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Do we deserve uninterrupted electricity?

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By Sanjeewa Jayaweera

The day starts with friends calling and asking, “Machan, any power cuts today?” The main item of news on television is also of possible power cuts. Even overseas television stations carry news about possible power cuts in Sri Lanka. In Sri Lanka, a potential power cut of even one hour is viewed with trepidation.

Despite the issue of power cuts being of great importance to the public and being constantly in the news, none of us knows what the future holds. No one seems to know what needs to be done, and it seems a case of postponing the inevitable by a few days.

The energy minister Udaya Gammanpila has pronounced that the Ceylon Electricity Board (CEB) should pay US dollars to purchase fuel from the Ceylon Petroleum Corporation (CPC). The Power Minister Gamini Lokuge replied that the CEB does not recover their dues from customers in USD. For once, both are correct! The shortage of foreign exchange in the country is why the CPC cannot source diesel and furnace oil in the quantities required by the CEB while ensuring adequate supply for transportation and the use of industries. The CEB is also correct in saying that they don’t collect their dues in USD. Let alone dollars; they can not even collect all their dues in rupees as approximately Rs. 45 billion are in arrears from the customers.

As is the norm, the opposition parties and various trade union leaders come out with their vituperative comments, none of which are helpful to resolve the current problem. The Ceylon Electricity Board Engineers, who are game for industrial action at the drop of a hat, have gone to the extent of announcing the power cut schedule, which I would think is the prerogative of the senior management of the CEB.

Recently, on the “Mawatha” programme broadcasted by Sirasa TV, an insightful discussion ensued about the current power crises. Dr Tilak Siyamabalapitya (TS), an electrical power expert, raised some pertinent issues. He commented that the electricity tariff has not been changed since 2014 and that the customers are charged an average of Rs. 16 per unit when the cost of generating a unit was as much as Rs. 24. The net result is that the CEB has accumulated losses of over Rs. 400 billion. He posed a question to the Chairman of Public Utilities Commission (PUC), Janaka Ratnayake (JR), a fellow panelist, as to why the tariff had not been increased despite the PUC being legally empowered to do so. Unfortunately, JR, an entrepreneur who understands income statements, balance sheets, cash flows and return on investments, did not provide an adequate response other than to say that they have now proposed an increase in the tariff. A case of closing the stable door after the horse had bolted.

I am sure the PUC has refrained from increasing the tariff only because successive governments would have instructed them not to do so. Unfortunately, governments that we have elected since independence have inculcated in the people a culture of okkoma nikang – everything free. Due to this, governments shy away from taking decisions on pricing utilities and commodities based on the concept of “cost plus profit.” There is no other explanation for why the electricity tariff has remained unchanged for seven years and why the CEB has accumulated losses over Rs. 400 billion with the CPC not far behind. There is no commercial sense in selling an item below cost. The irony of the strategy is that even the poor are subsidizing the well-off, who are the biggest consumers. The losses are funded by money printed debt and palmed off to the next generation.

TS also lamented how in 2015, the GOSL decided to cancel the Coal Power Plant to be built in Sampur, for which incidentally the MOU for the first 500 MW phase was signed on December 26, 2006. So, after procrastinating for 10 long years, the project was canceled. He stated that no government should change the first four years of the long-term power generation plan of 20 years submitted by the CEB and approved by the PUC. It seems the current long term power generation plan is also in limbo as the target for renewable energy by 2030 is still under discussion despite two years having elapsed.

