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Fitch’s decision to downgrade Sri Lanka shows nothing but recklessness : CBSL

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Fitch was constantly updated on imminent foreign exchange inflows
Earnings from merchandise exports recorded an all time high in October 2021
Indices of the Colombo Stock Exchange reached historical highs
Prospects for workers’ remittances are bright
Fitch appears to have completely ignored the standby SWAP facility with PBOC of around USD 1.5 billion

Fitch Ratings in a rather hasty move, downgraded Sri Lanka’s international sovereign rating on 17 December 2021, demonstrating its failure to recognise the positive developments taking place in Sri Lanka, in an environment in which the entire world is grappling with multiple waves of the COVID-19 pandemic, the Central Bank of Sri Lanka says.

Issuing a press release the Bank further says:

This action resembles the recent unwarranted downgrade by Moody’s Investors Service a few

days prior to the announcement of the National Budget 2022. The sense of urgency on the part of an internationally recognised rating agency to downgrade Sri Lanka is inconceivable, particularly considering the fact that Fitch was being constantly updated by Sri Lankan authorities on the latest developments in all sectors of the economy and imminent foreign exchange inflows.

In particular, despite the lockdown measures that had to be introduced in the third quarter of 2021, the real economy averted a deep contraction during the quarter,

signalling Sri Lanka’s adaptability to the new normal. Real GDP, in fact, expanded by 4.4 per cent (year-on-year) during January-September 2021, reaffirming the strong possibility of above 4 per cent growth in 2021. High frequency data on activity point towards a strong recovery of the economy surpassing the pre-pandemic level. The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index reached 61.9 in November 2021, the highest reading for a month of November on record, and way above the pre-pandemic level of activity.

Indices of the Colombo Stock Exchange reached historical highs, with a large number of Initial Public Offerings taking place in 2021. Credit extended to the

private sector expanded by over Rs. 685 billion in the ten months to October 2021, compared to about Rs. 260 billion in the same period last year.

The trade deficit continued to decline from May 2021 on a month-on-month basis, supported by record high export earnings. Earnings from merchandise exports

recorded an all time high in October 2021, and preliminary information indicates that

earnings have exceeded this record level in November 2021. With the exchange rate remaining stable since April 2021, excepting a few speculation-driven deviations, the conversion of export proceeds and other foreign exchange earnings has also improved

substantially in recent weeks. An exponential growth in tourist arrivals is observed on a monthly basis, indicating an early reversal of the annual foreign exchange revenue loss of around US dollars 5 billion in the period ahead.

The prospects for workers’ remittances are bright, with the resumption of worker migration, increased demand for Sri Lankan workers particularly from the Middle East and efforts to facilitate worker remittances through formal channels through an attractive incentive package. With such measures, the external current account

balance is expected to be maintained at growth supporting levels, thereby accommodating equity capital to the financial account through direct investment to

the identified projects in the Colombo Port City and Industrial Zones, in addition to the expected monetisation of non strategic and underutilized assets.

These developments and the rapid vaccination drive, which is being rolled out nationally, would help realise the potential of the economy over the near to medium term.

Fitch has also failed to recognise the fiscal reforms introduced through the National Budget 2022. With the introduction of new tax measures, upgraded tax administration systems, and the revival of the economy, the year 2022 is expected to deliver a substantial increase in Government revenue. Increasing the retirement age of public sector employees and measures to enhance the viability of state owned business

enterprises are notable reforms, and issuing quarterly warrants for Government institutions instead of annual warrants are expected to instill financial discipline in the

utilisation of the allocations, thereby cushioning the expenditure side. Such revenue and expenditure side measures would pave the way for a reduction in the fiscal deficit and financing needs of the Government, contributing to a sustainable debt level.

The domestic market has responded positively to expected path of fiscal consolidation, and interest rates have stabilised, following an initial overshooting, at market clearing levels. The Central Bank’s holdings of Government securities have also declined notably as a result of improved subscription at primary market auctions and active open market operations. Contrary to Fitch’s unfounded claims on increased probability of a default event over the coming months, the measures undertaken by the Government and the Central

Bank to secure support from friendly nations in the region are nearing fruition, thereby offsetting pressures on the balance of payments in the period ahead. The Six- Month Road Map for Ensuring Macroeconomic and Financial System Stability clearly articulated the expected cashflows by December 2021 and by March 2021, and the Government and the Central Bank remain confident that these inflows will materialise, and the end-2021 level of Gross Official Reserves will remain above US dollars 3 billion. Fitch appears to have completely ignored the standby SWAP facility with the People’s Bank of China of around US dollars 1.5 billion, of which the drawal is imminent.

The credit lines and other inflows expected following high-level meetings in India and the Middle Eastern and other regional economies are also not given due consideration by Fitch in arriving at this decision.

The fact that Fitch Ratings decided to downgrade Sri Lanka without waiting until the first test date of 31 December 2021 shows nothing but recklessness, which could only hurt investors if decisions are made based on this downgrade. It must also be noted that the Government has given a clear assurance that Sri Lanka will honour all debt obligations in the period ahead, and Sri Lanka has not delayed a single payment even under severe stresses that were caused by the COVID-19 pandemic over the past two years.

