Midweek Review
Need for reappraisal of overthrowing of Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Bangladesh and Nepal governments like houses of cards
The recent anti-immigration protests in London yet again displayed the power of social media. Organisers mustered as many as 150,000 people to demand that the UK take tangible measures to curb illegal immigration. Such a massive gathering wouldn’t have been possible without vigorous social media campaigns. It would be pertinent to mention that American social media platforms can be used to promote anti-American agendas as well.
The recent unprecedented events in Nepal underscored the need for a reappraisal of developments in Pakistan (2020), Sri Lanka (2022) as well as Bangladesh (2024). The change of governments in Pakistan, Sri Lanka, Bangladesh and Nepal revealed intensification of external interventions under various pretexts. Some have pointed the finger at the US for causing regime change. Of the four instances, the overthrowing of Nepal government is the first since the last presidential election that brought back Donald Trump into power for a second term last January.
The collapse of Premier K.P. Sharma Oli’s government, within 48 hours, as the Army turned a blind eye to unprecedented developments, and the election of Nepal’s former Chief Justice, Sushila Karki, highlighted the overall failure of those responsible for the law and order situation. Oli’s administration appeared to have totally ignored the Pakistani and Sri Lanka crises in 2020 and 2022 hence the absence of any strategy, whatsoever, to meet the challenge.
The media credited Generation Z with the operation that caused the downfall of the ruling Communist Party of Nepal (Unified Marxist-Leninist). Interested parties justified the high profile and utterly violent operation on the banning of 26 major social media platforms, citing non-compliance with registration requirements.
The way well-organised Nepali protesters overwhelmed the lightly armed police, guarding Parliament, and set it ablaze, exposed the lie that people took to the streets, spontaneously, against the ban on social media platforms. The destruction of Parliament took place in spite of Premier Oli having given up office, after having lifted the ban on social media. They also attacked the Supreme Court and Prime Minister’s office complex. Obviously, there was a hand working, not so mysteriously, from behind the scene, as we saw in Sri Lanka. For example, in our case someone even paid for train tickets for a packed train load of protesters to come to Colombo from Kandy to storm the Presidential palace, with others who were already here, on May 22, 2022.
In Nepal, the protesters also set fire to politicians’ homes and freed prisoners from jails, including arrested politician and ex-Minister Rabi Lamichhane of the Rastriya Swatantra Party (RSP). Such an operation couldn’t have been launched over a sudden social media ban. Instead, they must have planned that action over a period of time, taking into consideration various factors, including the reaction of the Nepali military.
The common denominator was that in all such successful turmoil, in all four countries, the protesters behaved in a deranged manner, so what was the drug that was administered for usually peaceful people to behave as if they were out of their minds, so spontaneously?
Bravo Ranil
Former President and UNP leader Ranil Wickremesinghe, obviously at the tail end of his career, with nothing to lose, except for his life, had no hesitation in directly alleging US social media platforms of overthrowing governments. Wickremesinghe’s statement, issued close on the heels of Premier Oli’s resignation and the destruction of the Nepali Parliament, on 09 September, made direct reference to a couple of US social media platforms. Wickremesinghe, no stranger to controversy, explained how American-owned media companies, such as Google, Facebook and YouTube, caused and exploited political turmoil to overthrow governments. But no other Sri Lankan political party commented on the overthrowing of the Nepali government.
The failure on the part of the Sri Lanka Podujana Peramuna (SLPP) to, at least ,draw parallels between Nepal and Sri Lanka, is a mystery. That party, having suffered debilitating setbacks at presidential and parliamentary polls in September and November, 2024, respectively, seems to be still struggling to cope up with the developing situations, both here and abroad.
The SLPP parliamentary group leader Namal Rajapaksa owed a dwindling support base, at least a plausible explanation as to the continuing deterioration of the party.
The former ruling party has been overwhelmed by the recent Supreme Court determination pertaining to petitions filed against the Presidents’ Entitlements (Repeal Bill) that compelled twice President Mahinda Rajapaksa to give up his official bungalow at Wijerama Mawatha.
In spite of repeatedly alleging that the National People’s Power (NPP) government enacted that particular Bill at the behest of the Tamil Diaspora and the LTTE rump, the SLPP refrained from voting against it. The Namal Rajapaksa-led three-member parliamentary group skipped the vote on the Presidents’ Entitlements (Repeal Bill) though the party is on record as having alleged that the Tamil Diaspora and the LTTE-rump had a hand in the 2022 protest campaign that forced wartime Defence Secretary Gotabaya Rajapaksa out of President’s Office.
Here in Colombo, well-organised protesters, with meticulous intelligence, hit back hard at the government, the same night following the Temple Trees leadership possibly ordering a foolish attack on those camping at Galle Face, whereas in Kathmandu, Nepalese violently reacted to the killing of nearly two dozen of their own on the first day of the protest. But setting ablaze Parliament and causing serious damages to the country’s Supreme Court and Prime Minister’s Office complex seem to have been meticulously planned.
