Connect with us

Editorial

Iran plan blows up in Trump’s face?

Published

on

Tuesday 31st March, 2026

Irate Americans are pouring into the streets to pressure President Donald Trump to step down. Ironically, their “No Kings” protests have erupted while Trump, ably assisted by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, is striving to engineer a regime change in Tehran. Protesters are saying, “Regime Change must begin at home”. Has Trump been hoist with his own petard? Trump has called the protesters a bunch of fools who do not realise the importance of his efforts to seize control of Iran’s oil resources. Is he trying to “make America great again” by plundering the wealth of other countries?

Iran has upended modern warfare and military theories by standing up to the US and Israel. By carrying out devastating retaliatory attacks, unveiling new military capabilities, such as the Mach 15 hypersonic missiles, and altering the dynamics of the Middle East conflict, Iran has triggered a paradigm shift in asymmetric warfare. Its approach to US-Israeli aggression has made military experts in Washington and Tel Aviv rethink their strategies and cast doubt on intelligence assessments and modern theories of war. Iran’s modus operandi has come under severe criticism, but its allies have pointed out that the world powers resorted to far worse things in previous conflicts, such as atomic bomb attacks, massacres, genocide and chemical warfare. As Cicero has observed, inter arma enim silent leges—in war, the laws fall silent. War is hell, as General Sherman said. This is why no country should start military conflicts.

Like a golfer going for a spectacular hole-in-one on the 18th, President Trump, who perhaps knows golf better than statecraft or warfare, egged on by Netanyahu, sent US warplanes to attack Iran. He obviously expected to make short work of the Iranian government, engineer a regime change, install a puppet government, as he did in Venezuela, and gain unrestricted access to Iran’s oil resources. But his strategy, driven by instinct rather than careful planning or expert advice, has turned out to be the geopolitical and military equivalent of a shank, if not an outright duff.

It is not possible to predict how the Iran war is going to end, much less who will win, but Trump and Netanyahu have their work cut out to steer it in the direction they desire. They are reportedly faulting their intelligence chiefs for wrong predictions about a regime collapse in Iran. Teheran’s resilience and obduracy stem from some key factors, which include an ideology of martyrdom, the current regime’s reliance on institutions rather than individuals, and a formidable axis of resistance Iran has built painstakingly for decades.

Hezbollah has opened a new front against Israel. The Houthis have started attacking Israel with missiles and threatened to close the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, which lies on the same sea route as the Suez Canal, connecting the Mediterranean Sea with the Indian Ocean. The geographical location of this chokepoint has made it extremely vulnerable to Houthi attacks. In fact, the Houthis carried out a spate of attacks on this vital shipping route from 2023 to 2025, causing massive losses to the global economy.

Iran has been able to broaden the war and make the world economy scream. The West is blind to war crimes committed by its allies and realises the need to stop wars only when it reels from severe economic shocks. The world is also facing the threat of global connectivity being disrupted. Iran has not ruled out the possibility of targeting the submarine Internet cables in the Red Sea, if push comes to shove.

A ground invasion of Iran by the US and Israel or even by a larger coalition would be extremely difficult for several military, geographic, and political reasons. Analysts often point to several major obstacles: geography and terrain making Iran a natural fortress; Iran’s size and its military and asymmetric capabilities, including a large numbers of ballistic missiles and drones; mobile missile launchers and underground facilities; proxy forces across the Middle East; naval mines and anti-ship missiles that threaten shipping; a risk of regional escalation, and severe blows to the global economy.

While the US is deploying more troops to the Middle East, Chief of the General Staff of the Israel Defence Forces Eyal Zamir has reportedly warned that the Israeli military is “going to collapse on itself” due to severe manpower shortages. He raised these concerns during a recent security Cabinet meeting chaired by PM Netanyahu. Has Israel indicated to the US that it is not in a position to deploy a large number of troops for a ground war in Iran? Sending troops to the Middle East is one thing but deploying them in Iran for combat is quite another. The White House says Trump has made no final decision on a ground assault in Iran. The US and Israel find themselves in a situation their leaders did not bargain for. Trump’s predecessors were wise enough not to take on Iran and risk a full-blown war. While trying to work out an exit strategy in the Iran war, Trump now has protests at home to contend with.



Continue Reading
Advertisement
Click to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Editorial

Be careful what you wish for

Published

on

Wednesday 22nd July, 2026

Nicaragua’s long-serving President Daniel Ortega, 80, is always in the news for the wrong reasons. He has captured the headlines again by declaring that Nicaragua will not have elections hereafter as he wants to “build a wall” against the Opposition. A former Marxist guerrilla, he made this announcement during a recent ceremony to mark the 47th anniversary of the Sandinista revolution, which overthrew Anastasio Somoza’s dictatorship.

