Features
Economic Reforms Sri Lanka needs now
A view from independent economic development consultant
By Asita De Silva
The task ahead for Sri Lanka is to transform its economy from an inward-looking, public sector driven, debt dependent one into an export-driven, private sector-led economy that a broad share of the population can participate in and benefit from. A set of “structural” reforms based on global best practice can be undertaken unilaterally by Sri Lanka to begin to set its economy on this path without waiting for externally imposed “conditions”. Proactive steps in this direction can send strong positive signals to international creditors and development partners that Sri Lanka has a path to recovery, hasten the debt restructuring process, and unleash the potential of Sri Lanka’s economy to achieve rapid and sustainable economic growth that can improve the lives of all Sri Lankans.
At present, Sri Lanka’s economy is undermined and vulnerable to shocks from a range of underlying weaknesses, including limited growth potential due to its inward orientation; dependence on rolling over unsustainable levels of external debt; public expenditure dominated by debt service and maintenance of a unnecessarily large public sector that leaves inadequate room for investment in productive infrastructure and human capital; and suppressed potential of the private sector to create jobs and income-earning opportunities by unwarranted regulatory restrictions. As a result, Sri Lanka has seen continuous challenges in maintaining macroeconomic stability; is uncompetitive in the global economy; and has been unable to generate sufficient broad-based income-earning opportunities to substantially raise the living standards of all Sri Lankans. In the last few years, these weaknesses were aggravated by imprudent revenue and monetary policies that led to the current extreme crisis and hardships among the people. A basic reform agenda to address these underlying weaknesses and shift Sri Lanka to a sustainable economic growth path would comprise the following steps:Restore macroeconomic stability. Key measures would include (a) maintaining prudent monetary policies to contain inflation and ensure a stable, market-determined exchange rate; and (b) reducing the fiscal deficit and thereby the need for government borrowing by increasing government revenues through tax reform and reducing unnecessary government expenditures. Tax reform can involve broadening and simplifying the tax system rather than just increasing tax rates on a narrow tax base. Expenditures can be contained by reducing unnecessary or wasteful spending, such as on maintaining a large public sector or supporting loss-making state corporations, rather than by reducing essential expenditure on public infrastructure, health and education services, or the social safety net.
Remove unnecessary obstacles to private investment and business activity. A range of unnecessary rules, laws, licenses, permits, fees, documentation and other obstacles exist that inhibit private sector economic activity that can create employment and income earning opportunities. Steps are warranted to rationalize the regulatory environment so that it enables and encourages private sector investment and business activity while protecting core public interests. Increased private sector activity during the current crisis can help deliver basic goods and services; generate export earnings; maintain and increase employment; and expand income earning opportunities.
Enable market signals. A wide range of state directives distort market signals and mis-direct investment, including price controls, tariffs, subsidies, interest rate controls, and other state directions. Steps to remove these barriers to market signals are warranted in order to channel economic activity into the most efficient and competitive areas and thereby enhance the prospects of rapid, sustainable economic growth.Ensure a competitive environment. A range of sectors are dominated a single or a few public or private sector firms that undermine the benefits of a market-driven economy, such as lower prices, higher quality products, customer-orientation, and innovation. Efforts are warranted to ensure a competitive environment, dismantle monopolies, and identify and break up any cartel-like behavior.
Maintain and improve essential infrastructure to the extent possible. Within the constrained fiscal environment, priority may need to be placed on ensuring adequate basic infrastructure services that support increased economic activity, including reliable electricity, water, transport, and communication services. Some public infrastructure development can also serve as a safety net transfer measure through temporary employment generation.Ensure financial sector stability. Although the financial sector has been relatively well-performing to date, is likely to be under increasing stress in the current environment. Close monitoring and timely intervention may be warranted to avert major instability in the financial sector that can severe adverse implications for recovery of the economy.
Enhance the efficiency of the justice system to support economic activity. Continuing deficiencies exist in the capacity of the legal system to support strong private sector-led growth, including inefficient enforcement of contracts and resolution of insolvency. Steps are warranted to address these weaknesses and ensure that the legal system fully supports rapid growth in economic activities.Develop “smart” industrial policy. When markets are enabled, restrictions on private sector activity removed, and a level playing field established, then selective interventions to enable or encourage the development of specific industries might be considered. Such interventions need to have a clear rationale, be transparent, time-bound, and firm-specific rather than sector wide.
