Features
The need for an increase in the price of milk powder
By Sanjeewa Jayaweera
The steep price increase in essentials like milk powder and cooking gas has caused much debate and anger amongst consumers. The opposition politicians are milking the angst among the public to score some points. There is no doubt that any increase in food prices causes the greatest anger and frustration amongst those struggling to make ends meet. The inability to provide dependents three square meals a day is a failure that causes a great deal of mental anguish.
In the developed world, having three meals a day is taken for granted, whilst in many developing countries, this is still not possible for a particular segment of the population. Therefore, it is the responsibility of the governments that we elect to plan and develop the economy to create productive employment so that all non-disabled adult citizens are gainfully employed. Unfortunately, successive governments in Sri Lanka have miserably failed in this area. The reasons for such failure are too numerous to be discussed in this article.
The purpose of this article is to share certain information which hopefully will enable the readers to understand better the challenge of maintaining stable prices of imported commodities and how poor decision making by GOSL makes matters worse.
It must be understood that prices of imported commodities are not within the control of the importer, who in most instances are private enterprises and individuals. Commodity prices in the world market are governed by many factors ranging from droughts and floods that impact the harvest and, at times, export bans. Currently, post covid supply chain constraints are also contributing to a surge in prices the world over as demand exceeds supply. Prices are always a function of demand and supply, and when demand exceeds supply, it is natural for prices to up.
Milk powder is an essential item amongst families with children. Due to its nutritional value, despite some in the medical profession claiming otherwise, many parents ensure that it is included in the grocery list. Therefore, the inability of parents to procure this vital commodity due to either it being too expensive or because it is not readily available leaves many such parents seething in anger. A recent news telecast before the price increase showed a long queue of persons waiting to purchase a packet of milk powder, with many complaining that they have stood for more than three hours. Some were claiming that they had travelled a distance of more than 10 kilometres.
Unfortunately, the public is not fully aware of the reasons for either the need for a sharp increase in the retail price or the cause for the shortage. The Global Dairy Trade website (www.globaldairytrade.info) shows that a metric ton of full cream milk powder on November 20, 2020, cost US $ 3,037. This price excludes freight. The retail price of 1 kg milk powder in Sri Lanka was then Rs. 945/-.
The world price then increased to a high of US $ 4,364 per ton by March 02, 2021. It has since fallen to US $ 3,749 per ton by October 05, 2021.
In addition to the significant price increase in US Dollar terms, the Sri Lanka rupee, which stood at Rs. 184 per US Dollar in October 2020 has depreciated to Rs. 203 by October 2021.
In percentage terms, the increase within the 12 months is 35 per cent whilst in March 2021, it was 50% at its peak. In addition to the rise in world prices and the depreciating rupee, the importers also had to bear an increase in freight costs, which have doubled.
The unfortunate aspect of this saga is that GOSL, through the consumer protection authority, did not allow the retail price to increase from Rs. 945. As milk powder is considered an essential item, its retail price is mandated by the GOSL.

In such a scenario, the importers were bearing significant losses. The net result was that they either stopped importing milk powder or reduced the quantity imported significantly, thus causing a shortage of milk powder in the market. When an item is sold at a loss, the more you sell, the more you lose.
The fact that the GOSL did not grant a price increase is unfathomable. It is basic common sense that no private enterprise is able or willing to bear losses. Private business people are the favourite whipping boys for politicians, media, and the public in our country. No doubt some racketeers fleece the public. People need to understand that those who engage in business activities invest their funds, invariably savings in expectation of getting a reasonable return. It is no different to us as individuals investing our savings in fixed deposits. We rightfully expect a decent return which till recently was around 10 per cent for the year. Therefore, in my view, given the risk taken by those venturing into business, a return between 15 per cent to 20 per cent after tax is a fair return. Many don’t achieve such a return, and quite a lot fail in their business ventures and lose their savings.
The alternative is for the GOSL to be the importer. However, given the repeated scams that have been perpetrated by those working in the state sector, such as Sathosa, we know that government enterprises are ill-suited for such activities. In that case, the private importers should be allowed to operate in an environment where the objective of cost-plus profit is achieved, and it is for the GOSL to facilitate this.
