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Humane capitalism needed to generate national wealth

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Sajith speaking in Parliament

(Text of Opposition Leader Sajith Premadasa’s speech in Parliament during the ongoing debate on Budget 2025)

When analysing the solutions that the 2025 Budget should provide for the country, it is crucial to examine the mandate given to implement such a budget and how that mandate has been executed.

The policy framework presented to secure the mandate was “A Thriving Nation – A Beautiful Life” and “Country to Anura”. We must assess how much of these policy features are reflected in the 2025 Budget.

Looking at the budget framework, its presentation, and its unveiling, it is clear that this budget does not align with the promises made or the mandate received. I would like to substantiate this argument with evidence, data, and facts.

On page 105 of the ” A Thriving Nation – A Beautiful Life” policy document, there is a commitment to conduct an alternative debt sustainability analysis when the current government came into power. What has happened to that promise? Instead, what we see today is an unbearable burden and hardship imposed on the people, with the benefits they deserve being severely restricted.

Under the 2024 Fiscal Management (Responsibility) Act, primary expenditure is capped at 13% of GDP, and the primary balance is limited to 2.3% of GDP. Such limits are imposed in only about 10 countries worldwide, including Guatemala, Ethiopia, SriLanka, Venezuela, Nigeria, Yemen, Bangladesh, Lebanon, and Haiti.

Capping primary expenditure at 13% of GDP and maintaining a primary balance at 2.3% of GDP were not election promises of this government. This is not the execution of a mandate; it is a surrender of the mandate. It is a destruction of the mandate, forgetting what was promised, and entering into harsh and oppressive agreements with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and sovereign bondholders.

This does not mean we advocate for withdrawing from the IMF program. Instead, we believe in entering a new, more people-centric and humane path that prioritizes the welfare of people.

These fiscal limits make it impossible to correct for externalities or address social costs. The responsibility of a government is to provide public goods, and these limits hinder that. They also restrict social redistribution. International studies show that capping primary expenditure and primary balances is counterproductive to a country’s development. Yet, the government has ignored all this, renegotiated agreements, and entered into new ones.

In essence, the government, which came to power with the people’s mandate, has completely surrendered that mandate.

I remember a statement made by President John F. Kennedy: “The great enemy of the truth is very often not the lie, deliberate, contrived, and dishonest, but the myth, persistent, persuasive, and unrealistic.” This statement holds great relevance today.

Many people are lamenting that they do not understand the increase in salaries. There is confusion about what will happen to allowances and how they will be structured. We must understand this confusion. This budget has been prepared within the constraints of 13% primary expenditure and a 2.3% primary balance of GDP. In reality, the amount of funds available to rebuild the country and empower the people is very limited.

We have met with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) on several occasions. I, along with Minister Harsha de Silva, Minister Kabir Hashim, Minister Eran Wickramaratne, and others, have clearly stated that we are working with the IMF and that we are moving forward with their program. However, we do not dance to their tune. We acknowledge that the IMF program creates hardship and burdens, and there are costs involved. But we must minimize these hardships and burdens as much as possible.

Yet, the President comes to Parliament and says that we must forget all the promises made on election platforms, forget the people’s burdens, tears, and pain, and ignore all these difficulties. He claimed then that by November 2024, the country’s economy would face significant shocks. The President is taking over the agreements negotiated by the previous Ranil Wickremesinghe government wholesale.

We see this as a betrayal of the people’s mandate. On one hand, it is a betrayal of the people, and on the other, he speaks of the lost decades. Will we lose another decade due to this decision? We could have made a better, more beneficial decision for the country—one that reduces burdens instead of increasing them, provides relief instead of hardship, and offers some solution to the people’s cries.

The President has firmly stated in this House that they will be ready to repay our debt by 2028. That is a good thing. Our hope is that we can achieve this. However, we do not endorse the tribal political culture that creates crises within the country and transfers power. To repay the debt by 2028, it is essential to boost economic growth and increase state revenue. There is a fact that no one talks about, and many are hiding it.

Since 1975, 75 countries have implemented IMF agreements. Of these 75 countries, 59% have inevitably had to enter second, third, and fourth debt restructuring programs. No one talks about this or informs the public. Only 41% of countries have successfully managed their affairs with a single agreement and debt restructuring. Honestly, I hope we are among that 41%. I pray that we do not have to undergo another debt restructuring. If that happens, it will lead to a severe economic collapse.

