Features
DEFIANT HALEY SPINS DOUBLE-DIGIT LOSS AS A WIN, TAUNTS TRUMP “COME ON DONALD, SHOW US WHAT YOU GOT”
TRUMP WINS WEST HAMPSHIRE PRIMARY
by Vijaya Chandrasoma
Florida Governor, Ron DeSantis dropped out of the presidential race before the New Hampshire primary on Tuesday, January 23, after an unexpectedly poor showing in the Iowa caucus and a subsequent drop in national polls. He made the announcement of the suspension of his campaign with a stirring quote he mistakenly attributed to Winston Churchill: “Success is not final, failure is not fatal: it is the courage to continue that counts”. Words Churchill never spoke, but did appear, strangely enough, in a 1938 Budweiser beer commercial.
DeSantis joined other Republican challengers like Senator Tim Scott and Indian descent entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy, who also suspended their campaigns and immediately endorsed Trump for the Republican nomination.
This is Trump’s Superpower. He has lost every election since the 2016 presidential election. His Party lost the House and the Senate in the 2018 midterms. He lost the 2020 presidential election to President Biden by a record seven million votes and an Electoral College landslide. The Party again lost the Senate and suffered a setback in the House in the 2022 midterms, which they had expected to win big in a Red Tsunami, but finally held with a wafer-thin majority. Almost every candidate endorsed by Trump for either House has been defeated. In spite of all these losses, Trump remains the undisputed leader of the Republican Party.
The Superpower transforms previous Republican rivals with leadership aspirations, who had excoriated Trump in the past and had in turn been roundly insulted, even humiliated by him – the classic example being Senator Ted Cruz, the 2016 presidential hopeful, whose wife was described by Trump as being “ugly” and his father falsely accused of involvement in the JFK assassination – into the most unctuous of Trump sycophants.
This Superpower also amazingly empowers him to commit the most heinous of crimes – sexual, fraudulent, seditious, even treasonous, with his guilt beyond doubt – and still ensures that no damage is caused to the loyalty of his Party, and even provides an enhancement in his poll numbers and fundraising capabilities.
The Kryptonite, the ultimate weapon against this Superpower, is the Truth. The Republicans’ refusal to acknowledge and accept the truth staring them in the face indicates that Trump has not changed the Party, he has merely revealed its seething underbelly of white supremacism and authoritarianism. A cult immune to Kryptonite.
The most significant and unexpected Republican to withdraw his candidacy last week and endorse Trump was Tim Scott, the “nice guy” moderate Senator from South Carolina. African-American Scott was appointed to the Senate in 2015 by then South Carolina Governor Nikki Haley, Trump’s only remaining challenger for the 2024 Republican nomination.
At an interview at CNN’s The State of the Union with Dana Bash last Sunday, Scott said, “All I want is four more years of Donald Trump”, who “does not see White from Black!” and “will unite the country”. At a time that the country has been polarized as never before, entirely by Trump’s racist, anti-immigrant policies and rants about vermin poisoning the pure white blood of America.
Asked why he endorsed Trump for the nomination, instead of his erstwhile South Carolina sponsor, Nikki Haley, Scott said he was thinking of the country as a whole and not just his home state. He danced around several issues, shamelessly twisting his earlier criticisms of Trump playing the permanent victim and whining about grievances and witch hunts. He said what he really meant was that Trump had indeed been “aggrieved” by the Biden administration, which had “weaponized the Department of Justice” to unfairly prosecute him. A blatant lie, the Trump Superpower in action.
Scott refused to answer Dana Bash’s question whether he agreed with Trump’s description of those domestic terrorists convicted and imprisoned for their part in the January 6 insurrection as “hostages”. He said he would rather let “Lady Justice get back her blindfolds”. A performance of brown-nosing (metaphorically, for a black man), reminiscent of the glory lickspittle days of Ted Cruz and Lindsay Graham.
