Business
Electricity tariff hike raises questions over fuel pricing transparency
The much discussed latest electricity tariff debate has taken a controversial turn, with senior power sector officials and independent energy analysts questioning whether opaque fuel pricing mechanisms are artificially inflating the cost of electricity generation while shielding politically sensitive petroleum losses.
At the centre of the controversy is the widening gap between diesel pricing and the steep increases imposed on Heavy Fuel Oil (HFO) and naphtha — two fuels heavily used by the Ceylon Electricity Board (CEB)� for thermal power generation.
Energy analysts argue that while electricity tariffs are officially calculated on a “cost reflective” basis, the fuel pricing structure feeding into those calculations appears far from transparent.
A senior CEB official told The Island Financial Review that the present fuel pricing pattern raises “serious economic and policy concerns.”
“The entire electricity tariff framework is built on the assumption that fuel supplied to the power sector reflects actual import costs. But if fuel pricing itself is distorted, then tariff calculations become distorted too,” the official said.
According to CEB operational data reviewed by sector analysts, the utility regularly consumes nearly two-and-a-half times more HFO than diesel for thermal generation. Yet recent fuel revisions saw diesel prices rise only marginally — despite allegations that diesel cargoes had been procured at extraordinarily high dollar values.
Industry analysts pointed out that diesel imported at around USD 286 per barrel resulted in only about a Rs. 10 domestic price increase, while HFO prices surged by nearly Rs. 42 per litre and naphtha by around Rs. 34 — increases estimated at roughly 25 percent.
“This creates the impression that losses on diesel are being absorbed by overpricing HFO and naphtha,” an energy economist said.
“If CPC is maintaining artificially low diesel prices for political or inflation management reasons, the burden appears to be transferred to electricity consumers through thermal generation costs.”
The analyst noted that because the CEB relies heavily on HFO for regular dispatch operations, even relatively small increases in HFO pricing can translate into billions of rupees in additional annual generation costs.
In dollar terms, the implications are substantial.
Power sector officials estimate that every major upward revision in HFO pricing adds several billion rupees to annual generation expenditure, particularly during periods of low hydro availability. Given the depreciation pressures on the rupee and the dollar-denominated nature of fuel imports, the resulting tariff burden on consumers becomes even more severe.
A second senior CEB official expressed concern that institutional checks and balances within the energy sector appeared to be weakening.
“There is growing concern within the industry that the electricity sector regulator is no longer functioning with the level of independence expected of it,” the official said, referring to the Public Utilities Commission of Sri Lanka (PUCSL).
“The regulator’s responsibility is to independently scrutinise cost submissions, fuel assumptions and tariff calculations. But many in the sector now feel there is inadequate challenge or verification of the numbers being presented.”
The official warned that if regulatory independence is perceived to be compromised, public confidence in tariff revisions could deteriorate further.
A senior engineer attached to the CEB said the issue goes beyond tariff formulas.
“What is missing is cost transparency. There is no publicly accessible breakdown showing actual landed fuel costs, financing charges, hedging exposure, exchange losses, or refinery margins. Without that, nobody can independently verify whether the fuel pricing is truly cost reflective.”
Analysts also questioned the apparent disparity between crude oil acquisition costs and refined fuel pricing adjustments.
“If crude was purchased at almost the same price range, why are HFO and naphtha seeing disproportionate hikes while diesel remains comparatively protected?” one analyst asked.
Several observers believe the answer may lie in broader political and financial calculations.
Keeping diesel prices artificially low helps contain inflationary pressure across transport, logistics and food supply chains. However, critics say it may also help suppress scrutiny over controversial diesel procurements carried out at elevated international prices.
Energy sector sources further alleged that maintaining a lower diesel benchmark may also indirectly soften calculations linked to the long-running coal procurement controversy, where comparative generation cost modelling often references diesel-based thermal pricing.
“This has major political implications because lower diesel benchmarks can influence public perception regarding coal generation economics,” an analyst said.
By Ifham Nizam
Business
ADB delivers rapid support as Middle East impact spreads
The Asian Development Bank (ADB) is acting quickly and decisively with $4 billion in financing to help countries withstand the impact of the Middle East conflict, including about $3 billion requested by governments and $1 billion provided as trade finance for energy and food imports.
“ADB is acting with speed and scale to support countries experiencing a range of impacts from the Middle East conflict, including pressure on finances, remittances, tourism, and fuel and fertilizer supplies,” said ADB President Masato Kanda. “At this time of acute uncertainty and risk, we are deploying our full suite of crisis response instruments—including budget support, trade finance, and a new mechanism to rapidly repurpose existing portfolio funds—to deliver the tailored and timely support our members, from large to small, need to safeguard their economies and communities.”
ADB has received formal requests for support from 15 affected governments across the region, including previously announced requests from Bangladesh, Fiji, the Philippines, and Sri Lanka. The requests, which follow a financial support package announced by ADB in late March, range in size from $15 million to $1.5 billion and include policy-based loans, countercyclical financing, rapid repurposing of existing sovereign portfolio funds, and emergency assistance loans. ADB is in discussions with an additional 4 countries facing continued impacts on their economies.
In addition to these requests, the Government of India has requested $1.5 billion in ADB financing to build and accelerate resilience and to sustain reform-based urban transformation and clean energy objectives. The proposed assistance includes a $1 billion policy-based loan under the Urban Transformation and Investment Program to sustain momentum in urban infrastructure investment and reforms, and $500 million under the Accelerating Affordable and Inclusive Rooftop Solar Systems Development Program to expand clean energy access, reduce dependence on imported fuels, strengthen domestic manufacturing, install battery energy storage systems, promote circular economy initiatives, and enhance long-term energy security.
