Business
A Rescue and Reset Plan for Sri Lanka
by Sanath Nanayakkara
In the following interview given to The Island Financial Review, independent financial advisor and consultant Ranjith Wickremasinghe (Ranjith_@ymail.com) outlines what he describes as a Rescue and Reset Plan for Sri Lanka. Ranjith Wickremasinghe is a former chairman of the Sri Lanka Ports Authority and of the Ceylon Shipping Corporation.
What is the basic essence of your Rescue and Reset Plan for Sri Lanka – published on 14th April 2022 (ISBN 978-624-97686-5-9)?
Decades of fiscal deficits, trade deficits, balance of payment deficits, corruption, mismanagement, bad decisions, leakages, damage to our economic resources by pollution from SLiMDOE described below, and the loss of tourism income due to covid19 has caused the foreign debt to increase to US$ 60 billion from US$ 18 billion in 2009, leading to an untenable annual debt repayment US$7 billion.
In analyzing our strengths of the sea which is eight times bigger than our landmass, and our strategic location in the center of the Indian Ocean my research identified a hidden intrinsic asset which I have further researched, formulated, invented, monetized and published as the “Sri Lanka’s Multi-Billion Ocean-Air Expressway”, which I have named as SLiMDOE in my publication ISBN 978-624-97686-4-2 on 12th September 2021.
The carriage of 30% of world trade annually via 85,000 ocean and air crossings using the SLiMDOE short-cut across Sri Lanka and abutting the Dondra Head in the southern tip has enabled global economies to gain US$ 100 billion during the last decade whilst damaging our economy by an equal amount, which could be used as leverage to waive off our debt.
Basic Strategy of the Rescue and Reset Plan
1. Obtain a waiver on foreign debt repayments against the damage caused to our economic resources by pollution in using the SLiMDOE via a global initiative under the umbrella of the World Bank and UNDP. It is proposed that an interim waiver of debt repayments for 2022 and 2023 amounting to US$ 7 billion each are requested, pending discussions with the global economies and the creditors.
2. It is also imperative to obtain bridging finance of US$ 4 billion each for 2022 and 2023 needed to reset the stalled economy, from multilateral institutions and friendly countries.
3. Corresponding to the above “reset process” the GoSL is required to implement several other proposals to obtain a burst of development using the “South Sea of Sri Lanka”, to earn foreign exchange quickly, and to avert the present foreign exchange and the debt crisis. The full potential of export earnings could exceed US $ 20 billion per annum at full fruition enabling our economy to grow from US$ 84 billion in 2021 to over US$ 100 billion by 2026, detailed in my publication ISBN 978-624-97686-5-9.
These measures are expected to out wipe out the trade deficit of US$ Bn 8 to surplus of US$ Bn 2 by 2026 by increasing the exports from 2020 US$ Bn 10 to US$ 33 by 2026, and benefiting from the value addition, import substitution, and increased agricultural, fishery and livestock output, well over 100% by 2026.
Targets given are expected to turnaround the Sri Lankan economy to a GDP growth of 0.4 % in 2022, by 3% in 2023, 4% in 2024, 5% in 2025, 6% in 2026, and reduce the budget deficit from 11% in 2020 and 2021 to 6% of GDP by 2022, and to 3% by 2026, and substantially increase our external reserves and reduce our foreign debt. (As the relief measures are being delayed due to the present political impasse, this will cause a negative growth in 2022 than predicted above).
The UNDP recently proposed ‘debt-for-nature swaps’ to tackle Sri Lanka’s debt problem. This proposal from the UNDP came as Sri Lanka is getting ready to talk with its multiple creditors to restructure its debt. The International Rating Agency Moody’s has also expressed the view that it is wiser for Sri Lanka to explore this option. In another development, British Prime Minister Boris Johnson recently assured support to Sri Lanka for climate financing. In this context, do you think that Sri Lanka can leverage this opportunity to obtain such climate-related instruments to raise new funding as well as to forgo at least part of the country’s existing debt?
Yes, Sri Lanka can use my discovery, Sri Lanka’s Multi-Billion Dollar Ocean-air Expressway (SLiMDOE) as leverage to obtain a waiver on repayment of debt and obtain the bridging finance as per my concept published in September 2021, the principle of which has now has been reinforced by the UNDP and the British Prime Minister Boris Johnson.
