Business
WB: Lanka projected to grow by 3.3% amidst uncertainties
Sri Lanka’s economy is projected to grow by 3.3 percent in 2021, but the medium-term outlook is clouded by pre-existing macroeconomic weaknesses and the economic scarring from the COVID-19 pandemic, said the World Bank on Thursday (7).
A gradual recovery will likely lead to corresponding improvements in labour market conditions.
Most countries in South Asia are far from pre-pandemic trend levels, says the World Bank in its twice-yearly regional update.
The latest South Asia Economic Focus titled Shifting Gears: Digitization and Services-Led Development projects the region to grow by 7.1 percent in 2021 and 2022.
While the year-on-year growth remains strong in the region, albeit from a very low base in 2020, the recovery has been uneven across countries and sectors.
South Asia’s average annual growth is forecast to be 3.4 percent over 2020-23, which is 3 percentage points less than it was in the four years preceding the pandemic.
COVID-19 has left long-term scars on the region’s economy, the impacts of which can last well into the recovery. Many countries experienced lower investment flows, disruptions in supply chains, and setbacks to human capital accumulation, as well as substantial increases in debt levels.

The pandemic is estimated to have caused 48 to 59 million people to become or remain poor in 2021 in South Asia. Sri Lanka’s poverty at $3.20 per day poverty line is projected to fall to 10.9 percent in 2021, which is still significantly above the 2019 level of 9.2 percent.
“Sri Lanka has done well to vaccinate more than 50 percent of the total population so far and the Government is now focusing on targeted measures to prevent further COVID-19 waves, which could dampen the economic recovery,” said Faris Hadad-Zervos, Country Director of the World Bank for Maldives, Nepal, and Sri Lanka.
“The pandemic has brought unprecedented disruptions to education and the learning losses will be a drag on the country’s human capital gains. Targeted policies to reverse trends of long-term inequality and reduce gaps in equity are priority to realize growth prospects.”
In Sri Lanka, continued macroeconomic challenges, particularly the high debt burden, large refinancing needs, and weak external buffers will adversely affect growth and poverty reduction over the medium term.
Despite increased policy rates and price controls imposed by the government, inflationary pressure is expected to remain strong amid partial monetization of the fiscal deficit, currency depreciation, and rising global commodity prices. Food insecurity could worsen and poverty reduction slow if food prices remain elevated and shortages continue.
As countries build back, they have a chance to rethink their long-term development models. With the emergence of new digital technologies, South Asia has an opportunity to shift gears from a traditional manufacturing-led growth model and capitalize on the potential of its services sector.
In the medium to long term, digital technologies could become an important engine for job growth in Sri Lanka. However, despite widescale ownership of cellphones in Sri Lanka, the digital revolution will fall short of expectations without expansion of high-speed networks and accessible data on the whole island. Sri Lanka could provide new opportunities for economic mobility through policies that expand or universalize access to digital infrastructure, and investments in digital literacy are a prerequisite for widely shared benefits from these new opportunities.
“Countries in South Asia have a strong comparative advantage in exporting services, particularly business processes and tourism, whereas they have struggled to break into manufacturing export markets,” said Hans Timmer, World Bank Chief Economist for the South Asia Region. “To realize the potential of the services-led development, the region needs to rethink regulations and establish new institutions to support innovation and competitiveness.”
Business
Sri Lanka’s tourism paradox: More visitors, less money
Sri Lanka’s tourism industry is posting arrival numbers that many destinations would envy, yet it is increasingly troubled by a disconcerting trend: the country is welcoming record numbers of visitors, but tourism earnings are struggling to keep pace.
In May, Sri Lanka recorded its highest-ever monthly increase in tourist arrivals, welcoming 145,745 visitors, a 10% rise from a year earlier. However, tourism revenue fell 5.1% year-on-year to US$155.7 million, according to official data. For the first five months of 2026, earnings declined 12% to US$1.36 billion, despite continued growth in arrivals.
“These figures highlight a growing challenge for a country that depends heavily on tourism as a source of foreign exchange: attracting more tourists is no longer enough. The bigger question is how much they spend once they arrive,” a leading hotelier told The Island Financial Review.
