Connect with us

Features

Lalith and Premadasa assassinated,I make my first foray in politics

Published

on

Sarath Amunugama and Gamini Dissanayake fter their victory at the Central Provincial Council election

Were wires crossed on intercepted LTTE communications?

(Excerpted from vol. 3 of the Sarath Amunugama autbiography)
“On the 14th November 1987 Parliament passed
the 13th amendment to the constitution
and the Provincial Councils Act of 1987
to establish Provincial Councils”
Wikipedia

The DUNF entered the provincial council elections with much hope. We had outstanding leaders in many of the districts that we contested. Lalith contested the Colombo district and his campaign entered high gear though we were constantly warned that he was in danger of an attack by Premadasa’s goons. Premachandra contested Kurunegala and Gamini moved to Kandy with his wife Sirima leading our Nuwara Eliya contingent.

I too decided to contest from Kandy district and was confident of being returned because of the splendid response from my voters. I chose Harispattuwa which was an electorate with a large number of voters though it was equally segmented by Goigama, other caste and Muslim voters. The Buddhist priests in the electorate backed me which worried Hameed who used to gather their votes as a supplementary to his Muslim votes which put him easily over the top.

Then tragedy struck. Lalith who was an indefatigable campaigner was assassinated while addressing a meeting at Kirulapone. Our fears were about his earlier meeting which was held in Hulftsdorp close to Sucharitha – the home of the President. He had worn a bulletproof vest for this meeting but had relaxed after an uneventful finale and had taken it off for the last ill organized meeting at Kirulapone, which was held under lights as it was already dusk when it began. A moving assassin had shot him in the chest and Lalith’s bodyguard had returned fire and wounded him.

But the shooter had disappeared in the melee. As soon as I heard of this disaster I abandoned my campaigning and returned to Colombo to find our party in a state of shock and convinced that the dirty work was the work of the President and his supporters. Our Central Committee met and issued a statement which virtually accused the President of the murder of our leader. This obviously worried Premadasa who denied the charge and at a public meeting soon after made a heartfelt plea to the nation to absolve him. Little did we know that he would, within days, meet a similar fate himself

Lalith’s funeral

Lalith’s funeral shook up the city. There was a massive gathering which followed the cortege to Kanatte. This included a large number of grieving young men and women who had benefitted from his Mahapola scheme. The security forces were lined up along the road to prevent any incidents but there were several skirmishes on the way and the Police fired tear gas at those in the procession. The atmosphere was electric when we entered the cemetery with thousands of sorrowing people crowding round the coffin. Then there was a sight which is engraved in the minds of those who were present that day. High above on the sky was a lone eagle gliding along the clouds and circling the massive crowd that had assembled below.

We were not unaware that our party symbol was a “Rajaliya” or eagle and this dramatic sight added to the highly charged atmosphere when Gamini gave the funeral oration on behalf of the party. We then retired to lick our wounds and plan our next moves in the light of this crippling blow. Gamini had to take over the leadership and we found that Mrs. Bandaranaike was fully supportive of this move. We decided to go back to our districts and keep up the momentum because the election was drawing near. Lalith’s death was particularly poignant for us in Kandy because he was billed to have spent several days in our electorates as our leader supporting DUNF candidates. He was much in demand as an able orator and we were sure that our campaign would get a big boost with his presence. But that was not to be. We were in shellshock and did not really recover in the short time left to election day.

Murder of a President

Little did we know that the election campaign would be again interrupted by a murder. On May Day 1993 President Premadasa was to lead a rally of the UNP which was to climax with his speech at the Galle Face green. No effort was spared to make it a grand occasion. The “buzz” in Colombo was that he was going to clear his name by identifying the real killers of Lalith, thereby putting an end to the feverish speculation of organized murder that was being promoted by Ravaya and Yukthiya weeklies which had a special relationship with Lalith.

