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Vesak: Celebrating the Birth of Wisdom and the Seeds of Peace

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Vesak stands as the most sacred festival in Buddhism, a powerful commemoration of the Buddha’s birth, enlightenment, and Parinirvana. Celebrated on the auspicious full moon of the Vaisakha month, typically falling in May, this festival is a significant occasion for Buddhists worldwide. It invites deep introspection, encouraging the internalization of the Buddha’s core principles, most notably his enduring message of peace and compassion. This message serves as a guiding light for practitioners seeking spiritual awakening and harmonious living.

The true power of Vesak lies in its call to action – the practical application of these profound teachings. The observances and activities of the festival are intentionally designed to cultivate inner peace and extend compassion outwards. From acts of charity and kindness to mindful meditation and engagement with Buddhist scriptures, Vesak empowers individuals to embody non-violence, loving-kindness, and empathy in their everyday lives. It is a time for thoughtful reflection on personal conduct and a renewed commitment to the path of righteousness, fostering a collective vision for a more peaceful and compassionate global community.

Cultivating Inner Harmony

At the heart of the Buddha’s profound wisdom lies the fundamental understanding of suffering and the clear path to its cessation, ultimately leading to enlightenment. This path is not abstract but deeply interwoven with ethical conduct and a specific way of relating to the world. The guiding principles of non-violence (Ahimsa) are crucial, extending beyond physical harm to encompass thoughts and speech. Equally vital are loving-kindness (Metta) and compassion (Karuna), which involve cultivating a genuine wish for the well-being of all beings and an empathetic desire to alleviate their suffering. These interconnected principles form the strong foundation upon which the Buddha’s enduring message of peace rests, offering a practical framework for individual transformation and harmonious coexistence.

In Buddhist teachings, Metta, Karuna, Mudita, and Upekkha are revered as the Four Immeasurable or Brahmaviharas – four boundless qualities to be cultivated through dedicated meditation and practice. Metta embodies loving-kindness, radiating goodwill and a desire for happiness towards all. Karuna signifies compassion, the empathetic understanding of suffering coupled with the wish to relieve it. Mudita is sympathetic joy, the wholesome delight in the happiness and good fortune of others. Upekkha represents equanimity, a balanced and impartial perspective that allows one to remain steady amidst life’s inevitable changes. These four virtues are essential cornerstones of the Buddhist path, fostering inner peace and promoting harmonious relationships within oneself and with the wider world.

Non-Violence (Ahimsa):

The Buddhist principle of Non-Violence, or Ahimsa, extends far beyond a simple injunction against physical harm; it represents a profound ethical stance that permeates every facet of our being – body, speech, and mind. At its core lies a deep respect for the sanctity of all life, recognizing the inherent interconnectedness and intrinsic value of every sentient being, from the smallest insect to the largest animal, including ourselves. This commitment to non-harming necessitates a conscious and continuous effort to refrain from any action that could lead to injury, pain, or death.

Furthermore, Ahimsa delves into the subtle yet powerful realms of verbal communication and our inner thoughts. Words, though seemingly intangible, possess the capacity to wound, demean, and incite hatred, thus violating the spirit of non-violence. Similarly, negative thoughts, such as anger, malice, and resentment, can fester within, poisoning our own minds and potentially manifesting as harmful actions or speech. Therefore, the practice of Ahimsa demands a vigilant awareness of our internal landscape, urging us to cultivate thoughts of peace, goodwill, and understanding.

In the context of Vesak in Sri Lanka, this principle of Ahimsa takes on particular significance. As a time of profound reflection on the Buddha’s teachings, Vesak serves as a potent annual reminder of our ethical responsibilities. The widespread observance of practices like refraining from consuming meat and engaging in acts of kindness towards animals during this period vividly illustrates the commitment to non-violence. The very atmosphere of serenity and goodwill that pervades the country during Vesak underscores the collective aspiration to embody Ahimsa in all aspects of life, fostering a culture of peace that begins within each individual and extends outwards to the community and beyond.

Loving-Kindness (Metta):

The practice of Loving-Kindness, in Buddhism is far more than a passive feeling; it is an active and intentional cultivation of a deep and unwavering wish for the happiness and well-being of all sentient beings without exception. This boundless aspiration transcends the limitations of personal relationships, social circles, or even perceived differences, extending with equanimity towards friends, family, strangers, and even those we might consider difficult or challenging. It is a heartfelt desire for all to be free from suffering and to experience joy, peace, and contentment in their lives.

