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‘Adapt or perish: shipping liberalization reforms essential to export-led economic recovery’

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While the topic of shipping liberalization has generally been the subject of frequent and heated debate in 2022, key stakeholders across Sri Lanka’s logistics and export sectors have become increasingly unified in their call for urgent liberalization of the island’s shipping industry, with shipping and freight forwarding agencies being the most immediate requirement.

These reformist sentiments were also voiced out by President Ranil Wickremesinghe at the Sri Lanka Economic Summit, when he called for systemic and sweeping reforms of the shipping and logistics reforms, in order to ensure that Colombo Port becomes the busiest in South Asia. Among the reforms now on the table is liberalization of shipping agencies.

Typically, the role of a shipping agent includes overseeing and protecting the interests of global shipping lines when their vessels dock at port. This includes ensuring that all in-port arrangements including handling of all relevant documentation are completed.

They are also responsible for loading and off-loading cargo, catering to the needs of the crew, and managing crew transfers, in addition to provisioning essential supplies, and managing all other requirements with domestic port authorities, all while ensuring maximum efficiency – a role which tends to consistently generate lucrative foreign currency revenue for shipping agents.

Those opposed to liberalization typically repeat the same arguments, namely: that the shipping industry is already liberalized except for the “insignificant” business of local shipping agents, which are currently protected from foreign ownership.

Accordingly, they claim that liberalization and opening up to domestic shipping agencies to complete or even partial foreign ownership would risk removing domestic participation in this lucrative business, without securing any significant benefits for the nation.

Conversely, proponents of liberalization have argued that such policies only protect the interest of local shipping agents, while discouraging global shipping lines from engaging with the domestic market, and blocking private sector foreign direct investment into critical infrastructure.

While both camps have been deadlocked for decades, Sri Lanka’s unprecedented economic crisis and urgent need for foreign currency inflows has re-energized arguments in favour of liberalization. Unlike previous instances, liberalization proponents believe that a positive resolution may finally be in sight.

Economic reality asserts itself

“Throughout Sri Lanka’s post-independence development, every Government has signalled their ambition to transform our nation into a regional maritime hub. However with the exception of the bold efforts of the late Hon. Mangala Samaraweera, there has never been a Government that was willing to pursue the liberalization policies necessary to facilitate such a transformation. This is no accident, but rather the result of an organised campaign by a very narrow group of entrenched interests to maintain a stifling protectionist regime.

“The only beneficiaries of such policies have been those who hold agencies with the major shipping lines. But the harsh economic reality we now face as a nation have made it impossible to justify sacrificing the interest of the nation, and the competitiveness of its exporters, exclusively for the benefit of just a few parties. Based on what the President and other key officials have stated in the lead up to Budget 2022 and subsequently, I believe that policy makers are starting to appreciate this fact,” Global Shippers’ Forum Chairman and the Chairman of the Apparel Logistics Sub-Committee of the Joint Apparel Association Forum of Sri Lanka (JAAF), Sean Van Dort explained.

During his tenure as Minister for Ports and Shipping, Samaraweera had overseen the only contemporary instance of a local agent being opened up for foreign ownership. While it was the only exception to ever be allowed, Van Dort pointed to how this partial liberalization led to approximately Rs. 14 billion of investment at the time entering the Sri Lankan economy, in one of the single largest deals to ever take place in the history of the Colombo Stock Exchange.

In its wake, he noted that the firm in question has since benefited from an expansion in the scale of its business by several orders of magnitude, making it one of the strongest performing shares on the domestic bourse.

“Foreign ownership brings numerous extremely valuable benefits, and we need not look further than the success of Expolanka, or any of the other logistics hubs that Sri Lanka is competing against to see the proof. By lifting ownership restrictions, we encourage international ship owners to get engaged and invested in Sri Lanka, and properly utilize our location to link up with their global networks. Instead we are currently treated as purely a cost center that feeds regional competitor ports that actively encourage ownership from global shipping lines. The added control that results encourages them to instead treat such ports as profit centers.

