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The unaffordability of politics-as-usual

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Nepal Uprising: “In Nepal, the breaking point came with a ban on 25 social media platforms (until they register with the government).”

“We pay; You flex.” A placard displayed during Nepal’s 8 September protests

On the face of it, there aren’t many similarities between the leaders of Indonesia and Nepal. Prbawo Subianto was a son-in-law of former President Suharto. As a general and special forces commander, he oversaw the crackdown on 1988 students’ protests which eventually overthrew President Suharto. Accused of serious human rights violations including against journalists and political dissenters, he was elected president for the first time in 2024.

Nepal’s prime minister until early this week, KP Sharmal Oli, is a member of the Communist Party (Unified Marxist-Leninist). A lifelong activist, he spent 14 years behind bars as a political prisoner, four of them in solitary confinement. He has served as Nepal’s prime minister thrice.

Divided by history and ideology, the two leaders had one factor in common – an inability to gauge the pulse of the people, especially the youth.

In Indonesia, the breaking point came when reports emerged that all parliamentarians enjoy a monthly housing allowance 10 times the size of minimum wage in capital Jakarta. This was while the government was implementing harsh austerity measures with deep cuts in education, health and public works.

In Nepal, the breaking point came with a ban on 25 social media platforms (until they register with the government). The ban was ordered by the Supreme Court and came at a sensitive time, when social media was rife with posts about the lavish lifestyle of ‘nepo-kids’ (a play on the word nepotism and on the Hollywood creation, Nepo-babies), children of politicians and other power-wielders who are privileged due to their parentage/family connections. “For weeks before the ban, videos were circulating on social media purporting to show the expensive cars, handbags, and vacations enjoyed by politicians’ offspring,” wrote London’s Financial Times. And the images “proved incendiary in a country that ranks 107th out of 180 countries in Transparency International’s annual corruption index and where many say political graft is rife.” Not just politicians. “Earlier this week, a video on TikTok showed images of Sayuj Parajuli, the son of former Nepali Supreme Court Chief Justice Gopal Parajuli, posing next to cars and in fancy restaurants,” according to Al Jazeera.

In both countries, the protests were more or less peaceful, initially.

In both countries, the use of lethal force was initiated by rulers.

Then all hell broke loose.

Both countries have exceptionally high youth unemployment rates. “In a survey published by the ISEAS-Yusof Ishak Institute in Singapore in January, young Indonesians express far more pessimistic attitudes about the economy and the government than their peers in Thailand, Malaysia, Singapore, the Philippines, and Vietnam,” wrote Al Jazeera. There are few employment opportunities and even fewer jobs with decent wages for Indonesian youth.

Nepal’s young people too are prospect-less and increasingly hopeless, “sick of a corrupt political system and a political class, sick of seeing the same discredited old men taking turns to lead and loot the country, sick of seeing no future path but to leave for work abroad which thousands do every day” (https://www.himalmag.com/politics/nepal-gen-z-uprising-oli-resignation).

Both countries once experienced new dawns. In Indonesia, it was in May 1988, with the fall of Suharto’s 32-year dictatorial rule, caused by economic collapse and public protests. The Reform Area with civilian rule and democratic elections began with hope. But slow pace of reforms, continuing economic woes, and unending corruption eroded the mood of optimism.

In Nepal, the break with the past was starker – transition from monarchy to a republic, and the electoral victory of a party which had engaged in an armed struggle against that monarchy. “But they failed to make any real impact and soon became another establishment party. Their failure is best symbolised by how their leader – Chairman Prachanda himself – soon became known more for his personal wealth than his revolutionary credentials. A new draft constitution, shockingly progressive in Nepal’s historical context, was stalled and stalled until it was forced through after much watering down” (ibid).

It is a dangerous business, first nourishing, then betraying popular hope.

On Constitutional Dictatorships and would-be-kings

The NPP/JVP government took nearly 10 months to fulfil one of its main election promises – removing perks and privileges enjoyed by former presidents.

It could have fulfilled that promise much earlier since it has a two-thirds majority in parliament and more. The delay caused criticism and ridicule. The proposal to repeal the 1986 President’s Entitlements Act was presented to the cabinet only in July 2025, obviously in response to the government’s far from stellar performance at the May local government elections.

