Business
How Should Sri Lanka Finance the COVID-19 Vaccination Rollout?
Notably, the government did not budget for a vaccination strategy in its National Budget for 2021. As such, any spending would have to be allocated through an emergency budgetary allocation. The government could potentially reallocate funding from other sectors or even reallocate from within the health sector. These reallocations, for example, could occur through built-in fiscal space for public investments in the budget, postponements or revisions to non-essential government spending initiatives such as non-essential small-scale infrastructure projects
By Harini Weerasekera and Kithmina Hewage
An effective vaccination strategy is a necessity for countries to move beyond COVID-19. However, it also requires careful policymaking to balance the financial cost of purchasing and delivering vaccines while stimulating economic growth. This article, based on a recent IPS analysis, provides an overview of the approximate costs associated with the COVID-19 vaccination rollout in Sri Lanka and evaluates policy options to finance the initiative.
Assessing Costs
While there is no universally agreed level, considering the emergence of new variants, many experts agree that a country should vaccinate around 80% of its population to achieve herd immunity against COVID-19. This translates to 17.5 million Sri Lankans. Thus far, Sri Lanka has received or is expected to receive vaccine donations and other financial assistance from the likes of the World Health Organization’s COVAX Facility to cover approximately 20% of the population.
Based on publicly available proxy data, as detailed in Table 1 below, assuming that 20% of the population will be financed through the WHO COVAX scheme, the total cost of self-financing another 60% of the population is USD 139.1 million. These costs include both the cost of purchasing the cheapest vaccine (AstraZeneca-
Oxford) and the immunisation delivery costs.
In a recent study, the World Bank estimates that for the South Asian region, the average per person vaccination cost amounts to USD 12 to receive one dose of the COVID-19 vaccine, under certain assumptions. This costing consists of the full vaccine deployment cost per person, which includes the vaccine dosage cost along with the international airfare and other delivery costs.
Using this basis of costing, financing two doses of the vaccine for 60% of Sri Lanka’s population would amount to USD 336 million. This is over double the minimum estimate made earlier using local proxy data. As such, a range of USD 140-336 million (LKR 27-66 billion) can be treated as a minimum and maximum estimate range for financing the long-term vaccination strategy in Sri Lanka. This amounts to 0.6-1.4% of total government expenditure for 2020, which is a relatively small proportion of the country’s total government expenditure. For context, the health sector was allocated 4.8% of total government expenditure in 2020. That said, the estimated costs range between 12 and 29.5% of the Ministry of Health’s total expenditure for 2021.
Furthermore, given difficulties in securing all necessary vaccines from a single producer (e.g. AstraZeneca) due to supply shortages, Sri Lanka has already moved towards purchasing Sputnik V and Pfizer vaccines, which are more expensive than AstraZeneca, and therefore will increase costs. The cost increase will be significant given that other vaccines are two to six times more expensive than a dose of Astra-Zeneca (Table 2).
Given these realities, Sri Lanka will need to cover these costs through one or a combination of: (a) reallocating existing budgetary commitments; (b) receiving more bilateral and multilateral vaccine donations or financial assistance; or (c) self-financing through targetted tax policies and future borrowings.
Reallocating Budgetary Commitments
Notably, the government did not budget for a vaccination strategy in its National Budget for 2021. As such, any spending would have to be allocated through an emergency budgetary allocation. The government could potentially reallocate funding from other sectors or even reallocate from within the health sector. These reallocations, for example, could occur through built-in fiscal space for public investments in the budget, postponements or revisions to non-essential government spending initiatives such as non-essential small-scale infrastructure projects.
However, the extent to which such revisions can be incorporated is greatly limited by the economic conditions under which this vaccination initiative is taking place. Some of these small-scale infrastructure projects, for instance, are geared towards stimulating the economy.
Sri Lanka’s post-COVID-19 economic recovery is dependent on adequate government spending to stimulate growth, and there has already been a significant amount of spending rationalisation that has taken place. Furthermore, the government will be required to ensure that the broader public health sector is not compromised in any form simply to fund the COVID-19 vaccination initiative as that may have further severe long-term repercussions.
Self-Financing
Given the current economic climate, the government is unlikely to increase direct taxes in the immediate future. Increasing indirect taxes such as import tariffs are also likely to be counter-productive since imports are restricted. Rather, a tax rationalisation on luxury goods and a sin-tax rationalisation on alcohol and cigarettes could generate a significant amount of revenue that can be directed towards the vaccination drive.
