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CBSL maintains policy interest rates at their current levels

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The Monetary Board of the Central Bank of Sri Lanka, at its meeting held on 07 July 2021, decided to maintain the Standing Deposit Facility Rate (SDFR) and the Standing Lending Facility Rate (SLFR) of the Central Bank at their current levels of 4.50 per cent and 5.50 per cent, respectively. The Board arrived at this decision after carefully considering the macroeconomic conditions and expected developments on the domestic and global fronts.

The Sri Lankan economy is likely to have recorded a higher than expected growth rate in the first quarter of 2021

Although GDP estimates for the first quarter of 2021 have not been released by the Department of Census and Statistics, indicators for several key sectors of the economy point towards a stronger than expected recovery during the quarter. Disturbances to domestic economic activity due to the third wave of the COVID-19 pandemic and related preventive measures weakened the recovery somewhat, in the second quarter of 2021. Nevertheless, the ongoing vaccination drive throughout the country and the likely removal of mobility restrictions are expected to ease the impact of the current wave of COVID-19 on overall economic activity, thereby facilitating a sustained economic recovery towards achieving a GDP growth rate of around 5 per cent in 2021. Along with the expected recovery in the global economy and the improvements on the domestic front, the upward momentum of economic activity is envisaged to sustain over the medium term.

The external sector is expected to gradually recover in the period ahead

In spite of the resilience shown by merchandise exports, the trade deficit widened during the period from January to May 2021, over the same period last year. Challenges emanating from multiple waves of COVID-19 globally and domestically continued to stifle the recovery of the tourism industry. On the other hand, the notable improvement in workers’ remittances continued to provide support for the external current account. While the measures introduced to address challenges in the external sector have helped ease the domestic foreign exchange market conditions to some extent, speculative behaviour and frontloading of imports have caused undue pressures in the market. The exchange rate has recorded a depreciation of 6.7 per cent against the US dollar thus far during the year. As of end June 2021, the gross official reserves were estimated at US dollars 4.0 billion (equivalent to 2.7 months of imports). This does not include the bilateral currency swap facility with the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) of CNY 10 billion (equivalent to approximately US dollars 1.5 billion). Although the level of foreign reserves could experience some variations in the period ahead, such developments are expected to be temporary, with the adequate financing strategies lined up to

Economic Research Department 08.07.2021 2 maintain reserves at sufficient levels and to meet all maturing debt servicing obligations of the Government on time.

Market interest rates remain low, facilitating increased credit flows to the private sector

In response to the monetary policy easing measures adopted by the Central Bank, most market deposit and lending interest rates have declined to their historic low levels. Prevailing low interest rates and the surplus rupee liquidity in the domestic money market enabled the flow of low cost credit to the economy, thus supporting the revival of economic activity. Accordingly, credit extended to the private sector expanded notably during the period from January to May 2021, and this momentum is expected to sustain through 2021. The Central Bank expects domestic investors to make use of the low interest rate environment to expand their productive economic activities and explore new opportunities that are being created in the economy aimed at local and international markets. Meanwhile, credit obtained by the public sector from the banking system, particularly the Government, also increased notably, amidst the impact of the pandemic on government revenue and recurrent expenditure. With the significant expansion in domestic credit, the growth of broad money (M2b) remained elevated by end May 2021.

Any buildup of sustained inflationary pressures will be addressed through appropriate measures over the medium term

Inflation remains moderate, given the subdued aggregate demand conditions, although food inflation has accelerated due to supply-side disruptions. Inflation is expected to remain broadly within the desired 4-6 per cent range during the remainder of 2021. The envisaged improvements in aggregate demand conditions stemming from the effects of the stimulus measures adopted by the Central Bank and the Government and the likely increases in global commodity prices, may generate some inflationary pressures over the medium term. Such pressures will be mitigated through timely policy intervention by the Central Bank, thereby ensuring the maintenance of inflation in mid-single digit levels over the medium term.

Policy rates are maintained at current levels

In consideration of the current and expected macroeconomic developments highlighted above, the Monetary Board decided to maintain the policy interest rates, i.e., Standing Deposit Facility Rate (SDFR) and the Standing Lending Facility Rate (SLFR) of the Central Bank, at their current levels of 4.50 per cent and 5.50 per cent, respectively. The Central Bank will continue to monitor domestic and global macroeconomic and financial market developments and stand ready to take appropriate measures, as and when necessary, with the aim of maintaining inflation in the targeted 4-6 per cent range under the flexible inflation targeting framework in the medium term, while supporting sustained economic recovery.

Monetary Policy Decision:

Policy rates

and SRR unchanged

Standing Deposit Facility Rate (SDFR) 4.50%

Standing Lending Facility Rate (SLFR) 5.50%

Bank Rate 8.50%

Statutory Reserve Ratio (SRR) 2.00%

 

(CBSL)



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PEOTV secures media rights for FIFA World Cup

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SLT-MOBITEL PEOTV, Sri Lanka’s pioneering Internet Protocol Television (IPTV) service provider and leading digital entertainment platform, announced a landmark partnership with Fédération Internationale de Football Association (FIFA), securing the exclusive media broadcasting rights for the FIFA World Cup 2026™ in Sri Lanka.

The strategic partnership marks one of the most significant sports media acquisitions in the country’s broadcasting landscape, granting SLT-MOBITEL PEOTV exclusive rights to deliver every match of the FIFA World Cup 2026™ to audiences across Sri Lanka. Through PEOTV, PEO MOBILE, and digital platforms, football fans nationwide will have unparalleled access to the world’s most prestigious sporting event, ensuring they experience every moment of the tournament live, from the opening match to the final championship.

