Business
Oil tops $116 a barrel as Iran accuses US of preparing invasion
Oil prices have surged to their highest level in nearly two weeks amid escalation on multiple fronts of the US-Israel war on Iran.
Brent crude, the global benchmark, rose more than 3 percent on Monday morning to top $116 a barrel.
The latest climb took the global benchmark to its highest point since March 19, when it briefly touched $119 a barrel.
The surge came after Iran said it was prepared for a US ground invasion, with the speaker of the country’s parliament warning that Tehran was waiting for the arrival of US troops to “set them on fire” and “punish” their regional allies.
Tehran’s warning came as the conflict deepened over the weekend, with the Iranian-backed Houthis launching missiles at Israel for the first time in the war, and Israel expanding its invasion of southern Lebanon.
Asia’s main stock indexes fell sharply in morning trading, with Japan’s Nikkei 225 and South Korea’s KOSPI both down more than 4 percent as of 1:30 GMT.
Iran’s effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz in retaliation for the US-Israel war has disrupted about one-fifth of global oil and liquified natural gas (LNG) supplies, plunging the world into its biggest energy crisis in decades.
Oil prices have risen nearly 60 percent since the start of the war, driving up fuel prices worldwide and forcing numerous countries to adopt emergency measures to conserve energy.
Analysts have warned that oil prices are likely to keep rising unless maritime traffic returns to normal levels in the strait.
US President Donald Trump has threatened to “obliterate” Iran’s energy infrastructure if Tehran does not relinquish its stranglehold on the waterway by a deadline of April 6.
Trump, who on Thursday extended his deadline by 10 days, has proposed a 15-point plan for ending the war with Iran and insisted that the two sides are making progress towards a deal in indirect talks being mediated by Pakistan.
Tehran has flatly rejected Trump’s plan and proposed its own terms for a ceasefire, including war reparations and recognition of Iran’s right to control the strait.
Greg Newman, CEO of Onyx Capital Group, which began as an oil derivatives trading house, said energy consumers were only beginning to feel the true fallout of the turmoil.
“Physical oil moves around the world in loading cycles, and Europe has taken around three weeks to really start feeling the effects of the oil shortage,” Newman told Al Jazeera.
“Brent is starting to reflect the reality, and we think it’s a steady rise from here towards $120 and beyond.”
Newman said the scale of the disruption had yet to be fully appreciated.
“No one in the market has ever seen the outages we are now suffering from – physical premiums are the highest ever. There is still a sense that the macro world is not taking this seriously enough, but it is worse than anything that has come before it,” he said.
“The reality will come out in the economic numbers over the coming months.”
While Iran has been allowing a growing number of transits by ships that are not aligned with the US or Israel, traffic remains a fraction of pre-war levels.
On Saturday, Pakistani Minister of Foreign Affairs Ishaq Dar announced that Tehran had agreed to allow 20 Pakistani-flagged vessels to pass the strait in what he described as a “meaningful step toward peace”.
Malaysian Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim said last week that Iran had granted an unspecified number of Malaysian vessels permission to clear the strait.
Seven non-Iranian vessels passed the strait on Thursday, up from five on Wednesday and four on Tuesday, according to maritime intelligence firm Windward.
Before the start of the war on February 28, the strait saw an average of 120 daily transits, according to Windward.
[Aljazeera]
Business
Earth Day warning: Environmental neglect risks undermining Sri Lanka’s economic stability — CEJ
By Ifham Nizam
Today, April 22, as the world marks Earth Day, the Centre for Environmental Justice (CEJ) warned that Sri Lanka’s fragile economic recovery could face serious setbacks if environmental degradation and climate vulnerabilities are not urgently addressed—framing sustainability as a core economic priority rather than a peripheral concern.
CEJ stressed that the country’s exposure to climate shocks—ranging from floods and droughts to coastal erosion—poses direct and escalating risks to key economic sectors including agriculture, water resources, fisheries, and infrastructure.
CEJ chairperson Hemantha Withanage stressed that Sri Lanka’s development trajectory remains dangerously disconnected from environmental realities.
He told The Island Financial Review:”Sri Lanka is highly vulnerable to climate change. Increasingly erratic weather patterns are already disrupting livelihoods, damaging crops, and straining water systems. If these risks are not integrated into economic planning, the cost to the national economy will be severe.”
The warning comes at a time when Sri Lanka is attempting to rebuild fiscal stability, attract investment, and strengthen export sectors. However, CEJ argues that environmental mismanagement—from unchecked pollution to poor land-use planning—continues to erode long-term economic resilience.
The organisation pointed out that climate-induced disasters not only incur immediate financial losses but also create cascading impacts across industries. Agricultural output declines, supply chains are disrupted, and public expenditure rises due to disaster response and infrastructure repairs—placing further pressure on an already constrained national budget.
