Business
Is the interim budget speech growth-oriented?
Seneka Abeyratne
The interim budget speech, presented in parliament on August 30th, is eloquently written. It is easy to read and sprinkled with the right buzz words. It is crisp and flows like a meandering stream. But an interim budget speech should be a little more than a meandering stream. Though it possesses many positive features, what it lacks is a focal point, which could be articulated in the form of a question: “How do we resuscitate an ailing economy that is showing no signs of picking up?” The ADB’s GDP growth forecast for Sri Lanka in 2022 is a staggering -7.6 %. The private sector is the engine of growth.
As long as the engine remains in poor condition, the prospect of a strong economic recovery in this island will remain an elusive goal. The interim budget speech does not indicate how the government intends to breathe life into the crippled economy and stimulate rapid private-sector development, which is the key to attaining sustainable, catch-up growth. If the economy does not pick up soon, it is bad news for the country. Shortages of essential goods, including food, fuel and medicines, will worsen, inflation will continue to gallop like a racehorse, and the incidence of both absolute and relative poverty will reach obscenely high levels. A sense of urgency is missing in the interim budget speech.
The all-pervasive nature of the
economic crisis
The current economic crisis is so severe that it is threatening to transform the country into a basket case. How many businesses, including factories, shops, beauty parlors, and restaurants, have shut down during the past two years? How many workers have lost their jobs and fallen below the poverty line? How many families are suffering from extreme hunger and deprivation? How many outpatients and inpatients have died or are about to die due to the acute shortage of medicines? How much damage has the economic crisis inflicted on the educational sector? How many global business companies and financial institutions are staying away from Sri Lanka not only because it has committed the cardinal sin of going into debt default, but also because of its tepid business climate, its low global ranking in respect of business-friendly regulations, and its cavalier approach to macroeconomic policy formulation? What progress have the foreign lawyers and advisors hired by the government at prohibitive cost made to date in respect of negotiations pertaining to debt restructuring? What are the terms and conditions of the Staff-level Agreement reached by the IMF on an Extended Fund Facility (EFF) arrangement with Sri Lanka which even the parliamentarians have not yet seen? What proportion of the EFF of $ 2.9 billion will be diverted to the repayment of foreign loans obtained by the government from official lending agencies? How open and transparent is the government in the preparation of reform plans? How long will it take for the nation to emerge from the economic doldrums and learn to stand on its own two feet? The answer to all these questions is, “Heaven knows.”
The economy has been stuck in the emergency room for more than two years, rather like a bed-ridden patient who cannot survive without continuous blood transfusions. In this regard, a glaring omission in the interim budget speech is a section that outlines the core elements of an economic revival and stabilization strategy. Though the speech, by and large, is elegantly composed, there is no thread running through it that binds the narrative into a cohesive and consistent whole. The speech does make a serious attempt to dissect the true nature of the economic crisis or to enlighten the public about how it intends to extricate the economy from the mire of negative growth and stimulate sustainable, pro-poor growth. The narrative on the whole lacks depth due to the general absence of critical analysis and innovative thinking.
Will government fight corruption, nepotism and political patronage?
Be that as it may, the importance attached to some key areas of government policy intervention such as monetary and fiscal sector reforms, public sector reforms, restructuring of loss-making state-owned business enterprises, social welfare reforms, educational sector reforms, skills development, and the strengthening of macroeconomic fundamentals is a positive feature of the interim budget speech. To generate a primary surplus in the government budget by 2025 via higher revenues and lower expenditures is a notable goal, but to attain it, the government must make a serious attempt to eliminate corruption, nepotism, and political patronage. In this regard the sudden removal of the COPE Chairman, who was in the process of exposing the intimate link between political patronage and the current economic crisis, does not augur well for the future.
If the current administration continues with the abhorrent practice of replacing senior government officials who have no truck with corruption or political patronage with political stooges, it will be doing the country an immense disservice. Corrupt political stooges have wrecked the economy and will continue to wreak havoc in the nation as long as the deeply entrenched system of political patronage remains unchanged.
Private-sector must play key role
in economic revival
A central concern is whether the policy and regulatory reform agenda broadly identified in the speech is sufficient to stimulate rapid private-sector development and transform the nation from a high-cost producer of goods and services into a globally competitive economy. There is little or no mention in the interim budget speech of the critical need to address key constraints on private sector development and foreign direct investment inflows, given the current administration’s misguided notion that protectionism is the way out of the economic crisis.
Since the private sector (both local and foreign) must play a pivotal role in improving productivity, export performance, and global competitiveness, it follows that in the absence of a healthy business environment, the economy will continue to stagnate and government efforts to strengthen macroeconomic fundamentals will fail. If concrete measures are not introduced to create a salubrious ease-of-doing business climate, the economy is likely to remain in the doldrums.
In conclusion, as per the question: “Is the interim budget speech growth-oriented?” the answer is an emphatic, “No.”
The author is a retired economist/international consultant to ADB MANILA. He can be contacted at snabeyratne@gmail.com
Business
Janashakthi Finance relocates Nugegoda branch to enhance customer convenience and accessibility
Janashakthi Finance PLC, a member of JXG (Janashakthi Group), has relocated its Nugegoda Branch to a more accessible and customer-friendly location at No. 136/5, S. De S. Jayasinghe Mawatha, Nugegoda, further strengthening its commitment to convenience and service excellence.
Situated in the heart of one of Colombo’s busiest urban centres, the new premises offer improved accessibility and enhanced facilities, enabling customers to engage with the Company’s services in a more comfortable and efficient environment.
The branch continues to provide a comprehensive range of financial solutions, including deposits, savings accounts, leasing, gold loans, alternative finance solutions, corporate and SME financing and other tailored financial services designed to meet both individual and business needs.