Now the deed is finally done, for which the government deserves praise. Especially since it seems as if no other political party would have done it, going by the conduct of the Opposition during the debate and the vote.

The President’s Entitlements (Repeal) Act has scrapped official residences, secretarial and other staff, transportation facilities, and pensions granted to former presidents and their relicts. Security for former presidents never came under the President’s Entitlement Act of 1986. Therefore, the Act’s repeal has no bearing on the matter. The level of security provided to former presidents will continue to be determined by a special committee, subject to periodic reviews.

A list read out by Minister Ananda Wijepala during the parliamentary debate demonstrates the degree to which various former presidents have abused the President’s Entitlements Act. The extra staff allocated to former president Mahinda Rajapaksa included 16 cooks, 26 electricians, three personnel trainers, one carpenter, and one dog minder (why a carpenter for Heaven’s sake, or 26 electricians, not to mention so many chefs?). Gotabaya Rajapaksa’s staff included eight chefs, one personal trainer and one dog minder.

Clearly, excess was the norm, entitlement the rule.

Entitlement.

During a recent a pocket meeting, Namal Rajapaksa is captured on camera saying, “Our family did politics for 100 years, father, grandfather. Whether our children do politics or not is in their hands. But if they want to, things must be set, so they can do so. It will be a mess if they are told, Your father and grandfather did badly…” (https://www.newswire.lk/2025/08/11/our-children-should-be-able-to-do-politics-if-they-want-to-namal/). His children are still toddlers, yet he is already planning their path to power, if they decide to tread it.

The Rajapaksas, like the Bourbons, are incapable of either learning or forgetting. If they return to power, the abuse of state resources will return, together with the practice of treating the state as a private fief, rampant corruption, and unbridled nepotism.

Not to mention a constitutional dictatorship.

Namal Rajapaksas reportedly birthed the term during the arrest of Ranil Wickremesinghe. The NPP/JVP government is not a constitutional dictatorship, yet. But that label is a perfect fit for the governments of Namal Rajapaksa’s father and his uncle.

Like the 18th Amendment to the constitution which emasculated the independent commissions, enhanced presidential powers and removed presidential term limits.

Or the illegal impeachment of Chief Justice Shirani Bandaranayake.

In a classified cable written on February 24, 2010, the US Ambassador identified the then Supreme Court Justice Shirani Bandaranayke as a ‘Rajapaksa-loyalist’. She was that indeed. She headed the benches which rejected Gen. Fonseka’s petition for bail, approved the 18th Amendment in just 24 hours, gave a free passage to the Expropriations Bill, and rejected petitions against compulsory Leadership Training and the blocking of anti-government websites.

She might have worked through and around the constitution, even bent it now and then. But she wasn’t willing to violate it blatantly. So she didn’t give free passes to two pet Rajapaksas projects – Basil Rajapaksa’s Divineguma Bill and Gotabaya Rajapaksa’s Town and Country Planning (Amendment) Bill, popularly known as the Sacred Areas Act. Both dealt with devolved/concurrent subjects and needed the go ahead from all provincial councils.

Consider how much more of a constitutional dictatorship Sri Lanka would have become if the Sacred Areas Act had become law.

The Act consisted of four pages and eight clauses. It empowered the Minister of Buddha Sasana and Religious Affairs to acquire any land or building by the simple expedient of labelling it a Protection area, Conservation area, Architectural or Historic Area or simply a Sacred Area. Had it gone through, it would have been Open Sesame for land grabbing, either for profit or as punishment/revenge.

In November 2011, in response to a petition by the CPA, a Supreme Court bench headed by CJ Shirani Bandaranayke ruled that the Bill needed the concurrence of provincial councils to pass. Another bench headed by her made the same ruling via the Divineguma Bill in 2012.

So, CJ Bandaranayke was hounded out of office via an illegal impeachment and Mohan Peiris appointed as CJ. During the run up to the impeachment, High Court Judge Manjula Tilakeratne, who functioned as the Secretary of the Judicial Services Commission (JSC), was pistol whipped as he waited in his car outside his son’s school on a Sunday morning. He had earned the Rajapaksa ire by issuing a public statement on behalf of the JSC warning about attempts to undermine judicial independence. His assailants were never caught.

Now that was a constitutional dictatorship.

