Business
CBSL continues accommodative monetary policy stance
Monetary Policy Review: October 2020
The Monetary Board of the Central Bank of Sri Lanka, at its meeting held on 21 October 2020, decided to maintain the Standing Deposit Facility Rate (SDFR) and the Standing Lending Facility Rate (SLFR) of the Central Bank at their current levels of 4.50 per cent and 5.50 per cent, respectively, thereby continuing the prevailing accommodative monetary policy stance.
The Board noted the decline in overall market lending rates, following the unprecedented monetary easing measures taken by the Central Bank thus far during the year, and expects the broadbased downward adjustment in market lending rates to continue, thereby ensuring affordable credit flows to productive sectors of the economy in the prevailing low inflation environment.
Global monetary policy continues to remain accommodative as global growth prospects remain bleak with the resurgence of COVID-19 in many parts of the world
The global economy, as per the World Economic Outlook (WEO) of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) released in October 2020, is projected to contract by 4.4 per cent in 2020. The outlook for growth in 2020 is less severe than the IMF’s previous forecast, supported by large scale policy stimuli implemented worldwide. However, the recent surge in COVID-19 cases globally has prompted several countries to reimpose lockdowns, which may dampen global growth prospects.
Against this background, most central banks across the globe are expected to continue their accommodative monetary policy stance in the foreseeable future.
The Sri Lankan economy is expected to move along a faster recovery path, despite the latest surge in COVID-19 cases locally that could hamper near term growth prospects.
The release of GDP estimates for the second quarter of 2020 by the Department of Census and Statistics (DCS) has been delayed. It is likely that the second quarter of 2020 has recorded a greater contraction than in the first quarter, followed by a recovery in the third quarter of the year. However, as per the DCS, the unemployment rate, which was estimated at 5.7 per cent in the first quarter of 2020, has declined to 5.4 per cent in the second quarter. The level of employment has also remained broadly unchanged in the second quarter compared to the large decline reported for the first quarter. These suggest that economic activity has remained without much deterioration in the second quarter. Other developments observed in leading indicators and high frequency data since the relaxation of the countrywide lockdown measures suggest that Sri Lanka is on a path towards economic revival. The unexpected COVID-19 cluster that has emerged recently could somewhat affect this momentum in the near term, but the expeditious measures that are being taken by the government to contain the spread could limit this impact.
External sector remains resilient with improved liquidity in the foreign exchange market
Better than expected outcomes in the external sector, as reflected by the incoming data, are indicative of the resilience of the external sector amidst growing worldwide uncertainties triggered by the outbreak of COVID-19. Alongside the improvement in earnings from merchandise exports, restrictions imposed on the importation of non-essential goods and low crude oil prices helped narrow the trade deficit substantially during the nine months ending September 2020. Services exports, excluding the tourism sector, continued to record a healthy growth led by computer and logistic services related activities. Workers’ remittances continued to record a notable acceleration since June 2020. In the meantime, Sri Lanka successfully settled the International Sovereign Bond (ISB) of US dollars 1 billion matured in early October 2020, continuing the unblemished record on debt servicing. The exchange rate remained stable and the depreciation of the Sri Lankan rupee against the US dollar is limited to 1.5 per cent thus far during the year. In this background, the Central Bank continued to purchase a sizeable volume of foreign exchange from the domestic market. Gross official reserves were estimated at US dollars 6.7 billion at end September 2020, which provided an import cover of 4.6 months.
Inflation is expected to remain within the desired range
Headline inflation, based on the Colombo Consumer Price Index (CCPI), decelerated in September 2020, on a year-on-year basis, while there was some acceleration in the National Consumer Price Index (NCPI) based headline inflation due to the rise in food prices. Meanwhile, core inflation based on both CCPI and NCPI continued to remain low, reflecting subdued demand conditions. The recent increase in food prices is expected to be short-lived supported by domestic supply side developments as well as the recent reduction in prices of several essential goods. Accordingly, inflation is expected to remain broadly within the desired range of 4-6 per cent in the near term and over the medium term with appropriate policy measures.
Most market interest rates have declined, reflecting the impact of the measures taken by the Central Bank thus far during the year
In response to the monetary easing measures effected to bring down borrowing costs of businesses and households, both market deposit and lending rates adjusted notably so far during the year. The Average Weighted Prime Lending Rate (AWPR) declined to historic lows in recent weeks, while new lending rates also adjusted downward in line with the expectations of the Central Bank. The imposition of lending rate caps on selected financial products in August 2020 has also helped bring down the overall lending rates in the market. Further space remains for market lending rates to decline, particularly with the high level of excess liquidity in the money market, which is deposited with the Central Bank at the SDFR of 4.50 per cent at present.