Nugegoda is a vibrant and densely populated commercial hub, and this relocation allows us to enhance service delivery while providing an improved experience for our valued customers.
Business
Electricity tariff hike raises questions over fuel pricing transparency
The much discussed latest electricity tariff debate has taken a controversial turn, with senior power sector officials and independent energy analysts questioning whether opaque fuel pricing mechanisms are artificially inflating the cost of electricity generation while shielding politically sensitive petroleum losses.
At the centre of the controversy is the widening gap between diesel pricing and the steep increases imposed on Heavy Fuel Oil (HFO) and naphtha — two fuels heavily used by the Ceylon Electricity Board (CEB)� for thermal power generation.
Energy analysts argue that while electricity tariffs are officially calculated on a “cost reflective” basis, the fuel pricing structure feeding into those calculations appears far from transparent.
A senior CEB official told The Island Financial Review that the present fuel pricing pattern raises “serious economic and policy concerns.”
“The entire electricity tariff framework is built on the assumption that fuel supplied to the power sector reflects actual import costs. But if fuel pricing itself is distorted, then tariff calculations become distorted too,” the official said.
According to CEB operational data reviewed by sector analysts, the utility regularly consumes nearly two-and-a-half times more HFO than diesel for thermal generation. Yet recent fuel revisions saw diesel prices rise only marginally — despite allegations that diesel cargoes had been procured at extraordinarily high dollar values.
Industry analysts pointed out that diesel imported at around USD 286 per barrel resulted in only about a Rs. 10 domestic price increase, while HFO prices surged by nearly Rs. 42 per litre and naphtha by around Rs. 34 — increases estimated at roughly 25 percent.
“This creates the impression that losses on diesel are being absorbed by overpricing HFO and naphtha,” an energy economist said.
“If CPC is maintaining artificially low diesel prices for political or inflation management reasons, the burden appears to be transferred to electricity consumers through thermal generation costs.”
The analyst noted that because the CEB relies heavily on HFO for regular dispatch operations, even relatively small increases in HFO pricing can translate into billions of rupees in additional annual generation costs.
In dollar terms, the implications are substantial.
Power sector officials estimate that every major upward revision in HFO pricing adds several billion rupees to annual generation expenditure, particularly during periods of low hydro availability. Given the depreciation pressures on the rupee and the dollar-denominated nature of fuel imports, the resulting tariff burden on consumers becomes even more severe.
A second senior CEB official expressed concern that institutional checks and balances within the energy sector appeared to be weakening.
“There is growing concern within the industry that the electricity sector regulator is no longer functioning with the level of independence expected of it,” the official said, referring to the Public Utilities Commission of Sri Lanka (PUCSL).
“The regulator’s responsibility is to independently scrutinise cost submissions, fuel assumptions and tariff calculations. But many in the sector now feel there is inadequate challenge or verification of the numbers being presented.”
The official warned that if regulatory independence is perceived to be compromised, public confidence in tariff revisions could deteriorate further.
A senior engineer attached to the CEB said the issue goes beyond tariff formulas.
“What is missing is cost transparency. There is no publicly accessible breakdown showing actual landed fuel costs, financing charges, hedging exposure, exchange losses, or refinery margins. Without that, nobody can independently verify whether the fuel pricing is truly cost reflective.”
Analysts also questioned the apparent disparity between crude oil acquisition costs and refined fuel pricing adjustments.
“If crude was purchased at almost the same price range, why are HFO and naphtha seeing disproportionate hikes while diesel remains comparatively protected?” one analyst asked.
Several observers believe the answer may lie in broader political and financial calculations.
Keeping diesel prices artificially low helps contain inflationary pressure across transport, logistics and food supply chains. However, critics say it may also help suppress scrutiny over controversial diesel procurements carried out at elevated international prices.
Energy sector sources further alleged that maintaining a lower diesel benchmark may also indirectly soften calculations linked to the long-running coal procurement controversy, where comparative generation cost modelling often references diesel-based thermal pricing.
“This has major political implications because lower diesel benchmarks can influence public perception regarding coal generation economics,” an analyst said.
By Ifham Nizam
Business
BETSS.COM powers Sri Lanka’s horse racing with landmark three-year sponsorship
BETSS.COM, the digital platform of Sporting Star, is ushering Sri Lanka’s horse racing into a new era through a landmark three-year title sponsorship of the BetSS Governor’s Cup and BetSS Queen’s Cup.
This long-term commitment by Sports Entertainment Services (Pvt) Ltd, operators of BETSS.COM, marks a significant step in elevating two of the country’s most prestigious racing events—enhancing their visibility, engagement, and relevance in a digitally connected world. As a brand positioned as a “Patron of Elite Sri Lankan Sports & Heritage,” BETSS.COM continues to support and transform iconic sporting platforms that carry deep cultural significance.
The Governor’s Cup and Queen’s Cup are the flagship “blue riband” races of the Nuwara Eliya Racecourse and remain central to the town’s April holiday season—where sport, fashion, and highland tourism converge. Horse racing was first introduced to Sri Lanka in the 1840s by Mr. John Baker, brother of the renowned explorer Samuel Baker, who established a training course for imported English thoroughbreds in the hills of Nuwara Eliya. The inaugural race at the Nuwara Eliya Racecourse was held in 1875, organised by the Nuwara Eliya Gymkhana Club. In 1910, the then Governor of Ceylon, Sir Henry Edward McCallum, inaugurated the prestigious Governor’s Cup and Queen’s Cup. Now in its 153rd year of racing, the event stands as an enduring symbol of Sri Lanka’s rich thoroughbred heritage.
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