Therefore, all stakeholders of the economy, including international investment partners, are requested not to be dissuaded by this unjustified rating action, but instead, work with Sri Lanka to surf the turbulent tides, which are expected to settle in the next few days. A detailed press release on the progress of expected foreign inflows as envisaged in the Six-Month Road Map will be published this week.

-Central Bank



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Turkey’s foreign policy seen as vital to navigate current world instability

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Dr. Semih Lütfü Turgut (L) and Pathfinder Foundation Chairman retired Ambassador Dr. Bernard Goonetilleke

The Turkish government’s foreign policy priorities in a period of heightened global turbulence, stressing diplomacy, dialogue, and cooperation are essential tools for navigating an increasingly unstable international environment, Turkey’s Ambassador to Sri Lanka Dr. Semih Lütfü Turgut said.

‘The turbulence and uncertainty of recent years have carried forward into 2026, with unresolved conflicts, shifting power balances and declining respect for a rules-based international order, Dr. Turgut explained at a foreign policy round table conducted recently by the Pathfinder Foundation Sri Lanka at the Colombo Club, Hotel Taj Samudra. It was presided over by Pathfinder Foundation Chairman, retired Ambassador Dr. Bernard Goonatilleke.

The Turkish ambassador stressed that while geography may separate Türkiye and Sri Lanka, both countries share a common aspiration for peace, stability and sustainable development at regional and global levels and emphasised the importance of strengthening bilateral, regional and multilateral cooperation at a time when collaboration is of the utmost importance.

Dr. Turgut added: ‘International relations are increasingly shaped by differing perspectives and interpretations of geography, history, and power.

‘Conflicts in seemingly distant regions can have significant ripple effects worldwide, reinforcing the need for informed and flexible foreign policy approaches.

‘The ongoing wars in Ukraine and Gaza are defining crises of the present era.

‘These conflicts demonstrate both the limits of military power and the deep humanitarian costs of war, while also exposing a certain duplicity in the international system. The fragile nature of ceasefire efforts, particularly in Gaza, called for sustained international engagement to prevent further escalation and human suffering.

‘Of considerable note is the continued instability in the Middle East, including developments in Yemen, Iran and the Horn of Africa, as well as rising tensions in Europe and East Asia.

‘Increasing militarisation, proxy rivalries and geopolitical competition risk further erosion of global stability, while economic pressures and austerity measures could fuel political extremism in many regions.

‘Ankara’s approach is anchored in regional peace, stability, and independence. Türkiye continues efforts to mediate between Russia and Ukraine, emphasising the importance of securing the Black Sea for global food security.

‘Full membership of the European Union remains a strategic priority for Türkiye and its engagement in Central Asia through the Organization of Turkic States with its focus on economic cooperation in energy along with transport corridors is important. Diplomacy remains the most effective and least costly instrument of foreign policy, particularly at a time of resource constraints and global uncertainty.

‘The international community needs to prioritise dialogue over confrontation and should uphold the principles of sovereignty, non-interference and cooperation in the pursuit of lasting peace.’

By Hiran H Senewiratne ✍️

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Local entrepreneurs propose high-quality saree manufacturing in Sri Lanka to curb forex outflow

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Sidambaram Karunanithi Pic by Nishan S. Priyantha

A group of local entrepreneurs is urging the government to overhaul the nation’s textile import policy, proposing a bold shift toward domestic saree manufacturing to stem the critical outflow of foreign exchange.

Sidambaram Karunanithi, a Pettah-based entrepreneur with deep roots in India and the textile trade, told The Island Financial Review that approximately 100,000 sarees are sold daily across Sri Lanka. He argued that the total reliance on Indian imports for this high-volume commodity represents an “unnecessary drain” on the country’s precarious dollar reserves.

The consortium, led by Karunanithi, has drafted a comprehensive roadmap to achieve self-sufficiency in the sector. The plan envisions the establishment of nine specialised factories – one in each province – to decentralize the industry.

“Our strategy is to import raw materials, specifically high-quality yarn, from India and conduct the entire manufacturing process locally,” Karunanithi explained. “By producing within the provinces, we eliminate significant freight costs as well as the need for regional dealers to travel to Pettah. These logistical savings will be passed directly to the end-consumer.”

The entrepreneurs intend to utilize advanced industrial multi-head systems sourced from leading Chinese manufacturers, capable of producing high-speed air-jet and jacquard weaves. Karunanithi emphasised that this technology would allow the local industry to reach a 50% value-addition threshold – more than the 35% standard often requested by the government for other sectors.

“India achieved global manufacturing status through partnerships like Hero Honda and Maruti Suzuki. There is no reason we cannot do the same with sarees. If there is a will, there is a way,” he noted.

Addressing the technical gap, the group plans to initially import skilled labor from India to facilitate a year-long technology and skills transfer. “Within 12 to 18 months, these foreign workers will be entirely replaced by a trained Sri Lankan workforce,” he said.

