Business
No second chance for Sri Lanka, says CB Governor
Turn this crisis into an opportunity – ADB
By Sanath Nanayakkare
Sri Lanka will have no second chance if this time it forgets why it took the Extended Fund Facility from the IMF and goes back to doing things that create fiscal imbalances, like in the past 16 programs with the IMF, Central Bank Governor Dr. Nandalal Weerasinghe warned on Tuesday.
The Governor conveyed this well-informed message to all stakeholders in Sri Lanka at the Asian Development Bank’s “Serendipity Knowledge Program” (SKOP) event, at the Cinnamon Grand Colombo. ADB’s SKOP also saw the launch of the Asian Development Outlook for 2023.
Inviting the CBSL Governor as keynote speaker of the event, Chen Chen, Country Director, Sri Lanka Resident mission ADB, urged Sri Lanka to turn the current economic crisis into an opportunity and go for deep, comprehensive reforms to address the long standing issues inflicting the economy, assuring that the ADB will remain steadfast in its support to Sri Lanka.
“In 2022, ADB provided emergency support to sustain Sri Lanka’s basic services and livelihood and to mitigate the impacts of the economic crisis on the people, particularly on the poor and vulnerable groups. We also supported the essential trade facilitating the importation of medicine and fertilizers. ADB worked very closely with the private sector, the civil society and development partners to maximize the impact of its emergency assistance. We will continue this collaborative approach in ADB’s future assistance to Sri Lanka. One year on, since the unprecedented crisis, we hope the worst is already behind us. However, there are lessons to learn from the crisis. Moving beyond the near term outlook, the main question remains on tackling the long standing challenges of Sri Lanka. Although the country has come a long way since last year, there is a long road ahead for economic recovery. I hope this discussion and insights into ADB’s outlook for 2023 will help understand and navigate the uncertainties that lie ahead.”
Later on Dr. Nandalal Weerasinghe in his keynote speech said:
“The root cause of the economic crisis was the long standing fiscal imbalance we have carried forward over a long period of time. There is empirical evidence to show that structural fiscal imbalances and the current account balance had a strong association to the economic crisis. Sri Lanka is a classic case of a twin-deficit country over several decades. As a result, we have been experiencing recurring Balance of Payment (BOP) issues. This is the reason why we have sought IMF bailout packages for 16 times and the latest rescue package is Sri Lanka’s 17th IMF programme. This time it is different from the past because we are not only in a BOP crisis, we are also in a sovereign debt crisis–both occurring together. That’s why it is much more difficult and complex this time. We had to continuously seek bailout packages because we have never been able to address the fiscal imbalance on a permanent basis. The key theme of any IMF programme was revenue-based fiscal consolidation and some structural reforms related to fiscal imbalances. We agreed with certain policy packages with the IMF, got some money and focused on stabilization in the beginning and we even completed two three programmes successfully; for example from 2009- 2012 after the end of the war.
“But soon after completing the programme or in between , after achieving stability, we had forgotten why we took those loans; why we agreed with those bailout packages and took two steps backward without going forward. It made us go back to the same crisis creating current account imbalances, depletion of our reserves, depreciating our currency and thereby resulting in a repetition of the vicious cycle. As a result, the country came to a point of unsustainable sovereign debt situation. If we had sought an IMF bailout when we saw the balance of payment crisis coming, we could have stabilized the economy without landing on an economic crisis. In the past, people didn’t feel the pain of the crisis as a lot of people hadn’t known there was a looming BOP crisis. If we had taken timely action, we could have at least stabilized the situation without addressing long term structural issues.
“The lesson learned from this was to seek assistance without being too late so that people wouldn’t have felt so much pain arising from a crisis that led to hyper-inflation. All what the Central Bank did was aimed at avoiding the collapse of the economy and preventing the social and political unrest. Certain analysts claim that the Central Bank contracted the economy with its tight monetary policy and other policies. My argument is; due to the BOP crisis, the economy was going to collapse and we were able to limit the contraction to 7.8% last year. This is not a happy situation, but still the contraction was minimized and hyper- inflation was reversed despite many had thought it would go spiral over 100%. It is the fiscal policy that has to implement cost reflective utility prices and address revenue and expenditure, and also address expansive monetary financing which was the root cause of the hyper-inflation experience d last year.”
