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Economic crisis: Treasury Chief frowns on home-grown remedy tried by GR regime

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Mahinda Siriwardana

Secretary to the Treasury and Finance Ministry Mahinda Siriwardana has said that even if Sri Lanka achieves the goal of zero corruption, tax revenue will still have to be increased to bridge the budget deficit and lessen the country’s debt burden.

Referring to the Supreme Court ruling pertaining to economic management delivered on Nov 14, 2023, Siriwardena said it was imperative that elected representatives and state officials ensure proper econmic management.

Pointing out that Sri Lanka’s government revenue as a percentage of GDP had been as low as 8.3 percent in 2021, Siriwardana said that the situation was so bad that the government found it difficult to meet day-to-day expenses.

The SC judgment had said the state officials under any circumstances couldn’t absolve themselves of the responsibility for acting in the best interests of the public and were entrusted with significant powers to uphold public trust, requiring them to adhere to the directives of the Constitution, Siriwardana said.

The Treasury Secretary said so delivering the inaugural Prof. K. Dharmasena memorial lecture at the Kelaniya University on Monday (Jan 30) close on the heels of undergraduates storming the main administrative building there to protest against a planned visit by President Ranil Wickremesinghe the following day.

Siriwardana succeeded S.R Attygalle in early April 2022 amidst the worst-ever economic crisis.

The Treasury Secretary explained why President Gotabaya Rajapaksa’s government had failed to secure a Rapid Financing Instrument (RFI) at the early staes of the crisis.

Although President Gotabaya Rajapaksa sought RFI from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in April 2020, five months after being elected, his administration failed to accept the IMF prescribed immediate debt restructuring. Instead of adopting a strategy of macroeconomic reforms to restore fiscal and external buffers supported by the IMF, the government had opted for what Siriwardana called a home-grown solution.’

Sri Lanka sought RFI in the wake of significant tax reforms with sharp reductions in VAT (Value-Added Tax) and income tax rates and large increases in tax free thresholds. “When taxes were reduced at the end of 2019, nobody questioned how public services would be funded. The result was an unprecedented escalation in debt, leading to this economic crisis.

Siriwardana pointed out that for want of cohesive corrective measures to address the issues at hand, credit ratings continued to deteriorate. By September 2020, Moody’s had downgraded Sri Lanka to Caa1, Fitch downgraded Sri Lanka to CCC by November 2020, and S&P downgraded Sri Lanka to CCC by December 2020, Siriwardana pointed out.

“There have been long-standing structural weaknesses in the Sri Lankan economy which have been neglected for many decades, given the pain associated with remedying these issues. The weaknesses include fiscal sector imbalances, inadequate external policy buffers, financial and monetary sector vulnerabilities, deficiencies in governance, and shortcomings in the legal and institutional framework in the country. The recent external shocks faced by the country, including the Easter Sunday attacks, the COVID-19 pandemic, the Russia-Ukraine conflict, coupled with significant domestic policy errors, exposed these macroeconomic vulnerabilities and triggered the prevailing economic crisis.”

In macroeconomic terms, the crux of the problem has always been the persistent twin deficits – budget deficits in the fiscal account and current account deficits in the balance of payments (BOP) accounts, Siriwardana added.

The Treasury Secretary said that the country should have changed its unsustainable practices, beginning 2006/2007, when the opportunity to access concessional foreign financing diminished in the wake of Sri Lanka’s per capita GDP crossed the middle income threshold. Instead of gradually and significantly reducing its deficits and borrowing requirements, the then government shifted to commercial borrowings, primarily in the form of international sovereign bonds (ISBs). “Most of these bonds have up to a 10-year maturity periods, so, until around 2019, Sri Lanka did not face much difficulty in terms of repayment pressures for external debt.”

