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Sri Lanka: Fewer births, rapid ageing mark a new demographic era

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Officials of Census and Statistics Department

Sri Lanka is quietly entering a new chapter in its history — one marked by fewer babies, longer lives, and a rapidly ageing population.

According to the preliminary findings of the 2024 Census of Population and Housing, released in Colombo this week, the island’s total population now stands at 21,763,170, an increase of just over 1.4 million since 2012. But beneath that modest rise lies a dramatic story: Sri Lanka’s annual population growth rate has dropped to just 0.5 percent, the lowest in decades.

For the Department of Census and Statistics (DCS), which carried out the massive nationwide operation with technical support from the United Nations Population Fund (UNFPA), the numbers tell a story that goes far beyond statistics.

“This is more than a release of data — it’s a mirror held up to our nation,” said Shyamalie Karunaratne, Director General of DCS, speaking at the event held on Thursday in Colombo. “It tells us who we are becoming as a people, and how our future must be shaped with evidence and empathy.”

For the first time in 150 years, Sri Lanka’s census went fully digital — a technological leap that allowed for faster, more accurate, and more inclusive data collection. Despite challenges in areas like Colombo and Gampaha, where final enumeration extended into early 2025, the DCS managed to deliver a complete picture of a nation in demographic transition.

At the heart of the findings lies a simple but profound truth: Sri Lanka is ageing — fast. Fewer children are being born, and more people are living longer.

“The message is clear: fewer babies are being born,” said a UNFPA representative. “This slowdown, combined with low fertility and rapid ageing, signals a fundamental shift in Sri Lanka’s age structure.”

Experts describe this as a “demographic turning point.” The country that once celebrated its youthful energy now faces a shrinking labour force and a rising elderly population. The implications stretch across every sector — from education and employment to healthcare and pensions.

According to the UNFPA’s State of World Population Report, when fertility declines, nations must pivot their focus — from managing population growth to investing in people, especially women and youth. “The key,” the report notes, “is to build societies that can age gracefully — with dignity, productivity, and inclusion.”

At Thursday’s event, the tone was both reflective and forward-looking. Government officials, academics, and media professionals gathered not just to discuss data, but to explore what it means for families, communities, and the country’s future.

UNFPA urged policymakers to look beyond averages. “Behind every number is a human being,” the representative said. “We must use this granular data — disaggregated by age, gender, disability, and location — to ensure no one is left behind.”

The agency also highlighted the need for gender-responsive data, which shines light on issues such as women’s participation in the workforce and disparities in education. “When women thrive, societies thrive,” the official added.

One of the day’s most striking messages was directed at the media. UNFPA emphasized the role of journalists in communicating data accurately and sensitively, avoiding misrepresentation or “demographic anxiety.”

As the country grapples with slower population growth, there is a risk of misunderstanding the numbers — of viewing fewer births as crisis, rather than transition. “This is not about fear,” said  Karunaratne. “It’s about foresight.”

In the coming months, the Department of Census and Statistics will release a series of thematic reports focusing on youth, older persons, migrants, and persons with disabilities. The full Census Report is expected in December 2025.

For now, the release of the 2024 data marks a symbolic turning point — a moment when Sri Lanka steps back to look at itself anew.

As one participant at the workshop put it, “We’ve always looked at our children as our future. Now we must also look at our elders as our teachers — the ones who show us how to adapt, survive, and live with purpose.”

By Ifham Nizam ✍️

 



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CTU: Teacher shortage casts doubt on govt.’s education reforms

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Prime Minister

By Chaminda Silva

The government’s ambitious plans to overhaul Sri Lanka’s school education system and introduce new curricula could face serious implementation difficulties, with teacher unions warning that a longstanding and severe shortage of teachers remains unresolved.

The warning came as Prime Minister Dr. Harini Amarasuriya announced yesterday that new curricula would be introduced for Grades 2 and 6 next year, while also stating that the government planned to recruit around 30,000 new teachers across the education system by February.

However, the Ceylon Teachers’ Union (CTU) questioned whether the government would be able to provide the teachers required to implement the proposed reforms, claiming that the recruitment process itself had become mired in problems.

CTU General Secretary Joseph Stalin accused the government of making misleading claims about teacher recruitment and said the shortage that had affected schools for more than a year would continue into next year.

“There is currently a severe teacher shortage in the school system,” Stalin told a press conference in Colombo yesterday.

He said the government had previously acknowledged that there were about 46,000 teacher vacancies in the school system, but the figure was later revised to around 36,000.

“Those vacancies have remained unfilled for more than a year and a half. The school system has continued to operate with a severe teacher shortage throughout this period,” he said.

Stalin questioned how the government intended to introduce new curricula while thousands of existing teaching vacancies remained unfilled.

He said the Government had initially announced plans to recruit 23,000 teachers, despite the number of vacancies being significantly higher.

Although a gazette notification, relating to the recruitment had been issued, only around 17,000 applicants had been summoned for the initial round of interviews, he added.

Stalin said interviews were expected to begin in November and that appointments would, therefore, be made only from January onwards.

“If there are more than 36,000 teacher vacancies, the Government has decided to recruit only 23,000 teachers, and only around 17,000 have been called for interviews.

Who will take responsibility for the remaining vacancies?” he asked.

He said the problem was not merely one of numbers but also involved the Government’s recruitment procedure.

According to Stalin, shortcomings and ambiguities in the gazette notification issued for the recruitment examination had contributed to the present crisis.

