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Renewable energy share in power generation – President misled by advisers

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by Dr. Janaka Ratnasiri

A press release issued by the President’s Media Division on 14.09.2020 says that plans should be made to generate 70% of the country’s overall electricity requirements from renewable energy (RE) sources by 2030. This is a deviation from the target of 80% given for the same purpose in the President’s manifesto seeking peoples’ mandate for the Presidency. Obviously, the President has been misled by his advisers saying that the 80% target cannot be achieved.

PRESIDENT OFFICE PRESS RELEASE ON ELECTRICITY GENERATION

The press release gives a summary of decisions taken at a meeting held on 14.09.2020 where the future plans of the State Ministry of Solar Power, Wind and Hydro Power Generation (SW&H Power) were discussed by the President with the State Minister of SW&H Power, Minister of Power, Secretaries to the President and the Ministers, heads of stake holder organizations and representatives of the RE industry.

The President had said the countries world over are moving away from fossil fuels such as coal and petroleum oil towards renewable energy sources in order to arrest the anticipated climate change. He has pointed out that Sri Lanka should adopt renewable energy sources wherever possible enabling the future generations to enjoy the benefits of sustainable development. He has further said that the government has granted the highest priority for RE projects and directed the President’s Secretary to issue a circular to all institutes informing them of this decision and seeking their assistance.

Among the other matters discussed were installation of solar PV panels on roof-tops in government schools, factories and other government establishments, building wind energy projects at Mannar, Pooneryn and Siyambalanduwa and the need to remove barriers for the private sector to invest on RE projects.

 

PREVIOUS CABINET DECISIONS AND PLANS ON RE PROJECTS

 

The Government during 2016-18 has decided to install roof-top Solar Power plants with capacity up to 1000 MW by 2025 on a war footing (Soorya Bala Sangramaya) (Cabinet decision on 09.08.2017). The Cabinet on 02.05.2017 has approved the allocation of LKR 300 million to install roof-top solar panels in government establishments, which was followed up by another decision taken on 05.12.2017 in which approval was granted to award contracts for their establishment in 63 Government hospitals, 13 Government schools and 01 Divisional Secretariat Division.

Cabinet approvals were granted on 16.12.2016 for building a Solar Power Park of capacity 100 MW in Siyambalaanduwa, on 28.02.2017 for building a 100 MW capacity Floating Solar Power Energy Plant at Madura Oya Reservoir and on 23.05.2017 for building a 240 MW Wind Power and an 800 MW Solar Power Hybrid Energy Park at Pooneryn. Other than carrying out some preliminary investigations, nothing firm including sourcing investors or necessary approvals has been undertaken.

 

CURRENT SHARE OF RENEWABL ENERGY IN THE SYSTEM

 

The current power system in Sri Lanka comprises a mix of thermal power plants, both oil and coal fired, hydropower plants, both major plants and mini-hydro plants and several wind, solar and biomass systems. Their capacities and actual annual energy generated in 2018 are shown in Table 1, with data sourced from CEB’s 2018 Statistical Digest. The average plant factor for each type of power plant (PF) is also shown in the Table 1. (see table 1)

It is seen that the share of RE in the total power generation in 2018 was 45.4%, based on actual energy generated during the year. The average PF for solar panels has been 19.7% while that for wind power plants has been 29.3%. Hence, in estimating energy generation in future RE power plants, an average PF of 20% was assumed for solar panels and 30% for wind power plants. The challenge therefore is to raise the RE share of 45% to 80% within the next 12 years.