Credit to the private sector picked up notably in August 2020 and the upward trend is expected to continue supported by low interest rates
Following the contractions recorded in the preceding three months, credit disbursed to the private sector expanded notably in August 2020, reflecting the impact of low lending rates as well as concessional credit schemes. The expansion of credit to the private sector is expected to continue in the period ahead, despite the recent rise in COVID-19 infections, which is expected to be short-lived. Meanwhile, the overall domestic credit continued to expand sharply driven by the substantial increase in credit to the public sector. Accordingly, the growth of broad money further accelerated in August 2020.
Policy rates maintained at current levels
In consideration of the current and expected macroeconomic developments highlighted above, the Monetary Board, at its meeting held on 21 October 2020, was of the view that the current accommodative monetary policy stance is appropriate. Accordingly, the Board decided to maintain the Standing Deposit Facility Rate (SDFR) and the Standing Lending Facility Rate (SLFR) of the Central Bank at their current levels of 4.50 per cent and 5.50 per cent, respectively. The Central Bank will continue to monitor domestic and global macroeconomic and financial market developments and take further measures appropriately to ensure that the economy promptly reverts to a sustained high real GDP growth path, while maintaining inflation in the 4-6 per cent range under its flexible inflation targeting framework.
Business
Priority areas for deepening Japan-SL economic ties
Japan Business Council (SLJBC) of The Ceylon Chamber of Commerce recently held its 47th AGM, with the Ambassador of Japan and the Patron of the Council, Akio ISOMATA, attending as the Chief Guest.
Addressing the gathering, Ambassador ISOMATA outlined three priorities for deepening bilateral economic relations: an effective and forward-looking trade and investment policy, the promotion of domestic industrial policy, and expanded investment in renewable energy. He noted that Sri Lanka’s ongoing review of its Free Trade Agreement policy would be important in shaping the country’s future negotiating landscape. He encouraged Sri Lanka to look Eastward toward Southeast Asia and Japan, proposing that the country adopt an export-oriented industrial model. The Ambassador welcomed the Government’s National Export Development Plan 2026 and National Mineral Policy 2026 as consistent with Japan’s vision of connecting Sri Lanka’s export-related manufacturing sectors with India’s high-growth manufacturing base.
In his address, President Athulla R F Edirisinghe reflected on nearly seven decades of humanitarian and development support extended by Japan to Sri Lanka, and paid tribute to the Chairman of the Sasakawa Peace Foundation Yohei Sasakawa, for his magnanimity in establishing the Foundation. Reflecting on the history of Japanese investment in the region from the 1970s onward, he observed that Sri Lanka had missed many opportunities to attract Japanese foreign direct investment. Highlighting the 2025 proposal for a Sri Lanka – Japan Economic Corridor by the Ministry of Economy, Trade, and Industry Japan, he called on Sri Lankan businesses, industry associations, and the wider community to come together in dialogue with the Government to ensure the country does not miss this opportunity as well.
2026/27 Committee: President: Athulla R F Edirisinghe – Director, Hirohama Ceylon (Pvt) Ltd, Senior Vice President – Ruwan Waidyaratne – Managing Director, Hayleys Advantis Ltd, Vice – President – Shamil Mendis – Managing Director, Spear International (Pvt) Ltd, Treasurer – Rohitha Mendis – Managing Director of Prudential Shipping Lines (Pte) Ltd, Immediate Past President – Mahen Kariyawasan – Managing Director, Andrew The Travel Company (Pvt) Ltd, representatives from Amano Lanka Engineering (Pvt) Ltd, BOV Capital (Pvt) Ltd, Brandix Apparel (Pvt) Ltd, Heritage Teas (Pvt) Ltd, Kalhari Enterprises (Pvt) Ltd, Lanka Harness (Pvt) Ltd, Dentsu Grant (Pvt) Ltd, MAC Holdings (Pvt) Ltd, and Vidullanka PLC. By invitation: HVA Foods PLC (subsidiary of George Steuart & Co), Spillburg Holdings (Pvt) Ltd, and Vaughan Chemicals (Pvt) Ltd.
