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Midweek Review

‘Chinese in Jaffna islands may cause Cuban missile crisis type situation’

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by Shamindra Ferdinando

Executive Director of the National Peace Council (NPC), Dr. Jehan Perera, last Wednesday (24) explained, in his opinion, why India abstained at a controversial vote at the Geneva-based United Nations Human Rights Council.The vote took place on March 23.

The NPC Chief asserted India based its decision on three reasons namely (i) Sri Lanka choosing China to execute USD 12 mn renewable energy projects in Delft, Analativu and Nainativu islands, off the Jaffna peninsula. The joint venture with MS/Sinosar-Etechwin received funding from the Asian Development Bank (ADB). The islands have no access to the national grid (ii) Indian Central Government concerns for its own Tamil population and (iii) a section of President Gotabaya Rajapaksa’s government demanding the abolition of the 13th Amendment to the Constitution and the failure, on the part of Sri Lanka to, fully implement the law.

Dr. Perera said so in response to TV 1 ‘Newsline’ anchor Faraz Shauketally’s query ‘why did India let us down?’ The NPC spokesperson described Sri Lanka’s relationship with China as nothing but a terrible mistake. Both China and India are nuclear powers, with the former also being a member of the UN Security Council.

The NGO activist compared Sri Lanka allowing China access to Jaffna islands with the Cuban missile crisis (16 October – 20 November 1962) between the then Superpowers, the US and the Soviet Union. The conflict is considered the closest the ‘Cold War’ came to escalating into a nuclear war. The unprecedented crisis erupted when the Soviet Union deployed ballistic missiles, in Cuba, in response to the US positioning missiles in NATO member states, Italy and Turkey. The missile crisis should be also examined against the backdrop of a failed US assault on Cuba (aka Bay of Pigs invasion), which ended in total embarrassment for Washington, no sooner it started.

Dr. Perera certainly owed the public an explanation how he arrived at the conclusion that raised many an eyebrow. Can there be anything as preposterous as such a comparison. Perhaps, the NPC Chief should explain his stand on the Access and Cross Servicing Agreement (ACSA), with the US, finalized in early August 2017, now suspended Millennium Challenge Corporation (MCC) and the Compact and Status of Forces Agreement (SOFA). The NPC position is vital as that of other like-minded organizations/persons as they frowned on the Sri Lanka-China relationship.

13 A continues to rattle Lanka

Sri Lanka’s wartime Permanent Representative in Geneva, Dr. Dayan Jayatilleka, too, faulted the incumbent government for India’s decision to skip the vote on the latest accountability resolution.

Appearing on Sirasa ‘Pathikada’, anchored by Asoka Dias, Jayatilleka, having referred to President Gotabaya Rajapaksa’s meeting with Indian leader Narendra Modi in late Nov 2019, claimed lucidly how the incumbent dispensation antagonized India by varying statements regarding the 13th Amendment and Provincial Council polls. Jayatilleka asserted that twice President Mahinda Rajapaksa would have responded to Premier Modi’s query on the 13th Amendment in a different manner. Jayatilleke maintained that public statements made by Public Security Minister Rear Admiral (retd.) Sarath Weerasekera, Defence Secretary Maj. Gen. (retd.) Kamal Gunaratne and Foreign Secretary Admiral (retd.) Jayanath Colombage influenced not only India but other members of the UNHRC as well against Colombo. Jayatilleka also faulted the government for not properly assessing the forthcoming Tamil Nadu elections.

The writer sought clarification regarding veteran political commentator Jayatilleka’s status, particularly whether he expressed those views as Senior Advisor on International Relations to Opposition Leader Sajith Premadasa. Jayatilleke said that he was not interviewed in his capacity as Senior Advisor to the Opposition Leader, nor did he respond in that capacity. “I have no position in the SJB. I am not a member of, nor organizationally affiliated, to any political party,” Jayatilleke, who led Sri Lanka to victory at the 2009 Geneva vote, in the immediate aftermath of Sri Lanka’s triumph over the Liberation Tigers of Tamil Eelam (LTTE) said. Sri Lanka lost four subsequent votes with last week’s one being the worst, slammed Jayatilleka, who also served as Sri Lanka’s Ambassador in Moscow during the yahapalana administration (Sept 2018-January 2020), courtesy then President Maithripala Sirisena.

Tamara Kunanayakam had been our Permanent Representative, in Geneva when Sri Lanka lost in 2012, and Ravinatha Aryasinha when Colombo lost in 2013 and 2014— all under the same President Mahinda Rajapaksa, who was in office when Jayatilleka fought a valiant fight in Geneva and won in 2009. C.A. Chandraprema, a former colleague of the writer, is the current PR in Geneva.

But certainly a defeat at the UNHRC cannot be squarely blamed on the PR as decisions are taken on the basis of policies adopted by respective governments. The 2015 Geneva betrayal is far worse than any defeat inflicted on war-winning Sri Lanka.

Reiterating commitment to the Geneva resolution, co-sponsored by the yahapalana administration in Oct 2015, Dr. Perera urged the government to ensure the implementation of that resolution though the incumbent administration withdrew from it in Feb 2020 for the obvious reason of not meekly surrendering to Western agenda against this country. Dr. Perera asserted that the government could reach consensus with what he called a responsible Opposition in that regard. Dr. Perera was obviously referring to not only the main Opposition party, the Samagi Jana Balavegaya (SJB), but all those who backed Maithripala Sirisena at the 2015 presidential election.

It would be pertinent to mention the NPC, established in 1995 receives funding from the British (member of the UNHRC and leader of Sri Lanka Core Group), USAID (US spearheaded the campaign against Sri Lanka, although not being a member of the UNHRC), EU (EU members Austria, Bulgaria, Czechoslovakia, Denmark, France, Germany, Italy, the Netherlands and Poland voted for the resolution), the Asia Foundation, UN Peace Building, Legal Action Worldwide et al. Dr. Perera established the NPC having had served Sarvodaya under Dr. A.T. Ariyaratne for seven years (1988-95). The NPC, one of the biggest recipients of foreign funding, particularly from Norway, played a crucial role in the disastrous Oslo-led peace process (2002-2003) and caused shock and dismay in Aug 2005 when it declared the LTTE’s assassination of the then Foreign Minister Lakshman Kadirgamar tragic but inevitable.

Can the NPC be faulted for pursuing the agenda of those who fund the organization? Dr. Perera’s participation at a meeting, called by UNP leader and the then PM Wickremesinghe, during the leadership struggle in the run up to the 2019 presidential poll, cannot be ignored as one examined the full picture.

