Features
The economy has collapsed
by Kumar David
Polite commentators are bashful and write in the future tense. They avoid the present and prefer “on edge”, “critical” and “reeling”, but this is asinine. It has already happened; all that is pending are food riots. “The president (of Sri Lanka) appealed to visiting Chinese foreign minister Wang Yi that it would be a great relief if debt payments could be rescheduled in view of the economic crisis” reported the Guardian (UK) on January 10, 2022. When a country begs for debt rescheduling it means that it is up the gum-tree, broke, can’t pay up; rescheduling is defaulting, politely. A few in the opposition have appealed for default.
The Island of 31 January said “Sumanthiran leads an MPs’ call: Postpone debt repayment”. Well Abraham wake up; it has happened. The government has affirmed all but officially that it has declared bankruptcy; there is no other interpretation of a plea for rescheduling addressed to the creditor holding 10% ($3.4 billion) of our foreign debt. Nearly half (47%) of Lanka’s foreign debt is to commercial markets and default cum restructuring will entail increase in interest rates on the amounts outstanding and it will pile on future pain. Interest rates the world over are on the up, Central Banks are tightening money supply in response to inflation concerns. Therefore, restructuring equals higher interest rates; Sri Lanka is sinking into a financial quagmire; that’s the bitter pill the JVP-NPP, Sajith’s outfit and Champika’s 43-Brigade cannot get away from – more on that later.
Debt, default, shortages, inflation, power-cuts, exploding gas cylinders, fertiliser lunacy, who doesn’t know all this? It will be a waste of your time and mine to recapitulate. A reasonable summary inference is that president and government will be ousted in the next election cycle, provided elections are not annulled by an illegal or an illegitimate artifice. I have often made a song and dance about such illegitimate possibilities and complained that the main opposition JVP-NPP and SJB and lesser outfits with a presence in parliament like the TNA were sleepwalking, oblivious to dangers. I will give that grumble a rest today and limit myself to what may happen during the remainder of this president and government’s term if they stay on to the end (three-plus years) and I will talk about election manifestos.
If president and government serve out their terms it is easier to prognosticate economic trends than to predict the fallout from unavoidable socio-political conflicts if the government is brought to its knees before its fated expiry dates. Some things seem unavoidable in 2022 or 2023; the government will throw itself at the feet of commercial lenders and China and eventually the IMF, imploring mercy. Fresh monies and swap deals will entail higher costs, eventually the IMF will have its way and impose substantial structural reforms. Let’s stop fooling ourselves, price rises, and cuts in subsidies and welfare are unavoidable. You don’t believe me? Listen to the Finance Minister and government ministers and MPs. Citizens who have big money are moving it out and owners of properties are selling and finding ways of doing the same at inflated market exchange rates – others argue that these are the prevalent real-rates. In simple words the net effect will more economic hardship. This remark applies not only to fungible goods, commodities and fuel but also to services like electricity supply-reliability and healthcare.
What about the trade balance, remittances and tourism earnings? A sharp decrease in the LKR value will increase exports and discourage imports but the political costs will be high. Can a regime facing an electoral guillotine do it? But how otherwise can it circumvent the hangman’s noose? The IMF is sitting back and waiting for the beggar to come to the door on his knees; time is on its side and there is only that much alms that China and India will dole out. A fall of the LKR will strengthen remittance inflow; it will attract more tourists since a declining rupee is equivalent to reducing wages and making services cheaper. So-called fiscal reform (raising direct and indirect taxes), rebutting wage hikes and reducing expenditure on health, education and welfare will invite direct populist conflict and social tension. The government’s choice: “To be or not to be”.
Where, for example, will the strike in the health sector which started last week (temporarily paused) end? It dragged on in defiance of a court order and presidential emergency decrees. There will be other strikes, more defiance. Will the regime resort to direct action, will people defy it and will the multi-party governing alliance survive confrontation between the working class and the state? While one by one answers to these questions are not possible, collectively one can see that the regime is snowballing into an existential crisis. I am not using words carelessly; it’s not debt, fiscal crises or shortage conditions that are deteriorating, it is an overall existential crisis. I would have preferred it the other way where we could simply have voted the president and government out of office. Instead the way things are moving we have a threat of protest movements and the state responding with extra-legal machinations hanging over our head.
