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Editorial

California blazes

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Wednesday 15th January, 2025

Wildfires in the US, engulfing parts of Southern California, have left the world agape. They have already claimed 24 lives and gutted countless properties including 12,000 houses and caused an economic loss of over USD 150 billion so far. Besides, thousands of wild animals are believed to have perished in the blazes. The environmental cost of the unfolding wildfires is said to be incalculable. Particle pollution has added another dimension to the catastrophe, rendering millions of people vulnerable to heart and lung diseases.

Los Angeles was bracing for more extreme winds and flames at the time of writing. The residents in vulnerable areas have been warned of a possible explosive fire growth. It is feared that if meteorological forecasts hold, the horrors of fire-weather will continue into the summer and perhaps spread to the northern parts of California as well—absit omen!

Wildfires in California, which is no stranger to such blazes, were expected to occur with the official arrival of La Nina conditions in the Pacific Ocean a couple of weeks ago, heralding a drought in the southern parts of the state, but nobody thought they would develop into an inferno of this magnitude. Nothing is so certain as the unexpected where extreme weather events are concerned.

It is doubtful whether anything worse could have happened to southern California; the average rainfall has been about 2% of normal for areas like Los Angeles, and Santa Ana wind gusts reached a record 100 mph. According to weather forecasters, there will be no rains in Southern California until the end of January. The predictability of even usual weather events is diminishing owing to climate change. This is a disconcerting proposition for not only the US but also the rest of the world.

One particular dimension of wildfires such as the raging ones in California has not apparently received much attention. It is the possibility of fire weather conditions being weaponised. All it takes to wreak havoc on a country which experiences extreme weather events is a match stick or a lighter during a dry spell, which turns vegetation into highly combustible fuel, with winds matching the speed of freeway traffic. The California wildfires have demonstrated the vulnerability of even a super power like the US while big powers are reportedly experimenting with ‘tectonic weapons’ capable of triggering seismic events.

While hearts are going out to the victims of the catastrophic wildfires in the US, the world must spare a thought for the Palestinians who are enduring a humanitarian tragedy in Gaza, devastated by Israeli airstrikes carried out with US help.

US Vice President Kamala Harris, whose government has been helping Israel reduce Gaza to rubble by generously providing Tel Aviv with funds and weapons despite widespread protests, came very close to realising what it was like to lose one’s own house, when her private residence in Los Angeles was threatened by the Palisades blaze. It is hoped that outgoing President Joe Biden will redouble his efforts to bring about a ceasefire in Gaza before leaving office.

Ironically, the California wildfires have occurred a few days before the inauguration of Donald Trump, one of the leading climate change deniers, as the 47th US President. Unless the Republicans, during Trump’s second nonconsecutive term, care to take cognisance of the obvious and act accordingly, the US will find it even more difficult to face disasters supercharged by climate change. BBC has reported, quoting scientists, that rapid swings between dry and wet conditions in California—known as whiplash—due to climate change have yielded a huge amount of tinder-dry vegetation that is ready to ignite. Many other countries, especially those in the tropics, are equally vulnerable to the ill-effects of climate change, such as whiplash and blazes of extreme intensity.



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Editorial

Sailing between Scylla and Charybdis

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Monday 17th February, 2025

President Anura Kumara Dissanayake (AKD) may be no hero like Odysseus, and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the irate public are certainly no immortal monsters, but the perilous economic voyage AKD has embarked on is akin to sailing between Scylla and Charybdis. The NPP government’s maiden budget is to be presented to Parliament today. It will be the moment of truth for the incumbent dispensation troubled by more than its fair share of problems. What AKD has undertaken to perform on the economic front is a high-wire act, and balance is of the essence; he has had to keep the budget within the confines of the IMF bailout programme while granting relief to the resentful public, whose patience has been wearing thin owing to economic hardships.

It is being claimed in some quarters that the budget to be presented today has already passed muster with the IMF, but even so, problems are far from over for the government. Whether the budget will be acceptable to the public at large remains to be seen. Otherwise, it will entail a heavy political price for the NPP.

In a bid to rally popular support, President Dissanayake has promised pay hikes for state employees, who number more than 1.25 million, according to official statistics, but private sector employees (about 3.63 million) and own-account workers (about 2.8 million) constitute the majority of Sri Lanka’s workforce. The number of contributing family workers is about half a million, according to the Department of Census and Statistics. So, pay hikes for the state employees will leave millions of non-state sector workers disgruntled ahead of an election.

Meanwhile, the relaxation of import restrictions on vehicles may help the government meet the IMF-prescribed revenue target (15% of GDP) without increasing the existing taxes that are already very high or introducing new ones. However, the resumption of vehicle imports is bound to have an adverse impact on the country’s foreign currency reserves, causing the rupee to depreciate and the prices of imports to rise. This is a Catch-22 situation the government may not be able to avoid.

