Editorial
No Happy New Year
There is no escaping the reality that the government is back to the wall and very well aware of it. But it is not going to be toppled in the short term as some of its opponents would wish. Not a day passes when already suffering people are not heaped with more burdens. Finance Minister Basil Rajapaksa a few days ago announced a relief package costing Rs. 229 billion but did not bother to reveal how he is going to find the money to fund it. There will be no tax increases, he has promised and it is to be hoped that this is a pledge that will be kept. Obviously the printing press will account for most of the soon-to-be-paid relief with all attendant ill effects. Published figures indicate that new money created last year reached astronomical proportions. Inflation has hit historical highs with much of it accounted for by food prices. Opposition politicians are now calculating how much a single bean pod or carrot costs. Most of the poorer housewives cannot think of buying more than a 100 grams of the cheapest vegetable.
The Island, our stablemate, reacted to the first news of the Basil package by editorially saying it was a pain reliever but with terrible side effects. Santa, wearing a sataka, the leader writer joked, had arrived late bringing gifts for some of the people; but many more will be left out altogether. Certainly the beneficiaries will welcome the relief, inadequate as it is. Who will not at a time like this when the prices of essentials have shot through the roof? But what about the greater numbers who will not get nothing at all? Granted Sri Lanka has a massive public service running at over 1.1 million according to data gathered in the last census in 2016. The number will be much higher now so a very large number will enjoy the benefit. But there are more workers in the informal than in the formal sector and most of them will be left out in the cold.How daily paid workers eking out a miserable living in the face of ever rocketing prices fared during the lockdown is too recent for anybody, leave alone the victims themselves, to forgive or forget.
Covid is admittedly responsible for many of the problems that the country is now confronted with; but not all of them as has been frequently pointed out. The rulers have contributed substantially to the nation’s current predicament and are paying the price of massive unpopularity within a couple of years of a heady election victory. The fertilizer crisis and its consequences is a vivid example of the harm ill-thought decision making, ignoring expert advice, can do. The government, in the face of massive protests, has partially backed down although too late to rescue the forthcoming Maha harvest. The ban on chemical fertilizers, pesticides and weedicides have undoubtedly contributed much to the current vegetable shortage and the resulting price increases. A rice shortage that will force imports the cash-strapped economy can ill afford is being widely predicted.
Although a freeze on public sector recruitment this year has been announced, neither this government nor its predecessors can evade responsibility for the bloated public service the country has for too long carried. Politicians of every hue have given jobs that do not exist in the state sector to their supporters in return for votes. There is no need to labor the well known fact that a very large number of passengers burden the state payroll and no meaningful effort has been made to correct this scandalous state of affairs. Instead, politicians have continued to expand the public sector and the bestowing of letters of appointment to new recruits by various ministers has been a common occurrence. Such letters are handed out as though the politicians themselves are paying their salaries out of their own pockets.
However well meant and necessary, the relief package has many weaknesses and will be difficult to administer effectively. For example, a large number of public servants bring home two salaries with both husbands and wives employed by the state. This will mean a double benefit for some families while many others will get nothing at all. Samurdhi, no doubt, is a welfare package necessary in a poverty ridden country like ours. But it is badly targeted and large numbers of unqualified families benefit while many of the deserving do not. Payment of relief allowances to public servants, other state sector employees and Samurdhi beneficiaries using the existing administrative machine will not be difficult. But administrating the home gardening incentive, given the many possible avenues of corruption that will surely be exploited, will present many challenges.
The cooking gas and milk powder queues continue and there is little possibility of the shortages being quickly addressed. Gas explosions keep happening and nobody has been held responsible although it has been established that the change in the propane-butane proportions in the cylinders is the most likely cause. The foreign exchange crisis persists. People have now stopped wishing each other a Happy News Year but the prospect of happiness in 2022 remains bleak.
Editorial
Some vehicle traders ‘more equal’?
Saturday 23rd May, 2026
SJB MP Mujibur Rahman has alleged in Parliament that on the eve of the announcement of a 50% customs duty surcharge on vehicle imports, Letters of Credit (LCs) for 1,782 vehicles had been opened by three close associates of President Anura Kumara Dissanayake. Previously, the Opposition claimed that the number of LCs opened on that day exceeded 4,000.
Rahman said the number of LCs opened during the week prior to the announcement of the surcharge mounted to 4,000. The government and the Opposition have locked horns over the issue. It has also been claimed in some quarters that some other vehicle importers also benefited from inside information.
It may not be fair to level sweeping allegations against all vehicle importers. They watch foreign exchange rates, particularly the depreciation of the rupee, global issues and trends, and respond accordingly without the benefit of inside information. When the rupee began to tumble, some vehicle importers may have expected the government to resort to drastic measures, such as import restrictions, to manage the situation. It is natural that traders place bigger orders when the rupee shows signs of continuous weakening. Vehicle importers are no exception.