“We primarily believe that the lack of proper procedures in the gazette notification issued for the recruitment examinations has contributed to this crisis. The ambiguities in the notification itself have led to the recruitment process becoming a major issue,” he said.

The shortage was also affecting the transfer system, Stalin mentioned.

A large number of teachers had been unable to obtain transfers because replacements were not available, with some teachers remaining at the same school for 12 or 13 years, he claimed.

As replacements had not been recruited, such teachers would have to remain at their present schools for another year, he said.

“This is a serious crisis. However, the situation is even more critical for students who are left without teachers,” Stalin said.

He also questioned the Government’s plans to close schools with fewer than 50 students.

“We suspect that this move is to take the teachers from these schools and redeploy them to other schools to fill vacancies there.”

The union’s concerns come at a time when the Government is pushing ahead with a major overhaul of the education system.

Addressing the Badulla District Women’s Conference yesterday, Prime Minister Amarasuriya said the Government would introduce new curricula for Grades 2 and 6 next year as part of its wider education reforms.

She said a new curriculum had already been introduced for Grade 1 this year, while new curricula for Grades 2 and 6 would be introduced over the next two years.

The Prime Minister said the Government was developing a new education system aimed at securing the future of all children, with the emphasis shifting away from producing students, focused solely on examinations.

The Government’s objective was to nurture a generation capable of facing future challenges successfully and confidently, she said.

The Prime Minister also announced that interviews for the recruitment of 17,000 teachers would commence on November 20.

She said approval had also been granted to recruit 2,000 academic staff members for the university system, with that recruitment process already under way.

The Government plans to recruit approximately 30,000 new teachers across the education system by February next year, she said.

A special programme would also be implemented to improve infrastructure facilities in schools, the Prime Minister added.

The contrasting positions highlight a potentially significant gap between the Government’s education reform timetable and the capacity of the existing school system to deliver it.

While the Government has set out a timetable for introducing new curricula and recruiting tens of thousands of teachers, the CTU argues that the existing shortage, delays in recruitment and unresolved transfer problems could leave schools struggling to provide adequate teaching staff when the reforms take effect.

With the Government planning to introduce another round of curriculum changes next year, the ability to fill vacancies in time could, therefore, become a crucial test of whether its broader education reform programme can be implemented as planned.

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Norochcholai to remain offline for several days after blackout

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The Norochcholai coal power plant will remain disconnected from the national grid for several days following Saturday’s countrywide power failure, as authorities continue to follow safety procedures after the incident.

The National System Operator (NSO) said the 810-megawatt plant had been shut down as a precaution after the sudden power outage on October 17 and would not be reconnected to the grid until the necessary safety measures were completed.

The temporary loss of 810 MW of generating capacity would be managed through careful electricity supply arrangements to minimise the impact on consumers over the coming days, the NSO said.

It said the prevailing rainy weather was expected to help sustain hydropower generation at high levels, while a projected decline in electricity demand would further ease pressure on the system.

The countrywide blackout occurred at around 11.43 a.m. on October 17 after a generating unit disconnected from the national grid, creating an imbalance that caused the entire power system to collapse within less than 30 seconds.

Restoration efforts began shortly afterwards. By 12.11 p.m., major hydropower generating units had been brought back online and the power system was restarted simultaneously in four separate sections.

The restoration process was complicated by small-scale power generation facilities that were not under the direct control of the system control centre. However, electricity supplies were progressively restored through the activation of distribution feeders from 12.37 p.m.

By around 3 p.m., power had been restored to essential services, including major hospitals, water treatment plants and the airport.

Grid substations across the country had been reconnected by around 5 p.m., restoring electricity to the majority of consumers, the NSO said.

The operator stressed that the sudden disconnection of a generating unit as a safety measure was a normal occurrence at power plants. However, such a disconnection resulting in a complete collapse of the national power system was not considered normal.

An internal investigation has, therefore, been launched to establish the sequence of events that led to the islandwide outage and determine its underlying causes, the NSO said.

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President links businessman held with arms to politicians

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By Norman Palihawadane

President Anura Kumara Dissanayake yesterday said a businessman, arrested with a caches of firearms, ammunition and hand grenades, had links to a politician, as authorities continued investigations into the seizure.

Addressing a public gathering in Badulla, the President said the suspect was among those being investigated in connection with operations targeting organised crime and that authorities were aware of his political connections.

He also referred to a video footage allegedly showing the suspect firing at people in the Weliweriya area, describing it as an example of the dangerous activities associated with individuals possessing illegal firearms.

The 38-year-old businessman, who is reportedly the owner of a cinema, and a relative of a politician, was arrested following a search conducted by officers of the Colombo District Crime Division at the cinema on Hanwella Road, in the Kirindiwela Police Division, on October 17.

Police said the search had been carried out based on information received by investigators.

The weapons and ammunition seized included two foreign-made pistols, a revolver, a foreign-made repeater firearm and a foreign-made 12-bore firearm.

Police also recovered hundreds of rounds of ammunition, including 398 rounds of 12-bore ammunition, 278 rounds of 9mm ammunition, 49 rounds of .32-calibre ammunition and 3,083 rounds of .22-calibre ammunition, along with two live hand grenades.

The suspect, a resident of the Millathe area, is being questioned as investigations continue.

The Police Media Division said police would seek a detention order to facilitate further questioning of the suspect and advance the investigation.

The Colombo District Crime Division is conducting further investigations into the cache of weapons and the suspect’s alleged activities and connections.

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