 

India guided by two principle considerations

Let me reproduce the relevant section from the statement made by New Delhi’s PR in Geneva Mani Pandey, before the Geneva vote. It explained India’s decision to skip the vote having made an abortive bid to put off the vote. The relevant section verbatim: “India’s approach to the question of human rights in Sri Lanka is guided by two principal considerations. One is our support to the Tamils of Sri Lanka for equality, justice, dignity and peace. The other is in ensuring the unity, stability and territorial integrity of Sri Lanka. We have always believed that these two goals are mutually supportive and Sri Lanka’s progress is best assured by simultaneously addressing both objectives. India supports the call by the international community for the government of Sri Lanka to fulfill its commitments on the devolution of political authority, including through the early holding of elections for Provincial Councils and to ensure that all Provincial Councils are able to operate effectively, in accordance with the 13th Amendment to the Sri Lankan Constitution.”

The UK headquartered Global Tamil Forum (GTF) further explained India’s role that had a bearing on many UNHRC members. GTF spokesperson Suren Surendiran stated: “GTF would like to express its appreciation and gratitude to all progressive forces that made this current outcome possible – the Office of High Commissioner for Human Rights, the core group of countries, all countries who voted for and/or co-sponsored the resolution, the countries that abstained without voting against the resolution, eminent persons and dedicated human rights organizations who championed the cause, and, more importantly, the victims of human rights abuses in Sri Lanka who despite the time lapse and the risks involved, continue to provide inspiration by bravely fighting for human rights and accountability.

“Tamils are grateful to the Government of India for supporting an escalation of the Tamil demand for equality, justice (accountability), dignity and peace at a multilateral international forum, like the UNHRC.

“By specifying India’s support to the international community, calling on the Government of Sri Lanka to fulfill its commitments to devolve political power to the Tamils and to allow those devolved powers to be operationalized effectively, according to the 13th Amendment of the constitution, is very significant.

“By making a public statement before the vote and by abstaining, India has clearly shown its displeasure with the lack of progress on addressing the alleged violations of human rights and international laws and the non-implementation of Sri Lanka’s numerous public commitments of the past in addressing the grievances of the Tamil people.

“Tamils are grateful to the Tamil Nadu political parties, particularly the DMK President M.K. Stalin, for the recent statement calling on the Government of India not to support the Government of Sri Lanka by voting against the resolution.”

 

Why are all silent on Delhi’s role?

However, there hadn’t been any reference in ‘Newsline’ or ‘Pathikada’ interviews or in statements made by Surendiran and Pandey to India’s murderous role in Sri Lanka that resulted in the nearly three-decade long war. The bottom line is that if not for India there wouldn’t have been Nanthikadal where the victorious Sri Lanka Army (SLA) annihilated the LTTE leadership. Sri Lanka hopefully dealt with the LTTE for once and for all.

However, Sri Lanka lacked political will at least to set the record straight, in spite of being unmercifully harassed by Western powers and India. Those who had been pursuing a political agenda, since the successful conclusion of the war, at the UNHRC, conveniently refrained from making any reference to India’s despicable role here. Successive, Sri Lankan governments, too, remained silent, as regards Indian and other foreign involvement, and, thereby facilitated a relatively smooth anti-Sri Lanka project.

Before further discussing the deterioration of Sri Lanka due to India’s terrorist project here, let me remind you what one-time Indian High Commissioner in Colombo Shivshankar Menon (1997-2000) stated about Sri Lanka’s strategic positioning in relation to India and how Sri Lanka could threaten India. Against the backdrop of Menon’s assessment, Dr. Perera’s bid to compare Chinese on Jaffna islands with the Cuban missile crisis is rather alarming.

Sri Lanka never responded to Menon’s accusations in ‘Choices: Inside the making of India’s foreign policy,’ launched in Oct 2016. The veteran diplomat asserted India wanted a change of government in Sri Lanka due to then President Mahinda Rajapaksa going back on his pledge in respect of Sri Lanka-China relations. Menon accused Rajapaksa of breaking his solemn pledge, in May 2014, five years after the successful conclusion of the conflict. Menon’s assertion that Sri Lanka is an aircraft carrier, parked 14 miles off the Indian coast, clearly underscored New Delhi’s serious concerns regarding Sri Lanka being too close to China.

Menon, who had been India’s National Security Advisor, from January, 2011 to May, 2014, refrained from revealing a specific incident/or incidents which revealed Sri Lanka’s duplicity in May 2014. Incumbent Ajit Doval succeeded Menon. Doval is on record as having told Gotabaya Rajapaksa (during the first Rajapaksa administration) Sri Lanka being a small country does not need big infrastructure projects. Doval also had the audacity to urge Gotabaya Rajapaksa to do away with major Chinese funded projects, including flagship USD 1.4 bn Colombo Port City. Having commented on the conduct of former President Rajapaksa and Defence Secretary Gotabaya Rajapaksa, Menon accused Sri Lanka of reneging on bilateral understanding with India. Menon directly alleged that the former President received Chinese funds for his political campaigns, and projects. The veteran diplomat didn’t indicate when the war-winning President first received Chinese funding.

Both Dr. Perera, who had represented the Sri Lanka delegation, to the 2016 Geneva session under the then Foreign Minister Mangala Samaraweera, and Dr. Jayatilleka, warned the Gotabaya Rajapaksa government of dire consequences unless Sri Lanka acted swiftly and decisively to address international concerns. Both pressed the government to adhere with the consensus reached in respect of the 2015 resolution, whereas Dr. Jayatilleka emphasized the pivotal importance in acting on the recommendations made by the late Sir Desmond de Silva, QC, in the Paranagama report (second mandate). Jayatilleka explained how yahapalana Premier Ranil Wickremesinghe and FM Mangala Samaraweera squandered an opportunity to exploit those recommendations. Alleging Wickremesinghe and Samaraweera buried internationally accepted Sir Despond de Silva’s report on Sri Lanka’s execution of the war from an international legal angle, Dr. Jayatilleka asked why the incumbent government suppressed such valuable recommendations. Dr. Jayatilleka underscored the importance in the proper use of available reports, including the Lessons Learnt and Reconciliation Commission (LLRC) findings that dealt with the conflict. The writer, when he sought a clarification from PR Chandreprema, was told the six reports, including the Paranamaga second mandate report, were submitted to UN member states.

 

Lanka’s treacherous failure

Actually, the government conveniently failed to exploit a number of other credible reports available in the public domain such as wartime (January-May 2009) British High Commission dispatches (and sections yet to be released), US Defence Advisor Lt. Col. Lawrence Smith’s revelations in Colombo in 2011, UN report on Vanni war (August 2008-May 13, 2009), Wikileaks and UNSG Panel of Experts (PoE) denying examination of war crimes allegations till 2031 to present a far stronger case. ‘Newsline’ and ‘Pathikada’ programmes didn’t discuss Sri Lanka’s pathetic and treacherous failure to use credible evidence provided by those propagating lies to counter the Geneva project. The SJB and JVP, too, conveniently refrained from raising the issue. In fact, no one bothered to point out accountability accusations are nothing but a joke in the wake of the Tamil speaking electorate covering the northern and eastern electorates, including Jaffna, overwhelmingly voting for war-winning Army Commander at the 2010 presidential election after having accused him and his army of genocide and just a couple of months after the SLA permanently dispatched Prabhakaran.