This is the background as the election cycle moves to centre stage in three-plus years. In the normal order of things, the presidential election comes first in mid-2024 and this may be one reason why three candidates are already on offer – Anura Kumara (AKD), Sajith Premadasa (SP) and Patali Champika Ranawaka (PCR). There is another reason why presidential aspirants are popping up first. Apart from the NPP’s Rapid Response Manifesto the other two hopefuls are committed to retaining the presidential system; let’s be frank, both SP and PCR want to be president, both want the powers and the pomp of the presidency, neither will abolish it. The public too is fixated on presidency not parliament. Though it understands and rejects the evils the JR Jayewardene instituted presidency has brought to the country, it is fixated on the devilish drama of electing a president. Much newsprint and electronic quanta are devoted to kowda raja (who’s the king) drama. Tubby SP is well set on the inside track while long limbed PCR is making a run on the outside track. It is hard to see how PCR can displace SP as anointed favourite of the SJB; its only grit and greed that keeps him going. The JVP-NPP strategy is to lay long-term groundwork for the future.
The dark and dirty horse is the SLPP-Rajapaksa offering. The natural choice would be to re-nominate Gotabaya but his half-time record is so soiled that that seems suicidal. Mahinda is ineligible and Namal hilarious. The next best is Basil, but that would be a bacillus to some, in particular the Dead-Left. In Vasu’s party Basil was spoken of as a pox inflicted by crooked businesses in cahoots with imperialism. “Ten-percent a day will keep development away” will become the nursery rhyme of the next generation. It will be difficult for the government therefore to avoid offering soiled-goods-Gota re-nomination. (Will he accept?). This strengthens my guess that president and government will be sent packing in the 2024-25 election cycle.
Is there time enough for a turn around and recovery? Well stranger things have happened . . . but! There are two interesting recent changes in government tactics. Under Basil’s influence there has been a shift in foreign policy from a god-speaks-in-Mandarin orientation to a middle position between China and the Quad. This is most noticeable in economic decision making. China’s response to this disloyalty is as yet unknown.
The other change is that the government seems to have swapped its cloak and dagger appearance for an electoral strategy. Maybe it could no longer ignore allegations all around that a military move was the concealed spanner in its tool-kit.
The hurdles that the next government will encounter are Herculean. No regime whatever its ideological complexion can avoid the imperative of both pruning the fiscal deficit by cutting expenditure and raising revenue; both unpleasant. The former entails reducing subsidies and welfare, the latter necessitates more taxes on the wealthy and increased indirect taxation such as VAT and sales-tax. This medicine will be as bitter for the JVP as it was for NM in the 1970s, but the comrades will have to partake of the poisoned chalice as did the Double Doctor. Whichever team goes out to bat it will find itself on a sticky wicket for the first innings; the second innings will permit discretionary policy choice. Development come only after that; growth is incumbent on economic and social stability.
I am formalising by sequencing but the concept remains correct. Economic intervention by emphasising state sponsored or capitalist-market options, industrialisation strategy, how to mobilise labour and resources, all this follows economic stabilisation. This is true whether the perspective emphasises the responsibility of the state (Vietnam-China style), Champika’s re-imaging of JR in his oddly named 43-Brigade (they are not highflyers, or it would have been 43-Squadron!) or Sajith’s presumed eclectic mish-mash.
The 43-Platoon says it will increase revenue and prune expenditure. The current balance sheet looks like this: If next year government revenue is one unit (1.0), then gross government commitment amounts to 3.2 units, of which a little more than half (say 1.7 units) will be actual budgeted expenditure and a little less than half (say 1.5 units) will be debt servicing unless there is substantial foreign debt forgiveness. As I said any team that goes out to bat cannot run away from this dilemma in its first innings. The second innings is discretionary; Champika intends to strengthen market forces, expand the role of private entrepreneurship, call in the IMF, emphasise productivity enhancement and launch a tech-based economy. His plan includes homilies about renewing democracy, eliminating corruption, improving governance etc. but it retains the presidential system by implication. Nor is he famous for enhancing devolution to minorities and nothing like that should be expected. The 43 (Ali Baba managed with 40!) is JR-economics and ideology in Twenty-first Century garb.
