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To Leave or to Stay? Years of bad economic policy are killing the aspirations of Sri Lanka’s youth

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By Sathya Karunarathne

Overseas migration for work or study, seems a popular option for Sri Lanka’s youth. Central Bank data shows that in 2019 alone the age group 25-29 recorded the highest number of departures abroad for skilled, semi-skilled, and unskilled employment. This age group also recorded the second-highest number of departures for professional, middle, and clerical level jobs. UNESCO’s Eurostat data collection on education for 2020 states that the total number of Sri Lankan students overseas is 24,118.

A significant segment of the youth population seem dissatisfied with the available opportunities and choices within Sri Lanka.The above numbers reflect their lack of faith in a better and safer society in the years to come. For decades this lack of opportunity was blamed on the war. However, even twelve years after the conclusion of the war little has changed.It is worthy to explore why.

How did we get here?

The island nation’s predicament was in the making for almost 70 years.Consecutive governments since independence have failed to successfully implement policies to deliver economic growth and better living standards.

Trade is the engine of growth but over the last fifteen years Sri Lanka has shied away from trade led growth. Although Sri Lanka was South Asia’s first to embark on economic liberalisation in 1977 and despite the relatively robust economic performance that resulted even during the war years, Sri Lanka began to move away from international trade and investment.

Starting in 2004 import tariffs were raised in an ad hoc fashion to finance a growing defence budget. By 2009 Sri Lanka had one of the world’s most complex import tax regimes made up of para tariffs, (taxes above custom duties) and customs duties. By 2009 the overall protection more than doubled from 13.4 percent to 27.9 percent. Sri Lanka’s import policies by this time were as protective as they had been 20 years ago. While Sri Lanka continued to miss the boat of economic globalisation our East Asian neighbours such as Vietnam and Thailand have risen to prosperity by successfully integrating with global value chains.

This was compounded by an increase in state spending and increased state involvement in the economy. Much of it is financed by debt. Sri Lanka’s state expenditure has ballooned. Due to excessive borrowing, the central government’s highest recurrent expenditure is on interest payments which were at 36 percent in 2020. The country boasts a bloated public sector. The Ministry of Finance states that 30 percent or the second largest of the central government’s recurrent expenditure is spent on salaries and wages. This amounted to a staggering 794.2 billion in 2020 an increase of 15.7 percent from 2019. The Economy Next reported in June that 86 percent of tax revenue went into salaries and pensions in 2020. Moreover, these salaries are only a part of the problem, much expenditure is wasted sustaining mismanagement, corruption, and negligence within some 527 SOEs whose cumulative losses outweigh profits.

Tax revenues have not kept pace with expenditure and the tax system is weighted towards indirect taxes. In 2020 of the share of Sri Lanka’s tax revenue only 22.1 percent was direct taxes with 77.9 percent being indirect. This is highly regressive as a large component of indirect taxes end up on goods and services consumed by the average Sri Lankan imposing a higher burden on low income earners.

Consecutive government’s reluctance to rectify these economic miscalculations through hard reforms have brought the island to a precarious state of high levels of accumulated debt with exponentially growing interest payments.The country now has a debt to GDP ratio of over 101 percent, while foreign reserves have declined to 2.8 billion- sufficient for less than two months of imports.Fitch ratings have estimated that Sri Lank’s foreign currency debt service obligations until 2026 amount to USD 29 billion. Sri Lanka’s debt is on an unsustainable path.

So what’s at stake for young

people in all this?

Sri Lanka’s youth sit helplessly as bungled policy results in the economy tanking, taking them further away from their aspirations, hopes and dreams. Labour force survey for the fourth quarter (Q4) of 2020 reported a startling youth unemployment (15-25 years) rate of 25.7 percent. In terms of education level, the highest unemployment rate is reported from the GCE A/L and above group. Although the labour force is educated their main source of employment remains in the informal sector. Nevertheless, skills gap and mismatches have been identified as a major obstacle preventing employment. For example, a 2019 survey estimated a shortage of 12,140 ICT graduates.A World Bank study recognised poor English language skills as another impediment.

In addition to this, COVID exacerbated Sri Lanka’s challenge of providing employment. Unemployment as a percentage of the total labour force increased from 4.5 percent to 5.2 percent between 2019 Q4 – 2020 Q4.19 This coupled with the country’s poor economic conditions will lead to more job losses in the coming months.For instance, with banks rationing letters of credit those employed in the import sector are in panic. Additionally, with prices of essential items increasing the demand for other products and services will decline as people are forced to deprive themselves of small luxuries such as ordering a meal from a restaurant to survive.This poses a threat to business operations and employment.