The Western project receives the backing of a section of the parliament with some members openly blaming the military for genocide. They haven’t been taken to task. Irresponsible political leadership discarded what one-time UN bigwig Jayantha Dhanapala told the LLRC in August 2010. The first Rajapaksa administration never bothered to examine and exploit post-war developments. Their failure to utilize Lt. Col Smith’s declaration at the first Colombo Defence Seminar in May-June 2011 that there had never been an agreement between the SLA/Government and the LTTE as regards a formal surrender and battlefield executions didn’t take place, was never used. The government was silent on this at the recently concluded Geneva sessions, too.

Having sponsored terrorism in Sri Lanka and as a result lost a former PM and over 1,500 officers and men and 3,000 wounded during the Indian Army deployment here (July 1987-March 1990) , India had no qualms in preaching to Sri Lanka of accountability. Can India absolve itself of the responsibility for its murderous conduct in Sri Lanka and men, trained by them, raiding the Maldives, in early Nov 1988. They made an abortive bid to assassinate the then Maldivian President Gayoom. Perhaps Sri Lanka should at least now take note of Dhanapala’s declaration at the LLRC.

Commenting on the responsibility to protect concepts, Amb. Dhanapala said: “Now I think it is important for us to expand that concept to bring in the culpability of those members of the international community who have subscribed to the situation that has caused injury to the civilians of a nation. I talk about the way in which terrorist groups are given sanctuary; are harboured; are supplied with arms and training by some countries with regard to neighbours or with regard to other countries. We know that in our case this has happened, and I don’t want to name countries, but even countries who have allowed their financial procedures and systems to be abused in such a way that money can flow from their countries in order to buy the arms and ammunition that cause the deaths, the maiming and the destruction of property in Sri Lanka are to blame and there is therefore a responsibility to protect our civilians and the civilians of other nation states from that kind of behaviour on the part of members of the international community, and I think this is something that will echo with many countries in the Non-Aligned Movement where Sri Lanka has a very respected position and where I hope we will be able to raise this issue.”

Dr. Jayatilleka, who had been Minister of Planning and Youth Affairs of the short-lived EPRLF administration of the Northeast Provincial Council, between 1988 and 1989, reminded the government of the need to prepare proper defence as Geneva formed a Special Office to deal with Sri Lanka consequent to the passage of the resolution. Jayatilleka pointed out how the new Office, backed with UN funding to the tune of USD 2.8 mn, could gather information and evidence and use them to move courts in 22 countries (those who backed the resolution) unless Sri Lanka addressed accountability issues within the stipulated period.

Perhaps Sri Lanka should bring to the notice of the new Office what one-time India’s High Commissioner in Colombo, J. N. Dixit, revealed in his memoirs, ‘Makers of India’s Foreign Policy,’ launched in 2004. Dixit asserted that the decision to give active support to Sri Lankan Tamil militants could be considered one of the two major foreign policy blunders made by the then Indian Prime Minister Indira Gandhi. But he strongly defended the Prime Minister’s action, while asserting Gandhi couldn’t have afforded the emergence of Tamil separatism in India by refusing to support the aspirations of Sri Lankan Tamils [Chapter 6:An Indo-centric Practitioner of Realpolitik-Makers of India’s Foreign Policy]. Dixit failed to explain how the Prime Minister hoped to achieve her twin objectives by recruiting, training, arming and deploying thousands of Sri Lankan Tamil youth. India also helped Sri Lankan terrorists establish contact with international terrorist groups.

 

Adele’s hand in Gandhi assassination

Did India actually cause terrorism here in the 80s to create an environment conducive for the deployment of its Army in Sri Lanka? How many Tamils perished in the hands of the Indian Army? Those demanding action against perpetrators of violence should explain how they expect to deal with those ex-Tamil terrorists living in India, Europe, Canada, Norway, the US at al. Infamous of them all is Adele Balasingham, wife of LTTE theoretician, the late Anton Balasingham, a one-time British High Commission, Colombo, employee. Adele in spite of her role in building up LTTE women’s cadre, lives under British protection. Can British assure the world Adele didn’t have a hand in choosing the suicide bomber who blew up Rajiv Gandhi in South India May 1991. The members of that LTTE squad tasked to assassinate Gandhi were killed in subsequent Indian operations. Those killed in the Indian hands are probably among the list of missing persons along with the suicide bomber!

 

IN THE FINAL ANALYSIS

In the final analysis despite what all the pseudo-experts say coloured by their own hiden agendas, such as even singing for their supper, it is quite obvious that Sri Lanka had no chance in hell in Geneva as the UNHRC is more or less a tool of the West and it did not matter what evidence, even if they were gilt-edged, we had in our defense, the West, particularly the US and the UK, was all-out to turn a Nelsonian Eye to whatever our pleadings. They had in fact convicted us long before all these charades there to hoodwink the gullible.

Premier Mody and, more importantly, the South Block in New Delhi, should realise if they have not done so already, the Americans only want to drag China and India into an internecine conflict or a much bigger quagmire by encouraging their rivalry – a typical tried and tested British tactic that helped it to plunder much of the world. This way they must be watching with glee the possible  killing of two birds with one stone!

Lastly, remember how the Americans, in particular, used Pakistan for so long into the 90s to project their global agendas, which included their dream of breaking up India and then dropped that country like a hot brick.



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Midweek Review

Dappula’s Easter Sunday ‘grand conspiracy’ claim demolished

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Easter Sunday mastermind Mohamed Ibrahim Mohamed Naufer, alias Naufer Moulavi, stepping out of prison bus on 22 September

Senior Additional Solicitor General Haripriya Jayasundera, PC, requested the Trial-at-Bar ahead of the declaration of its verdict that those found guilty should be dealt with in a manner that would serve as a deterrent to anyone of any religious and social environment who holds extremist views. Declaring that none of the accused had shown regret, Haripriya alleged that they were still holding on to their ideology. She painted an extremely dangerous picture of the religious mindset of a group of people who still remained a threat to society.

By Shamindra Ferdinando

Mohammadu Ibrahim Mohamad Naufer, aka Naufer Maulavi, 48, sentenced to 220 years of rigorous imprisonment by the High Court trial-at-Bar on 22 Sept. for his role in the 2019 Easter Sunday carnage, was taken into custody a few days after the incident. It was considered the principal case as there are other cases concluded and in progress.

At the time the police apprehended him, following a tip off received from the staff of a small hotel in Dambulla, where he was taking refuge, the Sainthamaruthu suicide blasts had taken place. Fifteen persons died in the suicide blasts, triggered by some of them, on 26 April 2019, after police, backed by the Army, surrounded their hideout.