Since the DUNF had lost its leader we were not participating in May Day celebrations. The other opposition parties had their token meetings but they were overshadowed by the UNP juggernaut organized by Sirisena Cooray under the personal supervision of the President. As was his wont Premadasa had arranged to flag off the Colombo Central procession from near the Armour street junction. He ignored the warnings of the police and his soothsayers to stay away from such gatherings on that day.

I was campaigning in a village in Udunuwara electorate in the afternoon of May 1 when the DIG of Kandy district sent a police car with a message that the President had been injured. He requested me to terminate the meeting and go home to await further information because there were contradictory reports coming from Colombo and the state TV and radio remained silent.

By the time I reached Nugawela it became clear that the President had been killed by a LTTE bomber named Babu who had been part of his entourage and had even accompanied him on his visits to Kandy. I was deeply grieved by President Premadasa’s death because, despite political differences, he had been fond of me as I had been of him.

Indeed he had been instrumental in fashioning my destiny when he had me transferred to Colombo as the Director of Information as described in Volume One of my autobiography. He was a sincere and deeply committed “man of the people” and the fate of Sri Lanka would have been different had he lived. He was easily the most hard working political leader that I have been privileged to serve.

Inside story

I have often wondered about the “inside story” of Premadasa’s assassination. There were several loose ends which have to be tied up. The most significant are statements by several senior government officials who later interacted with the LTTE. They insist that they were told that the LTTE had nothing to do with the killing.

Another important factor was that by this time Premadasa had antagonized most of the top secret services of the world. He hated RAW and had made many disparaging remarks about India and her leaders. He displeased MI5 by declaring Gladstone – the British High Commissioner “persona non grata” and expelling him from the country. He antagonized Mossad by publicly accusing Israel of supporting Lalith and Gamini and appointing a Commission of Inquiry hoping to dig up some dirt. Even if these agencies were in the know of conspiracies against Premadasa it is unlikely that they would have blown the whistle or gone out of their way to warn their local counterparts.

But perhaps I could now divulge some information which was conveyed to me by Sirisena Cooray which can add to the conundrum of the Premadasa murder. Since we were good friends I asked Siri to tell me of this event since the Ravaya, and other weeklies accused him of planning Lalith’s murder and had itemized circumstantial evidence which they freely disseminated week after week.

Insisting that both murders were planned and executed by the LTTE, Cooray told me that they had intercepted LTTE communications soon after Lalith’s death. One such message said that target number one [Lalith] had been hit and they would now immediately go for target number two. According to Cooray they assumed that target number two was Gamini. Perhaps that was the “secret” that Premadasa alluded to and was planning to divulge on Galle Face green.

Only later after Premadasa’s death did they wise up to the fact that target number two was the President himself. His confidence in appearing nonchalantly in Armour street, despite pleas not to expose himself to danger, may have been because he thought he knew who target number two was [He thought it was Gamini] and that he was safe. [I must digress here to divulge that both Lakshman Kadirgamar and Jeyaraj Fernandopulle who were killed by the LTTE had similarly believed that they were not LTTE targets because they had got assurances from sources close to the LTTE leadership that they would be spared.]

Though we continued with our electoral campaigning the two recent assassinations completely changed the nature of the election. It had unexpected consequences for the DUNF, Gamini and me.

The aftermath

With the death of Premadasa the UNP had to reorient itself in the absence of its charismatic and ruthless leader. DB Wijetunga, my friend and former minister, who was a “stop gap” PM in Premadasa’s designs was unanimously elected President for the rest of the late President’s term of office. Though many expected Sirisena Cooray to succeed as PM that position went to Ranil Wickremesinghe who had been the Leader of the House. Cooray, who attributed his reluctance to be the PM to his shock at his late leaders demise, may have later regretted it because he was systematically maneuvered out of his office and position in the party by Wickremesinghe and Wijetunga.