Our country should have stayed on the path of debt sustainability, but it has deviated from that line. Our country needs a higher economic growth rate and a faster rate of increasing state revenue. Otherwise, we will have to undergo another debt restructuring.

This revelation came to light during discussions I participated in with a team that advised the previous government until the last moment on formulating the current IMF agreement and sovereign bond agreements.

Even if we cannot stay on the debt sustainability line, we may have to undergo a second or third debt restructuring. If that happens, Sri Lanka will face a global crisis. To prevent this, the country’s economy must grow, and state revenue must increase.

The President stated in his budget speech that they would achieve a 5% economic growth rate in 2025. That would be good if it can be achieved. However, the President’s speech mentions that according to the World Bank, our country’s poverty rate is 25.9%. These are the statistics presented by the President in the budget speech. But while the President accepts the World Bank’s poverty statistics, the World Bank states that the economic growth rate in January 2025 will be 3.5. The President has accepted the poverty rate of 25.9% while citing World Bank statistics.

According to the President, the economic growth rate is 5%. The World Bank states that the economic growth rate in January 2025 will be 3.5%. There is a deficit in the economic growth rate. If this deficit is not bridged, we will fall into difficulty. As a country, we must definitely move towards rapid economic growth. However, this budget does not clearly indicate how this will be achieved.

Similarly, we need to increase our Gross Domestic Product. This budget has not provided any clarification regarding expenditure methodology, revenue methodology, and production methodology. There is no clarity in this budget about how to maintain a high economic growth rate to begin debt repayment in 2028. We must be realistic in presentation.

The whole country is complaining today because of the wrong agreement reached on the primary balance and primary expenditure. There is confusion about salary increases and no clarity. There is no clarity about how salaries will be received by grades. There is no clarity about how much will be received this year and next year. There is confusion everywhere. There is no explanation about salary increases.

There should be a clear explanation of how the economy will grow rapidly. There should be a clear explanation of how to increase state revenue. The agreement with the International Monetary Fund and the International Sovereign Bond agreement have been entered into based on several scenarios. The scenario used as the basis for this is completely wrong. That’s why we stated that an agreement should be reached. This process created based on the agreement has created an unrealistic target that cannot achieve the economic growth rate. They have agreed to an unrealistic target regarding state revenue. The main reason for this is that the current government also agreed to a weak agreement. The current government is following in the footsteps of the former President.

During the period of electing 159 MPs, they should have discussed with the International Monetary Fund and international sovereign bondholders to change the signed agreements and move to a new agreement that would put less pressure on the people, provide more relief, less distress, and more strength. I request that they consider this even now.

I request immediate discussions with the International Monetary Fund. The economic growth targets are not realistic. State revenue targets are not realistic. Primary balance and primary targets are not realistic. The country will have to go for a second debt restructuring before debt repayment in 2028. This is a serious situation. The government is heading towards a very difficult destination. The government is heading in the wrong direction.

I was shocked to hear what the team that advised on creating the International Monetary Fund agreement and International Sovereign Bond agreement said. It hasn’t even been three months since discussing the end of the agreement. They say we need to go for debt restructuring again. These are not jokes. It’s our country’s people who face distress and pressure from these. Through domestic debt restructuring, they tapped into the Employees’ Provident Fund. Why can’t the current government bring a proposal to Parliament to do justice to the Employees’ Provident Fund and Employees’ Trust Fund?

Similarly, Aswesuma is not a solution for eliminating poverty. There should be a production program, consumption program, savings program, export program, and investment program to eliminate poverty, but none of these exist. The selection for and exclusion from the Aswesuma program are done without identifying the poverty line and without conducting a household income-expenditure survey. It has been done without knowing information about poverty as well as food and non-food expenses. How can a poverty elimination program be implemented that way?

There are several serious problems with the limitations the government has created. There is serious confusion in every service including teachers, doctors, nurses, workers, and office employee (KKS) staff. The government has been unable to provide the promised Rs. 20,000 salary increase. The limited primary expenditure limit is thirteen percent. The primary balance is limited to 2.3. Within this limit, the government cannot implement the promised “A Thriving Nation-A Beautiful Life” policy statement. Within these limited resources, you have placed the necessary limitations yourself to not implement this, and you have become a prisoner yourself.

The elderly retired community used to receive 15% interest on their Rs. 1.5 million savings. That saving has now been reduced to one million. The savings interest rate is only about 10%. This is a serious problem for the elderly community. Various benefits have been provided for women. That’s a good thing. But the most serious problem has become labor force participation. It’s thirty-four percent. We should work to bring that to 45%. Verite Research has prepared data-centric proposals to implement maternity allowances with state patronage. It costs about six to seven billion rupees. If such an amount is spent, women’s labor force participation can be brought to a higher level.