The Sri Lanka – Japan Business Council plays an important role in promoting trade, tourism, and investments between Japan and Sri Lanka. For membership inquiries contact Kiyara at The Ceylon Chamber of Commerce via E-mail: businesscouncils1@chamber.lk or Tel.: 011 5588875/ 5588800.
Business
Rekawa turns turtle conservation into a 30-year community business model
By Ifham Nizam
What started 30 years ago as an effort to protect sea turtles has evolved into a community-based economic model that has generated livelihoods, attracted tourists and transformed Rekawa into one of Sri Lanka’s best-known nature tourism destinations.
The Rekawa Turtle Conservation Project, launched on September 2, 1996, by the Turtle Conservation Project (TCP) in partnership with the Department of Wildlife Conservation and the Rekawa community, marked its 30th anniversary last week, demonstrating how biodiversity protection can become an economic opportunity for communities living alongside sensitive natural resources.
Speaking at the anniversary celebrations, TCP chairman Thushan Kapurusinghe said the project currently provides direct livelihoods for 28 people, but its economic impact extends considerably beyond those directly employed by the programme.
‘Today, 28 people directly earn their livelihood through this project. But its impact goes far beyond those 28 individuals, Kapurusinghe said.
He pointed to the transformation of the area over the past three decades, arguing that the growth of tourism in the community has been closely linked to the turtle conservation programme.
‘If you travel from Netolpitiya to this area, you can clearly see how much the village has transformed over the years. There is no doubt that the growth of tourism in this community has been driven by the Turtle Conservation Project, he said.
The economic significance of Rekawa lies in its ability to convert the protection of a natural asset into a source of recurring community income.
Tourists do not come to Rekawa merely to see a beach. They come to witness sea turtles emerging from the ocean and nesting in their natural habitat—a tourism experience that depends directly on the continued protection of the nesting beach.
Kapurusinghe said tour operators regularly bring visitors to Rekawa, with some tourists traveling there after visiting major attractions such as the Kandy Esala Perahera.
The model represents a fundamental shift from viewing conservation as an expense to recognising biodiversity as an economic asset that can generate sustainable livelihoods when properly managed.
The 30th anniversary celebration at the Rekawa Turtle Conservation Project Information Centre brought together Southern Wildlife Region Director of the Department of Wildlife Conservation Channa Suraweera, government officials, conservation organisations, community representatives and long-standing supporters of the initiative.
Individuals who had contributed to the project over the past three decades were also recognised with awards for their service to sea turtle and environmental conservation.
Rekawa’s experience has attracted international attention because of precisely this combination of conservation and community development. The project has received international recognition as well as the Green Employment Award from the Ministry of Environment and Natural Resources. Earlier international recognition included a highly commended ‘Tourism for Tomorrow’ award, while the project’s turtle-watch programme subsequently received further recognition in responsible tourism and conservation.
Business
Ceylinco Life brings premium policyholders closer to the magic of the Kandy Perahera
For an evening, the timeless spectacle of the Kandy Esala Perahera unfolded at especially close quarters for a select group of Ceylinco Life’s most valued policyholders and their families, who were hosted to an exclusive viewing experience by the Company’s Customer Relations Division.
Held at the Ceylinco Life Kandy Branch on Kings Street, the annual event coincided with the second Randoli Perahera, bringing guests into the heart of one of Sri Lanka’s most spectacular expressions of culture, tradition and pageantry.
As the procession made its majestic passage through the streets of Kandy, guests enjoyed VIP seating at a prime vantage point, allowing them to experience the colour, movement and grandeur of the Perahera up close. The evening offered a fitting setting for Ceylinco Life to celebrate its enduring relationships with its premium clientele.
The experience extended well beyond the spectacle outside. Guests were welcomed with evening refreshments and an exclusive dinner buffet presented by the prestigious Amaya Hills Resort, adding a fine-dining dimension to an already memorable evening.
Families, too, were at the centre of the occasion. A private movie theatre experience provided entertainment for children and adults alike, while each attending family received a beautifully framed family photograph as a personalised souvenir, a tangible reminder of an evening shared together against the backdrop of one of Sri Lanka’s most treasured cultural traditions.
Besides being a much sought-after opportunity to watch the Perahera, the occasion was an expression of appreciation. Through its continuing Customer Relationship Management activities, Ceylinco Life seeks to create experiences that recognise its most valued policyholders not simply as customers, but as relationships to be celebrated and nurtured. And on this particular August evening, the enduring splendour of the Kandy Perahera provided the perfect setting for doing just that.
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