The campaign slogan of the last woman, Nikki Haley, standing between Trump and the Republican nomination was: “I am the last best hope of avoiding a rematch between two old men, a contest 75% of Americans don’t want”. She has, on the advice of her powerful sponsor, West Hampshire Governor Chris Sununu, finally stepped up from her previously tepid rebukes of Trump to a tougher approach, calling him a bully and a liar, and going after him for his disastrous first term, his electoral losses since his election to the presidency in 2016 and his criminal behavior after his electoral defeat in 2020.
At recent campaign speeches, Trump has continued to make even more outrageously false statements than usual. He said that he beat President Obama in a landslide in 2016, when his presidential rival was Hillary Clinton. He complained that it was Nikki Haley (repeating her name numerous times), who was in charge of security during January 6, 2021 and had failed to summon federal troops to quell the insurrection, confusing Nikki Haley with Speaker Nancy Pelosi. A trifecta of hallucinations. Only Trump had the power to summon federal troops, which he chose to ignore as he was rooting for the insurrectionists in their violent attempt to prevent the constitutional transfer of presidential power. An insurrection he had planned and incited. And Nikki Haley was a private citizen who was not even in Washington D.C. on that day of infamy.
There are numerous recent gaffes and losses of memory which indicate that Trump’s mind has turned into a cesspit of hallucinatory delusion. The fact that he still brags about acing a test designed to identify incipient dementia, as he did during his presidency, is proof that he is on the cusp of that disease, which is becoming more transparent at every passing rant.
New Hampshire is a more liberal, New England state, which, unlike Iowa, where only registered Republicans have the right to vote, allows Independents to vote in its Republican primary.
Trump went on to register a win over Haley by double digits, finally garnering 54.5% of the votes to Haley’s 43.2%. Trump won by 11% points, when the polls had projected that he would win by over 30%. The New Hampshire primary showed that the polls, which projected a huge win for Trump, were highly exaggerated, and sowed doubt about the authenticity of even the national polls.
Trump was at his usual ego maniacal worst during his victory speech, flanked by his brand-new sycophants, Tim Scott and Vivek Ramaswamy, who made worshipful speeches about “the greatest American leader in history”. He showed his ire at Haley for refusing to suspend her campaign, and even showed his complete lack of class, even insulting the beautiful dress she wore.
Haley made a gracious but defiant concession speech, congratulating Trump on his victory. However, she did say that she had no intention of dropping out of the race. The best lines in her speech were that “Trump was the right president at the right time….not any more”, “Chaos follows Donald Trump” and “New Hampshire is the first in the nation. It is not the last in the nation. This race is far from over”.
Nikki Haley acted as if she had won the primary, which drove Trump crazy. He was expecting Haley, like DeSantis and the other sycophants, to fold her tent, bow out of the race, kiss the ring and beg for the Vice-President position.
Haley proved she has more balls than all the Republicans who had vied for the Republican nomination, only to tamely and prematurely throw in the towel. She will be in Trump’s face at least till the primary in her home state of South Carolina, in a month. She is gaining more support from Independents and moderate Republicans, who are getting sick and tired of his mean-spirited, mendacious, and whining “permanent victim” posture.
At her announcement that she was staying in the race, Haley said, “What a great night. God is so good. Donald Trump just threw a temper tantrum. He pitched a fit. He was insulting, but I know that’s what he does when he is insecure”. She ended her speech, taunting Trump: “Come on, Donald. Show us what you got!”
Perhaps she has little chance of winning the nomination, but she certainly has got under Trump’s skin, by refusing to quit the campaign and preventing him from claiming the Republican nomination outright after New Hampshire.
Trump was also too obtuse to understand the irony when he branded Haley “an impostor” because she did not concede that she had lost the fight (in his opinion) for the Republican nomination. Strange comment from a man who hasn’t yet conceded an election he lost over three years ago. He has stated that “anybody who contributes to the Haley campaign will be permanently banned from the MAGA camp” (cult?).