Enhance and target social safety net transfers. The current crisis requires a substantially enhanced safety net system to avert extreme deprivation among population. Given the need for prudent fiscal management, these transfers would need to be managed carefully. At present weaknesses exist in the safety net system, with benefits leaking to those not in need; many of those in need being left out; and the prevalence of untargeted measures such as subsidies and price controls that are inefficient and distort market signals. Use of modern technologies can improve the accuracy of targeting, reduce leakage, and reduce fraud. Steps to enhance the quality and efficiency of the safety net are therefore warranted, including through removal of indirect transfers such as untargeted subsidies and price controls in favor of direct cash transfers; and use modern technologies to identify, target, and transfer resources to the vulnerable population.
Begin reform of the higher education system. The higher education system represents a bottleneck to progress toward rapid economic growth. Limited opportunities deprive many young people of the ability to fulfill their potential and the commercial sector has little use for skills imparted by the system. Steps are warranted to broaden and expand access to higher education; enable private tertiary education provision; and improve the quality and relevance of tertiary education.
Begin reform the civil service to create a lean and dynamic public sector. As the current crisis has revealed, Sri Lanka cannot afford to maintain such a large public sector as the large wage bill increases the need for unsustainable government borrowing. Extensive public sector involvement in commercial activities and in regulating private sector activity also inhibits growth in private sector economic activity that can create employment and income earning opportunities. Steps are warranted to reduce the size of public sector and contain the wage bill; reorient the public sector toward objective-based management; and encourage a behavioral change in the public sector on enabling rather than obstructing private sector development and a market economy as best means to improve the lives of the people.
Inform the public of the costs they are bearing under the current economic structure to build a consensus on the direction of reforms. Reforms to change the structure of Sri Lanka’s economy offer the potential to create broad-based income-earning opportunities and improved living standards and are thereby in the best long term-interests of the people. The public can be informed of the costs and lost opportunities they are bearing under the current economic structure, including the costs of unnecessary regulations that benefit the few over the many; state directives that distort markets and suppress investment, exports, and job creation; and public funding of loss-making state enterprises that serve no essential public interest. Narrow vested interests in resisting change would also need to be systematically identified and overcome. Strategies would also need to be developed to systematically identify and overcome narrow vested interests in both the public and private sectors that will seek to resist and obstruct change.
The agenda above reflects global best practice in enabling a market economy to work to generate income earning opportunities for the population and supplementing this with public sector interventions to support human development and a social safety net. Proactive implementation of these measures will greatly enhance the prospects of a faster recovery and alleviation of the extreme hardships being endured by the people; support timely debt restructuring and access to international sources of finance; and set the country on the path to rapid, sustainable economic growth and improvement in the living standards of all Sri Lankans.
For further discussion of these issues, see: http://ardesilva.com/2022/06/07/slstrategy/Asita De Silva is an international development consultant, former staff member of the World Bank Group, and former executive at Hayley’s Group. The views expressed in this article are the writer’s own and do not reflect the views of any institution or agency.
The writer can be reached on asitadesilva11@gmail.com
Features
Immediate industrial reforms critical for Sri Lanka’s future
Sri Lanka’s industrial sector has historically been an engine of growth, employment, and exports. Yet today, many industries face structural challenges, outdated practices, and intense global competition. Immediate and comprehensive policy reforms are, therefore, both urgent and essential—not only to revive growth but also to secure the future prosperity of the country.
Strengthening economic growth and diversification
Industries contribute significantly to GDP and export earnings. They create value-added products, reduce import dependency, and improve trade balances. Sri Lanka’s economy remains overly reliant on a few traditional sectors, such as garments and tea. Industrial reforms can encourage diversification into higher-value manufacturing, technology-driven production, and knowledge-based industries, increasing resilience against global shocks.
Job creation and social stability
The industrial sector is a major source of formal employment, particularly for youth and women. Small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) provide both direct and indirect jobs. Without reforms, job creation is limited, pushing young people to seek opportunities abroad, which drains talent and exacerbates social and economic inequality. By modernising industries and supporting SME growth, the country can create high-quality, sustainable employment, reduce migration pressures, and promote social stability.
Competitiveness and export expansion
Sri Lanka faces stiff competition from countries such as Vietnam, Bangladesh, and India in textiles, garments, and other manufacturing exports. Many local industries struggle with outdated technology, high production costs, and weak supply chains. Urgent reforms—such as improving industrial infrastructure, incentivising technology adoption, and simplifying trade regulations—are critical to enhancing competitiveness, retaining market share, and expanding exports.
Attracting domestic and foreign investment
Investors require clarity, stability, and efficient regulatory processes. Complex licensing, bureaucratic delays, and inconsistent policies deter both domestic and foreign investment. By implementing transparent and predictable industrial policies, the government can attract capital, encourage innovation, and accelerate industrial modernisation. Investment is not just about funding production—it is also about transferring technology and upgrading skills, which is essential for long-term industrial development.