Sri Lankan protesters, too, acted in military-style as they torched properties belonging to politicians, killed one SLPP lawmaker, along with his police bodyguard, on 09 May, 2022, and destroyed the then acting Prime Minister Ranil Wickremesinghe’s private residence at Kollupitiya, in Jyly, 2922.
Wickremesinghe has pointed fingers at a section of the media, and social media, for making him a target. Referring to the overthrowing of the Nepali government, Wickremesinghe emphasised that the role social media platforms played shouldn’t be underestimated.
Wickremesinghe is on record as having said that he was asked to give up the premiership the day after protesters set his house ablaze on 09 July, 2022. The UNP leader said so at an event to mark the 40th anniversary of the International Democrats Union (IDU) in London. Wickremesinghe made his revelation against the backdrop of an investigative books published by National Freedom Front (NFF) leader MP Wimal Weerawansa and distinguished writer Sena Thoradeniya. They directly accused the US of spearheading the regime change operation here. They discussed the role played by US Ambassador Julie Chung in the overall project. Interestingly she is still here directing operations even though her term expired many moons ago, in 2023. In the following year, Speaker Mahinda Yapa Abeywardena inadvertently confirmed claims of external intervention but he conveniently stopped short of making direct reference to the US.
Imran Khan’s predicament
Recently, RT reported how Russian pranksters tricked former USAID Chief Samantha Power to disclose clandestine funding operations in the former Soviet Republic Moldova.
Power, during a conversation with Russian pranksters, admitted that USAID provided tens of millions of dollars in support of its pro-EU President Maia Sandu.
Speaking to the notorious duo Vovan and Lexus, who deceived Power, the former US official recalled how, under her leadership, USAID made “unprecedented investments” in Moldova and “massively” expanded its presence in the country.
Power recalled that in the USAID supplementals designated for Ukraine, there was always “tens of millions of dollars” earmarked for Moldova and noted that these funds “went much more further in Moldova than in Ukraine” given the country’s small size.
Such disclosures made it easier for the public to understand US operations here. Let us examine the circumstances leading to popular Pakistani Prime Minister Imran Khan’s removal in 2020. Khan earned the wrath of the US for visiting Moscow in February 2020 in the immediate aftermath of the massive eruption of the Russia-Ukraine conflict.
Obviously the US believed Khan should have called off his previously arranged visit to Moscow in the wake of the Russian declaration of war. It would be pertinent to mention what Khan said in April 2020 about the US targeting him. The then Pakistani leader is the first to question rationale in US policy vis-a-vis India and Pakistan in relation to their relations with Moscow.
Premier Khan alleged a powerful country that supported India was angry over his recent visit to Russia to meet President Vladimir Putin. Khan made the declaration as Pakistan summoned a senior US diplomat in Islamabad and lodged a strong protest over America’s alleged interference in its internal affairs.
Addressing the Islamabad Security Dialogue, on 01 April, 2020, Khan emphasised the importance of an independent foreign policy and Pakistan could so far never reach its true potential because of its dependent syndrome on other powerful nations. “A country without an independent foreign policy remains unable to secure the interests of its people,” the media quoted Khan as having said. But, the Premier couldn’t thwart the conspiracy. The Parliament, notorious for buying corrupt politicians, voted in favour of a no-confidence motion moved against him. The Pakistani Army, ever tilted towards the US, threw its weight behind the Opposition move against Khan and finally they got him behind bars. Although Khan made an attempt to reach some sort of consensus with the US after having accused the Biden administration of meddling in Pakistan’s internal affairs, the US obviously by that time had made its mind to go with Pakistan’s powerful Army.
Pakistan Field Marshal Asim Munir visits to the US, in the wake of the short Indo-Pakistan war over Pahalgam terrorist attack, underscored new direction Donald Trump administration is taking. US-India relations have been undermined by the latter’s refusal to halt Russian crude oil purchases. New Delhi has been also deeply upset by Trump’s repeated claims that he arranged a ceasefire between India and Pakistan, a claim denied by New Delhi but gleefully appreciated by Islamabad.
Indian stand that it wouldn’t end its longstanding partnership with Moscow, regardless of US threats, appears to have placed the Trump administration in an extremely embarrassing position. Modi most probably wouldn’t have attended the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation (SCO) summit, near Beijing, if India had not felt betrayed by the utterly irresponsible US action over the past couple of months. The appearance of Putin, Modi and Chinese Leader Xi on one platform meant that the US has compelled India to take a stand. Modi skipped the annual Victory Day military parade in May this year.
Kim Jong Un joined Putin and Xi to view a massive Chinese military parade that coincided with the SCO summit. The bottom line is unpredictable Trump strategies have forced major countries to review their policies and explore the possibility of firming up consensus with others affected by the US actions. There cannot be a better example than India and China seeking to improve relations against the backdrop of US threats.
Sri Lanka will find itself in an unenviable situation. Sri Lanka has already skipped the SCO summit. SJB lawmaker Mujibur Rahuman strongly criticised the NPP government decision not to attend the event. Sri Lanka also skipped the BRICS summit, held in Kazan, in the Russian Federation, last October. Both President Anura Kumara Dissanayake and Foreign Minister Vijitha Herath were too busy to accept the invitation from President Putin.
