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Russia after Wagnar Mutiny: Putin’s Politics Redefined

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by Nilantha Ilangamuwa

The Gang of Eight in the US was thrilled, expecting a larger spectacle in the Western alliance’s fight against Russia. The CIA, with whom Ukrainian President Zelenskyy shared everything, assured a heavy bloodbath in Moscow. Alas, the inflated balloon unexpectedly burst, leaving their hope in tatters. But, the West’s lost dream does not mean Russia is a success.

As Alexander Dugin pointed out, “clouds begin to thicken again.” Russia has been shaken, prompting Russians and the Putin administration to rethink and redefine their approach. The so-called Wagner mutiny has exposed the hollowness of the narrative fallacies propagated by the West and its corporate media, which contains blatant falsehoods about perceived enemies of the West.

This is not the first time that mainstream Western media has attempted to exploit such incidents to tarnish designated enemies in an unsightly manner. Are you aware of the infamous Ukrainian figure Stepan Bandera, widely known as a Nazi collaborator responsible for the deaths of over a hundred thousand Jews and Poles, and his followers, such as Mykola Lebed, who deeply collaborated with the CIA to undermine the Soviet Union in Ukraine? Declassified government reports have revealed that Ukraine has served as a staging ground for the U.S. to weaken and threaten Moscow for nearly 80 years.

In 1997, Zbigniew Brzezinski, former U.S. national security adviser, emphasized the significance of Ukraine as a new and important space on the Eurasian chessboard. Did you know that Vladimir Putin, as the newly elected leader of the Russian Federation, officially requested to join NATO in 2000, but the Clinton administration vehemently refused?

More recently, in December 2022, former German Chancellor Angela Merkel admitted that the West never intended to push for the implementation of the Minsk agreements and instead used them as a pretext to buy time for NATO to arm and train the Ukrainian armed forces. Shortly after the outbreak of the war, Russia and Ukraine reached a framework agreement to end the conflict, with Ukraine pledging not to join NATO. However, the objections of the U.S. and U.K. prevented its implementation. Subsequently, we witnessed the so-called 36-hour mutiny, led by Wagner, which perhaps stands as the shortest armed mutiny in Russian history.

However, the Western narratives not only failed miserably but also further damaged their own reputation. The inconsistent stances of the US administration regarding this mutiny from the outset indicate a lack of understanding of Russia’s socio-political reality. Despite this, US companies have capitalized on the conflict, holding Ukraine hostage, while Europe has endured unprecedented destruction.

It is crucial for the opposing parties to accurately grasp the geopolitical dynamics of Russia, as Europe needs Russia. Russia is the largest state in the world, spanning 17.1 million square kilometers across eleven time zones. It has been led by the same leader for 23 years and boasts the world’s fifth-largest military, with 1.15 million active-duty troops and at least two million reserve personnel.

Contrary to the analysis presented by Western media, the head of the Wagner private military company, who challenged several high-ranking officials of the Russian army, along with approximately two thousand supporters, had no intention of invading Moscow, overthrowing President Putin, or plunging Russia into civil war. Even disregarding the facts, a basic understanding of mathematics would debunk these false interpretations. However, for the stubborn, egocentric hyper-minds, true comprehension remains elusive, with truth always serving as their archenemy.

Yevgeny Prigozhin, the head of Wagner’s company, is a self-proclaimed general skilled at perpetuating small lies to facilitate grand scams. His primary objective is to maximize profit, not govern Russia. He never opposed President Putin or the administration as a whole. A closer examination of his messages, assuming their authenticity, reveals that his public protest stems from a dispute with Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu. This crisis has been developing internally for years since Shoigu objected to awarding certain military contracts to Wagner.

This so-called mutiny may be an unintended consequence of a private military unit receiving more preferential treatment than the regular army during operations. Alternatively, it could be the result of conflicts arising from the substantial funding—over one billion dollars—allocated to Wagner by the central government in just one year. Prigozhin is a businessman who has amassed significant wealth through his private army. According to reports, his declared personal wealth is US$1.5 billion and continues to flourish.

