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‘SL’s inflation reduced to single digit levels in 2023 along with restoration of price stability’

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The Central Bank of Sri Lanka released the Monetary Policy Report – February 2024 in keeping with the requirements of the Central Bank of Sri Lanka Act, No. 16 of 2023. The content of this Report is mainly based on information that was considered by the Monetary Policy Board of the Central Bank of Sri Lanka in formulating the monetary policy decision during the January 2024 review.

This is the second Monetary Policy Report published by the Central Bank to provide forward-looking insights about the economy, particularly in terms of inflation and economic growth. The Report also aims to provide an assessment of risks to the projections on inflation and economic growth, considering the ongoing and expected developments of domestic and global fronts. Through this report, the Central Bank strives to improve its transparency and accountability by communicating the rationale for the recent monetary policy decisions of the Central Bank.

The key highlights of the Monetary Policy Report – February 2024

Sri Lanka successfully reduced inflation to single-digit levels in 2023 and restored price stability, after containing the historically highest inflation observed in 2022

Supported by corrective policies and structural reforms, economic activity gradually regained momentum in 2023

Monetary policy was relaxed on several occasions since June 2023 as inflation decelerated and inflation expectations remained anchored, while external sector pressures eased

Inflation may deviate from the target in the near term mainly due to the recent tax amendments and supply side disruptions, although such impact is likely to be short-lived.

Inflation is projected to stabilise around the targeted level of 5 per cent (year-on-year) over the medium term

Annual economic growth is expected to turn positive in 2024 and gradually reach its potential over the medium term

The Executive Summary of the Monetary Policy Report – February 2024 is given below:

The Sri Lankan economy progressed on the path towards restored macroeconomic stability in 2023 where inflation was brought down from its highest levels in history observed in 2022, to single-digit levels. Moreover, amidst uncertainties and challenging conditions following the worst crisis in the country’s history, economic activity resumed gradually, supported by the gradual easing of monetary policy and monetary conditions and the revival in the external sector.

Corrective macroeconomic policies and the implementation of required structural reforms were instrumental in achieving domestic price stability, thereby reinforcing overall macroeconomic stability. Following the rapid disinflation observed in the first half of 2023, year-on-year headline inflation, as measured by the Colombo Consumer Price Index (CCPI), moderated to single-digit levels, dropping to as low as 1.3 per cent in September 2023 within a year since striking its peak.

Inflation accelerated somewhat to 4.0 per cent by end 2023 due to supply-driven factors and the dissipating effect of the favourable base. Core inflation based on the CCPI also moderated significantly during 2023, reflecting subdued underlying demand pressures.

Meanwhile, the domestic economy made a steadfast recovery in 2023 benefitting from the gradual return of overall macroeconomic stability with the implementation of long-term-oriented economic policies by the Government and related authorities. Moreover, the strong commitment to reviving the economy through the adoption of such policies helped improve investor sentiments.

Accordingly, with uncertainties dissipating and improvements observed on all macroeconomic fronts, the economy recorded an expansion in its activity in Q3-2023, after six consecutive quarters of contraction. Supported by the easing of monetary policy and improvement in domestic economic activity, an expansion in credit to the private sector was observed since mid-2023, and this momentum is expected to continue in the period ahead.

The Central Bank continued to relax monetary policy during the second half of 2023 as the economy reached a state of stability with inflation remaining low and inflation expectations remaining anchored, while external sector pressures eased. Following the rapid disinflation process, current inflation remains closer to the inflation target.

However, projections indicate a deviation of inflation from the target, primarily due to amendments to Value Added Tax (VAT) introduced in January 2024, before it retraces towards the target from around end 2024. This uptick in inflation is expected to be short-lived, thereby posing no significant threat to maintaining inflation at the targeted level of 5 per cent over the medium term. On the whole, risks to the near-term inflation projections are skewed to the upside, largely due to supply-side factors, while risks to medium-term inflation projections are balanced. Economic growth is expected to remain

subdued in the short term but is expected to recover gradually towards its potential. Risks to real economic growth projections are skewed to the downside both in the near term as well as in the medium term, as economic activity is susceptible to adverse developments on the global front that affect export recovery, as well as loss in productivity due to outmigration of skilled labour and structural impediments to growth.

(CBSL)



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Binance signals a maturing Crypto pitch in Sri Lanka

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The community at the event

Frames crypto investing as a ‘measured journey rooted in knowledge and security’

In an industry often characterised by velocity, volatility and viral marketing, Binance’s latest community activation in Sri Lanka suggested a deliberate recalibration of its investor messaging.At its #BinanceHODLove event held at One Galle Face Mall, the world’s largest crypto exchange by trading volume chose a Valentine’s-themed slogan that stood out for its restraint: “Real Love Doesn’t Rush, Neither Should Crypto: A Valentine’s Message for Smart Investors.”

Behind the seasonal branding lies a more strategic theme – one that aligns with the crypto industry’s post-cycle shift toward compliance, literacy and risk awareness.

Sri Lanka’s retail investor base has demonstrated periodic interest in digital assets, particularly during phases of currency pressure and global crypto rallies. Yet market participation has also exposed gaps in financial literacy and susceptibility to high-yield promises.

Binance’s messaging at the event leaned heavily into investor caution. Participants were reminded to scrutinise unsolicited offers, avoid guarantees of quick returns, and protect sensitive information such as private keys and passwords. In a market where informal crypto schemes have occasionally surfaced, such emphasis reflects reputational risk management as much as community engagement.