Naufer Maulavi was initially cleared but an immediate subsequent check led to his arrest in the first week of May 2019. He was taken in at Dambulla, following consultations between Dambulla police and the Terrorist Investigation Division (TID). At the time of the multiple Easter Sunday blasts, Naufer Maulavi had been in Colombo and was on his way to the densely populated and predominantly Muslim Kattankudy, his home town on the eastern coast.

Naufer Maulavi was among 15 persons charged with plotting the Easter Sunday bomb attacks that killed 270 people and injured more than 500. The prosecution named him the mastermind in the unprecedented terrorist operation carried out by the now proscribed National Thowheeth Jamaath (NTJ). Nine other men were acquitted. Of the 25 accused, the 17th died in custody.

It would be pertinent to mention that the US Justice Department identified Naufer Maulavi, brother-in-law of Zahran Hashim, as one of the three persons, with Muhammed Riskan and Ahamed Milhan being the others, as conspirators in the ISIS plot. Let me stress that Naufer Maulawi and Zahran Hashim had been at the helm of the NTJ responsible for the carnage.

The US, too, identified Naufer Maulavi as the Easter Sunday architect, though some still considered Zahran Hashim as the mastermind. Colombo Trial-at-Bar found Naufer Maulavi, Muhammed Riskan and Ahamed Milhan guilty. The 15 accused were sentenced to 200 to 260 years in prison.

Now that Naufer Maulavi had been sentenced to life imprisonment for masterminding the Easter Sunday carnage, perhaps a controversial declaration made by Dappula de Livera, PC, on the eve of his retirement as the Attorney General, should be re-examined. Outspoken Livera alleged a grand conspiracy with regard to the 2019 April attacks but resorted to legal recourse to thwart the TID from questioning him. The Court of Appeal issued an interim order blocking his arrest or questioning him regarding the controversial statement. The Attorney General couldn’t have been referring to Naufer Maulavi.

Livera received appointment as Acting AG on 29 April, 2019, in the wake of the Sainthamaruthu blasts, and received confirmation on 10 May 2019, following approval by the Constitutional Council. He relinquished Office on 25 May, amidst the raging controversy over his grand conspiracy claims.

Dr. Wijeyadasa Rajapakshe, PC, in his capacity as the Justice Minister of the post-Aragalaya Wickremesinghe-Rajapaksa government, directed the TID to question Livera, in April 2023. Unfortunately, it was not to be. Sanjay Rajaratnam, PC, replaced Livera in May 2021. In July 2024, Parinda Ranasinghe (Jnr), PC, succeeded Rajaratnam.

The issue at hand is why Livera failed to file indictments or directed comprehensive police investigations while during his tenure as the AG. The undeniable truth is successive governments failed to pursue Livera’s claim that paved the way for unsubstantiated accusations pertaining to a wider conspiracy. Unfortunately, Livera’s claim remains uninvestigated to date.

None of those demanding justice for the Easter Sunday victims ever requested Livera to assist the investigation.

We refrain from speculating as to why Livera sought an extension, though President Rajapaksa offered him the golden opportunity to serve as our High Commissioner in Ottawa in his retirement. In fact, his then Coordinating Officer, State Counsel Nishara Jayaratne, offered the writer an opportunity to interview the outgoing AG and received a set of questions for him to respond, but at the eleventh hour, he cancelled it. With Livera’s retirement, Ms. Jayaratne, relinquished her position created especially for her. That position was abolished.

But, his explosive claim, as the outgoing AG, fuelled conspiracy theory that 2019 SLPP presidential election candidate Gotabaya Rajapaksa, through former head of Directorate of Military Intelligence (DMI), the then Brigadier Suresh Sallay, arranged the attacks to facilitate his victory.

Ibrahim family

Forty-five foreigners were among those who perished in the Easter Sunday massacre. Altogether, 279 persons, including suicide bombers, perished on that day. The dead included Fatima Ibrahim, the pregnant wife of suicide bomber Ilham Ibrahim, the Shangri-la bomber, and sister-in-la of Inshaf Ibrahim, who blasted himself at the Cinnamon Grand. Fatima blasted herself during a police raid on their Dematagoda mansion where law enforcement authorities apprehended her father-in-law, wealthy spice trader Mohamed Yusuf Ibrahim. The blast triggered by Fatima also claimed the lives of her two children and three policemen assigned to the search party.

The prominent spice tycoon was granted bail on 25 May 2022, during Gotabaya Rajapaksa’s presidency.

Ibrahim, who had been on the JVP’s National List at the 2015 parliamentary election, was not among those charged before the Trial-at-Bar. Was it a case of no limit to what money or influence can secure?

Another person, who had been arrested under the Prevention of Terrorism Act (PTA), in April 2020, but granted bail by the Court of Appeal, on 7 February 2022, is Hejaaz Hisbullah, who served as the lawyer for the Ibrahims. Hisbullah received bail several weeks before Mohamed Yusuf Ibrahim did.

In spite of being arrested over his alleged links to the Easter Sunday massacre, the lawyer was formally charged with the lesser offence of inciting communal disharmony/racial hatred, based on a speech allegedly given at an Islamic school. His arrest received international attention with even the Geneva-based United Nations Human Rights Council (UNHRC) taking it up. Amnesty International named the lawyer a prisoner of conscience. International organisations issued a spate of statements expressing serious concern over the lawyer’s arrest though no one challenged him for serving the Ibrahim family.

The investigation also targeted Colossus (Pvt.) Ltd, a copper factory located in Wellampitiya, managed by the Cinnamon Grand bomber. During the investigations, it transpired that the factory, obviously through connections, secured large stocks of non-ferrous metals and, in once instance, ex-lawmaker Shantha Bandara, who had been serving as the Director General of Public Relations at President Maithripala Sirisena’s Office, directed Industrial Development Board (IDB) to allocate 500 tonnes of brass/copper scrap to Colossus (Pvt.) Ltd. The IDB hadn’t been able to fulfill Bandara’s directive because it didn’t have such a large quantity at the time the request was made. Investigations revealed that the Wellampitiya factory, situated just five kms away from the Dematagoda mansion, was used to prepare explosives used in suicide jackets. Many an eyebrow was raised when a group of workers, arrested on 22 April, 2019, in connection with the investigation, was granted bail on 6 May, 2019. Although police headquarters announced an internal investigation, the country was never told what really happened in court on 6 May. The investigation, undertaken by the Special Investigation Unit (SIU), as far as this writer is aware of, was never made public.

The statements at that time made by AG Livera, and also attributed to him, made interesting reading. Livera made some thought-provoking statements regarding the Easter Sunday investigations but caused irrevocable damage before he retired.