It must be stated here that Ranil displayed great skill in effecting a smooth transition. He secured Wijetunga’s position as the new President who in turn appointed Ranil as the Prime Minister. The Premadasa faction which was led by the ambitious widow Hema Premadasa was outmaneuvered as Ranil was determined to be the leader of Colombo district notwithstanding the Premadasa voting machine which dominated Colombo Central and thereby the district as a whole.

What could have led to a dogfight for UNP leadership was averted and Wijetunga’s simplicity and early decision to dismantle some of his predecessors draconian laws made him popular among the Colombo elite who approved of the journalistic description of him as “Dearly Beloved”. He had the support of the UNPs steamroller majority of MPs who were now relieved of their fear of Premadasa’s frequent wrath.

The ascent of Wijetunga helped the UNP to win the Central Provincial Council election comfortably. The Kandy district results were as follows;

UNP: 16 seats

SLFP: 09 seats

DUNF: 05 seats

The provincial councillors elected from DUNF on the basis of proportional representation were;

1. Gamini Dissanayake

2. Sarath Amunugama

3. Keheliya Rambukwella

4. D Samaratunga

5. “Samanala” Shafie

On analyzing the results of this election we of the DUNF had to come to several political conclusions. With the elevation of Wijetunga to the Presidency the hill country remained anchored to the UNP. WB Dissanayake, a former acolyte of Gamini, led the UNP to victory and became the Chief Minister. In other provinces the verdict was not so clear. In the Western and North Western provinces the combined strength of the SLFP and DUNF gave them a majority.

Accordingly we threw our support to CBK to be the Chief Minister of the Western Province. She thereby entered national politics with a bang leading to her achieving much higher office later on in her career. In exchange we negotiated with Mrs. B to get SLFP support for Premachandra of the DUNF to be Chief Minister of the NWP, even though they had more seats in the council.

CBK’s appointment again threw the SLFP into confusion leading to the exit of Anura from his mother’s party. He accepted the invitation from the UNP to join its Cabinet as Minister of Higher Education. The background to Anura’s volte face” was the plot hatched by the new leaders of the party – Ranil, Cooray and Wijetunga – to prevent Gamini from returning to the UNP.

By this time the rank and file of the UNP wanted a national leader with “star quality” and outstanding oratorical skills. None of the three above mentioned had those attributes and the induction of Anura was meant to forestall a demand for Gamini by UNPers and thereby keep him at bay. With Anura’s hasty decision to cross over, the Anura-Mahinda Rajapaksa alliance was broken as the latter refused to join his “lokka” in the UNP fold. It was a fateful and strategic decision because Anura was then moved out of contention for SLFP leadership and the way forward for Mahinda, as the legatee of the Anura faction, in the SLFP became apparent.

Mahinda’s smart move eliminated Anura from the SLFP leadership struggle and made him the rival and challenger of CBK. It was the beginning of Mahinda’s ascent to power. In the future the dominance of the Bandaranaikes of Horagolla in local politics was to be replaced by the Rajapaksas of Medamulana.

(Volume three of the Sarath Amunugama autobiography covering 1992-2022 is available at the Vijitha Yapa Bookshop)



Continue Reading
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Features

Iain Douglas-Hamilton: Science, courage, and the battle for elephants

Published

on

Iain Douglas-Hamilton

Passing of Iain Douglas-Hamilton, a man who dedicated his life to conservation and whose life’s work leaves a lasting impact on our appreciation for, and understanding of, elephants.

– Prince William

In Africa on 08 December, 2025, when the sun slipped below the horizon, it did not only give an end for that day, but it also marked the end of a man whose knowledge and courage saved Africa’s elephants. This gentleman was none other than Iain Douglas-Hamilton! There is a beautiful African proverb that says, “When an old man dies, a library burns to the ground,” and it resonates well with Iain’s demise.

Iain pioneered behaviour research on elephants, and he was the first to highlight the elephant poaching crisis in Africa. Also, the adventures he went through to save the elephants will inspire generations.