It is said that Russia got rid of the Tsar but had too many Commissars to contend with thereafter. The Nicaraguan people, who ousted the U.S.-backed right-wing dictator Somoza, hoping for liberation from the clutches of that dictator, have been languishing under the family dictatorship of Ortega and his wife, Murillo, who is the Co-President; they now face the threat of being deprived of their franchise.

Politicians may espouse different ideologies, but they behave similarly after savouring power, which drives them to act out of expediency rather than principle and do everything possible to perpetuate their hold on it. In Sri Lanka, a left-leaning government went to the extent of misusing its two-thirds majority to extend its parliamentary term by two years from 1975 to 1977. In doing so, the SLFP-led United Front cooked its own goose. The UNP, which came to power in 1977, made a general election disappear in 1982, and President J. R. Jayewardene, a full-blooded capitalist, even considered ‘rolling back electoral democracy’. Democracy has suffered at the hands of other Presidents as well.

The NPP government led by the JVP, a former ‘Marxist’ guerrilla outfit, too, has chosen to postpone elections as it is wary of facing an electoral contest any time soon. Some political commentators are of the view that the PC polls may not be held next year as well. More worryingly, some JVP leaders often quote the Chinese Communist Party leaders as having said that a government should be in power for about 15 to 20 years to develop a country. Their rhetoric and action lend credence to the Opposition’s claim that they are working towards establishing a one-party rule. They unleashed mindless terror in a bid to scuttle elections and capture power through extra-parliamentary means in the late 1980s and tried to storm the parliament complex in 2022.

In an interview with The Guardian, Tiziano Breda, Latin America senior analyst at the NGO, Armed Conflict Location and Event Data, has explained why the Ortega and Murillo regime is wary of facing elections: “Ortega and Murillo are evidently afraid of the idea that the slightest political opening could create the conditions for dissent to manifest and threaten their grip on power, possibly suggesting that their already feeble domestic support is further falling.” This is the predicament of a former Marxist rebel and his associates in Nicaragua.

Participation in democratic elections as well as gaining representation in political institutions is no guarantee of one’s commitment to democracy. Ortega returned to power in 2006 by winning a presidential election, 16 years after losing parliamentary polls. He has since retained power through successive elections that critics say have become increasingly undemocratic. Adolf Hitler employed a similar method. He exploited public anger over the Great Depression, unemployment and the Treaty of Versailles, enabling the Nazi Party to expand its support through relentless propaganda, mass rallies and appeals to German nationalism and capture power democratically. In the July 1932 parliamentary election, the Nazis emerged as the largest party in the Reichstag, although they never secured an outright majority. Hitler then passed the Enabling Act on March 23, 1933 by intimidating legislators and excluding many opposition deputies, allowing his government to enact legislation without parliamentary approval, effectively dismantling Germany’s constitutional democracy. All other political parties in Germany were banned and independent trade unions dissolved; the press was censored and political dissent ruthlessly crushed. The Nazis thus transformed Germany into a one-party dictatorship.

Eternal vigilance is said to be the price of liberty. Sri Lankan voters do not act rationally when they elect their representatives. They go to the polls in search of political messiahs and wish for governments with mammoth majorities to improve their lot. Be careful what you wish for.

Continue Reading

Editorial

Welcome bid to tackle rolling death traps

Published

on

Tuesday 21st July, 2026

The National Council for Road Safety (NCRS) is reportedly planning to launch a countrywide campaign to inspect vehicles in the public transport sector. This is something long overdue. The police, politicians and transport authorities spring into action in the aftermath of a tragic accident and formulate strategies to ensure road safety, but they lose interest in their ad hoc initiatives, with the passage of time. Road safety programmes should be sustained over the long term to produce the desired results.

Following the tragic Garandi Ella bus crash last year, transport authorities took action to ramp up vehicle roadworthiness and passenger safety regulations. They ordered mandatory condition checks on buses to prevent mechanical defects and driver fatigue from endangering the lives of passengers. But nothing has since been heard of that vehicle inspection programme.

There have been a couple of tragic road accidents during the past several days. Two lives were lost on Sunday when a car collided with a moving truck in Matara. Road fatality statistics are chilling. The police recorded 2,231 fatal accidents and 2,341 deaths in 2023, and the number of fatal accidents increased to 2,403, with 2,521 deaths, the following year. Last year, 2,597 fatal accidents claimed 2,746 lives. Road accidents in Sri Lanka claim an average of 2,500 to 2,700 lives annually.

Announcing that the inspection of public transport vehicles will get underway in September, the NCRS has identified drivers’ negligence and mechanical defects in vehicles as leading causes of road accidents. True, undisciplined drivers and vehicle defects are responsible for road accidents. However, there are other causative factors that must not be overlooked if roads are to be made safe. The causes of road accidents in Sri Lanka, identified by road safety experts, include speeding, distractions, recklessness, fatigue, driving under the influence of alcohol or narcotics, inclement weather, inadequate road conditions, tailgating, improper lane changes, inexperience of drivers, overtaking dangerously, poor visibility, unroadworthy vehicles, lack of proper road signage, and jaywalking. One of these factors or a combination of them could lead to road accidents. Hence, a campaign to make roads safe should not be limited to drug screening and vehicle inspections.

