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Central Bank says inflation is on target despite food price pressures

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Dr. Chandranath Amarasekara, Director of Economic Research at the Central Bank of Sri Lanka

by Sanath Nanayakkare

While it is correct to say that the cost of living is rising particularly in terms of food prices, the Central Bank observes that inflation is well anchored broadly within the target range of 4-6 per cent, Dr. Chandranath Amarasekara, Director of Economic Research at the Central Bank of Sri Lanka told the Island Financial Review (IFR) yesterday.

IFR put this query to the Central Bank as many people are often heard complaining about rising food prices adding that there is no mechanism in place to stem it. A consumer in Delgoda told this reporter that a grocery retailer who offers best prices in the area sells Nipuna Samba at Rs.117.50 a kilo, white sugar at Rs.126 a kilo, brown sugar at Rs. 134 a kilo and canned fish Mackerel at Rs. 260 and edible B-onion at Rs. 250 a kilo though the gazetted (regulated) prices for these essential food items are much lower than that. He had bought turmeric curry powder at Rs. 300 per 100grams.

“As you have observed, cost of living is rising though non-food prices are rising slowly. Maintaining inflation in the target range does not mean that cost of living does not increase”. Dr. Amarasekara said.

Elaborating on what he termed as a nationally important subject, he said, “The Central Bank observes that inflation is well anchored broadly within the target range of 4-6 per cent. Year-on-year inflation based on the Colombo Consumer Price Index (CCPI) was at 4.8 per cent at end 2019 and remained at 4.0 per cent by October 2020. Year-on-year inflation based on the National Consumer Price Index (NCPI), which was at 6.2 per cent at end 2019, remained higher at 6.4 per cent by September 2020”.

“The above figures show that there is indeed inflation, displaying that cost of living is rising at these rates on average. For example, compared to prices of the representative consumption basket last year, prices are 4.0 per cent higher in October 2020 if you consider the CCPI basket. If you compare the NCPI basket, average prices are 6.4 per cent higher. However, what the Central Bank is aiming to do is to maintain these increases on average between 4-6 per cent on a year-on-year basis. From what we know from the Sri Lankan experience as well as experiences of other countries is that excessive inflation as well as deflation is not good for an economy, and this is why the Central Bank aims to maintain inflation between 4-6 per cent”.

“When you compare CCPI and NCPI, you will also notice that inflation is higher at the national level than in Colombo. This is because the food category in the consumption basket is relatively small in Colombo – people spend more on other goods – compared to the national average. You see that food prices have remained at high levels, and this is what people mostly feel as high inflation. In fact, if you consider food inflation in the CCPI basket, it was 6.3 per cent at end 2019, but was at 10 per cent in October 2020. Food inflation in terms of NCPI, which was 8.6 per cent at end 2019 has risen to 12.7 per cent by September 2020. Throughout 2020, food inflation has remained at double digit levels,” he said.

“The government is monitoring food inflation closely and has taken several measures to regulate prices of food supplies. In addition, the ongoing drive to promote domestic food production will also result in considerable gains in the period ahead, thereby allowing food inflation to subside”, Dr. Amarasekara said.

Meanwhile, a resident at Mount Lavinia told the IFR that retail grocery shops in the area face a supply disruption due to the prevailing situation in the country which has obviously led to increases in food prices.

A resident in Kottawa said,” Grocery shops here don’t have samba rice. They have enough stocks of Keeri Samba sold at Rs. 120 a kilo”.



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SLT’s dollar reserves rise 30% in Q1, but exact figure kept confidential

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SLT Mobitel senior management gives a press conference on May 19 at SLT Head Office in Colombo

Sri Lanka Telecom PLC said its dollar reserves rose by around 30 percent in the first quarter of 2026, strengthening the group’s foreign currency position at a time when many Sri Lankan companies remain cautious about external payment risks and exchange-rate volatility.

Chairman of the SLT Group, Dr. Mothilal de Silva disclosed the increase during a post-results media briefing on May 19, following the release of the group’s first-quarter financial results, but declined to reveal the exact value of the reserves, describing the information as commercially sensitive.

“We do not disclose the exact figure because it could affect our negotiations with international suppliers and contractors,” he said in response to a question raised by The Island.

The stronger dollar liquidity comes as a strategic advantage for SLT-MOBITEL, whose operations remain heavily dependent on imported telecom infrastructure, including fibre-optic equipment, transmission hardware, mobile network systems and digital technology platforms largely priced in US dollars.

The improved reserve position is likely to provide the telecom group with greater flexibility in funding future network expansion, servicing foreign currency obligations and managing exchange-rate exposure in a sector closely tied to global technology supply chains.

The remarks came as SLT Group reported its strongest-ever quarterly operating profit and net earnings for the first quarter of 2026, supported by rising broadband demand and improved operational performance.

Group revenue rose 10.6 percent year-on-year to Rs. 30.8 billion, while operating profit surged 39.1 percent to Rs. 5.1 billion. Profit after tax increased 53.3 percent to Rs. 3.1 billion.

The company also highlighted continued investment in broadband and next-generation infrastructure, including the wider rollout of 5G services, as Sri Lanka’s telecom sector positions itself for higher data consumption and enterprise digitalisation.

Unlike many earnings announcements that focus primarily on revenue growth and profitability, SLT’s comments on foreign currency reserves may carry broader significance for investors monitoring corporate resilience in Sri Lanka’s still-fragile post-crisis recovery environment.

When The Island asked whether the Group’s profitability was sustainable amid a slow revenue growth environment, the SLT Group said revenue expansion remained challenging, but added that it had a robust strategy in place to sustain growth.