Siriwardana also discussed the often raised issue of whether ISBs caused the debt crisis. In fact, the government at the time made a conscious decision to raise additional funds amounting to USD 2.4 billion in long term ISBs to ensure Sri Lanka would have sufficient reserve buffers to get through a period of volatility amidst the election cycles of 2019 and 2020, Siriwwardana said. ” There have been claims that this increase in ISB borrowings was a cause of the debt crisis – however in reality, it was the additional reserve buffers created by those ISBs that enabled the government to avoid a crash in the economy during the worst of the COVID-19 pandemic.

“The government maintained primary surpluses in 2017 and 2018, indicating that the ISB borrowings were not driven by budget deficits, but in order to build up reserves and to improve the quality of reserves by converting maturing short term debt into longer term stable instruments such as ISBs and syndicated loans. The fundamental drivers of the economic crisis were fiscal and debt unsustainability, whereas ISBs were just one of many financing instruments.”

Siriwardana said: “There have been various theories as to what caused the economic crisis, including the COVID-19 pandemic, ISB borrowings, the Debt Standstill policy. However, it is clear that the fundamental cause has been long standing macroeconomic vulnerabilities and domestic policy errors. There have also been various alternative proposals and theories as to how the country can recover without the citizens having to bear a burden. But, we have seen today that measures such as asset recovery, collection of taxes in arrears, elimination of corruption, while all being essential actions, do not serve as an alternative to the macroeconomic reforms being implemented today. Those are reforms that were known to all of us for years if not decades. But, those much needed reforms were delayed mainly due to political reasons. In the past, and up to now, the present generation lived a better life by borrowing thereby sacrificing the lives of the future generations.

“However, it is critical to understand that now we have come to a situation where the present generation should make sacrifices for the betterment of the lives of the future generations.” (SF)



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President proposes; Speaker disposes

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Dr. Wickramaratne

AKD’s request to Harsha:

Speaker Dr. Jagath Wickramaratne has frustrated an attempt by Chairman of the Committee on Public Finance (CoPF) Dr. Harsha de Silva, MP, to intervene to settle the continuing dispute over the appointment of a new Auditor General.

Dr. De Silva yesterday told The Island he had recently written to all members of the Constitutional Council (CC) drawing their attention to the urgent need to address the issue at hand. The AG’s position remains vacant since 08 Dec, 2025. AG W.P.C. Wickremanayake retired in April and since then there have been a couple of Acting appointments. The CC has declined to endorse any of President Dissanayake’s nominees as the AG.

Asked whether he had taken up the issue with the CC following President Anura Kumara Dissanayake soliciting his support in this regard, MP de Silva said that he had written to CC members as agreed with the President.

The former UNPer and one-time State Minister said: “I did so, giving due respect to CC’s independence, underscoring the critical importance in them working with the President to resolve the crisis. I alluded to the need to have transparency in public financial management during this post-cyclone period where large amounts of funds are being transacted on multiple fronts, both domestic and foreign.”

Responding to another query, Dr. De Silva emphasised that he had clarified that the President must send the names of qualified and experienced persons to the CC for consideration. “However, these letters were returned to me by the Speaker, without being delivered to members of the CC. The Speaker didn’t give an explanation. Thus, except for members who are MPs who had been copied via email by my committee office, others never received my letter of concern. Even though I questioned, in Parliament, the basis of his refusal to forward my communication to the members of the CC of which he is Chairman, no answer was given.”

The CC consists of Dr. Jagath Wickramaratne, Speaker and Chairman of the 10-member body. Dr. Harini Amarasuriya, Prime Minister, Sajith Premadasa, Leader of the Opposition, Bimal Rathnayake, Aboobucker Athambawa, Ajith P. Perera, Sivagnanam Shritharan, and three civil society members namely Dr. Prathap Ramanujam, Dr. Dilkushi Anula Wijesundere and Dr. Dinesha Samararatne. None of the President’s nominees could obtain CC’s approval as all of them were rejected by the CC.

The present CC was introduced by the 21st Amendment to the Constitution which was endorsed on 31 October 2022.