The cultivation of Metta often involves specific meditative practices designed to nurture this compassionate attitude. During Metta meditation, individuals systematically direct feelings of loving-kindness towards themselves, then gradually expand the circle of their compassion to include loved ones, neutral individuals, those they dislike, and ultimately all beings throughout the universe. This deliberate practice helps to break down the barriers of prejudice and aversion, fostering a profound sense of interconnectedness and empathy. By consciously radiating positive energy and goodwill, practitioners not only cultivate inner peace but also contribute to a more harmonious and compassionate world around them.

The auspicious occasion of Vesak in Sri Lanka provides a particularly potent time for the intensification of Metta practice. The very spirit of Vesak, commemorating the birth, enlightenment, and passing of the Buddha – a being who embodied boundless compassion – naturally inspires Buddhists to deepen their cultivation of loving-kindness. The collective focus on spiritual growth and meritorious deeds during Vesak creates a supportive environment for engaging in Metta meditation and extending heartfelt wishes for the happiness and well-being of all, reinforcing the fundamental Buddhist understanding of our shared existence and the importance of universal benevolence.

Compassion (Karuna):

Compassion in Buddhist philosophy is not merely a passive acknowledgement of the suffering of others; it is an active and deeply felt empathy that penetrates to the core of one’s being, igniting a powerful and unwavering desire to alleviate that pain. It stems from the profound understanding of our shared human condition, recognizing that all beings are subject to the vicissitudes of life and the inherent presence of suffering. This empathetic resonance creates an intrinsic motivation to reach out and offer solace, support, and practical assistance to those who are experiencing hardship, whether physical, emotional, or mental.

The cultivation of Karuna involves developing the capacity to truly feel what others are feeling, to step into their shoes and understand their struggles from their perspective. This requires a willingness to open our hearts to the pain of the world, rather than shielding ourselves from it. Through practices such as mindfulness and empathetic reflection, we can gradually dismantle the barriers that separate us from others and cultivate a more profound sense of interconnectedness. This growing empathy naturally blossoms into compassionate action, driven by the sincere wish to reduce suffering and promote well-being.

The sacred festival of Vesak in Sri Lanka serves as a powerful catalyst for the expression of Karuna. The commemoration of the Buddha, who embodied ultimate compassion throughout his life, inspires countless acts of kindness and generosity. The tradition of Dansalas, offering free food and refreshment to all, exemplifies this spirit of selfless giving rooted in compassion. Similarly, increased efforts to care for the sick, offer support to the vulnerable, and extend kindness to all beings encountered during Vesak demonstrate the tangible manifestation of Karuna. The very atmosphere of goodwill and generosity that permeates Sri Lanka during Vesak underscores the deep-seated value placed on compassionate action and its integral role in both individual spiritual growth and the creation of a more humane society.

Sympathetic or altruistic joy (Mudita):

Mudita stands as a radiant and transformative quality within the Buddhist framework, specifically as one of the four Brahma-viharas, the immeasurable virtues. It is the sincere and unadulterated joy we experience when witnessing the happiness, success, or good fortune of others. Unlike selfish joy, which is contingent on our own gain, Mudita blossoms purely from appreciating the positive experiences of those around us, be they family, friends, acquaintances, or even strangers. It acts as a potent antidote to the corrosive emotions of envy and jealousy, which can cloud our minds and hinder harmonious relationships.

The cultivation of Mudita involves actively training our minds to recognize and appreciate the positive qualities and achievements of others. This practice requires a conscious shift in perspective, moving away from a mindset of comparison and competition towards one of genuine appreciation and celebration. By focusing on the merits and well-being of others, we not only diminish negative emotions within ourselves but also foster a sense of interconnectedness and shared humanity. When we genuinely rejoice in the happiness of others, we contribute to a more positive and supportive social environment, strengthening bonds and fostering a collective sense of joy and shared prosperity.

During Vesak in Sri Lanka, the spirit of Mudita finds a particularly fertile ground. The numerous acts of generosity, the shared religious observances, and the overall atmosphere of goodwill create an environment where celebrating the positive aspects of community and individual lives is naturally amplified. Witnessing the joy of others participating in meritorious deeds, the beauty of the Vesak illuminations enjoyed by all, and the spirit of selfless giving through Dansalas all contribute to a collective experience of Mudita. This shared joy strengthens the social fabric and reinforces the Buddhist values of empathy and interconnectedness, making the Vesak celebrations in Sri Lanka a vibrant expression of sympathetic joy in action.