Tax money from alcohol and cigarette manufacturing companies is not being properly collected. A wrong tax formula is being implemented. The government should look into this and work to increase state revenue.

There are several proposals to help the pre-school system. It has been proposed to increase pre-school teachers’ allowances. But there are very few pre-schools in the public service. Don’t implement it selectively. It should be implemented as a comprehensive program. We are happy about the increase in Mahapola scholarships. The Mahapola scholarship hasn’t even been paid for the past few months. The government has announced increasing an allowance that hasn’t been paid. I believe the government will work to pay both the increased Mahapola allowance and the unpaid Mahapola allowance.

Farmers are currently under severe pressure. Not just the paddy purchasing process, but the purchasing process of other crops has not been properly implemented. I’m not making this accusation against the government. No previous government had a proper cultivation formula with a clear cycle. This should be legislated. It should be legislated through a Parliamentary act.

The fishing community is waiting for the fuel subsidy. Many fishermen have become destitute. We talked about the wages of the Malayaha community. We believe we need to go beyond that. That Malayaha community has no land ownership, no house ownership. They should be empowered by giving them ownership of cultivation and lands, and the right to live in their own house. This community should be transformed into small tea estate owners who contribute 60% of production by utilizing 40% of the country’s land within the national production, with their own small tea estate in this country.

A sustainable solution should be provided to the unemployed youth community too by distributing some portion of uncultivated land. More than increasing salaries, such a process adds something to national production.

Many people are waiting for appointments after training as nurses. The family health sector is the same. There are about thirty-five thousand graduates. The President has promised to prepare a proper program for 35,000 graduates. Please don’t forget the promise given to unemployed graduates. Work to implement that too.

The current government hasn’t made any systemic changes. The Gotabaya-Mahinda Rajapaksa system hasn’t changed. Projects are implemented according to the government’s wishes. Political victimization is happening severely. Mahinda Weerasuriya was the Chief Secretary of Sabaragamuwa Province. Now he has retired. Mrs. Deepika, the Chief Secretary of the North Western Province, and Mrs. Damayanthi Paranagama, the Secretary of Uva Province, have been removed from their Chief Secretary positions. Nandana Galagoda, the Nuwara Eliya District Secretary, has also been removed. Mr. Wasantha Gunaratne has been removed from the position of Ratnapura District Secretary. Ganesh Amarasinghe has been removed from the position of Matara District Secretary. Why are they doing this? People didn’t vote for you to carry out such political victimization. This is wrong. Stop the victimization immediately.

I hope this budget will be successful. We will also support implementing the positive, people-friendly provisions in it. We will be a strength to add value to the country. Please let’s work with a mindset of providing decentralized funding. Let’s work under a new program. This budget shows no understanding of the external environment.

We need to diversify our export market. We depend on just a few exports. There is potential to create diversification in export destinations in other power regions of the world. There are no details about this in the budget. Foreign direct investment must necessarily be brought to our country to rebuild it. A special program should be implemented for this. We are ready to support this. We must compete with other countries in the world. I don’t see a clear program for this within this budget speech.

Within our political policy, in the ten-fold methodology we follow, we follow a social democratic program. Through this, humane capitalism is needed to generate wealth in the country. Limited state intervention is needed to correct the imbalances that occur within humane capitalism. While protecting the welfare state and increasing its efficiency, more action should be taken to provide resources to it. A results-oriented and time-bound poverty eradication program is needed. A balanced economic growth rate should occur at the Divisional Secretary level across all nine provinces of the country. An agriculture sector, fisheries sector, and industrial sector enriched with new technology should be created. All people should be empowered as Sri Lankans without discrimination. Democracy should be strengthened. Sustainable development should be strengthened. Foreign relations that add value to the country should be implemented. This ten-fold program is the program we follow. Standing within that framework, we will provide our strength to build this country.



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Opinion

The Rule of Law from a Master of the Rolls and Lord Chief Justice of England

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These last few months have given us vivid demonstrations of the power of the Rule of Law. A brother of the reigning monarch in Great Britain has been arrested by the local police and questioned. This is reported to be the first time since 1647 (Charles I) that a person so close in kin to the reigning monarch was arrested by the police in England. An ambassador of the United Kingdom who also was a member of the House of Lords has been questioned by the police because of alleged abuse of office. In US, the Supreme Court has turned back orders of a President who imposed new tariffs on imports into that might trading nation. A nation that was made by law (the Constitution) again lived by the rule of law and not by the will of a ruler, so avoiding the danger of dictatorship.