Trump may have won the Republican New Hampshire primary, but the real winners last Tuesday were the Democrats, who saw Independent voters, exasperated with the chaos that accompanies Trump, turning up in droves to vote against him. And Independents hold the key to electoral victory in November.
There is a chance that the course of Republican leadership, indeed the whole national election storyline, might undergo an upheaval if one or both of these two protagonist octogenarians suffer mental or physical breakdowns, or worse, before November. Not as unlikely an event as you might think. Believe me, ten months represent a long time in the life of old folks who have long passed the BEST BY date. Especially as both the current principal presidential candidates are already showing distinct signs of decrepitude, with a series of stumbles, falls, gaffes and losses of memory. Aneurysms, dementia, even death can’t be too far away on the horizon.
Also, in an already confused election scenario, the likely entry of Third-Party candidate/s into the presidential race will further complicate calculations to an extent where anything would be possible. Add to this Pandora’s Box the global problems caused by the Israel/Palestine and Russia/Ukraine wars, and we are surely looking at a most unpredictable, even cataclysmic, 2024.
The 2024 Oscar nominations were announced last Tuesday. As expected, Trump secured a nomination in the Best Actor category for his sterling performance as James Bond in the remake of Ian Flemings’s classic, From Russia With Love.
Asked for comment, Trump said, “I am not surprised. That role was made for me. I already have a License to Kill, we call it Presidential Immunity. Besides, I make a much better-looking Bond than the late Sean Connery. My friend, Vladimir Putin, was an excellent Director of the movie. We will do many more great things together in the future”.
Features
Trump’s tariffs, AKD’s gazette and Sri Lanka’s diplomatic slumber
“We are rather respectable in Colombo. We go to bed fairly early, and we remain there till morning. “
According to Sri Lanka’s diplomatic folklore, the late S.W. R. D. Bandaranaike uttered these words while explaining the reasons for Sri Lanka’s abstention on the UN resolution condemning the Soviet invasion of Hungary. Apparently, SWRD’s foreign ministry officials were asleep at home when the diplomatic cable seeking instructions was received from New York. In those days, there were no cell phones, Internet, or even fax or telex machines. The diplomatic cables were sent through post offices. Decoding them was a slow and time-consuming process. Thus, the government could not provide appropriate instructions to our mission in New York in time, and the Sri Lankan delegation abstained on that sensitive UN vote.
Sri Lanka’s Absence from Section 301 Consultations
But then, how does one explain Sri Lanka’s absence from the crucial bilateral consultation held in Washington by the Office of the United States Trade Representative (USTR) during March-April on “Forced Labour” under the Section 301 of the US Trade Act of 1974? Didn’t our foreign and trade ministries send appropriate instructions to Washington in time? Even if the instructions from the foreign ministry were transmitted to our embassy in Washington by pigeon carriers, there was enough time for Sri Lanka to participate in those meetings.
In March, the USTR initiated these 301 investigations on 60 trading partners, and invited all of them for confidential consultations. Out of the 60, 46 participated in these consultations. Sri Lanka was not one of them. Other countries that didn’t participate in these consultations included China, Russia, and Venezuela! In addition to that, the Section 301 Committee conducted a public hearing with interested parties on April 28 and 29. Washington-based diplomats, representatives from few trade ministries as well as representatives from many foreign trade associations and chambers participated in these hearings. Sri Lanka was once again conspicuously absent.
As a result, when the USTR published the proposed forced labour tariffs on June 2nd, Sri Lanka ended up with a 12.5% duty. Pakistani and Indonesian diplomats participated in these consultations and took appropriate follow-up measures, and managed to enter the 10% duty category. As even a threat of a modest tariff hike could disrupt supply chains and reduce competitiveness, particularly in an industry such as garments, I discussed this issue on 15 June and underscored the importance of Sri Lanka’s participation at the next hearing, which was scheduled to be held from July 7th .
