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US trade war poses risks to Sri Lanka’s creditworthiness, warns Fitch

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Meanwhile, tensions between the world’s two largest economies remain high

By Sanath Nanayakkare

Sri Lanka’s already vulnerable financial position could be further threatened by the ongoing US trade war, according to a recent analysis by Fitch Ratings.

The global ratings agency highlights that Sri Lanka, currently rated CCC+, is particularly susceptible to negative impacts if its export earnings are hit by the escalating tariffs.

Fitch Ratings, Hong Kong, in a press release issued on April 15, 2025, warned that increasing US tariffs would weigh on the credit metrics of many sovereigns in the Asia-Pacific (APAC) region. The report emphasised that APAC’s high trade openness and reliance on US demand make it especially vulnerable to the fallout from the trade war.

While the 10% tariffs imposed by the US on most countries are slightly below Fitch’s earlier projections, the agency believes that Asian economic growth will slow as exports and export-oriented investments suffer from tariffs and increased uncertainty.

“This slowdown, coupled with weaker commodity prices and exchange rate adjustments, will affect APAC sovereigns to varying degrees. Several economies in the region, including China, Vietnam, Taiwan, Thailand, and Korea, rely heavily on manufacturing exports and investments, with the US serving as a major export market. These economies could face significant challenges as a result of the trade war,” it stated.

Fitch noted that government policy responses would be crucial in determining the ultimate impact on APAC sovereign ratings. While some higher-rated jurisdictions like China, Singapore, and Taiwan may have the fiscal space to implement stimulus measures, some others, including Sri Lanka, have limited headroom due to high debt levels and constrained fiscal consolidation since the pandemic and its own economic crisis.

The ratings agency also cautioned that the US dollar could appreciate against some APAC currencies, potentially increasing debt burdens for countries with a large share of foreign-currency debt. Furthermore, foreign-exchange reserves could shrink if authorities intervene to support their currencies, further straining economies with low external buffers like Sri Lanka.

Fitch concluded that countries with relatively low external buffers, such as Bangladesh and Sri Lanka, were particularly at risk if their export earnings were negatively impacted by the tariffs.

Meanwhile, tensions between the world’s two largest economies remain high.

After the White House website claimed that imports from China to the US would face tariffs of up to 245 percent, the Chinese Foreign Ministry warned yesterday that China would pay no attention to the US’s further tariff numbers game, and it would take ‘resolute countermeasures’ and ‘fight to the end’ if Washington persisted in substantially infringing on China’s rights and interests.

China Daily – the ruling Chinese Communist party’s English-language mouthpiece published a sharply worded editorial on April 15, rejecting U.S. President Trump’s repeated claims that the US had been ‘ripped off’ by China.

“The U.S. is not getting ripped off by anybody. It is taking a free ride on the globalisation train and is living beyond its means,” China Daily argued.



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Sri Lanka to build a new tourism workforce to project a stronger national voice

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SLITHM Chairman Dheera Hettiarachchi speaks at the press conference held in Colombo on April 24.

Specialised training programme set to begin

The Sri Lanka Institute of Tourism & Hotel Management (SLITHM) has launched a new initiative that could quietly reshape the country’s tourism industry – the National Tourist Interpreter Training Programme.

The idea, explained by SLITHM Chairman Dheera Hettiarachchi, is simple but important. Sri Lanka does not need to rely only on bigger tourist numbers or louder promotion. It needs to help visitors understand the country better.

“This is where the concept of a tourist interpreter comes in”, he said.

“Unlike traditional tour guides, who mainly explain and show places, interpreters are trained to go deeper. They connect the story behind what visitors see; linking history, culture, environment and local life. In a country like Sri Lanka, where ancient heritage, rich biodiversity and living communities are closely connected, this approach can make a real difference,” Hettiarachchi explained.

The programme itself will run for three months and focus more on field visits and practical learning rather than classroom teaching. It is open to academics and professionals with knowledge in areas such as history, culture, environment and research. Those who complete the course will receive a National Tourist Interpreter Licence from the Sri Lanka Tourism Development Authority, along with a digital badge.

With a course fee of around Rs. 250,000, this is not meant for mass entry. The target is a smaller, more specialised group. These interpreters are expected to work with destination management companies, serving high-end travellers who are looking for meaningful and informed experiences, not just sightseeing.