In Sri Lanka, once high and mighty rulers and their kith and kin have been arrested and detained by the police for questioning. A high ranking military official has been similarly detained. Comments by eminent lawyers as well as by some cantankerous politicians have cited the services rendered by these worthies as why they should be treated differently from other people who are subject to the rule of laws duly enacted in that land. In Sri Lanka governments, powerful politicians and bureaucrats have denied the rule of law by delaying filing cases in courts of law, until the physical evidence is destroyed and the accused and witnesses are incapacitated from partaking in the trial. These abuses are widely prevalent in our judicial system.

As the distinguished professor Brian Z. Tamanaha, (On the Rule of Law, 2004.) put it “the rule of law is ‘an exceedingly elusive notion’ giving rise to a ‘rampant divergence of understandings’ and analogous to the notion of Good in the sense that ‘everyone is for it, but have contrasting convictions about what it is’. The clearest statement on the rule of law, that I recently read as a layman, came in Tom Bingham (2010), The Rule of Law (Allen lane). Baron Bingham of Cornhill was Lord Chief Justice of England from 1996 until his retirement. For the benefit of your readers, I reproduce a few excerpts from his short book of 174 pages.

“Dicey (A.V.Dicey, 1885) gave three meanings to the rule of law. ‘We mean, in the first place… that no man is punishable or can be made to suffer in body or goods except for a distinct breach of law established in the ordinary legal manner before the ordinary courts of the land.’…If anyone -you or I- is to be penalized it must not be for breaking some rule dreamt up by an ingenious minister or official in order to convict us. It must be for proven breach of the established law and it must be a breach established before the ordinary courts of the land, not a tribunal of members picked to do the government’s bidding, lacking the independence and impartiality which are expected of judges.

” We mean in the second place, when we speak of ‘the rule of law’ …..that no man is above the law but that every man, whatever his rank or condition, is subject to the ordinary law of the realm and amenable to the ordinary tribunals.’ Thus no one is above the law, and all are subject to the same law administered in the same courts. The first is the point made by Dr Thomas Fuller (1654-1734) in 1733: ‘Be you ever so high, the law is above you.’ So, if you maltreat a penguin in the London Zoo, you do not escape prosecution because you are Archbishop of Canterbury; if you sell honours for a cash reward, it does not help that you are Prime Minister. But the second point is important too. There is no special law or court which deals with archbishops and prime ministers: the same law, administered in the same courts, applies to them as to everyone else.

“The core of the existing principle is, I suggest, that all persons and authorities within the state, whether public or private, should be bound by and entitled to the benefits of laws publicly made, taking effect (generally) in the future and publicly administered in the courts. … My formulation owes much to Dicey, but I think it also captures the fundamental truth propounded by the great English philosopher John Locke in 1690 that ‘Wherever law ends, tyranny begins’. The same point was made by Tom Paine in 1776 when he said ‘… in America THE LAW IS KING’. For, as in absolute governments the King is law, so in free countries the law ought to be King; and there ought to be no other.’

“None of this requires any of us to swoon in adulation of the law, let alone lawyers. Many people occasion share the view of Mr. Bumble in Oliver Twist that ‘If the law supposes that ….law is a ass -a idiot’. Many more share the ambition of expressed by one of the rebels in Shakespeare’s Henry VI, Part II, ‘The first thing we do, let’s kill all the lawyers. ….’. The hallmarks of a regime which flouts the rule of law are, alas, all too familiar: the midnight knock on the door, the sudden disappearance, the show trial, the subjection of prisoners to genetic experiment, the confession extracted by torture, the gulag and the concentration camp, the gas chamber, the practice of genocide or ethnic cleansing, the waging of aggressive war. The list is endless. Better to put up with some choleric judges and greedy lawyers.”

