Connect with us

News

NPP/JVP popularity surge in Feb. Opinion Tracker

Published

on

The latest Sri Lanka Opinion Tracker Survey (SLOTS) completed in February 2023 shows that nationally voters are consolidating around the NPP/JVP and the SJB.According to the latest national survey by the Institute for Health Policy (IHP), voters are also consolidating around the ITAK and SJB in the Northern Province. The survey also shows that support for the SLPP, SLFP and UNP is falling.

Overall, NPP/JVP support surged in February giving it a clear lead with 43% of likely General Election voters, compared with 30% for the SJB.The SLPP, UNP and ITAK were trailing far behind with support of 4% of likely voters each, and SLFP support remained at 2%.

The NPP/JVP lead in February would have been larger if not for a gap in voter enthusiasm with its supporters saying they are less likely to vote. We estimate this reduces its lead over the SJB from 15 points among all adults (44% vs. 29%) to 13% among likely voters.

The surge in favour of the NPP/JVP follows three months in which it ran neck-and-neck with the SJB. In contrast, there was no increase in support for the SJB in February. IHP’s latest MRP analysis of likely voters indicates that in the 12 months since February 2022 when SLPP support last peaked, the NPP/JVP has gained 30 points and the SJB 11 points.

Meanwhile, the SLPP and SLFP have lost 28 and 15 points respectively, and the UNP has seen its support fluctuate but end only two points higher. During these twelve months, support for the NPP/JVP has fluctuated, peaking in April and in July 2022, and then again currently, but over the long term its support has steadily risen. In contrast, the increase in support for the SJB has been slower but also less volatile.

The fluctuations in support for the NPP/JVP indicate that it has benefited from successive swings in floating voters. During February–April 2022, it gained support from the SLPP and SLFP; then during May–July 2022 it benefited from more voters abandoning the SLPP; and most recently from October 2022, it has gained from declines in support for the SLPP and the UNP.In the Northern Province, ITAK has gradually gained support, with the SJB and JVP also making gains. The NPP/JVP and SJB share the lead in the other provinces.

Overall trends in the past three months suggest that the electorate is moving on from the immediate aftermath of the collapse of the Gotabaya Rajapaksa Presidency when voter preferences remained fluid and voters divided across five national parties.

The NPP/JVP and SJB appear now to have emerged as the primary choices of most voters, with the former and the latter receiving the support of almost eight out of 10 voters. The other three leading national parties—the SLPP, SLFP and UNP—are still likely to win some seats in a general election, but all three would fail to win seats in many districts.

During the last four months, the NPP/JVP has led in the Western, Southern, North-Central and North-Western provinces, whilst the SJB has led in Central, Eastern, Uva and Sabaragamuwa provinces.

Dr. Rannan-Eliya, SLOTS lead investigator and IHP Executive Director, pointed out that on these trends, the SLPP, SLFP and UNP would fail to win seats in many districts if a General Election is held today, as they would win insufficient votes to meet the thresholds.

He added that the latest polling indicates that the electorate appears to be moving on from the confusion that followed the collapse of President Gotabaya Rajapaksa’s administration when voters switched repeatedly between parties with no set of parties dominating.



Continue Reading
Advertisement
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

News

Diesel replacement costs up to Rs. 4.5 bn in April

Published

on

Norochcholai Power Plant

Coal power generation falls by 27 GWh

A sharp decline in coal-fired electricity generation in April 2026, compared to the corresponding month last year, may have cost Sri Lanka more than Rs. 4.5 billion, as the country was compelled to rely on significantly more expensive diesel-powered generation to make up the shortfall, according to power sector data.

The coal-based electricity generation, in April 2026, was 27 GWh lower than in April 2025, a development that has sparked concern among energy experts and economists over the mounting financial burden on the country’s already strained power sector.

Industry calculations reveal that generating the lost 27 GWh through diesel-fired power plants would require approximately 8.1 million litres of fuel, based on a standard consumption rate of 0.3 litres per kilowatt-hour.

With fuel costs estimated at around USD 286 per barrel, or roughly USD 1.80 per litre, the replacement power would have cost approximately USD 14.57 million. At the prevailing exchange rate of about Rs. 315 to the US dollar, the bill exceeds Rs. 4.5 billion for April alone.

Energy sector analysts say the figure highlights the enormous economic value of maintaining high availability at coal-fired power plants, particularly at a time when Sri Lanka is seeking to reduce electricity costs and strengthen energy security.

“The financial impact of losing low-cost coal generation is substantial. Every unit not generated by coal has to be replaced by a much more expensive source, usually diesel or fuel oil, which ultimately affects the finances of the power sector and the wider economy,” a senior energy analyst said.

Even under a more conservative calculation, based on the average electricity generation cost of around Rs. 72 per unit recorded in 2025, the loss remains significant. The 27 million units not generated from coal would translate into an additional cost burden of nearly Rs. 2 billion.

The decline in coal generation comes at a critical juncture for Sri Lanka’s energy sector.