The NPP/JVP might head there – its conduct vis-à-vis a disputed property in Yakkala indicates a dangerous latency, an unacceptable willingness to take law into its hand, while a supine police looked on. But the Gampaha High Court has ordered the police to evict those JVP members who occupying the property currently. Whether the police are allowed to carry out that judicial order – or not – will be a litmus test both for the IGP and for the government.

There is much the government does which must be resisted and opposed. The President’s Entitlement (Repeal) Bill is a rare exception. The democratic Opposition’s inability to support that Bill demonstrates how far it is from becoming a real alternative to the government.

Beware of the people

The SLPP’s decision not to support the President’s Entitlements (Repeal) Bill is understandable. Not so the decision by the SJB and the minority parties to follow suit.

The President’s Entitlements Act was the work of JR Jayewardene. But he didn’t avail himself of an official residence, post-retirement. As president, Sajith Premadasa’s father lived in his lifelong residence of Sucharitha, in Colombo Central. He would have continued to do so, post-retirement. And he was already preparing the Visura Building, also in Colombo Central, to function as his office, post-retirement. Sajith Premadasa could have honoured his father’s (and the UNP’s) tradition and supported the Bill. Unfortunately, though he mentions his father often, he rarely follows in Ranasinghe Premadasa’s footsteps.

Sajith Premadasa displayed fidelity to principles and courage in his unstinting criticism of Israel’s genocidal war in Gaza (unlike the NPP/JVP government which seems to be living in terror of Israel; its statement on Israel’s unprovoked state-terroristic attack on Qatar does not mention the word Israel even once!). It is a pity Sajith Premadasa lost that courage and fidelity to principles when it came to the President’s Entitlements (Repeal) Act. He and his party took the coward’s way out and stayed away from the chamber during voting time – probably because they know that a No vote or even an abstention could return to haunt them in the future.

The democratic opposition cannot become a credible alternative to the government if it either aligns with the Rajapaksas or emulates their stances and policies. What will it do if the NPP/JVP is compelled by public pressure to honour another – and very popular – election promise and brings a bill to remove the perks and privileges enjoyed by current and former parliamentarians? Oppose that bill too? What if the government is forced to abolish the executive presidency? Will the opposition oppose that as well?

Sri Lanka still has an unacceptably high youth unemployment rate – around 22% in 2024. Our poverty rate increased drastically thanks to the economic collapse, to about a quarter of the populace. In 2024, poverty rate remained a very high 24%. These are danger signs. If the government fails to deal with these problems adequately, if the populace veer from hopefulness to despair, there might be another outburst of public anger. And the bloody lessons from Bangladesh to Nepal make one thing clear – such outbursts are against not just the governing party but the entire political class, including the opposition.

Despair doesn’t make people rational or reasonable; it makes people lash out against anything and anyone they believe to be responsible for their plight. Keeping Sri Lanka out of that place is the responsibility of both the government and the opposition. Because the price of failure will have to be paid not by one party or individual, but every party and every citizen – and in blood.

by Tisaranee Gunasekara ✍️



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Features

Trump’s tariffs, AKD’s gazette and Sri Lanka’s diplomatic slumber

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“We are rather respectable in Colombo. We go to bed fairly early, and we remain there till morning. “

According to Sri Lanka’s diplomatic folklore, the late S.W. R. D. Bandaranaike uttered these words while explaining the reasons for Sri Lanka’s abstention on the UN resolution condemning the Soviet invasion of Hungary. Apparently, SWRD’s foreign ministry officials were asleep at home when the diplomatic cable seeking instructions was received from New York. In those days, there were no cell phones, Internet, or even fax or telex machines. The diplomatic cables were sent through post offices. Decoding them was a slow and time-consuming process. Thus, the government could not provide appropriate instructions to our mission in New York in time, and the Sri Lankan delegation abstained on that sensitive UN vote.

Sri Lanka’s Absence from Section 301 Consultations

But then, how does one explain Sri Lanka’s absence from the crucial bilateral consultation held in Washington by the Office of the United States Trade Representative (USTR) during March-April on “Forced Labour” under the Section 301 of the US Trade Act of 1974? Didn’t our foreign and trade ministries send appropriate instructions to Washington in time? Even if the instructions from the foreign ministry were transmitted to our embassy in Washington by pigeon carriers, there was enough time for Sri Lanka to participate in those meetings.