From Oxford to Africa

The Life of the Last Proboscideans: Elephants”, authored by Muthukumarana, stands as an awardwinning, comprehensive study that integrates elephant evolution, anthropology, biology, behaviour, and conservation science.

Iain was born on 16 August, 1942, into an aristocratic family, the son of Lord David Douglas-Hamilton and Ann Prunella Stack. His parents were a distinguished couple in Britain: his father, a Scottish nobleman, served as a squadron leader in the Royal Air Force, while his mother was a pioneering figure in physical fitness and a prominent advocate for women’s rights. After finishing his school, Iain was admitted to Oxford University to study zoology. At the age of 23, for his PhD, Iain travelled to Tanzania to study the behaviour of elephants at Lake Manyara National Park. This was a daring and humble beginning that would change how the world understood elephants. He learnt to recognise individual animals based on their tusks and ears. He observed their family bonds, their grief, and their intelligence. These findings made the scientific community identify elephants as sentimental beings. During this period, he married Oria Rocco, and together they had two children, Saba and Mara.

Battle for the elephants

When ivory poaching swept across Africa and devastated elephant populations, Iain did not withdraw in despair. He confronted the crisis head-on, guided by science, rigorous data, and unwavering resolve. Through extensive aerial counts and field studies, he laid bare the scale of the tragedy—revealing that Africa’s elephant numbers had collapsed from an estimated 1.3 million to just about 600,000 in little more than 10 years.

It was largely thanks to his work that the global community saw—perhaps for the first time—the full scope of the crisis. His efforts played a pivotal role in pushing forward the 1989 international ban on ivory trade, a landmark moment for wildlife conservation.

In 1993, Iain founded Save the Elephants (STE), an organisation that would become the heart of elephant conservation efforts in Kenya and across Africa.

At STE, he pioneered the use of GPS-tracking and aerial survey techniques to monitor elephant movements, protect them from poaching, and plan safe corridors for them in increasingly human-dominated landscapes. These methods have since become standard tools in wildlife conservation worldwide.

Beyond technology and science, Iain was a mentor. He inspired — and continues to inspire — generations of conservationists, researchers, and everyday people who care deeply about wildlife. Through his books (such as Among the Elephants and Battle for the Elephants), documentaries, lectures, and personal example, he invited the world to see elephants not as trophies or commodities, but as sentient beings — worthy of awe, study, and protection.

Iain and Sri Lanka

In 2003 Iain came to Sri Lanka for the first time to attend the “Symposium on Human-Elephant Relationships and Conflict” as the keynote speaker. On that day he concluded his address by saying, “When I hear the talk of Problem Animal Control, I always wonder whether our species has the capacity for its own self-regulation or Problem Human Control in a humane and wise manner. HEC stands for Human Elephant Conflict, one of our focuses of this conference. How I wish it could come to stand for Human Elephant Coexistence, based on a recognition that other beings also need their space to live in. We are a long way from that, but I am sure that many of the findings of the talented body of researchers in this room will begin a stepwise progress in answering some of these fundamental problems.”

A few years ago Iain’s organisation STE collaborated with the Sri Lankan Wildlife Conservation Society for research activities aimed at reducing human-elephant conflict. In 2016 when the Sri Lankan government was going to destroy the confiscated illegal African elephant ivory, I made a request for Iain to write a congratulatory message to Sri Lanka’s President and Prime Minister for the wise decision they had taken. Iain sent me a four-page meaningful letter written by him, and he was joined by 18 other conservation organisations. In his letter he mentioned, “I want to offer my congratulations to the government of Sri Lanka for the laudable decision to destroy ivory stocks…” Sri Lanka is sending a message to the world that ivory should be without worth; elephants have value when alive. This is a critical message to send, particularly to the religious world, as they are sensitised about the threat religious ivory poses to elephant populations in Africa.”

