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Whither Sri Lanka’s energy sector, lifeblood of national economy ?

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By Eng Parakrama Jayasinghe
parajayasinghe@gmail.com

It was in February this year, that I pointed out that the Sri Lankan energy sector is a headless chicken.

https://www.ft.lk/columns/Sri-Lankan-electricity-sector-The-headless-chicken/4-730564

Looking at the mile long queues for all forms of energy, petrol, diesel, kerosine and LPG, where the citizens are wasting away their lives and in some cases losing their lives, it is quite clear that the situation has even worsened since then. When the above article was written there were no such queues except the LPG shortage. But the writing was on the wall , leading Sri Lanka to the present abyss hitherto never experienced by us.

The tragedy being that, even now there is absolutely no solution being proposed, by the government, except going all over the world begging for dollars and oil. Under these circumstances , it is very important to look back at the past actions, not over the years and decades , when the seed for this tragedy were laid, but the totally insane decisions in the past few months , which totally ruined the Sri Lankan economy as well as the social fabric covering the entire spectrum of the citizenry. The current actions of the government which is limited to seek means of surviving on a day to day basis, does not inspire any confidence that, Sri Lanka can emerge from this ruinous mess if ever.

What will happen tomorrow?

I raised this question in February this year.

Quote “In this back ground the people are aghast to witness the drama being enacted, with the ministers blaming each other and the Central Bank insisting there is no problem in releasing the Dollars necessary to import the oil. The fact remains that there already has been power cuts. It is a question of when rather than if, there would be more power cuts. Much hope is pinned on the recommencement of generation with the third unit at Norochcholai. There is no guarantee for how long all three units would be in operation considering the past history of this power plant, bringing us back to square one”. unquote

The reality as it turned out is much worse. Not only two of the coal power plants will be out of service one after the other for some three months, we are living on tenterhooks as to how much reliance we can place on both operating units will deliver us the electricity without breaking down , even at the present enormous cost. The arrival of the monsoons helped to alleviate the problem to some extent until the first of the units was shut down for maintenance. Till then there were some happy days in May when Sri Lanka was able to manage without any private oil based power plants and minimal usage of those owned by the CEB

Unfortunately those days were minimal and we have reverted to the disastrous oil based generation as illustrated in the two charts below , down loaded from the CEB web portal. (See Figures 1 and 2)

This brings me to the point at issue. What did cause the present impossible situation with respect to transport fuels , leaving aside for a minute the issue of LPG and Kerosene?

The primary problem is of course the blind dependence on imported fossil fuels for our energy needs. While there were no viable alternatives for transport fuels in the past, this is certainly not so in case of the power generation. However, this has been the subject of many of previous articles both mine and many other right thinking people of all levels. What is needed now is to examine the immediate ill-conceived past decisions and actions and hopefully try and avoid the continuation of such, if we are to retrieve a semblance of order in the transport energy sector , which is crippling the entire country.

Having endured repeated economic disasters caused by the CEB year after year, by manipulating the overdependence on the oil based power, in the dry months of January to April, they have brought the country to its knees literally this year. This is by siphoning off what little available oil supplies as well as the dollars spent on importing same during these months as shown below. (See Table)

*Estimated on the basis of 0.28 liters/kWh

** 6000 litre Loads

Evaluated based on CEB Statistics

The number of bowser loads of oil issued by the CPC is mentioned as about 800 per day, in various press conferences. It is seen that on some months the CEB has mopped up over 75% of this scarce resource , just to pretend that they are able to minimise the power cuts of their own making. Even though the amount of oil includes partly, furnace oil and heavy oil, they too consume dollars which could have been used for import of diesel essential particularly for transport.

While the ministers and the government in general are also to be blamed for this situation , leaving the decision making to the CEB, which has absolutely no compunction in driving the country to bankruptcy, They have already done this by running up a loss of over Rupees One Trillion over the last decade and are well on the way to adding a further trillion this year and next alone. The net effect has been the disaster we are experiencing now. Under these circumstances it is inescapable that the CEB would need immediate restructuring with strict conditions of accountability and adequate competition which has proved to be of immeasurable value in the telecom sector. The worst aspect of the current total mindless prodigal waste is that this is mostly impacting the balance of payments due to the immense amount spent on import of oil and coal for power generation. If not for this lopsided decision of trying to keep the lights burning, without any consideration of the great impact it would make on the transport sector, the present crisis would have been much milder.