 The government has repeatedly emphasised the need to maintain affordable electricity tariffs, while reducing dependence on imported fossil fuels and expanding renewable energy capacity.

Experts warn that any sustained reduction in low-cost baseload generation could undermine these objectives, increasing the need for costly thermal power and placing additional pressure on foreign exchange reserves.

The latest figures are expected to intensify scrutiny of generation planning, fuel procurement strategies and the operational performance of major power plants. They also underscore the importance of ensuring uninterrupted operation of coal-fired facilities until sufficient renewable and storage capacity is available to replace them reliably.

With the country striving to maintain economic stability and energy affordability, analysts argue that avoiding such generation shortfalls must remain a top priority for policymakers and power sector planners.

By Ifham Nizam

Continue Reading

News

Sallay on hunger strike: Counsel warns CID

Published

on

Sallay

Asith Siriwardena Counsel for former Director of State Intelligence Service, Major General (Retd.) Suresh Sallay, detained under the Prevention of Terrorism Act (PTA) over the 2019 Easter Sunday attacks, has called upion the Director of the CID, SSP G. S. Abeysekara, to transfer his client either to a private or government hospital to receive urgently needed teatment.

Sallay was on a hunger strike, claiming mistreatment by the CID, his wife said, after visting him, yesterday.

Siriwardena wrote to the CID Director yesterday (07) after Sallay was visited by his wife, son and brother.

The text of the letter: “The family observed that Mr. Sallay’s physical condition has deteriorated to an alarming and critical level.

“He is reportedly unable to attend the visitation without the physical assistance of two officers. During the visit, he informed his family that he had refused medication, saline, food, and water. He further expressed a belief that his death is imminent and requested that arrangements be made for the donation of his eyes. He also requested an immediate visit from his Attorney for the purpose of executing his last will and other related legal documentation.

“These statements, and circumstances, demonstrate a grave deterioration in his physical and psychological condition. It is apparent that he is no longer capable of making rational decisions concerning his own welfare, health, and survival.

The prolonged conditions, under which he is presently being held have, at the very least, created a serious and immediate risk to his life.

“The State assumes a non-delegable duty of care toward every person held in its custody. Once an individual is deprived of liberty, the responsibility for safeguarding that person’s life, health, and wellbeing rests squarely upon the authorities exercising control over that individual. Any failure to discharge that duty in the face of a known and imminent medical emergency is a matter of the utmost legal seriousness.

“You are hereby formally notified that Mr. Sallay requires immediate medical intervention by qualified independent medical professionals and urgent transfer to an appropriate hospital facility capable of providing comprehensive assessment and treatment. Any delay, refusal, or failure to act despite clear knowledge of his precarious condition may give rise to personal and institutional liability under the criminal and civil law of Sri Lanka

“Should General Sallay suffer irreversible injury or death while remaining in the present conditions despite this explicit warning, it will be open to the relevant authorities, courts, and investigative bodies to examine whether such conduct amounts to a deliberate disregard of a known and foreseeable risk to life. Those responsible for decisions concerning his continued detention and medical care may be required to account personally for their actions and omissions.

“Accordingly, I demand that:

1. Mr. Sallay be transferred forthwith to a government or private hospital equipped to provide urgent medical treatment;

2. He be examined immediately by independent medical specialists, including psychiatric professionals if necessary; His legal representatives and family be granted reasonable access to him;

3. A written update on his medical status and the measures taken for his protection be provided without delay. This letter constitutes formal notice. Any further failure to act despite knowledge of the circumstances set out herein will be relied upon in any future judicial, criminal, constitutional, or international proceedings arising from harm suffered by my client.”

Continue Reading

News

Opp. questions why Rs 10 bn meant for Ditwah victims held in Treasury account

Published

on

Sanjeewa

The Opposition says the NPP government should explain why the funds received by Rebuilding Sri Lanka haven’t been utilised to provide relief to those affected by Ditwah cyclone in late November last year.

The failure on the part of the government to utilise as much as Rs 10 bn, received from local and foreign donors, came to light when the National Audit Office (NAO) appeared before the Public Finance Commission recently.

The NAO told the House Committee that no statutory fund currently existed under the name “Rebuilding Sri Lanka” and the programme operated through an account maintained under the Deputy Secretary to the Treasury.

The NAO declared that no payments had been made through this account to date.

Former SLPP MP Sanjeewa Edirimanne said that until the disclosure made by the NAO the country had been led to believe the Rebuilding Sri Lanka fund provided post-Ditwah relief. Pointing out that JVP General Secretary Tilvin Silva’s declaration in Jaffna that funds allocated to hold Provincial Council polls

had been utilised to assist Ditwah victims, Edirimanne said such blatant lies were propagated while the government held on to Rs 10 bn meant for the disaster victims.SJB MP Mujibur Rahman questioned the rationale behind keeping funds received specifically for Ditwah victims still living under extremely difficult conditions. (SF)

Continue Reading

Trending