And you may have noticed that the TNA and the Catholic Church seem to be in vanguard of the campaign to repeal the Prevention of Terrorism Act and to stop the resurgence of state-led white-van abductions. Where are the JVP and the SJB? Maybe they are too busy preparing for elections in a reversal of roles. Hmm, what a topsy-turvy world! While we await the Sajith and Rajapaksa Brigade manifestos in the coming weeks there is a lot on our plates already to think over.
Features
Approach to constitutional reform
The S.J.V. Chelvanayakam KC Memorial Lecture delivered on 26 April, at Jaffna Central College, by Professor G.L. Peiris, an academic with outstanding credentials, was published, under the title, “Federalism and paths to constitutional reform,” in The Island of 27 April, 2026.
In Part II of the publication, titled “Advocacy of Federalism: Origins and Context,” Professor Peiris states: “At the core of political convictions he held sacrosanct was his unremitting commitment to federalism…”. Contrary to popular belief, however, federalism in our country had its origins in issues which were not connected with ethnicity. At the inception, this had to do with aspirations, not of the Tamils but of the Kandyan Sinhalese. The Kandyan National Assembly, in its representations to the Donoughmore Commission in 1927, declared: “Ours is not a communal claim or a claim for the aggrandizement of a few. It is the claim of a nation to live its own life and realise its own destiny”.
Commenting on S.W.R.D. Bandaranaike’s views, Professor Peiris states: “Soon after his return from Oxford, as a prominent member of the Ceylon National Congress, was an advocate of federalism. He went so far as to characterise federalism as ‘the only solution to our political problems”.
THE COMMON THREAD
The thread that is common to the sources cited above is that while their focus was on the political framework, there is not even a hint as to the territorial units to which the political framework of federalism is to apply. With time the Tamil “nation” claimed that their federal State was to be the Northern and Eastern Provinces of Sri Lanka. However, the Kandyan “nation” was silent on this issue. Since Britain annexed the Kandyan Kingdom and the unified, then Ceylon in 1815, for all intents and purposes it would be reasonable to assume that the claim of the Kandyan “nation” was to be the region under the last Kandyan King, leaving the Western and Southern coastal regions for the Rest of the “nation”.
Sri Lanka, while being a colony under the British, was not interested in political frameworks. Instead, the British were interested in structural arrangements that facilitated Administration. It is evident from the evolutionary processes explored by the British that subdivided units of a State are critical not only for effective Administration but also for the political framework that ensures political stability. Federalism, advocated by the Tamil and Kandyan Leaderships for territorial units, as claimed by them, would inevitably lead to political instability. The lesson to be learnt is not to start with political frameworks, such as Federalism, but to first decide on the territorial units, within which a State functions, to ensure stability, and then frame political aspirations of the People belonging to such a State, in order to ensure political and structural stability.
LESSONS of HISTORY
Material from an article, dated 16 June, 2016
“When the British took control of the Dutch possessions in former Sri Lanka, in 1796, the Kandyan Kingdom was independent and separate from the Maritime region. The Kandyan Kingdom consisted of the “central highlands with the eastern and southeastern coastal strips”. It was after ceding of the Kingdom, at the Kandyan Convention of 1815, and after the rebellion of 1817-1818, that the two regions were merged. However, despite the merger, the administration of the two regions remained divorced from each other, with the Kandyan region being divided into 11 Districts, and the Maritime region into five, creating a total of 16 Districts for the administration of the whole country (Sir Charles Collins, Public Administration of Ceylon, 1951, p. 49).
“The above arrangements continued until the recommendations of the Colebrook – Cameron Commission. In 1832, the recommendations of the Commission were accepted , “… and the separate administrative system for the Kandyan provinces was abolished and amalgamated with the territories on the littoral acquired from the V.O.C. in a single unified administration structure for the whole island. The existing provincial boundaries within the two administrative divisions – the Kandyan and maritime provinces – were redrawn, and a new set of five provincial units, of which only one – the Central Province – was Kandyan pure and simple, was established. The new provincial boundaries cut across the traditional divisions and placed many Kandyan regions under the administrative control of the old maritime provinces” (K.M.de Silva, A History of Sri Lanka, 1981, p. 263), continued until as late as 1889, resulting in nine Provinces for the sole purpose of facilitating the Colonial administration. In point of fact, the Province never functioned as the administrative unit. Instead, the administrative unit was essentially the District, and the situation has remained so throughout the Colonial period and into this day. According to Sir Charles Collins cited above: “Most provinces were divided into districts, each Government Agent having charge of his own district, with general supervision over the whole province. The districts not in the direct charge of Government Agents were under the control of assistant Government Agents”. (Ibid, p. 62.)
