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Sri Lanka, the contrarian investment opportunity of 2021, says CAM

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Global equity interest in emerging markets expected to trickle down to CSE

Despite global negativity, the CSE has emerged the best performing stock market in the world as of 19th January 2021 due to local positivity. Analysts expect global equity market growth to move away from the US to favour the rest of the world. The capital flow into Emerging Markets can also be expected to flow into Frontier Markets while SL has the potential to outperform other frontier equity markets during 2021 since it is trading at attractive valuations, as per the latest Economic & Market Outlook report of the Colombo-based Ceylon Asset Management (CAM).

Sri Lanka offers the highest negative correlation in Asia compared to India, United States and Japan while Malaysia is the 2nd highest in Asia compared to the same countries. It reveals that the CSE’s negative correlation to US, India and Japan stock markets during the past 5 years offer investment opportunities to global investors.

Frontier economies such as Sri Lanka are experiencing credit distress reflected by a series of country rating downgrades by the international rating agencies. As a result, Sri Lanka International Sovereign Bond (SLISB) yields spiked to an all-time high level in last year since the first issue during 2007. The 2030 SLISB yield of 9.1% before the pandemic (11 March) increased to 19.6% during May 2020. Currently, it has recovered marginally and trading at a yield of 15.5%. The 2030 ISB price declined by -37.8% during 2020. The 2022 ISB maturities still trade at yields above 30% reflecting global investor concerns over Sri Lanka’s ability to repay maturities next year given insufficient Reserves.

Despite the adverse economic environment, the research report published by Ceylon Asset Management (CAM) highlights a contrarian investment Opportunity in the Sri Lanka International Sovereign Bond Market. However, Global negativity towards SL is strong due to existing external debt obligations, weak debt sustainability, insufficient foreign reserves and hesitance to engage with the International Monetary Fund. As a result, all other “CCC” rated countries trade below 10% while Sri Lanka trades at 18.5% p.a.

The foreign analysts are negative on the external debt repayment ability of Government of Sri Lanka over the next five years due to mounting adverse economic conditions. The absence of a credible debt repayment strategy by the Government of Sri Lanka has diluted foreign investor confidence despite the statements provided on the willingness and ability to settle the upcoming debt obligations.

Despite the negative impact of the pandemic on Sri Lanka and exit of foreign investors from the CSE, analysts observe a contrarian behavior of local investors due to their confidence in the government policies and measures to reduce the trade deficit, a strengthening current account balance, arrangements of dollar SWAPs of USD 2.5Bn to strengthen FX reserves to overcome prevailing challenges. In addition to the dollar SWAPS, The Government of Sri Lanka expects committed FDIs of USD 2.5Bn during 2021.



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India–Sri Lanka Business Forum highlights new momentum in trade, investment and connectivity

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Dignitaries at the India-Sri Lanka Business Forum

The Ceylon Chamber of Commerce, in partnership with the Confederation of Indian Industry (CII), organised the India–Sri Lanka Business Forum: Partnering in Sri Lanka’s Growth and Investment and the CII – Ceylon Chamber CEOs Interaction in Mumbai on 13 May 2026. The events brought together senior government representatives, industry leaders, policymakers, and business delegates from India and Sri Lanka to deepen economic engagement and explore new avenues for cooperation across priority sectors.

The discussions reflected growing optimism about India-Sri Lanka economic relations and focused on expanding collaboration in trade, investments, connectivity, tourism, renewable energy, logistics, digital transformation, infrastructure, healthcare, education, manufacturing, and technology.

Participants included Mahishini Colonne, High Commissioner of Sri Lanka to India; Duminda Hulangamuwa, Senior Economic Advisor to the President of Sri Lanka; Dr Rajesh Ravindra Gawande, Secretary (Protocol, FDI, Diaspora & Outreach) and Chief of Protocol, Government of Maharashtra; Ms Priyanga Wickramasinghe, Consul General of Sri Lanka in Mumbai; Krishan Balendra, Chairperson, The Ceylon Chamber of Commerce and Chairperson, John Keells Holdings PLC; Anurag Agarwal, Co-chairman, CII Western Region Sub-committee on International Trade & Investment and Chief Executive Officer, Polycab India Ltd; Vishal Kamat, Chairman, CII Western Region Sub-Committee on Tourism and Hospitality and Executive Director, Kamat Hotels India Ltd; Bingumal Thewarathanthti, Vice Chairperson of the Ceylon Chamber and CEO Standard Chartered Bank Sri Lanka, Vinod Hirdaramani – Deputy Vice Chairperson of the Ceylon Chamber and Chairman Hirdaramani Group, and Shiran Fernando, Secretary General & CEO of the Ceylon Chamber.

Welcoming the delegates, Anurag Agarwal, highlighted the growing momentum in India–Sri Lanka economic relations and the emergence of future-oriented sectors driving bilateral cooperation.

He noted that India and Sri Lanka are at an important phase of economic collaboration, where connectivity, investments, innovation, and sustainable partnerships are creating new opportunities for shared growth. He further emphasised the significant potential for deeper engagement in sectors such as renewable energy, tourism, ICT, logistics, digital services, healthcare, manufacturing, education, and infrastructure.

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Proposed oil palm expansion sparks economic and environmental debate

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Withanage and Kariyawasam speaking to journalists

Move to reconsider the ban on oil palm cultivation has triggered a heated debate among environmentalists, economists and plantation sector stakeholders, with critics warning that replacing rubber plantations with oil palm could weaken one of the country’s most valuable export industries while exposing the nation to long-term environmental and trade risks.

