News
Economic crisis: Treasury Chief frowns on home-grown remedy tried by GR regime
Secretary to the Treasury and Finance Ministry Mahinda Siriwardana has said that even if Sri Lanka achieves the goal of zero corruption, tax revenue will still have to be increased to bridge the budget deficit and lessen the country’s debt burden.
Referring to the Supreme Court ruling pertaining to economic management delivered on Nov 14, 2023, Siriwardena said it was imperative that elected representatives and state officials ensure proper econmic management.
Pointing out that Sri Lanka’s government revenue as a percentage of GDP had been as low as 8.3 percent in 2021, Siriwardana said that the situation was so bad that the government found it difficult to meet day-to-day expenses.
The SC judgment had said the state officials under any circumstances couldn’t absolve themselves of the responsibility for acting in the best interests of the public and were entrusted with significant powers to uphold public trust, requiring them to adhere to the directives of the Constitution, Siriwardana said.
The Treasury Secretary said so delivering the inaugural Prof. K. Dharmasena memorial lecture at the Kelaniya University on Monday (Jan 30) close on the heels of undergraduates storming the main administrative building there to protest against a planned visit by President Ranil Wickremesinghe the following day.
Siriwardana succeeded S.R Attygalle in early April 2022 amidst the worst-ever economic crisis.
The Treasury Secretary explained why President Gotabaya Rajapaksa’s government had failed to secure a Rapid Financing Instrument (RFI) at the early staes of the crisis.
Although President Gotabaya Rajapaksa sought RFI from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in April 2020, five months after being elected, his administration failed to accept the IMF prescribed immediate debt restructuring. Instead of adopting a strategy of macroeconomic reforms to restore fiscal and external buffers supported by the IMF, the government had opted for what Siriwardana called a home-grown solution.’
Sri Lanka sought RFI in the wake of significant tax reforms with sharp reductions in VAT (Value-Added Tax) and income tax rates and large increases in tax free thresholds. “When taxes were reduced at the end of 2019, nobody questioned how public services would be funded. The result was an unprecedented escalation in debt, leading to this economic crisis.
Siriwardana pointed out that for want of cohesive corrective measures to address the issues at hand, credit ratings continued to deteriorate. By September 2020, Moody’s had downgraded Sri Lanka to Caa1, Fitch downgraded Sri Lanka to CCC by November 2020, and S&P downgraded Sri Lanka to CCC by December 2020, Siriwardana pointed out.
“There have been long-standing structural weaknesses in the Sri Lankan economy which have been neglected for many decades, given the pain associated with remedying these issues. The weaknesses include fiscal sector imbalances, inadequate external policy buffers, financial and monetary sector vulnerabilities, deficiencies in governance, and shortcomings in the legal and institutional framework in the country. The recent external shocks faced by the country, including the Easter Sunday attacks, the COVID-19 pandemic, the Russia-Ukraine conflict, coupled with significant domestic policy errors, exposed these macroeconomic vulnerabilities and triggered the prevailing economic crisis.”
In macroeconomic terms, the crux of the problem has always been the persistent twin deficits – budget deficits in the fiscal account and current account deficits in the balance of payments (BOP) accounts, Siriwardana added.
The Treasury Secretary said that the country should have changed its unsustainable practices, beginning 2006/2007, when the opportunity to access concessional foreign financing diminished in the wake of Sri Lanka’s per capita GDP crossed the middle income threshold. Instead of gradually and significantly reducing its deficits and borrowing requirements, the then government shifted to commercial borrowings, primarily in the form of international sovereign bonds (ISBs). “Most of these bonds have up to a 10-year maturity periods, so, until around 2019, Sri Lanka did not face much difficulty in terms of repayment pressures for external debt.”
Siriwardana also discussed the often raised issue of whether ISBs caused the debt crisis. In fact, the government at the time made a conscious decision to raise additional funds amounting to USD 2.4 billion in long term ISBs to ensure Sri Lanka would have sufficient reserve buffers to get through a period of volatility amidst the election cycles of 2019 and 2020, Siriwwardana said. ” There have been claims that this increase in ISB borrowings was a cause of the debt crisis – however in reality, it was the additional reserve buffers created by those ISBs that enabled the government to avoid a crash in the economy during the worst of the COVID-19 pandemic.
