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Ruchir Sharma urges Sri Lanka to spring a ‘surprise on the upside’ to catch foreign investors’ eye

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Ruchir Sharma

By Sanath Nanayakkare

When a country is in an economic crisis, it creates an environment conducive to implementing economic reforms which would be difficult to do in good times, however, it still depends on how far the reformist leaders can shape the opinion of the people and the people’s willingness to take those reforms on board, Rockefeller International Chairman and Breakout Capital Founder/ CIO Ruchir Sharma said in Colombo recently.

He made this comment while delivering a public lecture at the Central Bank of Sri Lanka where Sharma shared key insights from his newest book, ‘The 10 Rules of Successful Nations’, illustrating what Sri Lanka can do to catch the eye of indifferent foreign investors.

“At a time of crisis, when a new reformist leader is elected to navigate the country through it, the reforms will be painful in the beginning. If the people say,” Okay, go ahead and do something to contain the crisis, that’s fine. That happened in Greece and today the country is a shining star in Europe. But what happened in Argentina was different as the people didn’t want to go ahead with reforms despite the crisis,” he said.

In this book, Sharma delves deep into 10 rules and areas of growth which are namely; demographics, politics, state, debt, currency, investment, inflation geography, inequality and sentiment. He said that he has given his weightings to the above rules from the perspective of an investor looking at a country’s investment outlook.

The following are some select excerpts from his speech particularly indicating where Sri Lanka is ranked on his 10 rules.

Rule 1- Demographics

“We noticed Sri Lanka’s working age population is projected to grow in the next 5-10 years at only 0.1% a year. That is a very low level. This means you need to do something else to offset it. It is very difficult for Sri Lanka to grow at a rate of more than 6% when your working age population is only growing at 0.1% unless it relies on immigration, automation or increase the retirement age of the labour force.”

Rule 2 –Politics

“Most countries carry out painful economic reforms only when they hit a crisis because the population is also ready to back the reformer. Even India made reforms under crisis. Sri Lanka is going to have elections this year and I don’t know which way people are going to be voting. However, implementing economic reforms and maintaining fiscal stability in the foreseeable future would be crucial for any political party that comes to power.”

Rule 3- State

“We have noticed Sri Lanka’s spending as a share of GDP is now under control. Spending is not the problem. But taxes as a share of GDP are very low in Sri Lanka.”

Rule 4- Debt

“Greece was in crisis and today it is a growing economy in Europe. They followed the right policies and got the debt under control and capitalized on tourism and exports to boost the economy. Sri Lanka can take a smooth and continuous trajectory down this path.”

Rule 5- Currency

“Sri Lankan currency ranks pretty well because it is very cheap in the eyes of investors which is at present stable and effective”.

Rule 6- Investment

Successful countries have investments as a share of their GDP of about 25-35% .That is the sweet spot. And more successful countries have a manufacturing base with a share of their GDP at about 20% or so. Sri Lanka is in the middle in this aspect.

Rule 7- Inflation

Sri Lanka has a success story on containing inflation because of reigning in monetary expansion and having a good monetary policy framework. Most central bankers are stuck in the old framework and focus a lot on consumer price increases. But we also need to consider asset price inflation (property prices), stock prices as well. If those too increase and are backed by a lot of debt financing, that could pose a problem.

Rule 8- Geography

Sri Lanka is on the right trade route but has not fully exploited it. Also, the growth isn’t spread out internally. So much of the population and growth activity are concentrated in Colombo area and the country needs to think about new cities or new urban centres.

Rule 9- Inequality

Too much inequality is not great for a country. But Sri Lanka is not affected by this as the country has few billionaires.

Rule 10- Sentiment

Countries which are in a crisis mode are the ones that carry out economic reforms and Sri Lanka can gain approval in this exercise.

“Generally Sri Lanka ranks relatively well from an investor’s perspective as there is a big improvement over the last couple of years. Now the talking point is what is going to happen on the political front. And once that is settled, Sri Lanka needs to determine its growth engine. The classic growth engine for Sri Lanka would be manufacturing-for- exports to enable rapid increase in per capita income.”

Sounding direct without being ruthless, Sharma said at the conclusion that the world’s investor community is indifferent to Sri Lanka and they don’t talk much about Sri Lanka as their expectations about the country are low.

However, he urged Sri Lanka to capitalize on its potential and spring a surprise on the upside to catch the investors’ eye.



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GREAT 2025–2030: Sri Lanka’s Green ambition meets a grid reality check

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Sri Lanka’s Renewable Energy Project Development Plan, branded GREAT 2025–2030 (Green Energy Acceleration Targets), reads like a confident pivot toward a cleaner, cheaper power system. With more than 2,600 MW of new renewable capacity planned—dominated by solar and wind—and a strong push on storage and grid stabilisation, the strategy signals intent. Yet beneath the headline numbers lies a harder business truth: generation is racing ahead of the grid, and unless infrastructure and control catch up fast, value will leak from an otherwise compelling transition.