Fortunately, Iain’s conservation is taken up by his children, especially his eldest daughter, Saba. In 2016 and 2024 she came to Sri Lanka for a lecture hosted by the Galle Literary Festival. Also in 2019, for the Wildlife and Nature Protection Society’s 125th Anniversary, Saba and her husband visited a gala dinner that was held to fundraise for conservation projects.

A difficult path

Iain’s path was never easy. He endured personal peril many times: from hostile terrain and unpredictable wild animals to being shot at by poachers while conducting aerial patrols over war-torn national parks.

Yet despite the danger, despite setbacks — flooded camps, lost data, shifting political tides — his conviction never wavered. His was a life marked by resilience. He refused complacency. He refused to surrender. And through every hardship, he remembered why he began: to give elephants a future.

Iain was also a pilot, and as the old English saying goes, “Pilots don’t die; they simply fly higher.” In that spirit, I wish the same peaceful ascent for Iain. My heartfelt condolences are with Iain’s family.

by Tharindu Muthukumarana ✍️
tharinduele@gmail.com
(Author of the award-winning book “The Life of Last Proboscideans: Elephants”)




Continue Reading

Features

Awesome power of gratitude

Published

on

When you hear the word gratitude the first impression you get is a tail-wagging dog. If you feed a dog one day, it will wag its tail even if you meet it after a few years. That is gratitude. In addition, dogs are great teachers. They are at home in the world. They live in the moment and they force us to stay with them. Dogs love us and remain grateful unconditionally not for our bodies or bank accounts.

Small children are taught to say ‘Thank you’ for any favour they receive from others. They do not know that the two words can have positive effects on your health and the well-being of others.

Some time ago I had to call emergency services as I found one of my family members was unconscious. Within minutes an ambulance arrived and the paramedics whisked the patient away to the nearest hospital. He was in intensive care for a few days and returned home. We were marvelled at the impact of a handful of strangers who took charge of the patient at a critical time. I immediately wrote thank you notes to those who saved the patient’s life. I knew that it was a small gesture on my part. However, it was the only way I could express my gratitude to a dedicated team.

Selfless people

Later I realized that there are a large number of selfless people who do life-saving work, but they never expect anything in return. How volunteers saved a large number of flood victims is a case in point. The flood victims may not have expressed their gratitude in so many words. However, they would have felt a deep sense of gratitude to the volunteers who saved them.

Why do people come forward to help those facing natural disasters and other dangerous situations? A recent research in the United States shows that sharing thoughts of gratitude and performing acts of kindness can boost your mood and have other positive effects on your health. Almost all religions teach that gratitude does have a good impact on your happiness. Professor of Psychology Willibald Ruch says that gratitude is among the top five predictors of happiness.

By showing gratitude you can make positive changes in your own life. If you feel a sense of gratitude whenever you receive something that is good for you, it will be a healthy sign. You cannot get such a feeling in a vacuum because others have to play their roles. They can be your loved ones, friends, strangers or even people in authority. Gratitude is how you relate to them when you see yourself in connection with things larger than yourself.

Gratification lifestyle

Strangely, many people do not pause to appreciate what others are doing for them. For this you have to blame your gratification lifestyle. With the popularity of social media the young people feel that they are the centre of the universe. They seem to think there is no necessity to thank those who help them.

Why should we thank others even for minor favours? Recent studies show that those who express gratitude increase their own happiness levels. They also lower their blood pressure levels to a great extent. On the other hand, they will be able to sleep well and improve their relationships. They are also less affected by pain because of the positive impact on their depression.

They may not know that positive effects of gratitude are long lasting. Research shows that those who write thank you notes improve their mental health. There was also a decrease in their bodily pains. What is more, they feel more energetic in completing their daily activities. Unfortunately, schools and universities do not teach the value of gratitude since it is fairly a new field of study. Researchers are still trying to find out its cause and effect relationship. We know that those who perform acts of gratitude can sleep well. However, we do not know the reason for it. Researchers are wondering whether gratitude leads to better sleep or sleep leads to more gratitude. They also probe whether there is another variable that leads to gratitude and improved sleep.