Equanimity or even-mindedness (Upekkha):

It is a profound and essential Brahma-vihara that cultivates a state of mental equilibrium and impartial observation amidst the ever-changing tides of life. It is not indifference or apathy, but rather a deeply cultivated wisdom that allows us to remain balanced and undisturbed by the inevitable dualities we encounter – the ebb and flow of praise and blame, gain and loss, joy and sorrow. This mental steadiness arises from the understanding of the impermanent nature of all phenomena and the interconnectedness of cause and effect. By developing Upekkha, we learn to observe situations with clarity and objectivity, free from the distorting influences of attachment to positive experiences and aversion to negative ones.

The practice of Upekkha involves training the mind to recognize the transient nature of all things and to release the tendency to cling or resist. It is about cultivating a spacious awareness that allows experiences to arise and pass without creating undue emotional turbulence. This balanced perspective enables us to respond to life’s challenges with greater wisdom and compassion. Instead of being swept away by emotional reactions, we can act with clarity, understanding the complexities of situations and responding in ways that promote well-being for ourselves and others. Upekkha fosters a sense of inner peace that is not dependent on external circumstances, providing a stable foundation for navigating the inevitable ups and downs of existence.

In the context of Vesak in Sri Lanka, the cultivation of Upekkha encourages a serene acceptance of the cyclical nature of life and the interconnectedness of all beings. As individuals engage in acts of generosity, religious observances, and community gatherings, Upekkha promotes harmonious interactions by fostering a sense of impartiality and understanding towards the diverse experiences and perspectives within the community. It reminds individuals to approach both joyful celebrations and moments of reflection with a balanced mind, recognizing the impermanent nature of all things. This cultivated equanimity contributes to a more peaceful and resilient community, where individuals can navigate the complexities of life with grace and understanding, embodying the Buddha’s teachings on inner peace and harmonious coexistence.

The official recognition of Vesak as an international day by the United Nations underscores the global significance of the Buddhist tradition and its profound impact on the spiritual landscape of humanity. This acknowledgement highlights the universal values inherent in Buddhist teachings, particularly its consistent emphasis on the cultivation of inner peace, the practice of tolerance towards all, and the development of mutual understanding among diverse peoples. By formally recognizing Vesak, the UN acknowledges the enduring relevance of these principles in addressing contemporary global challenges and fostering a more harmonious and compassionate world community.

In Sri Lanka, this international recognition of Vesak resonates deeply, reinforcing the nation’s long-standing reverence for this sacred festival. As a country where Buddhist philosophy has significantly shaped cultural norms and societal values, the UN’s declaration serves as a powerful affirmation of the wisdom embedded within these traditions. It further encourages the continued practice and propagation of the Buddha’s teachings on peace, tolerance, and understanding, not only within Sri Lanka but also as a valuable contribution to the global pursuit of harmony and well-being. The celebrations during Vesak in Sri Lanka thus take on an added layer of significance, aligning local observances with a globally acknowledged message of peace and goodwill.

Vesak Celebrations in Sri Lanka and the Message of Peace

In Sri Lanka, where Buddhism is deeply ingrained in the cultural fabric, Vesak is observed with immense fervour and profound devotion, transforming the entire nation into a vibrant expression of Buddhist principles. The multifaceted celebrations intricately weave together religious observances, artistic expressions, and acts of communal generosity, all vividly reflecting the core message of peace. From the ubiquitous and radiant Vesak lanterns illuminating the night sky to the elaborate pandals depicting Jataka tales and the selfless offerings of Dansalas providing sustenance to all, every aspect of the Sri Lankan Vesak celebrations underscores the values of compassion, non-violence, and harmonious coexistence championed by the Buddha.

As Vesak dawns across Sri Lanka, the entire landscape transforms into a breathtaking spectacle of light and colour. Countless vibrant lanterns, known as Vesak Kudu, adorn homes, streets, and public spaces, casting a warm and inviting glow. Alongside these, intricately crafted illuminated displays, the Thorana and pandals, stand tall, narrating captivating stories from the life of the Buddha and the Jataka tales. These visually stunning decorations not only create an atmosphere of profound joy and serenity but also serve as a powerful visual reminder of the Buddha’s teachings, fostering a palpable sense of peace and unity that permeates communities throughout the island.