People are in no mood for excuses, and what they expect from the government is the expeditious delivery of its election promises, which range from bringing the prices of essentials down to affordable levels and slashing automobile prices to make cars accessible to everyone. So, the challenge before the government and President Dissanayake is to ensure that today’s budget meets the expectations of the public, with local government elections slated for April.

The government finds itself in the current predicament of having to deliver on its promises even before settling down properly because the JVP-led NPP raised people’s expectations beyond realistic levels to win elections, which looked like promise-making contests, as it were. In the past, the JVP/NPP would take to the streets, asking every newly elected government to grant relief to the public; it called for pay hikes even at the height of the current economic crisis. Now, the boot is on the other foot.

The NPP is being dogged by its own pre-election promises, rhetoric and unreasonable demands during previous governments. One may recall that the NPP in the run-up to last year’s presidential election, claimed that petroleum prices could be reduced by as much as Rs. 160 overnight, and farmers paid Rs. 150 per kilo of paddy. It either did not realise the gravity of the country’s economic situation or erroneously believed that it, too, would be able to get away with broken promises, like past governments, which followed the Machiavellian precept—‘the promise given was a necessity of the past, and the word broken is a necessity of the present’. It is now under pressure from the people who gave it a supermajority to grant them relief.

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Editorial

Local elections

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The Supreme Court determination on the Local Authorities (Special Provisions) Bill read out in Parliament on Friday makes clear that these elections, last held in 2018, due in 2022 and postponed thereafter on various pretexts must be held in the coming weeks. But the question is when? The opposition urges that they be held after the Sinhala and Tamil New Year holidays are over. They argue that with the president, as finance minister, due to present his first budget which is expected to be voter friendly on Monday and the budget debate will take much of March.

The majority judgment held that the Bill must be passed by a two thirds majority which the present regime holds and has not required a referendum so there will be no legislative challenge. The matter of fixing the election dates is for the Independent Elections Commission and the government should have no say in the matter. Nominations for these elections were called and a polling date fixed in 2023 post aragalaya after President Ranil Wickremesinghe had assumed office. Deposits were paid and nominations received. But the elections were not held on the grounds that the government had no money to fund them. The courts ordered that they be held “as soon as possible.”

Some candidates for that election had entered parliament. Others have emigrated and some have died. There is an obvious need for the refund of deposits and call fresh nominations before polling which the Bill provides for. The question therefore will be in the timing of the election. Certainly it cannot be held before the budget. The present regime is very well aware that the election will be an acid test after its heady election victory and will be intent on demonstrating that it remains popular. The opposition will be determined to regain lost ground. How will events pan out? That is the million dollar question.

Gifting sight to the sightless

At the World Governance Summit hosted by the United Arab Emirates a few days ago, President Anura Kumara Dissanayake made a reference to a subject generally taken for granted by most Lankans and no longer accorded the importance or merit it deserves. This relates to the fact that Sri Lanka is the world leader for eye donations – the gifting of human corneas from those no longer living to the sightless or persons with reduced vision. The president said in his speech that anybody using a smart phone could instantly verify this fact for him or herself. The latest figure at 94,959 corneas sent abroad exceeds the 80,000 stated in the Internet. These eyes have been sent to as many as 114 cities in 57 countries since the Ceylon (now Sri Lanka) Eye Donation Society was founded in 1961 by the late Deshabandu Dr. Hudson Silva. This vast endeavor of gifting sight to the sightless has benefited over 58,000 people locally and also enabled 40,000 plus corneas being made available for research.

In his speech, the president said that the fact that this country is the world leader in overseas eye donations is ample demonstration that we are a warmhearted people, a quality that can win us friends globally. No doubt the Buddhist ethic that permeates this dharmadweepa is surely a factor that has influenced the gifting of eyes by those who no longer have use of them; and corneal grafting is now commonplace in ophthalmology. Dr. Hudson Silva’s was a household name from the 1960s onward when he enthused the nation to participate in this meritorious practice and set up the infrastructure to do so so. But, sadly, he is no longer remembered as well as he should. However, the Sri Lanka Eye Donation Society which later extended its work by setting up a human tissue bank in addition to its original eye bank remains a lasting monument to a truly remarkable man.