“Local shipping agents will of course, claim that we should retain ownership among locals, and instead focus on infrastructure development. But this is not a zero-sum game. We need foreign ownership and investment in order to develop our infrastructure, and our national value proposition. Regardless, these agents have been earning well for decades, yet they have failed to invest their profits back into the industry. Sadly, today Sri Lanka’s economy is in a state where there aren’t enough dollars in the system to make such investments in the first place. Even if we could, the returns would be too distant to make any meaningful impact on our current economic crisis. Liberalisation is the only way forward.” Van Dort argued.

Reaping the benefits of an open, liberalized economy starts with shipping

From a global perspective too, Sri Lanka’s unwillingness to reform risks eroding the overall competitiveness of its logistics sector as a whole, according to respected industry veteran and Shippers’ Academy International Founder, Rohan Masakorala.

“Across Asia, and particularly in the Indian Ocean, Sri Lanka remains the only country to have maintained protectionist policies for shipping agents. By contrast, acknowledged global leaders in maritime logistics like Singapore and the UAE allow for 100% ownership of shipping and freight forwarding agencies, while countries like Malaysia are over 70% open.

“Most recently, Philippines and Vietnam also announced plans to liberalize their domestic industries, while Europe, the U.S. and even China allow for foreign ship owners to open local offices. If we fail to commit to a similar path of reforms, we risk lagging even further in our development, and eventually being left behind altogether Either we reform and adapt or we perish. There are no other choices,” Masakorala cautioned.

Conversely, if the sector is opened up for foreign investment and ownership, he asserted that the sector as a whole would be forced to enhance its competitiveness, and eliminate hidden inefficiencies.

“In the past when Sri Lanka signalled any kind of intent to liberalise shipping agencies, we almost immediately got attention from some of the largest shipping lines in the world. If they have ownership of the business, they are able to own the profits, but they are also able to directly manage costs. This level of disintermediation means that there is no room for hidden costs from any middlemen. The multiplier effects for the logistics sector, and by extension, Sri Lanka’s exporters is immense, and I believe policy makers are finally starting to understand this and move in the right direction,” Masakorala said.

He added that even with foreign ownership coming in, there would still be more than enough room for local agents to compete, as evidenced by the experiences of the Singaporean logistics sector, which is home to 140 global shipping line headquarters, and still has room for over 5,000 local shipping agents.

“Meanwhile, the investments, knowledge and technology transfer infused through foreign ownership would expand the economies of scale across the Sri Lankan logistics sector, creating new niches for smaller players, and making export markets more accessible to Sri Lankan SMEs,” Masakorala stated.

With such reforms in place, he added that transhipment volumes to Sri Lanka would have room to grow, leading to more vessels calling on Sri Lanka, increasing the frequency and capacity available for freight to leave Sri Lanka’s shores, supporting greater export competitiveness.

“We cannot simply call ourselves a hub and expect to prosper. Instead of relying on protection from the Government, we have to open ourselves to the world, and compete on a global stage. Wherever Sri Lankan private sector has been given the opportunity to do so, they have always excelled.

At such a crucial juncture, Masakorala urged the Government to look at the numbers with an independent eye, and objectively evaluate how Sri Lanka’s shipping industry has performed relative to other successful maritime nations like the UAE, Singapore and India over the last forty years.

“Our policy makers cannot allow themselves to be swayed any longer by unsubstantiated stories of doom and gloom about foreign ownership taking away jobs without adding value. If they look at the data in a professional manner they will clearly see how much revenue can be earned by the state via port activity generated by foreign ship owners, and their multiplier effects across the economy, as compared with the taxes paid by mere shipping agents,”

“People who have benefited through the current controlled environment may desperately try to defend themselves, but how long can they keep recycling the same insincere claims as eye-wash? Senior politicians like President Ranil Wickremesinghe know better than anyone how markets work. That is why his Government and the late Mangala Samaraweera sought to drive reforms in 2017.

“At the time, they proposed full liberalisation, just like with insurance, banking, hotels, bunkering, terminals, and telecommunication. Today even energy is being liberalised, so if we want our location to be meaningful we need the shipping and logistics sector open for foreign ownership and greater partnership just like our neighbors India and Pakistan who liberalised the sector for greater interest of their nations,” Masakorala stated.