Awakening from Diplomatic Slumber and AKD’s Gazette
Fortunately, Sri Lanka finally awoke from weeks of diplomatic slumber, and Ambassador Mahinda Samarasinghe participated in the public hearing on 9 July, and promised, “…. · We have agreed to the text in our negotiations with the USTR on forced labour, …. The gazette as we speak is being printed and I’m getting the gazette tomorrow morning, and the gazette will be shared with USTR as I get it“.
As promised, President Anura Kumara Dissanayake issued a gazette on 10 July banning the imports of goods produced by forced labour. These new regulations are very similar to what Pakistan and Indonesia enacted in April, after their consultations with USTR in March. Why couldn’t we do it in April? Why did we wait till the very last minute?
Challenges ahead
“War is too important to be left to generals alone,” is a famous saying attributed to former French Premier Georges Clemenceau. Similarly, monitoring our main markets is too important to be left to diplomats alone. The United States is the largest single-country market for Sri Lanka. Therefore, Sri Lankan trade chambers and associations should become more proactive in these markets and participate in these events. For example, the chairman of the Pakistani apparel exporters association participated in the April hearings. Similarly, representatives from the Indian Agricultural and Processed Food Products Export Development Authority, the Federation of Indian Chambers of Commerce and Industry, the Confederation of Indian Industry, and Reliance Industries also participated in July hearings. At an event where each speaker is given only five minutes (strictly enforced), having a number of speakers from a country is an advantage. The presence of industry representatives in these kinds of events also help them understand the market dynamics and the future challenges. This is important, particularly because there will be many more challenges with Trump’s tariffs.
With the gazette issued on 10 July, Sri Lanka has imposed a prohibition on the importation of goods produced with forced labour. Now, the challenge will be to effectively enforce the prohibition. And what are the goods produced with forced labour? The USTR list only focuses on aluminum, cotton, electronics, lithium-ion batteries, rice, and tobacco. However, according to the U.S. Department of Labour, the list is much longer. Hence, this list may change continuously during the next two years and tariffs may fluctuate once again.
So, this is definitely not the time to slumber.
(The writer, a retired public servant, can be reached at senadhiragomi@gmail.com)
by Gomi Senadhira ✍️
Features
Tales of Mystery and Suspense 10 Casino for Sale
After the overwhelming grotesquerie of J K Rowling’s latest Cormoran Strike novel (written, I should have noted, as the others were, under the pseudonym Robert Galbraith), I thought I should return to the world of fun, and also a much shorter description since this thriller moves quickly without the layers of detail that Rowling engages in.
I then move to the second comic thriller by Caryl Brahms and S J Simon. This, their second story to feature Vladimir Stroganoff and Adam Quill, was Casino for Sale, as lunatic a romp as the first, though without the emphasis on the ballet that characterized A Bullet in the Ballet.
This one begins with the impresario Stroganoff buying a casino cheap from Baron Sam de Rabinovich, only to find that it was a rundown place, not the grand casino of La Bazouche, a resort on the Frenc+h Riviera, as he had initially thought. The grand one belonged to Lord Buttonhooke, and Stroganoff could not compete, until he thought of bringing the Ballet Stroganoff to the casino – which of course leads to Buttonhooke deciding to have ballet performances in his Casino too.
Stroganoff invites Quill to visit him, which Quill decides to do since he has left Scotland Yard, having come into a legacy. No one believes this, and he has to face questions as to what he did to have been sacked, with sympathy for having been found out.
The day he arrives in La Bazouche there is a murder, of a vitriolic critic called Citrolo, in Stroganoff’s office. He had been going to write a damning review of the opening night of the ballet and Stroganoff, when he realizes Citrolo cannot be swayed, drugs him and dictates the review himself to the papers. He leaves Citrolo sleeping and finds him shot the next morning, whereupon he decides to muddy the waters and leave a suicide note and lots of other murder weapons. So much overkill, as it were, of course ensures that he is arrested.
