Model and Fashion Design graduate

Recruitment for this prestigious competition is handled through a system of scouts and licensed National Directors — and this is where our very own Chris Rajendra, now based in Las Vegas, and National Director for Team Sri Lanka, comes into the scene.

If you are a singer, dancer, actor, model, instrumentalist — if you have talent burning inside you — contact Chris Rajendra today for registration and, who knows, you may find yourself in Las Vegas, and proudly draped in the Sri Lankan flag, at WCOPA 2027!

The contact address is: Chris Rajendra, wcopa.nationaldirector.sl@gmail.com

or chris.rajendra@gmail.com

Meanwhile, a star is born for 2027, in the form of Lakisha Bernard who is all set to represent Team Sri Lanka at WCOPA 2027.

Originally hailing from the sun-drenched coastal city of Colombo and now carving out her creative career in Canada, 22-year-old Lakisha is stepping into the international spotlight.

This accomplished freelance Model and Fashion Design graduate has officially been appointed as the Team Sri Lanka Promoter for Canada as she prepares to represent Team Sri Lanka at WCOPA in Las Vegas.

Lakisha brings a unique blend of high-fashion sensibility, captivating camera presence and expert garment design to the Team.

Having built her career, from local college shoots to high-glamour concepts, Lakisha’s inspiring journey embodies the true spirit of cultural bridge-building and creative resilience, bringing immense pride and recognition to Sri Lanka on the global stage.

WCOPA 2027 will be held at the legendary Westgate Hotel & Casino, Las Vegas, from 12th to 20th July – the very same iconic arena where the late, great Elvis Presley himself performed!

Your moment is now. Your stage is Las Vegas, so hurry and contact Chris Rajendra.

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