When it became clear that the rupee free fall would last for a while, vehicle importers may have opened more LCs. That is the name of the game in the business world. It is a gamble, though. If the West Asia conflict goes away by any chance, with the global oil markets stabilising and prices returning close to the pre-war levels, the rupee will rally and the vehicles, imported during the rupee depreciation, may not fetch the desired prices and the importers may not get the expected returns on their investment in such an eventuality. Even ordinary consumers react in a similar manner and stock up on goods that are expected to be in short supply. Most filling stations hide their stocks on the eve of monthly fuel price revisions, for the trend is for the fuel prices to increase in this country. They have no need for inside information to do so. They go by market trends and act with impunity to profiteer. Some of them also place bigger fuel orders towards the end of every month, expecting price increases.
However, the possibility of some vehicle importers having benefited from their political connections and received inside information about the customs duty surcharge in advance cannot be ruled out. Even Budget secrets are leaked to some businesses in this country. Financiers of successive governments have earned billions of rupees in profit by hoarding cigarettes in the run-up to Budgets that increased tobacco prices. Political leaders are known to work hand in glove with business leaders.
As for the allegation that the incumbent government leaked information about the duty surcharge to its cronies, what needs to be examined is whether there were unusually large vehicle orders placed in the run-up to the announcement of the surcharge, and whether the importers concerned are known to have links to the ruling coalition. If only a few vehicle importers who backed the JVP-NPP election campaigns placed huge vehicle orders just days before the surcharge was imposed, it could raise questions of favouritism. A graph showing the number of vehicles imported by leading traders, especially the ones with political links, during the past month may reveal unusual patterns, if any.
Now that the Opposition has levelled a very serious allegation against the government and some companies, the burden is on it to support its claim with facts and figures. The government ought to make all necessary information available if it has nothing to hide.
Editorial
Rupee’s tumble
Friday 22nd May, 2026
The depreciation of the rupee continues, and the government is accused of making only half-hearted attempts to arrest it. The UNP has said the country is facing a very serious issue due to the uncontrolled tumble of the rupee, and during the 20 months since the current administration assumed office, the exchange rate has moved from around Rs. 292 at the time former President Ranil Wickremesinghe handed over office to around Rs. 354 against the US dollar. It has attributed the current situation to the JVP-NPP government’s failure to continue economic policies introduced by the previous administration and pointed to what it describes as a lack of a clear economic plan and failure to strengthen foreign reserves. According to the UNP, these factors have contributed to the rising value of the US dollar. The SLPP-UNP government was lucky that it did not face a global oil price hike and increasing shipping costs.
However, the Joint Apparel Association Forum (JAAF) has argued that the depreciation of the Sri Lankan rupee should be examined in the context of global pressures, such as increasing world oil prices and shipping costs. The rupee depreciation should not be interpreted as a sign that Sri Lanka’s economy is underperforming, JAAF has said. It has been pointed out that the Sri Lankan rupee has depreciated by 4.8% against the US dollar, the Indian rupee by 6.4%, the Nepalese rupee by 6.2% and the Indonesian rupiah by 5.2%.
The JAAF statement reflects the global economic reality, but Sri Lanka’s situation is more serious than that in many other countries. Sri Lanka is still recovering from an economic crisis. The government will have to go beyond imposing a 50% customs duty surcharge on vehicle imports to curtail the forex outflow, strengthen the rupee and shore up foreign currency reserves.
President Anura Kumara Dissanayake has urged the public to cut down on fuel consumption and help boost the country’s foreign currency reserves and arrest the rapid depreciation of the rupee. But they have already cut down on fuel consumption due to soaring oil prices.
President Dissanayake has claimed that a litre of diesel costs as much a Rs. 720, and a government subsidy on diesel amounts to Rs. 100 a litre. If a litre of diesel costs Rs. 720, as the President claims, are the private fuel retailers incurring huge losses by selling diesel at the current price (Rs. 392 a litre)? Is the Ceylon Petroleum Corporation overpaying for fuel? The increasing national fuel bill and the country’s forex woes cannot be blamed on the fallout from the West Asia crisis alone. True, the Iran conflict and the closure of the Hormuz chokepoint have driven the world oil prices up. However, the huge rise in Sri Lanka’s fuel bill from USD 98 million in February to a projected USD 522 million in May, as the President says, is also due to a massive increase in the use of diesel, etc., to operate the oil-fired power plants to compensate for the generation loss caused by substandard coal at the Norochcholai power complex.
With the government struggling to maintain an uninterrupted power supply by burning costly diesel, scheduled power cuts may not be far away. The Opposition has told Parliament that unofficial power cuts are already underway.
The national fuel bill no doubt must be curtailed, but there are other avenues that the government should explore to arrest the rupee’s tumble. Exporters have gained from the depreciation of the rupee, which they themselves have to take responsibility for to some extent. It has been alleged that Sri Lanka is deprived of most export proceeds due to various rackets. Exporters unlawfully park foreign exchange abroad. This practice is linked to exchange control violations, tax evasion, capital flight and, in some cases, even trade-based money laundering. Common methods used by unscrupulous exporters to avoid the repatriation of most export proceeds include the following as we have reported over the years, quoting experts: under-invoicing exports, over-invoicing imports, keeping proceeds abroad through offshore entities, use of “open account” arrangements, multiple invoicing and phantom shipments. Some fraudsters use hawala or informal settlement systems. The media has exposed these malpractices over the years, but in vain.