“The key lesson I learned from this crisis was; for Sri Lanka, I don’t think we have a second chance this time. We can’t afford to what we did with our past IMF programmes- take one step forward and stabilize and then take two steps backward and cause fiscal imbalances. This time we have no chance. This is why we need strong commitment from all stakeholders of the country to take forward the 4-year IMF extended facility and implement the targets of the IMF which are also the benchmarks of the government.
“This time we need to be able to not just meet those targets, but outperform them and get out of the crisis for good.”
Business
Mahindra Ideal Finance celebrates debenture listing at Colombo Stock Exchange
Mahindra Ideal Finance Ltd (MIFL) recently marked the official listing of its inaugural debentures and debut listing on the Colombo Stock Exchange (CSE) with a bell ringing and market opening ceremony held at the CSE trading floor, symbolising a key milestone in the company’s capital market journey and its commitment to transparency and strong governance.
The listed debenture issue, with a total value of LKR 1 billion, was fully oversubscribed on the first day of opening on 23rd March 2026, reflecting strong investor confidence in MIFL’s financial strengths and the debt market.
Mahindra Ideal Finance Ltd is a licensed finance company with a 58.20% majority stake held by Mahindra & Mahindra Financial Services Limited (Mahindra Finance), a non-banking financial institution of India. It offers a suite of financial products, including leasing, loans, fixed deposits, and other asset-backed financing solutions, with 37 branches island-wide.
Through its inaugural debenture, which carries an “A” (lka) rating from Fitch Ratings Lanka Limited and was managed by NDB Investment Bank Ltd, MIFL aims to strengthen its capital structure while supporting its future growth initiatives.
Thilan Wijesinghe, Chairman of Mahindra Ideal Finance Ltd, who was the ceremony’s keynote speaker remarked upon the company’s inaugural debenture issue, commenting “MIFL’s entry to the Colombo Stock Exchange through its debut debenture listing is a significant institutional milestone. It reinforces our long-term commitment to building a well-governed financial services business with the scale, discipline, and credibility to serve Sri Lanka’s evolving financing needs.”
Delivering her welcome address at the event, Ms. Nilupa Perera, Chief Regulatory Officer of CSE, remarked upon the listing, stating: “Through its Debt IPO Mahindra Ideal Finance Limited makes a statement of commitment to diversifying funding sources and strengthening long-term growth while demonstrating its commitment to the highest standards of corporate governance, through a platform that only CSE can offer.”
2025 saw 22 debt listings including 3 new companies listing on the exchange by way of debt initial public offerings (IPOs) including several firsts in the country from GSS+ debt instruments (Green, Social, Sustainability linked), Shariah compliant debt instruments and High Yield Bonds, with access to investors and brokers facilitated by a fully digitized CSE platform, which can be accessed through CSE’s website and mobile app.
Business
Customs to halve container checks, easing Colombo Port congestion amid IMF push
In a significant breakthrough for Sri Lanka’s trade and logistics sector, authorities have agreed to halve the number of containers subjected to Customs examination at the Colombo Port—an intervention expected to dramatically reduce congestion and costly delays that have plagued importers and exporters for months.
The decision emerged following high-level discussions between the Ceylon United Business Alliance (CUBA), senior Customs officials, and representatives from the Finance and Industries Ministries.
The business delegation, led by Ms. Tania Abeysundara, included representatives of the Customs House Agents and Traders Association, among them Ghouse Arfin, Jawfer, and Mohamed Niyas. They met with Deputy Minister of Finance Prof. Anil Jayantha and Deputy Minister of Industries Chathura Abeysinghe, alongside top Customs officials.
Sri Lanka Customs Director General Seevali Arukgoda, addressing the concerns of the trade, assured that container examination selectivity would be reduced in line with International Monetary Fund (IMF) recommendations.
At present, nearly 800 containers—amounting to around 40 percent of daily throughput—are flagged for physical examination at key yards, including Grayline 1, Grayline 2, and Rank Container Terminal. This high rate has been widely blamed for severe bottlenecks within the Colombo Port and associated examination yards.
However, under the revised framework, the number of containers selected for inspection will be reduced to approximately 400 per day, bringing the examination rate down to 20 percent.
Senior Customs officials, including Additional Director General (Revenue and Services) S. Loganathan, acknowledged that the current levels of inspections had contributed to mounting congestion, extended clearance times, and increased costs for traders.
Industry stakeholders have long argued that excessive physical inspections—often duplicative and risk-averse—undermine Sri Lanka’s competitiveness as a regional maritime hub.