Sri Lanka is obviously under tremendous pressure to toe the US line. The situation has changed a bit over the developing differences between the US and India but the latter is very much unlikely to give a free hand to Sri Lanka. Let us wait and see how the NPP government responds to the next Chinese request to berth one of its modern scientific research ships here.
During the Wickremesinghe-Rajapaksa administration, India, backed by the US, caused significant turmoil over Chinese ship visits. Unbearable pressure compelled the then President Wickremesinghe to declare a ban on foreign scientific research vessels during 2024. That ban was meant for Chinese vessels only. The NPP is yet to disclose its position on ship visits though Wickremesinghe’s ban lapsed on 31 December, 2024.
Bangladesh crisis
Bangladesh Prime Minister Sheikh Hasina, too, accused the US of engineering her ouster. While taking refuge in India, Hasina was quoted as having said: “I resigned so that I did not have to see the procession of dead bodies. They wanted to come to power over the dead bodies of students, but I did not allow it, I resigned from the premiership. I could have remained in power if I had surrendered the sovereignty of Saint Martin Island and allowed America to hold sway over the Bay of Bengal. I beseech to the people of my land, ‘Please do not be manipulated by radicals’.”
Bangladesh obviously didn’t bother to examine the clandestine external interventions in Sri Lanka. Plethora of NGOs pursue foreign agenda at Sri Lanka’s expense in a post-war setup that thrived on failure on the part of successive governments to curb waste, corruption, irregularities and mismanagement, sometimes blown out of proportion with the help of these same NGOs . Those who steadfastly stood by separatist Tamil project propagated campaigns on the basis of promoting good governance and accountability.
Sri Lanka experienced major US intervention at the 2010 presidential election when the superpower threw its weight behind General Sarath Fonseka. Having categorised Fonseka a war criminal, along with the Rajapaksa brothers Mahinda, Basil and Gotabaya, the US engineered a coalition, involving the UNP, JVP, TNA and SLMC, to back Fonseka. That project failed, pathetically, with Fonseka losing the contest by a staggering 1.8 mn votes but a similar operation succeeded at the 2015 presidential poll.
Although their plans went awry due to the collapse of the Wickremesinghe-Sirisena arrangement, and the 2019 Easter Sunday attacks, the 2022 Aragalaya reiterated US commitment to regime change here. If the NPP government is genuinely interested in establishing the truth, an explanation can be sought from former Speaker Mahinda Yapa Abeywardena who went public with the allegation that external interference was the cause of Gotabaya Rajapaksa’s ouster from power. In addition to that Wickremesinghe, too, can help the investigation as his role in Aragalaya is undisputed, though Gotabaya Rajapaksa offered him the premiership in May, 2022, and a few months later made him the President.
****
Not Daya

Nirmala
Reference was made to one-time SLBC announcer and lyricist Daya, the first wife of Premakeerthi de Alwis, in last week’s midweek article, headlined ‘Killing of Premakeerthi amidst govt., JVP onslaught on media.’ The writer apologises for inadvertently and wrongly naming Daya as the person who cleared the JVP of Premakeerthi’s assassination, whereas ‘Premakeerthi Ghathanaye Sulamula,’ authored by Dharman Wickremaratne, clearly found fault with the SLBC staffer’s second wife Nirmala as the offender. Nirmala, who accused Hudson Samarasinghe of Premakeerthi assassination, and was embroiled in a defamation case filed by the controversial media personality, passed away recently. The former Divaina journalist Wickremaratne told the writer that there is absolutely no ambiguity in respect of the perpetrators of Premakeerthi’s killing. The JVP carried out that killing in line with its overall strategy at that time meant to neutralise the state-run media, the author of four books on the JVP told The Island, adding that the late Nirmala authored book, titled ‘Premakeerthini,’ probably on the advice of the JVP, in the run-up to 2015 presidential election, for obvious reasons. Nirmala reiterated her support for the JVP-led NPP, again, at the 2019 presidential election when she appeared on stage with NPP candidate Anura Kumara Dissanayake.
