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Godahewa warns of economic challenges

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Former State Minister Dr. Nalaka Godahewa, MP yesterday pointed out that a careful look at the Central Bank’s 2023 data revealed that the much-touted promise to build a thriving export-oriented economy under the current government was only a pipedream.

Addressing the media at the Nidahasa office at Nawala where he dealt with economic issues, the dissident SLPP MP said that according to the Central Bank’s data, by the end of the first half of 2023, the trade account exhibited a much expanded deficit of $364 million, a significant departure from the $22 million surplus recorded in June 2022. Furthermore, export earnings and import expenditures for the first half of 2023 had both declined by 10 percent and 18.6 percent, respectively, compared to the previous year. Earnings from industrial products, primarily driven by the apparel industry, had contracted by 12%, plummeting from $5,260 million in the first half of 2022 to $4,616 million—a drop of $650 million. Notably, the garment industry, a critical export sector, experienced an 18% decrease, declining from $5,260 million to $2,461 million in compared to the first half of 2022, resulting in a substantial $516 million reduction.

Dr. Godahewa argued that this compelling evidence pointed to a failure in achieving an export-oriented economy, as advocated by the President. However, he also emphasised that tourism revenue and remittances from foreign workers, which were not included in the trade balance, could potentially offset the balance of payments deficit if the government continued to postpone settling foreign debts. Consequently, he pointed out that there should be no issue with importing oil and gas until debt repayment commenced, stressing that economic growth was the only way to manage the country while servicing debts simultaneously.

Nonetheless, Dr. Godahewa noted that the overall state of the economy was concerning, with four consecutive quarters of economic contraction. In the first quarter of 2023 alone, the economy had contracted by 11.5%. He speculated that the contraction in the second quarter would be even more pronounced, although the central bank reports were delayed.

The MP expressed optimism that the government would secure the second installment of the promised $2.9 billion loan over five years from the IMF. However, he cautioned against viewing this positively, as many of the measures taken could have long-term detrimental effects on the country. For example, he highlighted the reduction of employees’ pensions due to domestic debt restructuring and the loss of numerous jobs due to the government’s economic mismanagement, particularly in key employment sectors such as construction and the garment industry.

To meet IMF demands, the government had raised taxes, leaving the working population financially strained. The government aimed to increase tax revenue by 70% by 2023, with tax revenue expected to rise from 1852 billion rupees in 2022 to 3130 billion rupees in 2023. This meant a 70% reduction in disposable income for most people, who already spent the majority of their earnings on basic necessities like food, electricity, and water.

Dr. Godahewa emphasized that there was little money left for essential expenses like education, healthcare, and clothing. This tax burden had driven professionals to leave the country in large numbers, with over 800 doctors, more than 300 specialist doctors, over 1000 engineers, over 500 university professors, and thousands of other professionals departing in the first half of 2023. This brain drain raised concerns about the nation’s ability to build and develop in the future.

The MP asserted that the government’s unreasonable tax policy was ineffective. They pointed out that when taxes were reasonable, people and businesses were more compliant, whereas excessive taxes led to emigration and business closures. By June 2023, the government had only managed to collect 77% of the expected tax revenue, even amidst a significant economic downturn.

The MP also criticized the government for attempting to stifle democratic processes, referencing recent remarks by the President and the Leader of the United National Party concerning the availability of funds for oil and gas in the event of a 2024 election.

Dr. Godahewa argued that the government’s decision to cancel local government elections due to financial constraints was questionable. For the local government election, the Election Commission had initially requested 10 billion rupees, which was later reduced to 4 billion rupees. Despite this, the government claimed it couldn’t afford to allocate the 4 billion rupees for the election, even though they had earmarked an additional 1390 billion rupees as government expenditure for 2023 compared to 2022. Dr. Godahewa pointed out that a mere 0.3% of the total estimated government expenditure was required to fund the election.



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Prime Minister joins Gandhi Jayanti Commemoration

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Prime Minister Dr. Harini Amarasuriya attended the Gandhi Jayanti commemoration held at Temple Trees on October 2nd to mark the 157th birth anniversary of Mahatma Gandhi, the pioneer of non-violence.
The commemoration was held under the patronage of the Prime Minister and the High Commissioner of India to Sri Lanka,  Santosh Jha. During the event, the Prime Minister and the Indian High Commissioner paid floral tributes to the statue of Mahatma Gandhi. The ceremony was organized to recall the message of peace, non-violence, and harmony that Mahatma Gandhi bestowed upon the world through his life and philosophy.
The High Commissioner of India to Sri Lanka,  Santosh Jha, Secretary to the Prime Minister, Pradeep Saputhanthri, along with state officials and officers from the Indian High Commission, were present at the occasion. Prime Minister’s Media Division

[Prime Minister’s Media Division]

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Unions resist tripartite EPF management plan

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… warn of dire consequences

A group of trade unions and civil society groups has requested President Anura Kumara Dissanayake to abandon his government’s controversial plan for the proposed tripartite management of the EPF.

The group has told the President: “We strongly object to the government’s plan to transfer the EPF to a tripartite board—jointly promoted by the Employers’ Federation of Ceylon (EFC), International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the International Labour Organisation (ILO)—and to increase the investments of those funds within private equity and debt markets.

