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Psychometrics and the Curriculum for General Education

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Image courtesy The New York Times

Chief among my concerns regarding the announced major curriculum revision to general education is the lack of a document open to public scrutiny. Public institutions must be accountable to the public. Instead, PowerPoint presentations, news snippets and casual discussions with Ministry officials are all I must go by as I put a spotlight on the “psychometric tests” to be introduced in Grade 9. According to the Ministry, they consist of literacy and numeracy skills tests and a “career interest test [technically an inventory, not a test] (July 22, 2025, Daily Mirror).

Psychometrics

Psychometrics refers to the measurement of psychological phenomena, using measurement/test theory and research, to capture psychological characteristics primarily for educational, employment, or therapeutic purposes. Psychometricians aspire to develop standardised tools effective in capturing the same human quality across time, space and people. These tools require consistency when administered and interpreted.

Psychometrics has a long and sordid history with roots traceable to Francis Galton and the horrifyingly racist Eugenics Movement of the 19th Century. Galton believed that the human race could be made more intelligent through selective breeding and the Eugenics Movement was built on the understanding that White people, relative to others, are genetically superior in intelligence. Even today, scholars continue to raise concerns that test scores may serve to marginalise and further disadvantage students representing ethnic and racial minorities. Historically, in the US, psychometric test scores have been used to justify high stakes decisions that are particularly unfriendly to Blacks, reflecting a general possibility that differences in scores are always in danger of being interpret in ways that are consistent with our preconceptions, a consideration we must always guard against.

Assessment of Bias

Psychometric techniques can assess if an instrument is unfair to a particular group of individuals. Sometimes instruments may demonstrate that scores vary in meaning across subgroups, in which case scores cannot be uniformly treated across these populations. The US Standards for Educational and Psychological Testing (AERA, APA, NCME, 2014) states:

“…characteristics of all individuals in the intended test population, including those associated with race, ethnicity, gender, age, socioeconomic status, or linguistic or cultural background, must be considered throughout all stages of development, administration, scoring, interpretation, and use so that barriers to fair assessment can be reduced.”

Such considerations require extensive validation research, which is generally publicly available. I could not find such information regarding the tools that the Ministry plans to use.

Career Interest, Literacy and Numeracy tests, and the General Curriculum

Career interest.The Ministry’s plan is to use an interest-inventory as part of a career guidance programme, to help students choose between different subject combinations and decide whether to pursue academic or vocational routes. Career interest does not assess a person’s competencies, it literally measures only their interests. Supporting students in choosing areas of study that interest them is wonderful, but a career is somewhat different; it’s about selecting a vocation based, one would think, on many considerations. Of course, one might question whether a 14-year-old should be making academic decisions based on career aspirations at all, or whether the Sri Lankan job market can genuinely meet the public’s varied aspirations, but, that discussion is beyond the scope of this article. My concern is that, in my interactions with Ministry officials, there seems to be a troubling misunderstanding of the purpose of these instruments.

My worry also stems from my experience as a parent navigating the education system. Trying to understand why my son was taught the way he was, made me realise the deep neglect in the system. Teachers are left without a structured continuous professional development (CPD) programme and must fend for themselves, relying on commercially available but poorly regulated resources to decide what and how to teach within the guidelines provided. It is in this rather base context that these assessments are to be introduced.

Assuming the career interest tool shows adequate psychometric reliability in validation research, how will teachers use it? To what extent will their guidance be influenced by their own preconceptions and biases? Teachers with limited training and significant influence in schools may inadvertently use these scores inappropriately.

Literacy and Numeracy. The announcement also mentioned the introduction of literacy and numeracy tests, but it remains unclear how these will be used. During an informal discussion, a Ministry official referenced the US policy “No Child Left Behind” (NCLB) in connection with these tests. NCLB is a Bush-era US policy (early 2000s) that ties student achievement scores to school performance evaluations. At the time, psychologists warned that relying on test scores to assess schools could have unintended detrimental consequences. Looking back over two decades later, research shows that test score gains under NCLB were only weakly linked to actual educational attainment, lowered teacher morale and fostered exam-focused classrooms that diminished interest in broader learning. Sri Lanka already faces these consequences of high-stakes testing with our Ordinary Level (OL) and Advanced Level (AL) examinations. Furthermore, since OL results already assess achievement in language (Sinhala, Tamil, English) and mathematics, introducing new literacy and numeracy assessments for tracking purposes seem redundant.