The Sustainable Energy Authority of Sri Lanka (SLSEA) which is mandated to promote and regulate the development of RE projects has given in its website a list of RE projects that have been connected to the grid as at 30.06.2020 and also a list of RE projects that have been granted permission. A summary is shown in Table 2 along with the estimated energy generation using plant factors given in Table 1. It is expected that the plants for which permission has been granted will be commissioned by 2030.(See table 2)

 

PLANS FOR FUTURE GENERATION EXPANSION

The CEB prepares once in two or three years a long-term generation expansion (LTGE) plan where the future demand for power during each year of the planning period is first estimated. As per Sri Lanka Electricity (Amendment) Act No. 31 of 2013, the LTGE Plan prepared by the CEB needs the approval of the Public Utilities Commission of Sri Lanka (PUCSL) before implementation. The latest approved plan is in respect of 2018-37. A later plan prepared for 2020-39 released in May 2019 is yet to be approved. The capacities of different plant types recommended in the 2020-39 LTGE Plan to be added annually during the period 2020 – 2030 are shown in Table 3. The Annex 8.4 of the Plan gives the estimated generation from each of the plant types and using these, the total generation from RE sources and the total from all sources estimated are also shown in Table 3.(see table 3)

It is seen that the total RE contribution in 2030 will be 11,102 GWh, while the total generation will be 31,738 GWh. This gives the RE share in the total generation as 35.0%. This is a reduction from the 2018 actual value of 45.4 %. This shows that CEB’s planning process has ignored the President’s policy as outlined in his manifesto where he has announced that he wished to have RE sources contributing at least 80% of the total electricity generation by 2030. Instead of showing an increasing trend, the Plan shows a decreasing trend for the RE contribution.

Taking into consideration the contents in the press release issued on 14.09.2020 after having discussions with the State Minister of SW&H Power and officials of stakeholder institutes as given in the introductory paragraph, the writer proposes the following adjustments be made to the energy mix for electricity generation, in order to reverse this trend.

Consider adding 520 GWh for hydropower by building a reservoir below St. Clair’s Falls to utilize water spilling over the Upper Kotmale plant during the daytime and linking it with the existing shaft of the Upper Kotmale power plant, details of which were given in writer’s previous articles.

Retire all diesel operated thermal power plants including the two combined cycle gas turbine (CCGT) plants at Kelanitissa which are running at low efficiency and served their useful life by 2030.

Retire the existing coal power plant at Puttalam as it will be 20 years old by 2030.

Drop the plans for building new coal power plants including the proposed extension to the existing coal plant at Puttalam.

Table 4 gives the generation from each type of plants in 2030 as given in the CEB Plan as well as under the adjusted scenario. The latter shows the total thermal energy generated will be only 6,385 GWh including 489 GWh from CCGT at Kerawalapitiya and 113 GWh from the gas turbines which are retained for peaking purposes. The base load will be met by the five natural gas operated CCGT power plants each with capacity 300 MW having an efficiency over 55%. In order to meet the total demand of 31,800 GWh by 2030 and achieve the target of 80% of RE share, it will be necessary to have at least 20,600 GWh generated from RE sources, that is a 3-fold increase from CEB’s estimate. The question is whether it is technically and financially feasible to achieve this target in 10 years’ time.



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Port City Bill Requires Referendum

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by Dr Jayampathy Wickramaratne,PC

The Colombo Port Economic Commission Bill was presented in Parliament on 08 April 2021, while the country was getting ready to celebrate the traditional New Year. With the intervening weekend and public holidays, citizens had just two working days to retain lawyers, many of whom were on vacation, and file applications challenging the constitutionality of the Bill in the Supreme Court within the one-week period stipulated in the Constitution. One wonders whether the timing was deliberate.

Special economic zones are common. They are created mainly to attract foreign investments. In return, investors are offered various concessions so that their products are competitive in the global market. Several negative effects of such zones have also been highlighted. The sole purpose of this article, however, is a discussion on the constitutionality of the Bill.

The Bill seeks to establish a high-powered Commission entrusted with the administration, regulation and control of all matters connected with businesses and other operations in and from the Colombo Port City. It may lease land situated in the Colombo Port City area and even transfer freehold ownership of condominium parcels. It operates as a Single Window Investment Facilitator for proposed investments into the Port City. It would exercise the powers and functions of any applicable regulatory authority under any written law and obtain the concurrence of the relevant regulatory authority, which shall, as a matter of priority, provide such concurrence to the Commission. The discretion and powers of such other authorities under the various laws shall thus stand removed.

