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After Lanka and Pakistan, now Bangladesh lines up before IMF for bailout
After the collapse of the Sri Lankan economy, attention has turned to the state of affairs in other South Asian countries such as Pakistan, Bhutan and Bangladesh. All three countries have either curtailed imports or are planning to do so, to salvage their fast-depleting foreign exchange reserves and avoid a Lanka-like forex crisis.
While the presence of Pakistan, which is deeply indebted to China like Lanka, and tourism-dependent Bhutan has taken a massive blow from the pandemic-induced travel restrictions on the list of troubled economies is not surprising, that of Bangladesh is. Just last year, the tiny nation was celebrated for beating India in per capita income.And the UN decided to graduate it from the least-developing country category to the developing country grouping by 2026.
Bangladesh seems to have lost that momentum as Dhaka is now beseeching the IMF for a $4.5 billion bailout package to tide over its deepening economic crisis.It has also knocked the doors of the World Bank and Asian Development Bank seeking immediate relief of $1 billion from each.So, what went wrong? Bangladesh’s $ 416 billion economy is heavily dependent on its garment industry which survives on exports mostly to Europe, the US and Latin American countries.
It has been supporting the country’s growth for years but things changed dramatically following the Ukraine war pushing the prices of everything up. In response to the soaring energy prices, the Sheikh Hasina-led government was forced to introduce scheduled outages that directly impacted the textiles industry which relies on an uninterrupted power supply. On the other hand, demand also dwindled as retailers in the US and European markets — the biggest customers of Bangladesh’s garment products — started holding or cancelling orders due to disruptions and uncertainties in their own economies due to the war in Ukraine.
According to the latest available data, Bangladesh’s foreign exchange reserves stand at $39.67 billion as of July 20, which is sufficient for just four months’ worth of imports — slightly higher than the IMF’s recommended three-month cover.Just for comparison, the forex reserves were $ 45.5 billion in the year-ago period.
The country is reeling under inflation, too. In June, price rise hit a nine-month high of 7.56%, taking the average inflation for 2021-22 to 6.15%, overshooting the revised annual target of 5.9%.Bangladesh’s imports stood at $81.5 billion between July 2021 and May 2022, up 40% from a year earlier, according to Bangladesh Bank data.As a result, the current account deficit — the shortfall between exports and imports — widened over six times to $17.2 billion in the first 11 months of fiscal 2021-22.
While the Bangladesh finance minister A H M Mustafa Kamal is confident that the IMF aid will help the country tide avoid a crisis, such bailouts always come with strings attached. The Washington-based multilateral lender is known to put stringent conditions for its loans.
According to a report in The Daily Start newspaper, the conditions could include withdrawal of energy subsidies, implementing a fuel pricing mechanism, removing interest rate caps on lending and borrowing, resetting the mechanism to calculate foreign currency reserves, taking steps to increase revenue base, and strengthening corporate governance in the banking sector.
Of these, removing energy subsidies for consumers will be a major challenge for the government as it could trigger public anger. Negations on this clause is likely to drag the process.Obtaining IMF loans is a long process. An IMF delegation is expected to visit Dhaka in September to discuss the terms and conditions.By December, the deal is expected to be locked in for placing at the IMF’s board meeting in January. The question is, will Dhaka be able to manage things till then. (NIE)
News
President maintains Lanka has been even-handed in dealing with Iran and US
Sri Lanka refused the request by three Iranian ships to come to Sri Lanka on a goodwill visit and the request by the United States to land two of its fighter jets in Mattala, President Anura Kumara Dissanayake told Parliament yesterday.
“Sri Lanka maintained neutrality by refusing the two requests by both the US and Iran,” he said.
President Dissanayake provided a clarification on domestic fuel prices in light of rising crude oil prices in the global market and subsequent fuel price increases in other countries, triggered by the ongoing crisis in the Middle East.
The President highlighted that the Ceylon Petroleum Corporation (CPC) currently supplies 57% of the country’s fuel requirements, while the remaining 43% is supplied by the private sector.
He further noted that private sector suppliers have requested pricing that reflects current global market rates for the fuel they import.
Accordingly, the President emphasised that a decisive decision on fuel price adjustments must be reached as expeditiously as possible to ensure the continuity of the national fuel supply.
Addressing the Parliament, the President stated that the current pricing formula dictates that for every one-dollar increase in global oil prices, domestic fuel prices must rise by Rs. 2.