Tom Bingham draws attention to a declaration on the rule of law made by the International Commission of Jurists at Athens in 1955:

 =The state is subject to the law;

 =Government should respect the rights of individuals under the Rule of Law and provide effective means for their enforcement;

 =Judges should be guided by the Rule of Law and enforce it without fear or favour and resist any encroachment by governments or political parties in their independence as judges;

 =Lawyers of the world should preserve the independence of their profession, assert the rights of an individual under the Rule of Law and insist that every accused is accorded a fair trial;

The final rich paragraph of the book reads as follows: ‘The concept of the rule of law is not fixed for all time. Some countries do not subscribe to it fully, and some subscribe only in name, if that. Even those who subscribe to it find it difficult to subscribe to all its principles quite all the time. But in a world divided by differences of nationality, race, colour, religion and wealth it is one of the greatest unifying factors, perhaps the greatest, the nearest we are likely to approach to a universal secular religion. It remains an ideal, but an ideal worth striving for, in the interests of good government and peace, at home and in the world at large.’

by Usvatte-aratchi ✍️

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Opinion

Reimagining International Relations from a Global South Perspective

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I wish to congratulate Prof. Keerawella, for having undertaken this mammoth task of seeking to capture, from ‘a global south perspective’, the multiple facets of scholarship of International Relations. He has, as always, been meticulous in his research, and also lucid in conveying to the reader, complex ideas and their interconnections, in an uncomplicated way. I am not in the habit of encouraging taking shortcuts, particularly with my students around – but if pressed, here is a book, with references to every major scholar in the 7 areas identified, in 440 pages, at a modest price.

We are honoured that the Prime Minister graced this occasion, and thankful for her inspiring words. She has left much food for thought – which I am hopeful our students will consider engaging with, as they proceed with their presentations and dissertations.

This is the 7th book, in fact the 3rd authored or co-authored by Prof. Keerawella, published under the auspices of the BCIS, over the past couple of years. It is a reflection of BCIS’s continuing commitment to bring into the public domain, quality academic literature that benefits both scholars and Sri Lankan students who pass through these halls and beyond. I want to commend President Kumaratunga, for through the BCIS, continuing to support the publication of such texts, at a time individually doing so is prohibitive and also more costly to the buyer, and the Bandaranaike Memorial National Foundation (BMNF) for making this possible.

Turning to the volume launched today (24 Feb), in ‘Reimagining International Relations from a Global South Perspective’, at the outset, Prof. Keerawella makes clear that a Global South perspective is not simply a matter of geographical focus; it is an epistemic stance that seeks to recover marginalised voices, experiences, and knowledge that have long been silenced or subordinated in mainstream discourse. He goes on to emphasise that, the choice of the phrase “a Global South Perspective” is deliberate. It signals an awareness that there is no single, homogeneous standpoint from which the Global South speaks’. To speak of a perspective, then, is to situate this volume’s argument within that broader, evolving mosaic—to offer one possible articulation among many, without claiming representational authority over them. Prof. Keerawella emphasises, it is an invitation to dialogue, not a declaration of orthodoxy.

As is customary by a reviewer, I intend to take up Prof. Keerawella’s ‘invitation to dialogue’ and commencsation in the latter part of this presentation, but first let me outline the valuable insights contained in this Book, as an appetiser.

The first chapter on IR Theory, points out – in each of the ‘isms’, ingredients as it were, that could contribute to a better understanding of the ‘Global South’. Here he highlights Raúl Prebisch and Andre Gunder Frank’s ‘dependency theory’, Neta Crawford’s ‘normative constructivism’, Sanjay Seth’s ‘Decolonial Critique’ and Amitav Acharya’s concept of ‘Global IR’ as having advanced a reformist, yet transformative agenda for the discipline. He observes that, “Collectively, their respective projects of rethinking, decolonizing, and globalizing International Relations illuminate how the Global South can contribute to the field not merely as a repository of empirical cases, but as a source of conceptual reflection and theoretical innovation”.

The second chapter which examines the transformation of International Security Studies, by foregrounding the lived insecurities of the Global South—ranging from poverty and structural violence to environmental vulnerability and social fragility, demonstrates why concepts such as human security gained salience as corrective and complementary frameworks, concerning the global south.

The third chapter pays analytical attention to the dynamics of regionalism with special focus on South Asia and the experience of the SAARC. It calls for reimagining regional cooperation in South Asia beyond rigid institutional templates, advocating for inclusive, flexible, and people-centered modalities rooted in the specific political and social realities of the Global South.

The fourth chapter addresses international organisations and international regimes as central pillars of contemporary global governance, with particular attention to their implications for the Global South. The chapter reveals how Global South states have simultaneously been constrained by inherited governance structures and mobilized collective strategies to contest inequities and assert greater voice.

The fifth chapter which focuses on Foreign Policy Analysis (FPA), situates it within a rapidly evolving global environment shaped by globalisation, technological transformation, and the Fourth Industrial Revolution, paying particular attention to the strategic choices made by Global South states.