Businesses are often accused of not bringing down prices once increases are granted despite world prices reducing, and the general belief is that business enterprises are making super-profits. In most instances, this is not the case. The actions of the GOSL, which many are unaware of, prevent the prices of such commodities from being reduced. I want to share an example of how the GOSL uses its power to levy duties and taxes on imports that prevent importers from passing on the benefit to the consumer.
The GOSL enforces customs duty at the point of import which is a cost that needs to be added before arriving at the retail price. It has been and is the policy of the GOSL to increase the duty component when world prices of essential items reduce and reduce such duty when world prices increase.
The example given below is based on records maintained by a former colleague of mine who was the purchasing director. The company that we worked for imported Skimmed Milk Powder (SMP) as a raw material.
It should be noted that the world price shown would have fluctuated during the period. Therefore, I have shown the world price on the date when the duty change was implemented.
I trust the above schedule explains why importers of milk powder are constrained from passing on the benefit of reducing prices to the consumer. Thus, it is evident that the GOSL is surreptitiously keeping the benefit to themselves and not allowing it to be passed on to the consumers.
The rationale of pricing imports that I have outlined above is equally applicable in determining the price of gas, petrol and diesel. Even state enterprises like the Ceylon Petroleum Corporation and Litro Gas should be allowed to trade on a formula of cost-plus profit. There is no alternative to this principle.
My contention and that of many who are familiar with Economics and Finance are that by not passing on the cost increase through a price formula based on cost plus profit, even those who can bear such price increases are subsidized. There will be some consumers for whom the increased cost of petrol, diesel, gas and milk powder will have no consequences; there will be some consumers for whom a certain degree of adjustments to their monthly expenditure will need to be made and a degree of belt-tightening to accommodate such price increases. Some of these adjustments might mean resorting to carpooling, travelling by train or bus. That is the choice that needs to be made. However, there will be a segment of the population who are unable to bear such price increases. Therefore, the GOSL should provide a monetary allowance to bear such price increases and make them responsible for allocating their funds. I say this as, at times, I am perplexed when I see some of the people who flock to the Liquor shops when they are opened after a period of closure.
Features
Trump’s tariffs, AKD’s gazette and Sri Lanka’s diplomatic slumber
“We are rather respectable in Colombo. We go to bed fairly early, and we remain there till morning. “
According to Sri Lanka’s diplomatic folklore, the late S.W. R. D. Bandaranaike uttered these words while explaining the reasons for Sri Lanka’s abstention on the UN resolution condemning the Soviet invasion of Hungary. Apparently, SWRD’s foreign ministry officials were asleep at home when the diplomatic cable seeking instructions was received from New York. In those days, there were no cell phones, Internet, or even fax or telex machines. The diplomatic cables were sent through post offices. Decoding them was a slow and time-consuming process. Thus, the government could not provide appropriate instructions to our mission in New York in time, and the Sri Lankan delegation abstained on that sensitive UN vote.
Sri Lanka’s Absence from Section 301 Consultations
But then, how does one explain Sri Lanka’s absence from the crucial bilateral consultation held in Washington by the Office of the United States Trade Representative (USTR) during March-April on “Forced Labour” under the Section 301 of the US Trade Act of 1974? Didn’t our foreign and trade ministries send appropriate instructions to Washington in time? Even if the instructions from the foreign ministry were transmitted to our embassy in Washington by pigeon carriers, there was enough time for Sri Lanka to participate in those meetings.
In March, the USTR initiated these 301 investigations on 60 trading partners, and invited all of them for confidential consultations. Out of the 60, 46 participated in these consultations. Sri Lanka was not one of them. Other countries that didn’t participate in these consultations included China, Russia, and Venezuela! In addition to that, the Section 301 Committee conducted a public hearing with interested parties on April 28 and 29. Washington-based diplomats, representatives from few trade ministries as well as representatives from many foreign trade associations and chambers participated in these hearings. Sri Lanka was once again conspicuously absent.