As a medical student in 1957, Hudson Silva was inspired by the vision of transplanting corneas from the eyes of those no longer alive to those in need of them. He told his mother to donate his eyes when he was no more. She responded that she was likely to die before him and to make sure that her eyes are donated. From this tiny acorn a mighty oak grew and today the Sri Lanka Eye Donation Society performs a tremendous service free of charge. It attracted support from the Government of Sri Lanka and various other benefactors at home and abroad and today owns an impressive headquarters building at a prime location in Colombo. At the beginning the society collected the corneas of people without custodians in government hospitals, homes for the aged and executed prisoners. It carries in its books the names and addresses of over 22 million people who wishes their eyes to give sight to another after their deaths.

It should be known that a human cornea should be removed within four hours of a death to be of future use. The eyeball can be preserved in ice for 24 hours and thereafter for 14 days after the cornea is separated from the eyeball and preserved in a special fluid. The society has over 250 branches with trained technicians to remove eyeballs so that its coverage is almost island-wide. The late Dr. Hudson Silva who captured national headlines calling the government health department “a sick giant” when he was in government service had brilliant public relations skills and media savvy for his time so that the story of what little Sri Lanka was doing in this field was carried the world-over by the international press. Thus it is gratifying that a short excerpt of a speech that the president made at a global summit has once again attracted attention both nationally and intentionally to what Sri Lanka is doing in the area of giving sight to the sightless.

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Editorial

Coal giant awakes, but uncertainty prevails

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Saturday 15th February, 2025

The Norochcholai coal-fired power plant, which came to a standstill on Sunday due to an emergency grid shutdown across the country, shuddered back into life yesterday, feeding the starved grid. The Ceylon Electricity Board (CEB) announced that there would be no more power cuts. The public, troubled by planned power outages, which are as problematic as unplanned ones, must have heaved a sigh of relief. However, there is no guarantee that the problems that caused the Norochcholai plant shutdown will not recur, for their root causes have not been eliminated.

Minister Kumara Jayakody, who is in charge of the power sector, blamed Sunday’s countrywide power failure on an unfortunate monkey that caused a short circuit at a grid substation in Panadura by touching a transformer and dying in the process. The CEB said a cascading safety shutdown had led to the Norochcholai plant failure. A group of CEB engineers claimed that a steep increase in the solar power generation and a drop in the demand for power on Sunday had rendered the national grid unstable and caused a countrywide blackout. There are still many monkeys around grid substations, and solar power continues to be generated with the demand for power remaining low on Sunday. So, the possibility of another countrywide power failure occurring tomorrow or later cannot be ruled out.

Opposition Leader Sajith Premadasa, speaking in Parliament, yesterday, asked Minister Jayakody to inform the House whether the CEB would be able to ensure an uninterrupted power supply tomorrow, given the low demand for electricity on Sundays. But Leader of the House and Minister Bimal Ratnayake, true to form, sprang to his feet, insisting that yesterday’s special parliamentary session had been summoned for the Supreme Court determination on the Local Authorities (Special Provisions) Bill to be announced, and therefore the Opposition should stick to the order paper. The Opposition argued that yesterday’s parliamentary sitting had cost the public millions of rupees, and therefore serious problems affecting them had to be discussed in the House. Minister Jayakody however refused to be drawn in. The government members’ protests and/or silence are not going to solve the problems in the power sector.

The CEB should explain why it has not adopted technological solutions to the problems that cause system shutdowns, especially the Norochcholai power plant breakdowns, which lead to scheduled power cuts. What one gathers from views expressed by power sector experts on Sunday’s nationwide blackout is that it is possible to prevent the Norochcholai plant shutdown with the help of a power infrastructure upgrade. Technological solutions are available, they insist. Is it that the CEB has not adopted them because the CEB has to buy power from oil-fired power plants at exorbitant rates when the Norochcholai power station shuts down? The latest Norochcholai plant failure is believed to have cost the country Rs. 1.2 billion extra a day to keep the grid running. Has anyone laughed all the way to the bank?

The CEB’s losses are conveniently passed on to the public. Hence the need for a high-level probe to find out what really caused Sunday’s power failure and the shutdown of the coal-fired power plant, and whether some vested interests undermined the national grid, as claimed in some quarters.

It is also possible that the so-called oil and coal lobbies are trying to discourage solar power production to advance their own interests. This angle of the issue of power failures must not go uninvestigated. Curiously, a claim is being floated that a fire that destroyed a factory in Horana on Thursday had been triggered by a solar panel that caught fire due to the prevailing dry spell and intense heat. Is it also part of the ongoing campaign against power generation from renewable energy sources?

Problems in the power sector are too complex and serious to be tackled in an ad hoc manner. They must be properly identified before remedies are attempted. A thorough, systematic approach is called for. We suggest that a special presidential commission of inquiry be appointed to investigate unresolved issues, allegations of malpractices, etc., in the power sector, which is Sri Lanka’s Augean Stables.

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