By Shamindra Ferdinando
Midweek Review
July 09: An inexcusable overall security failure and exceptional contingency plan
Ulugetenne
The Sri Lanka Navy, on 04 June, commissioned SLNS Samudravijaya, formerly United States Coast Guard Cutter Decisive. It is the fourth mothballed US Coast Guard cutter transferred to the SLN through the US Excess Defence Articles Programme. President Anura Kumara Dissanayake attended the ceremony at the Colombo Port. The US Embassy in Colombo, in a statement issued on the same day, quoted Defence Attaché Lieutenant Colonel Matthew House as having said: “Few partners have demonstrated the commitment to maintaining and operating these vessels as successfully as the Sri Lanka Navy. The outstanding condition and operational performance of SLNS Samudura, SLNS Gajabahu, and SLNS Vijayabahu are a testament to the professionalism and technical expertise of Sri Lankan sailors. Their stewardship of these vessels helped build the confidence that made this fourth transfer possible.” The first of the four vessels SLNS Samudura was commissioned on 19 February, 2005, during Chandrika Bandaranaike Kumaratunga’s tenure as the President. Milinda Moragoda, Economic Reforms and Science and Technology Minister of the previous UNP-led UNF government, played a significant role in acquiring that vessel. SLNS Samudura boosted SLN and participated in numerous operations, including the high profile hunt for LTTE floating warehouses, during the Eelam War IV. But, the US refrained from transferring any more big ships during the war though on the then Navy Commander Vice Admiral Wsantha Karannagoda’s request to provide intelligence and Washington obliging, made the successful hunt for LTTE floating arsenals in the last stages of the war possible. The transfer of the second vessel took place 19 years after the end of the war. Ex USCG Sherman was commissioned 06 June, 2019, as SLNS Gajabahu (P626). The third vessel was transferred to the Sri Lanka Navy on October 26, 2021, as the country was heading towards an unprecedented economic crisis. That vessel was commissioned as SLNS Vijayabahu at the Colombo Port with the participation of President Ranil Wickramasinghe and US Ambassador to Sri Lanka Julie Chung on November 20, 2022. Ironically SLNS Gajabahu, one of the ex-US vessels prominently figured in the contingency plan to save President Gotabaya Rajapaksa, but whose downfall was engineered by the US.
By Shamindra Ferdinando
The moment President Gotabaya Rajapaksa decided to take up residence at the President’s House (Janadhipathi Mandiraya), Fort, in the first week of April, 2022, the Navy had no option but to prepare a thorough contingency plan, in case the regime change project posed a realistic threat to the life of the President.
The President, in consultation with senior military officers, made his move within 48 hours after violence erupted outside his private residence at Pangiriwatte, Mirihana, on the night of 31 March, 2022. That decision seemed realistic and sensible at that time.
But, in the wake of the disastrous overall armed forces response to the coordinated violence unleashed by the regime change project on 09 May, 2022, in the aftermath of the Temple Trees ordered attack on Galle Face protesters, the top brass must have recognised the urgent need for total overhauling of security strategy. But, unfortunately, that hadn’t been the case. With violent crowds overwhelming the armed forces, deployed to block them, rapidly approaching the President’s House, those who had been at the makeshift Operations Room there were stunned.
In hindsight, the President’s decision to remain at the President’s House, regardless of the near failure on the part of the armed forces to repulse the raid on Temple Trees, on 09 May, seemed unwise. The rescue operation could have gone wrong and the war-winning President Mahinda Rajapaksa could have ended up in the hands of an angry mob.
Perhaps, the conspirators envisaged the President’s move, from Pangiriwatte to the President’s House, situated walking distance away from the Galle Face protest site, where they could draw additional strength.
The failure on the part of the government to take tangible measures, in the wake of the President’s House becoming the sole target on that fateful day, is a contentious issue that needs to be properly investigated. Don’t forget that the court case filed over the 09 May attacks on the residences and properties belonging to SLPP politicians, and some supporters ,was later withdrawn. The Wickremesinghe-Rajapaksa government never investigated the 09 May incidents.
Exactly two months after the mobs almost succeeded in breaking through defences at Temple Trees, on the night of 09 May/10, where Prime Minister Mahinda Rajapaksa was residing, they mounted the assault on the President’s House.
In the wake of the 09 May mayhem, President Gotabaya Rajapaksa named Lt. Gen. Vikum Liyanage as the Commander of the Army. He succeeded General Shavendra Silva who served as the CDS but was out of the country when all-out mayhem was unleashed by the Aragalaya mobs on 09 July, 2022, to oust the sitting government.
In spite of a direct and growing threat to the President’s House, on 09 July, 2022, the President felt confident in meeting the challenge. The President issued a directive to the Secretary, Ministry of Defence, General (retd.) Kamal Gunaratne, to shift the Operations Room from the Defence Force Headquarters, at Akuregoda, to the President’s House. Having shifted the Operations Room on 08 July, 2022, to the President’s House, as directed by the President, the top brass prepared to face the challenge.
Maj. General K.B. Egodawela, who served as an Additional Secretary (Administration) to the President, from the day the President moved to the President’s House, till he vacated on 09 July, 2022, in his memoirs ‘Aragalaya: Adarayen Prachandathwayata’ (From Love to Violence) revealed that though the top brass opposed the shifting of the Operations Room they carried out the directive. While the President felt that the top brass could collectively work at the President’s House to bring the situation under control, Gen Gunaratne proposed that the President should move to Akuregoda Defence Forces Headquarters, according to Egodawela. In fact, Gunaratne, who had been with Gotabaya Rajapaksa from the very beginning of the sinister campaign, strongly opposed the President’s decision to remain there.
Obviously, the President’s House pathetically failed to ascertain the scale of the protest and the rapidity with which protesters overwhelmed troops deployed outside the President’s House stunned the top brass. Had they swiftly reached consensus on Gen. Gunaratne’s suggestion, perhaps the 09 July regime change operation could have been thwarted. The armed forces could have resorted to tougher measures to prevent a march on Akuregoda Defence Forces Headquarters had the President agreed to move there.