Using literacy and numeracy test scores to compare school performance assumes that all students are comparable. However, some students face developmental or neurological challenges that affect their performance, and may drag down a school’s results. Many countries that use psychometric testing extensively provide special needs accommodations, but Sri Lanka currently lacks trained assessment specialists accessible to all schools. More troubling, accommodations require that students be clinically assessed and officially classified as “disabled.” In contexts where such diagnoses remain taboo, the social stigma can be severe. There is also the risk that students struggling with literacy or numeracy might be wrongly labelled in attempts to protect overall school test scores. Psychologists have warned that policies like NCLB could encourage score manipulation, ultimately harming the quality and fairness of education.

Limitations of Psychometrics

In addition to these concerns, there are aspects of psychometrics that should be considered when implementing such a programme in Sri Lanka.

Firstly, although psychometricians tend to believe that any psychological phenomenon can be quantified, quantification is never fully successful; meaning that validation research indicates that measures vary in their ability to predict outcomes. For instance, Hanna and Rounds (2020) show a relatively high level of success, 50%, in career interest inventories predicting later choice of career. However, this indicates that for the other 50% of the cases, the prediction is unsuccessful.

Furthermore, the commonly used RIASEC career interest tool shows only low positive correlations with job performance, persistence, and career satisfaction (De Vries et al., 2024), This means that even scores of a well-researched interest scale, while associated with valued outcomes, cannot account for much variation in them. Teachers must fully understand these limitations.

Secondly, the characteristics assessed are generally limited by costs and time, leaving only a few statistics on which to base decisions. These limited characteristics have political connotations. For instance, assessing school performance through numeracy and literacy or using career interest alone to guide students subtly suggest that other characteristics matter less.

Thirdly, the individual is the unit of analysis used when a tool’s ability to predict outcomes or level of bias is assessed. How historical social conditions reflect on scores, however, can remain unaccounted for in these analyses. These limitations may result in the systematic marginalisation of groups.

Finally, although scores can be combined with other information, such as students’ background and constraints, the scores themselves can have an overpowering effect, as they may communicate an unwarranted sense of objectivity and certainty (Gitomer & Iwatani, 2022). They may, therefore, disempower teachers and students in the career guidance process, and remove the student’s agency, and diminish the confidence with which teachers draw on other resources when helping students.

The Ministry’s intention to provide students with career guidance is timely. Its effort to promote alternative career paths, beyond the aspirations of becoming doctors or engineers, is forward thinking. Likewise, identifying schools struggling with student achievement to offer them additional support is a worthy goal. The challenge, however, is how to achieve these aims with minimal negative impact on students, teachers, and the wider education system.

Teachers already feel weighed down by excessive compliance demands within schools. Teacher facilitation through reintroducing strong CPD programmes, professionalising guidance roles within schools, and ensuring that both staff and institutions have the resources and flexibility to plan initiatives that genuinely enhance student outcomes may better serve to enhance morale. Ladd (2017) notes, the NCLB policy introduced two important measures: raising teacher qualification standards and making school-level data publicly available. Both steps would improve teacher training and ensure transparency and strengthen Sri Lanka’s education system without the need to replicate NCLB-style policies.

(Shamala Kumar is a psychologist with training in psychometrics working at the University of Peradeniya)

Kuppi is a politics and pedagogy happening on the margins of the lecture hall that parodies, subverts, and simultaneously reaffirms social hierarchies.



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The university bought AI, now it’s buying back the pencil

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SERIES: THE GREAT DIGITAL RETHINK — PART IV OF V

Higher education spent 30 years going paperless. It digitised the lecture, the library, the exam hall and the staffroom. Then a student typed ‘write me an essay on Keynesian economics’ into a chatbot and handed it in. Now universities are doing something they have not done since the typewriter arrived: they are bringing back the pen.

The Most Digitised Place on Earth

If you wanted to find the institution most thoroughly transformed by digital technology, over the past three decades, the university is a strong candidate. The library card catalogue, once a tactile index of civilisation, is a database accessible from a phone in bed. Essays are submitted through portals, graded on screen, returned with tracked-change comments. Research is conducted on platforms, published in digital journals, cited by algorithms. Administrative life, timetabling, enrolment, fees, complaints, is almost entirely online. The university is, in the most literal sense, a paperless institution.