The company also spotlighted Binance Academy, its educational platform, positioning knowledge acquisition as foundational to long-term participation in blockchain ecosystems.

While the event featured raffles and consumer electronics giveaways to drive footfall, the broader objective appeared to be brand consolidation at the grassroots level. Physical activations in high-traffic urban centres suggested a hybrid strategy: digital scale complemented by localised trust-building.

For a global exchange operating in increasingly scrutinised regulatory environments, nurturing responsible retail participation is both a defensive and expansionary move. By framing crypto investing as a “measured journey rooted in knowledge and security,” Binance is aligning itself with the industry’s pivot toward sustainability rather than speculative exuberance.

The subtext of the campaign was clear: growth in emerging markets like Sri Lanka will depend less on price momentum and more on credibility.

Binance’s Valentine’s message, therefore, may be less about romance and more about risk calibration. In that sense, the slogan captured a broader industry truth: endurance, not impulse, will define the next phase of digital asset adoption.

By Sanath Nanayakkare

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Unlisted tax jitters frizzle CSE rally; analysts flag spillover fears

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Morning gains on the Colombo Stock Exchange (CSE) evaporated sharply in afternoon trade yesterday, as a wave of nervous selling swept through the market triggered by speculation that the government is mooting a fresh 10-15 percent tax on unlisted corporates. Although the proposed levy is currently targeted at entities outside the CSE purview, market participants grew wary that the measure could signal a broader shift in fiscal policy, stoking fears of future tax hikes that may eventually engulf listed companies and dent corporate earnings.

Amid those developments, the turnover was capped at a mere Rs 369 million despite fourteen crossings.

The top seven crossings mainly contributed to the turnover were Commercial Bank 1.60 million shares crossed to the tune of Rs 359.7 million and its share price traded at Rs 223, Renuka Foods 2.7 million shares crossed to the tune of Rs 179.6 million and its share price traded at Rs 63.50, LOLC Holdings 300,000 shares crossed to the tune of Rs 171.9 million and its share price traded at Rs 573, Sampath Bank 821,000 shares crossed to the tune of Rs 132 million and its share price traded at Rs 161, Commercial Bank (Non-Voting) 484,000 shares crossed to the tune of Rs 98.9 million and its share price traded at Rs 204, Sierra Cables two million shares crossed to the tune of Rs 69.6 million and its share price traded at Rs 34.80 and Citizens Developments Business Bank (Non-Voting)  200,000 shares crossed to the tune of Rs 62.9 million and its share price traded at Rs 324.

In the retail market top seven companies that have mainly contributed to the turnover were Renuka Agri Rs 1.14 billion (82.4 million shares traded), Softlogic Finance Rs 653.9 million (115 million shares traded), Sampath Bank Rs 270.8 million (1.65 million shares traded), Softlogic Capital Rs 230 million (19.3 million shares traded), JKH Rs 201 million (nine million shares traded) ,LOLC Holdings Rs 171.9 million (297,000 shares traded) and LMF Rs 171 million (1.8 million shares traded). During the day 369 million shares  volumes changed hands in 39059 transactions.

It is said that banking and agriculture related companies performed well.  In the banking sector  Sampath Bank and Commercial Bank performed well. Further manufacturing sector especially JKH also significantly active in the market.

By Hiran H Senewiratne

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ComBank loan book grows by Rs. 541bn to top Rs. 2tn

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The Commercial Bank of Ceylon achieved another performance milestone in 2025, becoming the first private sector bank in the country to expand its loan book beyond Rs. 2 Tn., with a growth of Rs. 541 Bn. over 12 months at a monthly average of over Rs. 45 Bn., demonstrating its commitment to national economic resurgence.

Recording the highest annual loan growth in absolute terms in the history of the institution, the Bank said gross loans and advances for the year ending 31st December 2025 grew by 36.37% to Rs. 2.028 Tn., taking total assets to Rs. 3.258 Tn. This reflected an increase of Rs. 468 Bn. or 16.78% and demonstrated more than double the growth recorded in 2024. The Bank’s net assets value per share improved to Rs. 198.30 from Rs. 170.94 at end 2024.

Deposits grew by 16.65% or Rs. 372 Bn. over the 12 months to end the year at Rs. 2.6 Tn., reflecting an average deposit growth of over Rs. 30 Bn. per month despite relatively lower interest rates, the Bank said. The CASA ratio of the Bank, which is considered to be the industry’s best, stood at 39.65% from 38.07% as at 31st December 2024.

Sharhan Muhseen, Chairman of Commercial Bank said: “We remain focused on the fundamentals that sustain shareholder value: earnings resilience, balance sheet strength, disciplined risk management and a strategy that is responsive to evolving customer and market needs. Our 2025 performance affirms the value of that focus.”

Sanath Manatunge, Managing Director/CEO of Commercial Bank said: “In 2025, we proved that scale and discipline can move together, growing lending and accelerating digital activity while strengthening asset quality and balance sheet resilience.”

In a filing with the Colombo Stock Exchange (CSE) the Bank said it recorded gross income of Rs. 354.81 Bn. for the year ending 31st December 2025 reflecting growth of 13.70% over the normalised figure for 2024, after adjusting for the impacts of restructuring of Sri Lanka International Sovereign Bonds (SLISBs) accommodated in that year, in order to avoid potential distortion of growth figures. Net gains / (losses) from derecognition of financial assets in the Income Statement for 2024 (as reported) included a derecognition loss on restructuring of SLISBs amounting to Rs. 45.108 Bn.

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