The sixth chapter traces the long historical arc of diplomatic practice, demonstrating how modes of representation, negotiation, and cooperation have evolved in response to changing political, social, and technological contexts. From a Global South perspective, the chapter underscores both the opportunities and constraints of particularly science diplomacy.

In the final chapter, Prof. Keerawella discusses the notion of national self-determination.
He underscores its contradictions in theory, and its praxis in the post-Cold War context, tracing the ways in which self-determination has been invoked and contested in modern international relations.

Besides joining a very small league of international scholars (some already referred to) who have dared to challenge Western theoretical approaches in the study of IR and sub-fields and emphasised the need for an alternative ‘Global South’ reading, Prof. Keerawella becomes the first Sri Lankan to do so in any considered manner. His volume is also rare, in that in general, few Sri Lankans have sought to engage with and contribute to the theoretical literature of International Relations and Foreign Policy. His book has the additional advantage of being released at a time ‘International Relations’ – as we have been taught it and understood it, is under severe strain to explain contemporary developments in a conceptual and theoretical manner, and there is a serious vacuum to be filled, not just in understanding, but in order to change the currentpredicament.

While the book reaffirms the ‘global south’ as a certain collective sentiment, assembling many of the conceptual building blocks and empirical insights necessary for its articulation, what it leaves to us is the task of synthesising these elements into a coherent and operational set of principles that can foster a unified front amongst the Global South, despite the vast diversity of the actors and states involved.

While I have no disagreement with Prof. Keerawella’s starting premise and end goal of the desirability of having ‘a Global South Perspective’ in the areas under study, however, as an observer and practitioner of international relations for most of my professional life since 1980
– 9 years as a journalist, 33 years as a diplomat, and post-retirement, and over 4 years from the vantage point of running IR and Strategic Studies focused institutions, while also teaching, and engaging in my own research, I do encounter some difficulty, and lament that operationally little has or is being done, to evolve a strategy that addresses the shortcomings so carefully pointed out in Prof. Keerawella’s book.

Looking back, I do not see a single cohesive ‘Global South’ consistently in play. Rather, I see a multitude of ‘Global Souths’ –depending on the issue, competing opportunistically and often working at cross purposes, and all eventually getting played out by the continuing structural heft of the ‘Global North’.

This is no fault of Prof. Keerawella, or of the rich ingredients he brings together in this volume. Rather, it reflects the political reality that the‘Global South’ recipe has not yet been fully translated into an appetising dish.

I am no chef, and time does not permit me to elaborate from the different vantagespoints
I have experienced it from – but I do believe there is a compelling case that could be made for action, which needs serious reflection and attention.

To put it another way, without making value judgements on the rights and wrongs of the respective action, I wish to pose two sets of questions, confining myself to events of the past 4 years or so;

First, what did the ‘Global South’ do in the cases of Ukraine since 2022, of Gaza since 2023, of Sudan since 2023, on actions in the South-China Sea in recent times, following the imposition of ‘Reciprocal Tariffs’ throughout 2025, or in the case of Venezuela last month?

*  Did they speak together?

*  Did they vote together?

*  Did they fight together?

Similarly, second, what will the ‘Global South’ do, God forbid, if there is to be a conflict on Iran, Cuba, the Panama Canal, Morocco-Algeria, DRC-Rwanda, or Taiwan, tomorrow?

*  Will they speak together?

*  Will they vote together?

*  Will they fight together?

If I were to play devil’s advocate, I would be tempted to ask: if these coalitions neither speak, vote, nor act together, what kind of analytical and normative work can the category ‘Global South’ realistically achieve? Rather than assuming a unity that does not yet exist, how might we need to refine it?

To this end, I wish to posit, that the category of ‘Global South’ could be analytically more useful, if, as Max Weber suggested, it be used as an ‘ideal type’ – that might not be realized, but must be sought to be approximated.’Global South’ functions best as a Max Weber-inspired ‘ideal type’: an abstract model used not as a description of an existing state, but as a heuristic tool to clarify the degree to which specific regions approximate or diverge from its core characteristics.

Such an approximation cannot merely be imagined; it has at least to be attempted in practice.

What I am suggesting is not utopian. Historically, there is precedent that has been realized by the Non-Aligned group of countries – which by no means perfect, but was effective in its heyday duringthe 1960s, 1970s, and early 1980s. Unfortunately, rather than being reformed and modified at the end of the Cold War, it has been tossed away.