At the core of GREAT is scale. Solar leads with 1,571 MW across multiple zones, while wind contributes 1,004 MW, primarily from Mannar, Kilinochchi and the North-Western belt.

Smaller but steady additions are planned in mini-hydro (51 MW) and biomass (38 MW). On paper, the mix lowers marginal costs, cuts imports, and insulates the economy from fuel price shocks—outcomes financiers and policymakers both welcome.

But a senior retired electrical engineer, who spent decades inside Sri Lanka’s power system, cautions that capacity alone doesn’t create reliability—or returns.

“We are adding megawatts faster than we are adding visibility and control,” he said. “Rooftop solar has already exceeded 1,350 MW, much of it invisible to operators. From a grid perspective, that is unmanaged generation, and unmanaged generation is risk.”

The business implications are immediate. Transmission bottlenecks, particularly delays in 220 kV and 400 kV lines, are constraining renewable evacuation. Projects commissioned on time can still face curtailment, eroding project IRRs and shaking investor confidence.

At the same time, electricity demand has softened amid economic pressures, compressing the system’s ability to absorb intermittent power—especially on Sundays and holidays, when demand dips but solar output peaks.

“Low demand days are now the stress test,” the engineer noted. “Without storage and grid-forming assets, you’re forced to back down renewables or keep thermal units running for stability. Both options cost money.”

GREAT attempts to address this with 650 MW / 2,250 MWh of Battery Energy Storage Systems (BESS) and 600 MW of pumped storage at Maha Oya by 2034, alongside synchronous condensers to maintain inertia. These are not optional add-ons; they are value enablers. Storage smooths volatility, captures excess midday solar, and shifts energy to peak hours—turning stranded electrons into bankable revenue.

Yet timing matters. Storage, controls, and transmission must arrive before or with new generation. Otherwise, developers face curtailment risk, lenders price in uncertainty, and tariffs fail to fall as promised.

The plan’s institutional fixes are equally commercial. A Renewable Energy Control Desk (from 2026), Distribution Control Centers in high rooftop solar areas, smart meter mandates, and grid digitalisation are designed to restore operational visibility. Time-of-use tariffs, paired with daytime EV charging and industrial load-shifting, aim to reshape demand—turning a system problem into a market opportunity.

“Tariffs are signals,” the engineer said. “If you want power used at noon, price it right. If EVs and factories move load to the day, solar becomes an asset, not a headache.”

For investors, the message is nuanced but clear. Sri Lanka’s renewable pipeline is real and sizeable.

The policy direction favours clean energy, and the cost curve is attractive. However, project bankability will increasingly hinge on grid-readiness—access to storage, firm evacuation paths, and participation in smart, controllable networks.

For policymakers, GREAT’s success will be measured not by megawatts announced, but by megawatt-hours delivered reliably and profitably. Accelerating transmission approvals, fast-tracking BESS procurement, and enforcing smart metering for distributed generation are the difference between a virtuous transition and a congested one.

“The transition is inevitable,” the engineer concluded.

“The question is whether we do it cheaply and safely, or pay twice—once for generation, and again for the fixes we delayed.”

GREAT 2025–2030 sets Sri Lanka on the right path. The business case now depends on execution—where grids, markets, and management must move at the same speed as ambition, he added.

By Ifham Nizam

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Zone24x7 enters 2026 with strong momentum, reinforcing its role as an enterprise AI and automation partner

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Zone24x7 team

Zone24x7 concluded 2025 with significant industry recognition, securing seven awards across three leading technology competitions—marking one of the strongest years in the company’s 22-year journey. The awards recognized the Industrial Vending Machine solution developed for a client in Australia. It earned both national and regional honors, including Second Runner-up at the Asia Pacific ICT Alliance (APICTA) Awards 2025.

More than accolades, the recognition showcases Zone24x7’s ability to deliver practical, enterprise-ready solutions that create measurable business impact. Competing against leading technology companies across the Asia Pacific region, the wins highlight the company’s growing global footprint and its focus on translating innovation into operational value for customers.

Neschae Fernando, CEO of Zone24x7

Zone24x7’s award run began at the SLASSCOM National Ingenuity Awards 2025, where the company secured National Winner for Best Innovative Product in Manufacturing, National 1st Runner-up for Best Innovative Product (General), and two Provincial Winner titles in the Western Province. This success continued at the National ICT Awards (NBQSA 2025), with Gold in Manufacturing, Engineering & Construction, and the IoT Technology of the Year Award.

“2025 validated our approach of building technology around real business needs,” said Neschae Fernando, CEO of Zone24x7. “As we move into 2026, our focus is on helping enterprises improve productivity, visibility, and decision-making by applying AI, automation, and connected systems in ways that go far beyond standalone tools or chat-based solutions.”