Within two hours after the protest, targeting the President’s House began, video footage provided by drones indicated that troops couldn’t hold the rampaging mobs any longer. According to Egodawela, the top brass had been prepared to remove the President, even without his consent, by landing a helicopter in the Colombo harbor or by ship. Finally, they resorted to the second option. As the President and First Lady Ayoma got into a vehicle and took the rear exit into the adjoining former Navy Headquarters, mobs entered the President’s House. Another vehicle carrying several other persons followed.
The then Navy Commander Vice Admiral Nishantha Ulugetenne who had been with the President at the President’s House got into the vehicle carrying the President. Had they stayed at the President’s House for 10 more minutes, the consequences could have been devastating. https://island.lk/gotabayas-escape-from-aragalaya-mob-in-rti-spotlight/
Egodawela, who had been with the President from the very beginning of the presidential term, alleged that the raiders planned to kill the President and several others and display their bodies. The author quoted an unidentified intelligence officer as having told him that the raiders wanted to display the bodies the way LTTE leader Velupillai Prabhakaran’s body was shown.
Perhaps shifting the Operations Room from Akuregoda Defence Force Headquarters to the President’s House had been a risky move that, in a way, facilitated the regime change operation. The rationale in bringing those who had been tasked with countering the impending threat to one place (President’s House) to be with the target (Gotabaya Rajapaksa) seems unbelievably a dicey move. The President had been influenced by what he described as inordinate and unforgivable delay on the part of the Akuregoda Operations Room to carry out timely evacuation of Prime Minister Mahinda Rajapaksa on the night of 09 May from Temple Trees. Most probably, the President wanted to oversee the 09 July counter operation personally. But, in hindsight, the decision to shift the Operations Room from Akuregoda to the President’s House obviously hadn’t been a clever move.
SLN preparations
When mobs threatened to overwhelm the President’s security at Pangiriwattta, on 31 March, additional police and STF contingents were brought in. They were followed by the Navy and Air Force. The Army arrived at the scene, subsequently.
As pointed out by the President himself, the situation at Temple Trees, on 09 May, had been far worse and the combined police and armed forces response revealed that they hadn’t taken precautionary/counter measures, even after the Pangiriwatta fiasco.
At the time of the incidents, the overall Temple Trees security deployment included about 60 elite Special Boat Squadron (SBS) personnel deployed within the premises and were supplemented by seven SLN platoons. The Army also moved in to strengthen Temple Trees defences but the mobs pressed on till troops fired blank ammunition.
The top brass, directing counter measures from Akuregoda Defence Force Headquarters, had to act swiftly and decisively to evacuate those at the Temple Trees or face the consequences. As there hadn’t been any other alternative place of living proposed, Prime Minister Mahinda Rajapaksa, wife Shiranthi and their eldest son Namal were escorted to nearby former Air Force Headquarters and from there flown to the Trincomalee Navy base. VA Ulugetenne, over the phone, issued instructions to the relevant officer in Trincomalee to make arrangements as two helicopters carrying the group took off from the helipad on the top of the former Air Force Headquarters. The helicopters departed around 04 in the morning.
They had stayed at Trincomalee Navy House for about a week and, as requested by the Navy, paid for their stay because by then Mahinda Rajapaksa had resigned. Perhaps, they could have taken refuge at the Panagoda Army cantonment or at Saliyapura, home to the Gajaba Regiment, but, at the end, sought the protection at the Trincomalee Navy base.
Ironically, President Gotabaya Rajapaksa, too, had to take refuge at the Trincomalee Navy base, exactly two months later. Ever since the President moved into the President’s House, Fort, the Navy had been on their toes to meet any eventuality. The daunting task of arranging evacuation by sea fell on the shoulders of VA Ulugetenne, who, meticulously, planned the operation with his staff.
Having informed the President of the contingency plans, VA Ulugetenne stationed two Advanced Offshore Patrol Vessels (AOPVs), namely SLNS Sindurala and SLNS Gajabahu and four Fast Attack Craft (FACs), at the Colombo Port. It would be pertinent to mention that SLNS Sindurala, built at the Goa shipyard, in terms of an agreement signed at the tail end of the Mahinda Rajapaksa government, was adjudged the best vessel in the SLN fleet in 2022.
Additional SBS personnel and snipers, too, had been brought in to Colombo though none of them knew exactly what their task would be. The OPV and FAC crews most probably felt that they were awaiting orders for a major anti-drug operation in the high seas.
As the decision was made to evacuate the President and the First Lady, the Chief alerted the vessels and quickly deployed tugboats to pull SLNS Sindurala and, shortly thereafter, SLNS Gajabahu, formerly of the US Coast Guard, carrying the President and the First Lady. By the time the two AOPVs moved in different directions, on the instructions of VA Ulugetenne, the hand phones of SLNS Gajabahu crew were collected to prevent them from revealing what was happening. Along with the AOPVs, two pairs of FACs had moved out to sea. (https://island.lk/ranil-reveals-bid-to-get-rid-of-him-while-gr-was-fleeing-to-trinco-on-board-slns-gajabahu/)
Nearly 12-hour journey to Trinco
The SLNS Gajabahu, formerly of the US Coast Guard, had a crew consisting of over 100 officers and men. Someone, most probably a port employee, posted a short clip of some unidentified persons taking large travelling bags into the ship but the President, First Lady and VA Ulugetenne going in were never captured on a camera.