During this sacred time, devout Buddhists in Sri Lanka make their way to temples, their hearts filled with devotion and reverence. They participate in special religious services, offering fragrant flowers and the soft glow of oil lamps as tokens of their faith. Many also undertake the observance of the Eight Precepts, known as Ata Sil, dedicating themselves to heightened ethical conduct for the day. Within the temple walls, respected monks deliver insightful sermons, eloquently expounding on the core tenets of the Buddha’s teachings, with a particular emphasis on the principles of peace, non-violence, and boundless compassion, guiding devotees on their spiritual path.

As Vesak dawns across Sri Lanka, the entire nation undergoes a breathtaking transformation, adorned with a vibrant tapestry of light and colour. Countless handmade lanterns, known as Vesak Kudu, illuminate homes, streets, and public spaces, casting a warm and inviting glow that symbolizes the dispelling of darkness and the light of wisdom. Towering alongside these are the intricately crafted illuminated displays, the Thorana or pandals, which vividly depict scenes from the life of the Buddha and the engaging narratives of the Jataka tales. These visually stunning decorations not only create an atmosphere of profound joy and serenity that permeates the air but also serve as a powerful and accessible way to share the teachings of the Buddha, fostering a palpable sense of peace and community spirit throughout the island.

A unique and deeply cherished aspect of Vesak celebrations in Sri Lanka is the widespread tradition of “Dansal” – temporary roadside stalls erected by individuals and communities to offer free food, drinks, and refreshments to everyone, regardless of their background or beliefs. This selfless act of giving, freely offered without expectation of return, beautifully embodies the core Buddhist principle of Dana, or generosity. The Dansal not only provide sustenance and comfort to countless people but also serve as a powerful manifestation of compassion and a tangible expression of goodwill, fostering a strong sense of sharing, community spirit, and interconnectedness across the nation.

Ven. Wijitapure Wimalaratana
Emeritus Professor in Economics, University of Colombo



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Dilemmas of ‘hurting economies’ – the case of Sri Lanka

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Dr. Ganeshan Wignaraja (right) and Ambassador (Retd) Ravinatha Aryasinha.

Maldives President Dr. Mohamed Muizzu was in Sri Lanka recently on what was apparently a goodwill visit and this event, no doubt, bodes very well for Maldives-Sri Lanka relations. Besides, the visit would go some distance in strengthening Sri Lanka’s claims to Non-Alignment.

However, the commentator on regional politics could be accused of simplistic thinking if he/she glosses over or ignores the regional politics nuances or undertones of the Maldivian President’s visit. In Sri Lanka we currently have a government which is eager to solidify its bridges, so to speak, with China and which, given the chance, would be courting increasingly close relations with Russia. In other words, the NPP government is likely to see itself as a ‘natural ally’ of the East and would prefer to distance itself to the extent possible from the West, if that is a realistic proposition.

Given the foregoing backdrop, it would be in some of the NPP regime’s best interests to be on cordial terms with the Maldives which is a close ally of China in the South Asian region. However, the NPP government, given the utter financial helplessness of Sri Lanka, cannot afford to distance itself politically and diplomatically from India and the West. Sheer economic necessity compels Sri Lanka to adopt this foreign policy stance. In other words, the latter has no choice but to be ‘Non-Aligned.’

This columnist was led to the above observations on listening to a lucid and comprehensive presentation titled, ‘A Global Economy in the Shadow of the Iran War and implications for Sri Lanka’s debt recovery’, by Dr. Ganeshan Wignaraja, Visiting Senior Fellow, ODI Global London, at the Regional Centre for Strategic Studies (RCSS), Colombo on May 4th. The forum, RCSS Strategic Dialogue – 4, was moderated and presided over by RCSS Executive Director Ambassador (retd) Ravinatha Aryasinha.

The forum brought together a wide cross section of society, including diplomatic personnel, academicians, public and private sector personalities and the media. After the presentation a very lively and informative Q&A followed.

Ambassador Aryasinha at the outset set an appropriate backdrop to the presentation and discussion by stressing ‘the increasing interconnectedness of geopolitical and economic developments, noting how disruptions in the Middle East could have significant ramifications for global markets, trade flows, energy prices and broader economic stability, including Sri Lanka.’