By Sanath Nanayakkare

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Rupee pressure squeezes industries as import costs surge

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Indhra Kaushal Rajapaksa

…exporters gain little as deeper structural weaknesses persist

Sri Lanka’s weakening rupee is placing severe pressure on industries heavily dependent on imported raw materials, fuel, machinery, and spare parts, with small and medium enterprises (SMEs) facing the gravest threat to survival, according to Indhra Kaushal Rajapaksa.

Speaking to The Island Financial Review, Rajapaksa warned that while a depreciating currency may offer exporters temporary exchange gains, the broader economic impact is proving damaging across multiple sectors of the economy.

“Most businesses are struggling because Sri Lanka imports a significant portion of its industrial requirements. As the rupee weakens, costs rise sharply across the board,” he said.

Industries are responding through a combination of price increases, aggressive cost-cutting, delayed investments, and efforts to source cheaper alternatives. However, Rajapaksa stressed that many firms are operating under shrinking profit margins and mounting uncertainty.

“Companies are trying to survive by passing some costs to consumers, reducing operational expenses, and postponing expansion plans. But SMEs are under extreme pressure because they have limited reserves and weaker access to foreign currency,” he noted.

Rajapaksa observed that large corporates are better positioned to withstand currency shocks due to stronger balance sheets, export earnings, and greater financial flexibility. In contrast, smaller enterprises remain highly vulnerable to fluctuations in import costs and financing conditions.

He identified construction, vehicle imports, pharmaceuticals, electronics, logistics, and manufacturing industries reliant on imported inputs among the sectors worst affected by the rupee depreciation.

“These sectors depend heavily on foreign supplies. Every decline in the rupee immediately increases production and operating costs,” he said.

While export-oriented industries may appear to benefit from currency depreciation, Rajapaksa cautioned that the gains are often overstated.

“There is only a short-term conversion advantage when export earnings are brought back into rupees. But many exporters also depend on imported raw materials and machinery, so their own costs increase simultaneously,” he explained.

He added that the burden of currency depreciation ultimately falls on ordinary consumers through rising food prices, higher fuel and transport costs, more expensive imported goods, and accelerating inflationary pressures.

“Consumers are paying the price indirectly every day,” he said.

Rajapaksa acknowledged that some companies are attempting to localise supply chains and increase the use of domestic raw materials. However, he pointed out that Sri Lanka currently lacks the industrial scale and production capacity to fully replace imports competitively.

“There is growing interest in local sourcing, but Sri Lanka cannot produce everything locally at the required scale or cost efficiency,” he said.

The continued volatility of the currency is also affecting investor confidence, with businesses finding it increasingly difficult to plan ahead.

“Investors value stability. Frequent currency fluctuations create uncertainty and discourage both local and foreign investment,” Rajapaksa warned.

He called on the government to focus on stabilising the economy, strengthening foreign reserves, supporting SMEs and export industries, reducing unnecessary imports, encouraging local production, and ensuring consistent economic policies.

“Policy consistency is critical. Businesses need confidence to invest, expand, and create jobs,” he said.

Rajapaksa also cautioned that employment could suffer if economic pressures continue, particularly in import-dependent sectors and smaller businesses struggling to remain operational.

“Some export sectors may create opportunities, but it may not be enough to offset job losses elsewhere,” he observed.

Describing the current crisis as both cyclical and structural, Rajapaksa said Sri Lanka’s economic vulnerabilities extend beyond short-term currency movements.

“There are immediate pressures from both global and domestic financial conditions, but there are also deeper structural issues such as high import dependence, a narrow export base, and low productivity,” he said.

“Unless meaningful structural reforms are implemented, these problems will continue to recur.”

By Ifham Nizam

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SLIM ushers in new era of leadership at Annual General Meeting 2026

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SLIM New President Enoch Perera addressing the gathering

The Sri Lanka Institute of Marketing (SLIM), the country’s national body for marketing, successfully convened its Annual General Meeting (AGM) 2026 on 8th April 2026 at the iconic Galle Face Hotel.

The AGM marked a significant milestone in the Institute’s journey, as a new Council of Management and Executive Committee were formally appointed to steer SLIM into its next phase of growth. Building on the strong foundation laid during a transformative 2025, the AGM reflected both continuity and renewal, with an accomplished group of marketing professionals entrusted with leadership roles for the 2026/27 term. The event brought together SLIM members, industry leaders, and stakeholders, underscoring the Institute’s ongoing commitment to advancing the marketing profession in Sri Lanka.

At the helm of the newly appointed Council of Management is Enoch Perera, who assumes office as President. A seasoned marketing professional with extensive experience in international business, he currently serves as Assistant General Manager Marketing – International Business at PGP Glass Ceylon PLC. Joining him in key leadership roles are Manthika Ranasinghe as Vice President – Education and Research, and Rajiv David as Vice President – Events & Sustainability, both bringing with them strong industry expertise and strategic insight.

The Council is further strengthened by Asanka Perera and Nuwan Thilakawardhana as Joint Honorary Secretaries, Ms. Kaushala Amarasekara as Honorary Treasurer, and Dr. Rasanjalee Abeywickrama as Honorary Assistant Secretary. In addition, SLIM announced its Executive Committee for 2026/27, comprising a dynamic group of professionals representing diverse sectors of the marketing industry. The committee includes Channa Jayasinghe, Vijitha Govinna, Anuk De Silva, Sirimevan Senevirathne, Tharindu Karunarathne, Damith Jayawardana, Charitha Dias, Damith Pathiraja, Ms. Roshani Fernando, and Maduranga Weeratunga.

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