Putin’s decisive response showcases his strong leadership, prioritizing the state’s structure over personal ties. Upholding the state’s institutions, Putin safeguards Russian society and recognizes their crucial role in his leadership.

Another intriguing observation is Prigozhin’s endorsement of President Alexander Lukashenko’s proposals. President Lukashenko is widely recognized as one of President Putin’s most trusted politicians. This raises the question of what motivated Prigozhin to place his trust in Lukashenko and choose Belarus as a retreat. It remains to be seen whether Wagner utilized the mercenary army to strengthen Lukashenko’s position, as he faces political instability. Only time will provide the answer to this question.

This agreement raises doubts about whether the incidents in Russia over the past weekend were orchestrated as part of a carefully planned drama. If so, even individuals with basic knowledge of military operations and strategies have doubts about whether the strengthening of the Belarusian-Ukrainian border, which stretches approximately 1,084 km, was in preparation for a decisive military operation in the future. As the Chinese military strategist Sun Tzu stated in his book “The Art of War,” ‘all warfare is based on deception. Hence, when we are able to attack, we must seem unable; when using our forces, we must appear inactive; when we are near, we must make the enemy believe we are far away; when far away, we must make him believe we are near.’ Putin may have grasped this strategy long ago during his time in the KGB.

However, the Wagner ‘mutiny’ raises a significant social issue: the potential social divide that can arise when private military companies challenge the state’s legitimate military forces. This issue is particularly important for the future of the region, as the Ukraine-Russia war has transformed into a conflict between two ideologically distinct worlds rather than two countries.

The Wagner incident sheds light on the Russian people and their social opinions. While the Wagner mercenary army undeniably maintains a level of popularity, it is important to note that the company heavily invests in PR campaigns and utilizes troll farms to bolster its image. Meanwhile, Russia’s invasion has proven to be more protracted than initially anticipated. But, historical precedent shows that Russians have endured prolonged wars before, albeit reluctantly.

Despite this, a formidable political alternative capable of challenging Putin’s leadership has yet to emerge. Western countries have made attempts to create viable alternatives since 1991, but their lack of understanding of Russian society has hindered their success. Destabilizing Russia’s internal structures can weaken its strength, a fact that former KGB operative Putin is well aware of. To dismantle Putin’s administration, one must employ individuals with a profound understanding of his character. Thus, when Prigozhin voiced his protest, Western countries and their pro-Ukraine media hailed him as a hero.

Whether the Wagner mutiny is factual or merely a scene from a drama, it highlights the challenges faced by states that rely on private armies. Two years prior to President Putin’s military operations in Ukraine, Eric Prince, the former head of the US mercenary company previously known as Blackwater (later renamed Xe Services and then Academi in 2011), held a meeting with top officials of Ukrainian President Zelensky on February 23, 2020. During this meeting, Prince proposed that his private army was ready to engage in war against Russia.

Eric’s mercenary army first gained public attention during the US invasion of Iraq, has been involved in operations across various regions, including Africa. Although Eric Prince’s mission in Ukraine failed, there are other private military companies actively involved in conflicts against Russia. Reports suggest that officers in these companies can earn as little as two thousand US dollars per day, highlighting the lucrative nature of such operations.

However, the detrimental impact of maintaining private armies on official state forces should not be underestimated. In response, the United Nations adopted the International Convention Against the Recruitment, Use, Financing, and Training of Mercenaries on December 4, 1989, which came into force on October 20, 2001. It is worth noting that some of the world’s largest and most powerful armies, including those of the United States, Russia, China, France, and the United Kingdom, have not ratified this convention. This inconsistency raises questions about the true stance of these countries on the use of mercenaries and private military companies.