“After being battered by the 2019 Easter Sunday attacks, the COVID-19 pandemic, and the 2022 economic crisis, Sri Lanka recorded a historic 2.36 million visitors in 2025. Authorities are now targeting 3 million arrivals in 2026. But beneath those anticipated numbers lies a more complicated story,” he said.
Elaborating further, he noted: “Tourism revenue reached roughly US$3.2 billion in 2025; only marginally higher than the previous year, despite a 15% jump in arrivals. More tellingly, earnings remain significantly below the levels achieved in 2018, when visitor numbers were comparable. So, the decline in average tourist spending has become impossible to ignore.”
According to official surveys, average daily tourist expenditure has been revised downward to approximately US$148 per day, compared with previous estimates exceeding US$170.
Referring to this trend, he added: “Destinations such as the Maldives attract substantially higher per-visitor spending through luxury tourism, premium experiences, and high-end accommodation. The debate should increasingly revolve around whether Sri Lanka is pursuing the right tourism model.”
For years, the country focused on boosting arrival numbers through aggressive marketing campaigns, Instagram influencer partnerships, and social media promotions. As a result, Sri Lanka may now be attracting too many budget-conscious travellers while failing to draw those seeking immersive, higher-value experiences rooted in the nation’s natural and cultural assets. “Are we grappling with the tension between ‘high-volume tourism’ and ‘high-value tourism’?” he asked. “Sri Lanka must encourage longer stays, diversify experiences beyond beaches and cultural sites, and develop premium offerings in wellness, eco-tourism, adventure, luxury rail, culinary, and wildlife sectors if it hopes to increase per-visitor spending.”
An inbound travel operator concurred, stating that the future should depend less on bringing in more people and more on attracting the right mix of travellers.
Against this backdrop, Sri Lanka appears to be intensifying efforts in key source markets. One of the most notable initiatives took place recently in Moscow, where Deputy Tourism Minister Prof. Ruwan Ranasinghe led a delegation to the sixth “Let’s Travel International Tourism Forum.” Discussions with Russian officials focused on direct flights, simplified visa procedures, destination promotion, and stronger bilateral tourism cooperation.
Russian travellers have become increasingly important to Sri Lanka’s tourism sector. Russia consistently ranks among the island’s top source markets, alongside India and the United Kingdom. In early 2026 alone, tens of thousands of Russian visitors arrived in Sri Lanka, underscoring the market’s growing significance. The Moscow forum also signalled a broader strategy: expanding beyond traditional hubs and reaching travellers across multiple Russian regions.
“The island’s beaches, wildlife reserves, ancient cities, tea-country landscapes, and wellness traditions already provide a strong foundation, and Sri Lanka has largely solved the problem of attracting visitors. Its next challenge is more difficult: transforming a popular destination into a high-value one. That will require investment in infrastructure, premium tourism products, transport connectivity, destination management, and visitor experiences that encourage travellers to spend more and stay longer,” the inbound operator said.
Tourism Minister Vijitha Herath recently told parliament that the current revenue figures reflect more accurate measurement methodologies rather than a collapse in spending. Referring to this, the hotelier said,” While that may be a technically valid assertion, it does little to mask a far more pressing reality: Sri Lanka is no longer attracting the high-spending travellers it once did. The data, when viewed alongside declining average daily expenditure and stagnant overall earnings, points to a structural shift in the country’s visitor profile, one that favours volume over value. Until Sri Lanka recalibrates its tourism strategy to prioritise quality over quantity, it risks becoming a destination that everyone visits but few truly invest in.”
By Sanath Nanayakkare
Business
Climate resilience now central to Sri Lanka’s economic future, investors told
Climate resilience is no longer an environmental concern on the periphery of policymaking but a critical economic imperative that will determine Sri Lanka’s future competitiveness, export performance, investment attractiveness and long-term growth prospects, leading development agencies and private-sector leaders warned at a high-level forum titled Sri Lanka Climate Summit in Colombo recently.
With climate shocks becoming increasingly frequent and costly, experts said that Sri Lanka must urgently strengthen climate-resilient infrastructure, reform key utility sectors, modernise its data systems and improve access to global climate financing if it hopes to sustain economic recovery and attract investment.