The acquisition of FIFA World Cup 2026™ rights represents another significant milestone in SLT-MOBITEL PEOTV’s continued investment in premium sports broadcasting. Over the years, PEOTV has built a strong reputation for delivering major international sporting events, offering customers reliable, high-quality coverage and enhanced viewing experiences through advanced IPTV technology. Viewers will enjoy the tournament in true High Definition (HD), delivering exceptional picture quality and an immersive viewing experience. Whether watching from home through PEOTV, on the move via PEO MOBILE, or through digital access points, fans can follow every defining goal and unforgettable celebration throughout the competition.

The FIFA World Cup 2026™ is set to make history as the largest edition of the tournament ever staged, with 104 matches featuring 48 nations competing across Canada, Mexico, and the United States. Expected to captivate billions of viewers worldwide, the tournament represents the pinnacle of international football and stands among the most celebrated sporting events on the global calendar.

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Ceylon Chamber expresses concern over new US labour-related tariffs and calls for urgent engagement

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The Ceylon Chamber of Commerce is concerned by the announcement of new labour-related tariffs by the United States on several countries, including a proposed 12.5% tariff on exports from Sri Lanka. This development comes at a time when Sri Lanka was continuing discussions with the US following the suspension of the previously announced reciprocal tariffs and was seeking to secure a more favourable trading arrangement.

The imposition of an additional tariff on Sri Lankan exports risks undermining the competitiveness of key export sectors compared to other countries, which are at a lower rate of 10%. At a time when Sri Lanka is working to accelerate export growth, attract investment, and create employment opportunities, any increase in trade barriers presents a significant challenge. At present, key goods exports such as Apparel and Tea are down by 7% and 6% respectively in the first four months of 2026.

Sri Lanka has built a strong reputation as a responsible sourcing destination, with many industries adhering to high labour, environmental, and governance standards. The country has also made substantial progress in strengthening regulatory frameworks and promoting ethical business practices.

The Ceylon Chamber therefore requests the relevant authorities to engage proactively and at the highest levels with the United States to better understand the basis for the tariff and to present Sri Lanka’s case. Every effort should be made to secure a reduction in the proposed tariff and, ultimately, to seek its removal altogether. It is important that Sri Lanka seeks to return to the lower tariff band while continuing discussions towards achieving a more competitive and predictable trading environment.

Given the importance of the US market to Sri Lankan exports, timely engagement and clear communication on the way forward will be critical in providing confidence to exporters and investors. The Ceylon Chamber stands ready to support these efforts and work collaboratively with all stakeholders to safeguard Sri Lanka’s export competitiveness and long-term economic interests.

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Rupee weakens sharply against dollar as energy cost concerns resurface

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The Sri Lankan rupee came under renewed pressure recently, depreciating significantly against the US dollar across several commercial banks, with the greenback’s selling rate reaching as high as Rs. 340 in some instances, triggering concerns among businesses, industrialists and consumers over the potential impact on inflation, electricity tariffs and the broader economy.

The latest depreciation marks one of the sharpest daily movements in recent months and comes at a time when Sri Lanka is striving to consolidate economic gains achieved through painful fiscal and monetary reforms.

Banking and financial sector sources said increased demand for foreign exchange, coupled with market uncertainty and rising import requirements, had contributed to the weakening of the local currency.

The development is expected to increase the cost of imports across a range of sectors, including fuel, pharmaceuticals, food items, industrial raw materials and machinery.

Economists note that while exporters may benefit from higher rupee returns on foreign currency earnings, the wider economy is likely to face increased cost pressures.

“The exchange rate affects virtually every sector of the economy. Any sustained depreciation inevitably filters through to consumer prices and business operating costs, a senior financial analyst said.

Particular concern is being expressed within the energy sector, where electricity generation costs remain closely linked to movements in the exchange rate.

Sri Lanka continues to rely heavily on imported fuel and energy-related inputs, all of which are purchased in foreign currency. A weaker rupee therefore translates directly into higher generation costs for the power sector.

Energy economists warn that if the depreciation trend continues, the financial burden on the electricity sector could increase substantially, potentially paving the way for future tariff revisions.

The issue has gained added significance amid ongoing discussions on Sri Lanka’s long-term energy transition and commitments to reduce dependence on coal-fired power generation.

Several energy experts argue that the country is entering a delicate phase where policymakers must carefully balance environmental objectives with affordability and energy security.

According to industry observers, the gradual move away from coal-based electricity generation—supported by international climate financing frameworks and policy reforms associated with multilateral lending programmes—could increase the country’s exposure to imported fuel costs unless sufficient low-cost alternatives are developed in time.

They point out that coal has historically provided relatively inexpensive baseload power to the national grid. While renewable energy sources such as solar and wind are essential components of Sri Lanka’s future energy strategy, experts note that large-scale storage systems and backup generation capacity remain costly and technologically demanding.

As a result, any future reduction in coal-based generation without corresponding investments in affordable alternatives could place additional pressure on electricity prices.

The latest weakening of the rupee further compounds these concerns.

“Every depreciation of the rupee increases the local currency cost of imported fuel, spare parts, equipment and energy-sector obligations. Ultimately, those costs have to be absorbed either by the utility provider, the Treasury or consumers, an energy sector specialist observed.

Industrialists have meanwhile warned that rising electricity costs could affect competitiveness, particularly among export-oriented manufacturers that are already operating under challenging global market conditions.

By Ifham Nizam

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