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Once the pride of Hong Kong, Cathay Pacific becomes government’s punchbag

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Cathay Pacific has been the repeated target of criticism by the Hong Kong government [Alazeera]

For decades, Hong Kong’s Cathay Pacific Airways (CPA) stood as a proud symbol of the city’s international status and an exemplar of Asian aviation.

These days, the flagship carrier is treated more like the Chinese-ruled financial hub’s bete noire, regularly receiving severe scrutiny and criticism from its own government as it struggles to recover from the fallout of the COVID-19 pandemic.

After Cathay cancelled more than 700 flights scheduled between December and February, Hong Kong Chief Executive John Lee Ka-chiu told local reporters he was “very concerned” and wanted local aviation to “rebuild its capacity fast”.

Criticism from the Transport and Logistics Bureau was followed in March by Cathay CEO Ronald Lam Siu-por being subject to a public grilling by the Legislative Council, where lawmakers slammed the airline’s “chaotic management”.

In an article the following month, the pro-Beijing South China Morning Post newspaper published an article with the headline: “Can Cathay Pacific get its act together, or is it time for Hong Kong authorities to take a stake in the airline?”

The Hong Kong government has so far rejected calls to take a stake in Cathay to ensure the semi-autonomous territory’s status as an aviation hub, a scenario envisioned in Beijing’s 14th five-year national plan – a practically sacred text in Hong Kong business circles these days amid the growing influence of the Chinese mainland.

“It is not the government’s intention to become a long-term shareholder of CPA,” a spokesperson for the Transport and Logistics Bureau told Al Jazeera.

Most observers agree with the Hong Kong Aviation Officers Association’s (HKAOA) assessment that a pilot shortage is at the core of Cathay’s woes – the result of Hong Kong imposing some of the world’s longest-lasting and most draconian travel restrictions during the pandemic.

In January 2020, more than 5.7 million passenger movements were reported at Hong Kong International Airport (HKIA).

By April, the figure had dropped to just 31,739 – about 0.55 percent of pre-pandemic levels.

Hong Kong airport
Hong Kong was one of the last jurisdictions to lift its COVID restrictions [Aljazeera]

Despite its heavy reliance on international travel and trade, Hong Kong was one of the last jurisdictions on the planet to reopen to the world, only fully lifting restrictions in early 2023.

Cathay’s management fired 1,000 pilots in 2020 and saw a further 1,000 resign over the next couple of years, according to the HKAOA.

Many pilots who quit cited the stress of complying with Hong Kong’s ultra-strict quarantine rules, which forced the airline to operate “closed loop” flights, where crew were required to isolate for five weeks in a hotel followed by two weeks at home.

Cathay has said it has more than 2,900 pilots, including at its subsidiary budget carrier Hong Kong Express, but needs 3,400 to restore pre-pandemic capacity.

It has announced “robust plans” to hire another 500 pilots.

Some observers have said the government’s criticism is especially unfair given that its rigid restrictions caused many of Cathay’s difficulties in the first place.

“Cathay is still one of the best-performing airlines in the world with good financial performance compared to the three top Chinese carriers – reporting about 10 billion Hong Kong dollars of profit,” Zheng Lei, chair of the Department of Aviation at Swinburne University, told Al Jazeera.

In March, Cathay reported its first annual profit in four years of 9.78 billion Hong Kong dollars ($1.25bn).

“We achieved our end-2023 Group target of 70 percent pre-pandemic passenger flights as planned, only 12 months after Hong Kong opened up. We will reach 80 percent within this quarter, and we are working towards reaching 100 percent within the first quarter of 2025,” a Cathay Pacific spokesperson told Al Jazeera.

“The city has been our home for more than 77 years, and we represent Hong Kong on the global stage as its home carrier,” the spokesperson added.

While these encouraging results prompted CEO Ronald Lam to proclaim that “Cathay is back”, few in government circles seem to be celebrating their flag carrier’s return.

“Some of the government criticism might be justified in relation to flight cancellations, service and chaotic management – these issues need to be addressed. But Cathay has done a lot to rectify the situation, and they are actively recruiting pilots from China,” Lei said, adding that improving customer service is much easier than turning around a loss-making airline.

cathay
Cathay in March reported its first profit in four years [Aljazeera]

Cathay received significant government financial support during the pandemic, which critics argue imposed a moral obligation on the airline to maintain its standards and human resources.