Children

Despite such controversies, we know for certain that gratitude can benefit people at any stage of life. Most elderly people remain grateful for their children and grandchildren who support them. Elderly people cannot regain their physical strength or mental agility. Therefore they focus on gratitude. They are thankful to their children and grandchildren for their present situation.

How do gratitude recipients react? Research shows that those who receive thank you notes or acts of kindness experience positive emotions. You feel happy when someone holds a door open for you. Similarly, you are happy if you receive some unexpected help. Recently I was pleasantly surprised to see that someone has credited a big sum of money to my bank account in appreciation of a small favour I had done.

When you thank someone they are more likely to return the favour or pay kindness forward. Psychologically, people feel very happy when you thank them. However, some people hesitate to say thank you. The give-and-take of gratitude deepens relationships. In a close relationship husbands and wives do not thank each other. However, there are other ways of showing gratitude. A wife can make her husband feel appreciated. Such a feeling of appreciation will go a long way to strengthen their relationship.

Some people are ungrateful by nature. However, they can learn the art of being grateful. Such people will do well to maintain a gratitude journal. It is something similar to Pinpotha maintained by Buddhists in the past. They can record positive events in the journal. At the beginning this may not be easy. With practice, however, you can do it well. I knew of a man who kept a gratitude journal. Although his family members laughed at him, he did not give up the habit. When he was diagnosed with a terminal disease he used to read his gratitude journal very happily.

By R.S. Karunaratne ✍️

Continue Reading

Features

Another Christmas, Another Disaster, Another Recovery Mountain to Climb

Published

on

In line with its overall response to Cyclone Ditwah that devastated many parts of Sri Lanka, India has undertaken to set up temporary Bailey Bridges at selected locations. Work on the first such bridge has begun in Kilinochchi on the Paranthan–Karaichi–Mullaitivu A35 road. Indian Army engineers are working with their counterparts. The Indian HC said that 185 tonnes of Bailey Bridge units were airlifted to restore critical connectivity, along with 44 engineers (Pic courtesy IHC)

The 2004 Asian Tsunami erupted the day after Christmas. Like the Boxing Day Test Match in Brisbane, it was a boxing day bolt for Indonesia, Thailand, Sri Lanka, India and Maldives. Twenty one years later, in 2025, multiple Asian cyclones hit almost all the old victims and added a few more, including Malayasia, Vietnam and Cambodia. Indonesia and Sri Lanka were hit hard both times. Unlike the 2004 Tsunami, the 2025 cyclones made landfalls weeks before Christmas, during the Christian Season of Advent, the four-week period before Christmas preparing for the arrival of the Messiah. An ominously adventus manifestation of the nature’s fury.

Yet it was not the “day of wrath and doom impending … heaven and earth in ashes ending” – heavenly punishment for government lying, as an opposition politician ignorantly asserted. By that token, the gods must have opted to punish half a dozen other Asian countries for the NPP government’s lying in Sri Lanka. Or all those governments have been caught lying. Everyone is caught and punished for lying, except the world’s Commander in Chief for lying – Donald J. Trump. But as of late and none too sooner, President Trump is getting his punishment in spades. Who would have thought?

In fairness, even the Catholic Church has banished its old hymn of wrath (Dies irae, dies illa) that used to be sung at funerals from its current Missals; and it has on offer, many other hymns of peace and joy, especially befitting the Christmas season. Although this year’s Christmas comes after weeks of havoc caused by cyclonic storms and torrential rains, the spirit of the season, both in its religious and secular senses, will hopefully provide some solace for those still suffering and some optimism to everyone who is trying to uplift the country from its overflowing waterways and sliding slopes.