Environmental groups argue that the issue is no longer purely ecological, but a major economic policy question with implications for exports, foreign exchange earnings, rural livelihoods and Sri Lanka’s standing in international markets.

Sri Lanka banned oil palm cultivation in April 2021 through Extraordinary Gazette No. 2222/13 issued by former President Gotabaya Rajapaksa, citing environmental degradation, biodiversity loss, soil erosion and threats to water resources.

However, plantation companies are now reportedly lobbying for the reversal of the ban, arguing that oil palm offers higher short-term commercial returns compared to traditional plantation crops.

Environmentalists and policy analysts, however, caution that the long-term economic costs could outweigh the immediate profits.

Hemantha Withanage of the Environmental Justice Centre said Sri Lanka risks undermining a globally competitive rubber industry in pursuit of a commodity that generates comparatively limited national value.

“Rubber remains one of Sri Lanka’s strongest industrial export sectors. Replacing rubber with oil palm would be economically shortsighted because the downstream rubber manufacturing industry generates far greater export earnings, employment and industrial value addition, he said.

Industry statistics reveal a worrying decline in the rubber sector over the past four decades. Rubber cultivation has fallen from 171,126 hectares in 1982 to around 84,000 hectares in 2024, while production has dropped from 133,200 metric tons in 1980 to approximately 69,185 metric tons last year.

Despite shrinking cultivation, the rubber sector continues to deliver significant export revenue. Sri Lanka earned nearly USD 994 million from rubber exports in 2024, while rubber-based manufactured products generated more than USD 2.5 billion in export income.

The country also imports over USD million worth of raw and processed rubber annually to sustain domestic manufacturing demand, highlighting the strategic importance of maintaining local rubber production.

Analysts warn that further reductions in rubber cultivation could increase import dependency, weaken industrial supply chains and place additional pressure on foreign exchange reserves.

By contrast, Sri Lanka’s palm oil sector contributes relatively little to export earnings. In 2025, Sri Lanka imported 38,210 metric tons of palm oil and 33,696 metric tons of coconut oil, while the value of palm oil imports in 2023 stood at approximately USD 23 million.

Critics argue that oil palm cultivation mainly benefits plantation-level profitability rather than the broader national economy.

Thilak Kariyawasam of FIAN Sri Lanka said the environmental externalities associated with oil palm could eventually translate into significant economic costs.

“The industry’s impact on water resources, soil quality and ecosystems creates hidden financial burdens for the country. Pollution control, water management and biodiversity losses all carry long-term economic consequences that are often ignored in short-term investment calculations, he said.

Environmental groups also raised concerns that Sri Lanka could face reputational risks in export markets if environmentally controversial plantation policies are pursued.

The European Union, one of Sri Lanka’s most important export destinations and the provider of GSP+ trade concessions, has tightened regulations linked to deforestation and environmental sustainability.

By Ifham Nizam

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Talawakelle Tea Estates achieves International Organic Certification for Great Western and Logie Teas

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(Up) The Logie Estate, factory is dedicated exclusively to organic tea production. (Down) Great Western Estate, certified for organic tea production under EU, USDA, and JAS standards

Talawakelle Tea Estates PLC has secured internationally recognised organic certification. A member of the Hayleys Plantations Sector and one of Sri Lanka’s premier Regional Plantation Companies, this milestone enables the Company to market certified organic teas under its renowned Great Western and Logie garden marks.

The certification spans three major global standards: the EU Organic Regulation of the European Union, the National Organic Program (NOP-US) of the United States Department of Agriculture, and the Japanese Agricultural Standards (JAS) for organic products. With this achievement, Talawakelle Tea Estates is now positioned to supply premium organic teas to international markets that demand the highest standards of certification, traceability, and product integrity.

“We are proud to reach this significant milestone after more than four years of dedicated effort to build a fully compliant organic cultivation and processing system that meets stringent international standards. This achievement shows the strength of our partnerships with the Tea Research Institute (TRI) and internationally qualified consultants and, most importantly, the commitment and collaboration of our estate and corporate teams. Together, we have established a robust and sustainable organic management framework that will support our long-term vision.” Talawakelle Tea Estates, Director / CEO, Nishantha Abeysinghe added.

To ensure consistent compliance with international standards, Talawakelle Tea Estates appointed dedicated full-time personnel from its estate teams and corporate sustainability division to oversee and manage every stage of the organic value chain – from cultivation to final manufacture.

The Company has also developed an end-to-end organic cultivation and processing management system covering the full value chain – from field-level practices to final manufacture – ensuring a structured and carefully monitored approach to organic tea production.

To safeguard product integrity and eliminate the risk of cross-contamination with conventional teas, the Company has designated low-risk fields exclusively for organic cultivation and dedicated the Logie factory entirely to organic tea production, minimising the risk of cross-contamination.

Following a series of rigorous audits, Talawakelle Tea Estates has secured full certification and is now set to launch its certified organic tea range globally under the prestigious Great Western and Logie garden marks names bringing together heritage and sustainability.

This achievement marks an important step in the Company’s broader journey to build a more sustainable, nature-based product portfolio in response to growing global demand. By combining strong garden identities with internationally recognised organic standards, Talawakelle Tea Estates continues to strengthen its position in the premium tea segment.

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