For the first time in decades complete liberalization of the shipping industry does seem to be on the cards, based on recent remarks made by President Wickremesinghe at multiple post-Budget forums. During these sessions, President Wickremesinghe had urged the private sector to push themselves to compete in global markets, instead of simply “putting up the flag of protection” in order to maintain their position within a deteriorating status quo.

It appears that policymakers are taking stock of this growing consensus, which could lead to an opening up of the Sri Lankan economy, in order to leverage its best assets – the ports of Colombo, Galle, Hambantota, and Trincomalee, as well as smaller ports in order to resolutely transform the nation into a true maritime and logistics hub.



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eChannelling introduces ‘eHomecare’ as SL’s first doctor-led elderly care service

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Officials from eChannelling PLC and SLT, along with doctors, at the event

Supporting families with medically supervised care for elderly individuals in the comfort of their own homes, SLT-MOBITEL and eChannelling PLC, in partnership with medical experts from Golden Years Care, have introduced eHomecare’, Sri Lanka’s first doctor‑led elderly‑care service.

The pioneering initiative is designed to address a growing societal need. The service launched by eChannelling, Sri Lanka’s leading digital healthcare solutions provider, brings together the technological capabilities of SLT-MOBITEL with eChannelling’s healthcare expertise and Golden Years Care’s extensive experience in compassionate home-based support, ensuring quality standards throughout the program.

With increasing migration, many adult children are now living or working abroad, leaving their elderly parents alone in Sri Lanka. For many seniors, mobility challenges make it difficult to access hospitals for routine checkups, medication, or urgent medical attention. eHomecare seeks to fill this critical gap, offering a structured, reliable, and compassionate solution for families navigating these challenges.

The purpose of eHomecare is to support families in assuring their elderly loved ones receive the medical care they need, even when children are living overseas or occupied with demanding careers, guaranteeing elderly individuals are supported with dignity.

eHomecare provides families with a safe and trustworthy platform to arrange professional doctor‑led home visits, benefit from real‑time assessments and guidance from qualified healthcare professionals and ensure the elderly are supported with holistic care.

More than a convenience, eHomecare is a vital solution to a pressing social concern, offering peace of mind to families and guaranteeing seniors receive the respect, and medical attention they deserve.

Key features of the service include doctor-led home visits providing personalized care tailored to individual health needs, continuous assessment and recommendations for ongoing care for optimal health management, prompt medical attention during emergencies, with qualified healthcare professionals available when needed and a comprehensive, professional, and trustworthy approach to elderly care that prioritizes dignity and wellbeing.

Through eHomecare, families gain access to a reliable network of medical professionals who understand the unique needs of elderly individuals. The service bridges the distance between overseas children and their aging parents, with medical support, and emotional reassurance that loved ones are being cared for with compassion and expertise.

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NDB shows strong growth, rising investment potential

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In a striking testament to both corporate resilience and a recovering macroeconomic environment, the National Development Bank (NDB) has delivered a set of third-quarter results for 2025 that far exceed market expectations. The figures, detailed in a recent analysis by First Capital Research (FCR), paint a picture of a financial institution leveraging favourable conditions to accelerate growth, justify upward revisions in valuation, and present a compelling case to investors for long-term value creation.

The headline figure is arresting: a 145.6% year-on-year surge in earnings for 3Q2025. This explosive growth was primarily engineered by a dual engine of stronger net interest income, which grew 13.8% YoY to LKR 9.1 billion, and a significant 24.3% rise in net fee and commission income. The former benefits directly from the prevailing low-interest-rate environment, which has helped margins and stimulated borrowing, while the latter points to broad-based business momentum across the bank’s operations, from trade finance to its digital platforms. A remarkable leap in other income – to LKR 1.04 billion from a mere LKR 27.7 million a year earlier – further bolstered the bottom line.

Perhaps as encouraging as the income growth is the notable improvement in credit quality. Impairment charges declined by a substantial 46.9% year-on-year, a clear signal of improving macroeconomic conditions and a healthier loan book. This trend underscores a banking sector that is emerging from the shadows of past economic stress with greater stability.