About a decade ago, I used to visit India regularly and particularly in the summer months, when power cuts extending to over six hours was the norm. This has been the case even in Pakistan and Bangladesh. I came across a news report dated June 24 2015, filed by Rajiv Biswas about the power crisis in Pakistan. “Pakistan has been in an energy crisis for some years. The current shortfall in power generated is estimated at 5,500 Megawatts, with electricity production of 15,500 MW compared with demand of around 21,000 MW. As a result, there is significant electricity load shedding being implemented across Pakistan in both urban and rural areas. Pakistan has been facing a power crisis for some years already due to a combination of factors, including low electricity tariffs due to subsidies, which resulted in accumulated losses for the electricity generators, as well as inadequate investment in new power generation capacity and high transmission losses due to poor infrastructure as well as theft of electricity. The long periods of load shedding each day have resulted in a lack of electricity supply, sometimes for over 12 hours per day. Years of neglect and lack of reform of the power industry have contributed significantly to its deteriorating financial position. A key constraint was the slow progress in undertaking pricing reforms for energy tariffs, which have contributed to the financial problems of the electricity-generating companies. The ongoing power crisis has severely impacted upon the industry and transport sectors in recent years, as power shortages have had a crippling effect on industrial production.”

If one is to insert the word Sri Lanka to replace Pakistan, the above paragraph would be a carbon copy of what an analyst would write about the power crisis in our country. The only difference is that in Sri Lanka, the government instructed the CEB to run generators operating on diesel and furnace oil to bridge the shortfall. The decision was made even though it was the most expensive power generation method. There was no attempt even to impose a surcharge to recover the additional cost. The logic behind the proverb “Cut your coat according to your cloth” has escaped both our politicians and the voters.

In The Island of January 27, 2022, a report filed by S. Venkatnarayan is captioned, “Indian Supreme Court issues notice on political parties’ promises of ‘irrational freebies’ before elections. It is not my intention to delve into the reasons for the Supreme Court to have sought responses from the Union Government and the Election Commission of India. We, too in our country, have been seduced and fallen for various “freebies” promised by political parties leading up to elections. Many of them have remained only as promises. I still remember as a 10-year-old being fascinated by the election promise of Mrs Bandaranaike in 1970 of an extra measure of free rice, which she promised to even bring from the moon!

Given that in July 1969, I had listened over the radio of Neil Armstrong landing on the moon, it was not too difficult for a 10-year-old boy to believe that promise! Unfortunately, many decades later, despite many lessons, many of us still believe what politicians promise. Based on news reports, the inducement is now primarily a bottle of arrack or a few roofing sheets! I was a bit taken aback recently when viewing a short video interview of Sir John Kotelawela in 1959 when he said, “our people want money for jam”.

In my view, the comment made by Minister Gammanpila that it is best to suffer a 90-minute power cut now than four hours in April is the most sensible of the options. When there is a limitation of resources, there needs to be a list of priorities and winners and losers in that context. The opposition parties must also educate the public that these measures are required. I know I am “whistling in the dark”, but we need to live in hope.

If Indians, Pakistanis and Bangladeshis have had to endure daily power cuts over six hours, Sri Lankans need to grit their teeth and stomach the inconvenience. A panellist on the “Mawatha” programme mentioned how in 1974, even in Great Britain, the government had to introduce a three-day working week, closure of all television stations by 10.30 p.m. and children had to study by candlelight due to power cuts. For a country that had been a colonial power for centuries, it would have been difficult to stomach such living conditions. However, to their credit, they gritted their teeth, accepted the new norm, and worked through in search of better times. We, too in Sri Lanka, need to do the same and be pragmatic of our conundrum.



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“Independent” Prosecutor’s Office: Myth and Reality

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By Professor G. L. Peiris
D. Phil. (Oxford), Ph. D. (Sri Lanka);
Quondam Visiting Fellow of the Universities of Oxford, Cambridge and London;
Former Vice-Chancellor and Emeritus Professor of Law of the University of Colombo.

I. A Cornerstone of the Legal System

The institution of criminal proceedings is of vital concern to the public. Irrespective of the outcome of proceedings, subjection of a citizen to criminal litigation is fraught with grave consequences, including psychological trauma and impairment of social reputation, quite apart from the expenditure incurred in defending a criminal action.