This once more highlights the point I made in my last article , that Sri Lanka’s Energy sector is truly a “Headless Chicken” without any vision or direction and most damagingly no accountability. No one seems to be able to critically evaluate the sectors which must receive priority for the allocation of the dwindling foreign exchange. It takes only the minimum amount of intelligence to decide that the priority should be for those sectors which have some chance of earning back the foreign exchange spent. Obviously, even that level of intelligence cannot be expected from our leaders as seen in the handling of all other sectors as well. Under these conditions it would be too much to expect them to have even looked at the electricity consumption by the different sectors as shown below.

Fig 3. Share of Electricity Consumption Amongst Sectors ( CEB Statistics)

Only a part of the consumption by the Industrial sector and may be a fraction of the bulk sales could be expected to meet these criteria.

The Domestic + General sectors consuming over 60% of electrcity are not contirbuting directly to the economy or export earnings

But the government’s interest may have been to provide lights at any cost to the other sectors for political expediency, ignoring the havoc it would create, if they had even thought about it.

It is in this light it was a breath of fresh air to note that Sri Lanka managed even for a few days with very little oil based generation in May. However, that euphoria was short lived and as seen in the second chart , where the generation has reverted back to the unfathomably mindless behaviour with oil based generation contributing over 33 % of the total. The damage is worsened by the fact that the cost of generation using oil and coal has reached such levels , so that any right minded admiration would shut down such plants immediately and seek whatever sustainable means of bridging the gap.

Fortunately for Sri Lanka we have ample means of doing so, which does not result in continuous drain of Dollars and has the benefit of many other economic advantages. More details of these options have been submitted to the officials who hopefully would advise their political masters of the lack of any other alternative.

On the other hand depriving the transport sector of the only fuels they are 100% depended on, is totally inexcusable and has already caused irreversible damage. One would say that this lapse is the single most damaging cause for the total loss of confidence on the government by all segments of the people as evidenced by the recent survey by a research group.

The purpose of this article is to draw the attention of the new Minister of Power and Energy , who fortunately has the responsibility for power supply as well as supply of transport fuels, to critically examine the above situation and try and arrest and hopefully reverse the current disaster , as early as possible and salvage what little we can of the economy and the well being of the people.

As such the following realities which are obvious and we hope that the Minister will make the urgently choices based on them, however hard they are if we are to see a resolution of the transport fuel crisis.

The limited oil supplies should be directed to trasnport sector as prority , the lack of which has direct negative impast on production as well as transport of esential goods directly affecting social life and well being.

The use of 82% of oil by private vehicles is unsutainable

Busses and trains carrying 50% of the passengers using only 5% of oil must be kept supplied without shortage.

Clear priority needs to be given to industries and other sectors which earn foreign exchange

The CEB engineers have been so kind as to warn us that there will be more hours of power cuts if adequate diesel and furnace oil are provided so that they can add few billions more to the loss. We can only hope that they would condescend to earn their living at least now, by facilitating the fast track development of the renewable energy sources for power generation, instead of trotting out lame excuses.

May the Minister have the courage to declare that Sri Lanka would no longer operate any oil based power plants , except perhaps those which can operate on furnace oil and naphtha, produced by our own refinery , for which the supply of crude oil must be treated as a priority for many reasons.

Say no to LPG !

In the total energy scenario, or shall I say today’s ‘polim’ culture, the LPG queues take much more prominence than the relative percentage of energy mix . Naturally being so close to the day to day needs of cooking energy, the emotions are running high. Fortunately a ready alternative is available and has been addressed in a different article accessible on https://www.bioenergysrilanka.lk/an-opportunity-behind-the-lpg-crisis/ It only requires minimal intervention by the state by promoting the offered solutions as an alternative to staying in long queues without any guarantee of receipt of a cylinder of LPG.