Years later, former parliamentarian Wijeyadasa Rajapakshe disclosed, at a public meeting in Kandy, why Livera caused the Easter Sunday controversy. The former Minister alleged that the AG claimed what the media called a grand conspiracy after President Gotabaya Rajapakshe turned down his request for a one-year extension. The former AG never contested this claim.

By the time Livera retired, the investigation conducted by the CID had reached a crucial stage. In the second week of August, 2021, AG Rajaratnam forwarded indictments to the Chief Justice in respect of 25 suspects over conspiracy to stage the 2019 Easter Sunday terror attacks.

A total of 23,270 charges were filed, including conspiracy to murder, aiding and abetting, collecting arms and ammunition, and attempted murder under the PTA. Trials before the three-judge bench, consisting of Judges Navaratne Marasinghe, Ramanathan Kannan, and Sujeewa Nissanka, on November 22, 2021, and concluded evidence recordings on August 24, 2026.

During the high profile battle over the 22nd Amendment to the Constitution, President Anura Kumara Dissanayake attributed the delay in filling vacancies in the Court of Appeal due to the Easter Sunday Trial-at-Bar. Immediately after the declaration of the Easter Sunday verdict, Navaratne Marasinghe was referred to the Constitutional Council by President Dissanayake.

Easter probe under different govts.

The Easter Sunday probe began under the Sirisena-Wickremesinghe government. Gotabaya Rajapaksa’s administration took over the investigation in Nov. 2019, followed by the Wickremesinghe-Rajapaksa government in July 2022, and then by Anura Kumara Dissanayake’s government in Sept. 2024.

Having backed Gotabaya Rajapaksa’s candidature at the 2019 Nov. presidential election, the Catholic Church first sought an explanation from the President, in mid July 2021, regarding his failure to act on the PCoI recommendations. The Church released to the media its letter signed by the Archbishop of Colombo Malcolm Cardinal Ranjith and several auxiliary bishops. Altogether there were close to 30 signatories. The Church resorted to a warning letter in the wake of the slow progress in the overall process, in spite of President Gotabaya Rajapaksa receiving the PCoI recommendations on 1 Feb. 2021. Livera served as the AG.

The JVP/NPP, under any circumstances, cannot deny that Minister Dr. Nalinda Jayatissa, who served the Parliamentary Select Committee (PSC) that probed Easter Sunday carnage in Feb. 2021, alleged direct Indian involvement in the reprehensible act. Dr. Jayatissa explained to the BBC Sinhala Service why he reached that conclusion and a few years later former President Maithripala Sisisena, too, directed accusations against India.

SSP Shanie Abeysekera, who had been the Director, CID, at the time of the attacks, and was removed from that post, less than a week after Gotabaya Rajapaksa took Office as the President. Having campaigned for the JVP/NPP, Abeysekera who had been in retirement was reinstated to the Police Department in Oct. 2024 and named Director CID in June 2025. Ravi Seneviratne, who had been Abeysekera’s superior at the time of the Easter Sunday carnage, returned as Secretary to the Public Security Ministry.

The unexplainable failure on the part of the Gotabaya Rajapaksa administration to implement the PCoI recommendations was cleverly utilised by the NPP/JVP in line with its overall strategy that made the Catholic Church throw its weight behind the political movement to oust President Rajapaksa. Perhaps, the country at large still does not know that the Catholic Church, in its July 2021 letter to President Gotabaya Rajapaksa, specifically questioned the inordinate delay in taking punitive action against former President Sirisena.

Unfortunately, by then Sirisena had become a member of the SLPP parliamentary group and functioned as the leader of the SLFP, the second largest party in the ruling coalition. The SLPP parliamentary group consisted of 14 SLFPers in a 145-member government parliamentary group. Against that backdrop, the President had no option but to conveniently ignore the PCoI recommendations. By the time the President received the PCoI recommendations, the SLFP had consolidated its hold, via its unconditional support to enact the controversial 20th Amendment to the Constitution.

The SLPP enacted the 20th Amendment to the Constitution in late Oct. 2020, several weeks after the parliamentary polls. That enabled the President to bring a dual US, Sri Lankan citizen to Parliament and accommodate him in the Cabinet in early July 2021 after the economic crisis gripped the country. The SLPP didn’t know where it was heading.

The President’s decision to accommodate Suresh Sallay, who held the rank of Brigadier as the Director of State Intelligence Service (SIS), a position that had never been bestowed on an armed forces officer, obviously gave an opportunity for the interested parties to exploit the situation. Sallay received the appointment as Director SIS on 8 Dec. 2019 and was elevated to the rank of Maj. Gen. on 22 May 2020.

2019 and 2024 political platforms

The Easter Sunday attacks dominated the 2019, 2020 and 2024 national election platforms. The Easter Sunday fallout, without doubt, facilitated the overall SLPP strategy at the 2019 and 2020 presidential and parliamentary polls, respectively. There cannot be any dispute over that. The Catholic Church adopted a transparently hostile position vis a vis the UNP, following Sajith Premadasa’s heavy defeat at the presidential poll, and many of those who backed him felt the Archbishop of Colombo Malcolm Cardinal Ranjith ensured Gotabaya Rajapaksa’s triumph. But, former Yahapalana Minister Harin Fernando, whose bombshell revelation that his ailing father, receiving treatment at a private hospital, knew of the impending attacks, went public with the allegation. The outspoken politician alleged that the Archbishop’s partisan actions cost the SJB five percent of the Catholic vote and the election.

The Archdiocese of Colombo said that Fernando’s comments were unfounded and uncalled for and were made for cheap political gain. Now, the allegations have turned a full circle and the Church is being accused of targeting Gotabaya Rajapaksa.

At the 2024 national elections, the JVP/NPP exploited the Easter Sunday fallout to its full advantage. That exploitation should be examined taking into consideration the Catholic Church throwing its weight behind a US-India backed political operation that forced the President out of Office in July.

In spite of several high profile investigations, certain developments didn’t receive the attention they deserved. Efforts made by the NTJ to form an alliance to represent its interests in Parliament should have been thoroughly investigated. The NTJ sought to form that alliance on the lines of LTTE-TNA (Tamil National Alliance) partnership. Established in 2001, the LTTE-TNA alliance functioned until the very end of the LTTE’s collapse on the Vanni east front. At one-time, the TNA group, consisting of 22 lawmakers represented in Parliament (2004 to 2010). But, the NTJ couldn’t implement a successful strategy. Perhaps, its failure to establish an effective proxy at the 2015 parliamentary polls and the massive political turmoil caused by the Sirisena-Mahinda Rajapaksa alliance, formed in late Oct. 2018. at the expense of the UNP, may have influenced the Easter Sunday attacks. Or the NTJ may have advanced its plans in a bid to take advantage of the crisis situation.