Both the Bar Association of Sri Lanka (BASL) and the Transparency International Sri Lanka Chapter recently requested President Dissanayake, in writing, to propose a suitable person to the post of AG. The BASL, in another statement that dealt with the forthcoming vacancies in the CC due to three civil society members completing their terms, declared its concern over possible attempts by the President and the NPP government to fill the vacancies with rubber stamps.

The three civil society members will complete their terms on 18 January. In terms of Article 41E of the Constitution, the CC meets at least twice every month, and may meet as often as may be necessary. The Chairman presides at all meetings of the CC and in the absence of the Chairman, the Prime Minister, and in the absence of the Prime Minister, the Leader of the Opposition presides at the meetings of the CC.

Asked whether the CC could be disrupted due to the end of civil society members’ terms, an authoritative official pointed out that in case new appointments were not made the current members could continue.

The Parliament has not so far called for applications to fill the forthcoming vacancies.

by Shamindra Ferdinando ✍️

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Sri Lanka loses Rs.7.5 bn due to coal tender irregularities: FSP

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Pubudu

The NPP government’s coal procurement process has once again come under scrutiny following allegations by the Frontline Socialist Party (FSP) that substandard coal has been imported for power generation and that tender procedures were manipulated to favour a specific supplier.

Addressing the media after a party meeting in Maharagama on Saturday, FSP Education Secretary Pubudu Jagoda said a test report issued by the government laboratory at the Lakvijaya Power Plant had confirmed that the latest coal shipment unloaded in Sri Lanka did not meet the required quality standards. According to the report, the coal’s calorific value ranged between 5,600 and 5,800 kilocalories per kilo, below the 5,900–6,200 kCal/kg range specified in tender requirements.

Jagoda warned that lower calorific value coal would require higher volumes to generate the same amount of electricity, increasing costs significantly. Preliminary estimates, he said, indicated an additional financial burden of around Rs. 7,500 million, which might eventually be passed on to consumers through higher electricity tariffs.

The FSP also accused the government of tailoring procurement rules to benefit the Indian supplier, which has deposited bonds for long-term coal supply for the upcoming season. Jagoda alleged that tender conditions had been altered to accommodate the company, pointing to changes in coal reserve requirements. Under the 2021 Sri Lanka Coal Registration Document, suppliers were required to maintain a minimum reserve of one million metric tonnes with a gross calorific value of 5,900 kCal/kg. This threshold, he said, had been reduced to 100,000 metric tonnes in the 2025 document which is a 90% reduction raising serious concerns.

He further cited past allegations against the Indian company, including findings in a 2016 Auditor General’s report that the company violated procurement guidelines regarding a rice supply contract with Sathosa in 2014. Jagoda also referred to legal issues involving individuals linked to the company, and the suspension of a representative by the International Cricket Council in 2019 over match-fixing allegations.

Beyond company-specific concerns, Jagoda criticised what he described as systemic manipulation of the coal tender process. He questioned why the coal tender, typically called in February or March, was delayed until July, despite electricity being declared an essential service. He also alleged that the tender submission period had been progressively shortened from the internationally accepted six weeks to five weeks, and now reportedly to three giving an unfair advantage to suppliers with existing stock.

The Ministry of Energy has recently issued an amended tender to procure 4.5 million metric tonnes of coal for the Lanka Coal Company for the 2025/26 and 2026/27 periods, following the cancellation of an earlier tender.

Jagoda warned that delays and irregularities could lead to coal shortages, higher spot market purchases, increased electricity costs, and even power cuts if hydropower generation falls short. He called for urgent investigations into the procurement process, insisting that the burden of alleged mismanagement and corruption must not be transferred to the public.

by Chaminda Silva ✍️

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CID summons SJB MP for criticising education reforms

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Prasad

SJB Gampaha District MP Prasad Siriwardhana has been summoned to the CID today (12) for questioning in connection with a statement he made on a private television channel regarding education reforms.

He was earlier asked to report to the CID on 10 January to make a statement. However, as Siriwardhana had notified the authorities that he was unable to appear on that day, he was subsequently asked to come today.

Siriwardhana is one of the critics of the shortcomings of the education reforms introduced by the NPP government.

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