The law, therefore, goes to considerable lengths to ensure that recourse to criminal proceedings is the sequel to an informed and well-structured process which includes careful consideration of available evidence in a spirit of independence and detachment, far removed from partisan considerations.

II. The Role of the Attorney-General

In our legal system this responsibility belongs to the Attorney-General: it is for him to bring his mind to bear on the entirety of material emanating from police investigations and to make a dispassionate judgment whether the evidence at his disposal, in the surrounding circumstances, warrants the commencement of criminal proceedings.

The solemnity of this burden is underlined by the traditional formulation, in decided cases in our country as well as in other jurisdictions, that the Attorney-General, in performing this function, acts in a quasi-judicial capacity.

This calls for a clear separation of his mindset from that appropriate to the discharge of his other responsibilities. The principal law officer of the Republic, he is the chief advisor to the Government of Sri Lanka, and it frequently falls to his lot to defend, before the courts, senior representatives of the government in Fundamental Rights, writs and other proceedings.

Nevertheless, it is a sacred and inviolable principle that, when it comes to deciding whether criminal proceedings should be launched or, when once begun, should be discontinued, against any defendant or group of defendants, this decision should be demonstrably bereft of any tinge of political or other extraneous element.

This is one of the core values of the system of criminal justice in our country and, indeed, an indispensable pillar of the Rule of Law.

III. Ample Scope of Prosecutorial Discretion

A pivot of our law is the principle of vires or jurisdiction, which requires that a statutory power must necessarily be exercised by the authority on which it is conferred by the legislature.

This is the rationale of the concept of prosecutorial discretion vested in the Office of Attorney-General. Discretion to determine the sufficiency of grounds to institute a prosecution or forward an indictment is that of the Attorney-General alone, and any usurpation of that discretion strikes at the very foundation of the system.

IV. Limiting Criteria

This does not mean, however, that the Attorney-General’s discretion is total or absolute, and altogether beyond the reach of the courts.

It is a salutary feature of our law that Sri Lankan courts, buttressed by judicial experience elsewhere, have formulated a series of criteria which operate as the limits of this discretion and enable intervention, with due restraint, in a limited category of situations.

A trilogy of judicial pronouncements by the Court of Appeal of Sri Lanka(Sandresh Ravi Karunanayake v. Attorney-General CA/Writ/441/2021; Duminda Lanka Liyanage v. Attorney-General CA/Writ/323/2022); Nadun Chinthaka Wickramaratne v. Attorney-General CA/Writ/523/2024) have rendered yeoman service to our law in this regard. The value of this approach lies in its essential sense of balance.

These judgments, by Sobhitha Rajakaruna J., now establish with clarity the frontiers of judicial review in respect of prosecutorial discretion of the Attorney-General.

The applicability of judicial review, in this context, has been accepted unequivocally by our courts: Victor Ivan v. Sarath Silva, Attorney-General (1998) 1SLR 340.

Its ramifications straddle a variety of settings. Where, for instance, the initiation of criminal proceedings is entirely unsupported by any evidentiary basis, the indictment may be impugned in judicial review, by the writ of certiorari. In the relevant academic literature, in particular the writings of Professor Sri William Wade, it is identified as a jurisdictional flaw, in that action in the absence of evidence is considered to have been taken without jurisdiction.

Similarly, prosecutorial discretion exercised by the Attorney-General may be vitiated by a range of factors including plainly discernible bias indicative of mala fides, patent error, consideration of irrelevant matters or failure to consider relevant material, grave procedural illegality or irregularity during the decision-making process – blemishes which, severally or in combination, may amount to abuse of process and, therefore, a potential miscarriage of justice.

Recent trends in Commonwealth law suggest scope for expansion of the ambit of judicial review on the broad ground of palpable unreasonableness (in terms of the well-known Wednesbury test), but this is an extension to be effected sparingly.