Headquartered in the United States with a world-class technology hub in Sri Lanka, Zone24x7 serves over 50 enterprise customers across multiple industries. The company specializes in integrating artificial intelligence, IoT, and enterprise platforms to solve complex operational challenges at scale.

Its portfolio includes Generative AI capabilities that enhance workflows, system intelligence, and human productivity; AI-powered automation platforms that connect digital and physical data sources; and a Cognitive Vision Analytics Platform that delivers real-time insights from video and image data. In addition, Zone24x7 provides RFID-enabled solutions and Warehouse Management Systems that improve inventory accuracy, asset visibility, and supply chain performance.

“The value we bring lies in how we combine hardware, software, and AI into cohesive solutions that fit seamlessly into existing enterprise environments,” said Vipula Liyanaarachchi, General Manager at Zone24x7. “As organisations look ahead to 2026, we are focused on helping them scale efficiently, modernise operations, and unlock greater value from their data without disruption.”

The award-winning Industrial Vending Machine reflects this approach, integrating IoT hardware, intelligent software, and analytics to automate inventory control and enhance efficiency in manufacturing and industrial settings. Rather than being a standalone product, it demonstrates how Zone24x7 partners with clients to design solutions aligned to specific operational goals.

With more than two decades of experience and a strong research and development foundation, Zone24x7 is now investing further in advanced AI-driven automation, intelligent analytics, and system-agnostic architectures. As businesses navigate rapid technological change, the company is positioning itself as a long-term partner—helping enterprises adopt AI responsibly, enhance workforce productivity, and build resilient operations into 2026 and beyond.

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India’s Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders makes mandatory offer to buy remaining shares of Colombo Dockyard

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India’s Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders Limited has made a mandatory offer to buy the remaining shares of Colombo Dockyard at Rs 40 each, following a 41.73 percent stake acquisition last month.The mandatory offer targets 58.27 percent of the company.

At the recent rights issue, Mazagon Dock Shipbuilders bought 164,916,229 ordinary shares of Colombo Dockyard from the unsubscribed rights entitlement of previous stakeholder Onomichi Dockyard Company.

Mazagon paid Rs 40 per share amounting to a total Rs 6,596,649,160 .

Both indices moved upwards. The All Share Price Index went up by 67.5 points, while the S and P SL20 rose by 23.57 points. Turnover stood at Rs 9.1 billion with 16 crossings.

Top seven crossings were reported as follows: Commercial Bank 9.7 million shares crossed to the tune of Rs 1.2 billion and its shares traded at Rs 224.50, TJ Lanka 14.3 million shares crossed to the tune of Rs 549.7 million; its shares sold at Rs 38.50, Renuka Hotels one million shares crossed to the tune of Rs 250 million; its shares sold at Rs 250, Melstacorp one million shares crossed to the tune of Rs 178 million; its shares fetched Rs 179, Sampath Bank 930,000 shares crossed for Rs 145 million and its shares traded at Rs 150, Sierra Cables two million shares crossed for Rs 74 million; its shares sold at Rs 37 and Lanka Milk Food one million shares crossed for Rs 71 million; its shares fetched Rs 71.

In the retail market companies that mainly contributed to the turnover were; Colombo Dockyard Rs 514 million (3.3 million shares traded), Ceylon Land Equity Rs 349 million (15.6 million shares traded), Sierra Cables Rs 339 million (1.4 million shares traded), Commercial Bank Rs 307 million (1.4 million shares traded), TJ Lanka Rs 247 million (6.5 million shares traded), Luminex Rs 232 million (19.6 million shares traded) and Renuka Foods Rs 180 million (11 million shares traded). During the day 311 million share volumes changed hands in 50661 transactions.

It is said that the market showed mixed reactions. The banking sector actively participated, especially Commercial Bank. The manufacturing sector also performed well.

Yesterday the rupee was quoted at Rs 309.30/40 to the US dollar in the spot market, stronger from Rs 309.45/50 the previous day, while bond yields continued to edge lower on the the mid- to long end of the yield curve, dealers said.

A bond maturing on 15.06.2029 was quoted at 9.45/50 percent.

A bond maturing on 15.09.2029 was quoted at 9.50/55 percent.

A bond maturing on 15.12.2029 was quoted at 9.52/58 percent, down from 9.55/60 percent.

A bond maturing on 01.07.2030 was quoted at 9.68/71 percent.

A bond maturing on 01.10.2032 was quoted at 10.21/24 percent, down from 10.23/25 percent.

A bond maturing on 01.06.2033 was quoted at 10.55/60 percent, down from 10.57/60 percent.

A bond maturing on 15.06.2034 was quoted at 10.77/80 percent.

A bond maturing on 15.06.2035 was quoted at 10.80/86 percent, down from 10.82/87 percent

By Hiran H Senewiratne

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