“For me, the key point is that the Hong Kong government stepped in to support Cathay Pacific so the Hong Kong aviation sector would be preserved – and it wasn’t,” Paul Weatherilt, chairman of the HKAOA, told Al Jazeera.

Lei agreed, pointing out that mainland China’s top airlines did a much better job at staff retention.

The government in June 2020 provided Cathay with a 7.8 billion Hong Kong-dollar ($998m) bridge loan and purchased shares with detachable warrants of 19.5 billion Hong Kong dollars ($2.49bn).

Cathay redeemed half of the preference shares held by the government in December 2023 and the loan option was never exercised.

Weatherilt said Cathay had taken advantage of the pandemic to force permanent redundancies, pay cuts and worsened conditions on staff.

“Of course, China was slow to emerge from the pandemic, but nearly every other airline made temporary cuts and tried to keep core skills and assets in place,” Weatherilt said.

“Cathay has left Hong Kong aviation in a sorry place.”

The Hong Kong government has said that when it offered financial support, it specifically requested Cathay to “fully consider the potential impact on Hong Kong’s status as an international aviation hub and Hong Kong’s aviation network”.

Weatherilt said the government’s stance leaves the airline in a vulnerable position.

“Swire should be extremely worried because it stands out like a sore thumb – the company that controls Hong Kong aviation is ultimately run by a company in London,” said Weatherilt, referring to John Swire & Sons Limited.

As China tightens its control of Hong Kong, politics and colonial baggage stemming from Britain’s former administration of the territory increasingly lurk beneath the surface in business.

Hong Kong
Hong Kong was swept by mass antigovernment protests in 2019 [Reuters]

Cathay has been in Beijing’s cross-hairs since mass pro-democracy protests swept the territory in 2019.

Rupert Hogg, Cathay’s British chief executive, and Paul Loo, the chief customer and commercial officer, resigned in August of that year following pressure from the Chinese authorities to crack down on employees who supported the protests.

At the same time, pilots were subject to rigorous new ground checks imposed on any Cathay aircraft landing at airports in mainland China.

Chongxian Ma, deputy secretary of the Communist Party Committee of Air China, was made a non-executive director of the company in June 2021. Two more Communist Party non-executive directors were added to the board in May 2022 and July 2023.

In May last year, Cathay issued a public apology after a recording of flight attendants making fun of a non-English-speaking passenger was shared on social media.

When Bloomberg reported earlier this year that Beijing-based Air China was considering increasing its 29.99 percent stake in Cathay, some observers assumed it to be part of China’s patriotic drive to obtain a firmer grip over Hong Kong’s flag carrier.

However, one industry insider, speaking on condition of anonymity, told Al Jazeera that the move was more likely based on financial logic, as Air China depends on its Cathay stake to offset its own financial losses.

While ousting Cathay as Hong Kong’s flag carrier in favour of a Chinese-owned operator might please some nationalist elements, there is little dispute that there are no credible alternatives to Cathay, at least not in the short or medium term.

“It would not be easy for the government to develop an airline as an alternative flag carrier – it’s not feasible and not a good idea,” Lei said.

Some observers believe that British-owned Cathay Pacific presents a convenient target for politicians eager to boost their patriotic credentials, especially since criticism of the government has become highly sensitive and potentially illegal under the Beijing-drafted National Security Law passed in 2020.

On Wednesday, Hong Kong lawmaker Jeffrey Lam Kin-fung told local media that Cathay should roll out direct passenger services to the eight small Chinese mainland cities recently chosen by Beijing for relaxed travel restrictions to Hong Kong.

This would “fully capitalise on Beijing’s goodwill measures”, Lam said.

hk
Hong Kong is struggling to restore its international image after mass protests, a crackdown on dissent and tough pandemic restrictions [Aljazeera]

Inevitably, political interference is a growing concern.

Using Cathay as a public punching bag could be counterproductive for Hong Kong as it struggles to re-establish itself as a vibrant city, financial epicentre, tourism hotspot and business gateway to China.