While these grounds admit of adequate flexibility in relation to judicial review, there is need for uncompromising insistence on the exclusion of any form of political intervention, or even a well-founded suspicion of it, in the interest of preserving public confidence in the integrity of the prosecutorial process.

V. Contemporary Developments

In recent weeks there has been widespread interest in policy perspectives, and timely changes in the law, in this field.

These developments provide the backdrop to the media statement by the Ministry of Justice on 10 February regarding the proposed establishment of an “Independent Prosecutor’s Office”. What is contemplated, as an initial step, is the appointment of an “Expert Committee” to prepare a Concept Paper on which the views of civil society and the public will be invited.

The composition of the proposed Committee has been announced. It will consist of “1. The Attorney-General or two nominees of the Attorney-General; 2. The Secretary to the Ministry of Justice; 3. A senior judge in the judicial service; 4. The President of the Bar Association of Sri Lanka or his nominee”.

While a committee, so constituted, may be appropriate for the preliminary task of suggesting the outlines of the concept, its personnel, clearly, cannot be involved in operationalising the idea, as it moves forward. The Secretary to the Ministry of Justice is a political functionary, subject to control by the Executive; a member of the Judiciary can play no part in decisions as to the suitability of instituting prosecutions; defending counsel in criminal prosecutions will be drawn from the unofficial Bar.

Sri Lanka had, at one time, a Director of Public Prosecutions (DPP). The experience of the Crown Prosecution Service in the United Kingdom offers valuable guidance. The Government’s proposal, however, seems to go beyond the appointment of a Director and to envisage a comprehensive prosecutorial mechanism coexisting with the Office of Attorney-General.

VI. Critical Policy Issues

A mere change of nomenclature offers no more than a superficial and unconvincing solution. The experience of the DPP in our country was not an altogether happy one and, in any case, lasted only a short time. If susceptibility of the Attorney-General’s Office to political pressure is the core issue, it is hardly circumvented by the proposed supplementary mechanism.

Many structural issues naturally arise: What are the lines of demarcation contemplated? The new Office, if it is to serve a useful purpose, must obviously enjoy substantial independence from the Attorney-General, but a complete severance of the nexus, in terms of coordination, is unrealistic.

What safeguards, not explicitly spelt out in relation to the Attorney-General’s Office, are intended to apply to the proposed new Office? Will the Office of the Independent Prosecutor be served by members of the Attorney-General’s Department? If so, how will clarity be achieved in the delineation of reporting obligations? How will overlapping and interlocking lines of authority be dealt with? Since it has been made clear that the Attorney-General’s Office per se, will survive the proposed innovation, will there be some measure of erosion of the Attorney-General’s constitutionally entrenched functions? If this is the case, a piecemeal approach will not be feasible.

These are complex issues which will no doubt engage the intense interest and vigilance of the public, as the proposed reforms move forward.

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Rani’s struggle and fight of many mothers

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Rani: Movie poster

by Anushka Kahandagamage

Unlike Manorani, mothers in both the North and South, whose children disappeared, had no means of reaching out to a state minister in the dead of night, begging for help or even sharing the devastating news of their children’s abduction. They did not have the privilege of calling on influential figures to intervene in their grief. This contrast does not lessen my empathy for Manorani, but rather highlights that a mother’s pain is universal, despite societal divisions or hierarchies. A thought that has been occupying my mind since the making of Rani is why a film is being made about Manorani when so many mothers in this country have lost their children. As Malathi de Alwis highlights, many women involved in the Mothers’ Front never had the chance to take the stage, which was controlled by men. Malathi also argues that Manorani’s special opportunity on that stage was due to her professional background as a medical doctor and her elite status.

Powerful Cinematic Experience

Rani, undoubtedly a powerful cinematic experience, left me frozen, its impact lingering within me. It took me back to the 1987-89 period, a time of terror, when I was just a first grader. The trauma from that era has stayed with our generation ever since. The film brought back events that were slowly fading from my memory, yet still lingered in my nightmares.