CEJ also highlighted that unsustainable practices, including excessive plastic use and chemical pollution, carry hidden economic costs—ranging from healthcare burdens to ecosystem damage and loss of tourism appeal.
However, the group noted that policy interventions can yield measurable gains. It cited the government’s move to ban the distribution of polythene bags in supermarkets from November 2025, following a court ruling, as a step that has already contributed to a significant reduction in plastic usage.
“Policy consistency and enforcement are key. When strong environmental regulations are implemented, the benefits are not only ecological but also economic,” Withanage said.
Framing this year’s Earth Day theme, “Our Power, Our Planet,” CEJ called for a shift towards sustainable consumption patterns, green investment, and climate-resilient infrastructure.
“Environmental protection is no longer optional—it is central to economic survival and growth,” CEJ emphasised.
Business
Sampath Bank positioned for steady growth
Sampath Bank PLC reported a solid financial performance for 2025, with earnings surpassing market expectations and reinforcing investor confidence in its medium-term growth trajectory, according to a recent equity research update by First Capital Holdings PLC.
The bank recorded a net profit of LKR 32.6 billion for the full year 2025, marking a 13.5% year-on-year increase. Fourth-quarter profit came in at LKR 9.4 billion, marginally down 2% from a year earlier, largely due to base effects stemming from a one-off impairment reversal in the corresponding period of 2024.
Core banking operations remained robust. Net interest income rose 8.1% year-on-year in the final quarter, supported by strong credit expansion, while fee and commission income grew 23.2%. Total other income surged 130%, aided by improved treasury performance, including a turnaround to a trading gain compared to a loss a year earlier.
A key highlight for investors was the sharp expansion in the loan book, which grew 32.6% year-on-year to reach LKR 1.2 trillion by end-2025. Growth was driven by import financing, leasing, and long-term lending. Deposit growth, while more moderate at 11.8%, was led by gains in savings accounts.
Asset quality also improved during the year, with the Stage 3 loan ratio declining to 3.31% from 4.69% a year earlier, reflecting stronger recoveries and improved repayment capacity among borrowers. The reinstatement of parate execution laws further supported recoveries.
Capital and liquidity positions remained well above regulatory thresholds, with total capital adequacy at 17.65% and liquidity coverage at nearly 240%, providing ample buffers to sustain lending growth.
Looking ahead, First Capital forecasts earnings to grow at a more moderate pace, projecting net profits of LKR 34.7 billion in 2026 and LKR 39.9 billion in 2027, as macroeconomic momentum is expected to ease.
Reflecting broader market re-rating trends, the bank’s estimated fair value for 2026 has been revised down to LKR 165 per share, though the stock still offers an expected total return of around 18%. A 2027 fair value of LKR 180 implies a potential return of 30%.
Despite near-term headwinds, the First Capital report maintains a “buy” recommendation on Sampath Bank, citing strong fundamentals, improving asset quality, and sustained credit growth as key drivers of long-term value.
By Sanath Nanayakkare
Business
Dialog Axiata appoints Arjuna Herath as Independent Non-Executive Director
Dialog Axiata PLC, Sri Lanka’s #1 connectivity provider, announced the appointment of Mr. Arjuna Herath as an Independent Non-Executive Director, effective 1 May 2026. Herath brings extensive experience across consulting, corporate finance, investments, and regulatory governance.
“Arjuna brings a unique blend of private sector experience and public sector leadership, with deep exposure to regulatory and institutional environments. His insights will add meaningful value to the Board as we continue to strengthen governance and navigate an increasingly dynamic digital landscape,” said David Lau, Chairman of Dialog Axiata PLC.
Herath most recently served as Chairman of the Board of Investment of Sri Lanka, contributing to national investment promotion strategy. He was also the inaugural Chair of the Sri Lanka Data Protection Authority, where he led early regulatory efforts in digital privacy. Earlier, he served as Senior Partner and Head of Consulting at Ernst & Young (EY) Sri Lanka and Maldives, and held roles in corporate development at Ceylon Tobacco Company and Merchant Bank of Sri Lanka.
He has held several key regulatory roles, including as Commissioner of the Securities and Exchange Commission of Sri Lanka, Board Member of the Sri Lanka Accounting and Auditing Standards Monitoring Board, and Member of the Company Law Advisory Commission. He currently serves as a Director of the Colombo Stock Exchange.
Herath is a Fellow Member and a Past President of The Institute of Chartered Accountants of Sri Lanka and has contributed extensively to the global accountancy profession. He is the first Sri Lankan to chair a committee of the International Federation of Accountants (IFAC), where he led the Professional Accountancy Organisation Development Committee.
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