“The government maintained primary surpluses in 2017 and 2018, indicating that the ISB borrowings were not driven by budget deficits, but in order to build up reserves and to improve the quality of reserves by converting maturing short term debt into longer term stable instruments such as ISBs and syndicated loans. The fundamental drivers of the economic crisis were fiscal and debt unsustainability, whereas ISBs were just one of many financing instruments.”
Siriwardana said: “There have been various theories as to what caused the economic crisis, including the COVID-19 pandemic, ISB borrowings, the Debt Standstill policy. However, it is clear that the fundamental cause has been long standing macroeconomic vulnerabilities and domestic policy errors. There have also been various alternative proposals and theories as to how the country can recover without the citizens having to bear a burden. But, we have seen today that measures such as asset recovery, collection of taxes in arrears, elimination of corruption, while all being essential actions, do not serve as an alternative to the macroeconomic reforms being implemented today. Those are reforms that were known to all of us for years if not decades. But, those much needed reforms were delayed mainly due to political reasons. In the past, and up to now, the present generation lived a better life by borrowing thereby sacrificing the lives of the future generations.
“However, it is critical to understand that now we have come to a situation where the present generation should make sacrifices for the betterment of the lives of the future generations.” (SF)
News
Unions resist tripartite EPF management plan
… warn of dire consequences
A group of trade unions and civil society groups has requested President Anura Kumara Dissanayake to abandon his government’s controversial plan for the proposed tripartite management of the EPF.
The group has told the President: “We strongly object to the government’s plan to transfer the EPF to a tripartite board—jointly promoted by the Employers’ Federation of Ceylon (EFC), International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the International Labour Organisation (ILO)—and to increase the investments of those funds within private equity and debt markets.
“While the EFC and the government jointly project this plan as a ‘modern governance framework’, it poses a serious threat to the EPF’s financial stability, fiduciary conduct, and returns to workers’ life savings, with severe consequences for broader macroeconomic stability. Rather than replacing the corruption existing in the public sector, this tripartite framework paves the way for a corporate takeover of the EPF. Through this, the fund is exposed to unlawful business practices such as insider trading using internal information of EPF investments, conflicts of interest and corporate bailouts of unstable private companies.
“Sri Lanka’s corporate sector has a tremendously negative track record, which you alluded to during your victorious election campaign in 2024. This was recently unravelled by the multi-billion-dollar illicit capital flight through trade misinvoicing, which your administration is now actively working to curb in the imports sector.
“The recent banking sector fraud exceeds Rs. 13 billion; widespread corporate tax evasion destabilised the fiscal position (Sri Lanka Auditor General’s Department Annual Reports) and consequently inflated the tax burden on the general public. The EFC has found it convenient to remain silent about these crimes, possibly assuming that their silence would preserve their social standing. Considering this inherent corruption within Sri Lanka’s corporate sector and its disregard to the living standards of the general public, there is no realistic basis to integrate corporate interests to actively manage the EPF. The corporate sector of Sri Lanka has not developed sufficiently on technical and ethical grounds to safely entrust the largest retirement savings pool in the country. The EPF is a captive fund that has no mechanism for the owners to divest if the management is corrupt. This further increases the possibility of corporate fraud when the management of the fund is jointly held with the corporate sector.
“Furthermore, during the recent public discussion with trade unions, Deputy Minister of Finance Dr. Anila Jayantha pointed out that the domestic debt restructuring (DDR) would inflict a loss of Rs. 600 billion to the EPF. Our independent calculations—formally submitted as an affidavit to the Supreme Court approved by the Federation of University Teachers’ Associations in 2024—reveal that nominal loss alone is Rs. 634.4 billion. When factoring in foreclosed reinvestment returns, the true loss skyrockets to Rs. 1,711 billion, wiping out 48% of the fund’s projected gross income for the 2023 – 2028 period. Under the pretext of safeguarding the banking system, this colossal robbery preserved high yields on government bonds held by commercial banks and high-net-worth individuals, subsequently reaping them astronomical profits. Now, the exact same plunder is rearing its head again disguised as a tripartite committee.”
“The main arguments supporting our resistance and viable alternatives for optimising EPF management directly under the Central Bank of Sri Lanka (CBSL), are outlined below.