In March, the USTR initiated these 301 investigations on 60 trading partners, and invited all of them for confidential consultations. Out of the 60, 46 participated in these consultations. Sri Lanka was not one of them. Other countries that didn’t participate in these consultations included China, Russia, and Venezuela! In addition to that, the Section 301 Committee conducted a public hearing with interested parties on April 28 and 29. Washington-based diplomats, representatives from few trade ministries as well as representatives from many foreign trade associations and chambers participated in these hearings. Sri Lanka was once again conspicuously absent.

As a result, when the USTR published the proposed forced labour tariffs on June 2nd, Sri Lanka ended up with a 12.5% duty. Pakistani and Indonesian diplomats participated in these consultations and took appropriate follow-up measures, and managed to enter the 10% duty category. As even a threat of a modest tariff hike could disrupt supply chains and reduce competitiveness, particularly in an industry such as garments, I discussed this issue on 15 June and underscored the importance of Sri Lanka’s participation at the next hearing, which was scheduled to be held from July 7th .

Awakening from Diplomatic Slumber and AKD’s Gazette

Fortunately, Sri Lanka finally awoke from weeks of diplomatic slumber, and Ambassador Mahinda Samarasinghe participated in the public hearing on 9 July, and promised, “…. · We have agreed to the text in our negotiations with the USTR on forced labour, …. The gazette as we speak is being printed and I’m getting the gazette tomorrow morning, and the gazette will be shared with USTR as I get it“.

As promised, President Anura Kumara Dissanayake issued a gazette on 10 July banning the imports of goods produced by forced labour. These new regulations are very similar to what Pakistan and Indonesia enacted in April, after their consultations with USTR in March. Why couldn’t we do it in April? Why did we wait till the very last minute?

Challenges ahead

“War is too important to be left to generals alone,” is a famous saying attributed to former French Premier Georges Clemenceau. Similarly, monitoring our main markets is too important to be left to diplomats alone. The United States is the largest single-country market for Sri Lanka. Therefore, Sri Lankan trade chambers and associations should become more proactive in these markets and participate in these events. For example, the chairman of the Pakistani apparel exporters association participated in the April hearings. Similarly, representatives from the Indian Agricultural and Processed Food Products Export Development Authority, the Federation of Indian Chambers of Commerce and Industry, the Confederation of Indian Industry, and Reliance Industries also participated in July hearings. At an event where each speaker is given only five minutes (strictly enforced), having a number of speakers from a country is an advantage. The presence of industry representatives in these kinds of events also help them understand the market dynamics and the future challenges. This is important, particularly because there will be many more challenges with Trump’s tariffs.

With the gazette issued on 10 July, Sri Lanka has imposed a prohibition on the importation of goods produced with forced labour. Now, the challenge will be to effectively enforce the prohibition. And what are the goods produced with forced labour? The USTR list only focuses on aluminum, cotton, electronics, lithium-ion batteries, rice, and tobacco. However, according to the U.S. Department of Labour, the list is much longer. Hence, this list may change continuously during the next two years and tariffs may fluctuate once again.

So, this is definitely not the time to slumber.

(The writer, a retired public servant, can be reached at senadhiragomi@gmail.com)

by Gomi Senadhira ✍️

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Tales of Mystery and Suspense 10 Casino for Sale

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After the overwhelming grotesquerie of J K Rowling’s latest Cormoran Strike novel (written, I should have noted, as the others were, under the pseudonym Robert Galbraith), I thought I should return to the world of fun, and also a much shorter description since this thriller moves quickly without the layers of detail that Rowling engages in.

I then move to the second comic thriller by Caryl Brahms and S J Simon. This, their second story to feature Vladimir Stroganoff and Adam Quill, was Casino for Sale, as lunatic a romp as the first, though without the emphasis on the ballet that characterized A Bullet in the Ballet.

This one begins with the impresario Stroganoff buying a casino cheap from Baron Sam de Rabinovich, only to find that it was a rundown place, not the grand casino of La Bazouche, a resort on the Frenc+h Riviera, as he had initially thought. The grand one belonged to Lord Buttonhooke, and Stroganoff could  not compete, until he thought of bringing the Ballet Stroganoff to the casino – which of course leads to Buttonhooke deciding to have ballet performances in his Casino too.