Indeed, there are occurring currently very disruptive economic and material consequences for the world from ‘the Iran War’, and with US-Iran hostilities spiraling in West Asia it may not be wrong to surmise that the worst could be yet to come, unless a peace process materializes in earnest.

Meanwhile, ‘hurting countries’ such as Sri Lanka would need to summon their best economic management capabilities to remain materially and economically afloat. ‘Economic transformation’ is what is urgently needed and not mere management and some of the insights thrown up by Dr. Ganeshan Wignaraja should have the local polity thinking.

There was the following observation, for instance: ‘Sri Lanka has achieved remarkable cyclical stabilization but faces critical challenges in transitioning to transformative growth, with 2027-2028 debt repayments looming and only $5.4 billion usable reserves.’

Needless to say, the path ahead to ‘transformative growth’ for Sri Lanka is strewn with multiple challenges and meeting them effectively is of the first importance. Sri Lanka must soldier on towards even a semblance of development in the short and medium terms and such initiatives cannot be separated from its foreign policy choices since the country’s economic partners and their growth prowess have a close bearing on the country’s material fortunes.

As mentioned, Sri Lanka will be compelled to be ‘a friend of all countries and an enemy of none’ going forward but it cannot afford to be seen as cultivating China as a close growth partner at the expense of India and other major economies of the region.

This is primarily because while India is remaining a major economic power, the current West Asian crisis notwithstanding, China’s economy is being seen as ‘slowing’. Dr. Wignaraja singled out the following in the main as the factors causing this slow-down: a bursting property bubble, increasing state regulation, and weakening investor confidence. Besides, the speaker sees production cycles moving away from China and India replacing China and Hong Kong as ‘manufacturing hubs’.

Accordingly, the NPP regime in Sri Lanka would need to craft its regional policy in particular with the utmost far-sightedness. It will need to have close economic links with all the growth centres that matter.

On the question of authentic economic transformation, the following observations of Dr. Wignaraja on Sri Lanka’s economy are of the first importance as well: ‘Foreign reserves are now at $ 5.4 billion, the cost of living is high, an estimated 20 per cent of the population lives below the poverty line of $ 3.65 per day, the recent cyber security breach at the Treasury would affect some 10 payments.’ These factors were termed ‘critical vulnerabilities’.

It is difficult to conceive of an economic transformation worthy of the phrase minus a steady economic empowerment of the populace. The above data point to the considerable magnitude of the local poverty problem. Right now, the disruptive effects of the West Asian crisis render swift poverty alleviation a most difficult proposition.

One possible way out of the present economic debacle is the forging of a national consensus by the present government on all outstanding problems that have been bedeviling the country’s advancement. That is, there needs to be a meeting of minds across current political divides. Considering the present inflammatory political polarities in Sri Lanka this would prove an insurmountable challenge.

Unfortunately, conscience-filled and civic minded sections in Sri Lanka have chosen to be laid back rather than seize the initiative, come centre stage and impress on politicians the need for enlightened governance and progressive change. There needs to be a historic coming together of the right thinking to ensure that the best interests of the people and of the people only are served by governments. In the absence of such a process, might would be projected as right and brute force would come to increasingly rule politics and society.

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Australia funds project to restore climate-resilient vegetable livelihoods in cyclone-affected highlands

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(L-R) D. P. Wickramasinghe, Secretary of Agriculture; Matthew Duckworth, Australian High Commissioner to Sri Lanka, K. D. Lal Kantha, Minister of Agriculture, Livestock, Lands and Irrigation, and Vimlendra Sharan, FAO Representative for Sri Lanka and the Maldives at the signing ceremony.

The Ministry of Agriculture, Livestock, Lands and Irrigation, the Government of Australia, and the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) have launched of a AUD 2 million (USD 1.4 million) recovery initiative to restore and transform vegetable production systems in the cyclone-affected districts of Nuwara Eliya and Badulla.

The FAO said yesterday (5) that the agreement was formalized through the signing of the grant agreement by Matthew Duckworth, Australian High Commissioner to Sri Lanka, and Vimlendra Sharan, FAO Representative for Sri Lanka and the Maldives, alongside the signing of the project document by D. P. Wickramasinghe, Secretary of Agriculture.

