News
Fitch Downgrades Sri Lanka’s Long-Term Local-Currency IDR to ‘CC’
FitchRatings has downgraded Sri Lanka’s Long-Term Local-Currency Issuer Default Rating (IDR) to ‘CC’, from ‘CCC’, and has affirmed the Long-Term Foreign-Currency IDR at ‘RD’ (Restricted Default). Fitch typically does not assign Outlooks to ratings of ‘CCC+’ or below.
Fitch has also removed the Long-Term Local-Currency IDR from Under Criteria Observation, on which it was placed on 14 July 2022, following the publication of the updated Sovereign Rating Criteria.A full list of rating actions is at the end of this rating action commentary.
KEY RATING DRIVERS
Challenging Domestic Financing Outlook:Sri Lanka continues to service its local-currency debt, but the downgrade of the Long-Term Local-Currency IDR reflects our view that a local-currency debt default is probable, in view of an untenably high domestic interest payment/revenue ratio, high interest costs, tight domestic financing conditions and rising local-currency debt/GDP in the context of high domestic fiscal financing requirements, which authorities forecast at about 8% of GDP in 2022.
According to authorities, domestic interest payments in 8M22 were LKR718.8 billion, taking the domestic interest/revenue ratio to an estimated 56% in 8M22; the highest among sovereigns rated ‘CCC+’ and below. Reliance on central bank financing has increased, as domestic options are limited. Domestic debt rose to about 53% of government debt by end-July 2022, according to official provisional data. Treasury bill issuance has been increasing. We expect a local debt restructuring would aim to maintain financial system stability, for example, by extending maturities or lowering coupon payments, rather than a reduction in face value. Sri Lanka continues to service its local-currency debt.
External Debt Restructuring:The sovereign remains in default on foreign-currency obligations and has initiated a debt restructuring arrangement with official and private external creditors.The Ministry of Finance issued a statement on 12 April 2022 that it had suspended normal debt servicing of several categories of external debt, including bonds issued in international capital markets, foreign currency-denominated loan agreements and credit facilities with commercial banks and institutional lenders.
Fitch downgraded the Long-Term Foreign-Currency IDR to ‘RD’ following the expiry of the 30-day grace period on coupon payments that were due on 18 April 2022. A staff level agreement with the IMF was reached on 1 September for USD2.9 billion, for 48 months, under the Extended Fund Facility. The facility will not be approved until Sri Lanka has implemented agreed actions, financing assurances have been received from official creditors and good-faith efforts have been made to reach agreement with private creditors. The timing of completion of the external debt restructuring remains uncertain.
Banking Sector Faces Tight Liquidity:Sri Lankan banks’ access to foreign-currency funding is constrained by the sovereign default. Any local-currency debt restructuring would elevate funding and liquidity stress, given the predominance of local-currency funding, at 74% of the total, and large holdings of local currency-denominated government securities. A restructuring could necessitate recapitalisation by the government, though further regulatory forbearance measures could keep banks compliant with regulatory minimums on a reported basis, however, underlying capital positions could stay weak.
Budget Aims for Fiscal Consolidation:In the 2023 budget authorities aim to lower the deficit to 9.8% of GDP in 2022 and 7.9% of GDP in 2023, factoring in high revenue growth and a pickup in spending. It also aims to raise government revenue to 15% of GDP by 2025 and reduce public sector debt to no more than 100% of GDP over the medium term, in line with the IMF’s target of a primary surplus of 2.3% of GDP by 2025. We expect a contraction in GDP in 2023 and so are less optimistic on the government’s fiscal consolidation path. We expect general government debt/GDP to reach around 109% by end-2022.
Political Risks Weigh on Fiscal Outlook:Political instability could threaten reform implementation. The government’s parliamentary position appears strong, but the government lacks public support. This increases the risk of further destabilising protests if economic conditions do not improve or reforms generate public opposition. President Wickremesinghe was prime minister in the previous administration under President Rajapaksa, who was brought down by protests. Parliament and the government also remain dominated by politicians who are affiliated with the Rajapaksa family.
High Inflation: Inflation is high, although it has declined from its September peak of 69.8% as measured by the Colombo Consumer Price Index. We expect headline inflation to fall further in 2023 on easing domestic supply conditions, lower food prices and the impact of policy rate hikes. Risks remain, from a potential commodity-price shock, particularly owing to the war in Ukraine. Financing from the Central Bank has been a key funding source for the government, but a new Central Bank Act, may limit such financing in the future. We believe rate hikes have peaked, after a policy rate hike of 950bp in 2022.
Economy Contracting:Sri Lanka’s economy contracted by a sharp 4.8% yoy in 1H22 and we expect a full-year GDP contraction of 6.0%. There is still uncertainty about the pace of the country’s economic outlook in 2023, partly because the timing of the external debt restructuring is unknown. We forecast growth to contract by 2.2% in 2023 then to pick up in 2024 under our baseline.
Latest News
Do not be misled by Fake news created using the PM’s name, photographs, and video footage – Prime Minister’s Media Division
It has been revealed that fake news created using the name, photographs, and video footage of Prime Minister Dr. Harini Amarasuriya along with the unauthorized use of official logos of various media institutions and news websites are being circulated on social media platforms.
Certain groups have published videos edited to appear as though the Prime Minister is expressing particular views, as well as fake social media posts featuring her photographs. Through such misleading content, false information has been circulated regarding various business and employment opportunities, as well as the country’s economy and tax policies.
These false stories have been created using Artificial Intelligence (AI) and modern technological tools. As the Prime Minister’s Media Division, we kindly urge the public not to be deceived by such misinformation and to remain vigilant regarding these matters.
Legal action will be taken against all individuals who create and distribute such false news through social media in a manner that harms the Government and the reputation of the Prime Minister.