“Objections to the government’s tripartite proposal:
1. The “International best practice and conflict of interest fallacies”
The government holds that tripartite management of pension funds is the “international best practice” and that there is a “conflict of interest” in CBSL managing the EPF. They are key pillars justifying government’s tripartite proposal.
These two positions are shockingly misleading given that four of the five largest pension funds in the world, in Norway, Japan, the U.S., and Singapore, are managed directly by state bodies or central banks. Therefore, ‘international best practice’ in pension fund management is the exact opposite of what the government and the IMF are proposing. We hence reject these baseless positions.
2. Corporate captivity and bailouts
It is clear that the EFC is desperately pushing for this proposal at a time of global uncertainty, to cushion the effects of the crisis and maximise gains. Under corporate influence within the proposed tripartite board, the private conglomerates can use the multi-trillion-rupee EPF to continue their unstable commercial operations without having to risk their own capital or savings to do so. This will severely erode the financial stability of the EPF and its returns.
3. Risk of front running
“Because the EPF is a colossal fund, its investment decisions can alter asset prices. This creates immense monetary value for the information generated by its investment decisions. Corporate representatives on the proposed tripartite board will be perfectly positioned to use this information to trade ahead of the EPF (front-running), buying assets cheaply and dumping them onto the EPF at inflated prices for guaranteed corporate gain, resulting in a reduction of returns to the EPF.
4. Unavoidable loopholes
“Presence of a separate group of investment analysts, trade union representatives and government officials within the proposed tripartite structure cannot prevent pre-market corporate access to EPF’s investment decisions. Investment proposals made by the analysts has to be first approved by the proposed tripartite committee, making it impossible to prevent corporate access to insider information on EPF investments.”
News
Two arrest warrants issued for Gnanasara thera
The Colombo High Court and Court of Appeal yesterday issued arrest warrants for the Bodu Bala Sena general secretary Galagoda Aththe Gnanasara in a case involving an alleged statement insulting Islam.
The arrest warrants were issued on Tuesday and Wednesday. The Court of Appeal issued an open warrant two weeks after the court rescinded the presidential pardon granted to the thera when he was serving a six-year term for contempt of court.
The Appeals Court also imposed a travel ban on the monk and ordered that the Controller General of Immigration and Emigration be informed of the restriction.
The case was taken up before Colombo High Court Judge Buddhika C. Ragala. Gnanasara Thera was not present when the case was called.
A medical report was submitted stating that Thera was unwell, while his sureties also failed to appear before court. His counsel, Asoka Weerasuriya, told court that his client wished to bring the case to an early conclusion and that representations had been made to the Attorney General in that regard.
However, after considering the submissions, the High Court judge said he was not satisfied with the medical report submitted on behalf of the accused. The court also noted the failure of the sureties to appear.
The judge subsequently ordered that Gnanasara Thera be arrested and produced before court.The Attorney General filed the case under provisions of the Penal Code, alleging that remarks made by Gnanasara Thera concerning the Holy Quran amounted to an insult to Islam.
News
CA dismisses GR’s writ petition against arrest
A two-member bench comprising Court of Appeal President Justice Rohantha Abeysuriya and Justice Sarath Dissanayake yesterday (1) dismissed a writ petition filed by former President Gotabaya Rajapaksa seeking judicial intervention to prevent his arrest under the Prevention of Terrorism Act (PTA) in connection with the ongoing investigations into 2019 Easter Sunday terror attacks.
The writ petition was rejected in limine.
In the petition, the former President cited Inspector General of Police Priyantha Weerasooriya, Criminal Investigation Department (CID) Director Shani Abeysekera, the Officer-in-Charge of the CID’s Special Investigations Unit and the Attorney General as respondents. The ex-President sought the court intervention after the arrest of former head of the State Intelligence Service (SIS) retired Maj. Gen. Suresh Sallay over the Easter Sunday attacks.
Since then , former Director of Directorate of Military Intelligence (DMI) has been named as a suspect.
Earlier, the Fort Magistrate’s Court imposed a travel ban on him in relation to investigations stemming from allegations made by Asad Moulana in the Channel 4 documentary on the Easter attacks.
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