Cyclone Ditwah, which struck Sri Lanka in November 2025, caused widespread devastation across the country, severely disrupting agricultural production systems and livelihoods. The highland districts of Nuwara Eliya and Badulla, key suppliers of vegetables such as beans, carrots, leeks, cabbage, tomato and potato, were among the hardest hit, with thousands of smallholder farmers losing crops, seed stocks, and productive assets.

This 12-month initiative aims torestore and strengthen climate-resilient vegetable production systems, with a strong focus on empowering women farmers and supporting persons with disabilities. The project will directly benefit more than 2,400 smallholder farmers, through improved seed and seedling production systems, small machinery, training, and market linkages while indirectly supporting thousands more.

“This initiative is an important step not only in restoring what was lost, but in building a more resilient and self-reliant agricultural sector,” said Minister Lal Kantha. “By strengthening local seed systems and supporting smallholder farmers, particularly women and vulnerable groups, we are investing in the long-term sustainability of Sri Lanka’s food systems.”

“Australia stands alongside Sri Lanka in its ongoing recovery from Cyclone Ditwah,” said High Commissioner Duckworth. “Australia is a steadfast partner in the agriculture sector with its importance for food security, rural development and climate resilience. By focusing on climate smart practices, farmer-led solutions and inclusive economic opportunities, this project will deliver meaningful and lasting benefits to affected communities.

The project will prioritize the restoration of farmer-led seed systems for beans and potatoes, support the re-establishment of both open-field and protected cultivation systems and women led seedling supply nurseries while empowering all farmers with Climate-Smart Good Agricultural Practices (CSGAP) with small scale machinery and input support.

A key feature of the initiative is the establishment of six accessible and inclusive nurseries in Nuwara Eliya and Badulla. These nurseries will serve as sustainable agri-based enterprises, producing high-quality vegetable seedlings while creating new income opportunities and strengthening local input supply chains.

By combining recovery support with long-term resilience measures, the project will help stabilize vegetable production, improve household food security and nutrition, and reduce reliance on imported seeds.

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War on Iran may hasten unraveling of New World Order

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It took several decades for the US to realise it was losing the war in Vietnam. It took a bit shorter time in Afghanistan. And what is happening in the countries the US and Israel intervened and broke up? The US has been asked to leave Iraq. Syria is talking to Russia about establishing military bases, President al-Sharaa met with Vladimir Putin in Moscow to discuss the project, which is vital for Russian power projection in the Middle East. Libya has been divided into two competing administrative units with the Eastern section actively engaged with Russia in defence matters. The Sudanese government has finalised a 25-year deal to allow a Russian naval facility in the Red Sea in exchange for weapons, including anti-aircraft systems. On the Eastern side of the Red Sea, Yemen remains divided, with the main power center, the Houthis maintaining a staunchly anti-US, anti-Israel stance, while the internationally recognised government remains in exile.

When the Iranian Foreign Minister recently undertook a tour of Pakistan, Oman and Russia, the US wanted to meet him and got ready to send its negotiators Vice President J. D. Vance and his team to Pakistan, but Iranian FM snubbed them and left Pakistan, saying Iran did not want to talk to the US while a blockade of their ports were in place. The Iranian FM met President Putin, who congratulated Iran for courageously defending their country and then phoned US President Trump and told him further attacks on Iran would not be acceptable. During this conversation on April 27, 2026, Putin reportedly warned Trump that further U.S. or Israeli attacks on Iran would have dangerous consequences, according to Al Jazeera). Such a sequence of events would not have been possible in the unipolar world we had in the past.

Furthermore, the damage that Iran has inflicted on the US and Israel in this war would have been unimaginable in the late 20th Century and early 21st Century. Sixteen US military bases spread across Saudi Arabia, Qatar, UAE, Bahrain, Kuwait, Iraq, Jordan and Oman have been either destroyed or severely damaged. Advanced surveillance aircraft and radar systems worth more than $ 2.8 bn were destroyed. This had a far-reaching effect on the war as the US could not use these bases in the war against Iran and also in the defence of its allies in the Gulf.

The attacks on Israel have been equally damaging. In  Central Israel and Tel Aviv area multiple attacks targeted military and intelligence assets, resulting in massive damage. Iranian missiles hit the Haifa oil refinery, causing a shutdown, and hit residential buildings, leading to injuries and structural damage. Residential and commercial areas were damaged in Bat Yam and Petah Tikva with significant casualties and destruction. Attacks in Dimona and Arad targeted the Negev Nuclear Research Center, with casualties reported in both towns. The Soroka Medical Center in Beersheba was hit in a strike. The strategic port and naval base in Eilat were targeted. In Rishon LeZion suburban residential areas suffered extensive damage.