As a result, when the USTR published the proposed forced labour tariffs on June 2nd, Sri Lanka ended up with a 12.5% duty. Pakistani and Indonesian diplomats participated in these consultations and took appropriate follow-up measures, and managed to enter the 10% duty category. As even a threat of a modest tariff hike could disrupt supply chains and reduce competitiveness, particularly in an industry such as garments, I discussed this issue on 15 June and underscored the importance of Sri Lanka’s participation at the next hearing, which was scheduled to be held from July 7th .
Awakening from Diplomatic Slumber and AKD’s Gazette
Fortunately, Sri Lanka finally awoke from weeks of diplomatic slumber, and Ambassador Mahinda Samarasinghe participated in the public hearing on 9 July, and promised, “…. · We have agreed to the text in our negotiations with the USTR on forced labour, …. The gazette as we speak is being printed and I’m getting the gazette tomorrow morning, and the gazette will be shared with USTR as I get it“.
As promised, President Anura Kumara Dissanayake issued a gazette on 10 July banning the imports of goods produced by forced labour. These new regulations are very similar to what Pakistan and Indonesia enacted in April, after their consultations with USTR in March. Why couldn’t we do it in April? Why did we wait till the very last minute?
Challenges ahead
“War is too important to be left to generals alone,” is a famous saying attributed to former French Premier Georges Clemenceau. Similarly, monitoring our main markets is too important to be left to diplomats alone. The United States is the largest single-country market for Sri Lanka. Therefore, Sri Lankan trade chambers and associations should become more proactive in these markets and participate in these events. For example, the chairman of the Pakistani apparel exporters association participated in the April hearings. Similarly, representatives from the Indian Agricultural and Processed Food Products Export Development Authority, the Federation of Indian Chambers of Commerce and Industry, the Confederation of Indian Industry, and Reliance Industries also participated in July hearings. At an event where each speaker is given only five minutes (strictly enforced), having a number of speakers from a country is an advantage. The presence of industry representatives in these kinds of events also help them understand the market dynamics and the future challenges. This is important, particularly because there will be many more challenges with Trump’s tariffs.
With the gazette issued on 10 July, Sri Lanka has imposed a prohibition on the importation of goods produced with forced labour. Now, the challenge will be to effectively enforce the prohibition. And what are the goods produced with forced labour? The USTR list only focuses on aluminum, cotton, electronics, lithium-ion batteries, rice, and tobacco. However, according to the U.S. Department of Labour, the list is much longer. Hence, this list may change continuously during the next two years and tariffs may fluctuate once again.
So, this is definitely not the time to slumber.
(The writer, a retired public servant, can be reached at senadhiragomi@gmail.com)
by Gomi Senadhira ✍️
Features
Tales of Mystery and Suspense 10 Casino for Sale
After the overwhelming grotesquerie of J K Rowling’s latest Cormoran Strike novel (written, I should have noted, as the others were, under the pseudonym Robert Galbraith), I thought I should return to the world of fun, and also a much shorter description since this thriller moves quickly without the layers of detail that Rowling engages in.
I then move to the second comic thriller by Caryl Brahms and S J Simon. This, their second story to feature Vladimir Stroganoff and Adam Quill, was Casino for Sale, as lunatic a romp as the first, though without the emphasis on the ballet that characterized A Bullet in the Ballet.
This one begins with the impresario Stroganoff buying a casino cheap from Baron Sam de Rabinovich, only to find that it was a rundown place, not the grand casino of La Bazouche, a resort on the Frenc+h Riviera, as he had initially thought. The grand one belonged to Lord Buttonhooke, and Stroganoff could not compete, until he thought of bringing the Ballet Stroganoff to the casino – which of course leads to Buttonhooke deciding to have ballet performances in his Casino too.
Stroganoff invites Quill to visit him, which Quill decides to do since he has left Scotland Yard, having come into a legacy. No one believes this, and he has to face questions as to what he did to have been sacked, with sympathy for having been found out.