But the excitable French detective who makes the arrest follows up his suggestion that Buttonhooke was also involved, and so the two casino owners find themselves in cells next door to each other, with the detective Gustave quite happy to provide creature comforts for a fee.
Quill decides he must investigate, and finds Gustave most cooperative, since he has a laid back attitude to work. So it is Quill that finds a notebook which makes it clear Citrolo is an accomplished blackmailer, and that there are lots of possible murderers, including Stroganoff’s croupier, who was crooked, Rabinovich, who was now working for Buttonhooke, a confidence trickster called Kurt Kukumber, whose prospectus for a dud gold mine was found in the office and Prince Alexis Artishok who was engaged in a deal to buy diamonds from the ballerina Dyra Dyrakova.
Stroganoff had been trying to get Dyrakova to dance for him, but having done so previously she had refused. But then to Stroganoff’s chagrin she agreed to dance for Buttonhooke. The clearly crooked Artishok had told Buttonhooke’s mistress Sadie Souse, who was not very bright, that Dyrakova possessed diamonds she was willing to sell cheap, and Sadie was determined to have them.
Quill meanwhile finds out that there was a secret passage to Stroganoff’s office, the obvious solution to what had begun as a locked room mystery, and that this was known by almost everyone apart from Stroganoff himself. And then Rabinovich is murdered, just after Gustave had released his two original suspects, leading him to blame Quill for having insisted on that and thus allowing them to kill again.
Soon afterwards Dyrakova arrives, and the town is full of posters announcing that she will appear in the casinos, elaborate posters for either one, since Stroganoff is determined that she will dance for him, and if she does not come willingly, he has devised a scheme to make her do so unwillingly. So, though Buttonhooke has her taken off to his yacht immediately she arrives at the station, Quill along with Arenskaya gets her into a launch and to Stroganoff’s casino, where she performs to tumultuous applause, not knowing for whom she is dancing.
When Quill asked her about the diamonds, she said she had sold them long ago, and that gave Quill the solution to the mystery. Rabinovich had known about this, and Artishok had killed him to prevent Sadie learning it from him, he had killed Citrolo who had recognized him for an accomplished card sharper, not a Russian prince at all. But before he is arrested, he gets away in a boat, and the police launch that pursues him is on the point of catching him up when it runs out of petrol.
Again, lots of excitement, and entertaining references – Gustave grows marrows – and if not quite as brilliant as its predecessor, Casino was certainly a delightful read.
Features
The challenge of being positive about SAARC
It was a few years back that a former President of Sri Lanka took it on himself to pronounce SAARC ‘dead’. Since then there have been other sections of Sri Lankan opinion that have joined the critics of SAARC and taken the solemn stance that SAARC has indeed died what may be called a natural death.
Their fatalism is understandable. SAARC has failed to meet at heads of government or state level for the past several years to take the SAARC process notably forward. Regional cooperation has more or less been only an appealing idea. No substantive concrete projects have taken off to make the idea a hard reality. ‘Inner paralysis’ seems to be SAARC’s lot. Hence the fatalism in these circles.
However, being one of the worst cash-strapped regions of the world and a teemingly populated one with people virtually left to their devices, what choices do the ‘SAARC Eight’ have other than to try their best to band together and continue with their cooperation efforts, however small they may be?
There is no escaping the mounting debt trap for many of these countries and bankrupt Sri Lanka is a glaring example, but ‘throwing in the towel’ and abandoning themselves entirely to the diktats of the strongest economies and their agencies will prove a ‘living death’ for many countries in the SAARC fold.
The gains may be meagre but giving-up on SAARC cooperation in full would prove self-defeating for the organization and South Asia. Right now, the collective intention ought to be to salvage what the region could from the tenuous cooperative efforts. Moreover, such initiatives could go some distance to generate a degree of goodwill among the Eight and help in sustaining a dialogue process.