Promoting innovation and technological upgrading
Many Sri Lankan industries continue to rely on outdated production methods and low-value processes, limiting productivity, efficiency, and global competitiveness. Comprehensive industrial reforms can incentivise research and development, digitalisation, automation, and adoption of green technologies, enabling local industries to move up the value chain and produce higher-value goods. This is particularly urgent as global competitors are rapidly implementing Industry 4.0 standards, including AI-driven production, smart logistics, and sustainable manufacturing. Without modernisation, Sri Lanka risks not only losing export opportunities but also falling permanently behind in technological capabilities, undermining long-term industrial growth and economic resilience.
Strengthening supply chains and local linkages
Effective industrial reform can improve integration between agriculture, services, and manufacturing. For example, better industrial policies can ensure that local raw materials are efficiently used, logistics systems are modernised, and SMEs are integrated into global supply chains. This creates multiplier effects across the economy, stimulating productivity, innovation, and competitiveness beyond the industrial sector itself.
Environmental sustainability and resilience
Global trends demand green and sustainable industrial practices. Sri Lanka cannot afford to ignore climate-friendly production methods, energy efficiency, or waste management. Reforms that promote sustainable manufacturing, circular economy principles, and renewable energy adoption will future-proof industries, improve international market access, and ensure compliance with global trade standards.
Institutional capacity and governance
Industrial reforms are not just about incentives; they require strong institutions capable of policy design, monitoring, and enforcement. Weak governance, policy inconsistency, and politicisation have historically undermined industrial development in Sri Lanka. Strengthening industrial institutions, simplifying bureaucracy, and ensuring accountability are essential components of meaningful reform.
Responding to global technological and trade shifts
The industrial landscape is rapidly changing due to digitalisation, automation, AI, and new global trade patterns. Sri Lanka must adapt quickly to benefit from global industrial trends rather than risk falling behind regional competitors. Immediate reform will allow industries to adopt modern production systems, integrate with global value chains, and improve export competitiveness.
Conclusion
Industrial policy reforms in Sri Lanka are urgent because delays threaten employment, competitiveness, and investment. They are important because a modern, resilient industrial sector is crucial for economic growth, export expansion, technological advancement, social stability, and environmental sustainability. Strategic, forward-looking reforms will not only save existing industries but also position Sri Lanka for a prosperous, resilient, and inclusive future.
(The writer is a former senior public servant and policy specialist.)
BY Chinthaka Samarawickrama Lokuhetti
Features
How to insult friends and intimidate people!
US President Donald Trump is insulting friends and intimidating others. Perhaps. Following his rare feat of securing a non-consecutive second term, one would have expected Trump to be magnanimous, humble and strive to leave an imprint in world history as a statesman. However, considering the unfolding events, it is more likely that he will be leaving an imprint but for totally different reasons!
From the time of his re-election, Trump has apparently been determined to let the world know who the ‘boss’ is and wanted to Make America Great Again (MAGA) by economic measures that were detrimental even to his neighbours and friends, totally disregarding the impact it may have on the world economy. Some of his actions were risky and may well have backfired. Businessmen are accustomed to taking risks and he appears to behave as a businessman rather than as a politician. There was hardly any significant resistance to his arbitrary tariff increases except from China. He craved for the Nobel Peace Prize, claiming to have ended and prevented wars and, and unashamedly posed for a picture when the Nobel Peace Prize was ‘presented’ to him by the winner! To add insult to injury, Trump demonstrated his ignorance by blaming the Norwegian Prime Minister for having overlooked him for the Nobel Peace Prize. He should surely have known, before the Norwegian PM pointed out, that the awardee was chosen by a non-governmental committee.
Trump’s erratic behaviour reached its climax in Davos. He came to Davos determined to railroad the European leaders into accepting his bid to acquire Greenland and seemed to do so by hurling insults left, right and centre! Even before he started the trip to Davos, Trump had already imposed a 10% tariff on imports from seven European countries including the UK, increasing to 25% from the beginning of February, until he was able to acquire Greenland. In a rambling speech, lasting over an hour, he referred to Greenland as Iceland on four different occasions.
Exaggerating the part played by the US in World War II Trump proclaimed “Without us right now, you’d all be speaking German and a little Japanese”. After making a hideous claim that the US had handed Greenland to Denmark, after World War II, Trump said, “We want a piece of ice for world protection, and they won’t give it. You can say yes and we will be very appreciative. Or you can say no and we will remember”. A veiled threat, perhaps!