Unlike Hong Kong’s stance towards Cathay, Dubai’s government did not attack Emirates Airways after tens of thousands of its passengers were left stranded in April following extreme flooding in the United Arab Emirates.

“Cathay will never complain in public, but they have good reason to feel aggrieved,” one industry insider who works closely with Cathay management told Al Jazeera on condition of anonymity.

While local rival Singapore reported a return to pre-pandemic passenger activity in February this year, Hong Kong still lags behind.

Passenger traffic at Hong Kong International Airport for March 2024 was 4.35 million – about two-thirds the figure during the same month in 2019.

“There must be collective responsibility for the loss of interest in Hong Kong, which arose partly from the protests of 2019 – which greatly damaged the SAR’s reputation as an aviation, financial and tourist destination – as well as the draconian measures imposed during COVID,” Shukor Yusof of Endau Analytics told Al Jazeera, referring to Hong Kong’s official designation as a Special Administrative Region.

Hong Kong’s image has also been battered by negative media coverage of its crackdown on dissent, including the high-profile prosecution of former media mogul, Jimmy Lai.

As both Hong Kong and Cathay seek to rebuild, what is certain is that their fates remain inextricably linked.

“If the government wants to develop Hong Kong as a finance hub and if Hong Kong is to return as a hub for global aviation, more support should be given to Cathay Pacific Airways, rather than criticism,” Lei said.

[Aljazeera]



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A Dutch envoy’s candid message to Sri Lanka: Tea, trade, and the partnership that awaits

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On a quiet evening at the Ambassador’s residence in Colombo, following the launch of the Tea Small Holdings Development Authority’s Regenagri Digital Resource Centre Network, His Excellency Iwan Rutjens, Acting Ambassador of the Embassy of the Kingdom of the Netherlands, in Sri Lanka , sat down for a conversation. What emerged was not the usual diplomatic repertoire of cautious optimism and scripted courtesy. Instead, the Dutch envoy offered something rarer: clear-eyed honesty about Sri Lanka’s potential, its obstacles, and the kind of partnership that truly matters – one built on trade, not charity. And he started not with ships or ports, but with a cup of tea.

The Dutch footprint in Sri Lanka’s tea industry

For centuries, the Netherlands has been intertwined with Sri Lanka’s trade history. But today, that relationship is less about colonial legacy and more about shared futures – especially in tea. “Dutch companies are standing ready to share their knowledge and expertise,” says Rutjens. “But in order to create fruitful cooperation, there needs to be easy market access, ease of doing business, and less red tape.”

He pauses, then adds with quiet emphasis: “We trust the Sri Lankan government is working hard on these issues to create a more favourable investment climate for foreign direct investment.”

The message is unmistakable. The Netherlands – one of Europe’s most open, trade-savvy economies – is not here to write cheques alone. It is here to partner. But partnership requires two willing hands. And right now, Sri Lanka’s bureaucracy remains a stubborn third party at the table.

Yet Rutjens is no pessimist. In fact, he sees something many others miss, starting with the very sector that launched the evening’s conversation.

400,000 small tea holders at the heart of the story

The occasion for this conversation was the launch of the Regenagri Digital Resource Centre Network in Kandy, supported by Solidaridad, the Netherlands Embassy, and other stakeholders. The initiative, led by the Tea Small Holdings Development Authority, represents approximately 400,000 small tea holders – many of them women, young people, and families in some of Sri Lanka’s most vulnerable areas.

“The small holders in particular are facing significant challenges,” Rutjens explains – volatile prices, limited access to finance, insufficient technology, and climate-related risks. “Compared to the larger estates, they lack the ability to innovate, invest and operate on the same competitive level. By this initiative, we can bring new technologies and reduce inequalities across the tea value chain.”

The €500,000 Dutch Good Growth Fund (DGGF) grant funded by the Netherlands Ministry of Foreign Affairs enables these 400,000 small tea holders to access data, training, and content that were out of reach before. “The impact will contribute not only to their competitiveness, but also ensures long-term agricultural stability and the well-being of the people who contribute, from cultivation to every cup of tea.”