Challenging the official memory

Handagama and others involved in the making of the film succeeded in bringing a dark period, which was absent from history books, into the public consciousness or I would say, to the popular discourse. The official memory crafted by the then government regarding this horrifying chapter of history is mostly one-sided, glorifying the rulers while carefully erasing stories that do not align with their narrative. The film uncovers the painful truths, complicating the official narrative constructed by the government. It reveals that history is far more intricate than the simplified version presented in state-crafted accounts.

Subtitles

Creating a film about a dark chapter of the past, one that isn’t recorded in history books, and making it resonate with the public is a formidable challenge. However, the increasing number of people attending the film is a testament to its success. A common challenge faced by artistic films or those addressing complex social issues is their lack of popularity, which often prevents them from entering collective memory. Yet, Rani has effectively overcome this obstacle, achieving both widespread attention and relevance. While the film has undoubtedly succeeded in establishing itself within popular discourse and bringing attention to a dark, often overlooked period in history, the absence of Sinhala and Tamil subtitles presents a significant drawback. These subtitles would have made the film more accessible to a broader audience, particularly those who are directly impacted by the events depicted. Without them, a large segment of the population, including Sinhala and Tamil speakers, may have found it difficult to fully engage with the content and its emotional depth. Subtitles could have enriched the film’s reach and impact, fostering a deeper understanding of the complex and painful history that the movie seeks to bring to light.

Female protagonist

Making a woman the protagonist is an essential reflection of contemporary demands in cinema. Across the globe, there has been a significant shift toward promoting gender equality in film, with an increasing emphasis on strong, multifaceted female characters. This demand is not only a response to the changing social dynamics but also an effort to give a voice to women whose stories have often been sidelined in mainstream narratives. The focus on female protagonists ensures that audiences see a more balanced and inclusive reflection of society on screen.

The Ending and Accountability

The film would have had a more impactful conclusion if it had ended with the peaceful scene of the two women and the child on the beach. This moment was emotionally powerful and seemed like the natural conclusion to the story. However, the final sequence where the police officers are in their casual clothes, drunk and plotting the abduction of Richard, drags on far too long and felt like forcefully imposed. Instead of taking the audience to a peaceful ending, it inadvertently starts to irritate the audience due to its excessive length, detracting from the overall emotional tone of the film. As previously mentioned, the prolonged nature of this scene feels unnecessary and could have been condensed or omitted to maintain the film’s pace and emotional resonance.

In this final scene, perhaps the filmmaker intended to highlight the multiplicity of narratives (as is common in the post-modern era), but it fails in many ways. I strongly object to this scene, as it makes the rulers unaccountable for the murders and reduces the event to a toxic masculine portrayal of the police officers involved.

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Excellent Budget by AKD, NPP Inexperience is the Government’s Enemy

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Anura Kumara Dissanayake

by Rajan Philips

President Anura Kumara Dissanayake has delivered an excellent first budget. It could easily be described as the best budget so far this century and presented in the most dire economic circumstances in Sri Lanka’s modern history. Following his consummate performance in parliament, the President waded into a post-budget forum and joined the country’s economic experts to “dissect new Govt’s maiden budget,” as headlined by the Daily FT, one of the sponsors of the event. Whether one agrees with him or not, there is no question that AKD has been listening to those who knows the subject, has diligently done his homework on the budget file, and knows what he is doing,.

The problem he faces is that he cannot be doing homework on every file for the entire government, and he must find a way to quickly address the collective inexperience of his cabinet. He should not let this inexperience become the enemy that kills the government from within. Hopefully, he will find a way to address this within the framework of the budget and in the delegation of ministerial responsibilities for its implementation.