However, the remark that irked the UK most was his reference to the war in Afghanistan. He repeated the claim, made to Fox News, that NATO had sent ‘some troops’. but that they ‘had stayed a little back, a little off the front line’. On top of politicians, infuriated families of over 500 soldiers who sacrificed their lives in the front-lines in Afghanistan, started protesting which forced the British PM Keir Starmer to abandon the hitherto used tactic of flattery to win over Trump, to state that Trump’s remarks were “insulting and frankly appalling.” After a call from Starmer, Trump posted a praise on his Truth Social platform that UK troops are “among the greatest of all warriors”!
The resistance to Trump’s attempts at reverting to ‘unconstrained power of Great Powers’, which was replaced by the ‘rule-based-order’ after World War II, was spearheaded from an unlikely quarter. It was by Mark Carney, financier turned politician, PM of Canada. He was the Governor of the Bank of England, during the disastrous David Cameron administration, and left the post with hardly any impact but seems to have become a good politician. He apparently has hit Trump where it hurts most, as in his speech, Trump stated that Canada was living on USA and warned Carney about his language!
Mark Carney’s warning that this was a moment of “rupture” with the established rules-based international order giving way to a new world of Great Power politics and his rallying cry that “the middle powers” needed to act together, need to be taken seriously. What would the world come to, unless there is universal condemnation of actions like the forcible extraction of the Venezuelan President which, unfortunately, did not happen maybe because of the fear of Trump heaping more tariffs etc? What started in Venezuela can end up anywhere. Who appointed the US to be the policeman of the world?
With words, Trump gave false hope to protesters rebelling against the theocracy in Iran but started showing naval strength only after the regime crushed the rebellion by killing, according to some estimates, up to 25,000 protesters. If he decides to attack, Iran is bound to retaliate, triggering another war. In fact, Trump was crass enough to state that he no longer cares for peace as he was snubbed by the Nobel Peace committee! Trump is terrorising his own people as is happening in Minnesota but that is a different story.
Already the signs of unity, opposing Trump’s irrationalities, are visible. Almost all NATO members opposing Trump’s plans resulted in his withdrawal from Greenland acquisition plans. To save face, he gave the bogus excuse that he had reached an ever-lasting settlement! Rather than flattery, Trump’s idiosyncrasies need to be countered without fear, as well illustrated by the stance the British PM was forced to take on the Afghan war issue. For the sake of world peace, let us hope that Trump will be on the retreat from now.
Mark Carney’s pivotal speech received a well-deserved and rare standing ovation in Davos. One can only hope that he will practice what he preached to the world, when it comes to internal politics of his country. It is no secret that vote-bank politics is playing a significant role in Canadian politics. I do hope he will be able to curtail the actions of remnants of terrorist groups operating freely in Canada.
by Dr Upul Wijayawardhana
Features
Trump is a product of greed-laden American decadence
One wonders why the people of the US, who have built the most technologically and economically advanced country, ever elected Donald Trump as their President, not once, but twice. His mistakes and blunders in his first term are too numerous to mention, but a few of the most damaging to the working people are as follows:
Trump brought in tax cuts that overwhelmingly favour the wealthy over the average worker. The Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA) signed into law, at the end of 2017, provides a permanent cut in the corporate income tax rate that will overwhelmingly benefit capital owners and the top one percent. His new laws took billions out of workers’ pockets by weakening or abandoning regulations that protect their pay. In 2017 the Trump administration hurt workers’ pay in many ways, including acts to dismantle two key regulations that protect the pay of low- to middle-income workers. These failures to protect workers’ pay could cost workers an estimated $7 billion per year. In 2017, the Trump administration—in a virtually unprecedented move—switched sides in a case before the US Supreme Court and fought on the side of corporate interests and against workers.
Trump’s policies on climate change could ruin the global plans to cut down emissions and reduce warming, which has already affected the US equally badly as anywhere else in the world. Trump ridiculed the idea of man-made climate change, and repeatedly referred to his energy policy under the mantra “drill, baby, drill”. He said he would increase oil drilling on public lands and offer tax breaks to oil, gas, and coal producers, and stated his goal for the United States to have the lowest cost of electricity and energy of any country in the world. Trump also promised to roll back electric vehicle initiatives, proposed once again the United States withdrawal from the Paris Agreement, and rescind several environmental regulations. The implementation of Trump’s plans would add around 4 billion tons of carbon dioxide to the atmosphere by 2030, also having effects on the international level. If the policies do not change further, it would add 15 billion tons by 2040 and 27 billion by 2050. Although the exact calculation is difficult, researchers stated: “Regardless of the precise impact, a second Trump term that successfully dismantles Biden’s climate legacy would likely end any global hopes of keeping global warming below 1.5C.” ( Evans, et al, 2024). Despite all these anti-social policies Trump was voted into power for a second term.