The Commission consists of five members who need not be Sri Lankan citizens, quite unlike the Urban Development Authority, the Board of Management of which must comprise Sri Lankan citizens only. One issue that arises is that the vesting of such powers upon persons with loyalties to other countries, especially superpowers, would undermine the free, sovereign, and independent status of Sri Lanka guaranteed by Article 1 of our Constitution. It would also impinge on the sovereignty of the People of Sri Lanka guaranteed by Article 3 read with Article 4.

The removal of the discretionary powers of the various regulatory authorities is arbitrary and violative of the right to equal protection of the law guaranteed by Article 12 (1).

Under Clause 25, only persons authorized by the Commission can engage in business in the Port City. Clause 27 requires that all investments be in foreign currency only. What is worse is that even foreign currency deposited in an account in a Sri Lankan bank cannot be used for investment. Thus, Sri Lankans cannot invest in the Port City using Sri Lankan rupees; neither can they use foreign currency that they legally have in Sri Lanka. The above provisions are clearly arbitrary and discriminatory of Sri Lankans and violate equality and non-discrimination guaranteed by Article 12. They also violate the fundamental right to engage in business guaranteed by Article 14 (1) (g).

Under clause 35, any person, whether a resident or a non-resident, may be employed within the Port City and such employee shall be remunerated in a designated foreign currency, other than in Sri Lanka rupees. Such employment income shall be exempt from income tax. Clause 36 provides that Sri Lankan rupees accepted within the Port City can be converted to foreign currency. Under clause 40, Sri Lankans may pay for goods, services, and facilities in Sri Lankan rupees but would be required to pay a levy for goods taken out of the Port City, as if s/he were returning from another country! The mere repetition of phrases such as ‘in the interests of the national economy’ throughout the Bill like a ‘mantra’ does not bring such restrictions within permissible restrictions set out in Article 15.

Clause 62 requires that all disputes involving the Commission be resolved through arbitration. The jurisdiction of Sri Lankan courts is thus ousted.

In any legal proceedings instituted on civil and commercial matters, where the cause of action has arisen within the Port City or in relation to any business carried on in or from the Port City, Clause 63 requires Sri Lankan courts to give such cases priority and hear them speedily on a day-to-day basis to ensure their expeditious disposal.

The inability of an Attorney-at-Law to appear before the court even for personal reasons, such as sickness, shall not be a ground for postponement. These provisions are arbitrary and violate Article 12.

Clause 73 provides that several Sri Lankan laws listed in Schedule III would have no application within the Port City. Such laws include the Urban Development Authority Act, Municipal Councils Ordinance, and the Town and Country Planning Ordinance. Under Clauses 52 and 53, exemptions may be granted by the Commission from several laws of Sri Lanka, including the Inland Revenue Act, Betting and Gaming Levy Act, Foreign Exchange Act, and the Customs Ordinance.

The Commission being empowered to grant exemptions from Sri Lankan laws undermines the legislative power of the People and of Parliament and violates Articles 3 and Article 4 (c) of the Constitution.

Several matters dealt with by the Bill come under the Provincial Councils List. They include local government, physical planning, and betting and gaming. Article 154G (3) requires that such a Bill be referred to Provincial Councils for their views. As Provincial Councils are not currently constituted, passage by a two-thirds majority will be necessary in the absence of the consent of the Provincial Councils.

The exclusion of the Municipal Councils Ordinance from the Port City area is not possible under the Constitution. When the Greater Colombo Economic Commission was sought to be established in 1978 under the 1972 Constitution, a similar exclusion was held by the Constitutional Court not to be arbitrary. Since then, under the Thirteenth Amendment under the 1978 Constitution, local government has been given constitutional recognition and included under the Provincial Council List. Under the present constitutional provisions, therefore, the Port City cannot be excluded from laws on local government.

The writer submits that in the above circumstances, the Colombo Port Economic Commission Bill requires to be passed by a two-thirds majority in Parliament and approved by the People at a Referendum. Quite apart from the constitutional issues that arise, such an important piece of proposed legislation needs to be widely discussed. It is best that the Bill is referred to a Parliamentary Committee before which the public, as well as citizens’ organizations and experts in the related fields, could make their submissions.