“The reduction in selectivity is a long-overdue, data-driven reform that aligns Sri Lanka with global best practices,” a senior trade representative said, noting that modern Customs regimes increasingly rely on risk-based profiling and intelligence-led inspections rather than blanket checks.
The move is expected to significantly ease container pile-ups at the port and examination yards, improve turnaround times, and restore confidence among international shipping lines and local businesses.
The Ceylon United Business Alliance welcomed the development, expressing appreciation to both the IMF and Sri Lanka Customs for responding to industry concerns at a critical juncture.
“This is a vital step towards improving trade facilitation and reducing the cost of doing business in Sri Lanka,” the Alliance said in a statement.
Analysts say the reform is part of a broader push under the IMF-supported programme to streamline border processes, enhance transparency, and improve efficiency in revenue collection without stifling trade flows.
With Colombo Port serving as a key transshipment hub in the region, the success of such measures will be closely watched by investors and global shipping operators alike.
If effectively implemented, the reduction in container examination could mark a turning point in Sri Lanka’s efforts to rebuild its trade competitiveness and strengthen its position in the highly competitive Indian Ocean logistics network.
By Ifham Nizam
Business
Extreme polarization, volatility, uncertainty and pessimism since end of Cold War: Possible stratagem
Seldom has the world witnessed such polarization and volatility mixed with uncertainty even more than in the 1990s with the collapse of Berlin Wall leading to the unification of West and East Germany, dissolution of the then Soviet Union known as Perestroika, First Gulf War and rapid expansion of NATO, amongst others. During this period, the undersigned was researching these subject matters in 1990s in Graduate School in the US, but the global community, mostly, was unaware or least disturbed as the impingement did not transcend to the entire world as well as the internet and social media were only at embryonic stage.
The undersigned recollects that the only issue which perturbed the global community, including Sri Lanka, was the First Gulf War of 1990s as it impacted, yet again, the price of oil. Only other instances that the world experienced such uncertainty or polarization after WW II were the two Oil crises of 1970s, Vietnam and Korean War including the Second Indochina War of 1960s, financial crisis of 2008, September 11th Attacks in US, Arab Spring of 2010 and of course the Cuban crisis of 1962. Most of these events occurred at the peak of the Cold War but the crisis of today is totally and on a tectonically different dimension.
Strait of Hormuz and nature of War:
It is none other than Energy known as Oil and to an extent Gas of Middle East with the rupture and blockade of Strait of Hormuz by Iran due to the ongoing Iran-Israel-US conflict. Envision, the 12-day “Operation Midnight Hammer” of June 2025 of which the US bombed Iran did not make much notice or breakeven news mostly due to the swiftness and precision of the US as well as Strait of Hormuz was not strangled, thus the flow of oil was not affected. In this particular occasion, much discussed and debated subjects in geo-political and geo-economic discourse as Ukraine Conflict and Palestine-Israel Conflict were entirely eclipsed and overwhelmed not necessarily by the Iran War or its destruction of both property and human lives but due to a single word i.e. Oil, or rather “demolition” of flow of 20% of oil and gas via the seminal Strait of Hormuz.
Ironically, a scarcely visible and little-known Strait of Hormuz unlike the Suez Canal, could negatively reverberate and resonate from Seoul, Soweto to San Francisco as no other single natural endowment or commodity. This is more impactful and influential to the global economy than vital agricultural commodities such as corn, wheat or rice. The noted Australian political scientist, Geoffrey Blainey, stated quote “Wars can only occur when two nations decide that they can gain more by fighting than by negotiating. War can only begin and continue with the consent of at least two nations” unquote. If one scrutinizes the military conflicts between and amongst nations including both the World Wars as well as a number of bloody and ruthless conflicts since the Roman times, this geo-political proposition would be true in almost in all the conflicts.
Perilous nature of this Conflict both to Economy and World Order:
In this conflict, what was most terrifying or even “intimidating” to the global community was the geography, topography and geomorphology of Iran. That said, Iran has already seized and blockaded, probably, the most crucial chokepoint of Hormuz and has also threatened to block the 18-nautical mile Bab-el-Mandeb Strait, which connects Red Sea to Gulf of Aden and extends to Indian Ocean. The Strait accounts for nearly 10%-12% of total traded seaborne oil, which mostly power the economies of Asia. This could occur since the Houthi rebels of Yemen, which supports the regime of Iran, has formally involved in the hostilities and fired missiles and other attacks, thus making this particular Strait too, literally and metaphorically, unusable for vessels. The end result could be the unprecedented surge of the price of oil to well over USD 140 a barrel, which could cripple the global economy, mostly the developing countries highly depended on oil and gas such as Sri Lanka. Even the global community was ‘elated’ of the two-week ceasefire but it is by no means a durable permanent solution under any circumstances.