Arguments suggesting the USA is a decadent society, defined as a wealthy civilisation in a state of stagnation, exhaustion, and decline, are increasingly common among commentators. Evidence cited includes political gridlock, economic stagnation since the 1970s, demographic decline, and a shift toward a “cultural doom loop” of repeating past ideas (Douthat, 2024, New York Times).
First, we will look at the economic aspect of the matter though the moral and spiritual degradation may be more important, for it is the latter that often causes the former . The reasons for the economic decline, characterised by increase in inequality, dates back to the seventies. Between 1973 and 2000, the average income of the bottom 90 percent of US taxpayers fell by seven percent. Incomes of the top one percent rose by 148 percent, the top 0.1 percent by 343 percent, and the top 0.01 percent rose by 599 percent. The redistribution of income and wealth was detrimental to most Americans.
If the income distribution had remained unchanged from the mid-1970s, by 2018, the median income would be 58 percent higher ($21,000 more a year). The decline in profits was halted, but at the expense of working families. Stagnant wages, massive debt and ever longer working hours became their fate.
Since 1973, the US has experienced slower growth, lower productivity, and a diminished share of global manufacturing, notes the (American Enterprise Institute). Despite the low growth, the rich have doubled their wealth. In our opinion this is due to the “unleash of a culture of greed” that Joseph Stiglitz spoke about.
Nobel Prize winning economist Joseph Stiglitz has frequently argued that the United States has unleashed a culture of greed, selfishness, and deregulation, which he blames for extreme inequality, financial crises, and environmental destruction.
Income stagnation is not the only quality of life indicator that suffered. In 1980, life expectancy in the US was about average for an affluent nation. By the 2020s, it dropped to the lowest among wealthy countries, even behind China or Chile, largely due to the stagnation of life expectancy for working-class people. With regard to quality of life the US has fallen to 41st in global, UN-aligned, sustainable development rankings, highlighting issues with infrastructure and social systems, (The Conversation). The political system is described as trapped in a “stale system” with high polarisation, resulting in inaction rather than progress, (Douthat, New York Times).
It is often the moral and spiritual degradation that causes an overall decline in all aspects of life, including the US economy. Statistics on crime, drug and alcohol addiction, suicide rate and mental health issues in the US, which are the indicators for moral and spiritual status of a society, are not very complimentary. The Crime Index in the US is 49 while it is 23 in China and 32 in Russia. Drug abuse rate is 16.8% in the US and alcohol addiction is 18%. Mental illness in adults is as common as 23%. Only about 31% follow a religion. Erich Fromm in his book, titled “Sane Society,” refers to these facts to make a case that the US and also other countries in the West are not sane societies.
Let us now look at Joseph Stiglitz’s thoughts on greed which is the single most important factor in the aetiology of moral degradation in the US society. Stiglitz has directly linked corporate greed and the pursuit of immediate, short-term profits to accelerating climate change and economic failure for the majority of Americans. He argues that “free” (unregulated) markets in the US have not led to growth, but rather to the exploitation of workers and consumers, allowing the top 1% to siphon wealth from the rest of society. Stiglitz argues that neoliberalism, which he calls “ersatz capitalism,” has fostered a moral system where banks are “too big to fail, but too big to be held accountable,” rewarding greedy, risky behaviour. He contends that US economic policies have been designed to favour the wealthy, creating a “rigged” economy where the middle class is shrinking. In essence, Stiglitz argues that the US has allowed a “neoliberal experiment” to turn capitalism into a system focused on greed, which is harming the economy, the environment, and the social fabric.
Big oil companies spent a stunning $445m throughout the last election cycle to influence Donald Trump and Congress, a new analysis has found. These investments are “likely to pay dividends”, the report says, with Republicans holding control of the White House, House and Senate – as well as some key states. Trump unleashed dozens of pro-fossil fuel executive actions on his first day in office and is expected to pursue a vast array of others with cooperation from Congress (The Guardian, Jan 2025).
Trump himself has accumulated wealth just as much as the rest of billionaires, and his poor voters are becoming poorer. He is greedy for wealth and power. He is carving up the world and is striving to annex as much of it as possible at the expense of sovereignty of other countries, the US allies, and international law.
Greed is an inherent human character which when unfettered could result in psychopathic monsters like Hitler. A new world order will have to take into serious consideration this factor of greed and evolve a system that does not depend on greed as the driver of its economy.
by N. A. de S. Amaratunga
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