But the pen is coming back. And the reason is artificial intelligence, the very technology that was supposed to represent the final and irresistible triumph of digital over analogue in higher education.

Digital technology entered universities promising to make assessment smarter, faster and more flexible. It has instead produced a crisis of academic integrity so acute that the most sophisticated educational institutions in the world are responding by retreating to the oldest assessment technology available: a human being, a piece of paper, a pen, and a room with a clock on the wall.

Seven Thousand Caught. How Many Not?

In 2025, investigative reporting revealed that UK universities recorded nearly 7,000 confirmed cases of AI-assisted cheating in the 2023-24 academic year alone, roughly five cases per 1,000 students, five times the rate of the previous year. Experts quoted in the reporting were consistent in their view that confirmed cases represent a fraction of actual AI-assisted submissions. Nobody knows what the real number is. That, in itself, is the problem.

A student who prompts a language model to draft an essay on Keynesian economics, then edits the output to match their own voice and argumentation style, may produce something that no detection tool can reliably identify as machine-generated. The model writes fluently, cites credibly and argues coherently. The student submits with a clear conscience, having persuaded themselves that they were ‘using a tool’, in the same way they might use a calculator or a spell-checker.

Universities have responded with a spectrum of policies ranging from total prohibition of AI to the handwritten exam re-enters the story.

5,000 cases of AI cheating confirmed in a single year in UK universities. Experts say that’s the tip of the iceberg. The pen is suddenly looking very attractive again.

The Comeback of the Exam Hall

The move back is being driven not by a sudden rediscovery of pedagogical virtue but by the uncomfortable realisation that the alternatives, take-home essays, online submissions, project-based work submitted asynchronously, are now so vulnerable to AI assistance that they cannot reliably measure what the degree certificate claims to certify.

There is an additional irony, familiar to readers of this series, in the fact that AI-based exam has itself been in retreat since 2024, after mounting evidence of privacy violations, algorithmic bias and the fundamental absurdity of software that flags a student as a potential cheat for looking away from the screen to think. The technology brought in to protect digital assessment from human dishonesty has been replaced, in an increasing number of institutions, by a human invigilator. The wheel has turned.

The Open Laptop and Wandering Mind

The evidence is clear that open laptops in lectures serve, for a significant proportion of students, as gateways to everything except the lecture. Social media, news sites, messaging apps and casual browsing are the default destinations. The problem is not merely the student who disappears into their own digital world, research has documented a ‘second-hand distraction’ effect in which one student’s off-task screen use degrades the concentration of those seated nearby, whose peripheral vision catches the movement and brightness of the screen. A single open laptop in a lecture theatre affects not one student but several. The lecturer at the front of the room is competing, without knowing it, with whatever is trending on social media three rows back.

The note-taking research is more nuanced, as this series has noted previously. The finding that handwritten notes produce better conceptual understanding than typed notes is real but context-dependent, and the effect is attenuated when laptop users are trained to take generative rather than transcriptive notes. The practical takeaway for university teaching is not ‘ban laptops universally’ but something more specific: that the design of teaching environments, the explicit instruction given about how to take notes.

One student’s open laptop in a lecture degrades the concentration of every student seated nearby. The screen in your peripheral vision is not your problem. It’s everyone’s.

Critical Hybridity: What Comes After the Backlash

Universities are too large, too diverse and too committed to digital infrastructure to undergo the kind of clean reversal visible in Nordic primary schools. They are not going to remove learning management systems, abandon online submission portals or stop using video conferencing for international collaboration. The digital transformation of higher education is, in most respects, real, useful and irreversible. The question is not whether to be digital, but which parts of university life benefit from being analogue.

What is emerging, hesitantly and imperfectly, might be called critical hybridity: the deliberate combination of digital and analogue practices based on what each is genuinely good for, rather than on what is cheapest, most fashionable or most convenient for administrators. Digital tools are excellent for access to information, for collaboration across distance, for rapid feedback on low-stakes work, for accessibility accommodations. Analogue settings, the supervised exam, the handwritten essay, the seminar discussion, the laboratory session, are excellent for demonstrating individual capability under conditions that cannot be delegated, automated or faked.