Sustainability as Sri Lanka’s competitive edge

Rutjens is careful to frame sustainability not as a burden, but as an opportunity. Many small tea holders already use traditional methods that avoid synthetic chemicals – preserving soil, biodiversity, and long-term agricultural viability. “European consumers are becoming more aware and critical about the sustainability and production practices of their food and beverages,” he notes. “Sri Lanka’s small tea holders are well situated to benefit from this trend. Globally, already many ethical tea brands partner with small-scale farmers.”

On the question of certifications like Regenagri, he is unequivocal. “The European Union as a single market is the largest export destination for Sri Lankan goods. Access to this market is of paramount importance. With new due diligence regulations, supply chain certification is extremely important – not to be regarded as a non-tariff barrier, but as an opportunity the Sri Lankan agricultural sector is well poised to meet.”

He adds: “Sustainability is the way forward. A race to the bottom in terms of environmental standards and labour practices will not only have a negative impact on the environment and the sector as a whole, but also on the small tea holders and their livelihoods. All goes hand in hand: people, planet and profit. This is what European consumers are demanding.”

From tea plantations to global maritime trade

Yet Rutjens sees the tea sector not in isolation, but as part of a larger story. If smallholders can be integrated into sustainable, certified supply chains, then Sri Lanka can do the same on a national scale with maritime trade and logistics.

“Sri Lanka has the potential to grow further in importance in maritime trade, logistics and supply chains,” he says, leaning forward. “Domestic agricultural production – including tea – can be integrated more in these supply chains. There are strong Dutch and other European partners in maritime logistics eager to assist Sri Lanka in expanding its position as a leading global maritime trade hub.”

This is not abstract strategy. The majority of Sri Lankan exports already go to Europe. A stronger maritime logistics position means faster, cheaper, more reliable delivery of Ceylon tea to Dutch warehouses, German retailers, and French consumers. “A strong partnership between Sri Lanka and Europe,” he argues, “will benefit all parties and strengthen Sri Lanka’s strategic independence from other global players.”

Those words hang in the air. In an era of great power rivalry, a mid-sized democracy like Sri Lanka does not have to choose sides. It can build its own lane with partners like the Netherlands – starting with its small tea holders.

A partnership built on resilience, not charity

In a world where geopolitical tensions and conflicts are disrupting global energy and food security, Rutjens sees international collaboration between mid-sized democracies as more critical than ever.

“Both the Netherlands and Sri Lanka, as mid-sized democracies with open economies, are very much vulnerable to shocks in markets and supply chains,” he says. “Both our countries depend on a well-functioning international rule-based order to create resilient economies and sustainable supply chains. International cooperation such as the GSP+ trade agreement between the European Union and Sri Lanka are very important to build resilience.”

He returns to tea one last time: “What we are doing with Regenagri and the 400,000 small holders is not charity. It is an investment in a shared, sustainable future. If smallholders can compete, if they can certify their sustainability, if they can access European markets on fair terms – then Sri Lanka as a whole can do the same with its maritime destiny.”

As the evening light faded over the Ambassador’s residence, one could not escape the feeling that Rutjens had offered something more than an interview. He had offered a framework for Sri Lanka to see itself not as a struggling island, but as a strategic hub; not as a recipient of aid, but as a partner in trade. And it begins, appropriately, with the people who grow the tea in your cup.

By Sanath Nanayakkare

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IMF’s unstated rate:Sri Lanka’s $695m loan costs about 5.33% per annum

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Dr. Gita Gopinath

Gita Gopinath, who served as the IMF’s First Deputy Managing Director from 2022 to 2025 and is now a professor of economics at Harvard University, said something at a Bloomberg podcast interview on May 29 that every Sri Lankan policymaker and citizen should hear. She said: “I do think there has been a regime shift – a change in the underlying dynamics that kept interest rates low.”

According to her comments, for nearly two decades before the pandemic, the world enjoyed unusually cheap money. The IMF, the Asian Development Bank, and other multilateral lenders all lent at very low rates.

Now, that era is over.

The Island Financial Review asked an independent analyst what he thought about Gopinath’s comments and how they would matter to Sri Lanka right now.

The following are excerpts from his comments:

“Even though Sri Lanka cannot borrow from international capital markets because of its default, we still borrow from the IMF and ADB. Many people assume those loans are always cheap. They are cheaper than private banks and that is true. But they are no longer as cheap as they used to be.”