To curb the outflow of dollars the country has resorted to increased import restrictions.These unsustainable policy responses have robbed the Sri Lankan youth of the luxury to dream and to aspire. Purchasing a car and housing are two such aspirations that are slipping through the fingers of the average Sri Lankan. Vehicle Importers Association of Sri Lanka (VIASL) stated that the price of certain vehicles in the local market has increased by around Rs.10 million due to import restrictions.20 A 2017/2018 Wagon R which was sold at Rs.3.5 million is now being sold at Rs.6 million. Those building or repairing houses face difficulty as cement importers have limited the release of cement to the market due to partial suspension of imports and price controls resulting in severe shortages. This coupled with high tariffs on construction material will further contribute to making the construction of a house an illusion to the middle-class Sri Lankan.

Even the escape routes of Sri Lanka are closing. Students aspiring to leave the country for higher education fear banks may not issue dollars to finance their stay. Migrants are unable to take their savings with them meaning they face a much harder start in another country- last month the Central Bank issued a new order under the Foreign Exchange Act declaring limits on migration allowances26. Social media is swamped with infuriated complaints on price hikes and scarcity of essentials such as medicine in midst of a pandemic.

It is safe to conclude that young people have found themselves in a perilous socio economic fabric with looming uncertainty.

To leave or to stay?

If the government is to retain young people they must be provided with indications of stability and hope. Excessive reliance on import restrictions as a policy solution to the foreign exchange crisis at hand exhibits the government’s reluctance to implement painful but necessary reforms. Stability and hope lie in reforms the politicians are resistant to.

Increasing sources of government revenue, re-prioritising government expenditure, limiting intervention, relying on markets and recognizing the vitality of trade in a globalised economy is Sri Lanka’s road to prosperity. It will not be easy or painless, the accumulated policy mistakes of the past two decades require some very hard reforms but it is the only sustainable way out of the current mess.

Sri Lanka faces a serious crisis but it presents an opportunity to learn from the mistakes of the past and to rebuild the island’s institutions along with the hopes and dreams of the young.

Sathya Karunarathne is the Research Analyst at the Advocata Institute and can be contacted at sathya@advocata.org. Learn more about Advocata’s work at www.advocata.org. The opinions expressed are the author’s own views. They may not necessarily reflect the views of the Advocata Institute, or anyone affiliated with the institute.



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Sri Lanka Customs exceeds revenue targets to enters 2026 with a surplus of Rs. 300 billion – Director General

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The year 2025 has been recorded as the highest revenue-earning year in the history of Sri Lanka Customs, stated Director General of Sri Lanka Customs, Mr. S.P. Arukgoda, noting that the Department had surpassed its expected revenue target of Rs. 2,115 billion, enabling it to enter 2026 with an additional surplus of approximately Rs. 300 billion.

The Director General made these remarks at a discussion held on Tuesday  (30)  morning at the Sri Lanka Customs Auditorium, chaired by President Anura Kumara Dissanayake.

The President visited the Sri Lanka Customs Department this to review the performance achieved in 2025 and to scrutinize the new plans proposed for 2026. During the visit, the President engaged in extensive discussions with the Director General, Directors and senior officials of the Department.

Commending the vital role played by Sri Lanka Customs in generating much-needed state revenue and contributing to economic and social stability, the President expressed his appreciation to the entire Customs employees for their commitment and service.

Emphasizing that Sri Lanka Customs is one of the country’s key revenue-generating institutions, the President highlighted the importance of maintaining operations in an efficient, transparent and accountable manner. The President also called upon all officers to work collectively, with renewed plans and strategies, to lead the country towards economic success in 2026.

The President further stressed that the economic collapse in 2022 was largely due to the government’s inability at the time to generate sufficient rupee revenue and secure adequate foreign exchange. He pointed out that the government has successfully restored economic stability by achieving revenue targets, a capability that has also been vital in addressing recent disaster situations.

A comprehensive discussion was also held on the overall performance and progress of Sri Lanka Customs in 2025, as well as the new strategic plans for 2026, with several new ideas and proposals being presented.

Sri Lanka Customs currently operates under four main pillars, revenue collection, trade facilitation, social protection and institutional development. The President inquired into the progress achieved under each of these areas.

It was revealed that the Internal Affairs Unit, established to prevent corruption and promote an ethical institutional culture, is functioning effectively.

The President also sought updates on measures taken to address long-standing allegations related to congestion, delays and corruption in Customs operations, as well as on plans to modernize cargo inspection systems.

The discussion further covered Sri Lanka Customs’ digitalization programme planned for 2026, along with issues related to recruitment, promotions, training and salaries and allowances of the staff.

Highlighting the strategic importance of airports in preventing attempts to create instability within the country, the President underscored the necessity for Sri Lanka Customs to operate with a comprehensive awareness of its duty to uphold the stability of the State, while also being ready to face upcoming challenges.

The discussion was attended by Minister of Labour and Deputy Minister of Finance and Planning, Dr. Anil Jayanta Fernando, Deputy Minister of Economic Development, Nishantha Jayaweera, Secretary to the President, Dr. Nandika Sanath Kumanayake, Deputy Secretary to the Treasury, A.N.Hapugala, Director General of Sri Lanka Customs,  S.P.Arukgoda, members of the Board of Directors and senior officials of the Department.