As the scale of devastation goes, no natural disaster likely will surpass the human fatalities that the 2004 Tsunami caused. But the spread and scale of this year’s cyclone destruction, especially the destruction of the island’s land-forms and its infrastructure assets, are, in my view, quite unprecedented. The scale of the disaster would finally seem to have sunk into the nation’s political skulls after a few weeks of cacophonic howlers – asking who knew and did what and when. The quest for instant solutions and the insistence that the government should somehow find them immediately are no longer as vehement and voluble as they were when they first emerged.

NBRO and Landslides

But there is understandable frustration and even fear all around, including among government ministers. To wit, the reported frustration of Agriculture Minister K.D. Lalkantha at the alleged inability of the National Building Research Organization (NBRO) to provide more specific directions in landslide warnings instead of issuing blanket ‘Level 3 Red Alerts’ covering whole administrative divisions in the Central Province, especially in the Kandy District. “We can’t relocate all 20 divisional secretariats” in the Kandy District, the Minister told the media a few weeks ago. His frustration is understandable, but expecting NBRO to provide political leaders with precise locations and certainty of landslides or no landslides is a tall ask and the task is fraught with many challenges.

In fairness to NBRO and its Engineers, their competence and their responses to the current calamity have been very impressive. It is not the fault of the NBRO that local disasters could not be prevented, and people could not be warned sufficiently in advance to evacuate and avoid being at the epicentre of landslides. The intensity of landslides this year is really a function of the intensity and persistence of rainfall this season, for the occurrence of landslides in Sri Lanka is very directly co-related to the amount of rainfall. The rainfall during this disaster season has been simply relentless.

Evacuation, the ready remedy, is easier said than socially and politically done. Minister Lal Kantha was exasperated at the prospect of evacuating whole divisional secretariats. This was after multiple landslides and the tragedies and disasters they caused. Imagine anybody seriously listening to NBRO’s pleas or warnings to evacuate before any drop of rainwater has fallen, not to mention a single landslide. Ignoring weather warnings is not peculiar to Sri Lanka, but a universal trait of social inertia.

I just lauded NBRO’s competence and expertise. That is because of the excellent database the NBRO professionals have compiled, delineating landslide zones and demarcating them based on their vulnerability for slope failure. They have also identified the main factors causing landslides, undertaken slope stabilization measures where feasible, and developed preventative and mitigative measures to deal with landslide occurrences.

The NBRO has been around since the 1980s, when its pioneers supplemented the work of Prof. Thurairajah at Peradeniya E’Fac in studying the Hantana hill slopes where the NHDA was undertaking a large housing scheme. As someone who was involved in the Hantana project, I have often thought that the initiation of the NBRO could be deemed one of the positive legacies of then Housing Ministry Secretary R. Paskaralingam.

Be that as it may, the NBRO it has been tracking and analyzing landslides in Sri Lanka for nearly three decades, and would seem to have come of age in landslides expertise with its work following 2016 Aranayake Landslide Disaster in the Kegalle District. Technically, the Aranayake disaster is a remarkable phenomenon and it is known as a “rain-induced rapid long-travelling landslide” (RRLL). In Kegalle the 2016 RRLL carried “a fluidized landslide mass over a distance of 2 km” and caused the death of 125 people. International technical collaboration following the disaster produced significant research work and the start of a five-year research project (from 2020) in partnership with the International Consortium on Landslides (ICL). The main purpose of the project is to improve on the early warning systems that NBRO has been developing and using since 2007.

Sri Lankan landslides are rain induced and occur in hilly and mountainous areas where there is rapid weathering of rock into surface soil deposits. Landslide locations are invariably in the wet zone of the country, in 13 districts, in six provinces (viz., the Central, Sabaragamuwa, Uva, Northwestern, Western and Southern, provinces). The Figure below (from NBRO’s literature) shows the number of landslides and fatalities every year between 2003 and 2021.