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Investigative Journalism?

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I usually end up totally exhausted when I finish reading the local newspapers from the Pearl. There are so many burning questions and so much is written about them but there are no conclusions and definitely no answers. For example, we seem to have three burning issues right now and this is not in order of importance.

We have a lengthy report that has been published on the Easter Sunday carnage. Everybody knows what I am talking about. However, no one, be it an editor, a paid journalist or a single one of the many amateurs who write to the papers, has reached a conclusion or even expressed an opinion as to who was responsible. At least not a believable one! Surely there are energetic and committed young people in the field of journalism today who, if asked, or directed properly will go out and find a source that would give them at least a credible hypothesis? Or do conclusions exist and has no one the courage to publish them?

At least interview the authors or should I use the word perpetrators of that report. If they refuse to be interviewed ask them why and publish an item every day asking them why! Once you get a hold of them, cross-examine them, trap them into admissions and have no mercy. It is usually geriatrics who write these reports in the Pearl and surely a bright young journalist can catch them out with a smart question or two, or at least show us that they tried? The future of the country depends on it!

We have allegations of contaminated coconut oil been imported. These are very serious allegations and could lead to much harm to the general populace. Do you really believe that no one can find out who the importers are and what brands they sell their products under? In this the Pearl, where everyone has a price, you mean to say that if a keen young journalist was given the correct ammunition (and I don’t mean 45 calibres) and sent out on a specific message, he or she couldn’t get the information required?

We are told that a massive amount of money has been printed over the last few months. There is only speculation as to the sums involved and even more speculation as to what this means to the people of the Pearl. Surely, there are records, probably guarded by extremely lowly paid government servants. I am not condoning bribery but there is nothing left to condone, is there? There are peons in government ministries who will gladly slip you the details if you are committed enough and if you are sent there to get it by a boss who will stand by you and refuse to disclose his sources.

I put it to you, dear readers, that we do not have enough professional, committed and adequately funded news organisations in the country. We can straightaway discount the government-owned joints. We can also largely discount those being run by magnates for personal gain and on personal agendas. As far as the Internet goes, we can forget about those that specialise in speculative and sensationalist untruths, what are we left with O denizens of the Pearl? Are there enough sources of news that you would consider willing to investigate a matter and risk of life and limb and expose the culprits for the greater good of society? Can they be counted even on the fingers of one hand?

In this era when we have useless political leaders, when law and order are non-existent when the police force is a joke, it is time the fourth estate stepped up to the mark! I am sure we have the personnel; it is the commitment from the top and by this, I mean funding and the willingness to risk life and limb, that we lack. Governments over the last few decades have done their best to intimidate the press and systematically destroy any news outlet that tried to buck the usual sycophantic behaviour that is expected from them by those holding absolute power.

Do you think Richard Nixon would ever have been impeached if not for the Watergate reporting? Donald Trump partially owes his defeat to the unrelenting campaign carried out against him by the “fake news” outlets that he tried to denigrate. Trump took on too much. The fourth estate of America is too strong and too powerful to destroy in a head-to-head battle and even the most powerful man in the world, lost. Let’s not go into the merits and demerits of the victor as this is open to debate.

Now, do we have anything like that in the Pearl? Surely, with 20 million-plus “literate” people, we should? We should have over 70 years of independence built up the Fourth Estate to be proud of. One that would, if it stood strong and didn’t waver and collapse under pressure from the rulers, have ensured a better situation for our land. Here is Aotearoa with just five million people, we have journalists who keep holding the government to account. They are well-funded by newspapers and TV networks with audiences that are only a fraction of what is available in the Pearl. Some of the matters they highlight often bring a smirk of derision to my face for such matters wouldn’t even warrant one single line of newsprint, should they happen in the Pearl.