Given this backdrop it proved ‘a stich in time’ for the Regional Centre for Strategic Studies (RCSS), Colombo, to recently host the SAARC Secretary General Ambassador Md. Golam Sarwar to a round table discussion on the unifying potential of SAARC and its future possibilities, besides other related issue areas.
Held on June 24th and moderated by RCSS Executive Director and former ambassador Ravinatha Aryasinha, the forum brought together a vibrant, wide ranging audience comprising academicians, diplomats, senior public servants, civil society activists and many others. Following the presentation by Ambassador Golam Sarwar titled, ‘Reigniting SAARC: Achievements, Challenges and the Way Ahead’, a lively Q&A followed.
The above forum could be described as an act of lighting the proverbial ‘candle’ rather than ‘cursing the darkness.’ It surely is a ‘darkness’ that could be seen as daunting considering that the region’s pivotal powers, India and Pakistan, are failing to act in a spirit of accord but are engaged in bitter finger-pointing on a number of questions of vital importance to SAARC.
On the other hand, what is the rest of the region doing to bring the above sides together? It is disappointing that to date the rest of SAARC has failed to launch a major diplomatic drive to bring peace between the feuding regional heavyweights. It needs to act without delay and establish its earnestness and this effort would need to prove SAARC’s staying power in the unfolding months and even years.
In assessing SAARC’s seeming failure local opinion in particular has failed to factor in what could be described as weak leadership. Since Sheikh Mujibur Rahman of Bangladesh, the founding father of SAARC, the region has failed to produce a visionary leader who could advance the SAARC cause with charisma and drive.
Among other reasons, weak leadership accounts considerably for the faltering and stuttering status, as it were, of SAARC. Badly needed are leaders who could go the extra mile, think less of narrow national interests and work diligently towards the collective well being of the region but SAARC’s millions of ordinary people have been made to wait in vain for leaders of such stature. Instead, they have been burdened with politicians who seem to be relishing the apparently moribund state of SAARC.
Looking back, it could be said that it was the dynamic leadership factor that led to the launching of the Non-Aligned Movement and for its sustenance for a few decades. True, it could be seen in some quarters that NAM is no more, but as in the case of SAARC, the former too has been unfortunate to be burdened over the years with politicians who lack the vision and drive to unflaggingly advance the fortunes of the South. NAM and SAARC lack the dynamism and vision of leaders of the stature of Jawaharlal Nehru, for example, to give them the required guidance and intellectual depth.
The reasons are complex for there not being among us currently political leaders with the vision and the steadfast commitment to advance the legitimate interests of the South. However, it could be stated with conviction that the majority of Southern leaders have too easily caved in to the demands of the global North and its financial agencies.
These leaders have failed to see, for instance, that the largely market economy oriented Northern governments would not view with favour a centrist economic model that attaches priority to the interests of the dis-empowered publics of the South. This realization ought to have dawned on the current government in Sri Lanka, for instance, some while ago but it has no choice but to abide by IMF dictates since economic survival at present is unthinkable without the latter’s succour.
Accordingly for SAARC this should be the time for some soul-searching. Priority needs to be attached to ending the feuding between India and Pakistan since at present the material fortunes of the region hinge largely on these regional giants giving peaceful relations among them a try. This is no easy challenge to meet but some daring, visionary diplomacy needs to take hold among the rest of SAARC.
There is some sense in SAARC bringing the peoples of the region together through programs that address their best collective interests. A meeting of minds among SAARC nations could enable SAARC and its agencies to build a region-wide people’s movement for progressive political and economic change that could in turn lead to the region’s political leaders sensitizing themselves more to the neglected needs of their publics.
However, the time is ‘now’ for the initiation of these progressive changes and the voice of SAARC well wishers would need to drown out those of their critics.
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