Based on the graphics shown, there would have been about 5,000 landslides and slope failures with nearly 1,000 deaths over 19 years between 2003 and 2021. Every year there was some landslide or slope failure activity. One notable feature is that there have been more deaths with fewer landslides and vice-versa in particular years. In 2018, there were no deaths when the highest number (1,250) of landslides and slope failures occurred that year. Although the largest number in an year, the landslides in 2018 could have been minor and occurred in unpopulated areas. The reasons for more deaths in, say, 2016 (150) or 2017 (250+), could be their location, population density and the severity of specific landslides.

NBRO’s landslide early warning system is based on three components: (1) Predicting rainfall intensity and monitoring water pressure build up in landslide areas; (2) Monitoring and observing signs of soil movement and slope instability in vulnerable areas; and (3) Communicating landslide risk level and appropriate warning to civil authorities and the local public. The general warnings to Watch (Yellow), be Alert (Brown), or Evacuate (Red) are respectively based on the anticipated rainfall intensities, viz., 75 mm/day, 100 mm/day; and 150 mm/day or 100 mm/hr. My understanding is that over the years, NBRO has established its local presence in vulnerable areas to better communicate with the local population the risk levels and timely action.

Besides Landslides

This year, the rain has been relentless with short-term intensities often exceeding the once per 100-year rainfall. This is now a fact of life in the era of climate change. Added to this was cyclone Ditwah and its unique meteorology and trajectory – from south to north rather than northeast to southwest. The cyclone started with a disturbance southwest of Sri Lanka in the Arabian Sea, traversed around the southern coast from west to east to southeast in the Bay of Bengal, and then cut a wide swath from south to north through the entire easterly half of the island. The origin and the trajectory of the cyclone are also attributed to climate change and changes in the Arabian Sea. The upshot again is unpredictability.

Besides landslides, the rainfall this season has inundated and impacted practically every watershed in the country, literally sweeping away roads, bridges, tanks, canals, and small dams in their hundreds or several hundreds. The longitudinal sinking of the Colombo-Kandy Road in the Kadugannawa area seems quite unparalleled and this may not be the only location that such a shearing may have occurred. The damages are so extensive and it is beyond Sri Lanka’s capacity, and the single-term capacity of any government, to undertake systematic rebuilding of the damaged and washed-off infrastructure.

The government has its work cutout at least in three areas of immediate restoration and long term prevention. On landslides warning, it would seem NBRO has the technical capacity to do what it needs to do, and what seems to be missing is a system of multi-pronged and continuous engagement between the technical experts, on the one hand, and the political and administrative powers as well as local population and institutions, on the other. Such an arrangement is warranted because the landslide problem is severe, significant and it not going to go away now or ever.

Such an engagement will also provide for the technical awareness of the problem, its mitigation and the prevention of serious fallouts. A restructuring could start from the assignment of ministerial responsibilities, and giving NBRO experts constant presence at the highest level of decision making. The engagement should extend down the pyramid to involve every level of administration, including schools and civil society organizations at the local level.

As for external resources, several Asian countries, with India being the closest, are already engaged in multiple ways. It is up to the government to co-ordinate and deploy these friendly resources for maximum results. Sri Lanka is already teamed with India for meteorological monitoring and forecasting, and with Japan for landslide research and studies. These collaborations will obviously continue but they should be focused to fill gaps in climate predictions, and to enhance local level monitoring and prevention of landslides.

To deal with the restoration of the damaged infrastructure in multiple watershed areas, the government may want to revisit the Accelerated Mahaweli Scheme for an approach to deal with the current crisis. The genesis and implementation of that scheme involved as many flaws as it produced benefits, but what might be relevant here is to approach the different countries who were involved in funding and building the different Mahaweli headworks and downstream projects. Australia, Britain, Canada, China, Italy, Japan, Sweden and Germany are some of the countries that were involved in the old Mahaweli projects. They could be approached for technical and financial assistance to restore the damaged infrastructure pieces in the respective watershed areas where these countries were involved.

by Rajan Philips ✍️

Continue Reading

Trending