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Arvind Subramanian: Why hasn’t Sri Lanka’s democracy acted as a hedge against economic chaos?

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Dr. Arvind Subramanian

In a sobering and intellectually provocative lecture delivered yesterday at the Central Bank of Sri Lanka, Dr. Arvind Subramanian, former Chief Economic Advisor to the Government of India, posed a “haunting” question to the nation’s policymakers: Why has one of the world’s oldest democracies outside the West failed to leverage its political system to ensure economic stability?

Titled ‘Reviving Growth While Maintaining Stability,’ the lecture moved beyond technical prescriptions. Dr. Subramanian, now a Senior Fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics, admitted that his experience with the complexities of the Indian economy had made him “humble and somber,” leading him to focus on the broader socio-political structures that dictate a nation’s fate.

Dr. Subramanian argued that in India, democracy acted as a vital pressure valve that prevented both extreme political violence and economic chaos. He noted that while the process of nation-building is historically violent – citing the West’s decimation of populations and China’s estimated 40–75 million deaths between 1950 and 1976 – India managed to maintain a relatively low degree of mass violence.

“Democracy had a key role to play in that,” he asserted. “It is one of India’s major achievements.”

The speaker extended this logic to the economic sphere, suggesting that Indian democracy created a “societal demand” for low inflation.

In India, he noted, there is a pervasive political belief that if inflation crosses the 5 percent threshold, the government is likely to lose the next election. This political accountability forced the Central Bank and the State to maintain macro-stability.

The crux of Dr. Subramanian’s address was the “intellectual puzzle” of why Sri Lanka, which received universal franchise well before India, did not experience the same stabilising effects of democracy.

He presented two charts that he described as “haunting.” The first revealed that Sri Lanka has spent 60 percent of its time under IMF programmes, indicating a state of “perennial macro-economic stress.” In contrast, India has not sought an IMF programme in the 35 years following its 1991 reforms.

“Why does Indian society demand low inflation and macro-stability, while the same doesn’t happen in Sri Lanka?” he asked. Despite its long democratic tradition, Sri Lanka has consistently seen higher inflation and greater financial instability than its neighbour.

Dr. Subramanian also highlighted a stark difference in how both nations treat foreign capital. Pointing to data on external debt stock as a share of Gross National Income (GNI), he illustrated that Sri Lanka has been consistently and significantly more reliant on foreign capital than India or China.

While some argue that Sri Lanka’s small size necessitates a reliance on foreign capital, Dr. Subramanian remained unconvinced, noting that India also suffered from low domestic savings for decades but chose a more cautious path.

“India has been much more cautious in opening up to foreign capital,” he explained. While foreign capital can drive growth, it brings the “downside of risk and volatility” as capital flows in and out – a reality that came to haunt Sri Lanka in recent years through its high exposure to foreign currency-denominated debt.

The lecture concluded not with a list of “1, 2, 3 points” for recovery as the wider audience had expected, but with a challenge to the Sri Lankan intelligentsia. If democracy is meant to be a safeguard against political and economic disorder, the breakdown of that mechanism in Sri Lanka requires deep introspection.

“Different societies differ,” Dr. Subramanian concluded. “But if democracy had a key role in avoiding volatility in India, why shouldn’t it have been so in such an old democracy as Sri Lanka? It is worth pondering over,” he said.

By Sanath Nanayakkare



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Newburgh Ella set to fill a critical gap in luxury hotel infrastructure

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Strategic Rs. 1.5 billion project by Browns Hotels & Resorts under LOLC Group

The Sri Lankan leisure landscape saw a significant addition on January 30, 2026, with the official opening of Newburgh Ella – The Tea Factory Resort. This Rs. 1.5 billion project, a strategic diversification by Browns Hotels & Resorts under the LOLC Group, transforms a 123-year-old tea factory into a luxury destination designed to capture the growing global interest in Ella.

The resort is housed in a structure originally established in 1903 by Scottish planter George Thomson. During the conversion, LOLC ensured the core structure was preserved, even reusing steel and other structural raw materials to maintain the factory’s industrial soul.

