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Oil supply tightens in Europe over Red Sea disruptions

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[File pic] Yemen's Houthi fighters take over the Galaxy Leader vessel in the Red Sea, on November 20, 2023 (Aljazeera)

The structure of the global benchmark Brent crude futures market and some physical markets in Europe and Africa have been reflecting tighter supply partly over concerns about shipping delays as vessels avoid the Red Sea due to missile and drone attacks.

The disruptions – which have been the largest to global trade since the COVID-19 pandemic – have combined with other factors such as rising Chinese demand to increase competition for crude supply that does not have to transit the Suez Canal, and analysts say this is most evident in European markets.

In a sign of tighter supply, the market structure of Brent – which is used to price nearly 80 percent of the world’s traded oil – hit its most bullish in two months on Friday, as tankers diverted from the Red Sea following recent air strikes by the United States and United Kingdom on targets in Yemen.

In response to Israel’s war on Gaza,  rebels from the Iran-aligned group that controls northern Yemen and its western coastline have launched a wave of assaults on ships in the Red Sea.

INTERACTIVE - Alternative-shipping-route-avoiding-Red-Sea-V2

By targeting vessels with perceived links to Israel, the Houthis are attempting to force Tel Aviv to stop the war and allow humanitarian aid into the Gaza Strip.

Houthi activity has so far been concentrated in the narrow strait of Bab al-Mandeb, which connects the Gulf of Aden to the Red Sea. Approximately 50 ships sail through the strait every day, heading to and from the Suez Canal – a central artery for global trade.

Some of the world’s largest shipping companies have suspended transit in the region, forcing vessels to sail around the Cape of Good Hope in Southern Africa. The lengthier route has raised freight rates due to higher fuel, crew and insurance costs.

“Brent is the most impacted futures contract when it comes to Red Sea/Suez Canal disruptions,” Viktor Katona, lead crude analyst at Kpler, told the Reuters news agency. “So who suffers the most on the physical front? Undoubtedly, it is European refiners.”

The premium of the first-month Brent contract to the six-month contract LCOc1-LCOc7 rose to as much as $2.15 a barrel on Friday, the highest since early November. This structure, called backwardation, indicates a perception of tighter supply for prompt delivery.

Less Middle Eastern crude is heading to Europe, with the volume nearly halved to about 570,000 barrels per day (bpd) in December from 1.07 million bpd in October, Kpler data showed.

Ships travelling through the Suez Canal have taken on greater strategic significance since the war in Ukraine, as sanctions against Russia have made Europe more dependent on oil from the Middle East, which supplies one-third of the world’s Brent crude.

But it’s challenging to measure the impact of Red Sea shipping separately, one crude trader told Reuters. “It’s a strong market everywhere, but people are very nervous.”

Other developments have also tightened the European crude market including a drop in Libyan supply due to protests, the first such disruption for months, and lower Nigerian exports.

Angolan crude, which also heads to Europe without having to pass through the Suez Canal, is seeing higher demand from China and India because of issues around Iranian and Russian crude, reducing the supply that could come to Europe.

China’s oil trade with Iran has stalled as Tehran withholds shipments and demands higher prices, while India’s imports of Russian crude have fallen due to currency challenges, although India attributed the drop to unattractive prices.

Meanwhile, Russia leapfrogged Saudi Arabia to become China’s top crude oil supplier in 2023, data showed on Saturday, as the world’s biggest crude importer defied Western sanctions over Russia’s 2022 invasion of Ukraine to buy vast quantities of discounted oil for its processing plants.

Russia shipped a record 107.02 million metric tonnes of crude oil to China last year, equivalent to 2.14 million bpd, the Chinese customs data showed, far more than other major oil exporters such as Saudi Arabia and Iraq.

Imports from Saudi Arabia, previously China’s largest supplier, fell 1.8 percent to 85.96 million tonnes, as the Middle East oil giant lost market share to cheaper Russian crude.

(Aljazeera)



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A sustained wave of Indian assistance to Sri Lanka showcases defining shift in developmental diplomacy

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Transport Minister Bimal Rathnayake and Indian High Commissioner Santosh Jha at the plaque unveiling ceremony for the Moragahakanda Bridge project, supported by Indian grant assistance.

By Sanath Nanayakkare

An evolving approach to regional diplomacy was brought into sharp focus with the recent foundation-laying ceremony for the Moragahakanda Bridge in Matale.

Jointly launched by Indian High Commissioner Santosh Jha and Minister of Transport, Highways and Urban Development Bimal Rathnayake, this 175-metre span is far more than a routine civil engineering project. It serves as the physical manifestation of a broader USD 450 million reconstruction package deployed by India in the wake of Cyclone Ditwah, which severely fractured the island’s transport arteries.

Foreign aid is too often discussed in cold, macroeconomic abstractions. Yet, every so often, a consistent pattern of targeted assistance alters the landscape of bilateral relations, offering a clear window into how regional partnerships evolve out of necessity and goodwill.

