Features
Trump turns America into a new Animal Farm
For the first six months of his second term, President Donald Trump sucked up all the political oxygen of planet earth. He has started the second six months claiming success and victories on all fronts. He declared obliterating victory after America’s sprawling metallic mammals flew non-stop from Missouri and dropped bunker-buster bombs at three nuclear sites in Iran. Within two days, he ordered a ceasefire on both Israel and Iran and swore down Netanyahu into submission when the Israeli Prime Minister tried his usual end run on Washington. On the fourth day, Trump arrived in Amsterdam to right royal Dutch welcome and genuflection by the new NATO of abject supplicants.
By the time he flew back home quite triumphantly, the US Supreme Court was ready yet again to give him judicial cover for his executive orders. Trump is now relatively free of lower court injunctions to deport undocumented migrants to third country jails, and set up new jails in America to hold them indefinitely without cause; deny new-borns of immigrants the constitutionally mandated birth right citizenship unless their parents or others acting on their behalf challenge the executive order individually or through class action lawsuits; harass universities into expelling international students and force university presidents to resign for affirmatively helping socioeconomically challenged American students; to close down American aid agencies overseas and cancel aid programs without any notice or warning and without any regard for millions of the world’s vulnerable people who depend on USAID programs for their healthcare and clean infrastructure; and to go about imposing tariffs without immediate reviews regardless of the cost to consumers and industries in America and the disruption of economies everywhere.
And a week later the Congress, the third branch of government, gave Trump his “big, beautiful bill,” the budget for his second term that will a current surplus into a $3.3tn deficit in ten years by providing additional $4.5tn in tax cuts, $150bn for defence and $129bn for border control, while cutting back $930bn in Medicaid healthcare benefits to low income Americans, $488bn from incentives given to the Green Energy Sector and $287bn of funds allocated for food benefits to seniors and the vulnerable. For a country with a $30tn economy, its president has to siphon off $1.2tn from Medicaid and food benefits to help himself and his billionaire cohorts to a hefty tax cut.
The pseudo economic argument is that the ‘big, beautiful’ tax cuts will propel the economy into unprecedented growth and prosperity will trickle down to one and all. Most analysts, on the right and on the left, disagree, forecasting a sustained “drag on the economy” after “a small, temporary, short-lived boost.” As a result of the cuts to Medicare funding, 16 million Americans, mostly Blacks and Latinos, will lose their health insurance and about 338 rural hospitals that treat patients receiving Medicaid will be forced to close down for want of patients and their insurance.
The Republican social policy argument includes the heartless illogic that there is no point in the public funding of healthcare when people are going to die anyway. Democrat firebrand, New York Congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (AOC) pilloried the Republicans during the House debate: “This bill is a deal with the devil. It explodes our national debt. It militarizes our entire economy, and it strips away healthcare and basic dignity of the American people — for what? To give Elon Musk a tax break and billionaires the greedy taking of our nation? We cannot stand for it, and we will not support it. You should be ashamed.”
The whole passage of the bill numbering 1,116 pages in its final version, stretched over long days and nights, and bandied back and forth between the two chambers, was lowbrow political soap at its worst. The 1,000 pages of the bill are needed to include every minor concession given to a Senator or Congressman to get her his support for the budget. In good old times, the pork barrel politics of granting local concessions for national support spanned both parties. Now, it is all about the Republicans.
Even so, there was haggling over who gets the prize to be the meanest and the cruellest when it came to cutting services, and who gets to be the loudest and the showiest when it came to cutting taxes. Trump would overlord the squabbling Republican factions and corral them into line in support of the bill. Even Elon Musk, who was on a reconciliation path after his very public spat with Trump, re-joined the fray berating the bill as too expensive and a betrayal of the promise to bring down federal spending. Musk threatened to destroy the re-election prospects of hard-line legislators who were softening to support the bill.
Trump fired back threatening to turn DOGE back on Musk. DOGE (Department of Government Efficiency) is the downsizing agency that Trump tasked Musk to operate and eviscerate federal government departments and American aid agencies abroad, to save money to make up for the tax cuts. Trump is now threatening to use DOGE to do to Musk’s businesses what Musk did to the government of the USA through DOGE, and terminate US government subsidies and contracts that Musk had been enjoying from the time of President Obama, without which, Trump mocked, “Elon would probably have to close up shop and head back home to South Africa.” When someone asked if he would banish Musk from the US, Trump deadpanned “I don’t know, we’ll have to take a look.”