PRIORITISING POLITICS OVER STABILITY
The lesson learnt by the British was that if a Colony is to be Administered effectively, the Colonizer had to choose the most appropriate unit of administration. Similarly, to an Independent Sovereign State, Territorial Stability should be its foremost priority. This means deciding on the most structurally secure territorial unit within which political power sharing should operate and not prioritise political frameworks, such as Federalism, at the expense of the structural stability of the State. Political instability would have been inevitable had Sri Lanka succumbed to pressures from the Tamil and Kandyan Leaderships.
Although Britain was not concerned with territorial stability, they recognised that the District was the most effective unit for effective administration. In fact, the 1977 Constitution describes the Territory of Sri Lanka in terms of Administrative Districts. Despite this, it was the Indo-Lanka Accord that first recognised the Northern and Eastern Provinces as political units. Following this, the 13th Amendment of 1987 extended this recognition to all Provinces.
The adoption of the Province as the political unit may not have had an impact on the territorial integrity of the Sri Lanka State, except for the Northern and Eastern Provinces, judging from the events that followed over three-plus brutal decades. The transformation of the territory of Sri Lanka, from Administrative Districts to Provinces and Provincial Councils, is the direct result of prioritising politics over territorial stability. For India to be the handmaiden of this transformation is beyond comprehension because instability in Sri Lanka, in whatever form, would impact on India’s own territorial integrity. This serious blunder cannot be ignored any further for the sake of both Sri Lanka and India. It is imperative that measures are taken to engage in a course correction through Constitutional Reform.
PROPOSED CONSTITUTIONAL REFORMS
The path to Constitutional Reform should start with the territorial subdivision of the Sri Lankan State into Districts, not only to ensure the territorial integrity of the State but also to improve administrative and development efficiencies coupled with Local Government units; a lesson learnt from the British. Any political powers devolved/decentralised to Districts should be the responsibility of District Councils, elected by representatives to Local Governments within each District.
Political power at the Centre should reflect the commitment to a single Sri Lankan Nation, through an elected Legislature, with Executive Powers being shared by a President/Prime Minister, with a Cabinet made up of all communities, in the ratio represented in Parliament. An attempt to share Executive Power with all communities, in an inclusive Cabinet, has not been the practice in the past, and under the present government, as well, despite its strident calls for unity and reconciliation. Consequently, the tendency for minority communities is to seek peripheral power to the maximum extent possible.
CONCLUSION
The approach to Constitutional making has been how best to accommodate political power in the form of Federalism, first by the Kandyan “nation” and later by the Tamil “nation”. The claim by the Tamil Leadership morphed from Federalism to a Separate State resulting in tragedies of an unimaginable order, to the point of threatening the very existence of the Sri Lankan State.
The current arrangement is based on Power being devolved to Provinces, in the form of Provincial Councils, with no regard the Province, makes to the territorial durability of the Sri Lanka State. How successive Governments hope to prevent threats to territorial vulnerabilities is to curtail the operation of sensitive provisions of devolved powers. This is being disingenuous.
On the other hand, the more direct and forthright approach to Constitutional Reform is to make the District the unit of peripheral power in order to ensure territorial stability and effective peripheral development and share Executive Power with communities in the ratio of their representation in the Legislature. The first could be achieved through a referendum and the second by the President/Prime Minister of any government. This approach prioritises territorial stability over political power; a change that has eluded policymakers. Therefore, it is imperative that territorial stability is given the foremost place in Constitutional Reform processes for the sake of not only Sri Lanka but also for India, for reasons of connectivity.
by Neville Ladduwahetty
Features
Time to get ready to face power
The power cuts are already here. Perhaps, even before the date predicted by the Public Utilities Commision of Sri Lanka (PUCSL. The peak load has gone well past the threshold they indicated as the tipping point of 3030 MW of peak load. It is now will past 3100 MW and growing, perhaps triggered by the continued heatwave making the use of air conditioners and fans more frequent and by a wider group of consumers. The government insists there is no intention of power cuts but each of us have experienced some form of power outage, without notice, at some time or other.