Across the country today, a remarkable narrative of multi-layered cooperation is unfolding.

From critical post-disaster infrastructure and maritime routes to grassroots agricultural uplift and institutional capacity-building, India’s developmental footprint is shifting unmistakably toward an organic, people-centric model of shared resilience.

What distinguishes this latest wave of assistance is its deliberate pivot from emergency support to permanent, climate-resilient transformation. When Cyclone Ditwah initially paralysed regional connectivity, India’s immediate response was marked by the rapid deployment of temporary Bailey bridges.

Today, that swift humanitarian intervention has matured into a structural blueprint: the Moragahakanda project stands as the vanguard of 13 permanent bridges being built across Sri Lanka’s provinces by IRCON International Limited, complemented by upcoming railway upgrades and modern signaling systems backed by a USD 250 million Line of Credit.

The true signature of this diplomatic shift lies in its breadth, operating simultaneously across multiple tiers of society:

Institutional Governance: Delegations of Sri Lankan parliamentarians and senior administrative officers regularly travel to India to study public policy frameworks, legislative systems, and administrative practices.

Economic Lifelines: Financial mechanisms, such as viability gap funding for the Nagapattinam-to-Kankesanthurai passenger ferry service, continue to shrink geographical distances, reviving coastal commerce and tourism.

Grassroots Empowerment: Specialised capacity-building programmes tailored for local stakeholders – ranging from state officials to rural dairy farmers -ensure that development reaches deep into the island’s hinterlands.

By aligning immediate disaster relief with long-term infrastructure, institutional capacity, and human capital, India and Sri Lanka are demonstrating how neighbours can build safer, more connected futures together, grounded firmly in mutual respect and tangible progress.

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Bring your own bag to book fair, CEA urges

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By Ifham Nizam

The Central Environmental Authority (CEA) yesterday urged visitors to the Colombo International Book Fair to bring reusable bags to carry their purchases, as part of a drive to reduce single-use plastic waste at the event.

CEA Director General R. S. P. Kapila Rajapaksha said large quantities of plastic, particularly “sili sili” bags, had been used to carry books at previous book fairs.

“We urge visitors to bring an environmentally friendly, reusable bag when they come to buy books. This simple step can help reduce the use of single-use plastic and protect the environment,” Rajapaksha said.

The book fair opens on September 25, with the CEA and the Sri Lanka Book Publishers’ Association launching an awareness programme targeting book sellers, food vendors and visitors.

The programme will be conducted under the theme “Read Smart, Carry Smart”, focusing on reducing polythene and plastic use throughout the exhibition.

The CEA said the use of plastic bags is also subject to regulations issued under the Consumer Affairs Authority Act. Gazette Extraordinary No. 2456/41, dated October 1, 2025, prohibits the free distribution of handled “sili sili” bags to consumers. Where such bags are sold, the charge must be included in the customer’s bill.

The CEA said food outlets at the book fair would also be required to comply with regulations prohibiting a range of single-use plastic products.

These include plastic straws and stirrers, disposable plastic plates, cups, spoons, forks and knives, as well as polythene-based food wrappers commonly known as lunch sheets.

The CEA said it had discussed the requirements with relevant stakeholders and reached agreement to ensure that prohibited products are not used at food outlets within the exhibition premises.

The authority urged both traders and visitors to cooperate with the initiative and help make this year’s book fair a more environmentally responsible event.

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Japanese investor Yoshimichi Watanabe backs Hunas Holdings

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Yoshimichi Watanabe / Tanaka - Director Hunas Holdings PLC

Partnership signals renewed foreign investor confidence in Sri Lanka as a destination and in the long-term growth of its hospitality sector

Japanese investor Yoshimichi Watanabe has entered into a partnership with Colombo Stock Exchange-listed Hunas Holdings PLC, in a move that comes as the diversified conglomerate prepares a significant expansion of its hospitality and real estate interests in Sri Lanka.

The partnership brings foreign capital and international market experience into one of Sri Lanka’s fastest-diversifying listed groups at a point when the Group is actively building out its pipeline across both sectors. Hunas Holdings is currently evaluating a series of hospitality and real estate developments in Sri Lanka, with further announcements expected in the coming months.

Hunas Holdings PLC operates across hospitality and leisure, real estate, renewable energy and agriculture, with a hotel portfolio that includes Hunas Falls in Elkaduwa

For Sri Lanka, the significance of the partnership extends beyond the two parties. Inbound investment of this nature, from an investor with direct and sustained experience of the market, is a measure of returning confidence in the country as a destination and in the underlying fundamentals of its hospitality sector, at a time when the industry is repositioning towards higher-value, experience-led travel.

Watanabe brings investment experience across e-commerce, hospitality and real estate in Japan and in international markets including Bali, Indonesia. He has also maintained a relationship with Sri Lanka over many years, having made multiple investments in the country, giving him first-hand insight into its business environment, regulatory landscape and long-term potential.

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