“The IMF’s interest rate is tied directly to global short-term rates, mainly the US dollar rate. When the US Federal Reserve raises rates, the IMF’s rate rises automatically. There is no escape. The ADB is in a similar position. It raises money by selling bonds in global markets. When those markets demand higher interest, the ADB must pay more. It then passes that cost to borrowers like Sri Lanka. So even our ‘concessional’ loans are now more expensive than they were five years ago. And because the shift is permanent – not temporary – we cannot wait for rates to fall back to the old normal. That normal is gone.”

At the interview, Gopinath gave three reasons for this shift: large government deficits in rich countries, the huge appetite for capital from the artificial intelligence boom, and a change in who buys government debt. None of those factors are going away soon. Her warning to the world was clear: adjust to higher rates, because they are here to stay.

For Sri Lanka, this means three things, the analyst said.

“First, every new IMF or ADB loan will carry a higher interest cost than the last one. Second, the 2% surcharge we currently pay to the IMF – because our borrowing exceeds 300% of our quota – becomes even more painful when the base rate is also high. Third, our path to returning to international capital markets is now steeper. If we try to go back to borrow privately, the rates waiting for us will be far higher. Probably as high as 8-10%.”

“None of this is a reason for panic. But it is a reason for realism. The cheap IMF and ADB loans of the past are gone. Gita Gopinath said so herself. The only sensible response is to borrow less, export more, and rebuild our economy so that one day we no longer depend on any lender – cheap or expensive. That day is still far away. But knowing the truth about interest rates is the first step toward reaching it.”

Notably, referring to a missing number in all the IMF news here in Sri Lanka, he said:

“There is one more thing worth noting. On May 29, Sri Lanka received a double tranche of USD 695 million from the IMF after the successful completion of the fifth and sixth reviews. Every news channel carried the story. The Central Bank issued a statement. The Finance Ministry welcomed the funds. And so did the Ceylon Chamber of Commerce. But not one official source told the Sri Lankan people a simple fact: at what interest rate did we receive this money?

“Here is the answer that nobody gave. The IMF’s current basic interest rate – called the rate of charge – is tied to the SDR interest rate, which stood at 2.729% as of mid-May 2026. On top of that, the IMF adds a fixed margin. In May 2026, the IMF Executive Board confirmed that the margin would remain at 60 basis points for the coming financial year. That brings the base rate to approximately 3.33%.

“But Sri Lanka does not pay only the base rate. Because our borrowing from the IMF exceeds 300% of our quota, we also pay a level-based surcharge of 200 basis points, or 2 percentage points. This surcharge was introduced to discourage countries from borrowing heavily from the Fund. For a country in default, however, there is little alternative.

“So the current borrowing cost can be estimated as follows: 2.73% SDR interest rate, plus 0.60% IMF margin, plus 2.00% surcharge. That comes to approximately 5.33% per annum.

“There is also a separate service charge of 0.50% levied on each disbursement. However, this is a one-time fee rather than an annual interest charge. For the latest USD 695 million tranche, that service charge would amount to roughly USD 3.5 million.

“Before the pandemic, the IMF’s basic rate of charge was often below 2%. Sri Lanka’s total borrowing from the IMF under the Extended Fund Facility now stands at approximately USD 2.4 billion. By the time we finish repaying these loans – with repayment periods of 5 to 10 years in semi-annual installments – the total interest and related charges paid will run into hundreds of millions of dollars.

“None of this is a secret. The IMF publishes its rate formulas openly. Sri Lanka’s projected payments, including principal and interest, are available on the IMF website. For May 2026 alone, Sri Lanka’s scheduled payments to the IMF totaled more than USD 47 million, comprising USD 29.7 million in principal and USD 17.3 million in interest and charges.

“But somehow, when the good news of a disbursement is announced, the interest rate is never mentioned. Perhaps that is because 5.33% does not sound as heroic as USD 695 million. Perhaps it is because nobody wants to remind a suffering public that even IMF financing carries a significant cost. Whatever the reason, the people of Sri Lanka deserve to know the full cost of the money their government is borrowing.