And What About the Rest of the World?

The universities of Finland, Sweden, Australia, the UK and their peers in the wealthy world have the institutional capacity, the data, the legal frameworks, the staff development resources, the research culture, to navigate this transition with some sophistication.

Universities in lower-income systems face a different set of pressures. Many are still in the phase of building digital capacity, installing platforms, training staff to use them, extending online learning to students in geographically dispersed or underserved communities. For them, the digital transformation of higher education is still a project in progress, still a marker of institutional modernity, still a goal rather than a problem. The AI cheating crisis, visible and acute in well-resourced universities, is less immediately pressing in systems where AI tool access is still uneven and where examination culture has remained more traditional.

But the AI tools are coming, and they are coming fast, and they are not arriving with an instruction manual explaining how to use them honestly. The universities that are grappling with this are acquiring knowledge that should, in principle, be shared. Whether it will be is the question this series will address in its final instalment: who learns from whom in global education, and who is always left holding the bill for everyone else’s experiments.

SERIES ROADMAP Part I: From Ed-Tech Enthusiasm to De-Digitalisation | Part II: Phones, Pens & Early Literacy | Part III: Attention, Algorithms & Adolescents | Part IV: Universities, AI & the Handwritten Exam (this article) | Part V: A Critical Theory of Educational De-Digitalisation

(The writer, a senior Chartered Accountant and professional banker, is Professor at SLIIT, Malabe. The views and opinions expressed in this article are personal.)

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Lest we forget – 2

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Dulles brothers John (right) and Allen

In 1944 Juan José Arévalo was democratically elected President of Guatemala. At the time a Boston-based banana company in Guatemala, called the United Fruit Company (UFC), had established and was running the country’s harbour, railways and electricity, to facilitate UFC’s fruit export business. It was a ‘state within a state’. The UFC received many concessions, yet corruption was rampant and local workers got a mere pittance as wages ($90 per year). Some 70% of the citizens, mostly of Mayan Indian origin, worked for 3% of the landowners who owned in excess of 550,000 acres. In fact, more than half of government employees were in the payroll of UFC. Needless to say, life under those tyrannical conditions was tough for ordinary Guatemalans who were illiterate and owed their souls to the UFC.

Those were the days of the ‘Cold War’, when a Communist was supposedly seen behind every bush – or a ‘Red under the bed’ – by US Senator Joseph McCarthy and all anti-Communists. A few years later, teachers in Guatemala, and other workers in general, demanded higher wages and were involved in strikes.

In 1951 there was another democratic election, and Jacobo Árbenz was appointed President with a promise to make the lives of Guatemala’s three million citizens better. He implemented a land reform act (No. 900) which forced UFC to sell back undeveloped land to the government, who in turn distributed it to the poor folk for farming sugar, coffee and bananas. It had been UFC’s practice not to develop all the land they owned, keeping some of it on ‘standby’ in case of hurricanes or plant disease. In fact, UFC had utilised only 15% of the land they owned. The new Guatemalan President himself contributed a sizable amount of his own land to the new scheme, while compensation paid to UFC, based on declared land value in the company’s own tax declarations, amounted to US$1.2 million.

However, it was USA’s Secretary of State, John Foster Dulles (after whom Dulles International Airport in Washington, DC is named), not UFC, who sent a letter to the Guatemalan government demanding the enormous sum of US$16 million in reparations. John Dulles and his brother, Allen W. Dulles, then head of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), had worked together as partners of the law firm Sullivan & Cromwell – which, not coincidentally, represented UFC. Allen Dulles was also a shareholder and board member of UFC.

Jacobo Árbenz

The Dulles brothers were staunch Calvinists by religious denomination, and to them everything had to be ‘black or white’. At a secret meeting with the UFC board the two brothers were sold a lie saying that President Árbenz was a Communist, which was in turn conveyed to US President Dwight Eisenhower, who allocated money for covert operations to be conducted in Guatemala. Correspondents of The New York Times and Time magazine, sent to Guatemala and paid for by the UFC, began fabricating stories, known today as ‘fake news’, which were duly published by those respected and widely read publications.