Complementing this sovereign assistance, ADB has reactivated support for oil imports under its Trade and Supply Chain Finance Program (TSCFP) on an exceptional basis for a limited period to soften the impact of rising oil prices and supply chain disruptions. Since 1 March, ADB’s TSCFP has delivered $673 million to support oil and gas imports and $390 million for food security across 9 countries, helping maintain access to essential supplies amid global market disruptions. Trade finance support to the Cook Islands is also expected to commence soon as part of ADB’s broader support for vulnerable small island developing states.
Business
Research highlights need to empower tea smallholders for a climate-resilient future
A new study by researchers from the University of Sri Jayewardenepura and the Ministry of Irrigation argues that strengthening the knowledge and adaptive capacity of tea smallholders is critical to safeguarding the future of Sri Lanka’s tea industry in the face of climate change.
The study, titled “Enhancing Climate Resilience through Informal Education: The Case of Tea Smallholder Farmers in Sri Lanka,” was authored by Dr. Nuwan Gunarathne, Mahendra Peiris, Thilini Cooray and G.W. Dimalka Perera. It examines the growing challenges confronting tea smallholders and identifies practical measures that can help build a more resilient and sustainable tea sector.
Tea smallholders account for more than 74 percent of Sri Lanka’s total tea production, making them the backbone of one of the country’s most important export industries. However, many farmers are struggling with declining productivity and profitability due to labour shortages, limited technical knowledge, inefficient farming practices and the use of poor-quality agricultural inputs. These long-standing problems are now being exacerbated by climate change.
The researchers note that irregular rainfall patterns, prolonged droughts, rising temperatures and soil degradation are increasingly affecting tea yields and farmer incomes. They also point to inefficiencies in fertiliser use, observing that Sri Lanka currently applies nearly one kilogram of fertiliser to produce one kilogram of made tea, despite actual nutrient replacement requirements being significantly lower. This not only raises production costs but also contributes to environmental degradation.
According to the study, climate-smart agriculture and regenerative farming practices offer practical pathways to address these challenges. Techniques such as rainwater harvesting, micro-irrigation, drought-tolerant crop varieties, improved canopy management and organic soil enhancement can help farmers maintain productivity while reducing dependence on costly chemical inputs. Several locally developed innovations, including herbicide-free integrated weed management, deep envelope forking and stripe spreading of tea bushes, have already demonstrated promising results in improving yields, restoring soil health and enhancing resilience to climate stress.
However, the authors emphasise that technology alone is insufficient. Farmer education and capacity building are equally important.
Business
Sri Lanka lands a spot in elite Global Actuarial Boot Camp
‘Goodbye to guesswork, hello to hard numbers for a more secure financial future’
Sri Lanka has just secured a coveted seat at a high-powered global table – one where number-crunchers don’t just balance spreadsheets but help save economies from disaster. The country has been selected for the UNDP–Milliman Global Actuarial Initiative (GAIN), a kind of financial “special forces” training programme for developing nations.
When The Island Financial Review told an actuarial expert at a roundtable held at the Kingsbury Colombo on June 12 that it knew little about what an actuary does, this is how she explained it: “Think of actuaries as the fortune-tellers of finance. We use maths, data, and risk models to answer questions like: Will our pension system survive an ageing population? Can insurance handle a flood of climate disasters? For too long, Sri Lanka has lacked enough of these experts. GAIN aims to fix that.”
When asked to elaborate, she continued: “The initiative, a brainchild of the UN Development Programme and Milliman Inc., a global actuarial heavyweight, was launched in 2022 at the UN General Assembly. Since then, it has spread to 16 countries, mobilised over 185 Milliman volunteers, and delivered more than 32,000 hours of pro-bono brainpower – meaning, free expert insights. Now, it’s Sri Lanka’s turn.”
From 8–12 June 2026, Milliman ambassadors were on the ground, huddling with everyone from the Insurance Regulatory Commission and the Insurance Association to universities, chartered accountants, and local insurers. Their mission was to diagnose the country’s actuarial strengths and weaknesses – and then build a battle plan.
That plan takes the form of the Sri Lanka Actuarial Capacity Roadmap (2026–2028). It will spell out how to plug skills gaps, boost professional training, and apply actuarial smarts to national priorities like social protection and disaster risk financing.
As part of the programme, a two-day professionalism boot camp was delivered to members of the Actuarial Association of Sri Lanka (AASL) – the island’s official actuarial body, recognised by regulators in 2024.
The mission wrapped on 12 June with a stakeholder workshop to refine the roadmap, to which the financial media had also been invited to spread the word about the little-known but key number-crunchers. The core responsibility of actuaries is to ensure a future where Sri Lanka doesn’t just react to crises but calculates their odds – and beats them.
“This isn’t just about maths,” another AASL member told The Island Financial Review. “It’s about economic resilience, financial security, and sustainable development, powered by people who can see the future in a formula.”
The event reflected the need for a clear policy-level commitment to strengthening actuarial studies in Sri Lanka at national level, rather than allowing a handful of gifted math brains to go abroad and struggle through costly, self-funded qualifications to become actuarial experts.
By Sanath Nanayakkare
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