Trump’s second term has got off to a whirlwind start, but it is unlike any other American presidency. Not only the presidency but also the congress and the judiciary are in uncharted territories. He has bullied the federal institutions into submission. The conservative Supreme Court has used the Trump presidency to expand the unitary executive power ostensibly for any and all future presidents, but deliberately oblivious to the deranged possibilities under the current president.
Bestirring in New York
Democrats stood united in Congress and voted against the budget, but they are rudderless and leaderless in the country for there is no room for a leader of the opposition in the American presidential system. The elders of the party would rather do nothing on any issue that Trump has turned into a controversy because they are not sure which way the electoral wind will blow in those parts of the country where voters swing from one party to another between elections.
But the grassroots are stirring up. For months now, Senator Bernie Sanders and Congresswoman Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (AOC) have been holding political rallies from state to state and city to city, as part of their “Fighting Oligarchy Tour”. The response has been overwhelming but the mainstream media and the establishment of the Democratic Party have been severely ignoring it. Not Trump, who has taken to giving special treatment to AOC in social media, and AOC responds in her own kind without holding back. The fight came home to New York, so to speak, for Trump and AOC who are both New Yorkers.
And the fight is about electing the next Mayor of New York City, supposedly one of three or five most watched elected offices in the country! “There are only three cities in America, New York, San Francisco and New Orleans,” wrote Tennessee Williams, “everything else is Cleveland.” The mayoral election is due in November, but Democrats held the primary to elect their candidate on June 24. In a stunning upset, a nationally unknown State Assemblyman Zohran Mamdani handily defeated the nationally too well known Andrew Cuomo, a Clinton era cabinet secretary and a former Governor of New York who was forced resign over allegations of sexual harassment.
With an electrifying face-to-face and social media campaign based on a thoroughly egalitarian platform, Mamdani surged from zero to 56.0% of the vote. Mamdani’s victory has been called a political earthquake and what is most remarkable about it is that the entire establishment of the Democratic Party, flanked by former presidents Bill Clinton and Barack Obama, galvanized the opposition to Mamdani. Yet he won and they lost, just as they lost to Trump in 2016 and again in 2024. But Mamdani had the endorsement of perhaps New York’s most popular current politician – Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez.
Trump of course has reacted viciously to Mamdani’s primary victory, posting on social media, “As President of the United States, I’m not going to let this Communist Lunatic destroy New York. Rest assured, I hold all the levers, and have all the cards. I’ll save New York City, and make it ‘Hot’ and ‘Great’ again, just like I did with the Good Ol’ USA!” He has also questioned the legality of Mamdani’s citizenship as grounds for deporting Mamdani, and promised “to look at everything.” It came on the same day after saying that he would look into the possibility of deporting Elon Musk.
Zohran Mamdani is the 34-year-old immigrant son of Ugandan-Indian Muslim father Mahmood Mamdani, a postcolonial academic; and American-Indian Hindu mother Mira Nair, the celebrated filmmaker. He was born in Kampala, Uganda, his parents’ only child, and moved to New York as a seven-year-old. New York City is the world’s melting spot where the dialectic of constant racism and the equally constant fight against it can produce some fascinating syntheses. Mamdani is an emerging synthesis and the Mayoral election in November and time thereafter will tell how far he can go. He will not be the first or the only Muslim mayor in the western world. Sadiq Khan has been Mayor of London for ten years winning successive elections. In Alberta, Canada, the City of Calgary elected Naheed Nenshi as Mayor in 2010 and served multiple terms till 2021. Mr. Nenshi now leads the New Democratic Party and is Leader of the Opposition in the Province of Alberta.
Unlike Trump and his Administration, the governments and leaders of Britain and Canada never raised racist objections to Muslim becoming Mayors in their Cities, or immigrants becoming political leaders and ministers in their countries. Yet Trump and his politics should not be described as fake or aberrations as it was done during his first term. His political genius has been in locating the dark demons in the human collective, as opposed to its better angels, and cynically mobilizing them to feed his ego and win elections. He has played the American system almost perfectly to undermine its main purpose of striving towards “a more perfect union,” by counterposing the exclusively atavistic ‘make America great again,” slogan. He may not have created quite the old Animal Farm, and there is no need for allegorical symbolism to see what he is really doing.
by Rajan Philips ✍️
Features
Trump’s tariffs, AKD’s gazette and Sri Lanka’s diplomatic slumber
“We are rather respectable in Colombo. We go to bed fairly early, and we remain there till morning. “
According to Sri Lanka’s diplomatic folklore, the late S.W. R. D. Bandaranaike uttered these words while explaining the reasons for Sri Lanka’s abstention on the UN resolution condemning the Soviet invasion of Hungary. Apparently, SWRD’s foreign ministry officials were asleep at home when the diplomatic cable seeking instructions was received from New York. In those days, there were no cell phones, Internet, or even fax or telex machines. The diplomatic cables were sent through post offices. Decoding them was a slow and time-consuming process. Thus, the government could not provide appropriate instructions to our mission in New York in time, and the Sri Lankan delegation abstained on that sensitive UN vote.