Admittedly, those were different times, but for purposes of encouraging the dialogue and debateProf. Keerawella wanted us to have stemming from his book, and in order to draw inspiration, let me suggest 4 factors that made Non-Alignment work as an operational strategy, while it did;

*  There was a clearer ‘Framework of Operation’ – the Non-Aligned MOVEMENT, which incidentally in this year we commemorate the 50th anniversary of the hosting of the 5th Summit in Sri Lanka in 1976 at this very venue the BMICH.

*  There was also a clear ‘Other’ – the cold War driven Western alliance on the one hand, and the Warsaw pact countries, which had competing ideologies–and which broadly Non-Aligned countries preferred not to emulate in toto.

*  There was further an alternate Politico-Economic and Legally grounded Agenda – which saw expression through the UN Special Session on Disarmament, an operationally stronger UNCTAD, and a international legal regimethe UN Law of the Sea (UNCLOS), inwhich NAM countries played crucial roles.

*  There was also ‘a like-minded collective leadership’ – which, spare a few, more often than not, dared to demonstrate objectivity between the West and the East – and resisted being unquestioning followers. Though they might not have been loved by the ‘West’, or for that matter by the ‘East’, but they were broadly respected by both.

While newer formations such as the G77, the BRICS, the SCO, alongside regional groupings such as the RCEP, the ASEAN, the AU, the GCC, and BIMSTEC have sought to fill this space, they remain, at best, partial substitutes, lacking the normative coherence and political solidarity that characterized the early NAM efforts that resulted in effective collective action demands.

It is ironic, that at a time when the ‘Global North’ is in disarray, and some its own constituents have made bold to say that this is not a “transition” but a “rupture” of the US-led rules-based international order, that there is no cohesive ‘Global South’ alternative.

The real question before the ‘Global South’ today should be, as to what conditions and mechanism could lead us to position ourselves better, to consolidate such a collective, and most importantly whether there is the political will to do so?

If not, we must at least be honest about current limits – that many states with even some capacity, are compelled to hedge, while those without meaningful leverage remain largely ‘bystanders’ in the global order.

However, if we recognize that this situation is not tenable and that we wish to serve a higher cause, we should do something about it and try to create ‘sufficient conditions’ that could more actively and tangibly approximate ‘a Global South’- which can ‘bracket’ its differences, find unity in what is most important, and avoid the temptation of flirting for temporary gain or glory.

This is the thought I wish to leave you with today in the hope that, as envisaged by Prof. Keerawella, this volume will not be the last word on ‘a Global South perspective’, but a starting point for precisely the kind of critical, self-reflective conversation that can turn it into a more grounded, plural, and effective practical programme and call to action.

Speech delivered by
by Ambassador (Retd.)
Ravinatha Aryasinha,

former Foreign Secretary and Executive Director, Regional Centre for Strategic Studies (RCSS), at the launch of

Prof. Gamini Keerawella’s book ‘Reimagining International Relations from a Global South Perspective’,

at the Bandaranaike Centre for International Studies (BCIS), Colombo on 24 February 2026)

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Opinion

The J.R. I Disliked — A Review of Courage, Candour and Historical Balance

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The latest addition to the “Historic Thoughts” series by the J. R. Jayewardene Centre arrives with a provocative title: The J.R. I Disliked by Imthiaz Bakeer Markar. Yet beneath its seemingly adversarial framing lies a reflective and intellectually honest reassessment of one of Sri Lanka’s most consequential political figures — J. R. Jayewardene.

This publication, based on a commemorative lecture, is not merely a memoir fragment. It is a political meditation on leadership, ideological evolution, and the necessity of historical sobriety in a time when public discourse is often driven by caricature rather than careful analysis.

Candour as Political Virtue

What immediately distinguishes Markar’s lecture is its rare tone of sincerity. He openly recalls that, as a young activist, he seconded a proposal to expel Jayewardene from the United National Party — a confession that gives the work unusual credibility. In Sri Lankan political culture, where retrospective loyalty often replaces honest memory, such candour is refreshing.

Markar’s narrative demonstrates a crucial democratic lesson: political disagreement need not devolve into permanent enmity. His recollection of Jayewardene’s magnanimity — promoting a former critic based on merit rather than loyalty — reveals a statesman confident enough to transcend factional bitterness. This alone makes the publication politically instructive for a generation accustomed to zero- sum politics.