The proposal includes a request for the government to restrict Indian saree imports over one year to provide the necessary market protection for local startups. Karunanithi stressed that the group is not seeking concessional bank facilities, stating they are prepared to invest in private lands if state land is unavailable.

The entrepreneurs are calling for a meeting with President Anura Kumara Dissanayake and the Ministry of Industries to present their financial profiles and technical capacity.

“We urge the authorities not to make half-hearted or inconsistent policy decisions. If the country allows the manufacture of alcohol, why not sarees?” Karunanithi asked, adding that the foreign currency saved could be vital for the health and education sectors.

By Sanath Nanayakkare ✍️

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LOLC Holdings, PickMe and Browns EV collaborate to accelerate Sri Lanka’s transition to inclusive electric mobility

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Agreement signing between Kapila Jayawardene, Group Managing Director/CEO of LOLC Holdings PLC, and Jiffry Zulfer, Founder and CEO of PickMe.

LOLC Holdings PLC has entered into a strategic mobility collaboration with PickMe, to accelerate the adoption of electric vehicles (EVs) while creating an inclusive and sustainable vehicle ownership pathway for independent ride-hailing drivers across the country. Anchored by Browns EV, the LOLC Group’s latest electric mobility venture marks a significant step towards redefining access to clean, affordable, and future-ready transportation in Sri Lanka.

At the centre of this initiative is a direct rent-to-own facility offered by LOLC to independent third- party drivers that engage with the PickMe platform. Under this model, LOLC provides Browns EV vehicles directly to these independent drivers. The programme allows the drivers to choose to operate EVs by committing to a daily rental structured by LOLC, with the full ownership transferred at the end of a six-year tenure, which is managed solely by LOLC. For the convenience of the drivers, daily rental payments are remitted through the PickMe platform’s digital interface based on driver authorization, assisting them in managing their personal financial obligations while enabling long-term asset creation.

A key milestone of the collaboration was marked with the official opening of the Browns EV Experience Centre on 09th of January 2026 at the Browns EV Showroom premises. Designed as a dedicated resource hub, for independent drivers that engage with the PickMe platform, the Centre allows these entrepreneurs to explore a variety of electric vehicle options and engage directly with LOLC representatives. At the Centre, drivers can independently evaluate LOLC ’s daily rental model, assess their individual eligibility, and complete their registration process directly with LOLC. This streamlined environment provides a one-stop location for drivers managing their own independent business growth.

The launch event also featured the formal signing of a strategic collaboration agreement between Kapila Jayawardena, Group Managing Director/CEO of LOLC Holdings PLC, and Jiffry Zulfer, Founder and Chief Executive Officer of PickMe Sri Lanka.

Commenting on the initiative, Kapila Jayawardena stated, “At LOLC, we believe that meaningful progress is achieved by empowering people through access, opportunity, and innovation. This strategic collaboration with PickMe, supported by Browns EV, brings together financial innovation, responsible asset ownership, and affordable electric mobility to strengthen livelihoods while advancing Sri Lanka’s national sustainability priorities. Following years of import restrictions that limited access to vehicle ownership, this initiative responds directly to pent-up demand by making high-quality, future-ready electric vehicles genuinely accessible to independent entrepreneurs who depend on mobility for their livelihoods.”

Browns EV recently launched a line-up of electric vehicles positioned to expand affordable mobility across Sri Lanka. In partnership with global automotive leaders SAIC-GM-Wuling Automobile (SGMW) and Beijing Auto Works (BAW), Browns EV has introduced models designed to cater to diverse consumer and commercial segments. Wuling, the world’s second-largest EV brand, has produced over three million units globally, while Beijing Auto Works is among China’s oldest and largest automotive manufacturers. Their expertise, combined with Browns’ 150-year legacy in Sri Lanka, ensures quality, safety, and long-term value for consumers.

Drivers exploring options through the Browns EV Experience Centre can view a diverse portfolio of Browns EV models, including the BAW E6, BAW E7, BAW E7 Pro, Wuling Binguo, and Wuling Cloud.

Emphasising the synergy unlocked through the collaboration, the CEO of PickMe stated, “Collaborating with LOLC Holdings, an institution defined by scale, credibility and long-term value creation, marks a significant milestone in PickMe’s journey. Alongside Browns EV, this collaboration integrates finance, technology and sustainable mobility into a unified ecosystem. By combining PickMe’s digital platform with LOLC’s financial strength and Browns EV’s electric vehicle expertise, we are not only accelerating the adoption of clean mobility but also empowering independent mobility entrepreneurs across Sri Lanka with access, opportunity and long-term economic resilience”.

Together, the collaboration between LOLC Holdings, PickMe, and Browns EV establishes a scalable and future-focused model for electric mobility in Sri Lanka, one that seamlessly integrates financing, technology, and vehicle access within a unified ecosystem. By lowering barriers to EV adoption and facilitating long-term asset ownership for independent drivers, the initiative supports national sustainability goals while strengthening livelihoods and entrepreneurship.

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