Stroganoff invites Quill to visit him, which Quill decides to do since he has left Scotland Yard, having come into a legacy. No one believes this, and he has to face questions as to what he did to have been sacked, with sympathy for having been found out.

Caryl and Simon

The day he arrives in La Bazouche there is a murder, of a vitriolic critic called Citrolo, in Stroganoff’s office. He had been going to write a damning review of the opening night of the ballet and Stroganoff, when he realizes Citrolo cannot be swayed, drugs him and dictates the review himself to the papers. He leaves Citrolo sleeping and finds him shot the next morning, whereupon he decides to muddy the waters and leave a suicide note and lots of other murder weapons. So much overkill, as it were, of course ensures that he is arrested.

But the excitable French detective who makes the arrest follows up his suggestion that Buttonhooke was also involved, and so the two casino owners find themselves in cells next door to each other, with the detective Gustave quite happy to provide creature comforts for a fee.

Quill decides he must investigate, and finds Gustave most cooperative, since he has a laid back attitude to work. So it is Quill that finds a notebook which makes it clear Citrolo is an accomplished blackmailer, and that there are lots of possible murderers, including Stroganoff’s croupier, who was crooked, Rabinovich, who was now working for Buttonhooke, a confidence trickster called Kurt Kukumber, whose prospectus for a dud gold mine was found in the office and Prince Alexis Artishok who was engaged in a deal to buy diamonds from the ballerina Dyra Dyrakova.

Stroganoff had been trying to get Dyrakova to dance for him, but having done so previously she had refused. But then to Stroganoff’s chagrin she agreed to dance for Buttonhooke. The clearly crooked Artishok had told Buttonhooke’s mistress Sadie Souse, who was not very bright, that Dyrakova possessed diamonds she was willing to sell cheap, and Sadie was determined to have them.

Quill meanwhile finds out that there was a secret passage to Stroganoff’s office, the obvious solution to what had begun as a locked room mystery, and that this was known by almost everyone apart from Stroganoff himself. And then Rabinovich is murdered, just after Gustave had released his two original suspects, leading him to blame Quill for having insisted on that and thus allowing them to kill again.

Soon afterwards Dyrakova arrives, and the town is full of posters announcing that she will appear in the casinos, elaborate posters for either one, since Stroganoff is determined that she will dance for him, and if she does not come willingly, he has devised a scheme to make her do so unwillingly. So, though Buttonhooke has her taken off to his yacht immediately she arrives at the station, Quill along with Arenskaya gets her into a launch and to Stroganoff’s casino, where she performs to tumultuous applause, not knowing for whom she is dancing.

When Quill asked her about the diamonds, she said she had sold them long ago, and that gave Quill the solution to the mystery. Rabinovich had known about this, and Artishok had killed him to prevent Sadie learning it from him, he had killed Citrolo who had recognized him for an accomplished card sharper, not a Russian prince at all. But before he is arrested, he gets away in a boat, and the police launch that pursues him is on the point of catching him up when it runs out of petrol.

Again, lots of excitement, and entertaining references  – Gustave grows marrows – and if not quite as brilliant as its predecessor, Casino was certainly a delightful read.

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The challenge of being positive about SAARC

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The RCSS forum addressed by SAARC Secretary General Ambassador Md. Golam Sarwar in progress. (Pic courtesy RCSS)

It was a few years back that a former President of Sri Lanka took it on himself to pronounce SAARC ‘dead’. Since then there have been other sections of Sri Lankan opinion that have joined the critics of SAARC and taken the solemn stance that SAARC has indeed died what may be called a natural death.

Their fatalism is understandable. SAARC has failed to meet at heads of government or state level for the past several years to take the SAARC process notably forward. Regional cooperation has more or less been only an appealing idea. No substantive concrete projects have taken off to make the idea a hard reality. ‘Inner paralysis’ seems to be SAARC’s lot. Hence the fatalism in these circles.

However, being one of the worst cash-strapped regions of the world and a teemingly populated one with people virtually left to their devices, what choices do the ‘SAARC Eight’ have other than to try their best to band together and continue with their cooperation efforts, however small they may be?