The first indication of a small section of the Muslim community establishing contact with ISIS was disclosed in Nov 2016 by the then Justice Minister Wijeyadasa Rajapakshe. Instead of taking action, Wickremesinghe let loose his parliamentary group on Rajapakshe. Some MPs tore into Rajapakshe who caused himself further trouble when he openly criticised the leasing of strategic Hambantota port on a 99-year-lease to China.

During a hastily called media briefing at Sri Lanka Foundation, Rajapakshe warned that the US wouldn’t leave Sri Lanka alone as long the Hambantota port remained in the Chinese hands. That stunning declaration was made amidst tumult over the Easter Sunday attacks.

What really prompted the NTJ to seek political alliance with Muslim political groups aligned with the UNP. The writer had an opportunity to examine the NTJ’s relationship with the National Front for Good Governance (NFGG) when the political grouping called a media briefing at Mandarina Hotel, Galle Road, in late May 2019. NFGG leader Abdul Rahuman explained their dealings with Zahran Hashim in the run up to the 2015 parliamentary elections. Responding to The Island queries, Rahuman said that though NFGG received recognition only in 2017, he was able to contest the 2015 parliamentary election on the SLMC ticket.

According to Rahuman, he got the opportunity to contest the 2015 parliamentary polls thanks to a tripartite agreement among the UNP, SLMC and his NFGG involved with the NTJ in 2015 and 2016. However, the NFGG ended its contacts with the NTJ after the latter went underground in March 2017. But, by 2017, law enforcement authorities knew what NTJ was up to. In spite of the TID seeking instructions from the AG, that Department failed to respond for over a year. The PCoI, too, mentioned the AG’s department’s lapse in its recommendations.

The briefing provided by Brig. Chula Kodituwakku, the then head of the DMI, at the Janadhipathi Mandiraya, in the presence of President Sirisena and Army Commander Lt. Gen. Mahesh Senanayake, proved that the DMI knew the clandestine activities of the NTJ and Jamathei Millathu Ibrahim (JMI). The writer was among those present there.

Although various interested parties, including the Catholic Church, claimed that Sallay, arrested in February this year and named a suspect in another Easter Sunday case, had been the head of DMI at the time of the attacks, it was not so. Yahapalana Premier Wickremesinghe unceremoniously sacked Sallay and packed him off to our diplomatic mission in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia. The investigation into Sallay’s alleged role had been initiated in response to Krishnan Guru-Murthy’s Channel 4 documentary aired in early Sept. 2023, a year ahead of the last presidential election. The documentary on Easter Sunday bombings became a major issue on JVP/NPP’s presidential and parliamentary polls platforms. The rest is history.

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Midweek Review

Economics is what economists do?

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Top row, from left: Amartya Sen, Jagdish Bhagwati and Rehman Sobhan. Bottom row, from left: Lal Jayawardena, Manmohan Singh and Mahbub ul Haq.

by Usvatte

What is economics is a question that many young people may ask. They may be making choices for university education; some more mature persons may be making career choices, and those vigilant about what goes on in the society around them and how their societies came to be may want to know what economists contribute to that effort. They may all want to know what economics is. Economics is what economists do. What some particular economist did may be found in his autobiography or biographies.

We have a good idea of what Karl Marx, John Maynard Keynes and some physiocrats thought and wrote about. Many economists also set up new organisations like the International Monetary Fund, the World Bank, OECD and UNCTAD. A large number of economists advise governments on economic policy and administer economic policy. A few run intergovernmental economic organisations, like the African Development Bank or the World Bank. A good many work in financial services, including financial assets markets. A large number of economists undertake research partly to understand how economies work, partly to report on how economies functioned so that policy makers and the general public may understand changes in an important part of their well-being. Many economists collect and analyse data for these purposes. A relatively few economists always work on ways and methods of conducting research and examine the limitations of the results derived from research using current techniques and look for new means of understanding how economies work. It is economists from among these, like Amartya Kumar Sen, that win the Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel, awarded annually. A large number of economists teach economics in universities and upper forms in schools. In that process, some set up research organisations. Someone, whom I knew well, who set up a highly successful research organisation was K. N. Raj. He set up the Institute of Development Studies in Trivandrum (then). Many economists, in their lifetime, combined many of these activities. Keynes was a Fellow and Bursar of King’s College, (but never a member of the Faculty and Politics in Cambridge or elsewhere) worked in the British Treasury, partook in the Paris Peace Conference, negotiated the setting up of the IMF and the World Bank, was a member of a Royal Commission and a patron of the arts and founded the Arts Theatre in Cambridge. Above all, he published two seminal books, one of which established a central part of modern economics: The General Theory of Employment, Interest and Money. Closer home K. N. Raj taught economics at Delhi University and was its vice-chancellor, set up the Kerala Institute of Development Studies, advised governments of Kerala and India and lent his services briefly to intergovernmental organisations. He published mostly on the Indian economy. He was the leader of the intellectual community in India and was universally respected. Many economists argue with one another because economists deal with economies, which are enormously complex variegated essentially social institutions. And we know that there is much disagreement among people on the nature and purpose of social organisations.

David Engerman, Professor of History and Global Affairs at Yale, has written a long book (534 pages) with the title Apostles of Development in which he discusses admirably the work of six economists from India, Pakistan (and Bangladesh) and Ceylon (Sri Lanka). They lived and worked mostly after the 1939-45 war. All of them were brilliant students in Cambridge University from about 1955 to 1963.

They were Manmohan Singh, Amartya Kumar Sen, and Jagdish Bhagwati from India, Mahbub ul Haq and Rehman Sobhan from Pakistan (later Bangladesh) and Lal Jayawardena from Ceylon (Sri Lanka). I knew most of them personally, Lal Jayawardena closely, Singh marginally and Bhagwati not at all, (in part, because of my poor understanding of international trade.) Engerman is a historian and has an interdisciplinary reach. He writes a lot of economics and that very well. The meticulous care with which he documents his account bears ample testimony to that training and accomplishments as a historian at Yale. The title of the book derives from two sources. The development of low-income countries had not been a major concern of economics teaching until about 1960, although the early economists Robert Malthus, David Ricado and Karl Marx had studied long term consequences of changes in economies that they observed. The physiocrats in Paris in the 18th century had explored the consequences of certain policies affecting economies. At Cambridge, economics emerged from Moral Sciences and both Sidgwick and Marshal taught there, first. Adam Smith at Glasgow in the 18th century had been a professor of Moral Sciences. Apostles was a nickname given to members of a Cambridge students’ society, all highly intelligent and particularly from privileged homes.

Of these six, the economist who contributed to the almost immediate betterment of living standards of millions of people was Manmohan Singh. Until Singh started policies of liberalizing the economy of India, it was notorious for slow growth, which was derisively named the ‘Hindu rate’ of growth. After Singh opened the economy of India to trade with the rest of the world and cut down barriers to trade in the internal market, India set upon a new path of development and the Indian economy has grown at rates well above 5 percent per year. Those high rates of growth and other policies raised some 500 million people from poverty while they also have enabled the emergence of persons of immense wealth, probably unprecedented in India. (There was the splendour of pre-British India.) Singh in India and Zu Rongji in China both deserved the Nobel Peace Prize for their contributions to reduce poverty.