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Construction industry offers blueprint for Sri Lanka’s recovery

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Eng Nissanka N Wijeratne

The dawn of 2026 represents a time for critical recalibration, not just ceremony, for the nation’s vital construction sector, says Eng Nissanka N Wijeratne, Secretary General/CEO of the Chamber of Construction Industry (CCI).

In a New Year message, Wijeratne reframes the annual greeting as a strategic call to action. “For Sri Lanka’s construction industry – the true backbone of our economy – the turning of the calendar is an ideal moment for a realistic and forward-looking assessment,” he states.

His vision sketches a practical blueprint where the unprecedented challenges of the recent past become the foundation for a smarter, more sustainable future.

The industry, long considered a barometer of national prosperity, has weathered severe headwinds: economic volatility and spiraling material costs. “These were not mere business cycles, but unprecedented tests,” Wijeratne notes, acknowledging the severe strain on firms and professionals. Yet, the sector’s response, he observes, has been “nothing short of remarkable,” showcasing a deeply ingrained resilience.

The Chamber’s chosen theme for the year, “Resilience through Innovation,” signals a pivotal shift from enduring hardship to actively engineering progress.

The pathway forward, Wijeratne outlines, is built on three interdependent pillars.

First is the revitalization of Infrastructure. “This is not a simple call for new projects,” he clarifies, “but a strategic push to reactivate stalled ventures and initiate sustainable developments in concert with the government and international agencies.” He emphasises that construction activity is intrinsically linked to the broader economy’s pulse, where resuming projects catalyses employment, energises supply chains, and restores public confidence.

The second pillar, technological Integration, addresses the urgent need to modernise the sector’s core. Advocacy for Building Information Modeling (BIM), green building practices, and digital project management is a direct answer to past inefficiencies. “It is a commitment to ensuring Sri Lankan construction is not just rebuilt, but upgraded becoming more competitive, cost-effective, and environmentally responsible,” Wijeratne says. ” Innovation must move from slogan to practice, transforming how the nation conceives, builds, and maintains its infrastructure,” he notes.

The third pillar, consistent policy advocacy, underpins all efforts. The Chamber positions itself as a vital intermediary, fighting for fair pricing mechanisms, streamlined regulations, and a protective framework for local contractors. Wijeratne stresses that the best-laid plans of engineers can falter without a conducive policy environment, calling for a strengthened partnership with the state to create a level playing field where skill and enterprise determine success.

Ultimately, Wijeratne’s message is a powerful reminder of the industry’s profound legacy. “When we build, the nation grows,” he states, elevating construction from a commercial activity to a national mission. The structures that rise from the ground are more than concrete and steel; they are the schools, hospitals, roads, and homes that shape the nation’s future.

As Sri Lanka steps into 2026, the construction industry’s message is clear: it is ready to transform resilience from a trait of survival into a dynamic force for innovation.

The past challenges, according to Wijeratne, have been met with grit. Now, the future must be built with vision.

By Sanath Nanayakkare

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Expo Commodities and STAY Naturals honoured at the Presidential Export Awards 2024/25

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Expo Commodities (Pvt) Ltd, together with its member company STAY Naturals (Pvt) Ltd, has been recognized with Merit Awards at the Sri Lanka Export Development Board (EDB) Presidential Export Awards 2024/25, one of the country’s most prestigious platforms celebrating export excellence.

The awards were presented under the categories of Spices and Allied Products and Essential Oils, Oleoresins & Condiments, recognizing the companies’ consistent performance, product quality, and contribution to strengthening Sri Lanka’s presence in global markets.

The recognition reflects Expo Commodities’ continued focus on delivering high-quality, value-added Sri Lankan products while upholding international standards across innovation, sustainability, and responsible sourcing. Through STAY Naturals, the group has expanded its reach in key export markets, promoting Sri Lanka’s essential oils, oleoresins, and condiments derived from its rich agricultural heritage to customers worldwide.

The achievement also reflects the collective effort, technical expertise, and commitment of the teams behind the operations, alongside the continued trust of global partners and customers. Expo Commodities (Pvt) Ltd, part of Expo Commodities Global, is strategically focused on driving sustainable export growth and strengthening Sri Lanka’s global positioning as a reliable supplier of high-quality natural products.

Expo Commodities Global is a globally active Agri-commodity enterprise with operations spanning multiple origins including Sri Lanka, Vietnam, Indonesia, Madagascar, Comoros, Egypt, the UAE, India, Germany, and the Netherlands. The company specializes in the production, processing, and export of premium organic and conventional spices, coconut products, essential oils, oleoresins, and value-added agricultural products, delivering consistent quality through integrated and sustainable operations.

Expo Commodities Global and STAY Naturals (Pvt) Ltd are part of Aberdeen Holdings, a diversified Sri Lankan conglomerate with interests across pharmaceuticals, packaging, commodities, transport and logistics, power generation, and digital innovation, supporting long-term growth through strong governance, sustainability, and global market engagement.

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