As the vessel began its journey towards Trincomalee, it remained approximately 12 nautical miles from land and the President received many calls, some of which weren’t answered. VA Ulugetenne, too, received quite a number of calls. Those familiar with the developments at that time said that some felt that SLNS Gajabahu should move out of Sri Lankan waters. There had been suggestions that the destination should be the Maldives, India or Singapore. Regardless of such suggestions, SLNS Gajabahu proceeded towards Trincomalee where the Navy made necessary arrangements to host them.
Captain Marlon Perera, who still serves the Navy, had been the Commanding Officer of the vessel. Perera now holds the Commodore rank.
During the journey precautions were taken to ensure the safety and security of the President and the First Lady. Although the crew hadn’t been aware that they would be entrusted with such a sensitive task at a time the country was in crossroads against the backdrop of an economic collapse and sovereign default, there were fears of the crew being affected by propaganda in support of regime change operation.
The attempt made by sailor Wijemuni Vijitha Rohana de Silva to cause harm to Indian Prime Minister Rajiv Gandhi, way back in July, 1987, underscored the necessity to take precautions during the Colombo-Trincomalee journey as the possibility of anti-Gotabaya campaign having an impact on at least some members of the ship crew couldn’t be ruled out.
On July 30, 1987, during a guard of honor in Colombo, the 21-year-old naval rating struck Gandhi on the shoulder and back with the butt of his rifle. Gandhi narrowly avoided the full impact of the blow by evasive ducking.
On the invitation of VA Ulugetenne, Gotabaya Rajapaksa attended all the formalities in respect of a visit undertaken by the President to the Trincomalee Navy base. The President participated in those formalities knowing that he couldn’t attend the commissioning parade that was scheduled to be held on 15 July, 2022. The Navy was not in a position to put off the commissioning parade hence the decision to invite Defence Secretary Gunaratne as the Chief Guest.
Ulugetenne retired from active naval service on 18 December, 2022, following a distinguished career, spanning over 37 years. He received the appointment as the 24th Commander of the Navy in July, 2020, just a couple of months after Gotabaya Rajapaksa’s election as the President.
Wickremesinghe, in his capacity as Gotabaya Rajapaksa’s successor, appointed Ulugetenne as Sri Lanka’s Ambassador to Cuba. The appointment was made in late 2023 and the retired Navy Chief presented his credentials to Cuban President Miguel Díaz-Canel on 13 February, 2024 (https://island.lk/from-fonseka-convictions-to-arrest-of-ulugetenne/)
However, within weeks after the last presidential election held in late November, 2024, the NPP government recalled over a dozen top envoys appointed by the previous administration. Admiral Ulugetenne was among them. The government deprived a decorated officer, who had served the country for nearly four decades, from completing his term in Havana. Within months after his return, he became the target of a murder investigation.
Then out of the blue the retired Navy Chief became the focus of a murder investigation, that, too, post-war. The Criminal Investigation Department (CID) arrested him on 28 July, 2025, over the disappearance of a person reported in July, 2020.
Kurunegala High Court Judge Tikiri Jayatilleke, on 14 October, 2025, granted him bail. Jayatilleke declared that the CID acted in an illegal manner in respect of the former Navy Commander. His counsel Kalinga Indatissa, PC, alleged in court that his client had been apprehended only on the basis of an ex-LTTE cadre’s allegation in the absence of any evidence
The next hearing is scheduled for 08 July, 2026. Ulugetenne was held at the Kegalle Prison for four days and then transferred to the Dumbara (Pallekale) Prison. Altogether, he was in prison for 80 days, like a common criminal, despite him being a former Navy Commander with an unblemished career record.
Wartime Chief of Naval Intelligence, Rear Admiral (retd) Sarath Mohotti, who had been also arrested in connection with the same investigation, was also granted bail, a few weeks later.
Midweek Review
India should convene a regional El Niño preparedness dialogue in Delhi
El Niño events have historically been associated with weaker monsoons in South Asia, erratic rainfall patterns, and increased risks of droughts and floods.
The coming months could bring South Asia and the wider Indian Ocean region a dangerous mix of climate shocks, economic strain, and geopolitical instability. At the centre of this looming challenge is the anticipated El Niño event, which is likely to disrupt monsoon patterns, intensify weather extremes, and place additional pressure on already fragile food, water, and energy systems.
But El Niño will not arrive in isolation. It will intersect with continuing global disruptions—from the war in Ukraine to instability in the Middle East—each of which continues to reverberate through energy markets, food supply chains, and shipping routes. The combined effect is likely to be cumulative, not linear.
This is, therefore, a moment that calls for anticipatory regional coordination rather than fragmented national responses.
A record of regional first response
There is already a clear precedent for such coordination in the region.During the COVID-19 pandemic, India emerged as a key first responder, supplying vaccines, medicines, and logistical support across the neighbourhood under its “Neighbourhood First” policy. This helped establish a practical framework for regional cooperation in times of systemic stress.