[Prime Minister’s Media Division]
News
New High-Definition (HD) Television Studio at the University of Vocational Technology handed over to students with the participation of the Prime Minister
The newly equipped television studio, which had remained an incomplete component of the media complex constructed for the practical training of students at the University of Vocational Technology (UoVT), Ratmalana, was officially handed over to the students on Tuesday (26 May) with the participation of Prime Minister Dr. Harini Amarasuriya, following the installation of modern technological equipment and studio production facilities.
Following the opening of the television studio, several newly established affiliated centres aimed at expanding students’ practical and academic activities were also declared open.
Accordingly, a broadcasting studio providing opportunities for students to launch a range of educational services, including a web radio channel, an Artificial Intelligence Research Laboratory, and a Centre for Gender, Equity and Equality were inaugurated during the occasion.
Coinciding with the event, laptop computers were donated to support the uninterrupted continuation of the educational activities of students in at several schools affected by the recent floods and other natural disasters. In addition, the “UoVT Greening Policy,” formulated with a comprehensive understanding of technology and environmental inter connectivity, was officially launched during the occasion.
Following this policy, all construction and development activities within the university are expected to be carried out based on green concepts, with the goal of transforming the university into a carbon-neutral environmental unit by the year 2030.
One of the key objectives of this initiative is to encourage students pursuing vocational education to engage more actively in employment opportunities within industries that prioritise green concepts and sustainability.
Following the event, the Prime Minister also engaged in a discussion with representatives of the university student unions.
The event was attended by the Deputy Minister of Vocational Education Nalin Hewage, Secretary to the Ministry of Education, Higher Education and Vocational Education Nalaka Kaluwewa, Vice Chancellor of the University of Vocational Technology, Professor K.M.G. Prasanna Premadasa, along with several distinguished invitees.

[Prime Minister’s Media Division]
News
Banking sector claims its integrity intact despite ‘isolated incidents of fraud’
Sri Lanka’s banking sector has provided a collective and categorical assurance that it remains stable, resilient, and secure despite a few recent isolated incidents of financial fraud, emphasising that these developments do not pose a threat to the safety of customer deposits or the overall integrity of the financial system.
While acknowledging that such incidents have understandably generated some concerns, the industry has reiterated that it is addressing these matters comprehensively and that it is well equipped to manage and mitigate these challenges. This assurance was conveyed in a statement issued to the media by the Sri Lanka Banks’ Association (SLBA), which represents all licensed commercial banks in the country.
Addressing recent reports of financial fraud and cyber-related incidents that have drawn heightened public attention, the Association underscored the strength of the sector’s fundamentals and the effectiveness of ongoing regulatory oversight and risk management frameworks.
“Recent reports of financial fraud and cyber-related incidents have understandably received public attention. Industry leaders and regulators emphasise, however, that the banking sector remains fundamentally strong, resilient, and well equipped to withstand such challenges, without compromising its core stability or the security of customer deposits,” the Chairman of the SLBA Sanath Manatunge stated.
He noted that while many social media posts are either misleading or carry inaccurate information, some recent cases, including electronic fund transfer fraud, have raised important questions about digital security. However, these incidents represent only a very small proportion relative to the substantial institutional capital buffers maintained by banks. Importantly, depositors are assured that customer funds remain secure, with any such losses being absorbed through institutional capital buffers rather than public deposits.
Other cybercrime cases reported in recent months, including phishing-related fraud which are not directly connected to the banking industry and hence do not manifest any vulnerabilities in the system, however underscore the evolving and increasingly sophisticated nature of digital threats faced by financial systems worldwide, the Chairman said, but stressed that these are isolated incidents and do not reflect systemic weaknesses across the banking industry.
Reinforcing this position, the Central Bank of Sri Lanka has confirmed that all licensed banks continue to maintain capital adequacy and liquidity ratios well above minimum regulatory requirements, the Association pointed out. The regulator has also reiterated its readiness to provide temporary liquidity support if required, ensuring the uninterrupted stability of the financial system.
“Sri Lanka’s banking sector collectively manages trillions of rupees in assets, supported by diversified portfolios and robust governance frameworks. This scale, combined with prudent risk management practices, provides a strong foundation for absorbing shocks while maintaining public confidence,” Manatunge said.
At the same time, the industry is actively strengthening its defences against emerging threats. Banks are continuously enhancing cybersecurity frameworks through investments in advanced Fraud Risk Management Systems, more rigorous monitoring protocols, and independent forensic audits. These efforts are complemented by ongoing regulatory and parliamentary initiatives aimed at strengthening governance, accountability, and transparency across the sector.
Recognising that customer awareness is a critical line of defence, banks have also intensified public education initiatives focused on safe digital practices. These include guidance on password security, phishing prevention, and the secure use of QR codes and other digital payment tools.
The SLBA noted that cyber fraud is not unique to Sri Lanka, with similar incidents reported in major economies around the world. In these markets, banking systems have remained stable, supported by strong regulatory oversight and continuous adaptation to emerging risks. Sri Lanka’s banking industry is demonstrating comparable resilience, with swift corrective measures and vigilant supervision reinforcing confidence in the system.
While recent incidents have highlighted certain challenges in the environment, the benefits of digital banking far outweigh such concerns, Manatunge added, reiterating that Sri Lanka’s financial sector remains robust, well-capitalised, and subject to close regulatory oversight. These incidents are isolated in nature and do not indicate systemic failure, and the corrective measures already underway are expected to further strengthen the sector’s resilience against future threats.
The SLBA concluded: “Sri Lanka’s banks continue to stand as pillars of stability, safeguarding customer deposits while supporting the country’s economic progress. We urge customers to remain vigilant in their own digital practices, even as the industry continues to enhance the safeguards that protect them.”
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