Government tax revenue which recorded 12% in 2019 has fallen to 8% of GDP in 2020. It needs to be raised immediately and eased gradually as the economy grows as per your Plan. However, the private sector asks for a simplified tax structure and consistency in tax policy. The ordinary people want less indirect taxes and more direct taxes levied from the rich. How can we strike a balance between these two dynamics?
The President has stated that the reduction of taxes in 2020 was a mistake, and the new Prime Minister also holding the portfolio of Finance has already taken remedial aimed at correcting this situation. As the economy stabilizes during the tail end of the five-year period the corrections could be made appropriately to the ratio of direct to indirect tax.
According to your Rescue and Reset Plan for Sri Lanka, the government’s recurrent expenditure now standing at 17% of GDP needs to be brought down to 14% by end 2022, to help reduce the budget deficit now running at 11% of GDP. How can we do this in a sufficient and appropriate manner while protecting the country’s economic and public services interests?
Austerity has to start at the top, and has to percolate to the lower levels. We are a bankrupt nation; the carnival is over; we need to be lean and mean at the top and up to the bottom. We need to challenge every single item of expenditure based on “value for money” and lead by example. No more luxury living at the expense of the tax payer.Restructuring of SOEs is considered to be crucial for fiscal consolidation and Sri Lanka’s sustainable growth, but there’s a lot of resistance from trade unions to undermine such attempts. How can we achieve this against this backdrop?
All the CEO’s of SOE’s must be instructed to submit a five-year corporate plan and a financial plan immediately. All these plans must be evaluated by an expert committee who would give the policy direction. In this exercise the accounting and other professional bodies should be asked to volunteer their membership to assist in these evaluations to keep the costs to a bare minimum. All CEO, s must be given dividend targets.
Price of basic food and other essentials have increased from 30% to 80%. The poor has become poorer, and now have to skip meals. Do you think as a country running a twin deficit, Sri Lanka can provide relief to these vulnerable segments in the near future? If so, what’s the specific social safety net you propose?The dividends targets must be given to restructured SOE’s to finance the safety net of the poor.
Business
LOLC Finance reinforces market leadership with strong growth
LOLC Finance PLC, the flagship finance company of the LOLC Group and Sri Lanka’s largest non-bank financial institution, delivered a strong financial performance for the year ended 31 March 2026, supported by robust lending growth, stronger recurring income, improved asset quality and a capital position that remained comfortably above regulatory requirements.
The Company reported profit after tax of Rs. 27.4 billion for the year, compared with Rs. 25 billion in the previous year. At headline level, this represents growth of around 9%. However, the headline comparison does not fully capture the improvement in the Company’s underlying performance.
The previous year’s profit included significant non-recurring gains linked to Sri Lanka sovereign bond-related impairment reversals, partially offset by a derecognition loss. On a net basis, these one-off items added approximately Rs. 4 billion to the prior year result. Adjusting for this, the prior year’s underlying profit base was closer to Rs. 21 billion. Against that adjusted base, the current year profit of approximately Rs. 27 billion reflects underlying profitability growth of close to 30%.
This is the more important message behind the numbers. LOLC Finance did not merely preserve profitability in a recovering economic environment; it expanded its recurring earnings base materially, while simultaneously growing its balance sheet and improving key credit quality indicators.
The improvement was driven primarily by core income. Interest income increased to approximately Rs. 79 billion, supported by strong expansion in the lending portfolio. Interest expense rose at a slower pace to approximately Rs. 29 billion, allowing net interest income to grow to approximately Rs. 50 billion. This demonstrates the Company’s ability to expand its loan book while maintaining control over funding costs.
Net fee and commission income also improved, rising to approximately Rs. 3 billion, reflecting higher business volumes and broader customer activity. Total operating income increased to approximately Rs. 56 billion, despite the absence of the large sovereign bond-related gains that benefited the previous year. This shift from one-off gains to recurring operating income is a clear positive from an earnings-quality perspective.
The balance sheet story was equally significant. Total assets grew by approximately Rs. 129 billion during the year, reaching around Rs. 559 billion as at 31 March 2026. The main driver of this expansion was the lending portfolio, with gross loans and advances increasing from approximately Rs. 305 billion to approximately Rs. 423 billion, representing growth of nearly 39%.