Talking of intimidation from the rulers, most of us are familiar with the nationalisation of the press, the murder and torture of journalists, the burning of presses to insidious laws been passed to curtail the activities of Journalism. These things have happened in other countries, too, but the people and press have been stronger, and they have prevailed. We are at a watershed, an absolutely crucial time. It is now that our last few credible news sources should lift their game. Give us carefully researched and accurate reports with specific conclusions, not generalisations. Refuse to disclose your sources as is your right, especially now that the myopic eye of the UNHCR is turned in our direction.

All other ways and means of saving our beloved motherland, be it government, religion, sources of law and order and even civil society leadership seems to have lapsed into the realm of theory and rhetoric. Our last chance lies with the Fourth Esate and all it stands for. I call for, nay BEG for, a favourable reaction from those decision-makers in that field, who have enough credibility left in society, DON’T LET US DOWN NOW!

 

 

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The world sees ugly side of our beauty pageants

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Yes, it’s still the talk-of-the-town…not only here, but the world over – the fracas that took place at a recently held beauty pageant, in Colombo.

It’s not surprising that the local beauty scene has hit a new low because, in the past, there have been many unpleasant happenings taking place at these so-called beauty pageants.

On several occasions I have, in my articles, mentioned that the state, or some responsible authority, should step in and monitor these events – lay down rules and guidelines, and make sure that everything is above board.

My suggestions, obviously, have fallen on deaf ears, and this is the end result – our beauty pageants have become the laughing stock the world over; talk show hosts are creating scenes, connected with the recent incidents, to amuse their audience.

Australians had the opportunity of enjoying this scenario, so did folks in Canada – via talk show hosts, discussing our issue, and bringing a lot of fun, and laughter, into their discussions!

Many believe that some of these pageants are put together, by individuals…solely to project their image, or to make money, or to have fun with the participants.

And, there are also pageants, I’m told, where the winner is picked in advance…for various reasons, and the finals are just a camouflage. Yes, and rigging, too, takes place.

I was witnessed to one such incident where I was invited to be a judge for the Talent section of a beauty contest.

There were three judges, including me, and while we were engrossed in what we were assigned to do, I suddenly realised that one of the contestants was known to me…as a good dancer.

But, here’s the catch! Her number didn’t tally with the name on the scoresheet, given to the judges.

When I brought this to the notice of the organiser, her sheepish reply was that these contestants would have switched numbers in the dressing room.

Come on, they are no babes!

On another occasion, an organiser collected money from the mother of a contestant, promising to send her daughter for the finals, in the Philippines.

It never happened and she had lots of excuses not to return the money, until a police entry was made.

Still another episode occurred, at one of these so-called pageants, where the organiser promised to make a certain contestant the winner…for obvious reasons.

The judges smelt something fishy and made certain that their scoresheets were not tampered with, and their choice was crowned the winner.

The contestant, who was promised the crown, went onto a frenzy, with the organiser being manhandled.

I’m also told there are organisers who promise contestants the crown if they could part with a very high fee (Rs.500,000 and above!), and also pay for their air ticket.

Some even ask would-be contestants to check out sponsors, on behalf of the organisers. One wonders what that would entail!

Right now, in spite of the pandemic, that is crippling the whole world, we are going ahead with beauty pageants…for whose benefit!

Are the organisers adhering to the Covid-19 health guidelines? No way. Every rule is disregarded.

The recently-held contest saw the contestants, on the move, for workshops, etc., with no face masks, and no social distancing.

They were even seen in an open double-decker bus, checking out the city of Colombo…with NO FACE MASKS.

Perhaps, the instructions given by Police Spokesman DIG Ajith Rohana, and Army Commander, General Shavendra Silva, mean nothing to the organisers of these beauty pageants…in this pandemic setting.

My sincere advice to those who are keen to participate in such events is to check, and double check. Or else, you will end up being deceived…wasting your money, time, and energy.

For the record, when it comes to international beauty pageants for women, Miss World, Miss Universe, Miss Earth and Miss International are the four titles which reign supreme.

In pageantry, these competitions are referred to as the ‘Big Four.’

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