Singh had worked on international trade with Ian Little at Oxford, where he earned a Ph. D. degree and also worked as a young economist who together with La Jayawardena, worked with enthusiasm to establish the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD) led by Nicholas Kaldor, Sydney Dell and Hans Singer, all three distinguished Cambridge economists. They were senior to these six. Jagdish Bhagwati, who taught at Columbia explored the rationale for opening up economies for trade with the rest of the world. Gamani Corea, senior to them at both Cambridge and Oxford, Lal Jayawardena

Economics

and Manmohan Singh worked as pioneers setting up the South Centre in Geneva. Singh and Jayawardena took a great interest in the reform of the international financial structure. They worked indefatigably in committees set up for the purpose: as Deputies in the Committee of 20 set up by the IMF.

I came to know Rehman Sobhan long after he had left Cambridge and achieved much. We met several times in Delhi in a committee that examined proposals to set up a university for South Asia, which came into being later. We also met in a group, under the leadership of Isher Judge Ahluwalia, to examine the feasibility of coordinating the work of research institutions in South Asia. The initiative came from the World Bank.

Two stand out among economists having contributed to the expansion of the horizons of their discipline: Amartya Sen and Jagdish Bhagwati. They both removed some infelicities that had gone undetected until then and cleared up the way to see new realities. We understand better welfare economics, poverty and economic and social development, thanks to their successful intellectual exploits. One of them had deep insights into the economics of international trade. Three of them, in varying ways, taught us to understand the nature of the information on economic development and how to use them for better policy formation: Amartya Sen, Mahbub ul Haq and Lal Jayawardene dug up new information and handled them in ingenious ways to obtain insights into social formations.

The Human Development Report of UNDP, which had been mostly a dull report, became a lively theatre for debate on questions of economic and social policy thanks to the work of ul Haq, Amartya Sen together with another colleague from Cambridge, Richard Jolly, who regularly worked in the nearby UNICEF office in New York, right opposite mine on 44th Street. Manmohan Singh, Mahbub ul Haq, Lal Jayawardene and Rehman Sobhan contributed heavily to the formation of development plans in their respective countries. They built up new institutions that enriched the architecture for international economic relations: Lal Jayawardene, Manmohan Singh and Mahbub ul Haq. Most of them contributed heavily and directly to the formation of economic policies of their own countries. Of almost equal importance are the contributions most of them made to improve the administration of economic policies in their countries.

Sen taught at Delhi, Cambridge and Harvard, where he was latterly University Professor. He also had the high distinction of serving as the Master of Trinity College, Cambridge University. Singh taught for a short while at the University of Punjab and the Delhi School of Economics. Bhagwati Taught at Delhi, MIT and, for a long time, at Columbia. Jayawardena did not teach economics although his approach to economic problems was heavily academic. Jayawardena’s academic instincts blossomed when he ran the World Institute of Development Economics Research (WIDER) in Helsinki. Within a year of its establishment, WIDER became an essential meeting place for leading economists all over. WIDER published several useful reports, commonly added to college economics reading lists.

Of the six, three stand out: Singh, Sen and Bhagwati. Singh understood the power of markets and created them for India. Sen helped us mightily to understand welfare economics and also brought economics to the centre of popular imagination. Bhagwati championed the cause of free trade: open markets and globalization. He was a fierce debater and many suffered at his hands.

It is striking that six persons who first met as undergraduates in one university worked to change for the better economic policies, the world over. What brought them together? A great university teaching in a language commonly used, at least by the elte, in a number of countries made that concatenation feasible. The circumstance at that time, in both their countries and region and globally, called for their expertise and commitment. That not all their endeavours reached fruition, was a product of the power relations among countries. Nonetheless, the academic world and the material conditions millions of people are richer on account of their contributions.

This short note has taken a long time to write. I apologise to David Engerman for the delay.

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Midweek Review

World unites against unilateralism while Sri Lanka makes opposite choice

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By Sanja de Silva Jayatilleka

This September, on the sidelines of the 81st Session of the United Nations General Assembly, a number of countries from North to South and East to West, thought it necessary to come together in a new coalition of states to protect multilateralism against the recent acceleration of unilateralism which has negatively impacted most of the world.

The members of the new formation called ‘Partners for Multilateralism’ or P4M, established on the 21st of September 2026 in New York, aims to protect themselves against threats to global peace and security including through violent conflicts, disregard for international law, coercive measures such as sanctions and tariffs arbitrarily applied leading to disruptions of trade and supply chains, and to reaffirm their commitment to multilateralism based on the Charter of the United Nations.

The authentically global spread of the dissatisfaction with the subversion of the existing international order through unilateralism was evident from the initial co-sponsors of the initiative: Australia, Barbados, Brazil, Canada, the European Union, India and Kenya, covering all 5 continents.

Further signatories to this commitment were Albania, Bosnia and Herzegovina, the Council of Europe, Croatia, Cyprus, Finland, Guatemala, Liechtenstein, Luxembourg, Moldova, Norway, San Marino, Slovakia, Spain, Türkiye and Uruguay.

This initiative of a formal commitment through a network of countries offering a common platform for dialogue and collective action, specifically as a response to unbridled unilateralism, is a significant moment in current international relations.

Its significance lies in the fact that this coalition of states includes countries of the Global North allying with those of the Global South, in an act of resistance, of breaking traditional ranks, of the rejection of the imposition of the will of the United States. This is a rallying of individual attempts at asserting sovereign independence into the synergistic enhancement needed to contain the obvious risks to each one.

The Joint Declaration states that the members “recognise that economic interdependence is increasingly used as a source of leverage, disrupting trade, supply chains, investment and development finance…”

The Declaration also recognises emerging multipolarity and the importance of international law and the multilateral system. It also recommits to the principles of sovereign equality and territorial integrity, among other things:

“We reaffirm that the multilateral system founded on the United Nations Charter remains indispensable. It has helped provide a framework for peace, decolonization, prosperity, and human dignity. It must now respond to a world that is more interconnected and complex, more contested and more multipolar.

We affirm the need to uphold and enforce the rules, principles and commitments that remain essential to international order, while renewing and reforming the multilateral system so that it is more effective, representative, inclusive and fit for purpose.

We reaffirm our commitment to international law and to the principles of sovereign equality, territorial integrity, the peaceful settlement of disputes and the prohibition of the threat or use of force.”

The full statement can be found at

https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/press/press-releases/2026/09/21/declaration-of-the-partners-for-multilateralism-p4m-summit-21-september-2026/

Got the T-Shirt

China and Russia have consistently reiterated their commitment to multilateralism, though they weren’t signatories to the 2026 declaration of the P4M summit. The Global South has been fighting multiple versions of unilateralism for many decades.