In March 2024, Russia will hold its presidential elections, eight months ahead of the US race. It will be President Putin’s first election since the 2020 constitutional amendment. The upcoming winter holds immense significance for all parties involved and may determine the outcome of the war. The impact of his invasion of Ukraine and the presence of mercenary forces throughout his tenure will undoubtedly shape the presidential election’s outcome, a crucial task in times of war. Whether the Wagner incident is genuine or orchestrated, it has given President Putin’s politics a new dimension. As one of Russia’s longest-serving leaders, Putin faces a critical juncture, and the choices he makes will undoubtedly shape the future, for better or worse.



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The CPC’s decisive role in China’s rise to economic superpower

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Dr. Jayatilleka speaking at the 105th anniversary celebration of the Communist Party of China, organised by the CGTN Sinhala Service and hosted by the Communist Party of Sri Lanka.

[Translation from the original Sinhala speech delivered at the 105th anniversary celebration of the Communist Party of China, organised by the CGTN Sinhala Service and hosted by the Communist Party of Sri Lanka. Watch full speech. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v* C90V4qY7iGQ]

Before the MoU between the United States and Iran was signed, President Trump let slip something crucial at the G7 meeting in France. When he was asked how Iran’s enriched uranium was to be removed from the country, Trump said that the enrichment facility had been placed beneath a mountain by the Iranian government but US B2 bombers caved-in the mountain itself, burying the uranium under its rubble, making it almost impossible to retrieve. He claimed that the United States was the only country in the world which had the capacity to retrieve it, pausing momentarily and adding “and China”.

So, by President Trump’s admission, this impossible task could be handled by only two countries on the planet: the US or China.

China arrived at this point of development, not by having been a colonial power for centuries like the UK and much of Western Europe. Nor by transnational corporations extracting resources for many decades from around the world. Not by establishing over hundreds of military bases all over the globe. But today, even the US accepts that China has now reached the status of a “peer competitor”.

Some would say that China is a civilisational state, and was able to do so because of nationalism built on their ancient civilisation. But it is while this same civilisation was in place that Genghis Khan’s Mongols were able to breach the Great Wall, enter China and conquer it. It is during this same civilisation that Britain was able to use its warships’ cannons to force China to buy and consume opium (‘the Opium Wars’). Therefore, the great and rapid rise of China is not purely attributable to its ancient civilisation.

China’s economic development has eliminated absolute poverty within a short period of 40 years, for the first time in the economic history of the world and done so without a history of colonialism.

So how did China achieve this miracle and when did this happen?

The initial efforts were under the leadership of Sun Yat-Sen, who founded the Guomindang, a patriotic, modernising, progressive party. His party was supported by Lenin but the character of that party completely changed after his death. In 1926 the party was an honorary member of the Executive Committee of the Communist International, but in 1927, under the leadership of Chiang Kai-shek, they collaborated with the colonial powers and foreign capitalists based in China to turn on and massacre the Communist Party of China in Shanghai and Canton.

We cannot conclude that the Guomindang party was the driver of the rise of China, because they were unable to protect China from Japan’s war of aggression against it (1937).

Mao Zedong

That task could only be achieved by the Communist Party of China (CPC) which was born in 1921, 105 years ago. Among the founders of that party was young Mao Zedong. Mao became the leader of the Communist Party during 7th Congress in Zunyi in 1935.

So how did the leadership of the Communist Party of China (CPC) initiate and steer the rise of China to its current Great Power status?

The secret of its success can be grasped by understanding the CPC through three major periods of its history, under the leaderships respectively of Mao Zedong, Deng Xiaoping and Xi Jinping.

In September 1959, Mao Zedong himself explained the secret of China’s success, in an address to the Military Commission of the Central Committee of the CPC. Mao explained that if the political and military lines are correct, then you will receive all that you don’t have, such as cadre, people, weapons and eventually power. But if the political and military lines are incorrect, you will lose all that you have– cadre, the people, weapons and power.