There is no escaping the mounting debt trap for many of these countries and bankrupt Sri Lanka is a glaring example, but ‘throwing in the towel’ and abandoning themselves entirely to the diktats of the strongest economies and their agencies will prove a ‘living death’ for many countries in the SAARC fold.

The gains may be meagre but giving-up on SAARC cooperation in full would prove self-defeating for the organization and South Asia. Right now, the collective intention ought to be to salvage what the region could from the tenuous cooperative efforts. Moreover, such initiatives could go some distance to generate a degree of goodwill among the Eight and help in sustaining a dialogue process.

Given this backdrop it proved ‘a stich in time’ for the Regional Centre for Strategic Studies (RCSS), Colombo, to recently host the SAARC Secretary General Ambassador Md. Golam Sarwar to a round table discussion on the unifying potential of SAARC and its future possibilities, besides other related issue areas.

Held on June 24th and moderated by RCSS Executive Director and former ambassador Ravinatha Aryasinha, the forum brought together a vibrant, wide ranging audience comprising academicians, diplomats, senior public servants, civil society activists and many others. Following the presentation by Ambassador Golam Sarwar titled, ‘Reigniting SAARC: Achievements, Challenges and the Way Ahead’, a lively Q&A followed.

The above forum could be described as an act of lighting the proverbial ‘candle’ rather than ‘cursing the darkness.’ It surely is a ‘darkness’ that could be seen as daunting considering that the region’s pivotal powers, India and Pakistan, are failing to act in a spirit of accord but are engaged in bitter finger-pointing on a number of questions of vital importance to SAARC.

On the other hand, what is the rest of the region doing to bring the above sides together? It is disappointing that to date the rest of SAARC has failed to launch a major diplomatic drive to bring peace between the feuding regional heavyweights. It needs to act without delay and establish its earnestness and this effort would need to prove SAARC’s staying power in the unfolding months and even years.

In assessing SAARC’s seeming failure local opinion in particular has failed to factor in what could be described as weak leadership. Since Sheikh Mujibur Rahman of Bangladesh, the founding father of SAARC, the region has failed to produce a visionary leader who could advance the SAARC cause with charisma and drive.

Among other reasons, weak leadership accounts considerably for the faltering and stuttering status, as it were, of SAARC. Badly needed are leaders who could go the extra mile, think less of narrow national interests and work diligently towards the collective well being of the region but SAARC’s millions of ordinary people have been made to wait in vain for leaders of such stature. Instead, they have been burdened with politicians who seem to be relishing the apparently moribund state of SAARC.

Looking back, it could be said that it was the dynamic leadership factor that led to the launching of the Non-Aligned Movement and for its sustenance for a few decades. True, it could be seen in some quarters that NAM is no more, but as in the case of SAARC, the former too has been unfortunate to be burdened over the years with politicians who lack the vision and drive to unflaggingly advance the fortunes of the South. NAM and SAARC lack the dynamism and vision of leaders of the stature of Jawaharlal Nehru, for example, to give them the required guidance and intellectual depth.

The reasons are complex for there not being among us currently political leaders with the vision and the steadfast commitment to advance the legitimate interests of the South. However, it could be stated with conviction that the majority of Southern leaders have too easily caved in to the demands of the global North and its financial agencies.

These leaders have failed to see, for instance, that the largely market economy oriented Northern governments would not view with favour a centrist economic model that attaches priority to the interests of the dis-empowered publics of the South. This realization ought to have dawned on the current government in Sri Lanka, for instance, some while ago but it has no choice but to abide by IMF dictates since economic survival at present is unthinkable without the latter’s succour.

Accordingly for SAARC this should be the time for some soul-searching. Priority needs to be attached to ending the feuding between India and Pakistan since at present the material fortunes of the region hinge largely on these regional giants giving peaceful relations among them a try. This is no easy challenge to meet but some daring, visionary diplomacy needs to take hold among the rest of SAARC.

There is some sense in SAARC bringing the peoples of the region together through programs that address their best collective interests. A meeting of minds among SAARC nations could enable SAARC and its agencies to build a region-wide people’s movement for progressive political and economic change that could in turn lead to the region’s political leaders sensitizing themselves more to the neglected needs of their publics.

However, the time is ‘now’ for the initiation of these progressive changes and the voice of SAARC well wishers would need to drown out those of their critics.

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