Business
Sri Lanka’s economy walks a tightrope between growth and risk
In the latest economic indicators report, the Central Bank of Sri Lanka has painted a picture of an economy showing some encouraging signs while grappling with significant challenges.
The Island Financial Review asked an economic analyst to explain the latest indicators to help understand what they mean for everyday Sri Lankans. His analysis is as follows:
Positive Indicators
= Government Revenue:
For the first seven months of 2025, government revenue has increased significantly, reaching Rs. 2,734.9 billion compared to Rs. 2,161.8 billion in the same period last year. This suggests improved tax collection and economic activity.
=Credit to the Private Sector:
Outstanding credit to the private sector grew by 19.6% year-on-year, amounting to Rs. 201.5 billion in July 2025. This indicates that businesses are borrowing more, potentially leading to expansion and job creation.
=Monetary Conditions:
The Average Weighted Call Money Rate remained stable at 7.86%, suggesting a balanced liquidity situation in the banking sector.
=Foreign Currency Reserves:
Sri Lanka’s gross official reserves are estimated at USD 6,166 million, bolstered by arrangements such as the swap with the People’s Bank of China. This provides a cushion against external shocks.
Underlying Issues
= Investor Confidence:
Despite the positive indicators, there are growing concerns about investor confidence. The All Share Price Index (ASPI) fell by 0.03% during the week, reflecting hesitancy among investors. The S&P SL 20 Index also dropped by 1.19%, indicating uncertainty in the stock market. These indices show even more negative trends Month-to-Date and Year-to-Date.
=Government Debt:
The total outstanding central government debt has increased to Rs. 29,436.6 billion, raising concerns about sustainability. The reliance on debt to finance government operations could pose risks for future economic stability.
=Workers’ Remittances:
Workers’ remittances fell from USD 697.3 million in July to USD 680.8 million in August 2025. This decrease could impact household incomes and overall consumption in the economy.
=Local Currency:
The Sri Lankan rupee has depreciated by 3.2% against the US dollar Year-to-Date, which can lead to higher costs for imported goods and inflationary pressures.
When asked to sum up his take on the economic outlook, he stated, “According to the data points, the government’s reliance on domestic financing significantly has eased in the first seven months of 2025, with net borrowing falling by over 23% compared to the same period in 2024. This improvement in the fiscal position has been further underscored by a sharp reversal in foreign financing, which shifted from a net inflow of Rs. 83.4 bn to a net repayment of Rs. 45.6 bn, reflecting reduced external borrowing needs and a focus on debt consolidation.
Furthermore, the Central Bank’s net purchase of USD 142.5 million in August 2025 indicates a building of foreign exchange reserves, which is a positive signal for external sector stability and suggests a potential strengthening of the country’s balance of payments. However, as the Central Bank continues to highlight the favorable indicators, it is crucial for policymakers to address the underlying issues that threaten economic stability.
Although the improvement in key indicators demonstrates successful fiscal consolidation, the ultimate test lies in whether this can catalyse a rebound in foreign investor confidence and generate significant foreign inflows, which are critical for robust economic growth.”
By Sanath Nanayakkare ✍️
Business
SLT’s dollar reserves rise 30% in Q1, but exact figure kept confidential
Sri Lanka Telecom PLC said its dollar reserves rose by around 30 percent in the first quarter of 2026, strengthening the group’s foreign currency position at a time when many Sri Lankan companies remain cautious about external payment risks and exchange-rate volatility.
Chairman of the SLT Group, Dr. Mothilal de Silva disclosed the increase during a post-results media briefing on May 19, following the release of the group’s first-quarter financial results, but declined to reveal the exact value of the reserves, describing the information as commercially sensitive.
“We do not disclose the exact figure because it could affect our negotiations with international suppliers and contractors,” he said in response to a question raised by The Island.
The stronger dollar liquidity comes as a strategic advantage for SLT-MOBITEL, whose operations remain heavily dependent on imported telecom infrastructure, including fibre-optic equipment, transmission hardware, mobile network systems and digital technology platforms largely priced in US dollars.
The improved reserve position is likely to provide the telecom group with greater flexibility in funding future network expansion, servicing foreign currency obligations and managing exchange-rate exposure in a sector closely tied to global technology supply chains.
The remarks came as SLT Group reported its strongest-ever quarterly operating profit and net earnings for the first quarter of 2026, supported by rising broadband demand and improved operational performance.
Group revenue rose 10.6 percent year-on-year to Rs. 30.8 billion, while operating profit surged 39.1 percent to Rs. 5.1 billion. Profit after tax increased 53.3 percent to Rs. 3.1 billion.
The company also highlighted continued investment in broadband and next-generation infrastructure, including the wider rollout of 5G services, as Sri Lanka’s telecom sector positions itself for higher data consumption and enterprise digitalisation.
Unlike many earnings announcements that focus primarily on revenue growth and profitability, SLT’s comments on foreign currency reserves may carry broader significance for investors monitoring corporate resilience in Sri Lanka’s still-fragile post-crisis recovery environment.
When The Island asked whether the Group’s profitability was sustainable amid a slow revenue growth environment, the SLT Group said revenue expansion remained challenging, but added that it had a robust strategy in place to sustain growth.