Therefore, the secret which is revealed is that of the correct line, i.e. correct thinking; the thought process. The Chinese Communist Party has never claimed that they always had the correct line of thinking from its inception through to the present day. According to the official history of the party, there were at least 11 struggles between ‘two lines’ in the history of the party.

That’s how we know that there were struggles against Chen Du Xiu’s ‘rightist deviation’ and Li LiSan’s and Wang Ming’s ultra-left lines. The people were informed about these struggles through the published writings and speeches of Mao and other leaders throughout the history of the party. The CPC didn’t attempt to hide the line-struggles.

Mao was not only a great political leader, but also a great military leader, philosopher and poet. He taught that in order to arrive at the correct line; one has to correctly identify contradictions; distinguish between antagonistic contradictions (with the enemy) and non-antagonistic contradictions (among friends); recognise the primary and secondary contradictions; understand the main and secondary aspects of the contradiction and how the secondary becomes the primary and vice versa. It is according to this philosophical methodology that the correct line could be established.

For example, when Japan invaded China, the main enemy became this external aggressor. But when there was no external threat, the CPC taught that the main enemy was the comprador capitalists, bureaucrat capitalists and semi-colonialism. The ‘comprador capitalist’ class is the intermediary class between the imperialist power and the country; the agent of colonialism.

Mao and the CPC also recognised the role of the ‘national bourgeoisie’. This is the nationalist capitalist class that stood for a national industrialisation and the national market, and had some contradictions with colonialism. One cannot achieve a victory without distinguishing between these different factions and strata of the capitalists. One cannot embrace the comprador capitalists and/or bureaucrat-capitalists in order to develop a country. That was not the way China achieved its victories.

The Chinese Communist Party understood the contradictions correctly, and when there was an incorrect understanding of the contradictions, they fearlessly engaged in ‘line-struggles’ and ensured the correct line prevailed. It is in 1935 that the CPC under the leadership of Mao arrived at last, at the correct line. Even after that there were struggles of rectification, as in 1942.

The Countryside and the Peasantry

The great victories during Mao’s period were the victory in the struggle for national liberation by defeating Japan, and the peasant-based revolution. An important feature of Mao’s thinking was that in countries like ours, in the global south, the primary force was the rural peasantry. Without considering the rural peasantry as the main force, one cannot arrive at the correct line. This is the reason that while India is a great economic power, China has become an economic superpower. Why? Because there are no semi-feudal residues of casteism among the peasantry in China unlike in India. This is because the national liberation struggle of the CPC had as its

main force, the rural peasantry and its main arena, the countryside.

Mao Zedong recognized clearly the reality of China at the time. He said it was a semi-feudal, semi-colonized country. Why semi-colonized? Because all of China was colonized not by one colonial power but different parts of the country, especially the coastal ports and cities, were dominated by different foreign powers. This was done through China’s comprador- bureaucratic capitalist class.

Having put an end to all these challenges, the foundation for the China we see today was laid by Mao Zedong. On October 1st 1949, addressing the people at a meeting to celebrate the victory of the Chinese Revolution and the liberation of China, the first sentence he uttered was “The Chinese people have stood up!”

Deng Xiaoping

The second period was of Deng Xiaoping. During the armed people’s revolution in China, there was a huge province-wide liberated zone under Deng. The pragmatic economic policies he implemented in that province were different from the policies adopted in other liberated zones under other CPC leaders. What he had was a model of economics that enabled and provided opportunities for the rural areas and the peasantry to grow prosperous.

Decades after the Revolution Deng was expelled from power but Zhou Enlai rehabilitated him. When he assumed the CPC leadership there were three great contributions that Deng made. First, he introduced an objective historical analysis of Chairman Mao to the party and the country. He didn’t completely reject Mao the way that the Soviet Communist Party did to Stalin, nor did he say that Mao was holy and infallible. He didn’t maintain a cult of Mao but didn’t negate him.