Buoyed by this outperformance, FCR has significantly revised its earnings forecasts upward. Their 2025 estimate has been lifted by 33.5% to LKR 11.6 billion, and the 2026 forecast by 26.1% to LKR 13.2 billion. This positive reassessment flows directly into the bank’s perceived fair value. FCR now assigns a fair value of LKR 180.0 per share for 2025, implying a 27% potential upside, and LKR 200.0 for 2026, suggesting a 42% increase from current levels. When expected dividend per share (DPS) returns are included, the total return projections become even more attractive, estimated at 33% for 2025 and 48% for 2026.

First Capital maintains a “BUY” recommendation on NDB, citing a constructive outlook founded on a favourable macro backdrop and stable interest-rate trends. These factors are expected to continue fuelling loan book expansion. Furthermore, growth in trade finance and an accelerating adoption of digital banking services are anticipated to provide sustained momentum to fee-based earnings, diversifying the bank’s revenue streams.

However, the report does not ignore the clouds on the horizon. It highlights near-term risks to asset quality, particularly stemming from recent adverse weather events. Given NDB’s sizable exposure to the Small and Medium Enterprise (SME) sector, which is often vulnerable to such disruptions, the analysis expects a possible uptick in non-performing loans (NPLs) in the coming quarters. This is a prudent note of caution for investors, emphasizing that the recovery path may not be entirely smooth.

Nevertheless, the overarching narrative from these results is one of a bank positioned at the confluence of economic recovery and strategic execution. NDB appears to be translating improved national economic indicators into robust financial performance. Its “resilient base,” demonstrated by strengthening fundamentals and declining impairments, provides the foundation for “rising potential,” captured in the revised earnings and fair value estimates.

For the investing public, the message from this analysis is clear: NDB is presented as a institution harnessing the winds of economic change to propel itself forward. While mindful of sector-specific risks, the data suggests a strong trajectory for growth and value appreciation, making it a standout candidate for potential investors.

By Sanath Nanayakkare

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Sri Lankan tea sees a week of robust activity

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A tea garden in Akuressa: The low grown segment, comprising approximately 2.4 M/Kgs, met with fair to good demand

The Colombo tea auctions witnessed a week of robust activity and generally firm prices, as total offerings rose significantly to 6.0 million kilograms, according to the latest market commentary from leading brokers Forbes & Walker. This marks a notable increase from the 5.2 million kilograms on offer the previous week.

The market was characterized by good general demand, with an encouraging overall price structure attributed to seasonal interest. The report indicates a nuanced picture across different elevations and tea types.

Offerings from Ex-Estate gardens increased marginally to 0.79 M/Kgs. The sector saw good demand, with prices maintaining a firm to marginally dearer trend. However, within the Western High-Grown region, teas in the Best category were marginally weaker, while improved and brighter sorts in the Below Best category appreciated. The Nuwara Eliya region remained sluggish, while the Uva/Uda Pussellawa regions sold at levels consistent with the previous week.

The High and Medium Grown CTC market saw firm conditions for PF1 grades, which gained by Rs. 20 per kg or more. In contrast, the corresponding Low Grown PF1 varieties weakened by a similar margin. BP1 grades were scarcely available.

The Low Grown segment, comprising approximately 2.4 M/Kgs, met with fair to good demand. The Premium category, in particular, witnessed good interest.

BOP1 grades were fully firm. OP1 varieties saw Best and Below Best types appreciate, while high-priced OPs were easier. OPAs saw high-priced teas become dearer.

FBOPs were generally firm, and Select Best FF1s were firm to selectively dearer.

Very Tippy teas met with good, firm demand, with Best and Below Best varieties appreciating.

The broker report noted that shippers to traditional markets like the United Kingdom, the European continent, and South Africa continued to be selective in their purchases. Meanwhile, there was fair activity from buyers representing China, Japan, the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS), and the Middle East.

Forbes & Walker concluded that the overall price picture is encouraging, driven by a combination of selective international demand and seasonal factors. The firm to dearer trend at the lower end of the market and for specific grades indicates a solid underlying demand, despite some regional and qualitative weaknesses. The trade will be watching closely to see if this firm trend holds as new seasonal crops come to market.

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