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Features

Arctic link discovered: Lankan scientists trace 8,000 km seabird migration route

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By Ifham Nizam

Sri Lankan scientists have uncovered a remarkable long-distance migration route used by seabirds, linking the island’s shores with the Arctic—an achievement that is expected to reshape global understanding of bird movement and highlight Sri Lanka’s importance in the natural world.

The discovery, led by Professor Sampath S. Seneviratne of the University of Colombo, shows that Heuglin’s Gulls travel nearly 8,000 kilometres from Sri Lanka to breeding grounds in northern Russia, following a carefully chosen path that combines coastal travel with long inland journeys.

Prof. Seneviratne told The Island that the finding challenges the long-standing belief that seabirds depend mainly on ocean routes.

“For a long time, we assumed seabirds would stay close to the sea throughout their migration. What we are seeing here is very different. These birds are moving across land as well, using a route that connects Sri Lanka directly with the Arctic,” he said.

Brown headed gull- migrating from Himalayas to Mannar

The birds begin their journey from the northwestern coast of Sri Lanka, especially around Mannar—an area known for its rich birdlife and coastal habitats. From there, they cross over to India and move along the western coastline before turning inland.

Their journey then takes them through Pakistan and Afghanistan, across parts of Central Asia, and onwards to the Arctic region, where they breed during the northern summer.

What has drawn particular attention from scientists is the route chosen by the birds.

Instead of attempting to cross the world’s highest mountain ranges, or taking a much longer path over the open ocean, the gulls appear to follow a middle course that allows them to avoid harsh conditions while still maintaining a steady journey.

Map 1 &2 birds moving through the continent to reach the Artctic

“They are not simply taking the shortest distance,” Prof. Seneviratne explained. “They are choosing a route that gives them the best chance of survival. Along this path, they are able to find food, rest, and avoid extreme environments.”

The birds travel long distances each day, covering hundreds of kilometres, but they do not do it all in one stretch. Their journey depends heavily on stopovers—places where they pause to rest and rebuild energy.

“These stopovers are critical,” Prof. Seneviratne said. “If the birds cannot find suitable places to feed and recover, they will not be able to complete the journey.”

Co-researcher Dr. Gayomini Panagoda said the discovery sheds light on a route that had remained largely hidden until now.

“We always knew these birds were leaving Sri Lanka during certain times of the year, but we did not fully understand where they were going or how they got there,” she said. “Now we have a much clearer picture of their journey.”

Awareness among schoolchildren

She added that the findings show how closely connected different parts of the world are through nature.

“A bird that spends part of its life in Sri Lanka ends up in the Arctic. That tells us how linked these ecosystems really are,” she said.

The findings also underline the importance of Sri Lanka’s coastal areas, which serve as vital feeding and resting grounds for migratory birds before they begin their long journey north.

Veteran ornithologist , Professor Emeritus Sarath Kotagama said these habitats are of international importance and must be protected.

“These coastal regions, especially places like Mannar, provide the food and shelter these birds need before migration. If those areas are damaged, it will affect bird populations far beyond Sri Lanka,” he said.

Professor Seneviratne with Dr. Gayomini Panagoda

Kotagama warned that increasing pressure on coastal ecosystems—from development, pollution, and climate change—could pose serious risks.

“We are already seeing changes in many of these birds. If we are not careful, we could lose habitats that are essential not just for local wildlife, but for species that travel across continents,” he said.

The discovery also draws attention to the wider network of migration routes that connect countries across Asia and beyond. Birds do not recognise national borders, and their survival depends on conditions in many different places along their journey.

Prof. Seneviratne stressed that protecting these birds will require cooperation between countries.

“These birds travel across several regions, and each of those regions plays a role in their survival. Conservation cannot be done by one country alone,” he said.

A GPS tagged Crab Plover

He added that more work is needed to understand how other species use similar routes and how changes in climate and land use may affect migration patterns in the future.

“There is still much we do not know. This is just one piece of a much larger picture,” he said.

Environmentalists say the findings should encourage stronger action to protect wetlands and coastal ecosystems in Sri Lanka, many of which are under increasing threat.

“These areas are not just important for birds,” Dr. Panagoda said. “They support fisheries, protect coastlines, and are part of our natural heritage. Protecting them benefits both people and wildlife.”

She noted that conserving these habitats will also help ensure that future generations can continue to witness the arrival and departure of migratory birds.