He followed Mao method regarding Stalin. Mao said that Stalin got more things right than wrong– 70% right and 30% wrong. Deng did a similar analysis of Mao. Because of that balanced perspective China was able to move forward taking the best from the past and eliminating what was bad. This was publicized widely, not limited to secret meetings inside the party. The Central Committee Resolution passed at the Party Congress in 1981 is available as a book, which analyses the errors made in the period encompassing the Great Leap Forward, the Cultural Revolution and the rue of the ultra-left Gang of Four.

In economics, the first thing Deng did was to implement policies enabling the rural peasantry to become wealthy. The enriched peasantry in turn deposited their savings in state banks. The state then was able to invest those savings for the leap in its industrial development.

His second step was to open the coastal areas to foreign capital. In this, he was encouraged by Lee Kuan Yew, during his 1978 visit to Singapore. Lee said to him, if the Singaporeans who originated from China’s poor fishing communities can transform their economy from Third World to First, it would be not be difficult for you and your comrades from the educated Chinese elite from the cities including Beijing, to do so. Deng took this advice into account.

Xi Jinping and Globalization

The third great period in the history of China led by the CPC is the on-going period of Xi Jin Ping. There are many things one can say about this period but I will draw out just one lesson: the question of globalization. Now, in Sri Lanka as well as in many other countries, there is a leftist denunciation of globalization and an anti-globalization movement. Yet the Communist Manifesto by Karl Marx and Friedrich Engels recognizes and applauds globalization by capitalism and the bourgeoisie.

However, Xi Jinping offers a new perspective. He is against the inequity and unfairness of the prevailing system of globalization. He says China stands for globalization, but offers the Belt and Road project of globalization, which is very different to colonial, neocolonial and neo-liberal globalization. It is a developmental project in which China is prepared to invest in the infrastructure development of countries.

In Sri Lanka one group is opposed to globalization, but when they obtain state-power, rush to embrace it as it is in the neoliberal version! Another group is partial to neoliberal globalization but their neoliberal version of globalization disregards the protection of sovereignty, and agrees to demands of bridges and channels to neighboring big countries. People are opposed to this kind of anti-national, unpatriotic globalization. Even in Britain, people were opposed to this, hence Brexit, Britian’s exit from the European Union.

Under President Xi, a powerful, important and modern conceptual intervention has been made, offering a more balanced, more equitable world order and an alternative globalization project. It is a balanced, multipolar globalization.

In my presentation, I’ve outlined the paradigmatic thinking in these three great periods of the Communist Party of China founded 105 years ago, that drove the unique economic miracle of China and its rapid rise to ‘peer competitor’ status with the USA.

 

by Dr Dayan Jayatilleka

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Household economic friction and hidden pressures on Sri Lanka’s fixed-income middle class

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Beyond macroeconomic stability:

Beyond the Headline Numbers

Sri Lanka’s recovery from the economic crisis has been accompanied by encouraging improvements in several macroeconomic indicators. Inflation has declined significantly from the unprecedented levels experienced during the crisis, shortages of essential goods have largely disappeared, foreign exchange conditions have improved and greater economic stability has gradually returned. These achievements deserve recognition because restoring macroeconomic stability is an essential foundation for sustainable economic recovery. Stable prices create confidence for investment, business planning and long-term development. Yet for many Sri Lankans who depend on fixed monthly salaries, one important question remains: if the economy is recovering, why does maintaining a reasonable standard of living still feel increasingly difficult?

The answer is not that inflation statistics are misleading. Inflation measures changes in the general price level and remains one of the country’s most important macroeconomic indicators. The challenge is that households experience the economy differently from national statistics. They experience it through the markets they enter every day. Buying food, paying utility bills, obtaining healthcare, educating children, maintaining homes and vehicles, accessing digital services required for work, and purchasing numerous everyday services determine whether improvements in the national economy are genuinely reflected in household welfare. In other words, macroeconomic recovery reaches households through markets.