Sri Lanka’s Absence from Section 301 Consultations
But then, how does one explain Sri Lanka’s absence from the crucial bilateral consultation held in Washington by the Office of the United States Trade Representative (USTR) during March-April on “Forced Labour” under the Section 301 of the US Trade Act of 1974? Didn’t our foreign and trade ministries send appropriate instructions to Washington in time? Even if the instructions from the foreign ministry were transmitted to our embassy in Washington by pigeon carriers, there was enough time for Sri Lanka to participate in those meetings.
In March, the USTR initiated these 301 investigations on 60 trading partners, and invited all of them for confidential consultations. Out of the 60, 46 participated in these consultations. Sri Lanka was not one of them. Other countries that didn’t participate in these consultations included China, Russia, and Venezuela! In addition to that, the Section 301 Committee conducted a public hearing with interested parties on April 28 and 29. Washington-based diplomats, representatives from few trade ministries as well as representatives from many foreign trade associations and chambers participated in these hearings. Sri Lanka was once again conspicuously absent.
As a result, when the USTR published the proposed forced labour tariffs on June 2nd, Sri Lanka ended up with a 12.5% duty. Pakistani and Indonesian diplomats participated in these consultations and took appropriate follow-up measures, and managed to enter the 10% duty category. As even a threat of a modest tariff hike could disrupt supply chains and reduce competitiveness, particularly in an industry such as garments, I discussed this issue on 15 June and underscored the importance of Sri Lanka’s participation at the next hearing, which was scheduled to be held from July 7th .
Awakening from Diplomatic Slumber and AKD’s Gazette
Fortunately, Sri Lanka finally awoke from weeks of diplomatic slumber, and Ambassador Mahinda Samarasinghe participated in the public hearing on 9 July, and promised, “…. · We have agreed to the text in our negotiations with the USTR on forced labour, …. The gazette as we speak is being printed and I’m getting the gazette tomorrow morning, and the gazette will be shared with USTR as I get it“.
As promised, President Anura Kumara Dissanayake issued a gazette on 10 July banning the imports of goods produced by forced labour. These new regulations are very similar to what Pakistan and Indonesia enacted in April, after their consultations with USTR in March. Why couldn’t we do it in April? Why did we wait till the very last minute?
Challenges ahead
“War is too important to be left to generals alone,” is a famous saying attributed to former French Premier Georges Clemenceau. Similarly, monitoring our main markets is too important to be left to diplomats alone. The United States is the largest single-country market for Sri Lanka. Therefore, Sri Lankan trade chambers and associations should become more proactive in these markets and participate in these events. For example, the chairman of the Pakistani apparel exporters association participated in the April hearings. Similarly, representatives from the Indian Agricultural and Processed Food Products Export Development Authority, the Federation of Indian Chambers of Commerce and Industry, the Confederation of Indian Industry, and Reliance Industries also participated in July hearings. At an event where each speaker is given only five minutes (strictly enforced), having a number of speakers from a country is an advantage. The presence of industry representatives in these kinds of events also help them understand the market dynamics and the future challenges. This is important, particularly because there will be many more challenges with Trump’s tariffs.
With the gazette issued on 10 July, Sri Lanka has imposed a prohibition on the importation of goods produced with forced labour. Now, the challenge will be to effectively enforce the prohibition. And what are the goods produced with forced labour? The USTR list only focuses on aluminum, cotton, electronics, lithium-ion batteries, rice, and tobacco. However, according to the U.S. Department of Labour, the list is much longer. Hence, this list may change continuously during the next two years and tariffs may fluctuate once again.
So, this is definitely not the time to slumber.
(The writer, a retired public servant, can be reached at senadhiragomi@gmail.com)
by Gomi Senadhira ✍️
Features
Tales of Mystery and Suspense 10 Casino for Sale
After the overwhelming grotesquerie of J K Rowling’s latest Cormoran Strike novel (written, I should have noted, as the others were, under the pseudonym Robert Galbraith), I thought I should return to the world of fun, and also a much shorter description since this thriller moves quickly without the layers of detail that Rowling engages in.