“We decided to transform it into a hotel without harming the core structure, ensuring the prevention of nature,” noted Gangadaran Velsamy, General Manager of Newburgh Ella. This commitment to sustainability extends to the resort’s operations, which follow a fully paperless concept and are currently undergoing LEED and green certification processes.

At the helm of the hotel’s operations is Gangadaran Velsamy, the seasoned professional with over 25 years of experience across 10 international and local hotel brands, including Dubai One and Only and Taj Samudra. A graduate of the Ceylon Hotel School, Velsamy brings a mission-driven approach to the property.

“My mission is to make Newburgh Ella the best hotel in Ella that offers nothing but the best for the guests that Ella couldn’t offer ever before in its history,” Velsamy told The Island Financial Review. His management style is notably people-centric, utilising multiple management approaches to maximise the potential of his human resource.

A key highlight of the project’s “human side” was the absorption of the original Finlays tea factory staff. These employees underwent six months of intensive theoretical and on-the-job training at 5-star properties to transition into the hospitality sector.

Further supporting the local economy, 50% of the hotel’s workforce is recruited from the immediate neighborhood. This integration is reflected in the resort’s service culture; for instance, pre-booked restaurant tables are marked with “Promised” tags rather than the standard “Reserved,” signaling a deeper level of commitment to the guest.

Newburgh Ella features 41 rooms categorised as Silver, Gold, and Bronze – a naming convention inspired by tea tips. Room rates range from USD 250 to 350 per day (approximately LKR 75,000 to 100,000).

Key Facilities Include:

1903 – The Dining Room: An all-day dining venue.

Eastern Valley: An open-air restaurant specialising in Asian fusion.

George Thomson – The Founder’s Tavern: A bar named in honour of the factory’s founder.

Three Tips Tea Lounge: A dedicated space for tea tasting and the “living tea experience”.

SKY Observation Deck: Offering views of Ella Rock and Little Adam’s Peak.

From a business perspective, the resort addresses a critical need for high-end infrastructure in Ella, a destination famed for its “exhilarating vibes” but often underserved in the premium segment.

Eksath Wijeratne, CEO of Browns Hotels & Resorts, expressed confidence in the property’s financial trajectory, estimating a breakeven point within five to six years.

“If we see Sri Lanka achieving more arrivals in correlation with increased revenue inflows, we should be able to reach a breakeven within a shorter period,” Wijeratne stated. He emphasised that the resort is a key piece of infrastructure to boost foreign currency earnings, attracting discerning travelers whose spending directly bolsters the country’s economy.

Ultimately, the success of Newburgh Ella lies in its details – such as the “Promised” tags on restaurant tables that replace the cold, standard “Reserved” signs. This subtle shift in language, championed by Velsamy’s team, encapsulates the resort’s mission: to honour a century of history while delivering a standard of service that Ella has never before hosted.

The “gastronomical delights” of Newburgh Ella are presented perfectly with the seasoned artistry of Chef Senthilkumar. Having spent over 18 years refining his craft across the luxury landscapes of Dubai, Kuwait, and the Maldives, the Chef transforms world-class techniques into unforgettable dining experiences, redefining the art of the meal in the heart of Ella.

In addition to Newburgh Ella’s refined hospitality and “yummy” gastronomy, guests have easy access to the region’s crown jewels such as Ella Gap and Ravana Cave to the thundering beauty of Ravana Falls.

By Sanath Nanayakkare

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A deep dive into Fitch Lanka report shows ‘Resilience of the Few’

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The domestic credit landscape is currently anchored by a handful of high-performing institutions that have displayed significant resilience through the nation’s most turbulent years, a deep dive into the latest monthly report of Fitch Lanka shows.

While the public often equates the often-adulated private sector credit growth with widespread business expansion, the Fitch Lanka data shows a concentration of capital among the country’s elite ‘blue-chip’ firms.

This latest assessment from Fitch Ratings (Lanka) Ltd. is being hailed by experts as a vital assessment for the country’s financial system. While the technical details of credit ratings can seem dense, an independent economic analyst told The Island Financial Review that these reports act as a ‘global report card,’ fundamentally demonstrating how much international trust is placed in Sri Lankan enterprises.