Household Economic Friction

For many fixed-income households, these markets have become increasingly difficult to navigate. While prices of many retail goods are clearly displayed, a considerable share of household expenditure occurs in service markets where prices are neither standardised nor easily comparable. Vehicle servicing, household repairs, personal care services, private healthcare, tuition and numerous other essential services frequently operate without clear reference prices, making it difficult to judge whether the amount charged represents a reasonable price. The burden extends beyond the money eventually spent. Families increasingly devote time and mental effort to comparing prices, evaluating alternatives, judging quality, searching for reliable service providers, seeking recommendations from friends and relatives, travelling between businesses and postponing decisions until they feel sufficiently confident and deciding how best to allocate their limited household budgets. For working households balancing professional responsibilities with family commitments, these activities consume valuable time and mental effort. Together, these hidden costs create what may be described as household economic friction—the cumulative burden arising from market uncertainty, uneven price transmission, quality uncertainty and the limited ability of fixed-income households to adjust their incomes as rapidly as markets change. These hidden costs are rarely reflected in economic statistics, yet they have become an increasingly important part of everyday economic life.

This uncertainty becomes more visible whenever fuel or electricity prices change. Higher energy costs are naturally expected to increase the cost of producing goods and delivering services. However, the way these costs are passed on to consumers is often uneven. Similar businesses may respond quite differently to the same increase in energy costs, resulting in price adjustments that are difficult for consumers to anticipate or understand. Combined with regional differences in prices and varying service standards, this makes household budgeting increasingly uncertain even when family incomes remain unchanged.

Price, however, is only one part of the decision-making process. Households are ultimately searching for value rather than simply the lowest price. Yet in many markets it is difficult to assess quality before making a purchase. Fresh food may differ in quality despite similar prices, the durability of a vehicle repair becomes evident only after the work is completed, and many household services rely on professional expertise that consumers cannot easily evaluate beforehand. Paying more therefore does not always guarantee receiving better value.

Why Household Economic Friction Matters

The capacity to respond by increasing household income is also becoming increasingly constrained. Unlike businesses that can adjust prices or entrepreneurs who may diversify their income sources, most fixed-income professionals have limited flexibility to generate additional earnings. Many already work in occupations with demanding responsibilities, leaving little time or energy for supplementary economic activities. Even where additional employment or small business opportunities are possible, weaker consumer demand, rising operating costs and increased competition have reduced the viability of many income-generating ventures. Moreover, many professionals possess valuable knowledge, technical skills and experience, yet converting this human capital into supplementary income is often constrained by institutional responsibilities, professional commitments and prevailing economic conditions.

Pursuing additional income may also require sacrificing time that would otherwise be devoted to family responsibilities, rest or professional development. Consequently, for many fixed-income households, adjustment occurs primarily through changes in expenditure rather than increases in income. Teachers, university academics, nurses, engineers, government officers, bank employees and many other professionals generally adapt by purchasing smaller quantities of relatively expensive items while substituting cheaper alternatives where possible, scrutinising discretionary spending more carefully, and extending the life of household equipment rather than replacing.

The consequences of these adjustments are often gradual and therefore easy to overlook. Decisions to postpone building repairs or home expansions, defer vehicle maintenance, delay household investments, or reduce spending on recreation and leisure activities may appear to be household rational decisions. Collectively, however, these decisions reduce demand for a wide range of local industries and services. What begins as prudent household budgeting can gradually influence broader patterns of economic activity, illustrating that the effects of household economic friction extend well beyond individual family budgets and into the productive capacity of the economy.

Sri Lanka’s fixed-income professionals represent a substantial share of the country’s human capital. Teachers educate future generations, university academics generate knowledge, healthcare professionals provide essential services, engineers maintain infrastructure, and public servants support the institutions upon which economic and social development depend. Their contribution cannot be measured solely by salaries or employment statistics; it is reflected in the quality, efficiency and continuity of the services they provide.