For instance, a recent study by IPS estimated that government revenue could be increased by LKR 17 billion by 2021, and LKR 37 billion by 2023, if taxes on cigarettes are streamlined and raised in line with inflation. This additional revenue can finance the vaccination strategy such that it reaches the midpoint of the study’s cost estimation range of LKR 20-67 billion.
A targetted tax intervention achieves the dual aim of raising the required funds to vaccinate the public while simultaneously ensuring that the government’s broader macroeconomic stimulus initiatives can continue unimpeded. If the government is unwilling to finance the entire cost through a targetted tax intervention, even a partial self-financing measure would reduce the necessity for the government to depend on further loans to cover the cost.
Best Option
A basic economic impact analysis by IPS found that the vaccination rollout would generate an additional 30.6 billion in national output, and an extra value addition of LKR 26 billion. Besides, the country’s economy will benefit additionally due to the indirect impacts associated with the public health benefits of a vaccinated populace.
Considering these factors, the government is best off pursuing a medium-term self-financing option through targetted tax interventions and if required, through external financing. The challenge for Sri Lanka is to secure adequate funding without compromising on its investments in broader public health and social welfare initiatives as weaknesses on those fronts can undermine the success of vaccinating the public from COVID-19.
From a budgetary perspective, the cost of vaccinating the public fast will also be cheaper than the cost of continuous PCR testing, managing quarantine centres and cluster associated lockdowns over a prolonged period. In addition to securing funding, receiving an adequate supply of vaccine doses for the country to reach its vaccination coverage targets remains uncertain as we progress further into 2021.
To learn more, read IPS’ Policy Discussion Brief (PDB) ‘Fiscal Implications of Vaccinating Sri Lanka Against COVID-19’.
Business
SLT’s dollar reserves rise 30% in Q1, but exact figure kept confidential
Sri Lanka Telecom PLC said its dollar reserves rose by around 30 percent in the first quarter of 2026, strengthening the group’s foreign currency position at a time when many Sri Lankan companies remain cautious about external payment risks and exchange-rate volatility.
Chairman of the SLT Group, Dr. Mothilal de Silva disclosed the increase during a post-results media briefing on May 19, following the release of the group’s first-quarter financial results, but declined to reveal the exact value of the reserves, describing the information as commercially sensitive.
“We do not disclose the exact figure because it could affect our negotiations with international suppliers and contractors,” he said in response to a question raised by The Island.
The stronger dollar liquidity comes as a strategic advantage for SLT-MOBITEL, whose operations remain heavily dependent on imported telecom infrastructure, including fibre-optic equipment, transmission hardware, mobile network systems and digital technology platforms largely priced in US dollars.
The improved reserve position is likely to provide the telecom group with greater flexibility in funding future network expansion, servicing foreign currency obligations and managing exchange-rate exposure in a sector closely tied to global technology supply chains.
The remarks came as SLT Group reported its strongest-ever quarterly operating profit and net earnings for the first quarter of 2026, supported by rising broadband demand and improved operational performance.
Group revenue rose 10.6 percent year-on-year to Rs. 30.8 billion, while operating profit surged 39.1 percent to Rs. 5.1 billion. Profit after tax increased 53.3 percent to Rs. 3.1 billion.
The company also highlighted continued investment in broadband and next-generation infrastructure, including the wider rollout of 5G services, as Sri Lanka’s telecom sector positions itself for higher data consumption and enterprise digitalisation.
Unlike many earnings announcements that focus primarily on revenue growth and profitability, SLT’s comments on foreign currency reserves may carry broader significance for investors monitoring corporate resilience in Sri Lanka’s still-fragile post-crisis recovery environment.
When The Island asked whether the Group’s profitability was sustainable amid a slow revenue growth environment, the SLT Group said revenue expansion remained challenging, but added that it had a robust strategy in place to sustain growth.
By Sanath Nanayakkare
Business
Rupee pressure squeezes industries as import costs surge
…exporters gain little as deeper structural weaknesses persist
Sri Lanka’s weakening rupee is placing severe pressure on industries heavily dependent on imported raw materials, fuel, machinery, and spare parts, with small and medium enterprises (SMEs) facing the gravest threat to survival, according to Indhra Kaushal Rajapaksa.
Speaking to The Island Financial Review, Rajapaksa warned that while a depreciating currency may offer exporters temporary exchange gains, the broader economic impact is proving damaging across multiple sectors of the economy.
“Most businesses are struggling because Sri Lanka imports a significant portion of its industrial requirements. As the rupee weakens, costs rise sharply across the board,” he said.
Industries are responding through a combination of price increases, aggressive cost-cutting, delayed investments, and efforts to source cheaper alternatives. However, Rajapaksa stressed that many firms are operating under shrinking profit margins and mounting uncertainty.