He noted that the primary impact being faced is driven by the surge in global fuel prices rather than the depreciation of the rupee against the US dollar.
The President said that, globally, countries have been compelled to make difficult decisions regarding fuel costs, with price increases ranging from approximately 6% to 50%.
He added that while global prices have risen by as much as 49%, the domestic increase has been limited to 8%.
He further stated that Sri Lanka is currently facing a significant challenge in maintaining fuel supply.
The Ceylon Petroleum Corporation (CPC) accounts for 57% of the country’s fuel supply. He noted that had the CPC been the sole supplier, fluctuations could have been managed by offsetting current losses with future profits.
However, he said the private sector now controls 43% of the market, and their position is that if retail prices do not reflect the current landed cost of fuel, they will cease imports.
He added that, from a business perspective, this is a valid concern, as private companies reportedly incur a loss of approximately USD 55 million per shipment, which he said is unsustainable.
The President emphasised that the contribution of the private sector is essential to maintaining the national fuel supply, but noted that they will only participate if they are able to sell at cost-reflective prices.
He stressed that the issue of fuel pricing must, therefore, be addressed urgently.
He also pointed out that under the existing Act, companies are permitted to increase prices; however, the maximum retail price is determined by the Ceylon Petroleum Corporation.
“Although we have entered into agreements with these private companies, the necessary legislative amendments to the Act have not yet been finalised,” he noted.
Regarding government revenue, the President stated that tax income from fuel currently stands at Rs. 20 billion, compared to Rs. 240 billion generated last year from taxes on diesel.
Latest News
Heat Index likely to increase up to ‘Caution level’ at some places in the Western, Sabaragamuwa, North-central, Southern and North-western provinces and in Monaragala, Mannar, Vavuniya and Mullaitivu districts
Warm Weather Advisory Issued by the Natural Hazards Early Warning Centre of the Department of Meteorology at 3.30 p.m. on 20 March 2026, valid for 21 March 2026
The public are warned that the Heat index, the temperature felt on human body is likely to increase up to ‘Caution level’ at some places in the Western, Sabaragamuwa, North-central, Southern and North-western provinces and in Monaragala, Mannar, Vavuniya and Mullaitivu districts.
The Heat Index Forecast is calculated by using relative humidity and maximum temperature and this is the condition that is felt on your body. This is not the forecast of maximum temperature. It is generated by the Department of Meteorology for the next day period and prepared by using global numerical weather prediction model data.

Effect of the heat index on human body is mentioned in the above table and it is prepared on the advice of the Ministry of Health and Indigenous Medical Services.
ACTION REQUIRED
Job sites: Stay hydrated and takes breaks in the shade as often as possible.
Indoors: Check up on the elderly and the sick.
Vehicles: Never leave children unattended.
Outdoors: Limit strenuous outdoor activities, find shade and stay hydrated.
Dress: Wear lightweight and white or light-colored clothing.
Note:
In addition, please refer to advisories issued by the Disaster Preparedness & Response Division, Ministry of Health in this regard as well. For further clarifications please contact 011-7446491
News
IMF team here from 26 March to 09 April
A staff team of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) will visit Sri Lanka from 26 March to 09 April, IMF Communications Director Julie Kozack announced.
Addressing the IMF press briefing, Kozack said the visit will focus on discussing economic policies.
“The aim will be to complete a combined fifth and sixth review of the IMF-supported programme, while assessing the potential impact of the Middle East conflict on the economy,” she said.
Kozack added that as part of the discussion, the team will be engaging with the authorities to better understand what the potential impact of the Middle East conflict could be on Sri Lanka’s economy.
“When the team returns, it will have an updated assessment of Sri Lanka’s economy and how the IMF can continue to support Sri Lanka.
The IMF Communications Director noted that the Fund is actively engaging with countries affected by the Middle East conflict, assessing global economic risks and standing ready to provide support.
“We are engaging very actively with our membership. We are talking to them about how we see, as I explained here, how we see some of the impacts, on the global economy. But also asking them, how can we best support them at this time, using the full range of tools available to us, including through our policy advice, capacity development and also financial support as needed.
We have engaged with finance ministers and central bank governors in many countries and regions. We’ve also engaged with regional institutions to discuss and share perspectives on the implications of the conflict and again, how the Fund can best provide support. The overall impact, of course, is going to depend very much on the duration and intensity of the conflict.We will provide an updated assessment in our World Economic Outlook in April, which will be comprehensive for the individual country level and also for global and regional economies,” Kozack added.
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