The final document and declaration adopted at the eighteenth Summit of meeting of the Heads of State and Government of the Movement of Non-Aligned Countries, held in Baku on 25th and 26th October 2019, condemns the “promulgation and application of unilateral coercive measures against countries of the Movement, which are in violation of the Charter and international law and undermine, among other things, the principles of sovereignty, territorial integrity, political independence, self-determination and non-interference”.

The UN Human Rights Council which appointed a Special Rapporteur on Unilateral Coercive Measures (UCM) many years ago in 2014, passed its latest resolution in 2023 reiterating that no state can use unilateral measures to “coerce another State in order to obtain from it the subordination of the exercise of its sovereign rights and to secure from it advantages of any kind…”

It also declared that secondary sanctions imposed on attempts to circumvent primary sanctions as contrary to international law and welcomes the launch of a ‘sanctions research platform’ and “uniform and universal tool for monitoring and assessing the impact of unilateral coercive measures and overcompliance on human rights“.

As per the Office of the High Commissioner for Human Rights, the Sanctions Research Platform is a “comprehensive online reference tool dedicated to collecting article, reports, videos and any research material and information on Unilateral Coercive Measures and their effect on human rights”. (OHCHR)

It further states that the tool for monitoring “offers the possibility to observe how humanitarian indicators have been changing yearly, comparative with the data before unilateral sanctions were imposed, with special attention to years when sanctions pressure has been increased or decreased.” (OHCHR)

The Special Rapporteur for Universal Coercive Measures described the tool for monitoring as follows: “The monitoring and impact assessment tool is unique…Due to the political discrepancy among states, adequacy of monitoring and assessment can only be achieved at the UN level through collecting information on specific indicators from all relevant sources, based on the principles of comprehensiveness, impartiality, transparency and verification.”

Submitted in 2023 at the UNHRC, this Resolution was voted against by several countries of the Global North with voting rights: Belgium, Czechia, Finland, France, Georgia, Germany, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Montenegro, Romania, Ukraine, United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland and United States of America.

However, the Resolution passed with 32 votes which included China and voting members from South Asia, Bangladesh, Pakistan, and Nepal among others.

Canada and other European states have now found this particular scourge of UCM at their own doorstep as the current US administration declares its aspirations to annex sovereign territories to its own federation, to name their rivers to reflect US ownership, to impose crippling tariffs and involve itself in violent conflict overseas– affecting all countries of the world given the interdependency of trade.

Despite earlier unprincipled positions on the same issue, the new consensus on the negative effects of unilateralism and participation of the Global North in the P4M is of great value to the international efforts to minimize its consequences.

Safety in Numbers

Given Washington’s economic power and unassailable military superiority, only one country, China, can realistically resist without great cost, the unilateral coercive action by the United States. China has already proved it with successful counter sanctions. This is a privilege not available to any other state.

Iran has been threatened with annihilation already, with a shocking ultimatum announced by the President of the USA at the recent 81st Session of the UNGA, to make a deal, or be ‘quickly destroyed’. How long before the surreal transforms into the real? The premier multilateral institution, the UNGA, was platform for the most classically unilateral, coercive announcement conceivable.

It is in this context that P4M has been formed. Individually unable to prevent acts of coercion, coalitions of states on the other hand is a phenomenon that has the potential to effectively reinstate rationality in international relations, if the momentum grows as it should.

Underestimating Global Groupings

For small South Asian states like ours, groupings such as the Non-Aligned Movement and more recently BRICS, as well as the Shanghai Cooperation Organization are sources of strength and hope, even if we are only aspirant members or associates of some of them. When Sri Lanka was an active member of NAM, it gave us stature and influence far beyond our actual strength in global affairs. Formed at a particular point in history, it served its members beyond their expectations in the decades following its formation, and lasts to this day as the biggest collective at the United Nations.

Coalitions of like-minded states are necessary also to respond to other global realities that exert influence and enforce strategies on countries unfairly, such as the dominance of the reserve currency, especially in the context of sanctions. BRICS has attempted to minimise this disadvantage by agreeing to trade among its members where possible, in local currencies, to circumvent unilateral sanctions regimes. It has also addressed the critical issue of debt and development financing by establishing the New Development Bank. Such groupings and the alternatives being facilitated by those initiatives are relevant to all who discern the unpredictability and uncertainty introduced by unilateralism.

For the rest of the world watching, the Munich Security Conference 2026 at which the US Secretary of State urged a return to a time of Western hegemony was a wake-up call, especially as the conference burst into applause. It’s a relief that things have got clearer, at least for most countries of Europe and Canada since then, as they too became victims.

Cultivating relationships with the members of groupings that are making the effort to carve out a more equitable way of relating to each other in the world should be a priority for us. Seeking membership, partnerships, associate membership or whatever is immediately available to them of such coalitions, to be enhanced later, should be a natural course of action for countries like Sri Lanka. Even as partner countries or associate members, these are platforms to discuss problems affecting us and even to intervene to shape a more equitable global order as a collective. Recent events in Sri Lanka suggest that these developments haven’t filtered through to policy makers, as opportunities to do just that, were squandered.

Violating International Law?

Much more concerning than the acts of omission are the recent acts of commission in the opposite direction by Sri Lanka’s current administration.

As disclosed by Colombo newspapers and confirmed by a US Embassy website report, Sri Lanka has decided to be partners in an activity that the UN has specifically declared as contrary to international law. Sri Lankan state officials were recently trained to assist in detecting violators of sanctions, unilaterally and extraterritorially imposed by the United States.

Apparently several officials attended:

“… a three-day training September 9–11 in Colombo to strengthen Sri Lanka’s ability to detect and respond to maritime sanctions evasion that threatens U.S. security interests and legitimate global commerce… More than 40 officials from the Sri Lanka Atomic Energy Regulatory Council, Central Bank of Sri Lanka, Sri Lanka Coast Guard, Merchant Shipping Secretariat, Sri Lanka Ports Authority, Ministry of Defense, and Sri Lanka Navy built proficiency…”

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Now let’s check the preambular paragraph to Resolution 54/15 of the UNHRC on Human rights and unilateral coercive measures adopted on 11th October 2023 which refers specifically to secondary sanctions:

“Alarmed by the expanding use of secondary sanctions, civil and criminal penalties for alleged circumvention and the means of enforcement of primary sanctions regimes, which are contrary to international law, give rise to overcompliance strategies of States, businesses and civil society

and indiscriminately affect the whole population of targeted countries and impede humanitarian work and deliveries, including those made pursuant to Security Council resolutions”

Perhaps it is time to read the signs and read them clearly, as Sri Lanka’s external relations and foreign policy are being dramatically redesigned.

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