Most buses operating in Sri Lanka are not purpose-built. They are truck chassis fitted with passenger vehicle bodies and seats. One wonders whether this could be the reason why bus owners and their workers treat passengers like cargo. Successive governments have not done anything about this issue though experts have pointed out that ‘truck-chassis buses’ cannot provide the comfort, stability and safety of the buses built specifically for transporting people. In this country, transporting cattle in cramped conditions is a punishable offence. The police take trucks with cattle packed tightly in them into custody and prosecute their drivers and owners––and rightly so. But no such action is taken against overcrowded buses.

The NCRS programme to inspect public transport vehicles should be coupled with regular random drug screening. Some bus and truck drivers are addicted to drugs. According to media reports, a raid at the Bastian Mawatha private bus terminal in Colombo some time ago, revealed that nearly 18 percent of the drivers and conductors were under the influence of narcotic drugs. Similar inspections in Piliyandala, Horana, Nugegoda and Navinna also resulted in the arrest of several drivers and conductors who tested positive for substances such as heroin, cannabis and crystal methamphetamine, commonly known as “ice”. Truck drivers must also be subjected to regular random drug screening. They are also responsible for many road accidents.

The NCRS vehicle inspection programme is bound to run into stiff resistance from the private bus operators who have become a law unto themselves. Many passenger buses, both private and state-owned, are badly maintained and therefore unroadworthy. Truckers are also likely to protest. It is hoped that the transport authorities and the police will have the courage to tell such bus and truck operators where to get off.

Continue Reading

Editorial

Detention and punishment: When the line blurs

Published

on

Monday 20th July, 2026

The Court of Appeal (CA) has granted bail to a man held on remand for about 15 years under the Prevention of Terrorism Act (PTA). The CA overturned a Colombo High Court order refusing bail to the accused. Stressing that protracted pre-trial detention should not amount to punishment before conviction, and the presumption of innocence remains a cornerstone of criminal justice, the court ruled that there was an exceptional circumstance warranting the accused’s release on bail in keeping with an amendment introduced to the PTA in 2022. However, this amendment has not effectively diluted the draconian character of the PTA to make it rights-compliant; its sweeping powers leave room for abuse. A country needs anti-terror laws to ensure national security and public safety, but they must necessarily conform to international human rights standards and best practices.

It is sad but true that successive governments, bent on suppressing democratic dissent, have manipulated the legal system to ‘punish’ their political opponents by having them remanded or detained for extended periods. They unashamedly invoke the PTA, the Offences against Public Property Act, etc., for this purpose. One can understand why dangerous criminals who pose a threat to public safety are detained for extended periods, but it defies comprehension why others, especially political activists, should be detained or held on remand indefinitely purportedly until the conclusion of investigations. The practice of the police arresting suspects even before investigations into complaints get underway in earnest to ascertain evidence, and having them remanded or detained for long periods, has severely eroded public confidence in the legal system. It must be discontinued forthwith.

In this country, detention is tantamount to punishment for all intents and purposes. Imagine being kept in an overcrowded, squalid prison, where sanitary facilities are scarce and inmates cannot sleep for want of space. Some remand prisoners are housed with convicts. They live in eternal fear of being assaulted or even killed. All 21 inmates killed during the recent riots at the Negombo Prison, which accommodated remand prisoners and convicts, were suspects, as we reported, quoting prison officers, last Wednesday (15). The majority of the injured inmates were also suspects. This alone is proof of the vulnerability of remand prisoners.

There is no gainsaying that Sri Lanka’s prison system is badly in need of a radical shake-up, which remains pie in the sky despite promises made by successive governments to introduce comprehensive prison reforms. The need for much more space and better facilities for the current prison population cannot be overstated. There are more than 41,000 prisoners at present although the prison system has a capacity to hold only 10,000 to 11,000 inmates, according to the government. The Negombo Prison, which was designed to accommodate about 650 prisoners, was holding around 2,400 inmates at the time of the recent riots. However, the physical development of prisons alone will not help evolve a lasting solution to the ever-worsening issue of overcrowding. It is imperative to formulate a comprehensive strategy to overcome the problem and adopt the modern methods already used by other countries.

One may recall that various alternative measures have been proposed, over the past so many years, to ease prison overcrowding due to pre-trial remand or detention. They include expanding bail, introducing electronic monitoring for those who pose no serious risks to the public. They are already used internationally, and Sri Lanka can adopt them easily by introducing necessary legal amendments.

What one gathers from the various views expressed by experts during the previous debates on prison reforms is that well-designed community sanctions can reduce reoffending more effectively than short jail terms. They make sense in that they help not only reduce prison overcrowding and escalating costs but also prevent those convicted for minor offences from networking with criminals in prisons and graduating to serious crimes.

Continue Reading

Trending