It is in this scenario that the Ceylon Electricty Board (CEB), or whatever it is called now, had directed all roof top solar projects, over 300 MW capacity, to shut down for the period 10th April to 20th April.
This is in addition to the curtailment of all ground mounted solar and wind projects, and even mini hydro projects, without compensation, going on for some months.
One year of inaction by CEB with the problem staring in the face
If will be recalled that the same demand was made in April, 2025, after the debacle of the countrywide blackout on 9th February, 2025, whether caused by a monkey or otherwise.
The question to be raised is what steps have been taken by the then CEB, or the Ministry to anticipate the situation this year, too, and to try and mitigate the same.
The easy answer is absolutely nothing. If at all what has been done is unilaterally prevent any further addition of Roof Top Solar PV, under the provisions of the Surya Bala Sangramaya (SBS), is, undoubtedly, the only short term and economical means to add low cost renewable electrical energy to the grid.
The architect of the SBS, the Sustainable Energy Authority is deafening by their silence, when their signature project of prime national importance has been sabotaged, and now even the performance of the already installed systems are being curtailed.
This action is totally unbelievable when the use of expensive oil-based generation will continue unabated, even during the day, when there is so much solar energy already installed. Of course, the age-old excuse will be trotted out, of the non-firm nature of Solar and Wind and problems of grid stability, etc.
Many useful and practical solutions to face the growing issue of how to integrate the essential low cost but variable resources of solar and wind to the grid as an aftermath of the blackout were discussed over a year ago.
But nothing seems to have even been attempted. The most prominent among these was the proposal to add 300 MW of grid scale batteries, as indicated in the already-approved Long Term Electricity Generation Plan ( LTEGP 2024 – 2044,) of which 100 MW should have been in use by 2026. The tender for the addition of 16 X 10 MW battery storage at selected grid substations was called over a year ago. Some expectation of sanity
It is under these circumstances that the PUCSL called for a stakeholder consultation on the 10th April, 2026, after circulating a concept note, which was well attended. It was a breath of fresh air, in view of the downhill slide of the entire electricity sector in the recent months compounded by the raging controversy of the coal scam and the rapidly increased use of expensive diesel, in addition to the other fossil fuels, just to keep up the generation to match the demand. The double whammy of the doubling of the fuel prices , exacerbated the hit on not only the consumer’s monthly bill, but the national economy and balance of payments.
Therefore, it was most encouraging to note from the PUCSL’s concept note that sanity has prevailed at last. We have been demandin–g some concrete strategies and time based targets to rid at least the electricity sector from the use of expensive, polluting fossil fuels, commencing with oil. This is the only means by which the utility could hope to achieve some degree of economic and financial viability. They have continued to burden the consumer and the country by continually jacking up the consumer tariff, while ignoring any prudent means to clean up their Act. As a matter of interest, the CEB’s own data of 2023 shows that it is possible to save some Rs 113 Billion annually by replacing all oil-based generation using renewables. The country could have saved over $ 700 Million in Foreign Exchange and the Consumer Tariff could have been lowered by Rs 7.00 per Unit across all segments of consumers.
Therefore, the PUCSL concept paper out lines, some credible measures to eliminate the use of all of forms of oil for power generation in stages. The three tier of approach, outlined as option 1 to 3, reproduced here, should be commended for adopting a pragmatic approach, with very good chance of success.
Proposed options by PUCSL
(See Options 1 Peak Shaving Approach by 2027 and Option 2: Eliminating 2.06 GWh/day of diesel-based generation)
Considering even the recent past when we achieved a status of zero oil use, as compared to the present sorry status, this is not an extremely difficult task. We will have to substitute Solar PV to bridge the gap of reduced Hydro during dry months.
(See diagram 1)
RE Contribution 69% % Oil Usage 6.2 % No Diesel
(See diagram 2)
In Contrast on 30th March RE Contribution was only -43,5%
and oil use has gone up to -29.59%
However, as outlined in the introductory paragraphs of the concept paper, the driving force to promote this change is the early declaration of appropriately worked out tariffs for installation of storage batteries and delivery of the stored energy to the grid.