More recently, India played a similar role during the economic crisis in Sri Lanka, providing critical financial assistance, fuel, and essential supplies at a moment of acute vulnerability. India has also been among the first responders during major climate-related disasters, including cyclone events such as Cyclone Ditwa, delivering rapid humanitarian assistance.
These are not isolated gestures. They reflect an emerging pattern in which India increasingly functions as a stabilising force in the wider region.
This trajectory is reflected in India’s evolving regional frameworks—from Neighbourhood First, to SAGAR (Security and Growth for All in the Region), and now the broader MAHASAGAR vision, which signals an expanded maritime and regional engagement architecture.
Why El Niño is different this time
El Niño events have historically been associated with weaker monsoons in South Asia, erratic rainfall patterns, and increased risks of droughts and floods. In a region where agriculture remains highly climate-sensitive, even modest deviations can translate into inflation, rural distress, and fiscal pressure.
This year, however, the risks are compounded by global fragilities:
* Persistent food and fertilizer price volatility
* Elevated energy costs linked to geopolitical tensions
* Supply chain disruptions in key commodities
* High debt burdens in several neighbouring economies
Together, these factors reduce the resilience of national systems and increase the risk of cascading shocks across borders.It is also important to recognise that social instability in some fragile countries in the region should be kept in mind, as climate shocks and economic pressures can quickly reinforce each other and create wider humanitarian and political consequences.
The case for a Delhi-based regional initiative
Against this backdrop, there is a strong case for India to convene a regional El Niño preparedness dialogue in Delhi, bringing together neighbouring countries, key development partners, and multilateral institutions.
This should not be limited to South Asia alone. The impacts of El Niño extend across the wider Indo-Pacific and Indian Ocean region. Participation could include:
* Neighbouring states in South and Southeast Asia
* The United Nations system
* The World Bank and Asian Development Bank
* Key bilateral partners such as Japan and others active in regional resilience
Given its geographic position, institutional capacity, and experience as a first responder, it is both natural and appropriate for India to chair such an initiative.
What the initiative should focus on
The objective should be practical coordination rather than declaratory statements. Three areas stand out:
1. Shared forecasting and early warning systems
Strengthening real-time exchange of climate data, monsoon projections, and sectoral risk mapping, particularly for agriculture, water, and fisheries.
2. Contingency planning for essential supplies
Coordinating regional approaches to food reserves, fertilizer availability, and energy supply buffers during climatic disruptions.
3. Disaster response and financing coordination
Improving interoperability among disaster management systems, and exploring rapid-response financing through multilateral development banks for climate-related shocks.
From Neighbourhood First to MAHASAGAR
India’s regional doctrine has steadily evolved—from Neighbourhood First to SAGAR, and now MAHASAGAR—reflecting a broader conception of responsibility in the Indian Ocean region.Each stage has expanded the scope of engagement: from immediate neighbourhood assistance, to maritime cooperation and growth, to a wider vision of regional interconnectedness.
A structured El Niño preparedness initiative would be a natural continuation of this trajectory, embedding climate resilience into the region’s evolving strategic architecture.
Climate as regional security
The distinction between climate events and security outcomes is increasingly blurred. A failed monsoon in one country can trigger food inflation in another; a cyclone can disrupt trade routes; droughts can accelerate migration pressures and fiscal instability.
El Niño should therefore be seen not only as a meteorological phenomenon but as a systemic stress test for regional resilience.
India is already widely seen in the region as a first responder in times of crisis. The experiences of COVID-19, the Sri Lankan economic emergency, and climate-related disasters have reinforced this role in practical terms.
The next step is to move from reactive response to anticipatory coordination.
A Delhi-based regional El Niño preparedness meeting—anchored by India and supported by multilateral institutions and key bilateral partners—would be a timely and pragmatic initiative. In an era of compounding global risks, regional cooperation is no longer optional; it is essential.
(Milinda Moragoda is the Founder of the Pathfinder Foundation. Can be contacted via email@milinda.org, courtesy wionews.com.
by Milinda Moragoda
Midweek Review
Beyond Harsha’s IMF “Revelations”
“A demagogue is one who preaches doctrines he knows to be untrue to men he knows to be idiots.” — H.L. Mencken
Summary
During a recent television appearance (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=s0QWfenCFlk) , opposition MP and Committee on Public Finance (COPF) Chair Dr. Harsha de Silva dramatically brandished the latest IMF Letter of Intent (LoI, 13 May 2026), pointing to the signatures of President Anura Kumara Dissanayake and Central Bank Governor Dr. Nandalal Weerasinghe as proof of a “secret” alignment with austerity and cost-reflective utility pricing. However, for serious students of Sri Lankan macroeconomics, this “revelation” contained no new information. The legal, structural, and institutional mandate for cost-reflective pricing was codified long before the current administration took office—embedded in the IMF Extended Fund Facility (EFF) of 2023, the 2023 IMF Governance Diagnostic, and the Economic Transformation Act of 2024. This article argues that veteran economists in parliament must move beyond theatrical “gotcha” moments designed for political popularity and instead fulfill their true duty: educating the public on the non-negotiable continuity of structural adjustment programmess.