Beyond the Right–Left Caricature

One of the most valuable contributions of this text is its implicit challenge to the simplistic labeling of Jayewardene as merely a “right-wing” leader. A careful reading of Jayewardene’s own parliamentary interventions supports this reassessment.

As early as the 1940s, he warned:

“We are suffering due to an administrative system established and protected by foreign rulers… Until we are freed from this imperialist and capitalist administrative system, we will not… resolve the serious issues we face.”

This is not the language of doctrinaire capitalism. Nor was Jayewardene drawn to orthodox Marxism. Instead, his political philosophy reflected what may best be described as a pragmatic middle path — informed, arguably, by Buddhist political ethics that molded his own life.

He himself signaled this balance when he insisted Sri Lanka must learn from global systems without surrendering autonomy. His famous reply to U.S. pressure over the rubber-rice trade remains instructive:

“We do not compromise our independence in exchange for aid… from the United States or any other country.”

In an era when small states again face geopolitical bargaining pressures, this principle retains striking relevance.

Architect of Transformative Pragmatism

Markar is at his strongest when recounting Jayewardene’s political resilience. The rebuilding of the UNP after the 1956 defeat, the strategic patience during opposition years, and the eventual 1977 mandate illustrate what John F. Kennedy called “discipline under continuous pressure.”

Historically, Jayewardene’s policy legacy is too significant to be reduced to partisan memory. His role in:

· opening the economy

· establishing free trade zones

· expanding irrigation and electrification

· strengthening free education through textbooks and Mahapola

· modernising communications and infrastructure collectively altered Sri Lanka’s development trajectory.

Critics may debate the social costs of liberalisation, but no serious historian can deny the structural transformation that followed 1977. Markar rightly reminds us that many revenue streams and institutional pathways Sri Lanka relies on today originated in that reform moment.

The Independence Question Revisited

Perhaps the most intellectually compelling sections of the lecture revisit Jayewardene’s pre-independence thought. His insistence — alongside D. S. Senanayake — that Ceylon’s participation in World War II must be tied to a guarantee of freedom reveals remarkable foresight.

Equally revealing is his humanistic vision:

“Landlessness, poverty and hunger cannot be eradicated… until every vestige of foreign rule is swept away… so that English, Indian, Dravidian, etc. can work hand-in-hand.”

Here we see a leader whose nationalism was not exclusionary but developmental and pluralist — a nuance often lost in contemporary polemics.

International Realism Without Subservience

Markar’s discussion of the 1951 San Francisco Peace Conference is particularly important for younger scholars. Jayewardene’s invocation of the Buddhist maxim “Nahi verena verani” in defence of Japan’s dignity was not rhetorical flourish; it was strategic moral diplomacy.

Likewise, his firm response to foreign pressure over Sri Lanka’s trade choices demonstrates a foreign policy posture that was neither isolationist nor submissive — but sovereignly pragmatic.

In today’s multipolar uncertainty, Sri Lanka could profit from revisiting this calibrated realism.

The Necessary Balance

To his credit, Markar does not canonise Jayewardene. He acknowledges criticisms — authoritarian tendencies, the referendum extension, media tensions. This intellectual honesty strengthens rather than weakens his overall argument.

History, after all, is not served by hagiography.

Yet the broader point of the publication — and one I strongly endorse — is that Sri Lanka’s public discourse has too often magnified Jayewardene’s flaws while neglecting the scale of his statecraft. Serious scholarship demands proportionality.

Why This Book Matters Now

At a time when historical study in Sri Lanka risks being flattened by partisan narratives and social-media simplifications, The J.R. I Disliked performs a valuable civic function. It models three urgently needed habits:

Intellectual humility

— the willingness to revise earlier judgments Political generosity — recognising merit across factional lines Historical balance — weighing achievements alongside failures

For younger Sri Lankans especially, the work is a reminder that national development is rarely the product of ideological purity. It is, more often, the outcome of pragmatic adaptation — something Jayewardene understood deeply.

Final Assessment

This slim publication succeeds precisely because of its honesty. Markar’s journey from youthful critic to reflective admirer mirrors the maturation Sri Lanka’s own political analysis must undergo.

Whatever one’s partisan position, the evidence remains compelling: Jayewardene was among the most consequential executive leaders in our post-independence history — a statesman who sought, with notable pragmatism, to position Sri Lanka for social, economic and international advancement.

If this volume encourages a new generation to study his record with intellectual seriousness rather than inherited prejudice, it will have performed a national service.

And in that sense, the “J.R. he once disliked” may yet become the J.R. a thoughtful nation learns to understand more fully.

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