When sustained professional effort is no longer accompanied by a corresponding improvement in household living standards, maintaining motivation, investing in professional development, accepting additional responsibilities and consistently delivering high-quality work become progressively more challenging. Although many professionals continue to serve with dedication and commitment, persistent financial pressure may gradually influence organisational performance, service quality and institutional effectiveness—effects that are rarely reflected in conventional macroeconomic indicators.

The discussion surrounding Sri Lanka’s skilled workforce has understandably focused on migration during recent years. While outward migration deserves attention, equal consideration should be given to those who have chosen to remain and continue contributing through their professions. Retaining experienced teachers, researchers, healthcare workers, engineers and public servants is not merely a labour market issue. These professionals represent a valuable stock of human capital whose knowledge, experience and continued commitment are essential to Sri Lanka’s long-term development. Creating conditions that enable these professionals to maintain reasonable living standards and confidence in their future strengthens not only individual wellbeing but also national resilience.

The Next Phase of Recovery

Recognising these challenges does not diminish the importance of macroeconomic stabilisation. On the contrary, restoring stability has created the opportunity to address the next generation of economic reforms. The focus can now expand beyond restoring stability to improving the quality and efficiency of the markets through which households experience the economy every day.

Several practical measures deserve consideration. Improving price transparency in service markets would enable consumers to make more informed decisions while encouraging fair competition among businesses. Strengthening consumer access to reliable market information and improving quality assurance mechanisms would reduce uncertainty and increase confidence in everyday transactions. These measures would not require extensive market intervention; rather, they would help markets function more efficiently by reducing information gaps between buyers and sellers.

Periodic reviews of work-related allowances and professional support mechanisms would also help ensure that institutional arrangements evolve alongside changing patterns of work and living costs. The changing nature of professional work also deserves attention. Such reviews would help ensure that evolving workplace requirements remain aligned with the resources needed to perform those responsibilities effectively.

Equally important is recognising that improvements in household welfare cannot rely solely on periodic salary revisions. Well-functioning markets, transparent pricing, informed consumers, fair competition and efficient institutions all contribute to determining how effectively fixed incomes are translated into everyday living standards. Strengthening these foundations benefits households, businesses and the wider economy alike.

Sri Lanka has made remarkable progress in restoring macroeconomic stability under exceptionally difficult circumstances, and that achievement deserves recognition. Macroeconomic stability provides the foundation for recovery, but households ultimately judge economic progress through the markets they encounter every day. The next phase of recovery should therefore focus on strengthening the transparency, efficiency and reliability of those markets so that economic progress is experienced not only in national statistics but also in the everyday lives of Sri Lankan families. At the same time, this progress should strengthen and support the people who continue to invest their skills and careers in Sri Lanka. Safeguarding this valuable stock of human capital is not simply a matter of improving household welfare; it is an investment in sustaining the knowledge, commitment and productivity upon which the country’s long-term development depends.

About the Author

Kapila Chinthaka Premarathne is the Head of the Department of Agricultural Systems and a Senior Lecturer in Agricultural Economics at the Faculty of Agriculture, Rajarata University of Sri Lanka.

by Kapila Chinthaka Premarathne

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Recurring dengue epidemics: A commando operation needed

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A university student at Ruhuna has died of dengue recently, yet another young life was lost while officials trot out the same tired clichés about “clean premises” and “public responsibility.” This ritualistic blameshifting has become the drunken gibberish of a health system that refuses to confront its own failure. Every death is treated as an unfortunate accident rather than the predictable outcome of chronic successive governmental paralysis.