Anatomy of a Non-Revelation
The recent spectacle of Dr. Harsha de Silva presenting the IMF Letter of Intent on live television was framed as a grand exposure of the current administration’s hidden fiscal policy. With theatrical emphasis, Dr. de Silva pointed to the signatures of President Anura Kumara Dissanayake (AKD) and the Central Bank Governor, declaring that the government had bound the public to the bitter pill of cost-reflective electricity and fuel pricing.
Yet, to anyone who understands the mechanics of central banking and sovereign debt restructuring, this performance revealed nothing that was not already part of (i) the public, (ii) legal, and (iii) institutional reality. A Letter of Intent is a standard operational requirement of the IMF review process; it is not a newly minted policy conceived in secret. By treating a routine administrative continuity as a shocking disclosure, Dr. de Silva engaged in political showmanship rather than economic education.
Legacy of Cost-Reflective Pricing
The narrative that cost-reflective utility pricing is a novel concession by the AKD administration is factually incorrect. The institutional architecture to eliminate non-commercial losses within the Ceylon Electricity Board (CEB) and Ceylon Petroleum Corporation (CPC) was firmly established under the previous administration of Ranil Wickremesinghe.
The structural benchmarks were explicitly laid out in (i) the March 2023 IMF EFF Agreement and (ii) re-emphasized in the September 2023 IMF Governance Diagnostic Report. This framework was further consolidated by the legislature through (i) the Economic Transformation Act of 2024 and (ii) the new Sri Lanka Electricity Act. When the current administration assumed office, the fiscal tracks had already been laid. President AKD is merely operating the machinery of state within the legal and economic boundaries inherited from his predecessor Ranil Wickremesinghe to prevent a secondary default.
The Myth of the Solitary Saviour
There is a troubling tendency among Sri Lanka’s technocratic elite to engage in a saviour complex—positioning themselves on television screens as the singular authorities capable of managing public finance or navigating international waters. Dr. de Silva’s presentation was less about unveiling unknown data and more about projecting an image of unrivaled smartness in public finance.
When veteran economists resort to these manoeuvers, they diminish their own professional standing. Sri Lanka’s economic recovery does not hinge on the brilliant insights of a single individual or party; it depends on (i) institutional discipline, (ii) data-driven planning, and (iii) structural continuity. Pretending that routine compliance documents are exclusive intelligence updates serves only to feed personal political popularity at the expense of public intellectual growth.
Real Politics behind the Screen
Why, then, did Dr. de Silva choose to make a mountain out of an administrative molehill? The answer lies in pure political strategy. The National People’s Power (NPP) platform ascended to governance on strong anti-austerity rhetoric, promising relief from the heavy tax and tariff burdens imposed by the previous regime.
By holding up the signed LoI, Dr. de Silva sought a political checkmate. His objective was to expose the contradiction between the NPP’s populist election promises and its executive actions. While highlighting this policy convergence is fair game in partisan politics, framing it as a “new discovery” misleads the electorate into believing that the IMF programme is an optional, arbitrarily signed document rather than a legally binding national framework that leaves any sitting President with zero alternative manoeuvers.
True Mandate of Parliament’s Financial Oversight
During the broadcast, the fundamental boundary of the Committee on Public Finance (COPF) was brought into question. Dr. de Silva correctly noted that COPF does not formulate state policy—that remains the strict prerogative of the Executive and its chosen advisors. COPF’s true mandate is oversight: ensuring transparency, accountability, and the efficient monitoring of state revenues and expenditures.
If the head of our public finance oversight body wishes to protect the national interest, that energy should be (ii) directed toward evaluating the actual performance scorecards of state institutions, (ii) tracking structural benchmarks, and (iii) monitoring the real-time efficiency of economic programs. Using the platform of technical oversight to score quick points on a talk show blurs the vital line between a state auditor and a political campaigner.
Conclusion: The Need for Institutional Candour
Sri Lanka has paid a catastrophic price for populist rhetoric and the manipulation of economic facts for electoral gain. What the public requires from veteran economists and seasoned politicians today is not more political theater but radical candor.
The truth is simple: Sri Lanka is locked into a long-term, institutional structural adjustment programme that transcends whoever sits in the presidential secretariat. President AKD is executing pre-existing state commitments because the alternative is immediate economic isolation. Rather than trying to convince the public that they alone possess the secret key to salvation, opposition technocrats owe it to the nation to elevate the discourse. It is time to replace television showmanship with (i) honest, (ii) evidence-based planning, (iii) acknowledging that while politicians change, the arithmetic of national survival remains exactly the same.
(The writer, among many, served as the Special Advisor to the Office of the President of Namibia from 2006 to 2012 and was a Senior Consultant with the UNDP for 20 years. He was a Senior Economist with the Central Bank of Sri Lanka (1972-1993). He can be reached via asoka.seneviratne@gmail.com)
By Prof. Asoka S. Seneviratne
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