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Monetary Board increases interest rates drastically to tackle runaway inflation; highest levels in 21 years

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The Monetary Board on Wednesday (06) increased the Standing Deposit Facility Rate (SDFR) and the Standing Lending Facility Rate (SLFR) of the Central Bank by 100 basis points to 14.50 per cent and 15.50 per cent, respectively.That had been done to tackle rising domestic inflation, the Central Bank of Sri Lanka (CBSL) said, explaining the reasons for the Monetary Board decision, adding that these rates are at the highest in 21 years.

he Bank said it had noted a higher-than-expected increase of headline inflation recently.The high inflation is expected to remain in the period ahead, thus the Monetary Board was of the view that a further monetary policy tightening would be necessary to contain any build-up of adverse inflation expectations.The CBSL said that the policy adjustments would help Sri Lanka stabilise its inflation to between 4 and 6 percent in the medium term.

The Bank said that they considered the impact of tighter monetary conditions on overall economic activity, including the micro, small, and medium scale businesses, and the financial sector performance, among others, against far reaching adverse consequences of any escalation of price pressures across all sectors of the economy in the near term.

The Bank raised rates by 700 basis points in April but made no further moves at its previous policy meeting in May.

Excerpts of the CBSL statement: “Central banks have become increasingly hawkish across the globe Central banks from around the world continue to tighten their monetary policies to counter sustained inflationary pressures, exacerbated by high petroleum and food prices arising from geopolitical tensions, and destabilising inflation expectations.

“Nevertheless, the outlook for the global economy has deteriorated recently amidst the global spread of inflation, substantial interest rate hikes, and escalation of geopolitical tensions. The unfolding of these events could have large negative spillover effects on emerging markets and developing economies in the period ahead.

“Domestic economic activity is expected to record a notable downturn in the near term As per the GDP estimates published by the Department of Census and Statistics (DCS), the Sri Lankan economy is estimated to have recorded a contraction of 1.6 per cent, year-on-year, in the first quarter of 2022. Domestic economic activity during the second quarter of 2022 is expected to have been severely affected by the continued supply side disruptions, primarily due to the shortages of power and energy.

“Amidst adverse developments on the domestic front, geopolitical tensions in Eastern Europe that have affected global commodity markets and supply chains could pose further risks to domestic economic growth in the near term.

“The trade deficit narrowed significantly in May 2022 over the corresponding period of last year, largely supported by the policy measures that were aimed at discouraging non urgent imports, alongside the constrained foreign exchange liquidity in the domestic foreign exchange market.

“Foreign exchange inflows in the form of workers’ remittances and tourism earnings remain lower than expected, impacted by unfavourable conditions both domestically and globally. The exchange rate, which underwent a severe bout of depreciation in March 2022, remains broadly stable with the introduction of market guidance from mid-May 2022.

“Gross official reserves, as at end June 2022, are estimated at US dollars 1.9 billion, including the swap facility from the People’s Bank of China equivalent to around US dollars 1.5 billion, which is subject to conditionalities on usability. Significant progress has been made with respect to negotiations with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) towards reaching a staff-level agreement on the Extended Fund Facility (EFF) arrangement in the near term, while negotiations with several bilateral and multilateral partners are ongoing to secure bridging financing. Moreover, expeditious arrangements are being made with regard to the external debt restructuring process.

“Ensuring external sector stability and overall macroeconomic stability requires commitment from all stakeholders of the economy, given the unprecedented balance of payments pressures and severe stresses experienced at present across all sectors of the economy.

The measures introduced by the Central Bank to ensure domestic monetary stability and external stability of the Sri Lanka rupee, need to be supported by coherent and consistent actions on the part of the Government, state-owned enterprises, private sector corporates, and banking and non-banking financial institutions, among others. Such co-ordinated response to crisis management would ensure public support and eventually help bring about normalcy to economic activity in the period ahead.”



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No PC polls this year, says Tilvin

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Tilvin

The much-delayed Provincial Council (PC) elections cannot be held this year due to financial and legal constraints, JVP General Secretary Tilvin Silva has said in Jaffna.Silva said so, fielding questions from journalists after the opening of the NPP coordination office in the Jaffna District on Saturday.

When asked whether the government was under Indian pressure to conduct the Provincial Council elections soon, Silva answered in the negative, claiming that Sri Lankan and Indian governments maintained close and friendly relations with a strong level of understanding.