Speaking further, the SLITHM chairman said: “Globally, this trend is already visible; visitors increasingly expect detailed explanations about nature, conservation and local communities in the destinations they visit. They want to know not just what they are seeing, but why it matters. Sri Lanka has the natural and cultural depth to offer this kind of experience. What has been missing is the structured way of delivering that knowledge. That is where this initiative fits in.”

According to SLITHM, there is also a wider benefit. Visitors who understand a place tend to respect it more. This can reduce damage to sensitive sites and support conservation efforts, creating a better balance between tourism and the environment.

In this context, a new group of trained interpreters could gradually change how Sri Lanka is presented to the outside world. Instead of quick impressions shaped by social media, these interpreters can offer informed, thoughtful accounts of the country, combining knowledge with storytelling.

For a destination long promoted mainly for its beaches and scenery, this shift towards deeper storytelling may be both timely and necessary.

By Sanath Nanayakkare

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Savers squeezed by lower returns as liquidity surge eases borrowing costs

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Lower fixed deposit rates adversely affect retirees and fixed-income households that rely on bank interest to cover their daily expenses

A quiet but persistent strain is being felt by Sri Lanka’s savers, particularly retirees and fixed-income households who depend on bank interest to meet daily expenses such as groceries, medicine and utility bills. As deposit rates remain subdued, this segment continues to absorb the impact of a changing monetary environment with little visibility, even as broader conditions begin to ease for borrowers.

The latest economic indicators show that this pressure on savers is unfolding alongside a gradual shift towards lower lending rates and improved liquidity in the banking system.

At the centre of the transition is the Average Weighted Prime Lending Rate (AWPR), which declined to 9.63% in the week ending April 24, 2026, easing by 16 basis points from the previous week. This signals that borrowing costs are beginning to edge down, offering some relief to businesses and individuals reliant on credit.

In practical terms, housing loans, business overdrafts and working capital facilities could become marginally cheaper in the period ahead. However, as banks tend to adjust lending rates cautiously, the full benefit may take time to reach small businesses and ordinary consumers.

In contrast to the relief expected for borrowers, savers are likely to remain under pressure. Deposit rates have not shown a corresponding upward movement, meaning that interest income, a crucial lifeline for many households remains constrained in real terms, especially against the backdrop of rising living costs.

Monetary developments during the week also reflect a careful balancing act by policymakers. Reserve money declined, largely due to a reduction in currency in circulation, which stood at around Rs. 1.79 trillion by April 24. This suggests tighter control over physical cash in the system, possibly aimed at maintaining price stability and managing inflation expectations.

Yet, within the banking system itself, liquidity conditions have eased significantly. Total outstanding market liquidity rose sharply to a surplus of Rs. 199.17 billion, nearly doubling from the previous week. This increase indicates that banks have plenty of cash, which typically encourages lending and places downward pressure on interest rates.

For the public, the implications are mixed and unevenly distributed. Borrowers stand to gain gradually from lower interest rates, and businesses may find credit more accessible as liquidity improves. Consumers could also benefit from increased competition among banks to lend.

But for savers – a significant yet often overlooked segment – the story is different. With deposit returns remaining relatively low, their purchasing power continues to be tested, underscoring a growing divide in how monetary policy outcomes are experienced across society.

By Sanath Nanayakkare

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ComBank expands agency banking network to 26 locations

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One of the agency banking outlets in operation.

Commercial Bank of Ceylon has expanded its ‘ComBank Shakthi’ Agency Banking network to 26 strategic locations nationwide, adding 22 new outlets to the four pilot sites launched earlier.

The initiative partners with trusted local businesses or individuals who act as bank intermediaries, equipped with specialised POS devices running proprietary software for secure, real-time transactions. Customers can perform cash deposits, withdrawals, fund transfers, balance inquiries, and bill payments closer to home—reducing travel time and cost.

The expansion strengthens financial inclusion for underserved and unbanked communities, particularly in rural areas, and integrates closely with the Bank’s Agriculture and Micro Finance Units (AMFU), leveraging existing community trust. Agency outlets now complement Commercial Bank’s 272 traditional branches, bringing total physical access points to 298.

New locations include Katupotha, Oddusudan, Baduraliya, Vankalai, Akkaraipattu, and Lahugala, among others. The four pilot outlets remain at Tissamaharama, Hambantota, Siyambalanduwa, and Buttala.

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