I then move to the second comic thriller by Caryl Brahms and S J Simon. This, their second story to feature Vladimir Stroganoff and Adam Quill, was Casino for Sale, as lunatic a romp as the first, though without the emphasis on the ballet that characterized A Bullet in the Ballet.
This one begins with the impresario Stroganoff buying a casino cheap from Baron Sam de Rabinovich, only to find that it was a rundown place, not the grand casino of La Bazouche, a resort on the Frenc+h Riviera, as he had initially thought. The grand one belonged to Lord Buttonhooke, and Stroganoff could not compete, until he thought of bringing the Ballet Stroganoff to the casino – which of course leads to Buttonhooke deciding to have ballet performances in his Casino too.
Stroganoff invites Quill to visit him, which Quill decides to do since he has left Scotland Yard, having come into a legacy. No one believes this, and he has to face questions as to what he did to have been sacked, with sympathy for having been found out.
The day he arrives in La Bazouche there is a murder, of a vitriolic critic called Citrolo, in Stroganoff’s office. He had been going to write a damning review of the opening night of the ballet and Stroganoff, when he realizes Citrolo cannot be swayed, drugs him and dictates the review himself to the papers. He leaves Citrolo sleeping and finds him shot the next morning, whereupon he decides to muddy the waters and leave a suicide note and lots of other murder weapons. So much overkill, as it were, of course ensures that he is arrested.
But the excitable French detective who makes the arrest follows up his suggestion that Buttonhooke was also involved, and so the two casino owners find themselves in cells next door to each other, with the detective Gustave quite happy to provide creature comforts for a fee.
Quill decides he must investigate, and finds Gustave most cooperative, since he has a laid back attitude to work. So it is Quill that finds a notebook which makes it clear Citrolo is an accomplished blackmailer, and that there are lots of possible murderers, including Stroganoff’s croupier, who was crooked, Rabinovich, who was now working for Buttonhooke, a confidence trickster called Kurt Kukumber, whose prospectus for a dud gold mine was found in the office and Prince Alexis Artishok who was engaged in a deal to buy diamonds from the ballerina Dyra Dyrakova.
Stroganoff had been trying to get Dyrakova to dance for him, but having done so previously she had refused. But then to Stroganoff’s chagrin she agreed to dance for Buttonhooke. The clearly crooked Artishok had told Buttonhooke’s mistress Sadie Souse, who was not very bright, that Dyrakova possessed diamonds she was willing to sell cheap, and Sadie was determined to have them.
Quill meanwhile finds out that there was a secret passage to Stroganoff’s office, the obvious solution to what had begun as a locked room mystery, and that this was known by almost everyone apart from Stroganoff himself. And then Rabinovich is murdered, just after Gustave had released his two original suspects, leading him to blame Quill for having insisted on that and thus allowing them to kill again.
Soon afterwards Dyrakova arrives, and the town is full of posters announcing that she will appear in the casinos, elaborate posters for either one, since Stroganoff is determined that she will dance for him, and if she does not come willingly, he has devised a scheme to make her do so unwillingly. So, though Buttonhooke has her taken off to his yacht immediately she arrives at the station, Quill along with Arenskaya gets her into a launch and to Stroganoff’s casino, where she performs to tumultuous applause, not knowing for whom she is dancing.
When Quill asked her about the diamonds, she said she had sold them long ago, and that gave Quill the solution to the mystery. Rabinovich had known about this, and Artishok had killed him to prevent Sadie learning it from him, he had killed Citrolo who had recognized him for an accomplished card sharper, not a Russian prince at all. But before he is arrested, he gets away in a boat, and the police launch that pursues him is on the point of catching him up when it runs out of petrol.
Again, lots of excitement, and entertaining references – Gustave grows marrows – and if not quite as brilliant as its predecessor, Casino was certainly a delightful read.
Features
The challenge of being positive about SAARC
It was a few years back that a former President of Sri Lanka took it on himself to pronounce SAARC ‘dead’. Since then there have been other sections of Sri Lankan opinion that have joined the critics of SAARC and taken the solemn stance that SAARC has indeed died what may be called a natural death.
Their fatalism is understandable. SAARC has failed to meet at heads of government or state level for the past several years to take the SAARC process notably forward. Regional cooperation has more or less been only an appealing idea. No substantive concrete projects have taken off to make the idea a hard reality. ‘Inner paralysis’ seems to be SAARC’s lot. Hence the fatalism in these circles.