One day in Washington, DC, Allen Dulles met Kermit Roosevelt – son of the late US President Theodore Roosevelt – who was in the process of engineering an Iranian regime change, and Dulles offered Roosevelt the opportunity to do something similar in Guatemala. But Roosevelt refused, claiming that there were too many loose ends to contend with. Subsequently, John E. Peurifoy was appointed as US Ambassador to Guatemala to direct operations from within.

The first attempt to undermine the Guatemalan government, code-named ‘Operation PBFORTUNE’, failed due to information leaks. A second attempt, dubbed ‘PBSUCCESS’, was launched later. Using a CIA-established radio station in Miami, Florida, called ‘The Voice of Liberation’ and pretending to be a rebel radio station inside Guatemala, the incumbent President Árbenz was accused of being a Communist. But in reality he was not a Communist, and did not have a single member of the Communist Party in his government. All he had done was to legalise the Communist Party in Guatemala, saying that they were all citizens of the country and democracy demanded it. Yet disinformation was spread liberally by the CIA, by means of fake radio broadcasts and aerial leaflet drops from unmarked American airplanes flown by foreign pilots. The same aircraft were then used to bomb Guatemala.

These American antics were observed by a young Argentinian doctor who happened to be in Guatemala at the time. His name was Ernesto ‘Che’ Guevara, who despite his anti-imperialist revolutionary fervour, chose not to become involved. Later, however, ‘Che’ went to Mexico where he joined the Cuban Castro brothers, Fidel and Raul, in their ultimately successful revolution which culminated in the dethroning of Cuba’s pro-US President Fulgencio Batista, and establishment of a Communist government in the Caribbean’s largest island.

Meanwhile in Guatemala, demoralised by the flood of fake news, in 1954 President Jacobo Árbenz stepped down from office and sought refuge in the Mexican Embassy. He was replaced as President by a US-backed, exiled military man, Carlos Castillo Armas, who was described as “bold but incompetent”.

Carlos Castillo Armas

Carlos Castillo Armas

Guatemalan citizens loyal to the old regime were eliminated according to hit lists prepared by the CIA. Unmarked vans kidnapped people who were tortured and burnt to death. Ultimately, land was given back to the UFC.

It was a rule by terror that lasted for nearly 40 years, during which an estimated 200,000 people died. According to The Guardian, thousands of now declassified documents tell how the US initiated and sustained a murderous war conducted by Guatemalan security forces against civilians suspected of aiding left wing guerrilla movements, with the USA responsible for most of the human rights abuses.

This, I believe, became a template for destabilising and inducing regime change by the USA in other countries.

In the words of former US President Bill Clinton in 1999: “It is important that I state clearly that support for military forces or intelligence units which engaged in violent and widespread repression of the kind described in reports was wrong, and the United States must not repeat that mistake. We must and we will instead continue to support the peace and reconciliation process in Guatemala.”

God Bless America and no one else!

BY GUWAN SEEYA

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The Easter investigation must not become ethno-religious politics

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Zahran and other bombers

Representatives of almost all the main opposition parties were in attendance at the recent book launch by Pivithuru Hela Urumaya leader Udaya Gammanpila. The book written by the PHU leader was his analysis of the Easter bombing of April 2019 that led to the mass killing of 279 persons, caused injuries to more than 500 others and caused panic and shock in the entire country. The Easter bombing was inexplicable for a number of reasons. First, it was perpetrated by suicide bombers who were Sri Lankan Muslims, a community not known for this practice. They targeted Christian churches in particular, which led to the largest number of casualties. The bombing of Sri Lankan Christian churches by Sri Lankan Muslims was also inexplicable in a country that had no history of any serious violence between the two religions.

There were two further inexplicable features of the bombing. The six suicide bombings took place almost simultaneously in different parts of the country. The logistical complexity of this operation exceeded any previously seen in Sri Lanka. Even during the three decade long civil war that pitted the Sri Lankan military against the LTTE, which had earned international notoriety for suicide attacks, Sri Lanka had rarely witnessed such a synchronised operation. The country’s former Attorney General, Dappula de Livera, who investigated the bombing at the time it took place, later stated, upon retirement, that there was a “grand conspiracy” behind the bombings. That phrase has remained central to public debate because it suggested that the visible perpetrators may not have been the only planners behind the attack.