He said budgetary allocations had been made for the PC elections, but the government had been compelled to divert resources for disaster relief following the impact of Cyclone Ditwah. According to Silva, nearly Rs. 500 billion had to be allocated for relief measures, making it difficult to hold the elections this year. He further said legal complications in the electoral reform process had also contributed to the delay in holding the PC elections, noting that a parliamentary committee had been appointed to determine the electoral systems under which the PC polls should be conducted. Once the committee submitted its report and if no further issues arose, the elections could possibly be held next year, he said.

Silva also said the government had taken measures to strengthen reconciliation and development in the North by releasing lands previously occupied by military camps and improving road infrastructure.He added that empowerment initiatives were being implemented under the Praja Shakthi programme and that both Sri Lanka and India were continuing to work in close cooperation.

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Weather conditions worsen, displacing 31,000 people

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More than 31,000 people across Sri Lanka have been affected by worsening weather conditions, as the southwest monsoon intensifies ahead of its full establishment, raising fears of renewed flooding in vulnerable low-lying areas, the Disaster Management Centre (DMC) has warned.

The DMC has said 31,072 individuals from 7,983 families have already been impacted by persistent rain, strong winds and rising water levels across multiple districts, with the situation most severe in the Gampaha District where 15,313 people from 3,950 families have been affected and one death reported.

Officials have cautioned that the scale of disruption could worsen as the southwest monsoon is expected to fully establish over the island around May 26–27, bringing heavier and more sustained rainfall to the southwestern region.

At present, 18 safety centres are in operation, sheltering 1,724 displaced persons from 446 families. One person has been injured and 859 houses have been partially damaged. Two houses have been destroyed.

The Department of Meteorology has forecast increased rainfall over the coming days, warning that conditions are likely to deteriorate further as monsoon activity strengthens.

Flood-hit areas remain widespread, with river systems still under pressure despite a brief easing in rainfall on Saturday. The Kelani River has returned to normal levels, but minor flooding persists along the Kalu River basin, particularly in the Millakanda area, where tributary water levels remain elevated.

Low-lying areas in Bellapitiya, Horana, continue to be inundated, while traffic on the Bulathsinhala–Kalutara road remains disrupted due to flooding in Diyakaduwa. Authorities have also flagged continued risk in Putupawula and Ellagawa along the Kalu River.

The Attanagalu Oya basin is also slowly receding, though residents in Dunamale have been urged to remain on alert. Several homes in Ja-Ela remain underwater, with residents alleging that delayed repairs to a damaged canal embankment worsened the flooding.

In a fresh blow to infrastructure, the Swarna Hansa Podi Ela bridge in Ja-Ela collapsed on Saturday evening, further disrupting local transport links, while the main Ja-Ela–Gampaha bus route remains submerged in parts of Yakkaduwa.

Meteorologists have warned that rainfall is expected to intensify again from May 26 to 28, when the southwest monsoon is likely to be formally declared over Sri Lanka, raising the risk of further flooding and landslides in already saturated areas.

by Norman Palihawadane and Chaminda Silva

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Dickoya double murder suspect arrested

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Police said a suspect wanted in connection with the murder of an elderly couple inside a shop in Dickoya town, Hatton, had been arrested on Saturday evening (23).

The arrest was made in the Bogawantalawa police area. Acting on a tip-off, the police arrested him while he was hiding in a house on a tea estate.

Police said stolen gold jewellery had been recovered.

Preliminary investigations revealed that the suspect, originally from Badulla, had been residing in Dickoya after his marriage.

Earlier on Saturday, Hatton Police released CCTV footage of the suspect and sought public assistance to trace and arrest him.

According to police, the suspect allegedly slit the throat of the elderly woman and killed her husband using a sharp weapon on Thursday (21) before fleeing with gold jewellery valued at around 18 sovereigns, including a necklace and earrings.

Investigations further revealed that the suspect had arrived in Dickoya town on the morning of May 21 and visited several jewellery shops claiming he intended to purchase a gold necklace, while loitering in the area.

Police said that around 1.15 pm, he entered the couple’s shop and remained concealed inside the premises before allegedly carrying out the attack.

Hatton Police added that the suspect is believed to have committed the murders and left the shop around 5.30 pm the same day before going into hiding.

by Norman Palihawadane

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