However, being one of the worst cash-strapped regions of the world and a teemingly populated one with people virtually left to their devices, what choices do the ‘SAARC Eight’ have other than to try their best to band together and continue with their cooperation efforts, however small they may be?
There is no escaping the mounting debt trap for many of these countries and bankrupt Sri Lanka is a glaring example, but ‘throwing in the towel’ and abandoning themselves entirely to the diktats of the strongest economies and their agencies will prove a ‘living death’ for many countries in the SAARC fold.
The gains may be meagre but giving-up on SAARC cooperation in full would prove self-defeating for the organization and South Asia. Right now, the collective intention ought to be to salvage what the region could from the tenuous cooperative efforts. Moreover, such initiatives could go some distance to generate a degree of goodwill among the Eight and help in sustaining a dialogue process.
Given this backdrop it proved ‘a stich in time’ for the Regional Centre for Strategic Studies (RCSS), Colombo, to recently host the SAARC Secretary General Ambassador Md. Golam Sarwar to a round table discussion on the unifying potential of SAARC and its future possibilities, besides other related issue areas.
Held on June 24th and moderated by RCSS Executive Director and former ambassador Ravinatha Aryasinha, the forum brought together a vibrant, wide ranging audience comprising academicians, diplomats, senior public servants, civil society activists and many others. Following the presentation by Ambassador Golam Sarwar titled, ‘Reigniting SAARC: Achievements, Challenges and the Way Ahead’, a lively Q&A followed.
The above forum could be described as an act of lighting the proverbial ‘candle’ rather than ‘cursing the darkness.’ It surely is a ‘darkness’ that could be seen as daunting considering that the region’s pivotal powers, India and Pakistan, are failing to act in a spirit of accord but are engaged in bitter finger-pointing on a number of questions of vital importance to SAARC.
On the other hand, what is the rest of the region doing to bring the above sides together? It is disappointing that to date the rest of SAARC has failed to launch a major diplomatic drive to bring peace between the feuding regional heavyweights. It needs to act without delay and establish its earnestness and this effort would need to prove SAARC’s staying power in the unfolding months and even years.
In assessing SAARC’s seeming failure local opinion in particular has failed to factor in what could be described as weak leadership. Since Sheikh Mujibur Rahman of Bangladesh, the founding father of SAARC, the region has failed to produce a visionary leader who could advance the SAARC cause with charisma and drive.
Among other reasons, weak leadership accounts considerably for the faltering and stuttering status, as it were, of SAARC. Badly needed are leaders who could go the extra mile, think less of narrow national interests and work diligently towards the collective well being of the region but SAARC’s millions of ordinary people have been made to wait in vain for leaders of such stature. Instead, they have been burdened with politicians who seem to be relishing the apparently moribund state of SAARC.
Looking back, it could be said that it was the dynamic leadership factor that led to the launching of the Non-Aligned Movement and for its sustenance for a few decades. True, it could be seen in some quarters that NAM is no more, but as in the case of SAARC, the former too has been unfortunate to be burdened over the years with politicians who lack the vision and drive to unflaggingly advance the fortunes of the South. NAM and SAARC lack the dynamism and vision of leaders of the stature of Jawaharlal Nehru, for example, to give them the required guidance and intellectual depth.
The reasons are complex for there not being among us currently political leaders with the vision and the steadfast commitment to advance the legitimate interests of the South. However, it could be stated with conviction that the majority of Southern leaders have too easily caved in to the demands of the global North and its financial agencies.
These leaders have failed to see, for instance, that the largely market economy oriented Northern governments would not view with favour a centrist economic model that attaches priority to the interests of the dis-empowered publics of the South. This realization ought to have dawned on the current government in Sri Lanka, for instance, some while ago but it has no choice but to abide by IMF dictates since economic survival at present is unthinkable without the latter’s succour.
Accordingly for SAARC this should be the time for some soul-searching. Priority needs to be attached to ending the feuding between India and Pakistan since at present the material fortunes of the region hinge largely on these regional giants giving peaceful relations among them a try. This is no easy challenge to meet but some daring, visionary diplomacy needs to take hold among the rest of SAARC.
There is some sense in SAARC bringing the peoples of the region together through programs that address their best collective interests. A meeting of minds among SAARC nations could enable SAARC and its agencies to build a region-wide people’s movement for progressive political and economic change that could in turn lead to the region’s political leaders sensitizing themselves more to the neglected needs of their publics.
However, the time is ‘now’ for the initiation of these progressive changes and the voice of SAARC well wishers would need to drown out those of their critics.
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