By Sanath Nanayakkare
Business
Rupee pressure squeezes industries as import costs surge
…exporters gain little as deeper structural weaknesses persist
Sri Lanka’s weakening rupee is placing severe pressure on industries heavily dependent on imported raw materials, fuel, machinery, and spare parts, with small and medium enterprises (SMEs) facing the gravest threat to survival, according to Indhra Kaushal Rajapaksa.
Speaking to The Island Financial Review, Rajapaksa warned that while a depreciating currency may offer exporters temporary exchange gains, the broader economic impact is proving damaging across multiple sectors of the economy.
“Most businesses are struggling because Sri Lanka imports a significant portion of its industrial requirements. As the rupee weakens, costs rise sharply across the board,” he said.
Industries are responding through a combination of price increases, aggressive cost-cutting, delayed investments, and efforts to source cheaper alternatives. However, Rajapaksa stressed that many firms are operating under shrinking profit margins and mounting uncertainty.
“Companies are trying to survive by passing some costs to consumers, reducing operational expenses, and postponing expansion plans. But SMEs are under extreme pressure because they have limited reserves and weaker access to foreign currency,” he noted.
Rajapaksa observed that large corporates are better positioned to withstand currency shocks due to stronger balance sheets, export earnings, and greater financial flexibility. In contrast, smaller enterprises remain highly vulnerable to fluctuations in import costs and financing conditions.
He identified construction, vehicle imports, pharmaceuticals, electronics, logistics, and manufacturing industries reliant on imported inputs among the sectors worst affected by the rupee depreciation.
“These sectors depend heavily on foreign supplies. Every decline in the rupee immediately increases production and operating costs,” he said.
While export-oriented industries may appear to benefit from currency depreciation, Rajapaksa cautioned that the gains are often overstated.
“There is only a short-term conversion advantage when export earnings are brought back into rupees. But many exporters also depend on imported raw materials and machinery, so their own costs increase simultaneously,” he explained.
He added that the burden of currency depreciation ultimately falls on ordinary consumers through rising food prices, higher fuel and transport costs, more expensive imported goods, and accelerating inflationary pressures.
“Consumers are paying the price indirectly every day,” he said.
Rajapaksa acknowledged that some companies are attempting to localise supply chains and increase the use of domestic raw materials. However, he pointed out that Sri Lanka currently lacks the industrial scale and production capacity to fully replace imports competitively.
“There is growing interest in local sourcing, but Sri Lanka cannot produce everything locally at the required scale or cost efficiency,” he said.
The continued volatility of the currency is also affecting investor confidence, with businesses finding it increasingly difficult to plan ahead.
“Investors value stability. Frequent currency fluctuations create uncertainty and discourage both local and foreign investment,” Rajapaksa warned.
He called on the government to focus on stabilising the economy, strengthening foreign reserves, supporting SMEs and export industries, reducing unnecessary imports, encouraging local production, and ensuring consistent economic policies.
“Policy consistency is critical. Businesses need confidence to invest, expand, and create jobs,” he said.
Rajapaksa also cautioned that employment could suffer if economic pressures continue, particularly in import-dependent sectors and smaller businesses struggling to remain operational.
“Some export sectors may create opportunities, but it may not be enough to offset job losses elsewhere,” he observed.
Describing the current crisis as both cyclical and structural, Rajapaksa said Sri Lanka’s economic vulnerabilities extend beyond short-term currency movements.
“There are immediate pressures from both global and domestic financial conditions, but there are also deeper structural issues such as high import dependence, a narrow export base, and low productivity,” he said.
“Unless meaningful structural reforms are implemented, these problems will continue to recur.”
By Ifham Nizam
Business
SLIM ushers in new era of leadership at Annual General Meeting 2026
The Sri Lanka Institute of Marketing (SLIM), the country’s national body for marketing, successfully convened its Annual General Meeting (AGM) 2026 on 8th April 2026 at the iconic Galle Face Hotel.
The AGM marked a significant milestone in the Institute’s journey, as a new Council of Management and Executive Committee were formally appointed to steer SLIM into its next phase of growth. Building on the strong foundation laid during a transformative 2025, the AGM reflected both continuity and renewal, with an accomplished group of marketing professionals entrusted with leadership roles for the 2026/27 term. The event brought together SLIM members, industry leaders, and stakeholders, underscoring the Institute’s ongoing commitment to advancing the marketing profession in Sri Lanka.
At the helm of the newly appointed Council of Management is Enoch Perera, who assumes office as President. A seasoned marketing professional with extensive experience in international business, he currently serves as Assistant General Manager Marketing – International Business at PGP Glass Ceylon PLC. Joining him in key leadership roles are Manthika Ranasinghe as Vice President – Education and Research, and Rajiv David as Vice President – Events & Sustainability, both bringing with them strong industry expertise and strategic insight.
The Council is further strengthened by Asanka Perera and Nuwan Thilakawardhana as Joint Honorary Secretaries, Ms. Kaushala Amarasekara as Honorary Treasurer, and Dr. Rasanjalee Abeywickrama as Honorary Assistant Secretary. In addition, SLIM announced its Executive Committee for 2026/27, comprising a dynamic group of professionals representing diverse sectors of the marketing industry. The committee includes Channa Jayasinghe, Vijitha Govinna, Anuk De Silva, Sirimevan Senevirathne, Tharindu Karunarathne, Damith Jayawardana, Charitha Dias, Damith Pathiraja, Ms. Roshani Fernando, and Maduranga Weeratunga.
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