As Richard Hass, President emeritus of the premier geo-political institution of the world i.e. Council on Foreign Relations (CFR) and Envoy, expressed his deep concern as well as fear on CNN program titled “Global Public Square” (GPS), one of the most esteemed weekly programs on international affairs hosted by Fareed Zakaria of the current and dynamic developments in Middle East. Haas accentuated that he was most worried that the eight-decade world order, shaped, fashioned and evolved after the WWII in 1945, could be ruptured and fragmented as never before, thus provoking and engendering global instability and disequilibrium, if the conflict was not permanently resolved on an exigent manner by the global community.
Risk of Kindleberger Trap and response by Sri Lanka:
These are profound geo-political observations and conjectures as well as the undersigned is of belief that such a scenario could lead to a “Kindleberger Trap”. This thesis was popularized by much noted Dean of Harvard Kennedy School, Joseph Nye, which underlines that global volatility and fluidity could occur when a dominant power in the comity of nations declines to extend the so-called global public good and emerging power/s is not in a position to assume such a leadership role or global stewardship. This hypothesis could alarm any nation from least developed to most advanced since the genesis of the WWI and WWII as well as the Great Depression of the 1930s could be detected or sketched, directly or indirectly, to this geo-political theory or trap.
It is ironical to note that apart from the property and human lives which were, unfortunately, lost due to the six-week conflict, one of the greatest setbacks or “victims’’ was none other than the application or recognition of International Law. It was most commendable that Sri Lanka applied and upheld the international and humanitarian law, to the letter and spirit, to rescue the crew of bombed Iranian vessel named IRIS Dena on the EEZ of Sri Lanka, without jeopardizing the decidedly delicate geopolitical equilibrium.
Most efficacious Stratagem was execution of Diplomacy and Negotiations:
As the undersigned drafts this article, it is most disquieting to note that the world is involved in three major conflicts, with at least one of them of the conflict is a nuclear power, as well as a number of other interstate and intra-state conflicts, which are reported or focused by the media and political analysts infrequently if not rarely. As Croesus, who was the last King of Lydia (today known as Turkey), enunciated these judicious words vis-à-vis war, during the era Buddha was preaching Buddhism in India and military strategist, Sun Tzu, was preaching Art of War to Emperors of China. Croesus stated quote “No one is so foolish as to prefer war to peace, in which, instead of sons burying their fathers, fathers bury their sons” unquote. It is equally intriguing to note that one of the top most officials of Carter Administration, Zbigniew Brzezinski, stated that it is of the US interest to engage Iran in serious negotiations on both regional security and nuclear challenge it poses.
Concluding remarks with Observations:
These observations must have been pronounced since the late Mohammed Reza Pahlavi better known as Shah, on an interview with one of the most trusted investigative journalists of the time, Mike Wallace, on CBS “60 Minutes” in 1974, stated that Iran was a proud country with a very long and rich history and civilization, which wished to co-exist in peace, but if war was imposed on Iran, it would not hesitate to respond. He further obliquely implied that Strait of Hormuz was indispensable to the world economy. These were stated well over five decades ago.
It would be befitting and politic to conclude with the sapient and sage words of one of the greatest negotiators and statesmen ever to walk on earth in the last Century, Nelson Mandela, quote “If you want to make peace with your enemy, you have to work with your enemy. Then the enemy becomes your partner” unquote. Final parting stratagem is none other than the execution of diplomacy and negotiations as President Kennedy stated in November 1961 at the historic “University of Washington Speech” quote “Diplomacy and defense are not substitutes for one another. Either alone would fail.” unquote.
Author is a former career Ambassador, Professor and Examiner of International Economics with specialization on Geo-economics and Geo-politics, Board Member, and Strategic Advisor. He earned the MBA from San Francisco State/University of California, PhD from Indian Institute of Technology (IIT) Delhi and is a Senior Fellow at Harvard. He could be reached on mendissaj24@gmail.com
By Prof. Saj U. Mendis, PhD
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