“Gita Gopinath warned us that the era of cheap loans is gone. The latest IMF disbursement shows exactly what that new era looks like,” he said in conclusion.

When the good news is announced, no one has the heart to mention the cost

By Sanath Nanayakkare

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Sri Lankan scientist-innovator Milinda Edirisinghe introduces AI-integrated gem testing system to gemological world

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Milinda Edirisinghe

In a country celebrated for producing some of the world’s finest gemstones, Sri Lankan gemologist Rewatha Milinda Edirisinghe now says the future of gemstone testing must move beyond traditional observation and into the realm of scientific precision powered by artificial intelligence.

Edirisinghe, the Founder and Managing Director of Gemological Report of Ceylon (GRC), has introduced what he describes as a next-generation AI-integrated spectroscopy system designed to modernize gemstone identification and analysis for global gem laboratories.

The innovation, currently under patent application in Sri Lanka with plans for international patent registration, combines a traditional gemological spectroscope with smart-device connectivity, proprietary algorithms and an AI-driven gemstone database capable of analysing mineral compositions with unprecedented precision.

According to Edirisinghe, the invention was born out of a longstanding frustration shared by many gemologists.

“The spectroscope is one of the most powerful tools in gemology, but it is also one of the most uncomfortable instruments to use,” he said during an interview with The Island Financial Review. “Even experienced gemologists often avoid using it extensively because it strains the eyes and requires difficult interpretation of colour absorption patterns. For colour-blind users or those with eyesight limitations, it becomes even more challenging.”

A conventional spectroscope allows gemologists to study how gemstones absorb light, revealing unique spectral signatures linked to trace elements such as chromium, iron and vanadium. These spectral patterns function much like fingerprints for gemstones, helping experts identify species, treatments and origins.

Edirisinghe’s solution transforms that traditionally manual process into a digitally assisted scientific system.

Using a specially designed clip-on device attached to the spectroscope, spectral data from gemstones can now be transmitted directly to a smartphone or smart device under varying lighting conditions and viewing angles. The collected data is then processed through dedicated software and algorithms before being matched against an AI-supported gemstone database developed in collaboration with foreign partners, including specialists in Thailand.

“The spectroscopy is the fingerprint of a gemstone,” Edirisinghe explained. “What we have done is create a system that captures those fingerprints more accurately than ever before and analyses them scientifically through AI-supported comparison.”

The system, branded as the “Ray’s Spectroscopy System for Smart Devices,” named after his middle name Rewatha, is designed to identify gemstone treatments, detect enhancements and even assist in determining the geographic origin of stones.

He says the innovation marks a significant shift in how gemstone certification could evolve globally.

“In many laboratories, reports are sometimes issued mainly based on surface-level tests such as specific gravity or refractive index measurements. Those methods are important, but they are not enough for comprehensive gemstone identification in today’s complex market,” he noted.

“With this system, gemstone analysis becomes a deeper scientific exercise rather than simply issuing a certificate after limited testing.”

Edirisinghe believes the technology will also democratize access to advanced testing by offering laboratories a more affordable alternative to costly imported systems.

The GRC founder is no stranger to challenging conventions within the gem industry. Earlier this year, his laboratory gained industry attention for introducing rigorous multi-layered certification methodologies aimed at elevating Sri Lanka’s standing in international gemstone authentication markets.

Now, with his latest innovation, Edirisinghe says he hopes to position Sri Lanka not merely as a source of valuable gemstones, but also as a contributor to global gemological science.

He draws parallels between his contribution and that of the late Francis Leo Danvil Ekanayake, who discovered the rare radioactive mineral ekanite in Sri Lanka in 1953.

“After the discovery of ekanite, there have been very few scientific innovations emerging from Sri Lanka’s gemological sector,” he said. “I wanted to contribute something practical and globally relevant to the industry.”

While commercial production awaits patent approval, the system is already being used internally at GRC’s laboratory in Colombo. Meanwhile, the database continues to expand with fresh gemstone data and analytical inputs from international collaborators.

For Edirisinghe, the ambition extends beyond business success.

“If Sri Lanka is known for producing some of the world’s finest gemstones, then we must also contribute world-class scientific innovation to the industry,” he said. “That is how we truly elevate Sri Lanka’s name in global gemology.”

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