Somewhere in the budget, the President refers to economic decentralization, to deconcentrate the top heavy Western Province. Unfortunately, the corollary of political decentralization could not find its place in the text. Equally important, the President should also pay attention to ‘cabinet federalisation’ (AJ Wilson’s description of one of DS Senanayake’s quite a few master traits), and more so as he moves ahead to implement the budget proposals.

Ultimately, the success of the budget will be measured in political terms. Read, electoral terms. AKD’s and NPP’s detractors will be winding themselves for political wrestling in the local and later the provincial council elections. The NPP could be expected to hold its ground, but not necessarily all two-thirds of it. It should not at all be strange if the NPP gains ground in the North and East even as it loses some of it in the South. To keep the inevitable losses to the minimum, the government must eschew any and all complacency, which, modifying Mao’s famous Redbook take on it, could be described as the enemy of elections.

Geopolitically, paraphrasing the French Marxist Regis Debray, the NPP government must have its overhead antennas fully alert, but its feet firmly planted on the ground in Sri Lanka. The government cannot avoid being distracted by the global tumults that Donald Trump is creating day in and day out. There will be ripples, even waves, around Sri Lanka depending on what the Modi government decides to do in India to harmonize with the Trump Administration in Washington. Even so, the government’s primary preoccupation in the context of the turmoil in America should be to protect for as long as possible Sri Lanka’s exports to the US which are significant for Sri Lanka’s forex earnings.

At the same time, and consistent with the budget objectives, even as it diversifies its exports the government must diversify its importers. For the next four years, as Trump unfolds his madness, there will be responsive realignments in the Global North even as there will be reconsolidations in the Global South. The NPP government will have to navigate Sri Lanka through these currents without being smothered by them.

There are of course the self-proclaimed Rajapaksa nationalists who want to hitch their broken political wagons in Sri Lanka to the passing hegemon in America. They are in fact ethno-narcissists just like – but writ-small – the racial narcissist that Trump is. Ridiculous as these forces and their politics might seem, indeed as they are, the government should not underestimate their potential to do harm even by accident. Look at Bangladesh to see how political fortunes can dissipate fast, even though the NPP government is in no way comparable to Sheikh Hasina’s rotten government. The eternal home truth is the quick rise and the quicker fall of Gotabaya Rajapaksa.

Setting the Budget Context

The budget speech outlines as its backdrop the 2022 economic crisis that has now become the Rajapaksa era legacy, and as its context the overwhelming verdict of the people in the 2024 presidential and parliamentary elections. In this context, the President calls the budget both “historic” and “challenging,” because the government has to not only lay the foundation for fulfilling the people’s aspirations, but also to dispel “the wrongful picture (of us) created by the myths and malicious political propaganda against our economic policy and vision.” “We have succeeded in that,” the President asserted.

The government has proved its expectant critics wrong and stabilized the economy. All the indicators confirm that – the relatively stable exchange rate at one USD for LKR 300, and not LKR 400 as recklessly scare mongered; the lowering of the Treasury bill rate (8.8%) and getting inflation under control; forex reserves rising past USD six billion; finalizing agreements over debt-restructuring; and most of all keeping essential goods available and avoiding queues. In fairness, the credit for starting the process of economic stabilization belongs to Ranil Wickremesinghe, but post-election expectations in political circles have been that things will start to unravel due to NPP’s inexperience and even incompetence. That did not happen, and President AKD and the NPP government are justified in claiming credit for it.

Mr. Wickremesinghe may have even fancied that another economic crisis this time under an NPP government would give him a second kick at the can of power. No such luck. RW is now part of a team of exes – former ministers and presidents including Maithripala Sirisena – trying to figure out a way to stay relevant in today’s politics. Looking at this aging crowd outside parliament and its slightly younger version in the opposition within parliament, the NPP might fancy its chances of retaining power for more than one cycle of elections. But what the NPP has to contend with ultimately will not be ill equipped politicians but a frustrated electorate.