“While the EFC and the government jointly project this plan as a ‘modern governance framework’, it poses a serious threat to the EPF’s financial stability, fiduciary conduct, and returns to workers’ life savings, with severe consequences for broader macroeconomic stability. Rather than replacing the corruption existing in the public sector, this tripartite framework paves the way for a corporate takeover of the EPF. Through this, the fund is exposed to unlawful business practices such as insider trading using internal information of EPF investments, conflicts of interest and corporate bailouts of unstable private companies.

“Sri Lanka’s corporate sector has a tremendously negative track record, which you alluded to during your victorious election campaign in 2024. This was recently unravelled by the multi-billion-dollar illicit capital flight through trade misinvoicing, which your administration is now actively working to curb in the imports sector.

“The recent banking sector fraud exceeds Rs. 13 billion; widespread corporate tax evasion destabilised the fiscal position (Sri Lanka Auditor General’s Department Annual Reports) and consequently inflated the tax burden on the general public. The EFC has found it convenient to remain silent about these crimes, possibly assuming that their silence would preserve their social standing. Considering this inherent corruption within Sri Lanka’s corporate sector and its disregard to the living standards of the general public, there is no realistic basis to integrate corporate interests to actively manage the EPF. The corporate sector of Sri Lanka has not developed sufficiently on technical and ethical grounds to safely entrust the largest retirement savings pool in the country. The EPF is a captive fund that has no mechanism for the owners to divest if the management is corrupt. This further increases the possibility of corporate fraud when the management of the fund is jointly held with the corporate sector.

“Furthermore, during the recent public discussion with trade unions, Deputy Minister of Finance Dr. Anila Jayantha pointed out that the domestic debt restructuring (DDR) would inflict a loss of Rs. 600 billion to the EPF. Our independent calculations—formally submitted as an affidavit to the Supreme Court approved by the Federation of University Teachers’ Associations in 2024—reveal that nominal loss alone is Rs. 634.4 billion. When factoring in foreclosed reinvestment returns, the true loss skyrockets to Rs. 1,711 billion, wiping out 48% of the fund’s projected gross income for the 2023 – 2028 period. Under the pretext of safeguarding the banking system, this colossal robbery preserved high yields on government bonds held by commercial banks and high-net-worth individuals, subsequently reaping them astronomical profits. Now, the exact same plunder is rearing its head again disguised as a tripartite committee.”

“The main arguments supporting our resistance and viable alternatives for optimising EPF management directly under the Central Bank of Sri Lanka (CBSL), are outlined below.

“Objections to the government’s tripartite proposal:

1. The “International best practice and conflict of interest fallacies”

The government holds that tripartite management of pension funds is the “international best practice” and that there is a “conflict of interest” in CBSL managing the EPF. They are key pillars justifying government’s tripartite proposal.

These two positions are shockingly misleading given that four of the five largest pension funds in the world, in Norway, Japan, the U.S., and Singapore, are managed directly by state bodies or central banks. Therefore, ‘international best practice’ in pension fund management is the exact opposite of what the government and the IMF are proposing. We hence reject these baseless positions.

2. Corporate captivity and bailouts

It is clear that the EFC is desperately pushing for this proposal at a time of global uncertainty, to cushion the effects of the crisis and maximise gains. Under corporate influence within the proposed tripartite board, the private conglomerates can use the multi-trillion-rupee EPF to continue their unstable commercial operations without having to risk their own capital or savings to do so. This will severely erode the financial stability of the EPF and its returns.

3. Risk of front running

“Because the EPF is a colossal fund, its investment decisions can alter asset prices. This creates immense monetary value for the information generated by its investment decisions. Corporate representatives on the proposed tripartite board will be perfectly positioned to use this information to trade ahead of the EPF (front-running), buying assets cheaply and dumping them onto the EPF at inflated prices for guaranteed corporate gain, resulting in a reduction of returns to the EPF.

4. Unavoidable loopholes

“Presence of a separate group of investment analysts, trade union representatives and government officials within the proposed tripartite structure cannot prevent pre-market corporate access to EPF’s investment decisions. Investment proposals made by the analysts has to be first approved by the proposed tripartite committee, making it impossible to prevent corporate access to insider information on EPF investments.”

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Two arrest warrants issued for Gnanasara thera

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Galagoda Aththe Gnanasara

The Colombo High Court and Court of Appeal yesterday issued arrest warrants for the Bodu Bala Sena general secretary Galagoda Aththe Gnanasara in a case involving an alleged statement insulting Islam.

The arrest warrants were issued on Tuesday and Wednesday. The Court of Appeal issued an open warrant two weeks after the court rescinded the presidential pardon granted to the thera when he was serving a six-year term for contempt of court.

The Appeals Court also imposed a travel ban on the monk and ordered that the Controller General of Immigration and Emigration be informed of the restriction.

The case was taken up before Colombo High Court Judge Buddhika C. Ragala. Gnanasara Thera was not present when the case was called.

A medical report was submitted stating that Thera was unwell, while his sureties also failed to appear before court. His counsel, Asoka Weerasuriya, told court that his client wished to bring the case to an early conclusion and that representations had been made to the Attorney General in that regard.

However, after considering the submissions, the High Court judge said he was not satisfied with the medical report submitted on behalf of the accused. The court also noted the failure of the sureties to appear.

The judge subsequently ordered that Gnanasara Thera be arrested and produced before court.The Attorney General filed the case under provisions of the Penal Code, alleging that remarks made by Gnanasara Thera concerning the Holy Quran amounted to an insult to Islam.

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