The day he arrives in La Bazouche there is a murder, of a vitriolic critic called Citrolo, in Stroganoff’s office. He had been going to write a damning review of the opening night of the ballet and Stroganoff, when he realizes Citrolo cannot be swayed, drugs him and dictates the review himself to the papers. He leaves Citrolo sleeping and finds him shot the next morning, whereupon he decides to muddy the waters and leave a suicide note and lots of other murder weapons. So much overkill, as it were, of course ensures that he is arrested.
But the excitable French detective who makes the arrest follows up his suggestion that Buttonhooke was also involved, and so the two casino owners find themselves in cells next door to each other, with the detective Gustave quite happy to provide creature comforts for a fee.
Quill decides he must investigate, and finds Gustave most cooperative, since he has a laid back attitude to work. So it is Quill that finds a notebook which makes it clear Citrolo is an accomplished blackmailer, and that there are lots of possible murderers, including Stroganoff’s croupier, who was crooked, Rabinovich, who was now working for Buttonhooke, a confidence trickster called Kurt Kukumber, whose prospectus for a dud gold mine was found in the office and Prince Alexis Artishok who was engaged in a deal to buy diamonds from the ballerina Dyra Dyrakova.
Stroganoff had been trying to get Dyrakova to dance for him, but having done so previously she had refused. But then to Stroganoff’s chagrin she agreed to dance for Buttonhooke. The clearly crooked Artishok had told Buttonhooke’s mistress Sadie Souse, who was not very bright, that Dyrakova possessed diamonds she was willing to sell cheap, and Sadie was determined to have them.
Quill meanwhile finds out that there was a secret passage to Stroganoff’s office, the obvious solution to what had begun as a locked room mystery, and that this was known by almost everyone apart from Stroganoff himself. And then Rabinovich is murdered, just after Gustave had released his two original suspects, leading him to blame Quill for having insisted on that and thus allowing them to kill again.
Soon afterwards Dyrakova arrives, and the town is full of posters announcing that she will appear in the casinos, elaborate posters for either one, since Stroganoff is determined that she will dance for him, and if she does not come willingly, he has devised a scheme to make her do so unwillingly. So, though Buttonhooke has her taken off to his yacht immediately she arrives at the station, Quill along with Arenskaya gets her into a launch and to Stroganoff’s casino, where she performs to tumultuous applause, not knowing for whom she is dancing.
When Quill asked her about the diamonds, she said she had sold them long ago, and that gave Quill the solution to the mystery. Rabinovich had known about this, and Artishok had killed him to prevent Sadie learning it from him, he had killed Citrolo who had recognized him for an accomplished card sharper, not a Russian prince at all. But before he is arrested, he gets away in a boat, and the police launch that pursues him is on the point of catching him up when it runs out of petrol.
Again, lots of excitement, and entertaining references – Gustave grows marrows – and if not quite as brilliant as its predecessor, Casino was certainly a delightful read.
Features
The challenge of being positive about SAARC
It was a few years back that a former President of Sri Lanka took it on himself to pronounce SAARC ‘dead’. Since then there have been other sections of Sri Lankan opinion that have joined the critics of SAARC and taken the solemn stance that SAARC has indeed died what may be called a natural death.
Their fatalism is understandable. SAARC has failed to meet at heads of government or state level for the past several years to take the SAARC process notably forward. Regional cooperation has more or less been only an appealing idea. No substantive concrete projects have taken off to make the idea a hard reality. ‘Inner paralysis’ seems to be SAARC’s lot. Hence the fatalism in these circles.
However, being one of the worst cash-strapped regions of the world and a teemingly populated one with people virtually left to their devices, what choices do the ‘SAARC Eight’ have other than to try their best to band together and continue with their cooperation efforts, however small they may be?
There is no escaping the mounting debt trap for many of these countries and bankrupt Sri Lanka is a glaring example, but ‘throwing in the towel’ and abandoning themselves entirely to the diktats of the strongest economies and their agencies will prove a ‘living death’ for many countries in the SAARC fold.