I have lived through this nightmare personally. In Galle, two schoolchildren from the same family died some years ago, triggering public fury so intense that roads were blocked and tyres burned. I do not condone the chaos, but I understand it. When you raise children in a dengue-stricken district, fear becomes a daily companion. I mosquitoproofed my home decades before it became fashionable, drenched my children in citronella, shut windows at 4:30 p.m., and became a nuisance to my own family, but I refused to apologise for protecting them. Today my daughter, once the toddler I guarded obsessively, is a postgraduate trainee in Community Medicine after doing her bit as an MOH fighting dengue in the deep interior. I am proud beyond words.

The tragedies never stopped. I still remember the day a friend rushed his daughter to me, when I was surgeon Teaching Hospital, Karapitiya, misdiagnosed with appendicitis. She had classic dengue warning signs, headache, lymphocytic shift, early thrombocytopenia and absolutely no clinical signs on the part of the abdominal wall overlying the appendix. I referred her urgently, but inexperience elsewhere cost her life. She died in Colombo after three days in the ICU of a well-known private hospital. That was 1988. The story is unchanged.

Sri Lanka’s dengue burden has only worsened.

* 2023: over 80,000 cases and over 50 deaths.

* 2024: more than 90,000 cases, with spikes in Colombo, Gampaha, Kalutara, Kandy, and Batticaloa.

* 2026 (to date): already 53,000+ cases, with the Epidemiology Unit warning of another major surge after the monsoon.

These numbers fluctuate, but the pattern is constant: epidemics every year, preventable deaths every year, excuses every year.

The official narrative blames urbanisation, four viral serotypes, climate change, and “public negligence.” The truth is simpler and more damning: Sri Lanka has never implemented a rational, scientific, sustained dengue eradication programme. The attitude is defeatist, dispassionate, and bureaucratically comatose.

History shows what works. In the mid 20th century, Aedes aegypti was eliminated from 27 countries in the Americas through coordinated militarystyle operations. Cuba remains the modern example, dengue-free for years because of relentless, structured, repetitive vector control. Meanwhile, Sri Lanka continues to rely on punitive measures and sermonising PHIs. Punishment has never eradicated a mosquito anywhere on earth.

What we need is not rocket science it is willpower.

A National Commando-Style Operation

Sri Lanka’s 14,000+ Grama Niladhari Divisions can be systematically cleaned. Each GND is roughly 4.5 km² manageable in a single day with 200 volunteers. The plan is simple:

* Simultaneous nationwide cleanups to prevent mosquitoes escaping to neighbouring areas.(Aedes Egypti can fly up to a kilometre).

* Fumigation of heavily infested zones.

* Repetition every three weeks, initially, then quarterly.

* Central steering committees in each GND with MOHs, PHIs, local officials, and private sector partners.

* Government reimbursement for equipment.

* A declared public holiday for national mobilisation.

* Continuous public education.

* Mandatory mosquito net isolation of all suspected dengue patients to prevent mosquitoes from acquiring the virus.

If mosquito numbers fall below a critical threshold, epidemics will cease. But this requires discipline, repetition, and leadership, not sporadic “cleanup weeks” and press conferences.

Structural Failures That Must Be Confronted

A sustainable programme demands:

* Medical entomologists with proper remuneration and career pathways.

* Urban development reforms to prevent waterlogging, regulate construction sites, and eliminate breeding niches.

* Environmental management of solid waste and grey water.

* Legislation with teeth and the courage to enforce it without political interference.

* Education from Primary school on mosquito biology and environmental responsibility.

* Media involvement beyond sensational death reporting, to public education, serials, panel discussions.

* Private sector mobilisation, which successive governments have inexplicably ignored.

Sri Lankans have been conditioned to believe dengue is a natural disaster, an unavoidable curse of the tropics. It is not. It is a manmade failure of governance, planning, and political courage. No senior doctor, politician, or public figure has ever led a sustained public campaign demanding accountability. The public remains unaware even of their basic right to health.

My intention is not to incite rebellion but to arm the public with knowledge, because knowledge is power. Dengue can be eradicated. It requires a commando operation, as it were, not committee meetings.

by Dr. M. M. Janapriya

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