For Sri Lanka, the discovery is both a moment of pride and a reminder of responsibility.

It highlights the role the island plays in supporting wildlife that travels across vast distances and connects different parts of the world.

It also shows that even a small country can have a big impact when it comes to global biodiversity.

As Prof. Seneviratne put it, “What happens in Sri Lanka does not stay in Sri Lanka. These birds carry that connection across continents.”

The discovery is expected to encourage further research into bird migration in the region, as scientists continue to explore how different species move across landscapes and adapt to changing conditions.

It also reinforces the need to protect the natural environments that make such journeys possible.

In the end, the story of these birds is not just about distance. It is about survival, connection, and the delicate balance of nature.

From the shores of Sri Lanka to the frozen Arctic, their journey is a powerful reminder that the natural world is far more connected than we often realise—and that protecting one part of it helps protect the whole.

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Why the promotion of drone warfare is unconscionable

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A drone strike on an oil facility in the Middle East in the current war.

For the morally-conscious, the tendency among some sections in Sri Lanka to promote the production of drones for national defence purposes could be deeply worrying. Besides, this proposition flies in the face of common sense and disregards the relentlessly increasing harsh economic realities coming in the wake of the current wars that could push many a southern country into beggary. In fact even the West is facing an economic recession.

To begin with the latter issues, it is a proved reality that the majority of Southern countries are descending further into poverty at present. The FAO has the ‘bleeding statistics’ . For instance, food insecurity in Asia is of such disquieting proportions that the region accounts for ‘ approximately half of the world’s 370.7 million undernourished people’.

It is against such a bleak economic backdrop that countries of the South are being called on to pump money into the production or importing of drones. Pointed reference needs to be made here to the South because drones are peddled as cutting-edge defence systems that are comparatively economical to acquire and relatively easy to operate. It is even voiced that with time drones could enable even smaller countries of the South to acquire ‘strategic parity’ with the major powers of the North and middle level powers.

Meanwhile, no thought is spared for the poor of the South who would sink steadily into poverty and powerlessness. Because more defence spending by southern countries only entrenches the ruling classes of those countries, and in some cases their military high commands, further in the systems of governance and repression.

This has essentially been the experience of the majority of post-colonial states. As aptly phrased by economic and political analyst Susan George in the seventies, it has always been a case of ‘The Other Half Dying’.

Accordingly, it cannot be perceived as to how more defence spending by the South on drones could help alleviate the latter’s principal problem of deepening poverty. As for the perceived escalating insecurities of the South, these problems are of such complexity that drones could never be seen as offering a quick fix for them. They need patient, multi-pronged managing, mainly at the negotiating table with the powers that matter. These are long- gestation projects that need to be compulsorily undertaken in view of the fact that the alternative could be indefinite conflict and war.

Since Sri Lanka too is mentioned as one of those countries that needs to look at the drone proposition with some seriousness, it is relevant to underscore that Sri Lanka is second in a list of countries that are described as facing acute material hardships at present in the wake of the economic instability bred by the Hormuz crisis. The source of such information is no less than the respected Kiel Institute for the World Economy. The first 10 such gravely affected countries are: Zambia, Sri Lanka, Taiwan, Pakistan, Equatorial Guinea, Kenya, Bangladesh, Vietnam, the Philippines and Thailand.

It is thought-provoking that among the above countries are not only those that have been traditionally seen as experiencing severe underdevelopment but also up-and-coming middle income countries that have been hitherto described as being on a fast track to development. The interesting mix proves that no country at present could consider itself immune to current economic shocks originating mainly in the Middle East that could plunge it dramatically into acute poverty virtually overnight.

We are left to conclude that ‘Bread’ or the economic well being of people could in no way be sacrificed for ‘Drones’ in democratic countries whose governments are obliged to be accountable to the people. Considering the phenomenal hardships that could be waiting to happen worldwide, the world could very well do without more ‘Guns’ or ‘Drones’.

However, if southern governments in particular opt for ‘Drones’ or an accumulation of ‘Guns’, the chances are that there could be overwhelming tides of social discontent in their countries, bred by economic want, that could then ignite indefinite war and repression. That is, a ‘No-Win’ situation for all concerned.