“Companies are trying to survive by passing some costs to consumers, reducing operational expenses, and postponing expansion plans. But SMEs are under extreme pressure because they have limited reserves and weaker access to foreign currency,” he noted.
Rajapaksa observed that large corporates are better positioned to withstand currency shocks due to stronger balance sheets, export earnings, and greater financial flexibility. In contrast, smaller enterprises remain highly vulnerable to fluctuations in import costs and financing conditions.
He identified construction, vehicle imports, pharmaceuticals, electronics, logistics, and manufacturing industries reliant on imported inputs among the sectors worst affected by the rupee depreciation.
“These sectors depend heavily on foreign supplies. Every decline in the rupee immediately increases production and operating costs,” he said.
While export-oriented industries may appear to benefit from currency depreciation, Rajapaksa cautioned that the gains are often overstated.
“There is only a short-term conversion advantage when export earnings are brought back into rupees. But many exporters also depend on imported raw materials and machinery, so their own costs increase simultaneously,” he explained.
He added that the burden of currency depreciation ultimately falls on ordinary consumers through rising food prices, higher fuel and transport costs, more expensive imported goods, and accelerating inflationary pressures.
“Consumers are paying the price indirectly every day,” he said.
Rajapaksa acknowledged that some companies are attempting to localise supply chains and increase the use of domestic raw materials. However, he pointed out that Sri Lanka currently lacks the industrial scale and production capacity to fully replace imports competitively.
“There is growing interest in local sourcing, but Sri Lanka cannot produce everything locally at the required scale or cost efficiency,” he said.
The continued volatility of the currency is also affecting investor confidence, with businesses finding it increasingly difficult to plan ahead.
“Investors value stability. Frequent currency fluctuations create uncertainty and discourage both local and foreign investment,” Rajapaksa warned.
He called on the government to focus on stabilising the economy, strengthening foreign reserves, supporting SMEs and export industries, reducing unnecessary imports, encouraging local production, and ensuring consistent economic policies.
“Policy consistency is critical. Businesses need confidence to invest, expand, and create jobs,” he said.
Rajapaksa also cautioned that employment could suffer if economic pressures continue, particularly in import-dependent sectors and smaller businesses struggling to remain operational.
“Some export sectors may create opportunities, but it may not be enough to offset job losses elsewhere,” he observed.
Describing the current crisis as both cyclical and structural, Rajapaksa said Sri Lanka’s economic vulnerabilities extend beyond short-term currency movements.
“There are immediate pressures from both global and domestic financial conditions, but there are also deeper structural issues such as high import dependence, a narrow export base, and low productivity,” he said.
“Unless meaningful structural reforms are implemented, these problems will continue to recur.”
By Ifham Nizam
Business
SLIM ushers in new era of leadership at Annual General Meeting 2026
The Sri Lanka Institute of Marketing (SLIM), the country’s national body for marketing, successfully convened its Annual General Meeting (AGM) 2026 on 8th April 2026 at the iconic Galle Face Hotel.
The AGM marked a significant milestone in the Institute’s journey, as a new Council of Management and Executive Committee were formally appointed to steer SLIM into its next phase of growth. Building on the strong foundation laid during a transformative 2025, the AGM reflected both continuity and renewal, with an accomplished group of marketing professionals entrusted with leadership roles for the 2026/27 term. The event brought together SLIM members, industry leaders, and stakeholders, underscoring the Institute’s ongoing commitment to advancing the marketing profession in Sri Lanka.
At the helm of the newly appointed Council of Management is Enoch Perera, who assumes office as President. A seasoned marketing professional with extensive experience in international business, he currently serves as Assistant General Manager Marketing – International Business at PGP Glass Ceylon PLC. Joining him in key leadership roles are Manthika Ranasinghe as Vice President – Education and Research, and Rajiv David as Vice President – Events & Sustainability, both bringing with them strong industry expertise and strategic insight.
The Council is further strengthened by Asanka Perera and Nuwan Thilakawardhana as Joint Honorary Secretaries, Ms. Kaushala Amarasekara as Honorary Treasurer, and Dr. Rasanjalee Abeywickrama as Honorary Assistant Secretary. In addition, SLIM announced its Executive Committee for 2026/27, comprising a dynamic group of professionals representing diverse sectors of the marketing industry. The committee includes Channa Jayasinghe, Vijitha Govinna, Anuk De Silva, Sirimevan Senevirathne, Tharindu Karunarathne, Damith Jayawardana, Charitha Dias, Damith Pathiraja, Ms. Roshani Fernando, and Maduranga Weeratunga.
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