Apart from President AKD’s versatile feats, the NPP government has little to show to keep the people contented. Recurring rice shortage, the shortfall in coconuts, and the power outage blamed on a monkey tripping off a transformer have certainly taken the shine off the government. Looked from the other end, rice, coconuts and the power outage seem to the only shortcomings that the government is being picked on by media pundits and the political class. But what should concern the NPP government is that any one of them (rice, coconut or power), all of them together, or any similar shortages or failures, are enough to rile the people and bring down a government. Not long ago, it was called aragalaya.

Budget as Political Reset

The budget speech lays down the principles underlying the government’s approach to the economy: sectoral growth sustained by participation and even distribution on the supply side; and balancing roles for the market and the government on the demand side. A GDP growth rate of 5% is targeted for the medium term, predicated on a strong export sector performance while maintaining price stability and ensuring social welfare. Promoting investments, leveraging logistics, revamping tourism, digital transformation of the economy, and unleashing SME potentials through new credit structures are highlighted as the main growth poles. Allocations for health, education, food security, and social benefits are intended to rebuild and strengthen country’s social welfare system.

There is emphasis on Regional Development, including the assurance of special programmes for the Eastern Province, the Malayaga Tamils, and the Northern Province, but there is no mention of Provincial Councils and Local Government bodies and their agency roles in regional development. Regional industrial zones are identified including the promotion of Chemical Manufacturing in Paranthan, KKS and Mankulam in the Northern Province, Galle in the South and Trincomalee in the East. If some of them were to materialize the North and East might be seeing state sponsored industrial activity after more than 70 years when GG Ponnamabalam was Minister of Industries and Fisheries.

Auto Parts and Rubber Products manufacturing is also identified for promotion through industrial zones. What is not clearly indicated is whether new regional industrial initiatives will be tied to the export sector without which they may not be viable, as past experience has shown. Also, on the export front there is no identification of specific products and target markets to match the significant export sector growth that is being championed. Generally, for industries, there should be guardrails for minimizing and mitigating adverse environmental effects.

The budget rightly focuses on the modernization of public transport. Specific projects are identified for bus transport in Colombo and for the rail sector, including the revamping and the extension of the KV Line, multi-modal transport terminal in Kandy, and the expansion of the Thambuththegama Railway Station to function as a hub for transporting agricultural products. Large scale transport projects and rail transport are invariably the responsibility of the central government, but bus transport operations including those in Colombo and Kandy are better assigned to provincial and even larger municipal governments.

The budget provides for settling the legacy debt of the Sri Lankan Airlines (SLA) in the hope that SLA would hereafter become a viable enterprise. For other SOEs, the budget is proposing the setting up of a Holding Company again with the hope of revitalizing the mostly under-performing State Owned Enterprises (SOEs). Whether this approach is motivated by patriotic sentiments or political calculations, there is little support for it from past experience, except for enterprises in the crucial servicing and energy sectors.

The budget gets quite specific in its proposals for the agricultural and food sectors, especially rice and coconuts. At long last, there is official admission at the highest level that there is no data and information system for the “entire value chain” from paddy production to rice consumption. There is no immediate solution to this except the assurance to find one through the ADB funded “Food Security Livelihood Emergency Assistance Project” and a related World Bank project.

Coconuts are easy to count and difficult to hide. Some 4,500 million nuts are the projected demand for 2030, with 2,700 for the coconut industry and 1,800 for household consumption – at one per household per day. The problem is with production and the budget is allocating money for high yielding seedlings to be used in a new Northern Coconut Triangle extending from the coconut rich Northwestern Province, recommended by the Coconut Research Institute and mirror imaging the long established Southern Coconut Triangle. Better later than never, even when it comes to nuts.

All in all, the budget provides a good framework for the NPP government to reset its political road map. To succeed, the resetting must involve delegations at the ministerial level and following through to local communities and political grassroots. Equally important will be the medium in between, and the challenge to the NPP government is in resurrecting and using the currently defunct provincial and local government agencies.

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