Ukraine has been spiritedly and admirably taking the fight back to the invading Russian forces over the past few years but its skillful use of sophisticated drones of its own making has in no way decreased the human costs the war has been incurring for itself. Ukraine has no choice but to continue with all the weaponry at its command to beat back the Russian invader but sooner rather than later it would need to take into account the immense suffering the war has been inflicting on its people and focus on the fact that the Russians are not backing down but using equally lethal weaponry against it.

The above are some of the dilemmas of the present wars that call for urgent resolution. Warring countries are obliged to address on a priority basis the misery and destruction their actions incur for their publics and consider deploying diplomacy, preferably under the aegis of the UN, to work out peaceful solutions to their enmities and differences. Considering the futility of their war Russia and Ukraine are obliged to think on these lines.

No less a power than the US should be considering deeply right now the advisability of continuing with its military interventions in the South in particular to achieve its self interests. The rising loss of American lives and the economic costs of war in the Middle East will be weighing heavily with the Trump administration and it shouldn’t come as a surprise if negotiations are given a serious try, going ahead. Ground realities in the region moreover indicate that the US ‘has bitten off more than it could chew’ and that Iran is remaining hostile and unyielding despite being bloodied.

For both sides to the war what should be inescapable is the harsh reality of continuing human suffering on a chilling scale. Sophisticated and increasingly destructive weaponry such as drones and missiles are being used but they have not brought either side any closer to victory. Instead human misery is being perpetrated mindlessly with a steady deadening of consciences and a flagrant abandoning of reason.

Accordingly, what perceived legitimate aims could drone warfare, for instance, help achieve? It is quite some time since sections of the world community came to realize the futility of violence and war. There is no choice but for humans to recognize and revere the principle of the sacredness of life. A return to fundamentals is imperative.

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Unforgettable experience …

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The committee members of the Ananda Balika Vidyalaya OGA – UK, who made Funky ’70s Bash Dinner Dance a total success (Photographs by: Praneeth Hettiarachchi)

Singer Rajiv Sebastian has the unique ability to woo an audience and he did just that on his recent trip to London, performing at the Funky ’70s Bash Dinner Dance.

This particular event of music, nostalgia, and celebration, was organised by the Ananda Balika Vidyalaya Old Girls’ Association – UK, and held at the DoubleTree by Hilton London Elstree, in Borehamwood, on 28th February.

They say the success of the evening was made possible through the dedication and hard work of President Devika Arrawwalage and the committed committee members of the Ananda Balika Vidyalaya OGA – UK.

Rajiv Sebastian was in top form, delivering an engaging performance that took the audience on a nostalgic musical journey through the iconic sounds of the’70s.

Doing the first set in full suit, with a fan joining in the action

He did three sets, appearing in three different outfits – suit, the normal shirt and trouser, and the sarong – and the crowd loved it.

Adding to the energy of the event, I’m told, was the music provided by the band Hasthi, made up of Sri Lankan musicians based in the UK.

At the end of a truly enjoyable and memorable event, the organisers had this to say about Rajiv Sebastian’s performance:

“On behalf of the entire team, I want to extend our heartfelt thanks to you for travelling all the way from Sri Lanka to perform at our first ever ABV dinner dance in the UK.

“Your performance was truly the highlight of the night. You have a superb talent for captivating an audience; from the moment you took the stage, your vibrant energy and incredible vocal range completely transformed the atmosphere.

“It was wonderful to see how effortlessly you engaged the crowd, keeping the dance floor packed and everyone in high spirits throughout the evening. You have graced the stage as a guest artiste on three separate occasions, delivering exceptional performances that set you apart from your peers.

“We feel incredibly privileged to have had an artiste of your calibre and charisma join us. You didn’t just provide music; you created an unforgettable experience that people are still talking about.

Surprises for his fans in Sri Lanka, as well

“Thank you for sharing your immense gift with us. Hope to see you back on a UK stage very soon!”

Yes, and it’s happening soon; Rajiv says he is off to London again, in mid-April, and will be performing at four different venues.

He also mentioned that he has some surprises for his fans in Sri Lanka, when he and his band, The Clan, present their 35th Anniversary concert … in June, this year.

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