These export-related rackets have prompted many countries to require exporters to repatriate export proceeds within a relatively short period, submit shipping and banking documentation, and convert part or all export earnings into local currency. Sri Lanka has adopted some of these methods but no government has had the courage to go the whole hog to ensure compliance, for exporters have huge slush funds to bankroll election campaigns. The JVP-NPP government must get tough with the errant exporters who resort to malpractices and deprive the country of much-needed forex. Ensuring the repatriation of export proceeds in a proper manner is half the battle in breaking the back of the forex problem.
The need for a holistic approach to rupee depreciation cannot be overstated, but stringent measures are necessary to curb the outflow of foreign currency.
Editorial
A play without its protagonist
Thursday 21st May, 2026
The annual Commemoration of War Heroes was held on Tuesday, and President Anura Kumara Dissanayake, in his address, pledged to fulfill the aspirations of those who had made the supreme sacrifice for the country. He said they had laid down their lives in the hope that their sacrifices would help build a better country. Last year, he drew criticism for avoiding the term ‘war heroes’ when referring to the fallen military personnel, but he used it on Tuesday. However, that commemorative event was like a play without its protagonist. All former war-winning military commanders were there, but ex-President Mahinda Rajapaksa’s absence was conspicuous. When Foreign Minister Vijitha Herath was asked, at Tuesday’s post-Cabinet media briefing, why Mahinda had not been invited to the commemoration, he said no political leaders had been invited. This claim is based on flawed logic.
Mahinda is not just a political leader; he is a former war-winning President and Commander-in-Chief. He and his family politicised and monopolised the war victory, misruled the country and bankrupted the economy, betraying the trust people reposed in them. But the fact remains that it was his unwavering leadership for the war that made the defeat of the LTTE possible. According to Article 33 of the Constitution, it is the President who declares war or peace. Military commanders merely follow orders from the President and Commander-in-Chief. If Mahinda had buckled under western pressure, the war would have ended prematurely and terrorism would have continued to plague the country.
Mahinda did not give in to pressure from the UK, the EU and the US during the final battle in 2009. British Foreign Minister David Miliband and his French counterpart Bernard Kouchner rushed here in a bid to pressure President Rajapaksa to suspend military operations before the decapitation of the LTTE and open an escape route for Prabhakaran. They even tried to visit the war zone. They were not given permission to do so because their presence there would have compelled the government to stop military operations. The Rajapaksa government also denied a visa to Swedish Foreign Minister Carl Bildt, who wanted to join Miliband and Kouchner to save the LTTE leadership.
If Mahinda had bowed down to western powers and left the war unfinished, it would have been impossible to defeat terrorism; the LTTE would have recovered from military setbacks, acquired drone capability, etc., with the help of the western powers, driven by geopolitical interests and the so-called vote bank politics.
Time was when mothers and fathers did not travel together in buses and trains lest their children should be orphaned in case of LTTE bomb attacks. They also had to guard their children’s schools. The LTTE massacred civilians, especially in villages adjacent to the areas under its control. In the North and the East, people were deprived of their franchise, and democratic dissent was suppressed brutally. Forcible child conscription, extortion and political killings were rampant in those parts of the country while the LTTE was around. That reign of terror ended 17 years ago.
So, all those who were instrumental in defeating LTTE terrorism should be honoured. They include the war-time Presidents and defence ministers, members of the armed forces including their commanders, especially those who served during Eelam War IV, the police, and the Civil Defence Force members.
Having demonised the Rajapaksa family, the JVP-NPP government may have decided against inviting Mahinda to the Commemoration of War Heroes to avoid the embarrassment of President Dissanayake having him as a special guest. It is also possible that the government thought Mahinda’s presence would eclipse President Dissanayake. Be that as it may, the JVP leaders cannot deny that they enabled Mahinda to secure the presidency in 2005 and do what he did thereafter. The SLFP did not back Mahinda in the presidential race, and the then President Chandrika Bandaranaike Kumaratunga did her best to queer the pitch for him to settle political scores albeit in vain. The JVP came to his rescue, and led his presidential election campaign from the front. One may recall that the present-day JVP leaders, especially President Dissanayake and Minister Herath, touted Rajapaksa’s election manifesto, Mahinda Chinthanaya, as a panacea, with the same zeal as street vendors. Videos of their snake-oil sales talk, as it were, from Mahinda’s election platform in 2005 are available in the digital realm. So, they can claim part of the credit for Mahinda’s leadership for the successful war on terror, and similarly part of the blame for his alleged wrongdoing should also fall on them.
There is no way the JVP-NPP government can justify the exclusion of Mahinda from the list of guests at the War Heroes’ Commemoration.
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