With the total lack of progress of proposals in the LTEGP 2025-2044 by the state institutions, it is prudent to assume any future initiatives can only come from private sector participation.
Using the power granted by the recently ratified Electricity Act NO, 36 (As amended) the PUCSL has moved with commendable speed to develop the Feed in Tariff declarations needed to enable the achievement of the above objectives and a further stakeholder consultation was held on the 24th of April when more detailed proposals were put forward.
However, although the responsibility of publishing the tariff remains with the PUCSL, unless the National System Operator ( NSO ), tasked with the planning and implementation of Electricity Sector developments , takes urgent action to implement the desired changes as a highest priority task, nothing will be gained to help the country to get out of this quagmire.
The Consumer Continues to be Burdened.
Further, as the time table proposed by the PUCSL itself indicates, even the first of the options can be implemented only in 2027, with the others following up to the year 2030.
These are very encouraging time targets and the consumers will eagerly await their achievement.
However, the threat of power cuts, as well as continuing increase in consumer tariff to fuel the use of diesel for power generation, is real and current. A further tariff increase of 18% has been demanded by the NSO, on top of the 15% granted on 1st April, 2026.
The Immediate Options Available to Consumers.
a) The CEB now refuses to provide any grid connection for integration of any rooftop solar PV systems under the Surya Bala Sangraamaya.
b) The only way available to the consumers is to install Off grid roof top solar systems with adequate batteries to be none dependent on the grid. Use the grid only during the off peak hours.
c) During most periods of the year, even under cloudy conditions there is some solar generation. To ensure the daily consumption is more than covered by the solar input and any surplus is used to charge the battery, to the level adequate to manage the evening and peak hour demand, the capacity of the solar panels and battery have to be determined.
d) It is to be noted that although only the relatively high-end domestic consumers could find the proposed scheme financially feasible under the present cost regimes, which will improve further when the second tariff increase is announced shortly, to those consuming over 250 Units/Month, their engagement has a sector wise positive implication which is beneficial to all levels of consumers.
e) The scheme will operate in an off grid mode, without exports to the grid at any time. Therefore, they will not contribute to the often voiced worries of over voltage, instability and variability in the national grid.
f) Once the PUCSL announces the required FIT and the NSO or the Distribution Companies institutes the necessary facilities, such as smart meters, such consumers, too, can further assist the grid by export of any excess they generate.
Proposal to Avoid Power Cuts Implementable by Domestic Consumers
There are several drivers which will attract the potential ” Prosumers” to adopt this option without delay.
* The consumer tariff will continue to rise
* Even the former Roof Top Solar Systems, without batteries, does not provide power during the power cuts or blackouts
* At present day prices, the investment is financially feasible, based on the savings of the current level of monthly electricity bill. A substantial bank loan can be comfortably settled from the savings
* Now cooking with electricity is no longer a financial burden but can save one from the cost and danger of LPG shortages and queues
* What you, do based on your economic ability, will be a service to all consumers as the resultant reduction of Peak Demand means the use of Diesel can be gradually reduced and the lower end consumers, too, will benefit.
* You will enhance your green credentials with your own financial benefits.
The overall benefit to the grid and other consumers
If the element of exorbitant cost of diesel-based generation is removed then there is no need for the increase of consumer tariff for all consumers.
What is more important is that trimming the peak load would drastically reduce the need for any power shredding that is happening on the sly now and thereby benefit all consumers,
The summary of Financial Analysis illustrating the viability based on currently available data is given here. This will improve drastically if a further increase in consumer tariff is granted, which appears inevitable. (See Table 01 – The basic data used for this analysis is available on request.)
by Eng Parakrama Jayasinghe
parajayasinghe@gmail.com
Features
From Coal to Solar: China’s sunken mines power a Green Revolution: Lessons for Sri Lanka
In a striking symbol of the global energy transition, vast stretches of once-abandoned coal mines in China have been reborn, not as relics of an industrial past, but as shimmering hubs of renewable energy.
What were once scarred landscapes, destabilised by years of mining, and later submerged by landslides and floods, have now been transformed into expansive artificial lakes.