According to the analyst, the ratings issued as of January 31, 2026, serve as more than just corporate scores; they are the primary benchmark used by global investors to determine the safety of bringing capital into the country.

“High ratings are essential for attracting Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), which is the engine for job creation and infrastructure development. These scores are critical for trade finance, allowing local businesses to import essential goods and export products without friction. The ratings provide a real-time snapshot of how Sri Lankan entities are viewed within the highly competitive global capital markets,” he said.

“Banking sector stability is crucial here. Major institutions like Commercial Bank and HNB maintain strong long-term positions. Meanwhile, blue-chip firms including Dialog Axiata PLC and Hemas Plc continue to operate within the elite AAA(lka) to AA(lka) range.The presence of top-tier firms in the ‘AAA’ to ‘AA’ range indicates a robust internal capacity to meet debt obligations, providing a buffer even when the global economy is unpredictable,” the analyst noted.

When asked if the contents of the report may encourage investors to pay close attention to entities appearing in Red font, the analyst said that he views it as a ‘vital signal’ of a dynamic and transparent market rather than a sign of crisis,

“Entities such as JAT Holdings and CIC Holdings PLC have recently undergone rigorous reviews. This scrutiny is largely centred on the manufacturing and agricultural sectors, which are currently adapting to volatile global supply chain trends.

Looking forward, the ability of these ‘Red font’ companies to stabilise their outlooks will serve as the ultimate litmus test for the national economy.If these key players can maintain their scores and stabilise their trajectories through the middle of the year, it will be a definitive indicator that Sri Lanka’s broader economic path is secure,” the analyst said.

When asked if this was the case across the board including SMEs, he replied,” In fact, a deeper dive into the latest assessments by Fitch Ratings Lanka reveals a different reality: the engine of this credit growth is not the average entrepreneur, but a select group of ‘big ticket’ corporate giants.

” A superficial glance at the financial headlines might suggest a private sector in the midst of a borrowing spree. With the Central Bank reporting a notable 25.2% year-on-year growth in private sector credit as of December 2025, the outlook of a broad-based economic awakening is tempting. However, the Fitch Ratings Lanka monthly report reveals a different reality: the engine of this credit growth is not the average entrepreneur, but a select group of ‘big ticket’ corporate giants. In essence, these are the ‘safe harbours; where capital is currently docking.

“The data provided by Fitch Ratings Lanka underscores a critical distinction in the 2026 economy that credit is indeed flowing. And the authorities are rightly encouraged by private sector growth. Yet, this is not a tide lifting all boats; it is a strategic fortification of the nation’s most resilient pillars. As the year unfolds, the strength of these ‘big ticket’ borrowers will determine whether the rest of the private sector can eventually follow their lead into a more prosperous era or not,” he noted in conclusion.

By Sanath Nanayakkare

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Moose Clothing Company earns Superbrand 2026 recognition

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The award ceremony held on 12 January 2026, at the Hilton

Moose Clothing Company has been recognised as a Superbrand for 2026, a proud milestone for a young Sri Lankan brand that has grown steadily through trust, consistency, and a strong connection with its customers. The award ceremony was held on 12 January 2026 at the Hilton, celebrating brands that have earned lasting respect and loyalty.

Superbrand status is not awarded lightly. It is reserved for brands that demonstrate excellence beyond numbers, brands known for quality, reliability, emotional connection, and long-term relevance. Selection is based on independent research, expert evaluation, and consumer perception, making it one of the most respected recognitions a brand can receive.

For Moose Clothing Company, this honour is especially meaningful. Founded with a simple belief that Sri Lankans deserve well-made, thoughtfully designed clothing at honest prices the brand has grown by listening closely to its customers and improving with every season. From everyday essentials to performance wear, Moose has focused on getting the fundamentals right: fit, comfort, durability, and value for money.

Commenting on the achievement, Hasib Omar, CEO of Moose Clothing Company, said:

“Being named a Superbrand is deeply meaningful for us because it comes from trust. Moose is still a young brand, and this recognition belongs to our customers who believed in us from the beginning, our teams who work with care and purpose, and everyone who chose Moose Clothing Company as part of their everyday life. It reminds us why we started and encourages us to keep building with integrity.”

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