The gains may be meagre but giving-up on SAARC cooperation in full would prove self-defeating for the organization and South Asia. Right now, the collective intention ought to be to salvage what the region could from the tenuous cooperative efforts. Moreover, such initiatives could go some distance to generate a degree of goodwill among the Eight and help in sustaining a dialogue process.
Given this backdrop it proved ‘a stich in time’ for the Regional Centre for Strategic Studies (RCSS), Colombo, to recently host the SAARC Secretary General Ambassador Md. Golam Sarwar to a round table discussion on the unifying potential of SAARC and its future possibilities, besides other related issue areas.
Held on June 24th and moderated by RCSS Executive Director and former ambassador Ravinatha Aryasinha, the forum brought together a vibrant, wide ranging audience comprising academicians, diplomats, senior public servants, civil society activists and many others. Following the presentation by Ambassador Golam Sarwar titled, ‘Reigniting SAARC: Achievements, Challenges and the Way Ahead’, a lively Q&A followed.
The above forum could be described as an act of lighting the proverbial ‘candle’ rather than ‘cursing the darkness.’ It surely is a ‘darkness’ that could be seen as daunting considering that the region’s pivotal powers, India and Pakistan, are failing to act in a spirit of accord but are engaged in bitter finger-pointing on a number of questions of vital importance to SAARC.
On the other hand, what is the rest of the region doing to bring the above sides together? It is disappointing that to date the rest of SAARC has failed to launch a major diplomatic drive to bring peace between the feuding regional heavyweights. It needs to act without delay and establish its earnestness and this effort would need to prove SAARC’s staying power in the unfolding months and even years.
In assessing SAARC’s seeming failure local opinion in particular has failed to factor in what could be described as weak leadership. Since Sheikh Mujibur Rahman of Bangladesh, the founding father of SAARC, the region has failed to produce a visionary leader who could advance the SAARC cause with charisma and drive.
Among other reasons, weak leadership accounts considerably for the faltering and stuttering status, as it were, of SAARC. Badly needed are leaders who could go the extra mile, think less of narrow national interests and work diligently towards the collective well being of the region but SAARC’s millions of ordinary people have been made to wait in vain for leaders of such stature. Instead, they have been burdened with politicians who seem to be relishing the apparently moribund state of SAARC.
Looking back, it could be said that it was the dynamic leadership factor that led to the launching of the Non-Aligned Movement and for its sustenance for a few decades. True, it could be seen in some quarters that NAM is no more, but as in the case of SAARC, the former too has been unfortunate to be burdened over the years with politicians who lack the vision and drive to unflaggingly advance the fortunes of the South. NAM and SAARC lack the dynamism and vision of leaders of the stature of Jawaharlal Nehru, for example, to give them the required guidance and intellectual depth.
The reasons are complex for there not being among us currently political leaders with the vision and the steadfast commitment to advance the legitimate interests of the South. However, it could be stated with conviction that the majority of Southern leaders have too easily caved in to the demands of the global North and its financial agencies.
These leaders have failed to see, for instance, that the largely market economy oriented Northern governments would not view with favour a centrist economic model that attaches priority to the interests of the dis-empowered publics of the South. This realization ought to have dawned on the current government in Sri Lanka, for instance, some while ago but it has no choice but to abide by IMF dictates since economic survival at present is unthinkable without the latter’s succour.
Accordingly for SAARC this should be the time for some soul-searching. Priority needs to be attached to ending the feuding between India and Pakistan since at present the material fortunes of the region hinge largely on these regional giants giving peaceful relations among them a try. This is no easy challenge to meet but some daring, visionary diplomacy needs to take hold among the rest of SAARC.
There is some sense in SAARC bringing the peoples of the region together through programs that address their best collective interests. A meeting of minds among SAARC nations could enable SAARC and its agencies to build a region-wide people’s movement for progressive political and economic change that could in turn lead to the region’s political leaders sensitizing themselves more to the neglected needs of their publics.
However, the time is ‘now’ for the initiation of these progressive changes and the voice of SAARC well wishers would need to drown out those of their critics.
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