Floating atop these waters are some of the world’s largest solar power installations, quietly generating clean electricity on a massive scale.
Among the most notable are the Fuyang Floating Solar Farm and the Huainan Floating Solar Farm. Together, they represent a remarkable engineering and environmental achievement.
The Fuyang facility boasts an installed capacity of 650 megawatts, producing approximately 700 million kilowatt-hours of electricity annually. Even more impressive, the Huainan project reaches a staggering 1 gigawatt capacity, generating nearly 1.8 billion kilowatt-hours each year. Combined, these floating giants produce enough electricity to power millions of homes without burning a single lump of coal.
A former General Manager of the Ceylon Electricity Board (CEB), a veteran electrical engineer, described the development as “a glimpse into the future of energy systems.”
“What China has demonstrated is not just technological capability, but strategic foresight. Turning environmentally degraded land into clean energy assets is the kind of thinking countries like Sri Lanka must begin to adopt,” he said.
Why solar on water?
Floating solar, or “floatovoltaics,” offers a range of advantages that traditional land-based solar farms cannot easily match.
Water naturally cools solar panels, improving their efficiency by an estimated 10 to 15 percent. In hot climates, this cooling effect can significantly boost electricity generation.
Additionally, the panels reduce water evaporation, a crucial benefit in regions facing water stress. By limiting sunlight penetration, they also help suppress algae growth, improving water quality.
Perhaps, most importantly, floating solar eliminates the need for large tracts of land. In densely populated or agriculture-dependent countries, this is a game changer.
A dual economy: Fish and power
In an innovative twist, some of these floating solar farms incorporate aquaculture beneath the panels. Known as the “fisheries + solar” model, it allows communities to cultivate fish in the shaded waters below, creating a dual-income system, energy production above, food production below.
This integrated approach not only maximises resource use but also supports local livelihoods, blending sustainability with economic resilience.
Environmental dividends
The environmental benefits are substantial. The Fuyang project alone reduces carbon dioxide emissions by an estimated 580,000 tons annually, while the Huainan facility cuts emissions by around 1.6 million tons each year.
Beyond emissions, these projects reclaim landscapes once deemed unusable—areas heavily damaged by coal extraction. In doing so, they rewrite the narrative of industrial decline into one of ecological restoration and innovation.
Sri Lanka: A nation poised for floating solar For Sri Lanka, the implications are profound.
Unlike China’s abandoned coal pits, Sri Lanka possesses thousands of irrigation tanks, reservoirs, and hydropower catchments that could serve as ideal platforms for floating solar. From the ancient tank systems of the dry zone to major reservoirs like Victoria Dam and Randenigala Reservoir, the country holds untapped potential to generate clean electricity without sacrificing precious land.
The country’s reliance on thermal power, particularly during drought periods when hydropower declines—has long been a challenge. Floating solar could provide a stabilising solution, reducing dependence on costly fossil fuels while complementing existing hydroelectric infrastructure.
Energy analysts note that integrating floating solar with hydropower reservoirs can create a hybrid system: solar power during the day, hydropower balancing supply at night. This synergy enhances grid stability and reduces overall generation costs.
The former CEB official stressed the urgency:
“Sri Lanka cannot afford to delay. With rising energy demand and climate pressures, we must explore every viable renewable option. Floating solar on our reservoirs is one of the most practical and scalable solutions available.”
Challenges and the road ahead
However, experts caution that careful planning is essential. Environmental assessments, grid integration, and financing mechanisms must be properly addressed. Community engagement, especially where fisheries are involved—will also be key.
Yet the blueprint already exists.
China’s transformation of submerged coal mines into renewable energy hubs offers more than inspiration—it provides a working model. For Sri Lanka, adapting that model to its own geography could mark a decisive step toward energy independence.
China’s floating solar farms stand today as one of the clearest symbols of a world in transition—from fossil fuels to renewables, from environmental degradation to restoration.
For Sri Lanka, the message is equally clear: the future of energy may not lie on land alone—but on water, where sunlight meets innovation.
If harnessed wisely, Sri Lanka’s vast network of reservoirs could one day mirror that transformation, turning calm waters into engines of sustainable growth.
by Ifham Nizam
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