The discussion brought together representatives from multilateral institutions, development agencies and the private sector, who argued that climate adaptation should be viewed not as a financial burden but as one of the largest economic opportunities available to emerging economies.
Addressing the forum, Asian Development Bank (ADB) Country Director for Sri Lanka, Shannon Cowlin, said countries with stronger economic fundamentals are better positioned to absorb climate shocks and recover faster.
“Climate resilience is not only about infrastructure. It is also about macroeconomic resilience. Countries that maintain sound economic management can respond more effectively when disasters occur,” she said.
Referring to Sri Lanka’s recent response to Cyclone Ditwa, Cowlin noted that the country’s economic reforms and recovery programme had significantly improved its ability to manage the disaster compared with previous years.
The ADB highlighted the importance of ongoing reforms in the energy and water sectors, particularly efforts to establish cost-reflective tariffs that would enable utilities to maintain and upgrade critical infrastructure.
“We cannot expect financially distressed utilities to invest adequately in resilience,” she cautioned.
The bank is currently preparing emergency assistance financing to support post-cyclone recovery efforts while embedding internationally recognised “Build Back Better” principles into reconstruction programmes.
Rather than merely restoring damaged assets, future investments will focus on strengthening roads, drainage systems and other public infrastructure to withstand increasingly severe weather events.
Dilmah chairman and Chief Executive Officer Dilhan Fernando warned that climate change represents a direct threat to Sri Lanka’s export competitiveness, especially for premium products such as Ceylon Tea and Ceylon Cinnamon.
“Adaptation is simply another word for survival,” Fernando said.
He observed that rising temperatures, changing rainfall patterns and increasingly unpredictable weather events are beginning to challenge the environmental conditions that have historically given Sri Lankan agricultural products their global reputation.
“The planet has already warmed by more than 1.3 degrees Celsius. Scientists project warming levels approaching three degrees, which would create environmental conditions not experienced for millions of years, he said.
Fernando warned that climate pressures could significantly affect both production volumes and product quality in the tea sector.
“We speak about achieving 400 million kilograms of tea production. Given the climate extremes we are witnessing today, we need to question whether such targets remain realistic in the long term,” he said.
He also highlighted a growing commercial challenge emerging from international markets.
The European Union’s new sustainability and supply-chain regulations are expected to impose stricter environmental compliance requirements on exporters, potentially affecting market access for companies unable to demonstrate sustainable production practices.
“These developments are not simply regulatory requirements. They represent a structural transformation in global trade and consumer expectations,” Fernando said.
However, he argued that businesses should approach climate adaptation as a strategic growth opportunity rather than a compliance exercise.
By Ifham Nizam
Business
Sri Lanka Insurance Corporation General Limited honoured
Sri Lanka Insurance Corporation General Limited (SLICGL), the nation’s trusted leader in general insurance, has been recognised as Sri Lanka’s No. 1 Most Loved General Insurance Brand in 2026.
The prestigious honour, awarded by LMD – The Voice of Business, demonstrates the deep trust, confidence, and lasting relationships customers continue to place in SLICGL. It is clear evidence of the company’s continued commitment to service excellence, innovation, and reliability in protecting lives and businesses throughout the country.
As SLICGL continues to command the industry, it remains dedicated to protecting lives, supporting communities, and delivering trusted insurance solutions nationwide. The achievement also celebrates the dedication of employees, sales teams, business partners, and stakeholders whose collective efforts have strengthened the brand and nurtured long‑term customer relationships.
The recognition reinforces SLICGL’s position as the country’s leading force in the insurance sector, motivating the organisation to enhance products, services, and customer experiences, maintaining the highest standards for all touchpoints.
Today, the bond thrives on consistent delivery. SLICGL remains the undisputed market leader in Sri Lanka’s general insurance industry, with a 20.2% market share and a Gross Written Premium of Rs. 30.3 billion in 2025. During the year, the company settled Rs. 12.3 billion in insurance claims and benefits, including in the aftermath of Cyclone Ditwah, standing by policyholders when it mattered most. Its motor solutions arm, Motor Plus, retained its place as the country’s number one motor insurer.
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