This level of loan book expansion is notable not only because of its scale, but also because it was spread across multiple product categories. Growth was recorded across key lending lines including finance leases, gold loans, speed drafts, alternate finance, personal loans and term loans. This points to a broad-based recovery in customer demand rather than growth concentrated in a single product line.
Business
‘Law enforcement failures leading to gross abuse of Malaiyaha Tamil labour’
Malaiyaha Tamil workers in Sri Lanka’s private tea estates and smallholdings are facing widespread labour abuses that amount to multiple indicators of forced labour, according to a new report released last week by Amnesty International.
‘The Sri Lankan government is urged to strengthen labour protections, improve enforcement mechanisms and remove barriers that prevent Malaiyaha Tamil workers from accessing their rights under both domestic law and international obligations, a media release on the report explained.
‘Workers are being subjected to intimidation, physical violence, harassment, debt bondage, restrictions on movements, wage withholding and severely poor living and working conditions, the release added.
Some extracts from the release:
‘The research focused on tea estates in Sri Lanka’s Southern Province, particularly in the Galle and Matara Districts. It is based on visits to 45 estates conducted between January 2024 and January 2026, alongside 159 interviews with workers, discussions with Estate Managers and Supervisors, and 15 focus group discussions involving 65 workers. Across all sites, researchers found what they describe as a consistent pattern of exploitation and discrimination affecting Malaiyaha Tamil workers.
‘Workers reported being forced to meet unrealistic daily tea-picking targets, often set at more than 25 kilograms per day. Failure to meet these targets reportedly resulted in wage deductions, delays, or reduced pay, sometimes bringing daily earnings down to as little as LKR 1,000 (around USD 3.10). Workers also described a cycle of wage advances and loans that left them increasingly indebted to estate owners, raising concerns about debt bondage in the plantation sector.
‘Several workers also told researchers they had experienced or witnessed verbal and physical abuse by estate managers, particularly when they were late for work, questioned unpaid wages, or failed to meet production targets. One worker described being beaten with hands, legs, and sticks, and said such violence was still occurring. Others reported that wages were often withheld or manipulated based on arbitrary assessments of productivity.
‘Employers frequently classify them as “casual workers,” which denies them access to maternity benefits, pensions, sickness leave, and other statutory entitlements. The report also notes that trade union representation is largely absent in the Estates surveyed, leaving workers with little collective bargaining power or protection against abuse. According to the report, workers face multiple barriers in accessing justice, including language barriers, discriminatory treatment by officials, lack of documentation, and weak labour inspection mechanisms. These factors, the report says, prevent effective enforcement of labour laws and allow abusive practices to continue largely unchecked.
‘Smriti Singh, Regional Director for South Asia at Amnesty International, said the findings reflect systematic violations of labour laws and a failure of enforcement by the state. She said, private tea estates are operating with little accountability and that the pattern of abuse raises serious concerns about forced labour.’
By Hiran H. Seneviratne
Business
West Asian uncertainties continuing to dampen share trading
Low investor sentiment persisted in the stock market yesterday due to lingering West Asian uncertainties particularly in relation to Israel and Lebanon.
Both indices moved downwards. The All Share Price Index went down by 48.78 points, while the S and P SL20 declined by 7.46 points. Turnover stood at Rs 1.67 billion with two crossings.
Those crossings were; HNB crossed 185718 shares to the tune of Rs 73.4 million; its shares traded at Rs 395 and Dialog Axiata 1 million shares crossed for Rs 44 million; its shares traded at Rs 44.
In the retail market companies that mainly contributed to the turnover were: RIL Properties Rs 148 million (5.3 million shares traded), Dialog Rs 108 million (2.4 million shares traded), Aitken Spence Rs 74.4 million (542,100 shares traded), LB Finance Rs 72.2 million (7.3 million shares traded), Royal Ceramics Rs 67.2 million (1.4 million shares traded), Renuka Agri Foods Rs 64.8 million (5.2 million shares traded) and JKH Rs 53.7 million (2.7 million shares traded). During the day 71 million shares volumes changed hands in 23582 transactions.
It is said that banking sector counters, especially HNB, performed well while the real estate sector stocks, especially RIL Properties, performed well. An overall mixed performance was noted in most of other sectors, especially finance and agriculture.
Yesterday the rupee was quoted at Rs 330.00/332.00 to the US dollar in the spot market, from 331.00/332.00 Friday, dealers said, while bond yields were flat.
By Hiran H Senewiratne
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