The other inexplicable factor was that intelligence services based in India repeatedly warned their Sri Lankan counterparts that the bombings would take place and even gave specific targets. Later investigations confirmed that warnings were transmitted days before the attacks and repeated again shortly before the explosions, yet they were not acted upon. It was these several inexplicable factors that gave rise to the surmise of a mastermind behind the students and religious fanatics led by the extremist preacher Zahran Hashim from the east of the country, who also blew himself up in the attacks. Even at the time of the bombing there was doubt that such a complex and synchronised operation could have been planned and executed by the motley band who comprised the suicide bombers.

Determined Attempt

The book by PHU leader Gammanpila is a determined attempt to make explicable the inexplicable by marshalling logic and evidence that this complex and synchronised operation was planned and executed by Zahran himself. This is a possible line of argumentation in a democratic society. Competing interpretations of public tragedies are part of political discourse. However, the timing of the intervention makes it politically more significant. The launch of the PHU leader’s book comes at a critical time when the protracted investigation into the Easter bombing appears to be moving forward under the present government.

The performance of the three previous governments at investigating the bombing was desultory at best. The Supreme Court held former President Maithripala Sirisena and several senior officials responsible for failing to act on prior intelligence and ordered compensation to victims. This judicial finding gave legal recognition to what victims had long maintained, that there was a grave dereliction of duty at the highest levels of the state. In recent weeks the investigation has taken a dramatic turn with the arrest and court production of former State Intelligence Service chief Suresh Sallay on allegations linked directly to the attacks. Whether these allegations are ultimately proven or disproven, they indicate that the present phase of the investigation is moving beyond negligence into possible complicity.

This is why the present moment requires political sobriety. There is a danger that the line of political division regarding the investigation into the Easter bombing can take on an ethnic complexion. The insistence that the suicide bombers alone were the planners and executors of the dastardly crime makes the focus invariably one of Muslim extremism, as the suicide bombers were all Muslims. This may unintentionally narrow public attention away from the unanswered questions regarding intelligence failures, possible political manipulation, and the allegations of a broader conspiracy that remain under active investigation. The minority political parties representing ethnic and religious minorities appear to have realised this danger. Their absence from the book launch was politically significant. It suggests an unwillingness to be drawn into a narrative that could once again stigmatise an entire community for the crimes of a handful of extremists and their possible handlers.

Another Tragedy

It would be another tragedy comparable in political consequence to the havoc wreaked by the Easter bombing if moderate mainstream political parties, such as the SJB to which the Leader of the Opposition belongs, were to subscribe to positions merely to score political points against the present government. They need to guard against the promotion of anti-minority sentiment and the fuelling of majority prejudice against ethnic and religious minorities. Indeed, opposition leader Sajith Premadasa in his Easter message said that justice for the victims of the 2019 Sri Lanka Easter Sunday attacks remains a fundamental responsibility of the state and noted that seven years on, both past and present governments have failed to deliver accountability. He added that building a society grounded in trust and peace, uniting all ethnicities, religions and communities, is vital to ensure such tragedies do not occur again.

Sri Lanka’s post war history offers too many examples of how unresolved security crises become vehicles for majoritarian mobilisation. The Easter tragedy itself was followed by waves of anti-Muslim suspicion and violence in some parts of the country. Responsible political leadership should seek to prevent any return to that atmosphere. There are many other legitimate issues on which the moderate and mainstream opposition parties can take the government to task. These include the lack of decisive action against government members accused of corruption, the passing of the entire burden of rising fuel prices on consumers instead of the government sharing the burden, and the failure to hold provincial council elections within the promised timeframe. These are issues that touch the daily lives of citizens and the health of democratic governance. They offer the opposition ample ground on which to build credibility as a government in waiting.

The search for truth and justice over the Easter bombing needs to continue until all those responsible are identified, whether they were direct perpetrators, negligent officials, or political actors who may have exploited the tragedy. This is what the victim families want and the country needs. But this search must not be turned into a partisan and religiously divisive matter such as by claiming that there are more potential suicide bombers lurking in the country who had been followers of Zaharan. If it is, Sri Lanka risks replacing one national tragedy with another. coming together to discredit the ongoing investigations into the Easter bombing of 2019 is an unacceptable use of ethno-religious nationalism to politically challenge the government. The opposition needs to find legitimate issues on which to challenge the government if they are to gain the respect and support of the general public and not their opprobrium.

by Jehan Perera

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