Usually, Israel makes short work of its many enemies in the region, for example it took just six days to defeat the combined military of Egypt, Jordan and Syria in 1967 and grab their land as well. Hamas, Fatah and Palestinians would suffer ignominious defeats if they dare challenge Israel. However, the recent war against Hamas, following a daring wide scale invasion into Israel by Hamas in October 2023, went on for more than two years with no conclusive victory for Israel.

These significant massive military setbacks suffered by the combined forces of the US and Israel have been made possible by the unprecedented advancement in military technology achieved mainly by China and to a degree by Russia as well. Iran has been able to develop ballistic missile systems that could penetrate the “iron dome” that Israel boasted, with technological assistance from China and North Korea. Iran’s drones are very cheap yet very effective, requiring interceptors worth millions of dollars to counter them, thus making it much more costly for the US to fight this war than it is for Iran.

Further, Hezbollah in Lebanon, Houthies in Yemen and Hamas in Palestine are well equipped with advanced missiles and drones. Hezbollah has been able to destroy about hundred Israel tanks and stop their advance. According to Larry Johnson, former CIA intelligence analyst, Israel soldiers are much war weary and mentally affected and are being withdrawn. Netanyahu’s 40 year dream of a “Greater Israel” is telling on the poor soldiers.

If a person like Barack Obama had been the US President instead of the hyper egoistic, blustering, intellectually barren Trump, things may have been different. An attempt would have been made to reconcile with the fact that the world is changing, instead of trying to stop it and make “America Great Again”.  Perhaps, it could be said that Trump is facilitating the emergence of the new world order by enabling the US citizens to see the reality, the futility of war and the fact that Israel is a liability because the US is fighting its war. Further, the war has enabled Iran to assert its place in the region and negotiate from a position of strength.

Perhaps, Israeli people may realise that the Palestine problem cannot be solved by militarily occupying their land, and that in a changing world a “Greater Israel” is a “pie in the sky”. They may have to agree to a two-state solution. US support may not always be forthcoming, certainly not at the level that Trump could extend, as this war is very unpopular and expensive. The other very significant fact is that Israeli settlers in the occupied lands feel insecure and one in three wants to leave and the numbers may grow when Palestinians and their sympathisers grow in strength in the new world order.

Moreover, the war on Iran has afforded China the opportunity to demonstrate with authority the fact that it stands for universal peace and does not tolerate illegal wars. Its message to the US conveyed its world view and its desire for peace in no uncertain terms. Trump cannot afford to disregard the Chinese position on the war on the eve of his visit to that country which may decide on future trade between the two countries as the US depends on China for several essential materials like rare earth minerals. Furthermore, China has shown that peace could be achieved by developing the economies of the underdeveloped countries irrespective of their alliances. It helps Iran as well as Saudi Arabia and try to build bridges between these foes. It welcomes Trump in the coming weeks and hopes to strengthen ties between the two countries despite the weaknesses of the latter.

Another important factor is the gradual decline of the critical value of the petro-dollar. Following the end of the gold standard in 1971, the US struck deals with Saudi Arabia and other OPEC nations (around 1974) to price oil exclusively in USD in exchange for military protection and arms sales. Dollars earned by selling oil came to be known as petro-dollar. Oil producers, holding large dollar surpluses, reinvest these funds in the US Treasury securities, real estate, and financial assets ensuring the recycling of petro-dollars. The system ensures a consistent global demand for US dollars, which helps fund the US budget deficit and maintains the currency’s dominance.

However, the petro-dollar system is on the decline and there are two main reasons for this, firstly the gradual rise of the new world order with organisations like BRICS, making a concerted effort to extricate from the dollar dominance by developing alternate currencies and methods to bypass the dollar. Secondly, the need felt by most countries to develop alternative energy sources to replace enormously harmful fossil fuel would eventually result in a decline in the demand for it and consequently the effectiveness of the petro-dollar. China is leading the world in both these endeavours; depolarisation process and renewable energy production. The war on Iran seems to have hastened the process of depolarisation as Iran insists that it will sell its oil for yuan only.

These revolutionary changes in the aftermath of the Iran war have their undeniable implications for the Global South, where more than 60% of the poor live.

by  N. A. de S. Amaratunga

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